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See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233784359 Multivariate near infrared spectroscopy models for predicting the oxidative stability of biodiesel: Effect of antioxidants addition Article in Fuel · July 2012 DOI: 10.1016/j.fuel.2012.02.017 CITATIONS READS 13 99 4 authors, including: Nuno Canha Pedro M Felizardo 52 PUBLICATIONS 480 CITATIONS 18 PUBLICATIONS 685 CITATIONS University of Lisbon SEE PROFILE 4Tune Engineering SEE PROFILE Jose C Menezes Technical University of Lisbon 93 PUBLICATIONS 1,543 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE All content following this page was uploaded by Nuno Canha on 18 January 2017. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. All in-text references underlined in blue are added to the original document and are linked to publications on ResearchGate, letting you access and read them immediately. Fuel 97 (2012) 352–357 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Fuel journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/fuel Multivariate near infrared spectroscopy models for predicting the oxidative stability of biodiesel: Effect of antioxidants addition Nuno Canha a, Pedro Felizardo a, José C. Menezes b, M. Joana Neiva Correia a,⇑ a b Centre of Chemical Processes, Instituto Superior Técnico, Technical University of Lisbon, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal IBB, Centre for Biological and Chemical Engineering, Instituto Superior Técnico, Technical University of Lisbon, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 7 July 2011 Received in revised form 19 November 2011 Accepted 7 February 2012 Available online 20 February 2012 Keywords: Biodiesel Oxidative stability NIRS Calibration models a b s t r a c t Biodiesel, a mixture of long chain fatty acid esters, is an environmental friendly alternative to fossil fuel. This fuel is produced by a transesterification reaction between vegetable oils or animal fats and a short chain alcohol, usually methanol, in the presence of a catalyst. European governments are targeting the incorporation of 10% of biofuels in transportation fuels by 2020. Therefore, the global market for biodiesel is expected to have a significant growth in the next 10 years. According to the European legislation, from the 25 parameters that have to be analyzed to certify biodiesel quality, oxidative stability is of concern, especially when storing biodiesel for long periods. In fact, that property measures the susceptibility of biodiesel to oxidative degradation and is strongly dependent on the type of oil used in the production process and on storage conditions. Thus, EN 14214 establishes a minimum value of 6 h for the oxidative stability of biodiesel under stressed conditions of a standardized assay. This work reports the use of near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), coupled with multivariable classification and calibration techniques, to determine the oxidative stability of biodiesel with and without antioxidants. Therefore, biodiesel samples produced from soybean, palm, rapeseed, sunflower and waste frying oils, from mixtures of these oils and also several of these samples after different storage conditions and storage periods some of them containing antioxidants (induction periods between 0.66 and 17.75 h) were used to develop the calibration models. The model for samples without antioxidants is able to estimate the oxidative stability of unknown samples with a root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) of 0.6 h, which is similar to the reference method error (0.5 h). The introduction of samples containing antioxidants in the calibration/validation sets led to higher prediction errors (RMSEP = 1.28 h) that may be considered acceptable. Ó 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction It is known that there are several economical, political and environmental problems associated to the use of fossil fuels and biodiesel is pointed as an environmental friendly alternative to fossil fuel because it does not contribute to the net atmospheric CO2 level. Additionally, its use as fuel in diesel engines also contributes to a reduction of the emissions of several pollutants (particulate matter, carbon monoxide, sulphur and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons) but adversely affects the emissions of NOx [1]. When waste frying oils (WFOs) are used as a raw material for biodiesel, the process is also considered as an industrial or household waste treatment [2]. Biodiesel production is commonly carried out through a transesterification reaction between vegetable oils or fats and an alcohol (usually methanol), in the presence of a catalyst, to produce an ester and glycerol as byproduct [2]. Presently, basic homogeneous ⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: +351 21 8417344; fax: +351 21 8417246. E-mail address: qjnc@ist.utl.pt (M. Joana Neiva Correia). 0016-2361/$ - see front matter Ó 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.fuel.2012.02.017 catalysed batch processes are generally in use at industrial level, but the use of heterogeneous catalysts has several advantages because it allows reducing the operational costs due to the reduction of catalysts consumption and to simpler purification operations [3]. According to geographic limitations and oil prices, biodiesel can be produced from different feedstocks and, as mentioned above, using different production technologies. As a result, the final product can have different properties and so, according to EN 14214, there are 25 parameters that have to be analyzed to certify biodiesel quality and the oxidative stability is one of these parameters [4]. The oxidative stability, which is a measure of how easily biodiesel suffers oxidative degradation, is one of the major drawbacks for its widespread commercialization [5]. Out of specification values of the oxidative stability create problems during the fuel storage and distribution and also affect the performance of the vehicle because the degradation products led to the formation of engine deposits that can block the filters and fuel injectors [6,7]. On the other hand, there are also several biodiesel properties that are directly affected by its degradation, such as the viscosity and the acid value that increase with the decrease of the induction N. Canha et al. / Fuel 97 (2012) 352–357 period [6–8]. Apart from the type of feedstock, namely its fatty acid composition and content of unsaturated chains, there are several factors that affect the oxidation process of biodiesel during storage such as presence of air, light, high temperatures, presence of antioxidants and the presence of contaminants in, for example, the storage tanks because metals may have a catalytic effect on oxidation [8,9]. Therefore, the standard specifications in Europe include a minimum induction time of 6 h at 110 °C determined using the Rancimat method [10], which is a simple but time consuming analytical method. The use of NIRS, associated with multivariate data analysis, to monitor the quality of vegetable oils and biodiesel is reported in several papers [11–22]. NIR spectroscopy is a well-known analytical technique based on the absorption of electromagnetic in the region from 780 to 2500 nm (12820–4000 cm–1). The analysis of the NIR spectra requires the use of chemometric tools, which include principal components analysis (PCA) to perform the qualitative analysis of the spectra, or the projection into latent structures (PLS) regression to develop calibration models between spectral and analytical data for quantitative analysis [23]. To improve the correlation between the absorption of NIR radiation and the analytical reference data, specific spectra pre-processing and variable selection methods may be used [15,19]. Variable selection methods or interval partial least squares (iPLS) allow the determination of the spectral region(s) where variations are specifically related to changes in the analyte concentration. The advantages of applying NIR spectroscopy to determine the oxidative stability of biodiesel are of significance. In fact, after the NIR calibration has been established, it will only be necessary to acquire the NIR spectrum of the sample, a procedure that takes less than 2 min, instead of several hours that are necessary to spend to perform the same determination using the Rancimat apparatus. 2. Experimental 2.1. Materials and method Methanol, chromatographic grade (99.5%), was supplied by José M. Vaz Pereira (Lisbon, Portugal) and sodium methoxide, commercial grade (30% by weight of sodium methoxide in methanol) was purchased from BASF (Lisbon, Portugal). The antioxidants butylated hydroxyltoluene (BHT, 99%), butylated hydroxyanisol (BHA, 98%) and hydroquinone (HQ, 99%) were purchased from Sigma–Aldrich. 2.1.1. Biodiesel samples Industrial Samples of pure vegetal oils, such as palm, soybean and rapeseed, were supplied by Iberol and Biovegetal, two Portuguese biodiesel producing companies, whereas the waste frying oils were supplied by Space, another Portuguese biodiesel producing company. Laboratory-scale samples were prepared by transesterification of different pure vegetable oils and WFO using the following procedure: a sample of oil was transferred into a stirred tank reactor equipped with a reflux condenser and immersed in a temperature-controlled water bath. For stirring, a single paddle round impeller (diameter = 6.5 cm) at 350 revolutions min1 was used. The oil was heated until the desired temperature was reached (65 °C). At this point, a mixture of methanol and sodium methoxide was added to the oil and the transesterification reaction began. The reactor was kept at around 65 °C for 180 min. At the end of the reaction period, the glycerol-rich phase was separated from the methyl esters layer in a decantation funnel. The esters phase (crude biodiesel) was washed with water, with a 0.1 M HCl solution and again with water to provide a purified biodiesel. The washed methyl esters were then centrifuged (Sigma 4K10, Oste- 353 rode am Harz, Germany) and dried at 80–90 °C under vacuum (200 mbar) using a rotary evaporator (RE111; Büchi, Flawil, Switzerland). To produce biodiesel samples with a wide range of variation of the oxidative stability, mixtures of soybean, rapeseed and waste frying oils with palm oil were used as raw-materials. In fact, palm oil has a high level of unsatured fatty acids thus leading to the production of biodiesel with high values of the oxidative stability. The addition of antioxidants (HQ, BHT and BHA) to some of the samples was also carried out. 2.1.2. Analyzes The oxidative stability was determined by the Rancimat method [10] according to EN 14214 using a Metrohm 679 equipment. Air flow was set at 10 L/h and the temperature of the heating block was set at 110 °C. The determinations of the induction period were performed in duplicate and the mean values were used for calibration purposes. The near-infrared spectra of the biodiesel samples were acquired using an ABB BOMEM MB160 (Zurich, Switzerland) spectrometer equipped with an InGaAs detector and a transflectance probe from SOLVIAS (Basel, Switzerland). The spectra were recorded twice for each sample at room temperature (25 ± 1 °C), with the aid of the Galactic Grams software package (Galactic Industries, Salem, NH, USA), in the wave number range of 12,000–4000 cm1, with a spectral resolution of 16 cm1. The average of the two measurements was used for models development. Some of the other biodiesel properties were determined using NIR models already developed [14,15,19,20]. 2.2. Data analysis and calibration development All calculations were carried out using Matlab version 7 (MathWorks, Natick, MA, USA) and the PLS Toolbox version 4.0 (Eigenvector Research Inc., Manson, WA, USA). Only the region between 9000 and 4500 cm1 was used for calibration because the noisy (<4500 cm1) and non-informative (>9000 cm1) ranges of the spectra were excluded. As mentioned above, data analyzes were performed using principal components analysis (PCA) for a qualitative analysis of the spectra, followed by the PLS regression to develop the calibration models between spectral and analytical data. Different preprocessing methods and spectral regions were evaluated and the choice was made by analyzing the ones that led to the best performance parameters (minimum number of principal components or latent variables, lower root mean square errors of calibration and validation, etc.). In this work, the PCA model was developed using the second order Savitsky–Golay derivative with a filter width of 15 data points and the third-order polynomial fit followed by the standard normal variate scaling (SNV) and mean centering (SV2 + SNV + MC), whereas for the PLS model developed with the samples without antioxidants, the best performance parameters were obtained using the first order Savitsky–Golay derivative with a filter width of nine data points and the third-order polynomial fit followed by the standard normal variate scaling (SNV) and mean centering (SV1 + SNV + MC). However, when the samples containing anti-oxidants were introduced, the orthogonal signal correction (OSC) was also used (SV1 + SNV + MC + OSC). This preprocessing allows to reduce the data variance in the spectra (X) due to light scatter effects and to more general types of interferences that have no correlation with the measured property y (in this case the oxidative stability) [25]. In the PLS regression, the optimal number of latent variables (LVs) needed in the calibration model was obtained by cross-validation (CV). The internal validation strategy used was the Venetian Blinds method [24]. It is a recurring procedure, which sets aside 354 N. Canha et al. / Fuel 97 (2012) 352–357 every nth sample of the calibration set at a time, then builds a calibration model without the excluded sample and, finally, makes a prediction of the excluded sample using the calibration model developed. The detection of outliers was performed based on the leverage values, Q-residuals, and Studentized y-residuals. As a result, a sample was considered to be an outlier if its leverage value was twice as large as the average leverage value (given by 2(1 + LV)/N, where LV is the number of latent variables and N the number of samples), or if its Q-residual falls above the 95% confidence limits for the considered model, or yet if y-residual of the sample was larger than twice the residual standard deviation [20]. The performance of the calibration models was analyzed by calculating the root mean squares errors of cross-validation, RMSECV, and of external validation, RMSEP, and the respective determination coefficients, Q 2y , between the predicted and the measured values [25,26]. The latter coefficient, which quantifies the variance in y being predicted by the model and should be close to 100%, was calculated as Q 2y ¼ 1 ! ^ÞT ðy  y ^Þ ðy  y  100 yT  yÞ ð1Þ The calibration models were developed using data sets randomly split using the Shuffle function of Matlab. Therefore, after the random reorder of the matrix rows, the complete data set was divided into the calibration (the first 2/3 of the matrix’ rows) and the external validation sets (the last 1/3 of the matrix’ rows). Finally, iPLS was also applied to identify the regions of the spectra that better capture the variance of the oxidative stability [20]. However, the best results were obtained using the complete spectra. 3. Results and discussion 3.1. Characterization of biodiesel samples The set of samples used to calibrate the oxidative stability contains 199 samples of biodiesel produced from soybean, palm, rapeseed, sunflower and waste frying oils, from mixtures of these oils and also several of these samples after different storage periods and conditions (Table 1). In fact, as mentioned above, the type of oil used for biodiesel production, as well as the storage time and conditions greatly influences the oxidative stability values. Therefore, the calibrations were developed using biodiesel samples produced from different oils and mixtures of oils commonly used as raw materials for biodiesel production, fresh or stored in different conditions (light in transparent glass or plastic bottles, light in opaque glass or plastic bottles, darkness, heated in an oven at 50 °C). This strategy allowed to extend the calibration range to oxidation stability values or induction periods several times lower and higher than the limit values imposed by the European (6 h) and the USA (3 h) legislations. Actually, to have a conveniently developed NIR calibration model, well defined in the range imposed by legislation, it is convenient to extend the calibration range. In addition, it is also possible to have samples out of specification and so the calibration range was chosen to cover the entire expected variability of the oxidative stability of real biodiesel samples. The objective of this work is to evaluate the ability of NIRS together with multivariable data analysis to determine the oxidative stability of biodiesel samples with and without antioxidants. For that reason, most of the results concerning the study of the influence of raw-materials, storage conditions, etc., on the oxidative stability will be presented elsewhere. The induction periods of several biodiesel samples produced from pure oils that were also used to prepare the mixtures for the NIRS calibration models are presented in Table 2. As expected, Table 2 shows that the induction period decreases from palm to soybean/rapeseed biodiesel. Actually, due to the higher content of unsaturated fatty acids, soybean and rapeseed biodiesel are more reactive to oxidation than saturated palm biodiesel [5,8]. In what concerns waste frying oils, they usually present low values of the oxidative stability due also to the reactions that occur during the frying process. In fact, depending on the degree of heating, the oils suffer degradation and polymerization reactions that are responsible for changes in their chemical and physical properties [2] that led to low values of the oxidative stability. It is worth noting that the lower limit of the calibration interval (0.43 h) was attained after storage of some of the samples (or mixtures) presented in Table 2 for various time periods in different conditions and containers. In this way, it was possible to lower the oxidative stability from 2 h (Table 2) down to 0.43 h. This is important because it is possible to have industrial or laboratory biodiesel samples out of the specification imposed by EN 14214, namely when they are produced from waste frying oils or other low-cost raw-materials and NIRS calibration should be developed for the entire range of interest. Furthermore, in order to study the effect of the presence of antioxidants on the performance parameters of the NIRS model, the three antioxidants mentioned above were added to several soybean and rapeseed biodiesel samples in concentrations from 100 to 810 mg/kg. This addition allowed an increase of the induction time of 1 up to 16 h, depending on the antioxidant and concentration used. It is important to emphasize that the strategy used in this work was to develop two calibration models: one with biodiesel samples without additives and the other with samples with and without antioxidants. In fact, the addition of antioxidants is not always necessary, and so it is important to have a robust NIR model trained with biodiesel samples without additives for a large range of oxidative stability values. On the other hand, instead of deriving a model based only in samples containing antioxidants, it was decided that it is more useful to have a robust calibration model, well defined over a wide range of oxidative stability values where it is expected Table 1 Biodiesel samples used for NIR calibration. Type of biodiesel/number of samples Animal fat (AF) Sunflower (SF) Rapeseed (R) Soybean (SB) Palm (P) WFO Pure oil Mixtures Stored samples Nr Nr Type of oil Composition range (%) Nr Time Conditions 1 2 5 93 – – 25 66 65 41 – – 5–95, 20–80 5–95, 20–80, 60–70, 80 5–95, 5–95, 10–20 20, 20 – 1 2 119 4 8 – – P, SB P, R, WFO, WFO + P SB, R, SB + WFO SB, SB + P – 4 weeks 4 weeks 2 days to 32 weeks 2–32 weeks 2–32 weeks – Light Light Light/darkness/oven at 50 °C/glass or plastic containers Light/darkness Light/darkness 22 35 355 N. Canha et al. / Fuel 97 (2012) 352–357 Table 2 Oxidative stability of biodiesel samples. Oil SB 1 SB 2 R1 R2 P1 P2 SF WFO 1 WFO 3 AF Induction time (h) 5.8 7.3 5.7 6.2 17.8 18.9 2.1 2.8 2.9 2.9 Raw-materials: SB – soybean oil; R – rapeseed oil; P – palm oil; WFO – waste frying oils: AF – animal fat. to have most of the biodiesel samples produced at a laboratory or at industrial scale (even the ones that are far from specification). On the contrary, a model derived with the samples containing antioxidants separately would have less practical interest because most of the samples, or at least those produced from virgin oils, would have oxidative stability values higher than the minimum value imposed by EN 14214. 3.2. Development of NIRS calibration models for the oxidative stability 3.2.1. NIRS model developed with samples without antioxidants In what concerns the PCA analysis of the spectra, previous work showed that biodiesel samples are grouped according to the type of oil used in its production [20], which influences their iodine value and oxidative stability. However, the results obtained in this work showed that the PCA analysis did not allow the clear identification of the oxidative stability variation pattern probably because, as mentioned above, the oxidative stability is also dependent on other factors. For the PLS model’s development, from the 199 samples, 149 were used for calibration and 50 for validation. The calibration range goes from 0.43 to 18.95 h. After excluding six outliers following the above mentioned procedure, the PLS model was developed after applying the second order Savitsky–Golay derivative followed by the standard normal variate scaling (SNV) and mean centering (SV1 + SNV + MC) as pre-processing to the complete spectra. The lowest RMSECV was obtained using six latent variables that allowed capturing 99.57% of the data variance in the spectra and 97.31% of the data variance concerning the oxidative stability. Table 3 presents the performance parameters of this model. From Table 3 it is possible to conclude that this model performs very well with acceptable values of R2 and Q 2y . Actually, it allows the prediction of the oxidative stability with an error similar to the maximum error expected for the reference method (±0.5 h). Furthermore, in spite of the large calibration range, with only six latent variables it was possible to obtain a prediction error correspondent to only 3.5% of the entire calibration range, which is a very good result. In fact, for example, Lira et al. [21] developed a calibration model for the oxidative stability of biodiesel for a narrower calibration range (1.5–8.7 h) and with 16 latent variables obtained a RMSEP correspondent to around 6.9% of the calibration range. Fig. 1 shows the performance of the model for both the calibration and validation sets. From this figure it is possible to observe that the calibration and validation samples are well distributed around the diagonal, with a higher number of samples with an oxidative stability lower than 8 h, which is the region where it is expected to have most of the industrial samples. Furthermore, in spite of its large calibration range, the model allows obtaining small deviations and there is an excellent agreement between the values predicted by the model and those determined by the reference method. Therefore, these results confirm that this model can be used to predict the oxidative stability of biodiesel without antioxidants with errors similar to the Rancimat ones. 3.2.2. NIRS model developed with samples containing antioxidants To develop the calibration model for samples with and without antioxidants, 48 biodiesel samples were spiked with the above mentioned antioxidants in concentrations between 100 and 810 mg/kg and these samples were added to the dataset containing the 199 samples without antioxidants. Thus, the resulting set, containing 247 samples, was randomly divided into the calibration (185 samples) and validation (62 samples) sets, covering a calibration range between 0.43 and 22.1 h. As presented in Table 4, when SV1 + SNV + MC was used as spectra pre-processing, 10 latent variables are necessary to capture 99.88% of the spectra variance and 93.48% of the y variance. This large number of latent variables indicates that this model is more difficult to construct than the one that contains only samples without anti-oxidants. Additionally, such a large number of latent variables may indicate an overfitted model, with too many LV, that is describing not only the systematic variations but also the random variations or noise. In this case, the model will fail to predict new samples [27]. Thus, in an attempt of improving these results, the orthogonal signal correction was used as pre-processing technique (SV1 + SNV + MC + OSC). In this case, it was possible to capture with only one latent variable 81.6% of the data variance in the spectra and 94.14% of the samples data variance y (the oxidative Table 3 Cross-validation and external validation results for the prediction of the oxidative stability. Parameter Spectral region 9000–4500 cm1 Latent variables Calibration range (h) R2calibration 6 0.66–17.75 0.973 R2cross validation 0.967 R2prediction 0.950 RMSEC (h) RMSECV (h) RMSEP (h) Rancimat error (h) Q 2y cross validation 0.53 0.59 0.60 0.50 96.68 Q 2y prediction 94.90 Fig. 1. Correlation between measured and predicted oxidative stability (h) of biodiesel in the region 4500–9000 cm1 (: calibration set; j: validation set). 356 N. Canha et al. / Fuel 97 (2012) 352–357 Table 4 Cross-validation and external validation results for the prediction of the oxidative stability of biodiesel samples with and without antioxidants. Parameter Spectral region 9000–4500 cm1 SV1 + SNV + MC SV1 + SNV + MC + OSC R2calibration 10 0.43–22.10 0.935 1 0.43–22.10 0.941 R2cross validation 0.899 0.910 R2prediction 0.906 0.908 RMSEC (h) RMSECV (h) RMSEP (h) Rancimat error (h) Q 2y cross validation 0.97 1.22 1.26 0.5 89.81 0.92 1.15 1.28 0.5 90.98 Q 2y prediction 89.72 89.44 Latent variables Calibration range (h) stability). Additionally, in spite of the decrease of the number of latent variables, the performance parameters of the calibration models are similar. It is important to mention that the calibration model containing samples with antioxidants was developed after the removal of 12 outliers from the calibration set and one outlier from the validation set, but only three of the 13 samples were samples containing antioxidants. The difficulty of developing a NIRS calibration model to determine the oxidative stability in samples with and without antioxidants is illustrated by the higher number of latent variables that are necessary to correlate the spectra variance with the oxidative stability of the samples or by the necessity of using an additional pre-treatment, by the higher number of samples identified as outliers (12 instead of 6) and also by the higher RMSEC, RMSECV and RMSEP values. This difficulty is also clear from Fig. 2, which shows a greater dispersion of the data points around the diagonal 1:1, when compared to Fig. 1. Fig. 2 also shows that the dispersion of the values around the diagonal seems to increase for the samples with high oxidative stability values, which may indicate a dependency of the error on the antioxidant concentration. In this situation, the oxidative stability, instead of being only affected by the structure of the fatty acid chains of biodiesel that NIRS is able to identify, is also affected by the presence of antioxidants. Therefore, two samples with similar NIR spectra may have completely different values of the oxidative stability. It is thus understandable that in this case the prediction errors are higher than in the case of the model developed with the samples without antioxidants. From Table 4 it is also possible to conclude that regardless the fact that the RMSEP value is higher than the maximum error of the reference method (0.50 h), this model still allows the prediction of the oxidative stability of biodiesel samples with and without antioxidants. In fact, the prediction error of 1.28 h may be considered acceptable because it corresponds to only 5.9% of the entire calibration range. It is also important to emphasize that this error will decrease if a narrower calibration range is used. However, this strategy will reduce the robustness and applicability of the calibration model. The results obtained in this work allow to conclude that NIRS may be used to predict the oxidative stability of samples without and with antioxidants. In fact, despite a prediction error twice times the one of the reference method, acceptable predictions are still possible. Furthermore, the speed of the NIRS analysis is an important advantage when compared with the Rancimat one, namely for additives addition control or blending operations for targeted specifications at an industrial level. 4. Conclusions The aim of this work was to study the application of NIRS to predict the oxidative stability of biodiesel. The oxidative stability of biodiesel depends on the fatty acid composition of raw-materials and on the storage conditions, which may include exposure to air and/or light, high temperature, as well as the presence of several contaminants and can be improved by the addition of antioxidants. The determination of the oxidative stability by the Rancimat method is time consuming and therefore it is of great value to have a simple, fast and reliable alternative method to determine that important quality parameter of biodiesel. The results obtained indicate that NIRS is a suitable accurate alternative to the Rancimat method to determine the oxidative stability of biodiesel samples without antioxidants. In fact, the prediction error was only 0.6 h for a calibration range of oxidative stability values between 0.66 and 17.75 h. The introduction of samples containing antioxidants led to a prediction error twice times higher than the reference method error (1.28 h), which may be considered acceptable. Furthermore, despite the higher prediction error, the speed of the NIRS analysis is an important advantage when compared with the Rancimat one, namely for antioxidants addition control or blending operations for targeted specifications at an industrial level. Acknowledgements Thanks are due to Iberol, Biovegetal and Space for supplying industrial samples of oils and to Professor Gabriela Gil from IST for the use of the Rancimat equipment. Pedro Felizardo would also like to thank Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (SFRH/BDE/ 15566/2005) and Space for financial support of his PhD. References Fig. 2. Correlation between measured and predicted oxidative stability (h) of biodiesel in samples with and without antioxidants (: calibration set; j: validation set). [1] Bakea E, Karavalakis G, Stournas S. 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