-
Article
Open AccessChina coasts facing more tropical cyclone risks during the second decaying summer of double-year La Niña events
Long-lasting La Niña events (including double-year and triple-year La Niña events) have become more frequent in recent years. How the multi-year La Niña events affect tropical cyclone (TC) activities in the we...
-
Article
Open AccessA frequent ice-free Arctic is likely to occur before the mid-21st century
Although the trend of sea-ice extent under global warming has been studied extensively in recent years, most climate models have failed to capture the recent rapid change in the Arctic environment, which has b...
-
Article
Open AccessUncertainties in tropical cyclone landfall decay
Understanding the responses of landfalling tropical cyclones to a changing climate has been a topic of great interest and research. Among them, the recently reported slowdown of tropical cyclone landfall decay...
-
Article
Open AccessDynamics and characteristics of dry and moist heatwaves over East Asia
The increasing frequency of heatwaves over East Asia (EA) is impacting agriculture, water management, and people’s livelihood. However, the effect of humidity on high-temperature events has not yet been fully ...
-
Article
Recent increase in extreme intensity of tropical cyclones making landfall in South China
This study examines the interdecadal variations in the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall in South China (SC) during the period 1975–2018. The annual frequency shows a decrease ...
-
Article
Near-future tropical cyclone predictions in the western North Pacific: fewer tropical storms but more typhoons
This study presents forecasts of near-future tropical cyclone (TC) activities over the western North Pacific (WNP) using a TC track-pattern-based prediction model in conjunction with long-term free-run simulat...
-
Article
Cyclone-track based seasonal prediction for South Pacific tropical cyclone activity using APCC multi-model ensemble prediction
This study aims to predict the seasonal TC track density over the South Pacific by combining the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Climate Center (APCC) multi-model ensemble (MME) dynamical prediction s...
-
Article
Changes of tropical cyclone landfalls in South China throughout the twenty-first century
The nested regional climate/mesoscale modelling system developed by the authors is applied to the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 2-Earth System global model outputs to project future changes of...
-
Article
Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along the South China coast
A numerical method is developed using a regional climate model (RegCM3) and the Weather Forecast and Research (WRF) model to predict seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) intensities at landfall for the South China r...
-
Article
Variations in the power dissipation index in the East Asia region
This study examines the variability of the power dissipation index (PDI) for different regions of the East Asia region during the period 1960–2013. The annual PDI (APDI) in the region is calculated as the sum ...
-
Article
Dynamical downscaling forecasts of Western North Pacific tropical cyclone genesis and landfall
This study evaluates the potential use of the regional climate model version 3 (RegCM3) driven by (1) the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) data dur...
-
Article
Regional climate simulations of summer diurnal rainfall variations over East Asia and Southeast China
This study evaluates the performance of RegCM3 (Regional Climate Model Version 3) in simulating the East Asian rainfall, with emphasis on the diurnal variations of rainfall over Southeast China during the 1998...
-
Article
Seasonal variation of diurnal and semidiurnal rainfall over Southeast China
Diurnal (S1) and semidiurnal (S2) oscillations are major factors in determining the sub-daily variations of precipitation amount over Southeast China (PSEC). Most studies have examined the causes of S1(P)SEC and ...
-
Article
Potential use of a regional climate model in seasonal tropical cyclone activity predictions in the western North Pacific
This study investigates the potential use of a regional climate model in forecasting seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) activity. A modified version of Regional Climate Model Version 3 (RegCM3) is used to examine ...
-
Article
Dependency of typhoon intensity and genesis locations on El Niño phase and SST shift over the western North Pacific
The effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase and the shifting of the ENSO sea surface temperature (SST) on the intensity of tropical cyclones (TC) have been extensively investigated in terms of...
-
Article
The role of MJO and mid-latitude fronts in the South China Sea summer monsoon onset
Previous studies have suggested that the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon onset is concurrent with the arrival of a 30–60-day northward-propagating trough. On the other hand, from a synoptic viewpoint, som...
-
Article
Tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific simulated in medium-resolution coupled general circulation models
This study examines the tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency over the western North Pacific simulated in atmosphere–ocean coupled general circulation models from the World Climate Research Programme’s Coupl...
-
Article
Diurnal variations of circulation and precipitation in the vicinity of the Tibetan Plateau in early summer
A regional climate model (RCM) has been applied to simulate the diurnal variations of the Asian summer monsoon during the early summer period. The ERA40 reanalysis data and the TRMM precipitation data are used...
-
Article
Water vapor sources associated with the early summer precipitation over China
This study investigates the water vapor sources for the early summer precipitation over China in association with the Asian summer monsoon, based on the sensitivity experiments performed by a regional climate ...