Abstract. Soil moisture is key for understanding
soil–plant–atmosphere interactions. We provide a soil moisture pattern
recognition framework to increase the spatial resolution and fill gaps of
the ESA-CCI (European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative v4.5) soil
moisture dataset, which contains > 40 years of satellite soil
moisture global grids with a spatial resolution of ∼ 27 km. We
use terrain parameters coupled with bioclimatic and soil type information to
predict finer-grained (i.e., downscaled) satellite soil moisture. We assess
the impact of terrain parameters on the prediction accuracy by
cross-validating downscaled soil moisture with and without the support of
bioclimatic and soil type information. The outcome is a dataset of gap-free
global mean annual soil moisture predictions and associated prediction
variances for 28 years (1991–2018) across 15 km grids. We use independent in situ
records from the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN, 987 stations)
and in situ precipitation records (171 additional stations) only for evaluating the
new dataset. Cross-validated correlation between observed and predicted soil
moisture values varies from r= 0.69 to r= 0.87 with root mean squared
errors (RMSEs, m3 m−3) around 0.03 and 0.04. Our soil moisture
predictions improve (a) the correlation with the ISMN (when compared with
the original ESA-CCI dataset) from r= 0.30 (RMSE = 0.09, unbiased RMSE (ubRMSE) = 0.37) to
r= 0.66 (RMSE = 0.05, ubRMSE = 0.18) and (b) the correlation with local precipitation records across boreal (from r= < 0.3 up to r= 0.49) or
tropical areas (from r= < 0.3 to r= 0.46) which are currently
poorly represented in the ISMN. Temporal trends show a decline of global
annual soil moisture using (a) data from the ISMN (-1.5[-1.8,-1.24] %),
(b) associated locations from the original ESA-CCI dataset (-0.87[-1.54,-0.17] %), (c) associated locations from predictions based on terrain
parameters (-0.85[-1.01,-0.49] %), and (d) associated locations from
predictions including bioclimatic and soil type information (-0.68[-0.91,-0.45] %). We provide a new soil moisture dataset that has no gaps and
higher granularity together with validation methods and a modeling approach
that can be applied worldwide (Guevara et al., 2020,
https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.9f981ae4e68b4f529cdd7a5c9013e27e).