World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates: United States Department of Agriculture
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates: United States Department of Agriculture
Office of the
Chief Economist
WASDE - 500
November 9, 2011
WHEAT: U.S. wheat supplies for 2011/12 are lowered 9 million bushels based on updated
production estimates for the states resurveyed following the September 30 Small Grains report.
Adjustments to production in these states, where significant acreage remained unharvested in
early September, lowers production estimates for Hard Red Spring (HRS) wheat and durum. An
increase in white wheat production is partly offsetting. Projected use for 2011/12 is unchanged for
all wheat; however, domestic food use is projected higher for Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat and
lower for HRS wheat. Projected exports are raised for HRS and lowered for HRW. All wheat
ending stocks are lowered 9 million bushels in line with the production change. The seasonaverage farm price is projected lower at $7.05 to $7.75 per bushel compared with $7.10 to $7.90
last month, reflecting the latest reported prices.
Global wheat supplies for 2011/12 are projected 2.6 million tons higher mostly reflecting higher
production in Kazakhstan and EU-27. Kazakhstan production is raised 2.0 million tons as an
extended harvest period capped off a nearly ideal growing season, confirmed by the latest
government reports. EU-27 production is raised 1.2 million tons with further upward revisions for
France and Spain and higher reported production in the United Kingdom and Czech Republic.
Partly offsetting these increases is a 0.5-million-ton reduction for Argentina and 0.3-million-ton
reductions for both Algeria and Ethiopia.
World wheat trade is raised for 2011/12 with higher expected imports for China, a number of
African countries, including Morocco and Algeria, as well as for Brazil and several FSU-12
countries neighboring Kazakhstan. Partly offsetting is a reduction in projected imports for South
Korea where more corn feeding is expected. Exports are raised 1.0 million tons each for EU-27
and Russia reflecting larger supplies in EU-27 and the continued heavy pace of shipments from
Russia.
Global wheat consumption for 2011/12 is raised 2.4 million tons with increased feeding expected
for Kazakhstan, Brazil, and Serbia. Larger crops in Kazakhstan and Serbia support more wheat
feeding. Recent rains in southern Brazil have reduced wheat quality in some areas raising the
potential for more feeding. Higher consumption is also expected for EU-27, Ethiopia, Kenya, and
several smaller FSU-12 countries. Global ending stocks are projected 0.2 million tons higher.
Rising stocks in Kazakhstan, China, and Morocco are partly offset by reductions in major exporting
countries including Russia, Argentina, and EU-27.
COARSE GRAINS: U.S. feed grain supplies for 2011/12 are projected lower with reduced corn
and oats production more than offsetting small increases for sorghum and barley. Corn production
for 2011/12 is forecast 123 million bushels lower with the national average yield forecast 1.4
bushels per acre below last month. At 146.7 bushels per acre, this years yield would be the
lowest since 2003/04. Feed and residual use is lowered 100 million bushels with the smaller crop
and further reductions in the outlook for broiler production. Projected U.S. ending stocks are
lowered 23 million bushels. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $6.20 to $7.20 per
bushel.
WASDE-500-2
Other 2011/12 changes include small adjustments to projected ending stocks for sorghum, barley,
and oats, reflecting this months production changes. Projected sorghum exports are reduced 10
million bushels as sales and shipments continue to lag earlier expectations. A 10-million-bushel
increase in expected sorghum food, seed, and industrial use is offsetting. Projected farm prices for
sorghum are unchanged, but projected ranges are narrowed for barley and oats, and the barley
farm price is projected lower based on reported malting barley prices.
Changes for 2010/11 corn mostly reflect a 13-million-bushel increase in food, seed, and industrial
use with usage raised for sweeteners, starch, and ethanol, all based on the latest available data.
In addition, there are small adjustments to imports and exports based on August trade data from
the U.S. Census Bureau. These changes reduce 2010/11 feed and residual use 11 million
bushels.
Global coarse grain supplies for 2011/12 are projected slightly lower with reduced U.S. corn
production and lower EU-27 rye production more than offsetting higher Argentina sorghum
production, higher EU-27 corn, barley, oats production, and higher Kazakhstan barley production.
Corn production is lowered for a number of countries with the biggest reduction for Mexico where
production is lowered 3.5 million tons. A late start to the summer rainy season and an early
September freeze in parts of the southern plateau corn belt reduced yields for Mexicos summer
crop. Lower expected area for the winter crop, which will be planted in November and December,
also reduces 2011/12 corn production prospects. Reservoir levels are well below those necessary
to sustain a normal seasonal draw down in the northwestern corn areas which normally account for
70 to 80 percent of Mexicos winter corn crop.
Increases in 2011/12 corn production for a number of countries partly offset reductions in Mexico,
the United States, and Serbia. Corn production is raised 2.5 million tons for China with increases
in both area and yields in line with the latest indications from the China National Grain and Oils
Information Center. EU-27 corn production is raised 1.9 million tons mostly reflecting higher
reported output in France, Romania, and Austria. Argentina production is raised 1.5 million tons
with higher expected area. FSU-12 production is raised 0.7 million tons with higher reported yields
in Belarus and Russia. There are also a number of production changes this month to corn and
sorghum production in Sub-Saharan Africa which reduce coarse grain production for the region.
World coarse grain trade for 2011/12 is raised with increased global imports and exports of barley
and corn. Barley imports are raised for Algeria, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan with exports increased
for EU-27 and Russia. Corn imports are increased for China, Mexico, and South Korea. Higher
expected corn exports from Argentina and EU-27 support these increases. Higher sorghum
exports from Argentina offset the reduction in expected U.S. sorghum shipments. Global corn
consumption is mostly unchanged with higher industrial use and feeding in China and higher corn
feeding in EU-27 and South Korea offsetting reductions in Mexico and the United States. Global
corn ending stocks are projected 1.6 million tons lower with reductions in EU-27, Mexico, Brazil,
and the United States outweighing increases for China and Argentina.
RICE: U.S. all rice production in 2011/12 is forecast at 188.1 million cwt, 1.2 million above last
month due to an increase in yield. Average all rice yield is estimated at 7,167 pounds per acre, up
44 pounds from last month, and the second highest yield on record. Harvested area is unchanged
at 2.62 million acres. Long-grain rice production is raised 0.7 million cwt to 117.5 million, while
combined medium- and short-grain production is increased 0.4 million to 70.6 million. No changes
are made to rice use for either all rice or the rice by-class forecasts. All rice domestic and residual
WASDE-500-3
use is forecast at 127.0 million cwt, and all rice exports are forecast at 91.0 million, both down from
a year ago. All rice ending stocks are forecast at 37.5 million cwt, up 1.2 million from a month ago,
and a decrease of 10.9 million from the previous year.
The long-grain, combined medium- and short-grain, and all rice 2011/12 season-average farm
price forecasts are unchanged from last month at $13.50 to $14.50 per cwt, $15.50 to $16.50 per
cwt, and $14.00 to $15.00 per cwt, respectively.
Global 2011/12 rice supply and use are lowered from a month ago. World 2011/12 production is
forecast at a record 461.0 million tons, down 0.4 million from last month due mainly to decreases
for Burma, Cambodia, Laos, and Thailand, which are partially offset by an increase for China.
Thailands 2011/12 rice crop is lowered nearly a million tons as losses in the main-season crop
from recent flooding are partially offset by an expected re-planting of some of the main season
crop in the Northern Region along with an expected record dry-season crop. Flooding also
lowered crop prospects in Burma, Cambodia, and Laos. Chinas 2011/12 crop is raised 2.0 million
tons to a record 141.0 million, due to an increase in harvested area. Harvested area is increased
based on recent indications from the government of China. The increase in global consumption is
due mostly to an increase for China. Global exports are lowered slightly due to reductions for
Burma and Cambodia, which are partially offset by increases for Argentina and Brazil. Global
ending stocks for 2011/12 are projected at 100.6 million tons, down 0.8 million from last month, but
an increase of 2.6 million from the previous year.
OILSEEDS: Total U.S. oilseed production for 2011/12 is projected at 91.2 million tons, down 0.5
million from last month due to lower soybean and cottonseed production. Soybean production is
forecast at 3.046 billion bushels, down 14 million from last month. The soybean yield is forecast
at 41.3 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushels from last month. Soybean exports are reduced 50
million bushels to 1.325 billion mainly due to a slow export sales pace through October.
Soybean ending stocks are projected at 195 million bushels, up 35 million from last month.
Soybean oil ending stocks and exports for 2011/12 are reduced this month due to lower
beginning stocks resulting from changes in the 2010/11 soybean oil balance sheet. Changes for
2010/11 include reduced soybean oil production and ending stocks. These changes are based
on industry indications of soybean crush and soybean oil stocks. Soybean meal production and
domestic use for 2010/11 are also reduced due to lower October-September year crush.
Soybean meal changes for 2011/12 include reduced domestic use and higher exports.
The U.S. season-average soybean price range is projected at $11.60 to $13.60 per bushel, down
55 cents on both ends of the range. The soybean meal price is projected at $310 to $340 per
short ton, down $25.00 on both ends of the range. The soybean oil price range is projected at 53
to 57 cents per pound, unchanged from last month.
Global oilseed production for 2011/12 is projected at 454.8 million tons, up 1.3 million tons from
last month. Global soybean production accounts for a quarter of the increase with larger crops
projected for Brazil, Paraguay, and Mexico. Brazil soybean production is increased 1.5 million
tons to 75 million with improved yield prospects related to rapid planting progress and good early
season moisture throughout the country. These gains are partly offset by lower production
projected for Argentina, which is reduced 1 million tons to 52 million due to reduced area as
producers shift to corn. Global sunflowerseed production is raised due to larger crops in
Ukraine, EU-27, and Argentina. Increased yields are projected for Ukraine as harvest nears
WASDE-500-4
completion. Other changes include increased rapeseed production for EU-27, increased
cottonseed production for Turkey, and increased palm oil production for Malaysia.
Global oilseed trade is projected at 113.3 million tons, down 0.8 million. Reduced soybean
exports for the United States and Argentina are only partly offset by increases for Brazil and
Paraguay. Soybean imports are reduced for Japan and Russia. Global oilseed crush is reduced
0.2 million tons to 389.1 million with reduced soybean crush in Argentina partly offset by
increased sunflowerseed crush in Ukraine. Global oilseed ending stocks for 2011/12 are raised
0.9 million tons to 73.9 million. Soybeans account for most of the change with increased stocks
for the United States and China more than offsetting lower stocks in Argentina and Japan.
SUGAR: Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal year 2011/12 is increased from last month, as
higher beginning stocks and imports more than offset lower production. Sugar production is
decreased 50,000 tons, based on lower forecast U.S. sugarbeet production. Imports from Mexico
are increased based on increased supplies (higher beginning stocks and increased tariff rate quota
imports) and reduced consumption and ending stocks in Mexico.
This month=s 2010/11 U.S. sugar supply and demand reflect final estimates of stocks, production,
and use in Farm Service Agencys Sweetener Market Data report and final import data from the
Foreign Agricultural Service. Ending stocks are modestly higher than estimated last month.
Mexico=s government data for fiscal-year 2010/11 are the basis for decreasing imports and
domestic use and increasing ending stocks.
Note: Beginning this month, sugar supply and use data in the WASDE report will be shown in
Aactual weight.@ The WASDE report will continue to show U.S. sugar supply and use, including
imports from Mexico, in raw value. Raw value for Mexico sugar converts from actual weight by
multiplying by 1.06. The Foreign Agricultural Service will continue to report world sugar supply and
use, including for Mexico, in raw value.
LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: The 2012 forecast of total red meat and poultry production
is reduced from last month. Beef production is reduced due to slightly lower cattle slaughter during
the year and slower growth in carcass weights. Broiler production is forecast lower as sharper
declines are expected in bird numbers during late 2011 and into 2012. Turkey production is raised
as prices are expected to favor expansion during 2012. Pork production is unchanged. For 2011,
beef and broiler production forecasts are reduced, but pork and turkey production is increased.
Egg production is forecast higher in the last quarter of 2011 and for 2012.
The beef import forecast is raised slightly for 2011. Beef export forecasts for 2011 and 2012 are
raised slightly as strong global beef demand supports continued gains in U.S. exports to a number
of Asian markets. Small changes are made to U.S. pork imports for 2011 and 2012 and pork
exports for 2011. Broiler exports are raised for 2011 and 2012 on strong demand in a number of
countries and a relatively weak dollar.
Cattle prices are forecast higher for the remainder of 2011 and through 2012. Strong demand is
expected to carry into next year along with tight cattle supplies. Hog prices are raised for 2011 and
2012 on demand strength and support from lower beef and broiler production. Broiler prices are
lowered for the last quarter of 2011 and the first quarter of 2012 as weakness in domestic demand
and current overhanging supplies pressure prices.
WASDE-500-5
Milk production forecasts for 2011 and 2012 are unchanged from last month. Commercial exports
are forecast higher for 2011. Fat and skim-solids ending stocks for 2011 are lowered.
Cheese, butter, and whey prices are forecast higher for both 2011 and 2012, but the nonfat dry
milk (NDM) price forecast is reduced for 2011 and unchanged for 2012. Class III prices are raised
for 2011 and 2012 on the increased price forecast for cheese and whey. The Class IV price is
unchanged for 2011 as the higher butter price is mostly offset by a lower NDM price forecast.
However, for 2012 with an unchanged NDM price forecast, the Class IV price forecast is raised
due to higher butter prices. The all milk price is forecast at $20.10 to $20.20 per cwt for 2011, and
$18.05 to $18.95 per cwt for 2012.
COTTON: The 2011/12 U.S. cotton supply and demand estimates show lower production,
exports, and ending stocks this month. Production is reduced 308,000 bales due to decreases in
Texas and the Southeast. Domestic mill use is unchanged from last month, but exports are
reduced 200,000 bales. Ending stocks are lowered to 3.8 million bales, representing a stocks-touse ratio of 25 percent. The forecast marketing-year average price received by producers of 84 to
96 cents per pound is reduced 3.5 cents on the lower end and 6.5 cents on the upper end of the
range, reflecting recent market trends.
The 2011/12 world cotton forecasts include higher beginning stocks offset by lower production.
Beginning stocks are raised due mainly to adjustments in Turkmenistan for prior years. World
production is lowered slightly, as reductions for the United States and Argentina more than offset
an increase for Turkey. World consumption and trade are reduced marginally, with world ending
stocks virtually unchanged.
Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook
Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity
Estimates Committees.
APPROVED BY:
KATHLEEN A. MERRIGAN
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE
WASDE-500-6
Note: The World Agricultural Outlook Board reviews and approves the World Agricultural Supply and
Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. The Boards analysts chair the Interagency Commodity
Estimates Committees (ICECs) that prepare the monthly report.
WASDE-500-7
T A B L E OF C O N T E N T S
Page
Highlights ............................................................................................................... 1
Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees ..................................................... 6
World & U.S. Supply & Use for Grains ................................................................... 8
World & U.S. Supply & Use for Cotton ................................................................... 9
World & U.S. Supply & Use for Oilseeds .............................................................. 10
U.S. Wheat Supply & Use .................................................................................... 11
U.S. Wheat Supply & Use by Class ..................................................................... 11
U.S. Feed Grain & Corn Supply & Use ................................................................ 12
U.S. Sorghum, Barley & Oats Supply & Use ........................................................ 13
U.S. Rice Supply & Use ....................................................................................... 14
U.S. Soybeans & Products Supply & Use ............................................................ 15
U.S. Sugar Supply & Use ..................................................................................... 16
Mexico Sugar Supply and Use ............................................................................. 16
U.S. Cotton Supply & Use .................................................................................... 17
World Wheat Supply & Use.................................................................................. 18
World Coarse Grains Supply & Use ..................................................................... 20
World Corn Supply & Use .................................................................................... 22
World Rice Supply & Use ..................................................................................... 24
World Cotton Supply & Use ................................................................................. 26
World Soybean Supply & Use .............................................................................. 28
World Soybean Meal Supply & Use ..................................................................... 29
World Soybean Oil Supply & Use......................................................................... 30
U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production ........................................................... 31
U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products ........................................................... 31
U.S. Meats Supply and Use ................................................................................. 32
U.S. Egg Supply & Use ........................................................................................ 33
U.S. Milk Supply and Use .................................................................................... 33
U.S. Dairy Prices ................................................................................................. 34
Reliability Tables ................................................................................................. 35
Related USDA Reports ........................................................................................ 38
Metric Conversion Factors ................................................................................... 38
Electronic Access and Subscriptions ....................................................................... 40
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 8
World and U.S Supply and Use for Grains 1/
Million Metric Tons
Output
Total
Supply
Trade 2/
Total
Use
Ending
Stocks
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2241.13
2200.29
2693.64
2690.88
289.94
280.31
2203.05
2228.69
490.59
462.18
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2278.86
2280.08
2740.46
2742.26
285.40
289.05
2280.70
2283.97
459.76
458.29
World
Total Grains 3/
Wheat
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
684.31
648.70
851.40
849.60
135.80
131.37
650.50
653.48
200.91
196.13
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
681.20
683.30
876.80
879.43
135.30
137.30
674.43
676.83
202.37
202.60
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
1116.30
1100.37
1310.18
1295.86
122.94
115.25
1114.69
1127.74
195.49
168.12
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
1136.28
1135.82
1304.46
1303.94
117.14
118.87
1148.48
1148.82
155.98
155.12
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
440.53
451.22
532.06
545.42
31.19
33.68
437.86
447.48
94.20
97.94
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
461.39
460.95
559.20
558.89
32.96
32.88
457.78
458.33
101.41
100.57
filler
filler
filler
Total Grains 3/
Wheat
filler
Trade 2/
Ending
Stocks
82.11
89.19
330.33
333.02
75.87
57.28
Output
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
416.25
397.89
488.31
479.49
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
386.97
383.71
450.41
447.16
72.90
72.65
329.07
326.78
48.44
47.73
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
60.37
60.06
81.46
89.25
23.93
35.08
30.98
30.71
26.55
23.47
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
54.65
54.41
81.38
81.15
26.54
26.54
32.07
32.07
22.78
22.55
filler
Total
Use
Total
Supply
United States
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
348.76
330.23
398.13
380.88
54.66
50.63
295.34
297.95
48.13
32.30
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
326.32
323.27
360.92
357.86
43.45
43.20
292.97
290.69
24.49
23.98
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
7.13
7.59
8.71
9.36
3.51
3.49
4.02
4.36
1.18
1.51
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
6.00
6.04
8.12
8.15
2.92
2.92
4.03
4.03
1.17
1.21
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of
export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and
mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains).
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 9
World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/
Million Metric Tons
Output
Total
Supply
Trade 2/
Total
Use
Ending
Stocks
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
1,824.88
1,802.40
2,205.33
2,211.38
207.83
191.12
1,872.72
1,895.68
414.72
404.90
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
1,891.89
1,896.36
2,290.04
2,295.10
212.49
216.40
1,951.63
1,957.19
411.32
410.56
Foreign 3/
Total Grains 4/
Wheat
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
623.94
588.64
769.94
760.35
111.87
96.30
619.52
622.77
174.35
172.66
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
626.55
628.89
795.42
798.28
108.76
110.76
642.37
644.76
179.58
180.06
Rice, milled
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
767.54
770.14
912.04
914.97
68.28
64.62
819.35
829.79
147.35
135.81
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
809.95
812.56
943.54
946.08
73.70
75.68
855.51
858.13
131.49
131.15
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
433.39
443.62
523.34
536.06
27.68
30.20
433.84
443.12
93.02
96.42
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
455.40
454.92
551.08
550.74
30.04
29.96
453.76
454.30
100.25
99.36
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of
export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice.
5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains.
World
United States
Foreign 3/
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Output
Total
Supply
Trade 2/
Total
Use
Ending
Stocks
101.63
115.28
124.19
123.89
12.19
18.10
16.61
16.30
89.44
97.17
107.58
107.59
162.43
159.52
169.05
169.11
18.53
21.06
19.22
18.91
143.91
138.46
149.83
150.20
35.60
35.57
36.51
36.33
12.04
14.38
11.50
11.30
23.56
21.20
25.01
25.03
119.11
114.35
114.38
114.27
3.55
3.90
3.80
3.80
115.56
110.45
110.58
110.47
44.24
45.22
54.83
54.96
2.95
2.60
3.90
3.80
41.29
42.62
50.93
51.16
1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States.
See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 10
World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/
(Million Metric Tons)
World
Oilseeds
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oilmeals
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Vegetable Oils 2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
United States
Oilseeds
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oilmeals
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Vegetable Oils 2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Foreign 3/
Oilseeds
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oilmeals
2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Vegetable Oils 2009/10
2010/11 (Est.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
2011/12 (Proj.)
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Output
Total
Supply
Trade
Total
Use 2/
Ending
Stocks
442.68
453.14
453.47
454.79
243.68
256.43
265.86
266.01
140.23
146.65
151.61
152.07
497.66
524.35
533.49
533.72
250.18
264.37
274.83
275.67
153.36
159.74
163.32
164.27
108.07
107.76
114.07
113.31
72.00
76.90
79.49
79.80
58.13
59.81
62.97
62.47
357.49
375.25
389.27
389.05
238.51
251.23
260.49
260.46
137.71
144.32
149.98
149.89
71.21
78.93
73.02
73.90
7.95
9.66
9.69
10.39
13.09
12.20
10.79
11.76
Output
Total
Supply
Trade
Total
/Use 2
Ending
Stocks
98.90
100.38
91.62
91.15
40.08
38.07
37.56
37.56
10.07
9.79
9.61
9.61
105.59
106.87
100.26
99.78
41.67
40.68
40.12
40.21
15.14
15.38
15.16
15.02
41.69
41.83
38.19
36.83
10.30
8.50
7.96
8.19
1.95
1.87
1.21
1.05
51.49
49.34
48.61
48.61
31.02
31.81
31.82
31.69
11.20
11.90
12.57
12.64
5.55
7.30
5.39
6.36
0.34
0.38
0.34
0.34
1.99
1.61
1.38
1.33
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
Output
Total
Supply
Trade
Total
/Use 2
Ending
Stocks
343.78
352.76
361.85
363.64
203.60
218.36
228.30
228.45
130.17
136.86
142.01
142.46
392.07
417.48
433.23
433.94
208.51
223.69
234.71
235.46
138.21
144.36
148.17
149.25
66.38
65.92
75.88
76.48
61.70
68.40
71.53
71.61
56.19
57.94
61.76
61.42
306.00
325.91
340.66
340.44
207.49
219.42
228.66
228.77
126.51
132.43
137.41
137.24
65.66
71.63
67.63
67.54
7.61
9.28
9.35
10.05
11.10
10.59
9.41
10.44
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total
foreign is equal to world minus United States.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 11
U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/
2009/10
Area Planted
Area Harvested
59.2
49.9
44.5
Beginning Stocks
Production
Imports
Supply, Total
Food
Seed
Feed and Residual
Domestic, Total
Exports
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
CCC Inventory
Free Stocks
Outstanding Loans
Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/
657
2,218
119
2,993
919
69
150
1,138
879
2,018
976
0
976
51
4.87
2010/11 Est.
2011/12 Proj.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
Nov
Million Acres
53.6
54.4
47.6
45.7
Bushels
46.3
43.9
Million Bushels
976
862
2,207
2,008
97
120
3,279
2,990
926
940
71
78
132
160
1,128
1,178
1,289
975
2,417
2,153
862
837
0
0
862
837
15
10
5.70
7.10 - 7.90
54.4
45.7
43.7
862
1,999
120
2,982
940
78
160
1,178
975
2,153
828
0
828
10
7.05 - 7.75
Hard
Winter
Hard
Spring
Soft
Red
385
234
242
80
35
976
1,018
570
237
275
106
2,207
White
Durum
Total
1,404
832
508
362
173
3,279
403
308
228
95
95
1,128
616
339
109
182
43
1,289
1,018
647
337
277
138
2,417
386
185
171
85
35
862
386
185
171
85
35
862
780
398
458
314
50
1,999
1,167
623
654
408
131
2,982
449
244
285
116
85
1,178
400
250
125
180
20
975
849
494
410
296
105
2,153
Nov
318
129
244
112
26
828
Oct
298
157
244
111
28
837
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price
received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 12
U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/
FEED GRAINS
Area Planted
Area Harvested
Yield per Harvested Acre
Beginning Stocks
Production
Imports
Supply, Total
Feed and Residual
Food Seed & Industrial
Domestic, Total
Exports
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
CCC Inventory
Free Stocks
Outstanding Loans
2009/10
100.0
89.5
3.89
47.0
348.6
2.2
397.8
136.7
158.3
295.1
54.7
349.7
48.1
0.0
48.1
3.9
10/2009
2010/11 Est.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
Million Acres
99.6
102.4
90.0
91.5
Metric Tons
3.67
3.56
Million Metric Tons
48.1
32.3
330.0
326.2
2.4
2.2
380.5
360.6
127.7
123.2
170.0
169.4
297.6
292.7
50.6
43.4
348.2
336.1
32.3
24.5
0.0
0.0
32.3
24.5
1.3
2.6
.Est 11/2010
2011/12 Proj.
Nov
102.4
91.5
3.53
32.3
323.1
2.2
357.5
120.7
169.7
290.4
43.2
333.6
24.0
0.0
24.0
2.6
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
October
November
CORN
Area Planted
Area Harvested
Yield per Harvested Acre
Beginning Stocks
Production
Imports
Supply, Total
Feed and Residual
Food, Seed & Industrial 2/
Ethanol & by-products 3/
Domestic, Total
Exports
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
CCC Inventory
Free Stocks
Outstanding Loans
Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 4/
86.4
79.5
164.7
1,673
13,092
8
14,774
5,125
5,961
4,591
11,086
1,980
13,066
1,708
0
1,708
147
3.55
Million Acres
88.2
91.9
81.4
83.9
Bushels
152.8
148.1
Million Bushels
1,708
1,128
12,447
12,433
28
15
14,182
13,576
4,792
4,700
6,428
6,410
5,021
5,000
11,220
11,110
1,835
1,600
13,054
12,710
1,128
866
0
0
1,128
866
48
100
5.18
6.20 - 7.20
91.9
83.9
146.7
1,128
12,310
15
13,453
4,600
6,410
5,000
11,010
1,600
12,610
843
0
843
100
6.20 - 7.20
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for
barley and oats. 2/ For a breakout of FSI corn uses, see Feed Outlook table 5 or access the data on the Web through the
Feed Grains Database at www.ers.usda.gov/data/feedgrains. 3/ Corn used to produce ethanol and by-products including
distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, corn gluten meal, and corn oil. 4/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by
farmers.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 13
U.S. Sorghum, Barley, and Oats Supply and Use 1/
SORGHUM
2009/10
2010/11 Est.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
2011/12 Proj.
Nov
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
6.6
5.5
69.4
55
383
0
438
141
90
231
166
396
41
3.22
5.4
4.8
71.8
41
345
0
387
124
85
209
150
359
27
5.02
5.5
4.4
55.0
27
244
0
271
65
80
145
100
245
26
6.00 - 7.00
5.5
4.4
55.5
27
246
0
273
65
90
155
90
245
28
6.00 - 7.00
Million Bushels
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
10/2009
.Est 11/2010
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
BARLEY
October
Filler
November
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
3.6
3.1
73.0
89
227
17
333
48
164
211
6
217
115
4.66
2.9
2.5
73.1
115
180
9
305
50
159
208
8
216
89
3.86
2.6
2.2
69.2
89
155
10
254
30
160
190
10
200
54
5.30 - 6.30
2.6
2.2
69.6
89
156
10
255
30
160
190
10
200
55
5.35 - 6.05
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
10/2009
.Est 11/2010
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
October
November
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
3.4
1.4
67.5
84
93
95
272
115
74
190
2
192
80
2.02
3.1
1.3
64.3
80
81
85
247
102
74
176
3
179
68
2.52
2.5
0.9
57.5
68
54
90
212
90
76
166
3
169
43
3.10 - 3.70
2.5
0.9
57.1
68
54
90
211
90
76
166
3
169
42
3.15 - 3.65
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
OATS
Filler
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and
oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 14
U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/
(Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice)
TOTAL RICE
Area Planted
Area Harvested
2009/10
3.14
3.10
Filler
7,085
Beginning Stocks 2/
Production
Imports
Supply, Total
Domestic & Residual 3/
Exports, Total 4/
Rough
Milled (rough equiv.)
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
Avg. Milling Yield (%) 5/
Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt) 6/
30.4
219.9
19.0
269.3
124.5
108.3
40.4
68.0
232.8
36.5
71.53
14.40
2010/11 Est.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
Million Acres
3.64
2.69
3.62
2.62
Pounds
6,725
7,123
Million Hundredweight
36.5
48.5
243.1
186.9
18.3
19.0
297.9
254.4
137.8
127.0
111.6
91.0
34.9
34.0
76.8
57.0
249.5
218.0
48.5
36.4
68.86
70.75
12.70
14.00 - 15.00
2011/12 Proj.
Nov
2.69
2.62
7,167
48.5
188.1
19.0
255.5
127.0
91.0
34.0
57.0
218.0
37.5
70.75
14.00 - 15.00
Total
10/2009
.Est 11/2010
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
October
November
LONG-GRAIN RICE
Harvested Acres (mil.)
Filler
Yield (pounds/acre)
Beginning Stocks
Production
Supply, Total 7/
Domestic & Residual 3/
Exports 8/
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt) 6/
Filler
Yield (pounds/acre)
Beginning Stocks
Production
Supply, Total 7/
Domestic & Residual 3/
Exports 8/
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt) 6/
Filler
2.27
2.83
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
6,743
20.0
152.7
189.3
91.9
74.3
166.2
23.0
12.90
6,486
23.0
183.3
222.2
108.5
78.0
186.5
35.6
11.10
35.6
116.8
168.9
92.0
60.0
152.0
16.9
13.50 - 14.50
35.6
117.5
169.6
92.0
60.0
152.0
17.6
13.50 - 14.50
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
10/2009
.Est 11/2010
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
October
November
0.84
0.79
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
8,010
8.0
67.1
78.6
32.5
34.0
66.6
12.0
18.40
7,580
12.0
59.8
73.1
29.4
33.6
63.0
10.1
18.40
10.1
70.1
82.8
35.0
31.0
66.0
16.8
15.50 - 16.50
10.1
70.6
83.2
35.0
31.0
66.0
17.2
15.50 - 16.50
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice
(type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2009/10-2.4; 2010/11-1.4; 2011/12-2.7. 3/ Residual
includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens
between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough
basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. Data
supplied by the USA Rice Federation. The 2011/12 milling yield is calculated using the previous three-year average, excluding 2010/11, i.e.
2007/08-2009/10. 6/ Includes imports. 7/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 15
U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/
SOYBEANS
Filler
2009/10
2010/11 Est.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
2011/12 Proj.
Nov
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
77.5
76.4
Million Acres
77.4
76.6
75.0
73.7
75.0
73.7
44.0
Bushels
43.5
41.5
41.3
Beginning Stocks
Production
Imports
Supply, Total
Crushings
Exports
Seed
Residual
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/
138
3,359
15
3,512
1,752
1,499
90
20
3,361
151
9.59
151
3,329
14
3,495
1,648
1,501
87
43
3,280
215
11.30
215
3,060
15
3,290
1,635
1,375
88
32
3,130
160
12.15 - 14.15
215
3,046
15
3,275
1,635
1,325
88
32
3,080
195
11.60 - 13.60
10/2009
.Est 11/2010
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
October
November
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Million Pounds
3,406
2,816
18,888
18,670
160
185
22,454
21,671
16,779
17,700
2,550
3,600
14,229
14,100
3,250
1,800
20,029
19,500
2,425
2,171
53.20
53.00 - 57.00
2,425
18,670
185
21,280
17,700
3,600
14,100
1,500
19,200
2,080
53.00 - 57.00
Area Planted
Area Harvested
Filler
Million Bushels
Total
SOYBEAN OIL
Filler
Beginning Stocks
Production 4/
Imports
Supply, Total
Domestic
Methyl Ester
Food, Feed & other Industrial 3/
Exports
Use, Total
Ending stocks
Avg. Farm Price (c/lb) 2/
2,861
19,615
103
22,578
15,814
1,680
14,134
3,359
19,173
3,406
35.95
Total
10/2009
.Est 11/2010
.Proj 12/2011
.Proj 12/2011
October
November
350
38,835
165
39,350
30,250
8,800
39,050
300
310.00 - 340.00
SOYBEAN MEAL
Filler
Beginning Stocks
Production 4/
Imports
Supply, Total
Domestic
Exports
Use, Total
Ending Stocks
Avg. Farm Price ($/s.t.) 2/
235
41,707
160
42,101
30,640
11,160
41,800
302
311.27
Total
Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and soybean
meal. 2/ Prices: soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; meal,
simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ "Other" includes all non-methyl ester industrial use. 4/ Based on October-year crush of 1,633 million
bushels for crop year 2010/11.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 16
U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/
2009/10
2010/11 Est.
Filler
Filler
Filler
2011/12 Proj.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
Nov
Filler
Filler
1,418
7,935
4,575
3,360
1,630
170
1,400
160
3,151
1,636
350
1,165
1,155
12,504
1,487
7,885
4,525
3,360
1,630
170
1,400
160
3,456
1,520
350
1,586
1,581
12,828
200
11,415
11,225
190
0
11,615
889
7.7
200
11,415
11,225
190
0
11,615
1,213
10.4
Beginning Stocks
Production 2/
Beet Sugar
Cane Sugar
Florida
Hawaii
Louisiana
Texas
Imports
TRQ 3/
Other Program 4/
Other 5/
Mexico
Total Supply
1,534
7,963
4,575
3,388
1,646
161
1,469
112
3,318
1,854
450
1,014
807
12,815
Exports
Deliveries
Food 6/
Other 7/
Miscellaneous
Total Use
Ending Stocks
Stocks to Use Ratio
211
11,106
10,870
236
0
11,317
1,498
13.2
248
11,298
11,069
229
0
11,546
1,487
12.9
Total
1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Historical data are from FSA "Sweetener Market Data". 2/ Production projections for 2011/12
are based on Crop Production, trend recovery rates, and processor projections where appropriate. 3/ For 2010/11, shortfall (187).
For 2011/12, shortfall (132). 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ For 2009/10, other hightier (207) and other (0). For 2010/11, other high-tier (19) and other (0). For 2011/12, other high-tier (5) and other (0).
6/Combines SMD deliveries for domestic human food use and SMD miscellaneous uses. 7/ Transfers to sugar-containing
products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed.
Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Sugar
Imports
Domestic 2/
Exports
Ending
Stocks
2010/11 Est.
2010/11 Est.
Oct
Nov
918
918
5,184
5,184
370
316
4,340
4,189
1,453
1,469
679
760
2011/12 Proj.
2011/12 Proj.
Oct
Nov
679
760
5,330
5,330
255
449
4,370
4,295
995
1,361
899
883
1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2009/10 = 927,203; Oct-Aug 2009/10 = 834,385; OctAug 2010/11 = 963,228. Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2/Includes domestic consumption, Mexico's products export
program (IMMEX), and any residual statistical discrepancies.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 17
U.S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/
Filler
Area
Planted
Harvested
2009/10
2010/011 Est.
Filler
Filler
9.15
7.53
2011/012 Proj.
2011/012 Proj.
Oct
Nov
Filler
Filler
14.72
9.85
14.72
9.85
809
794
2.60
16.61
0.01
19.22
3.80
11.50
15.30
0.02
3.90
87.5 - 102.5
2.60
16.30
0.01
18.91
3.80
11.30
15.10
0.01
3.80
84.0 - 96.0
Million Acres
10.97
10.70
Filler
777
Pounds
812
Million 480 Pound Bales
Beginning Stocks 2/
Production
Imports
Supply, Total
Domestic Use
Exports, Total
Use, Total
Unaccounted 3/
Ending Stocks
Avg. Farm Price 4/
6.34
12.19
0.00
18.53
3.55
12.04
15.59
-0.01
2.95
62.9
2.95
18.10
0.01
21.06
3.90
14.38
18.28
0.18
2.60
81.5
Total
Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1.
Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data for 2009/10 and 2010/11; estimated
thereafter. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks. 4/ Cents
per pound for upland cotton.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 18
World Wheat Supply and Use 1/
(Million Metric Tons)
Beginning
Stocks
167.10
17.87
149.23
30.16
1.29
3.39
6.55
18.94
70.90
1.53
45.80
7.31
9.22
2.69
2.71
Domestic
Feed
115.66
4.08
111.58
61.65
0.03
1.90
2.22
57.50
18.19
0.40
10.00
1.70
2.85
0.40
2.04
Domestic
Total 2/
650.50
30.98
619.52
142.68
5.83
4.93
6.93
125.00
236.91
11.00
107.00
31.67
39.35
23.00
12.69
Ending
Stocks
World 3/
200.91
United States
26.55
Total Foreign
174.35
Major Exporters 4/
30.94
Argentina
1.36
Australia
5.59
Canada
7.83
EU-27 5/
16.16
Major Importers 6/
85.18
Brazil
1.52
China
54.43
Sel. Mideast 7/
9.79
N. Africa 8/
11.15
Pakistan
3.56
Southeast Asia 9/
2.92
Selected Other
0.00
India
13.43
80.68
0.22
0.10
78.15
0.06
16.12
FSU-12
22.15
113.93
5.42
25.98
78.20
36.66
26.63
Russia
10.74
61.77
0.16
16.80
39.60
18.56
14.52
Kazakhstan
3.36
17.05
0.06
2.90
7.80
7.87
4.80
Ukraine
3.10
20.87
0.03
3.30
12.30
9.34
2.36
Beginning
Ending
Domestic
Domestic
2010/11 Est.
Stocks
Stocks
Production
Imports
Feed
/Total 2
Exports
World 3/
200.91
648.70
129.85
112.49
653.48
131.37
196.13
United States
26.55
60.06
2.64
3.59
30.71
35.08
23.47
Total Foreign
174.35
588.64
127.21
108.90
622.77
96.30
172.66
Major Exporters 4/
30.94
200.34
5.27
58.41
141.74
66.95
27.86
Argentina
1.36
15.50
0.01
0.03
5.88
9.30
1.69
Australia
5.59
26.00
0.12
3.00
6.13
18.30
7.29
Canada
7.83
23.17
0.43
2.89
7.74
16.50
7.19
EU-27 5/
16.16
135.67
4.71
52.50
122.00
22.85
11.69
Major Importers 6/
85.18
184.94
70.25
21.51
241.74
7.71
90.91
Brazil
1.52
5.90
6.67
0.20
10.80
2.50
0.78
China
54.43
115.18
0.93
13.00
109.50
0.94
60.09
Sel. Mideast 7/
9.79
19.58
13.28
1.90
31.98
1.16
9.51
N. Africa 8/
11.15
16.13
24.13
2.38
39.43
0.35
11.63
Pakistan
3.56
23.90
0.15
0.40
23.20
1.10
3.31
Southeast Asia 9/
2.92
0.00
15.76
2.84
14.34
0.55
3.80
Selected Other
0.00
India
16.12
80.80
0.30
0.15
81.81
0.05
15.36
FSU-12
26.63
80.97
5.47
23.78
75.58
14.13
23.37
Russia
14.52
41.51
0.09
16.00
38.60
3.98
13.54
Kazakhstan
4.80
9.70
0.01
2.00
6.70
5.52
2.28
Ukraine
2.36
16.84
0.04
2.80
11.60
4.30
3.34
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and
exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting
discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China,
Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia,
Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
2009/10
Production
684.31
60.37
623.94
198.50
11.00
21.83
26.85
138.82
185.55
5.03
115.12
16.32
20.26
24.00
0.00
Imports
133.58
3.23
130.35
6.05
0.00
0.12
0.40
5.52
70.89
7.13
1.39
18.72
21.40
0.17
13.39
Exports
135.80
23.93
111.87
61.08
5.10
14.83
19.04
22.12
5.25
1.16
0.89
0.88
0.38
0.30
0.50
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 19
World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)
(Million Metric Tons)
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Feed
Domestic
Total 2/
Exports
Ending
Stocks
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
195.60
196.13
filler
23.47
23.47
filler
172.14
172.66
filler
27.69
27.86
1.49
1.69
7.38
7.29
7.19
7.19
11.63
11.69
filler
90.75
90.91
0.82
0.78
60.09
60.09
9.51
9.51
11.63
11.63
3.31
3.31
3.80
3.80
681.20
683.30
filler
54.65
54.41
filler
626.55
628.89
filler
200.03
200.69
13.50
13.00
26.00
26.00
24.20
24.20
136.33
137.49
filler
187.03
186.85
5.00
5.00
117.00
117.00
17.29
17.29
19.33
19.03
24.00
24.00
0.00
0.00
132.07
133.79
filler
3.27
3.27
filler
128.81
130.52
filler
8.01
8.01
0.01
0.01
0.10
0.10
0.40
0.40
7.50
7.50
filler
68.10
69.50
6.70
7.00
1.00
1.50
13.60
13.60
22.30
23.00
0.20
0.20
14.90
14.90
125.52
126.42
filler
4.35
4.35
filler
121.17
122.07
filler
63.73
63.73
0.03
0.03
3.50
3.50
3.70
3.70
56.50
56.50
filler
25.70
26.10
0.10
0.50
17.00
17.00
2.10
2.10
3.10
3.10
0.40
0.40
2.45
2.45
674.43
676.83
filler
32.07
32.07
filler
642.37
644.76
filler
147.83
148.33
5.93
5.93
6.60
6.60
8.80
8.80
126.50
127.00
filler
246.95
247.35
10.80
11.20
113.00
113.00
31.58
31.58
41.25
41.25
23.40
23.40
14.33
14.33
135.30
137.30
filler
26.54
26.54
filler
108.76
110.76
filler
60.50
61.50
7.50
7.50
19.00
19.00
18.00
18.00
16.00
17.00
filler
4.73
4.73
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.51
0.51
0.28
0.28
0.80
0.80
0.55
0.55
202.37
202.60
filler
22.78
22.55
filler
179.58
180.06
filler
27.40
26.73
1.57
1.27
7.88
7.79
4.99
4.99
12.96
12.68
filler
94.19
95.18
1.22
1.08
64.09
64.59
8.31
8.31
11.73
12.13
3.31
3.31
3.83
3.83
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
15.36
15.36
23.47
23.37
13.54
13.54
2.28
2.28
3.34
3.34
85.93
85.93
110.45
112.45
56.00
56.00
19.00
21.00
22.00
22.00
0.00
0.00
5.80
6.18
0.20
0.20
0.03
0.03
0.05
0.05
0.20
0.20
25.63
26.23
16.00
16.00
3.00
3.50
3.70
3.70
84.70
84.70
77.85
78.65
38.60
38.60
7.90
8.40
12.50
12.50
1.00
1.00
34.71
35.71
18.00
19.00
8.50
8.50
8.00
8.00
15.59
15.59
27.16
27.64
13.14
12.14
4.91
6.41
4.89
4.89
2011/12 Proj.
World 3/
Oct
Nov
United States
Oct
Nov
Total Foreign
Oct
Nov
Major Exporters 4/
Argentina
Australia
Canada
EU-27 5/
Major Importers 6/
Brazil
China
Sel. Mideast 7/
N. Africa 8/
Pakistan
Southeast Asia 9/
Selected Other
India
FSU-12
Russia
Kazakhstan
Ukraine
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and
exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting
discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China,
Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia,
Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 20
World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/
(Million Metric Tons)
2009/10
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
Argentina
Australia
Canada
Major Importers 5/
EU-27 5/
Japan
Mexico
N. Afr & Mideast 7/
Saudi Arabia
Southeast Asia 8/
South Korea
Selected Other
Brazil
China
FSU-12
Russia
Ukraine
2010/11 Est.
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
Argentina
Australia
Canada
Major Importers 5/
EU-27 5/
Japan
Mexico
N. Afr & Mideast 7/
Saudi Arabia
Southeast Asia 8/
South Korea
Selected Other
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Feed
Domestic
Total 2/
Exports
193.88
47.06
146.82
15.65
1.70
3.29
6.33
44.88
20.84
1.57
5.24
8.51
2.55
4.00
1.51
1,116.30
348.76
767.54
75.94
28.53
11.05
22.48
237.49
155.04
0.18
27.27
32.19
0.43
21.99
0.34
115.14
2.32
112.83
2.23
0.01
0.00
2.15
85.16
3.04
19.20
10.96
23.06
9.18
6.56
8.51
654.79
136.75
518.04
32.69
6.93
5.52
15.61
235.62
112.63
14.73
24.12
42.88
9.43
20.84
6.40
1,114.69
295.34
819.35
50.19
10.05
7.09
22.22
312.75
150.08
19.65
40.89
50.43
9.70
28.45
8.70
122.94
54.66
68.28
28.35
18.75
4.43
3.09
6.05
2.99
0.00
0.64
1.12
0.00
1.31
0.00
195.48
48.13
147.35
15.28
1.44
2.82
5.65
48.73
25.85
1.31
1.94
12.21
2.45
2.80
1.66
0.00
12.45
52.16
8.84
4.88
2.37
58.41
169.60
68.18
31.84
24.14
0.74
3.78
0.41
0.04
0.03
42.04
118.35
39.23
20.27
9.60
49.71
172.98
55.18
30.44
12.96
11.60
0.21
14.98
3.10
11.38
10.29
52.36
7.27
3.22
2.21
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Feed
Domestic
/Total 2
Exports
Ending
Stocks
195.48
48.13
147.35
15.28
1.44
2.82
5.65
48.73
25.85
1.31
1.94
12.21
2.45
2.80
1.66
1,100.37
330.23
770.14
78.31
30.50
13.35
22.26
221.66
139.46
0.17
29.41
28.59
0.43
23.22
0.34
114.09
2.52
111.58
1.16
0.02
0.00
1.01
86.74
8.43
18.60
10.50
21.43
8.11
7.06
8.17
647.11
127.76
519.35
32.84
7.74
6.14
14.21
234.61
114.05
13.82
22.50
43.26
8.73
21.84
6.11
1,127.74
297.95
829.79
50.70
11.03
7.81
20.91
312.55
151.96
18.73
39.05
50.94
9.00
29.75
8.54
115.25
50.63
64.62
31.38
18.51
5.36
4.48
6.65
6.09
0.00
0.10
0.13
0.00
0.33
0.00
Ending
Stocks
168.12
32.30
135.81
12.67
2.42
3.00
3.53
37.93
15.70
1.34
2.71
11.16
1.99
3.00
1.63
0.00
Brazil
10.29
59.93
0.91
44.56
52.26
9.01
9.86
China
52.36
183.41
2.71
124.30
183.99
0.18
54.31
FSU-12
7.27
47.69
1.22
28.74
41.97
8.77
5.44
Russia
3.22
16.42
0.71
10.43
18.16
0.32
1.87
Ukraine
2.21
21.44
0.05
10.63
13.79
7.85
2.06
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes
millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports
and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/
Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea,
Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and
Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 21
World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)
(Million Metric Tons)
2011/12 Proj.
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Feed
Domestic
Total 2/
Exports
Ending
Stocks
1,136.28
1,135.82
113.58
115.61
661.22
660.83
1,148.48
1,148.82
117.14
118.87
155.98
155.12
World 3/
Oct
Nov
168.19
168.12
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
United States
Oct
Nov
32.30
32.30
326.32
323.26
2.29
2.29
123.30
120.76
292.98
290.69
43.45
43.19
24.49
23.98
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
Total Foreign
Oct
Nov
135.88
135.81
809.95
812.56
111.29
113.32
537.92
540.07
855.51
858.13
73.70
75.68
131.49
131.15
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
13.25
12.67
2.42
2.42
3.04
3.00
3.53
3.53
81.81
84.03
35.21
37.41
12.38
12.38
21.23
21.23
1.58
1.58
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
1.47
1.47
32.53
32.83
8.01
8.21
6.07
6.27
13.50
13.50
50.57
50.88
11.43
11.73
7.74
7.94
20.05
20.05
33.31
34.09
23.51
24.31
5.01
5.01
2.75
2.75
12.76
13.31
2.71
3.81
2.67
2.43
3.42
3.42
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
Oct
Nov
EU-27 5/
Oct
Nov
Japan
Oct
Nov
Mexico
Oct
Nov
N. Afr & Mideast 7/ Oct
Nov
Saudi Arabia
Oct
Nov
Southeast Asia 8/
Oct
Nov
South Korea
Oct
Nov
Selected Other
36.68
37.93
15.72
15.70
1.12
1.34
1.77
2.71
11.04
11.16
1.99
1.99
3.00
3.00
1.63
1.63
227.31
225.57
143.55
145.66
0.18
0.18
31.73
28.03
26.21
26.06
0.43
0.43
24.80
24.80
0.34
0.34
84.88
86.08
4.17
3.67
19.14
19.14
11.43
12.03
21.78
22.38
9.01
9.21
7.06
7.06
7.76
8.06
232.62
233.50
108.03
109.40
14.45
14.45
24.90
23.50
42.44
42.94
9.33
9.43
23.44
23.44
5.74
6.04
311.31
311.99
146.33
147.61
19.37
19.37
41.92
40.42
49.87
50.37
9.60
9.70
31.54
31.54
8.12
8.42
4.29
5.29
3.76
4.76
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
33.27
32.30
13.35
12.67
1.07
1.29
2.90
2.24
8.98
9.04
1.82
1.92
3.07
3.07
1.61
1.61
10.36
9.86
54.28
54.31
5.53
5.44
1.93
1.87
2.06
2.06
63.33
63.33
188.31
190.81
74.85
75.75
31.20
31.50
31.40
31.40
0.86
0.86
3.93
4.93
0.59
0.59
0.25
0.25
0.02
0.02
47.05
47.05
131.90
132.40
38.42
38.57
18.20
18.20
10.90
10.90
54.80
54.80
194.84
197.34
53.85
54.25
27.90
28.10
14.20
14.20
8.51
8.51
0.27
0.27
18.83
19.13
2.22
2.42
16.11
16.11
11.24
10.74
51.41
52.44
8.29
8.40
3.27
3.10
3.17
3.17
Major Exporters 4/
Argentina
Australia
Canada
Major Importers 5/
Brazil
China
FSU-12
Russia
Ukraine
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes
millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and
exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina,
Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and
Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia,
Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 22
World Corn Supply and Use 1/
(Million Metric Tons)
2009/10
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
Argentina
South Africa
Major Importers 5/
Egypt
EU-27 6/
Japan
Mexico
Southeast Asia 7/
South Korea
Selected Other
Brazil
Canada
China
FSU-12
Ukraine
2010/11 Est.
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
Argentina
South Africa
Major Importers 5/
Egypt
EU-27 6/
Japan
Mexico
Southeast Asia 7/
South Korea
Selected Other
Brazil
Canada
China
FSU-12
Ukraine
Beginning
Stocks Production
Imports
Domestic Domestic
Feed Total 2/
Exports
147.20
42.50
104.69
5.09
0.98
4.11
18.22
1.40
6.15
1.00
3.56
4.00
1.47
819.61
332.55
487.06
36.72
23.30
13.42
105.64
6.28
56.95
0.00
20.37
21.93
0.08
89.76
0.21
89.54
0.01
0.01
0.00
52.57
5.83
2.93
15.98
8.30
6.55
8.46
488.66
130.17
358.48
9.60
5.00
4.60
112.06
9.90
44.60
11.70
14.20
20.80
6.36
822.76
281.59
541.17
17.20
6.90
10.30
159.28
12.00
59.30
16.30
30.20
28.40
8.38
96.81
50.30
46.52
18.56
16.49
2.06
3.46
0.02
1.52
0.00
0.64
1.29
0.00
12.08
1.83
51.18
1.75
0.94
56.10
9.56
163.97
18.04
10.49
0.40
2.10
1.30
0.26
0.02
40.00
7.00
118.00
11.50
5.00
47.00
11.61
165.00
13.12
5.70
11.60
0.13
0.15
5.58
5.07
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Domestic
Feed
Imports
Domestic
/Total 2
Ending
Stocks
144.05
43.38
100.67
6.06
0.89
5.17
13.68
1.49
5.21
0.68
1.39
2.80
1.62
0.00
9.99
1.76
51.30
1.36
0.67
Ending
Stocks
Exports
144.05
43.38
100.67
6.06
0.89
5.17
13.68
1.49
5.21
0.68
1.39
2.80
1.62
828.69
316.17
512.52
34.30
22.50
11.80
106.70
6.50
55.80
0.00
21.13
23.17
0.07
90.09
0.70
89.39
0.04
0.01
0.03
55.81
5.40
7.30
15.66
8.00
7.05
8.11
494.04
121.72
372.32
9.80
5.10
4.70
113.37
9.90
47.50
11.00
12.90
21.80
6.07
843.70
284.99
558.71
17.50
7.10
10.40
161.25
12.10
62.50
15.60
28.70
29.70
8.22
90.45
46.60
43.85
18.00
15.00
3.00
1.42
0.01
1.00
0.00
0.10
0.31
0.00
9.99
1.76
51.30
1.36
0.67
57.50
11.71
177.25
18.56
11.92
0.50
0.95
0.98
0.35
0.01
42.50
6.67
124.00
11.89
5.80
49.50
11.43
176.00
13.36
6.55
9.00
1.71
0.11
5.18
5.00
129.04
28.66
100.38
4.90
1.30
3.59
13.53
1.28
4.80
0.73
1.72
3.00
1.58
0.00
9.49
1.28
53.42
1.72
1.05
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in
world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing
years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/
Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intratrade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 23
World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)
(Million Metric Tons)
Beginning
Stocks Production
2011/12 Proj.
Domestic
Feed
Domestic
Total 2/
Exports
Ending
Stocks
90.59
92.11
509.51
508.53
866.66
866.46
94.15
95.14
123.19
121.57
World 3/
Oct
Nov
129.76
129.04
United States
Oct
Nov
28.66
28.66
Total Foreign
Oct
Nov
101.10
100.38
5.40
4.90
1.30
1.30
4.09
3.59
13.15
13.53
1.28
1.28
4.91
4.80
0.58
0.73
1.39
1.72
3.00
3.00
1.58
1.58
113.67
112.03
3.80
3.80
60.99
62.85
0.00
0.00
24.00
20.50
24.75
24.75
0.08
0.08
54.45
54.85
6.00
6.00
4.00
3.50
16.10
16.10
9.20
9.80
7.05
7.05
7.70
8.00
116.20
116.80
8.60
8.60
47.00
49.00
11.50
11.50
15.80
14.10
23.40
23.40
5.70
6.00
164.80
165.30
10.40
10.40
62.50
64.50
16.10
16.10
32.10
30.30
31.50
31.50
7.80
8.10
1.84
2.34
0.01
0.01
1.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
14.64
12.77
0.67
0.67
5.90
4.65
0.58
0.74
2.39
1.62
3.07
3.07
1.56
1.56
9.99
9.49
1.28
1.28
53.45
53.42
1.81
1.72
1.05
1.05
61.00
61.00
10.00
10.00
182.00
184.50
31.10
31.80
21.00
21.00
0.50
0.50
1.40
1.40
2.00
3.00
0.20
0.20
0.01
0.01
45.00
45.00
6.30
6.30
131.50
132.00
15.14
15.14
7.00
7.00
52.00
52.00
11.00
11.00
186.50
189.00
16.81
17.06
7.75
7.75
8.50
8.50
0.50
0.50
0.20
0.20
12.76
12.86
12.00
12.00
10.99
10.49
1.18
1.18
50.75
51.72
3.54
3.80
2.31
2.31
filler
filler
filler
filler
860.09
858.99
Imports
filler
315.81
312.69
filler
544.28
546.30
filler
40.00
41.50
27.50
29.00
12.50
12.50
filler
filler
0.38
0.38
filler
90.21
91.73
filler
0.04
0.04
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.03
filler
filler
119.39
116.85
filler
390.12
391.68
filler
10.40
10.40
5.50
5.60
4.90
4.80
filler
filler
282.21
279.67
filler
584.46
586.79
filler
18.40
18.40
7.60
7.80
10.80
10.60
filler
filler
40.64
40.64
filler
22.00
21.42
filler
53.51
54.50
filler
101.19
100.15
filler
21.50
22.00
19.50
20.00
2.00
2.00
filler
5.53
6.03
1.71
2.51
3.82
3.52
filler
filler
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world
imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in
transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico,
Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,
Thailand, and Vietnam.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 24
World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/
(Million Metric Tons)
2009/10
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
India
Pakistan
Thailand
Vietnam
Major Importers 5/
Brazil
EU-27 6/
Indonesia
Nigeria
Philippines
Sel. Mideast 7/
Selected Other
Burma
C. Amer & Carib 8/
China
Egypt
Japan
Mexico
South Korea
2010/11 Est.
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
India
Pakistan
Thailand
Vietnam
Major Importers 5/
Brazil
EU-27 6/
Indonesia
Nigeria
Philippines
Sel. Mideast 7/
Selected Other
Burma
C. Amer & Carib 8/
China
Egypt
Japan
Mexico
South Korea
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Total /2
Domestic
Exports
Ending
Stocks
91.53
0.98
90.56
26.95
19.00
1.20
4.79
1.96
15.76
0.91
1.02
7.06
0.57
4.67
1.48
440.53
7.13
433.39
141.14
89.09
6.80
20.26
24.99
60.54
7.93
1.89
36.37
2.60
9.77
1.60
28.11
0.60
27.50
0.72
0.00
0.02
0.30
0.40
11.62
0.69
1.32
1.15
1.75
2.20
3.23
437.86
4.02
433.84
117.96
85.69
2.92
10.20
19.15
73.84
8.48
2.86
38.00
4.45
13.13
5.28
31.19
3.51
27.68
21.68
1.90
4.00
9.05
6.73
0.78
0.50
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
94.20
1.18
93.02
29.17
20.50
1.10
6.10
1.47
13.30
0.55
1.12
6.58
0.47
3.52
1.01
0.00
0.04
0.33
38.55
0.56
2.72
0.17
1.00
10.55
1.62
136.57
4.30
7.71
0.18
4.92
0.00
1.45
0.39
0.02
0.67
0.61
0.31
9.85
3.03
134.32
3.67
8.20
0.78
4.77
0.45
0.00
0.65
0.71
0.20
0.01
0.00
0.30
0.37
40.53
0.50
2.69
0.17
1.45
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Total /2
Domestic
Exports
Ending
Stocks
94.20
1.18
93.02
29.17
20.50
1.10
6.10
1.47
13.30
0.55
1.12
6.58
0.47
3.52
1.01
451.22
7.59
443.62
146.32
95.30
4.70
20.26
26.06
63.24
9.26
1.87
37.06
2.49
10.54
1.61
31.64
0.58
31.06
0.75
0.00
0.05
0.20
0.50
12.66
0.60
1.15
2.20
2.40
1.50
3.55
447.48
4.36
443.12
122.45
90.00
2.65
10.50
19.30
75.29
8.40
2.90
39.00
4.89
13.15
5.30
33.68
3.49
30.20
23.10
2.80
2.80
10.50
7.00
1.29
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
97.94
1.51
96.42
30.69
23.00
0.40
5.56
1.73
12.61
1.01
0.99
6.84
0.47
2.41
0.85
0.00
0.30
0.37
40.53
0.50
2.69
0.17
1.45
10.75
1.67
137.00
3.10
7.72
0.15
4.30
0.00
1.56
0.54
0.04
0.70
0.66
0.33
9.85
3.20
135.00
3.40
8.13
0.82
4.80
0.90
0.00
0.50
0.08
0.20
0.01
0.00
0.30
0.40
42.57
0.16
2.79
0.15
1.28
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total
domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some
countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle
East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and
Caribbean countries.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 25
World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.)
(Million Metric Tons)
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Total /2
Domestic
Exports
Ending
Stocks
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
97.80
97.94
1.51
1.51
96.29
96.42
30.69
30.69
23.00
23.00
0.40
0.40
5.56
5.56
1.73
1.73
12.67
12.61
1.06
1.01
0.99
0.99
6.84
6.84
0.47
0.47
2.41
2.41
0.85
0.85
461.39
460.95
6.00
6.04
455.40
454.92
153.33
152.38
100.00
100.00
6.65
6.65
21.25
20.30
25.43
25.43
63.37
63.28
8.84
8.84
1.90
1.90
37.30
37.30
2.70
2.58
10.65
10.65
1.61
1.61
30.52
30.92
0.60
0.60
29.91
30.32
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.50
0.50
12.74
12.79
0.50
0.50
1.17
1.17
1.40
1.40
2.25
2.30
2.20
2.20
3.85
3.85
457.78
458.33
4.03
4.03
453.76
454.30
127.25
127.05
94.00
94.00
2.80
2.80
10.90
10.70
19.55
19.55
76.20
76.14
8.50
8.50
2.83
2.83
39.55
39.55
4.95
4.88
13.18
13.18
5.47
5.47
32.96
32.88
2.92
2.92
30.04
29.96
22.95
22.95
4.50
4.50
3.75
3.75
8.00
8.00
6.70
6.70
1.14
1.26
0.78
0.90
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
101.41
100.57
1.17
1.21
100.25
99.36
34.42
33.67
24.50
24.50
0.50
0.50
8.01
7.26
1.41
1.41
11.45
11.27
1.12
0.95
0.88
0.88
5.99
5.99
0.47
0.47
2.08
2.08
0.85
0.85
Oct
Nov
C. Amer & Carib 8/ Oct
Nov
China
Oct
Nov
Egypt
Oct
Nov
Japan
Oct
Nov
Mexico
Oct
Nov
South Korea
Oct
Nov
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.40
42.57
42.57
0.16
0.16
2.79
2.79
0.15
0.15
1.28
1.28
11.00
10.50
1.73
1.73
139.00
141.00
4.70
4.70
7.68
7.68
0.13
0.13
4.24
4.24
0.00
0.00
1.46
1.46
0.48
0.48
0.02
0.02
0.70
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.35
0.35
10.25
9.90
3.18
3.18
137.00
139.00
3.80
3.80
8.25
8.25
0.87
0.87
4.80
4.80
0.80
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.15
0.15
0.41
0.41
44.45
44.45
0.58
0.58
2.77
2.77
0.14
0.14
1.07
1.07
2011/12 Proj.
World 3/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
India
Pakistan
Thailand
Vietnam
Major Importers 5/
Brazil
EU-27 6/
Indonesia
Nigeria
Philippines
Sel. Mideast 7/
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
filler
Selected Other
Burma
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports
and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may
not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong
Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected
Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 26
World Cotton Supply and Use 1/
(Million 480-Pound Bales)
2009/10
World
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
Central Asia 5/
Afr. Fr. Zone 6/
S. Hemis 7/
Australia
Brazil
India
Major Importers 8/
Mexico
China
EU-27 9/
Turkey
Pakistan
Indonesia
Thailand
Bangladesh
Vietnam
2010/11 Est.
World
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 4/
Central Asia 5/
Afr. Fr. Zone 6/
S. Hemis 7/
Australia
Brazil
India
Major Importers 8/
Mexico
China
EU-27 9/
Turkey
Pakistan
Indonesia
Thailand
Bangladesh
Vietnam
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Use
Exports
Loss
/2
Ending
Stocks
60.80
6.34
54.47
21.25
3.50
0.75
7.43
0.98
4.99
8.92
31.43
0.76
22.37
0.66
1.65
3.46
0.42
0.29
0.75
0.26
101.63
12.19
89.44
42.12
6.22
2.24
9.20
1.78
5.45
23.00
44.93
0.42
32.00
1.06
1.75
9.60
0.03
3/
0.05
0.02
36.35
3/
36.35
1.40
3/
3/
0.37
3/
0.15
0.48
32.37
1.39
10.90
0.94
4.39
1.57
2.20
1.81
3.90
1.70
119.11
3.55
115.56
29.08
1.70
0.21
5.66
0.04
4.40
19.85
82.36
1.90
50.00
1.03
5.80
10.80
2.15
1.78
3.90
1.60
35.60
12.04
23.56
20.15
5.96
2.19
4.90
2.12
1.99
6.55
2.26
0.08
0.02
1.06
0.15
0.73
0.02
0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.16
-0.01
-0.15
-0.26
0.00
0.00
-0.28
-0.15
-0.15
0.00
0.11
0.03
0.00
0.05
-0.08
0.03
0.05
0.03
0.01
0.00
44.24
2.95
41.29
15.80
2.06
0.59
6.72
0.75
4.35
6.00
24.00
0.58
15.25
0.52
1.93
3.08
0.44
0.29
0.79
0.38
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Use
Exports
Loss
/2
Ending
Stocks
44.24
2.95
41.29
15.80
2.06
0.59
6.72
0.75
4.35
6.00
24.00
0.58
15.25
0.52
1.93
3.08
0.44
0.29
0.79
0.38
115.28
18.10
97.17
51.09
6.69
2.28
15.39
4.20
9.00
25.40
43.34
0.71
30.50
1.11
2.10
8.80
0.03
3/
0.06
0.02
35.65
0.01
35.65
1.93
0.01
3/
0.90
3/
0.70
0.45
31.18
1.20
11.98
1.06
3.35
1.45
2.10
1.75
3.70
1.63
114.35
3.90
110.45
29.90
1.91
0.19
5.74
0.04
4.40
20.50
76.44
1.65
46.00
1.08
5.60
10.25
2.05
1.70
3.55
1.65
35.57
14.38
21.20
17.75
4.58
2.13
5.50
2.51
2.00
5.10
2.35
0.35
0.12
1.04
0.15
0.50
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.18
-0.15
-0.26
0.00
0.00
-0.28
-0.15
-0.15
0.00
0.11
0.03
0.00
0.05
-0.08
0.03
0.05
0.03
0.01
0.00
45.22
2.60
42.62
21.43
2.28
0.56
12.04
2.55
7.81
6.25
19.61
0.46
11.60
0.52
1.71
2.56
0.44
0.32
0.99
0.38
1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors.
2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects
the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/
Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,
Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger,
Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the
countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 27
World Cotton Supply and Use 1/
(Million 480-Pound Bales)
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Use
Exports
Loss
/2
Ending
Stocks
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
44.87
45.22
2.60
2.60
42.27
42.62
124.19
123.89
16.61
16.30
107.58
107.59
36.53
36.31
0.01
0.01
36.52
36.30
114.38
114.27
3.80
3.80
110.58
110.47
36.51
36.33
11.50
11.30
25.01
25.03
-0.14
-0.14
0.02
0.01
-0.15
-0.15
54.83
54.96
3.90
3.80
50.93
51.16
21.13
21.43
1.98
2.28
0.56
0.56
12.04
12.04
2.55
2.55
7.81
7.81
6.25
6.25
19.56
19.61
0.46
0.46
11.60
11.60
0.47
0.52
1.71
1.71
2.56
2.56
0.44
0.44
0.32
0.32
0.99
0.99
0.38
0.38
2011/12 Proj.
World
United States
Total Foreign
filler
filler
filler
55.24
55.07
6.68
6.68
2.88
2.86
16.51
16.36
5.00
5.00
9.00
9.00
27.50
27.50
filler
49.32
49.47
1.15
1.15
33.50
33.50
1.65
1.60
2.90
3.10
10.00
10.00
0.03
0.03
3/
3/
0.07
0.07
0.02
0.02
filler
1.25
1.23
0.01
0.01
3/
3/
0.27
0.27
3/
3/
0.10
0.10
0.45
0.45
filler
32.97
32.76
1.10
1.05
14.00
14.00
0.98
0.98
3.20
3.10
1.50
1.50
2.25
2.25
1.75
1.70
3.50
3.50
1.60
1.60
filler
29.99
29.99
1.91
1.91
0.19
0.19
5.77
5.77
0.04
0.04
4.40
4.40
20.50
20.50
filler
76.51
76.41
1.80
1.75
45.50
45.50
1.05
1.05
5.80
5.80
10.30
10.30
2.20
2.20
1.70
1.65
3.60
3.60
1.65
1.65
filler
21.61
21.57
4.47
4.62
2.42
2.41
9.05
8.90
4.30
4.20
3.80
3.80
5.25
5.25
filler
2.34
2.37
0.25
0.25
0.05
0.05
1.28
1.29
0.15
0.18
0.45
0.45
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
filler
-0.26
-0.26
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.28
-0.28
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
-0.15
0.00
0.00
filler
0.11
0.11
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.05
-0.08
-0.08
0.03
0.03
0.05
0.05
0.03
0.03
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
filler
26.29
26.42
2.29
2.44
0.83
0.82
14.28
14.28
3.36
3.46
8.86
8.86
8.45
8.45
filler
22.90
22.96
0.64
0.64
13.55
13.55
0.72
0.71
1.94
2.02
3.28
3.28
0.45
0.45
0.35
0.35
0.95
0.95
0.35
0.35
1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors.
2/
Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the
difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes
Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and
Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/
Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed,
includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 28
2009/10
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
Major Importers 4/
China
EU-27
Japan
Mexico
2010/11 Est.
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
Major Importers 4/
China
EU-27
Japan
Mexico
Beginning
Stocks
42.57
3.76
38.81
28.75
16.59
12.04
8.43
7.56
0.45
0.18
0.04
86.80
0.40
86.40
0.20
0.00
0.17
73.67
50.34
12.43
3.40
3.52
Exports
Ending
Stocks
209.50
47.67
161.83
69.53
34.13
33.70
69.31
48.83
12.51
2.37
3.60
238.22
50.67
187.55
74.41
35.72
36.80
84.92
59.43
13.38
3.58
3.64
92.60
40.80
51.80
47.02
13.09
28.58
0.24
0.18
0.04
0.00
0.00
59.41
4.11
55.30
38.23
22.28
15.84
13.97
13.26
0.30
0.22
0.05
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Crush
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
59.41
4.11
55.30
38.23
22.28
15.84
13.97
13.26
0.30
0.22
0.05
264.18
90.61
173.57
132.80
49.00
75.50
17.37
15.10
1.05
0.22
0.17
88.68
0.39
88.29
0.06
0.01
0.03
76.13
52.34
12.90
2.92
3.45
221.11
44.85
176.26
75.04
37.59
35.80
75.49
55.00
12.55
2.07
3.60
251.48
48.40
203.08
80.14
39.21
39.10
91.80
65.95
13.75
3.26
3.64
92.41
40.86
51.55
45.54
9.21
29.95
0.27
0.19
0.06
0.00
0.00
68.37
5.84
62.53
45.40
22.88
22.31
15.40
14.56
0.44
0.10
0.03
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Crush
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
69.26
68.37
5.84
5.84
63.42
62.53
46.56
45.40
24.03
22.88
22.31
22.31
15.12
15.40
14.21
14.56
0.42
0.44
0.18
0.10
0.05
0.03
258.60
258.91
83.28
82.89
175.32
176.02
134.00
134.60
53.00
52.00
73.50
75.00
16.37
16.46
14.00
14.00
1.22
1.22
0.22
0.22
0.11
0.20
94.56
94.21
0.41
0.41
94.15
93.80
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.05
80.24
79.99
56.50
56.50
12.60
12.60
3.20
2.95
3.50
3.50
231.36
230.67
44.50
44.50
186.87
186.18
78.13
77.63
40.00
39.50
36.48
36.48
81.25
81.16
60.60
60.60
12.60
12.60
2.19
2.02
3.57
3.65
261.75
261.03
47.76
47.76
214.00
213.27
83.38
82.88
41.65
41.15
39.88
39.88
97.62
97.49
71.60
71.60
13.80
13.80
3.40
3.19
3.61
3.69
97.66
96.90
37.42
36.06
60.24
60.84
54.00
54.60
11.80
10.80
36.50
38.00
0.26
0.26
0.20
0.20
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
63.01
63.56
4.35
5.32
58.66
58.24
43.25
42.60
23.58
22.93
19.49
19.49
13.86
14.10
12.91
13.26
0.41
0.43
0.21
0.09
0.05
0.04
2011/12 Proj.
World 2/
Oct
Nov
United States
Oct
Nov
Total Foreign
Oct
Nov
Major Exporters 3/ Oct
Nov
Argentina
Oct
Nov
Brazil
Oct
Nov
Major Importers 4/ Oct
Nov
China
Oct
Nov
EU-27
Oct
Nov
Japan
Oct
Nov
Mexico
Oct
Nov
1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and
exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world
supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia,
Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand).
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 29
World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/
(Million Metric Tons)
2009/10
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
India
Major Importers 4/
EU-27
China
2010/11 Est.
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
India
Major Importers 4/
EU-27
China
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
4.77
0.21
4.55
2.71
0.77
1.84
0.10
0.83
0.54
0.00
165.25
37.84
127.41
58.73
26.62
26.12
5.99
50.17
9.88
38.64
53.02
0.15
52.87
0.10
0.00
0.09
0.01
28.77
20.73
0.08
161.01
27.80
133.21
16.27
0.69
12.84
2.75
77.23
30.14
37.55
55.56
10.12
45.43
41.05
24.91
12.99
3.15
1.71
0.47
1.18
6.46
0.27
6.19
4.22
1.79
2.23
0.21
0.83
0.54
0.00
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
6.46
0.27
6.19
4.22
1.79
2.23
0.21
0.83
0.54
0.00
174.59
35.61
138.99
64.86
29.30
27.90
7.66
55.29
9.90
43.56
56.16
0.16
56.00
0.07
0.00
0.06
0.01
30.77
22.00
0.29
170.72
27.47
143.24
17.27
0.72
13.45
3.11
84.82
31.31
43.38
58.30
8.26
50.05
46.16
27.54
13.99
4.64
1.10
0.57
0.47
8.19
0.32
7.88
5.72
2.83
2.76
0.13
0.98
0.56
0.00
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
7.49
8.19
0.32
0.32
7.18
7.88
5.38
5.72
2.65
2.83
2.60
2.76
0.13
0.13
0.54
0.98
0.15
0.56
0.00
0.00
182.50
182.38
35.23
35.23
147.27
147.15
67.10
67.13
31.19
30.79
28.25
28.68
7.66
7.66
59.85
59.85
9.93
9.93
48.00
48.00
57.65
57.75
0.15
0.15
57.50
57.60
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.05
0.01
0.01
32.20
32.30
23.00
23.00
0.30
0.30
179.24
178.93
27.67
27.44
151.57
151.49
18.13
18.13
0.74
0.74
13.95
13.95
3.44
3.44
90.65
90.75
32.28
32.28
47.60
47.60
60.40
60.64
7.76
7.98
52.64
52.66
48.67
48.71
30.12
29.76
14.35
14.75
4.20
4.20
1.20
1.20
0.45
0.45
0.70
0.70
8.01
8.75
0.27
0.27
7.73
8.48
5.74
6.07
2.99
3.12
2.60
2.79
0.16
0.16
0.74
1.18
0.35
0.76
0.00
0.00
2011/12 Proj.
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
India
Major Importers 4/
EU-27
China
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World
imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and
imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and
Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand).
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 30
Beginning
Stocks
2009/10
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
EU-27
Major Importers 4/
China
India
Pakistan
2.97
1.30
1.67
0.54
0.09
0.24
0.22
0.59
0.48
0.10
0.01
2010/11 Est.
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
EU-27
Major Importers 4/
China
India
Pakistan
8.64
0.05
8.60
0.59
0.00
0.04
0.55
3.14
1.51
1.60
0.03
Ending
Stocks
38.29
7.17
31.11
9.37
1.92
5.06
2.40
13.29
10.44
2.81
0.04
9.13
1.52
7.60
6.29
4.45
1.45
0.39
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
3.06
1.55
1.52
0.69
0.20
0.23
0.26
0.43
0.21
0.23
0.00
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
3.06
1.55
1.52
0.69
0.20
0.23
0.26
0.43
0.21
0.23
0.00
41.29
8.57
32.72
16.38
7.18
6.91
2.29
11.56
9.84
1.72
0.00
9.03
0.07
8.96
0.90
0.00
0.00
0.90
2.34
1.32
0.95
0.08
41.00
7.61
33.39
10.65
2.51
5.28
2.87
13.82
11.11
2.65
0.06
9.47
1.47
7.99
6.64
4.54
1.67
0.43
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
2.91
1.10
1.81
0.68
0.33
0.20
0.15
0.46
0.20
0.24
0.02
Beginning
Stocks
Production
Imports
Domestic
Total
Exports
Ending
Stocks
3.02
2.91
1.28
1.10
1.74
1.81
0.53
0.68
0.20
0.33
0.16
0.20
0.17
0.15
0.47
0.46
0.20
0.20
0.24
0.24
0.02
0.02
43.11
43.07
8.47
8.47
34.64
34.60
16.91
16.91
7.61
7.51
7.00
7.10
2.30
2.30
12.56
12.56
10.85
10.85
1.72
1.72
0.00
0.00
8.74
8.44
0.08
0.08
8.65
8.35
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.80
0.80
2.50
2.30
1.60
1.40
0.85
0.85
0.05
0.05
43.01
43.14
8.03
8.03
34.98
35.11
10.59
10.99
2.49
2.81
5.38
5.46
2.72
2.72
15.11
14.91
12.35
12.15
2.70
2.70
0.06
0.06
9.28
8.87
0.82
0.68
8.46
8.19
7.13
6.86
5.13
4.83
1.65
1.68
0.35
0.35
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.58
2.41
0.99
0.94
1.59
1.47
0.52
0.55
0.18
0.20
0.13
0.17
0.20
0.19
0.38
0.37
0.26
0.26
0.11
0.10
0.01
0.01
2011/12 Proj.
World 2/
United States
Total Foreign
Major Exporters 3/
Argentina
Brazil
EU-27
Major Importers 4/
China
India
Pakistan
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World
imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports.
Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 31
U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/
Year and Quarter
Broiler
Turkey
Egg
Milk
24,059
92,097
Mil doz
1,933
7,622
Bil lbs
47.5
192.8
1,402
1,471
10,814
11,104
23,014
23,106
1,889
1,909
48.4
50.4
9,526
1,423
11,093
23,366
1,915
48.7
12,742
9,000
1,510
10,645
23,387
1,930
48.4
22,641
49,232
37,342
5,793
43,658
92,890
7,633
195.9
26,277
22,659
49,217
37,318
5,806
43,656
92,873
7,643
195.9
I*
II*
6,195
6,295
5,775
5,475
12,041
11,837
8,900
9,200
1,400
1,475
10,425
10,805
22,466
22,642
1,875
1,900
49.7
51.0
III*
Annual
6,420
5,585
12,072
9,300
1,450
10,885
22,957
1,910
49.0
Oct Proj.
25,025
23,055
48,360
37,000
5,735
43,250
91,610
7,590
198.4
Nov Proj.
24,960
23,055
48,291
36,700
5,845
43,060
91,351
7,630
198.4
IV
Annual
2011
Million Pounds
9,484
1,506
36,911
5,643
2010
2012
Beef
6,741
26,304
6,126
22,437
12,944
49,039
I
II
6,411
6,559
5,720
5,371
12,200
12,002
9,291
9,501
III
6,737
5,468
12,273
IV*
Annual
6,570
6,100
Oct Proj.
26,310
Nov Proj.
* Projection.
1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys
and mature chicken.
Steers
2/
Barrows
and gilts
3/
Broilers
4/
Turkeys
5/
Eggs
6/
Milk
7/
Dol./cwt
100.28
95.38
Dol./cwt
50.11
55.06
Cents/lb.
80.0
82.9
Cents/lb.
103.7
90.4
Cents/doz.
123.2
106.3
Dol./cwt
17.70
16.29
2010
IV
Annual
2011
I
II
110.07
112.79
59.94
68.80
77.9
82.6
90.2
99.9
105.8
106.6
18.73
20.13
III
114.05
71.06
78.8
106.4
117.7
21.67
117-121
64-66
74-76
108-112
126-130
19.90-20.20
Oct Proj.
112.73
65.20
79.1
101.4
113.8
20.00-20.10
Nov Proj.
113.98
66.20
78.6
101.6
114.5
20.10-20.20
I*
II*
115-123
115-125
63-67
65-71
77-81
79-85
89-95
93-101
109-115
91-99
18.95-19.55
17.40-18.30
III*
Annual
119-129
66-72
82-88
98-106
96-104
17.70-18.70
Oct Proj.
112-121
62-67
80-86
95-103
101-110
17.75-18.65
Nov Proj.
117-126
63-68
79-85
95-103
102-109
18.05-18.95
IV*
Annual
2012
*Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ 5-Area, Direct, Total all grades 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12city average. 5/ 8-16 lbs, hens National. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 32
U.S. Meats Supply and Use
Beginning Production
stocks
1/
Item
Beef
Pork
Total Red
Meat 5/
Broiler
Turkey
Total
Poultry 6/
Imports
Total
Supply
Exports
Ending
Stocks
2010
565
26,414
2,297
Million Pounds /4
29,276
2,299
585
26,392
59.6
585
585
515
515
26,420
26,387
25,135
25,070
2,009
2,029
2,090
2,090
29,014
29,001
27,740
27,675
2,735
2,765
2,755
2,775
515
515
520
520
25,764
25,721
24,465
24,380
57.7
57.6
54.3
54.1
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
2010
525
22,456
859
23,840
4,224
541
19,075
47.7
541
541
600
580
22,660
22,678
23,074
23,074
836
826
825
815
24,037
24,045
24,499
24,469
4,951
4,976
5,090
5,090
600
580
610
590
18,486
18,489
18,799
18,789
45.9
45.9
46.3
46.2
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
2010
1,114
49,183
3,322
53,619
6,539
1,145
45,935
108.6
1,145
1,145
1,140
1,120
49,377
49,362
48,504
48,435
3,019
3,029
3,093
3,083
53,541
53,536
52,737
52,638
7,704
7,759
7,859
7,879
1,140
1,120
1,155
1,135
44,697
44,657
43,723
43,624
104.8
104.7
101.8
101.6
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
2010
616
36,516
107
37,239
6,765
773
29,701
82.3
773
773
660
650
36,942
36,919
36,604
36,307
104
104
104
104
37,819
37,796
37,368
37,061
6,539
6,864
6,700
6,900
660
650
670
650
30,620
30,282
29,998
29,511
84.1
83.2
81.7
80.4
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
2010
262
5,569
25
5,856
582
192
5,082
16.4
192
192
215
215
5,717
5,730
5,660
5,768
21
21
20
20
5,930
5,943
5,895
6,003
651
656
620
620
215
215
210
210
5,064
5,072
5,065
5,173
16.2
16.2
16.1
16.4
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
2010
880
42,589
136
43,605
7,426
969
35,209
100.0
969
969
879
871
43,182
43,180
42,778
42,590
128
128
128
128
44,279
44,277
43,785
43,589
7,275
7,605
7,410
7,610
879
871
884
866
36,125
35,801
35,491
35,113
101.7
100.8
99.1
98.1
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
Filler
2010
1,994
91,772
3,458
97,224
13,965
2,114
81,144
208.7
2,114
2,114
2,019
1,991
92,559
92,542
91,283
91,026
3,147
3,157
3,221
3,211
97,820
97,813
96,523
96,228
14,979
15,364
15,269
15,489
2,019
1,991
2,039
2,001
80,822
80,458
79,215
78,738
206.5
205.5
201.0
199.7
1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less
condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for
red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature
chicken.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 33
U.S. Egg Supply and Use
Commodity
2009
2010
Eggs
Supply
Beginning Stocks
Production
Imports
Total Supply
Use
Exports
Hatching Use
Ending Stocks
Disappearance
Total
Per Capita (number)
2011 Proj.
2011 Proj.
2012 Proj.
2012 Proj.
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Million Dozen
17.2
7,546.1
10.5
7,573.8
18.0
7,622.0
11.8
7,651.8
19.3
7,632.5
23.4
7,675.2
19.3
7,642.5
23.4
7,685.2
20.0
7,590.0
24.0
7,634.0
22.0
7,630.0
24.0
7,676.0
242.2
955.2
18.0
258.4
982.7
19.3
279.2
948.2
20.0
279.2
945.8
22.0
250.0
935.0
19.0
250.0
925.0
22.0
6,358.4
248.2
6,391.4
247.3
6,427.8
246.7
6,438.2
247.1
6,430.0
244.7
6,479.0
246.5
2011 Proj.
2011 Proj.
2012 Proj.
2012 Proj.
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
Total
2009
2010
Milk
Production
Farm Use
Billion Pounds
189.3
1.0
192.8
1.0
195.9
1.0
195.9
1.0
198.4
1.0
198.4
1.0
10.1
188.3
5.6
204.0
11.3
191.8
4.1
207.2
10.9
195.0
3.2
209.1
10.9
195.0
3.2
209.1
11.4
197.5
3.2
212.1
11.2
197.5
3.2
211.9
4.5
11.3
0.7
187.2
8.3
10.9
0.2
187.8
9.1
11.4
0.0
188.6
9.2
11.2
0.0
188.6
8.6
11.5
0.0
192.0
8.6
11.5
0.0
191.8
10.9
188.3
5.5
204.7
11.3
191.8
4.8
208.0
12.3
195.0
5.3
212.5
12.3
195.0
5.3
212.6
12.2
197.5
5.1
214.8
12.0
197.5
5.1
214.6
22.3
11.3
2.9
168.7
32.1
12.3
0.0
164.0
32.6
12.2
0.0
167.7
33.1
12.0
0.0
167.4
31.9
12.1
0.0
170.8
31.9
12.1
0.0
170.6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Million Pounds
CCC product net removals 1/
Butter
Cheese
Nonfat Dry Milk
Dry Whole Milk
30
3
248
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/
Domestic commercial use only. The years 2009 and 2010 are adjusted for the Barter Program.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 34
U.S. Dairy Prices
Commodity
2009
2010
Product Prices 1/
Cheese
1.2963
1.5226
Butter
1.2094
1.7020
0.9222
1.1687
Dry Whey
0.2584
0.3716
2011 Proj.
2011 Proj.
2012 Proj.
2012 Proj.
Oct
Nov
Oct
Nov
1.8201.830
1.9601.990
1.5001.520
0.5250.535
1.6651.755
1.6001.720
1.3551.425
0.4550.485
1.6851.775
1.6251.745
1.3551.425
0.4850.515
18.3018.40
19.0519.25
20.1020.20
16.3017.20
16.3017.30
17.7518.65
16.7017.60
16.4017.40
18.0518.95
Filler
11.36
14.41
Class IV
10.89
15.09
All Milk 3/
12.83
16.29
18.1518.25
19.0519.25
20.0020.10
1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price
computations. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices
paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received
by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 35
Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a record of the November projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root
mean square error" means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.2 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.1 percent. The average difference between the November
projection and the final estimate is 5.3 million tons, ranging from 0.0 million to 18.1 million tons. The November projection has been below the
estimate 21 times and above 9 times.
Commodity and
Region
WHEAT
Root mean
square error
90 percent
confidence
interval
Percent
Production
World
U.S.
Foreign
Exports
1.2
0.4
1.4
2.1
0.7
2.4
5.3
0.2
5.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
18.1
1.2
18.2
21
14
21
9
11
9
World
U.S.
Foreign
Domestic Use
5.4
7.1
6.6
9.2
12.1
11.3
5.1
1.9
4.8
0.2
0.2
0.3
16.7
8.6
16.3
24
14
26
6
16
4
World
U.S.
Foreign
Ending Stocks
1.4
6.1
1.4
2.4
10.4
2.5
5.8
1.6
6.0
0.0
0.1
0.9
18.8
3.6
21.1
18
9
21
11
21
9
6.6
11.6
6.8
11.2
19.8
11.6
7.6
2.0
6.5
0.9
0.2
0.8
23.1
7.0
22.7
22
17
23
8
13
7
1.5
1.4
2.0
2.5
2.4
3.5
10.7
2.5
10.5
0.2
0.0
0.2
29.0
7.5
26.9
23
16
23
7
14
7
World
U.S.
Foreign
Domestic Use
5.7
13.4
11.9
9.7
22.8
20.3
4.9
5.6
5.3
0.1
0.4
0.6
12.4
14.7
15.3
19
14
19
11
16
11
World
U.S.
Foreign
Ending Stocks
1.3
4.0
1.4
2.2
6.7
2.5
9.4
5.5
8.2
0.7
0.2
0.3
23.3
17.2
22.2
17
16
19
13
14
11
13.9
20.5
17.9
23.6
34.8
30.5
14.3
8.2
11.6
0.3
0.9
0.2
39.6
23.9
31.1
25
18
26
5
12
4
2.3
3.0
2.3
3.9
5.2
4.0
6.2
0.1
6.2
0.1
0.0
0.2
16.8
0.5
16.9
25
16
25
5
13
5
World
U.S.
Foreign
Domestic Use
9.7
9.6
11.2
16.5
16.3
19.0
1.5
0.2
1.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
6.0
0.7
6.0
24
16
22
6
11
8
World
U.S.
Foreign
Ending Stocks
1.8
7.7
1.8
3.1
13.2
3.1
4.2
0.2
4.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
17.5
0.5
17.7
25
16
25
5
14
5
World
U.S.
Foreign
11.1
24.6
11.6
18.9
41.9
19.7
4.6
0.2
4.7
0.1
0.0
0.1
15.9
0.8
15.4
23
17
23
7
13
7
World
U.S.
Foreign
COARSE GRAINS 2/
Production
World
U.S.
Foreign
Exports
World
U.S.
Foreign
RICE, milled
Production
World
U.S.
Foreign
Exports
CONTINUED
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 36
Reliability of November Projections (Continued)
Differences between forecast and final estimate
Commodity and
Region
SOYBEANS
Production
World
U.S.
Foreign
Exports
World
U.S.
Foreign
Domestic Use
World
U.S.
Foreign
Ending Stocks
World
U.S.
Foreign
COTTON
90 percent
Root mean
confidence
square error
interval
Percent
Years
Average
Largest
Smallest
Million Metric Tons
Below
Final
Above
Final
4.0
2.0
6.7
6.8
3.5
11.4
5.2
1.0
5.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
25.1
2.7
26.4
18
12
18
12
18
12
7.7
10.7
20.2
13.1
18.1
34.2
2.9
2.1
2.5
0.0
0.1
0.1
13.4
7.1
11.7
18
18
14
12
12
16
3.1
3.6
3.8
5.2
6.1
6.5
3.8
1.2
3.5
0.0
0.0
0.3
14.2
3.8
12.8
18
20
19
12
10
11
17.5
37.5
18.8
29.7
63.7
32.0
3.8
0.0
18.4
2.1
0.1
5.6
3.6
0.4
12.8
Million 480-Pound Bales
19
8
20
11
22
10
Production
World
3.5
5.9
2.4
0.1
8.7
19
11
U.S.
2.9
5.0
0.4
0.0
0.9
17
12
Foreign
4.1
7.0
2.3
0.1
8.0
19
11
Exports
World
6.6
11.3
1.6
0.1
5.6
17
13
U.S.
18.6
31.6
1.1
0.1
3.2
17
13
Foreign
9.2
15.6
1.1
0.0
5.9
14
15
Domestic Use
World
3.1
5.2
2.4
0.0
8.9
15
14
U.S.
7.2
12.2
0.4
0.0
1.1
18
12
Foreign
3.2
5.4
2.3
0.4
8.1
16
14
Ending Stocks
World
12.3
20.9
4.1
0.3
10.8
18
12
U.S.
30.7
52.2
1.1
0.1
3.5
11
19
Foreign
13.1
22.3
3.7
0.0
10.2
20
10
1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2010/11 for grains, soybeans and cotton. Final for grains, soybeans, and cotton is
defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2010/11 last month's estimate. 2/ Includes
corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain.
November 2011
WASDE - 500 - 37
Reliability of United States November Projections 1/
Differences between forecast and final estimate
CORN
90 percent
Root mean
confidence
square error
interval
Percent
Average
Smallest
Million Bushels
Largest
Below
Final
Years
Above
Final
Production
Exports
Domestic Use
Ending Stocks
SORGHUM
1.4
13.8
4.2
23.5
2.4
23.5
7.2
40.0
89
196
215
320
0
9
3
17
250
575
574
986
16
13
20
16
13
17
10
14
Production
Exports
Domestic Use
Ending Stocks
BARLEY
3.2
18.6
11.2
43.6
5.5
31.6
19.1
74.2
15
31
35
28
1
0
0
2
53
115
127
104
15
18
14
11
15
11
15
19
Production
Exports
Domestic Use
Ending Stocks
OATS
1.5
33.2
7.0
13.7
2.6
56.5
11.9
23.2
4
11
18
14
0
0
0
0
24
37
70
38
11
12
11
19
10
15
18
10
Production
Exports
Domestic Use
Ending Stocks
SOYBEAN MEAL
1.2
71.5
4.4
17.1
2.0
121.4
7.5
29.0
18
7
39
52
7
8
13
20
8
8
17
10
Production
Exports
Domestic Use
Ending Stocks
SOYBEAN OIL
3.3
10.9
3.4
31.6
5.6
18.5
5.8
53.6
902
14
617
0
702
30
53
0
Million Pounds
2,578
1,900
2,350
249
19
15
14
13
11
13
16
13
Production
Exports
Domestic Use
Ending Stocks
3.4
29.8
4.0
23.5
5.9
50.7
6.8
39.8
430
347
428
332
1,418
1,425
1,828
1,077
20
16
18
15
10
13
12
14
2,461
1,592
1,337
444
19
17
18
18
10
12
11
11
180
19
10
6.0
16
13
ANIMAL PROD. 3/
2
0
1
0
12
1
15
1
Thousand Short Tons
40
0
56
0
Million Pounds
Beef
Pork
Broilers
Turkeys
4.1
3.4
1.9
3.4
6.9
5.8
3.3
5.8
Eggs
1.4
2.4
853
92
414
2
409
20
129
2
Million Dozen
77
Billion Pounds
Milk
1.7
2.9
2.0
0.1
1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. Marketing years 1981/82
through 2010/11 for grains, soybeans, and cotton. Final for grains, soybeans, and cotton is defined as the first November
estimate following the marketing year, and for 2010/11 last month's estimate. calendar years 1995 through 2011 for
meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS for
1995-2010, and for 2011 last month's estimate.
WASDE-500-38
= Domestic Unit
Factor
bushels
cwt
bushels
bushels
bushels
short tons
480-lb bales
.027216
.045359
.025401
.021772
.014515
.907185
.217720
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