Andrea Simoncini

Global change is expected to have complex effects on the distribution and transmission patterns of zoonotic parasites. Modelling habitat suitability for parasites with complex life cycles is essential to further our understanding of how disease systems respond to environmental changes, and to make spatial predictions of their future distributions. However, the limited availability of high quality occurrence data with high spatial resolution often constrains these investigations. Using 449 reliable occurrence records for Echinococcus multilocularis from across Europe published over the last 35 years, we modelled habitat suitability for this parasite, the aetiological agent of alveolar echinococcosis, in order to describe its environmental niche, predict its current and future distribution under three global change scenarios, and quantify the probability of occurrence for each European country. Using a machine learning approach, we developed large‐scale (25 × 25 km) species distributi...

This work presents the first assessment of the birds of the Entella river (Genoa, Liguria), a small wetland embedded in an urbanized matrix. Data were collected through standardized in situ censuses from April 2012 to June 2017 and integrated with historical and recent data from other verified sources. A total of 278 species are known from the site; 53 species (19.06%) breed in the area, whereas 62 (22.30%) species are vagrant and 81 species (29.14%) are included in the Annex I of the Birds Directive (79/409/CEE). We determined the following indices: NP/P ratio = 1.48, O.V.I. (Ornithological Value Index) = 20.53. In-depth data are provided for vagrant species and for species of conservation concern, to prioritize conservation efforts. The results underline the importance of the Entella river as a local biodiversity hotspot and suggest a possible role of the area as a stepping stone in the regional ecological network. The study highlights a dichotomy between urbanization and high bir...

Understanding spatial and temporal variations of habitat suitability is fundamental for species' conservation under global change. Steppic species are particularly sensitive to anthropogenic change and have undergone large declines in the last decades. We aimed to describe current and future breeding habitat suitability for the Eurasian stone-curlew Burhinus oedicnemus, a steppic species of conservation concern, and to identify critical areas for its conservation. We collected 1628 presence records covering the period 1992-2016. We developed a species distribution model using a dynamic Maxent algorithm and a set of pseudo-absences with a spatial density weighted on a fixed kernel density estimated on the presences, to mitigate the potential sampling bias. We projected this model under a set of carbon emission, socioeconomic and land-use/land-cover scenarios for the years 2030, 2050, 2070 and 2090. Finally, we described the cell-wise and mean change of breeding habitat suitabilit...

Check-list of the birds of the Rupinaro creek. In an area corresponding to the course of the Rupinaro creek (GE), the surrounding hills and other adjacent areas, over four years, from June 2010 to June 2014, the bird community has been studied drafting a preliminary check-list. Globally 114 species were determined 20 of which included in Annex 1 of the Birds Directive (09/147/CE). Much of the study area is highly urbanized and compromised by human activities. The study has highlighted
the importance of the area for migratory birds but also for nesting; in fact, 30% of the species observed in the area are breeding.