This document discusses the economics of grid connection design options for offshore wind farms. It presents a methodology for evaluating the total economic costs of transmission systems, accounting for upfront capital costs and ongoing losses. The methodology compares high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) and high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission. HVDC was previously only attractive for very long distances due to converter costs, but voltage source converter (VSC) HVDC technology has increased its viability. The methodology is applied to evaluate options for connecting 6GW of UK offshore wind projects. Key factors in the analysis include wind farm capacity and availability factors, and how losses scale with output.
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AC or DC? Economics of Grid Connection Design For Offshore Wind Farms
This document discusses the economics of grid connection design options for offshore wind farms. It presents a methodology for evaluating the total economic costs of transmission systems, accounting for upfront capital costs and ongoing losses. The methodology compares high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) and high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission. HVDC was previously only attractive for very long distances due to converter costs, but voltage source converter (VSC) HVDC technology has increased its viability. The methodology is applied to evaluate options for connecting 6GW of UK offshore wind projects. Key factors in the analysis include wind farm capacity and availability factors, and how losses scale with output.
This document discusses the economics of grid connection design options for offshore wind farms. It presents a methodology for evaluating the total economic costs of transmission systems, accounting for upfront capital costs and ongoing losses. The methodology compares high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) and high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission. HVDC was previously only attractive for very long distances due to converter costs, but voltage source converter (VSC) HVDC technology has increased its viability. The methodology is applied to evaluate options for connecting 6GW of UK offshore wind projects. Key factors in the analysis include wind farm capacity and availability factors, and how losses scale with output.
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AC or DC? Economics of Grid Connection Design For Offshore Wind Farms
This document discusses the economics of grid connection design options for offshore wind farms. It presents a methodology for evaluating the total economic costs of transmission systems, accounting for upfront capital costs and ongoing losses. The methodology compares high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) and high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission. HVDC was previously only attractive for very long distances due to converter costs, but voltage source converter (VSC) HVDC technology has increased its viability. The methodology is applied to evaluate options for connecting 6GW of UK offshore wind projects. Key factors in the analysis include wind farm capacity and availability factors, and how losses scale with output.
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AC or DC?
Economics of Grid Connection Design for Offshore
Wind Farms A.B. Morton*, S. Cowdroyt, J.R.A. HilIt, M. Hallidayt and G.D. Nicholsont *Econnect Australia Py Ltd, Melbourne, Australia (Tony. Morton@econnect . com) tEconnect Ltd, Hexham, Northumberland, UK Keywords: Power transmission economics, wind power gener ation, HVDC transmission, power system avail ability, offshore power systems. Abstract The design of collection and shorelink transmission systems for offshore wind farms raises unique technical and economic challenges. Study work and feld experience by Econnect and others shows that conventional onshore wind farm design prac- tices cannot be relied on to optimise the life-cycle economics of an offshore generation site. Assumptions about cost compo nents and project risks must be revised to refect the realities of the ofshore operating environment. Advances in HVDC technology using Voltage Source Convert ers (VSC) have increased the attractiveness of dc transmission for offshore connections. Numerous technical and commercial advantages arise from the use of dc cables and power electron ics, but these are offset by the high cost of the converter infras tructure, exacerbated by the additional costs of offshore plat forms. The economics of HVAC versus HVDC for ofshore connections thus requi res careful assessment. Similar care is requi red when evaluating novel network architectures such as offshore grid schemes, the costs and benefts of which are both signifcant. In this paper a comprehensive economic evaluation methodol ogy is described which accounts for emerging design options such as acfdc transmission and parti al redundancy. This has been applied by Econnect to the eval uation of 6GW of UK Round 2 ofshore projects. 1 Introduction The haessing of affordable and highly available renewable energy from wind generators located offshore has emerged in recent years as an attractive alterative to conventional land based wind farms. Particularly strong economic drivers for offshore wind exist in northern Europe and the UK, owing to a scarcity of land- based sites with planning permission and to favourable offshore wind regimes. However, offshore devel opments pose unique and signifcant challenges, and the fac tors underlying the best choice of associated grid connection infrastructure are not yet completely understood. 236 It has been estimated that the shorelink transmission system alone accounts for nearly 20 per cent of the cost of an offshore wind farm [3]. For this reason it is essential to opt imise the cost of the shorelink transmission system in order to maximise the economic viability of an ofshore project. Care is required in such an assessment due to the specific factors involved in an ofshore design, as it is not possible to simply translate land based design experience to this environment. The offshore context also brings into particul arly sharp contrast the distinc tion between conventional generators and variable generators, and the requirements they impose on the shorelink transmission system. In principle, the high charging currents associated with long ac cables make HVDC transmission an attractive alternative for shorelink cables serving offshore generation schemes. How ever, the high cost of the associated ac-c converter infrastruc ture, offshore pl atf orm space and switching losses has gener ally limited the attractiveness of HVDC to very large instal lations located a long distance ofshore. An important recent advance was the emergence in the late I 990s of 'HVDC Light' or 'VSC-HVDC' technology [1,5]. The use of voltage source converters (VSe) in these systems removed the need for an in dependent power source at the remote end to drive the switch ing devices, and made it possible to vary the reactive power in feed at will. New ofshore wind sites are being identifed at distances typ ically between 50km and lOOkm from the shore: precisely the range in which the break-even point between HVAC and HVDC is held to lie. However, the precise break-even dis tance will obviously vary from one installation to another. This points to t he need for a systematic method by which one can readily assess, given the key design parameters for an ofshore installation, the comparative merit of ac and de shorelink trans mission and the optimal values of other connection variables such as vol tage and cable size. This paper outlines a methodology that has been applied to the evaluation of grid connection options for the Round Two of shore wind farms in the UK \4]. Section 2 outlines the key equati ons of a general economic model. In Section : it is in dicated how these are used to evaluate two design innovations specifc to offshore wind: partial redundancy and the 'offshore gri d' concept. Section 4 presents the major results from Econ- The A, B and C factors for a simplifed model may then be nect's Round Two study. Conclusions are drawn in Section 5. written as 2 Evaluation Methodolog 2.1 Model Development Since the emergence of the frst high-voltage gri ds a century ago, it has been understood that tbe optimal design for a trans mi ssion system depends on a trade-off between the capital cost of the installation and the cost of operating losses. If the op tions to be considered involve differing levels of reliability, the value of the lost energy output that is restricted due to outages must also be taken into account. A recent paper [6) details the general economic model that fol lows from these considerations. In outline, the model calcu lates the total economic cost of a transmission system as p eEns 1 = 10 + AP.t + B II + 8766 (I) where 10 is the upfront cost of the installation, Pst is the stand ing loss in MW (the fxed loss), Pjl is the loss in MW at full output due to series resistive elements, En, is the energy not supplied in MWhly due 10 outages (assuming full production), and A, B, C are constants (in uni ts of MW) that express the monetary value of each unit of avoided loss. The factors A, Band C are calculated by equating two present values: that of the capital investment I necessary to save one unit of loss, and that of the revenue forgone if the investment is not made and that unit of loss is sustained. Symbol ically: (2) As long as the value PV rev for one MW of loss is greater than PV cap (I), there is an incentive to increase the investment I; the value of 1 that equalises these two present values is accord ingly the evaluation factor sought. Specifc formulae for PV cap (1) and PV rev depend on detailed fnancial considerations and vary across jurisdictions; [6] pro vides formulae specifc to the United States in 205. For pur poses of discussion, however, the essence of the model may be captured by making two simplifying assumptions: I. The present value of a capital investment I is, to a frst approximation, just [ itself. 2. The future value of generated energy is a fxe d amount per MWh, denoted Vg Similarly, if energy must be purchased to cover standing losses, the future value of purchased en ergy is a fixed amount Vp /MWh. Denoting by n the project lifetime in years, ri the interest rate and r d the discount rate, the present val ue in pounds of il saved each year for n years is N = ., (3) , .., 237 A = 8766 (!oNVg + (1 - /o)NVp) B = 8766/2NVg C = 8766/INVg (4) (5) (6) and depend on three key performance parameters of the wind farm: The wind availability factor /0, the proportion of time during which there is sufcient wind for the farm to gen erate power. The capacit factor !l, the ratio of mean annual power output to rated power output. The loss factor /2, the ratio of mean annual losses to losses at rated power output. Provided the turbines making up the wind farm have similar characteristics and face similar wind regimes, these perfor mance parameters and the other quanti ties determining A, B and C are independent of factors in the connection design, such as the size or number of shorelink cables. (For a discussion of the effect of constrained output, see Section 3.) The capacity factor /11 is equal to the mean per-unit output over a year, and is a number between 0 and I. Similarly, the loss fac tor /2 may be taken equal 10 the mean squared per-unit output over a year. It is important to understand that while i'l and !2 are closely related, it is not possible to calculate one from the other. Nonetheless, /2 will always fall within a range of values determined by /1: /1i : /2 <: /11 (7) The value of !2 is closer to the upper end of the range when the generator output is highly variable, and closer to the lower end of the range when the generator output varies little. 2.2 Model Refnement The model (1) is applicabl e 10 a shorelink transmission system design using ac cables. It must however be augmented when acldc converters are included in the design. This is because the main power losses in converters are not ohmic in nature, varying with current [rather than [2. The two major sources of 105s in converters are: forward conduction losses, equal to the product of device forward volt age with device current; and switching losses, equal to a certain proportion of the prod uct of on-state current with blocking voltage. In each case the voltage drop V that determines the loss is es sentially a fxed quanti ty, rather than increasing in proportion with current as Ohm's law would entail. Thus the losses V I are directly proportional to current I (or to power throughput) rather than to its square. Accordingly, for evaluation of HVDC alongside HVAC trans missi on systems the model (I) is augmented to En, J Jo APst BPtt + C 8766 + Penv (8) where Pev i s the converter loss in MW at full output. As be fore, Pft is the full-load loss associ ated with resistive elements such as cables and transformers. While the model (8) with predetermined val ues of A, Band C is recommended for technical evaluation of different connec tion options, different commercial arrangements for the con nection will affect the value of energy (Vg or Vp) and hence the values of A, Band C themselves. A particularly important consideration in the British context is the location of the me tering point for Renewable Obligation Certifcates (ROCs). If metering occurs at the wind generators themselves, the devel oper has a reduced interest in the losses, and would calculate the factors A and B (plus the C factor applied to converter losses) on essentially a zero value of Vg. Whereas if meter ing occurs onshore, Vg must i nclude the full value of generated energy throughout. 3 Partial Redundancy and Offshore Grids Land-based transmission grids are typically designed for 'full redundancy' operation. Because a conventional fossil-fuel gen erator operates close to full output most of the time, a restric tion on available connection capacity almost always means cur tailment of production and revenue loss. Conventional plant generally comprises a small number of large units that are tripped off for events such as breaker faults or transformer maintenance. As wind generators only generate at full output for some of the time. there is less risk that a capacity restriction will lead to sig nifcant loss of energy production; meanwhile, in an offshore environment the cost of carying redundant shorelink transmis sion capacity can be prohibitive. There is accordingly a re duced incentive for full-redundancy designs. Indeed, it is com mon for ofshore wind farm connections to be designed with no redundancy whatsoever; it is thought preferable to carry the risk of an extended outage due to plant failure than to bear the extra cost of two cables and two otfshore transformers. The authors in [6] also compare single-cable with dual-cable connections using the model (I) above, and conclude that the single-cable connection is more economic despite posing the potential risk of si gnifcant energy not being supplied. How ever, once again this is a 'full redundancy' desi gn: the com parison is between a single I I OM VA cable and two IlOMVA cables. An alternative that avoids this near doubling in installation cost is partial redundancy. Instead of one cable and one transformer rated for the full wind farm output, two cables and two trans formers are used. each rated for half the wind farm output and 238 capable of operation independent of the other. Thus, following a cable or transformer fault the wind farm can continue to oper ate, with the wind turbines remaining energised and capable of producing up to half maximum output. A partially redundant connection also avoids the risks of deterioration of plant left in an offshore environment without power for a prolonged pe riod, and allows lighting and other safety systems to continue to operate. The economic case for pari al redundancy can be tested using the model (8), via the factor CEns/8766 where Ens is the esti mated additional shorelink capacity in MWhfyr made available during outages. However, as explained in [6], a slightly dif ferent C value must be applied to this capacity. If Pmax is the full power rating of the wind farm, and output is constrained to c Pthax during an outage (where 0 < c < 1), then the additional energy actually provided is somewhat greater than illCPmax, because the wind turbines are not constrained when generating at lower wind speeds. Rather than ill, the constrained capac ity factor ill (c), calculated from a constrained power-duration curve, should be used. A typical wind generator power curve varies according to a cubic law between the cut-in wind speed UL (below which output is zero) and the 'rated' wind speed UH (above which output is Pmax). With output constrained to cPmax, the constrained capacity factor is the value of III found when the rated wind speed UH is replaced by the 'constrained rated wind speed' uc given by the cubic interpolation formula ( 3 ) 3) 1/3 UC " CH + (1 C UL . (9) It can be shown that)l (c) calculated from Uc is always greater than il calculated from UH A design with partial redundancy is particularly attractive for those wind farms that are of sufcient size as to require two collector platforms. In this case, one high-voltage cable is run from each platform to the shore, plus a short length of high voltage cable between the platforms. All cables are rated for half the wind farm output or greater. The overall cost com pares favourably with that of a single shorelink cable of twice the rating, and is only marginally greater than that when two shorelink cables must be run in any case due to cable size limi tations. (In the latter case the only additional cost is that of the short cable run between the offshore platforms, and associated switchgeaL) Partial redundancy can also be provided through an 'offshore grid' scheme. This involves the extension ofshore of the con ventional meshed transmison grid that now exists on land. This could potentially achieve much greater availability, but at the expense of providing entire new cable routes and coordi nated protection schemes. A detailed study of such a scheme has not yet been undertaken; such a study will require further extension of the economic model to account for the multidirec tional power fows in such a network. 4 Application to UK Round To Wind Farms As an example of the application of the methods described above, Econnect has undertaken an assessment of the grid con- nection costs for 6GW of ofshore wind farms in the UK, granted licences in the recent Round Two offer from the Crown Estates. These wind farms range from 64MW to 120MW in capacity and are grouped in three broad geographical areas: the Thames Estuary, the Greater Wash, and the northern Irish Sea. The necessary inputs to the economic evaluation process were sourced from consultations with wind farm developers, from quotes by high voltage equipment manufacturers and suppli ers, and from Econnect's own cost database, and were bench marked against actual construction estimates. The altematives studied included both HVAC and HVDe shorelink transmis sion installations, USing either air or gas insulated switchgear depending on environmental conditions. Both individual and joint connections to shore were considered, along with poten tial 'offshore grid' designs involving meshed offshore connec tions. As there are innumerable variations on location of off shore network nodes and connection points, only those that achieved minimum cost for a given network topology were considered. The option of overhead lines as an alternative to underwa ter cables was considered, due to the potential for substantial cost savings. However, this option was discounted owing to the practical disadvantages associated with overhead structures and pylons in a marine environment. Accordingly, the options assessed were dc cables at 150kV (the highest voltage avail able for VSC-HVDC at the time of the study), and ac cables at 132kV and 245kY. The 132kV level was chosen as bein g a standard for existing British transmission and distribution net works, and the 245kV insulation level as the highest three-core cable voltage in production at the time of the study. As indicated in the analysis above, the particular features of the offshore operating environment make partial redundancy desir able for the Round Two installations, even thou g h redundancy is uneconomic for onshore wind farms of a similar size. Ac cordingly, the various connection options (de versus ac, joint versus single connections) have been compared on the basis that all installations employ partial redundancy to ensure that the wind farm is still operational during a single cable outage. Figures I and 2 summarise the results for single connections, where each wind farm is connected to the shore by dedicated cables. Figure I plots the shorelink connection cost per MW against the wind farm size, while Figure 2 plots the cost against the length of the longest shorelink cable. Only the connection options found to be economically competitive have been shown in these plots. Figure 3 summarises the results for joint connections, in tbose cases where the relative proximity of two or three Round Two sites potentially makes a common shorelink connection less costly than separate individual connections. The graph com pares the cost of the joint connection with the combined cost of the optimal single connections. Again, only economically competitive connection options are shown. It is seen that in many cases, ajoint 245kV ac or HVDC connection is superior [a individual J2kV connections. 239 - Wnrarmsil,M Figure I: Single connection cost versus wind farm size ,so I o 0. Set132KVoplion I Bel24S,Vop!lon Bai HVOC option oo- L"rt c11'lh (km) Figure 2: Single connection cost versus shorelink cable length '" Betjon 132kV otin BH' jnt 245kV otIn 8sljOMVDC option '- Cm", inglo ennlnCI r ' (,OO) Figure 3: Joint connection cost versus combined sin g le con nection cost 5 Conclusion A methodology for the economic evaluation of offshore wind farm connection options has been described, which builds on that in [6] and explicitl y takes account of HYDC as a possible connection option. The method has been applied to the evaluation of UK Round Two offshore wind farm connections. The results indicate that for the sizes and distances to shore proposed, the cost of a 132kY ac connection generally does not exceed that of either a 245kY ac connection or a 150kY dc connection. The excep tions are two wind farms that are both larger and further from the shore than the rest, where the 245kY ac and HYDC options emerge as markedly superior. However, our overall conclu sion favours the 132kY ac connection option for the majority of sites, as the inherent risks are lower and developers are able to benefit from standard plant items that are in a more mature phase of development. Certain cases have been identifed in which a joint connection is more economic than individual connections. Such joint con nections, with an offshore point of common coupling, are a frst step toward the concept of an offshore grid; however, these connections remain radial in nature. Ofshore interconnections between wind farms to form a meshed grid are not considered economically justifable at this stage of offshore development, even though such connections may improve reliability and re duce losses. There are also numerous commercial and regula tory issues that must be resolved hefore practical joint connec tions can be pursued. Further investigations are warranted into tne economics of an offshore grid as the ofshore wind industry develops further. While the present analysis recommends in favour of 132kY ac connections for the majority of the UK Round Two wind farms, this is necessarily contingent on the current state of the 3r. It is likely that the cost of 245kY ac cable will reduce as it becomes more widely used, increasing the economic attractiveness of the higher-voltage option, particularl y where joint connections are warranted. The technology for YSC-HYDC is still in a state of fux, and it is possible that costs will be driven down signifcantly in fu ture through growth of the market and competition hetween manufacturers, as well as through ongoing advances in power electronic technology. We note however the theoretical possi bility that a three-core XPE cable rated for 150MW at 132kY ac can, if appropriately specifed at the outset, be converted to carry 250MW at 150kY dc in bipole confguration with a neutral conductor [2]. Wile further investigation is required into the precise design requirements, the option may exist to design a wind farm for the present-day optimal 132kY ac con- figuration, and later connect a second stage using the same ca ble infrastructure converted for HYDe. Although other aspects of wind farm electrical design, such as collector system optimisation, are outside the scope of this pa per, these are also open to study via the model proposed here. 240 Likewise, the possible interconnection of offshore wind instal lations with future marine renewables projects is a fruitful sub ject for further investigation, for which the present model and study results serve as a template. Acknowledgements The work leading to this paper was commissioned by the Re new abIes Advisory Board of the Department of Trade and In dustry (DTI), UK. References [1] Gunnar Asplund. Sustainable energy systems with HYDC transmission. Technical report, ABB Power Technologies, 2002. [2] Paulo Fischer de Toledo. Feasibility of HYDC for city in feed. Master's thesis, Royal Institute of Technology, Stock holm, Sweden, 203. [3] Paul Gardner. Offshore wind energy: Resources, technol ogy and grid connection. In First Interational Workshop on Feasibility of HVDC Transmission for Ofshore Wind Farms, Stockholm, March 2000. [4] Econnect Ltd. Study on the development of the ofshore grid for connection of the Round Two windfarms. Tech nical report, Renewables Advisory Board, Department of Trade and Industry, UK, 2004. [5] Anna-Karin Skytt, Per Holmberg, and Lars-Erik Juhlin. HYDC Light for connection of wind farms. In Second In terationai Workshop on Trnsmission Networks for Of shore Wind Farms, Stockholm, March 2001. [6] R.A. Walling and T Ruddy. Economic optimization of offshore windfarm substations and collection systems. In Fifth Interational Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power and Transmission Netorks for Ofshore Wind Farms, Glasgow, April 200S.