Potential distribution of crops in the state of Mérida is proposed using a models based on field data collection and environmental variables and its potential distribution in climate change scenarios (CC). The presence and absence of...
morePotential distribution of crops in the state of Mérida is proposed using a models based on field data collection and environmental variables and its potential distribution in climate change scenarios (CC). The presence and absence of crops: potato, carrot, coffee, cocoa, and banana were registered, and the distribution for each was statistically estimated. Based on the representative concentration trajectories (RCP), spatial models were developed in CC scenarios. The cocoa crop shows a potential area of 3,62%, while the shade coffee crop presents a possible area of 20,33%. Current spatial models have a high climatic potential for the distribution of potato and shade coffee crops. In CC scenarios, coffee decreased the ideal area, while potato crops by 2100 lose 69% of the potential area.
