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The Process of using resources in higher education is influenced by the up and down of the number students. The purpose of this study is to predict the number of students who study in the department of informatics engineering UPN Veteran Yogyakarta for the next periods. This research, data is taken from forlap dikti for Informatics Engineering fom 2009 until 2016 at UPN Veteran Yogyakarta. The method that used to forecast the number of students is a Moving Average method consisting of: Single Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This study will use the forecasting accuracy namely Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to select the best model to be used for forecasting. The best model that used for forecasting is Weighted Moving Average (WMA) with weighted 1/3 and average length (n) used for 2. The smallest value for MSE of 5807.96; the smallest MAE value of 55.89 and the small...
2018 •
Smoothing data adalah sebuah perhitungan statistik yang digunakan untuk memperhalus data dari sebuah grafik serta menghilangkan data yang tidak diinginkan. Adapun metode yang di gunakan adalah moving average yaitu metode pemulusan dengan cara menghilangkan bagian data dengan mengambil nilai rata-rata dari data tersebut. Cara yang di gunakan dalam moving average yaitu menerima data, menentukan orde yang ingin digunakan dan mendapatkan hasil smoothing, Dengan menggunakan metode ini kita dapat menghilangkan noise dalam data seismik dan mendapatkan nilai yang lebih halus dari sebelumnya.
MOTIVECTION : Journal of Mechanical, Electrical and Industrial Engineering
Inventory Management Based on Moving Average2022 •
Overstock is a problem that often occurs in inventory management, the factor are the number of sales and expired date. CV.A is a distributor company for goods. In case of inventory control at CV.A, this study compared two kind of sales forecasting system; Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ES) methods. Research results showed the forecast sales for SNACK X using WMA method in July 2021 is 1662, while the ES method is 1697. After performed forecasting, the error value of the two methods was calculated. As the results, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of WMA are 630 and 767304, respectively. For ES the MAD and MSE value are 626 and 806949, respectively. Based on the results, WMA has a smaller error value, it can be concluded that WMA is better than the ES method. Permasalahan yang sering terjadi pada manajemen persediaan adalah terjadinya kelebihan stok (overstock), faktor penyebabnya adalah banyaknya penjualan dan terbatas masa kada...
Metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) ARIMA sering juga disebut metode runtun waktu Box-Jenkins. ARIMA sangat baik ketepatannya untuk peramalan jangka pendek, sedangkan untuk peramalan jangka panjang ketepatan peramalannya kurang baik. Biasanya akan cenderung flat (mendatar/konstan) untuk periode yang cukup panjang. Model Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) adalah model yang secara penuh mengabaikan independen variabel dalam membuat peramalan. ARIMA menggunakan nilai masa lalu dan sekarang dari variabel dependen untuk menghasilkan peramalan jangka pendek yang akurat. ARIMA cocok jika observasi dari deret waktu (time series) secara statistik berhubungan satu sama lain (dependent). Klasifikasi Model ARIMA Model Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) dibagi kedalam 3 kelompok, yaitu: model autoregressive (AR), moving average (MA), dan model campuran ARIMA (autoregresive moving average) yang mempunyai karakteristik dari dua model pertama.
Prosiding Ilmu Ekonomi
Model Pemberdayaan Usaha Kopi Rakyat Di Desa Pangadegan Kecamatan Rancakalong Kabupaten Sumedang2018 •
English version of the published article in Études chinoises XXXIV-2
A dissenting voice against Mao Zedong’s agricultural policy- Deng Zihui - 1953-1962.pdf2015 •
Journal Of Administration and Educational Management (ALIGNMENT)
Sistem Informasi Manajemen Organisasi Perannya dalam Pengambilan Keputusan dan Pemecahan MasalahIngénierie des systèmes d'information
Langage pour bases multidimensionnelles : OLAP-SQL2002 •
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Combustion and Flame
Conductivity of seeded combustion products of acetylene systems1977 •
Theological Studies
Umwelt-Theory, Self- Transcendence, and Openness-to-God: Attending Theologically to Human Animality2023 •
2023 •
2009 •
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Culture & History Digital Journal
Staging Oriental Delegations at the Habsburg Imperial Court in Prague (1600-1610)