After more than two years of delays, voters will finally have the chance to be heard. Given that ... more After more than two years of delays, voters will finally have the chance to be heard. Given that President Ahmed Mohamed Mohamoud ‘Silanyo’ is stepping down, the contest will result in fresh leadership. This report sheds light on some of the pivotal political and security issues facing Somaliland at the time of these crucial elections, providing a background on the process and raising some key concerns. High stakes for Somaliland’s presidential elections
Over the past two years, tensions over competing claims to the Sool and Sanaag regions by the sel... more Over the past two years, tensions over competing claims to the Sool and Sanaag regions by the self-declared entity of Somaliland and the autonomous Puntland State of Somalia have escalated. Local, regional and national contestations, combined with a failure to make progress at each level, hinders resolution. This report assesses the situation in Sool and Sanaag, focusing on the dynamics driving recent developments and options for the future.
Omar al-Bashir's removal from power will have long-term effects on Sudan's political future. Even... more Omar al-Bashir's removal from power will have long-term effects on Sudan's political future. Even though domestic considerations forced Bashir's downfall, his extensive involvement in regional issues means his departure will resonate beyond the confines of Sudan's borders. This report explores the regional implications of Bashir's removal and the subsequent role of external actors in Sudan's internal affairs.
The Red Sea and its environs, which includes several countries in the Horn of Africa, are lately ... more The Red Sea and its environs, which includes several countries in the Horn of Africa, are lately receiving increased global attention. Several geopolitical dynamics make it a unique space, often marked by division rather than unity. There are concerns that the shared space is not adequately managed and that new responses are needed to address this. This report assesses current developments, covering ongoing rivalries in the Red Sea and recommendations for future collaboration.
Refugees are one of the most affected yet least consulted groups when it comes to issues of
peace... more Refugees are one of the most affected yet least consulted groups when it comes to issues of peace and conflict in South Sudan. This report attempts to address that gap by presenting findings of refugee interviews in Ethiopia and Uganda. Understanding and incorporating their views into the peace processes is crucial to ensuring that the needs of this substantial group are considered. This will also help deliver a more inclusive and durable peace process.
The stakes are high for Somaliland’s presidential elections scheduled for 13 November 2017. After... more The stakes are high for Somaliland’s presidential elections scheduled for 13 November 2017. After more than two years of delays, voters will finally have the chance to be heard. Given that President Ahmed Mohamed Mohamoud ‘Silanyo’ is stepping down, the contest will result in fresh leadership. This report sheds light on some of the pivotal political and security issues facing Somaliland at the time of these crucial elections, providing a background on the process and raising some key concerns.
Messaging has been an important aspect of the public outreach of the violent extremist organisati... more Messaging has been an important aspect of the public outreach of the violent extremist organisation commonly known as Boko Haram. While significant attention has been given to what Boko Haram has done in terms of violent attacks, less has been devoted to what Boko Haram has said in terms of messaging content. By examining its record of public statements, important clues can be gleaned regarding the otherwise secretive group's operational processes and strategic outlook.
In January 2016, the European Union placed a cap on the amount it would provide for AMISOM peacek... more In January 2016, the European Union placed a cap on the amount it would provide for AMISOM peacekeeper stipends. This decision widened a rift between the mission and its partners over its record of achievement and future trajectory, eventually leading to a more concrete strategy for an AMISOM withdrawal. Nonetheless, in the absence of conditions that would allow a withdrawal, all involved in AMISOM may have to compromise to ensure that fragile security gains are not reversed.
After more than two years of delays, voters will finally have the chance to be heard. Given that ... more After more than two years of delays, voters will finally have the chance to be heard. Given that President Ahmed Mohamed Mohamoud ‘Silanyo’ is stepping down, the contest will result in fresh leadership. This report sheds light on some of the pivotal political and security issues facing Somaliland at the time of these crucial elections, providing a background on the process and raising some key concerns. High stakes for Somaliland’s presidential elections
Over the past two years, tensions over competing claims to the Sool and Sanaag regions by the sel... more Over the past two years, tensions over competing claims to the Sool and Sanaag regions by the self-declared entity of Somaliland and the autonomous Puntland State of Somalia have escalated. Local, regional and national contestations, combined with a failure to make progress at each level, hinders resolution. This report assesses the situation in Sool and Sanaag, focusing on the dynamics driving recent developments and options for the future.
Omar al-Bashir's removal from power will have long-term effects on Sudan's political future. Even... more Omar al-Bashir's removal from power will have long-term effects on Sudan's political future. Even though domestic considerations forced Bashir's downfall, his extensive involvement in regional issues means his departure will resonate beyond the confines of Sudan's borders. This report explores the regional implications of Bashir's removal and the subsequent role of external actors in Sudan's internal affairs.
The Red Sea and its environs, which includes several countries in the Horn of Africa, are lately ... more The Red Sea and its environs, which includes several countries in the Horn of Africa, are lately receiving increased global attention. Several geopolitical dynamics make it a unique space, often marked by division rather than unity. There are concerns that the shared space is not adequately managed and that new responses are needed to address this. This report assesses current developments, covering ongoing rivalries in the Red Sea and recommendations for future collaboration.
Refugees are one of the most affected yet least consulted groups when it comes to issues of
peace... more Refugees are one of the most affected yet least consulted groups when it comes to issues of peace and conflict in South Sudan. This report attempts to address that gap by presenting findings of refugee interviews in Ethiopia and Uganda. Understanding and incorporating their views into the peace processes is crucial to ensuring that the needs of this substantial group are considered. This will also help deliver a more inclusive and durable peace process.
The stakes are high for Somaliland’s presidential elections scheduled for 13 November 2017. After... more The stakes are high for Somaliland’s presidential elections scheduled for 13 November 2017. After more than two years of delays, voters will finally have the chance to be heard. Given that President Ahmed Mohamed Mohamoud ‘Silanyo’ is stepping down, the contest will result in fresh leadership. This report sheds light on some of the pivotal political and security issues facing Somaliland at the time of these crucial elections, providing a background on the process and raising some key concerns.
Messaging has been an important aspect of the public outreach of the violent extremist organisati... more Messaging has been an important aspect of the public outreach of the violent extremist organisation commonly known as Boko Haram. While significant attention has been given to what Boko Haram has done in terms of violent attacks, less has been devoted to what Boko Haram has said in terms of messaging content. By examining its record of public statements, important clues can be gleaned regarding the otherwise secretive group's operational processes and strategic outlook.
In January 2016, the European Union placed a cap on the amount it would provide for AMISOM peacek... more In January 2016, the European Union placed a cap on the amount it would provide for AMISOM peacekeeper stipends. This decision widened a rift between the mission and its partners over its record of achievement and future trajectory, eventually leading to a more concrete strategy for an AMISOM withdrawal. Nonetheless, in the absence of conditions that would allow a withdrawal, all involved in AMISOM may have to compromise to ensure that fragile security gains are not reversed.
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peace and conflict in South Sudan. This report attempts to address that gap by presenting
findings of refugee interviews in Ethiopia and Uganda. Understanding and incorporating their
views into the peace processes is crucial to ensuring that the needs of this substantial group
are considered. This will also help deliver a more inclusive and durable peace process.
peace and conflict in South Sudan. This report attempts to address that gap by presenting
findings of refugee interviews in Ethiopia and Uganda. Understanding and incorporating their
views into the peace processes is crucial to ensuring that the needs of this substantial group
are considered. This will also help deliver a more inclusive and durable peace process.