This study described the application of the Lee-Carter model to age-specific death rates by gender in the Philippines. These rates are available for the period that goes from 1960 to 2009. The mortality index, average age-specific... more
This study described the application of the Lee-Carter model to age-specific death rates by gender in the Philippines. These rates are available for the period that goes from 1960 to 2009. The mortality index, average age-specific mortality, the deviation in mortality for each age interval and gender, and the shape and sensitivity coefficients for sixteen age groups are obtained through the Lee-Carter method. The forecasted
mortality rates for all genders from 2014 to 2018 were calculated using Holt's Linear Exponential Smoothing Method. Finally, the conversion from death rates to death probabilities, the projection of life expectancies and the construction of the life tables was formulated through Chiang's formula for abridged life tables. As calculated, the life expectancy for individuals ages 70 and above for all genders is 10, and the life expectancy for infants for all years and gender range from 65-70. The death rate for infants for the male range from 8-9, for female, 11-15, and 9-13 for the whole population.
mortality rates for all genders from 2014 to 2018 were calculated using Holt's Linear Exponential Smoothing Method. Finally, the conversion from death rates to death probabilities, the projection of life expectancies and the construction of the life tables was formulated through Chiang's formula for abridged life tables. As calculated, the life expectancy for individuals ages 70 and above for all genders is 10, and the life expectancy for infants for all years and gender range from 65-70. The death rate for infants for the male range from 8-9, for female, 11-15, and 9-13 for the whole population.
