Dr. Ray William Hilborn Bio
Dr. Ray William Hilborn Bio
Dr. Ray William Hilborn Bio
EXHIBIT A
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CURRICULUM VITAE
Date of Birth
December 31, 1947
Education
B.A. (Biology) Grinnell College, Grinnell, Iowa (1969)
Ph.D. Department of Zoology, University of British Columbia (1974)
Employment History
1987-present Professor, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of
Washington.
1985-1987 Senior Fisheries Scientist, Tuna and Billfish Program, South Pacific
Commission, Noumea, New Caledonia
1980-1985 Adjunct Associate Professor, Institute of Animal Resource Ecology,
University of British Columbia.
1975-1980 Policy Analyst, Departments of Environment and Fisheries, Government
of Canada. Concurrently Honorary Lecturer, Institute of Animal Resource
Ecology, University of British Columbia.
1974-1975 Research Scholar. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis,
Laxenburg, Austria.
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Punt, A.E. and R. Hilborn. 1996. Biomass dynamics models. FAO Computerized Information
Series (Fisheries). No. 10. Rome, FAO. 62p.
Hilborn, R. and C. J. Walters. 1992. Quantitative Fisheries Stock Assessment: Choice,
Dynamics and Uncertainty. Chapman and Hall, New York. 570 p. Also available in
Russian.
Bazykin, A., P. Bunnell, W.C. Clark, G.C. Gallopin, J. Gross, R. Hilborn, C.S. Holling, D.D.
Jones, R.M. Peterman, J.E. Rabinovich, J.H. Steele, and C.J. Walters. 1978. Adaptive
Environmental Assessment and Management. John Wiley and Sons, New York. 375
pps.
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Hilborn, R., and Minte-Vera, C. V. 2008. Fisheries-induced changes in growth rates in marine
fisheries: are they significant? Bulletin of Marine Science 83: 95-105.
Westley, P. A. H., Hilborn, R., Quinn, T. P., Ruggerone, G. T., and Schindler, D. E. 2008. Long-
term changes in rearing habitat and downstream movement by juvenile sockeye salmon
(Oncorhynchus nerka) in an interconnected Alaska lake system. Ecology of Freshwater
Fishes. 17: 433-454.
Branch, T.A. and R. Hilborn. 2008. Matching catches to quotas in a multispecies trawl fishery:
targeting and avoidance behavior under individual transferable quotas. Canadian
Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 68: 1435-1446.
Gunderson, DR, Parma, AM, Hilborn, R, Cope, JM, Fluharty, DL, Miller, ML, Vetter, RD,
Heppell, SS, and Greene, HG. The challenge of managing nearshore rocky reef
resources. Fisheries. 2008. 33: 172-179.
Hard, J. J., Gross, M. R., Heino, M., Hilborn, R., Kope, R. G., Law, R., and Reynolds, J. D.
2008. Evolutionary consequences of fishing and their implications for salmon.
Evolutionary Applications 1: 388-408.
Grafton, R. Q., Hilborn, R., Ridgeway, L., Squires, D., Williams, M., Garcia, S., Groves, T.,
Joseph, J., Kelleher, K., Kompass, T., Libecap, G., Lunden, C. G., Makino, M.,
Matthiasson, T., McLoughlin, R., Parma, A., San Martin, G., Saita, B., Schmidt, C.-C.,
Tait, M., and Zhang, L. X. 2008. Positioning fisheries in a changing world. Marine
Policy 32: 630-634.
Martell, S. J. D., Walters, C. J., and Hilborn, R. 2008. Retrospective analysis of harvest
management performance for Bristol Bay and Fraser River sockeye salmon
(Oncorhynchus nerka). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 65: 409-
424.
Bue, B. G., Hilborn, R., and Link, M. R. 2008. Optimal harvesting considering biological and
economic objectives. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 65: 691-700.
de Mutsert, K., Cowan, J. H., Jr, Essington, T., and Hilborn, R. 2008. Reanalyses of Gulf of
Mexico fisheries data: Landings can be misleading in assessments of fisheries and
fisheries ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United
States of America. 105: 2740-2744.
Sethi, S. A., and Hilborn, R. 2008. Interactions between poaching and management policy affect
marine reserves as conservation tools. Biological Conservation 141: 506-516.
Carlson, S. M., Hilborn, R., Hendry, A. P., and Quinn, T. P. 2007. Predation by Bears Drives
Senescence in Natural Populations of Salmon. PLOS One. 2: e1286.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0001286.
Grafton, R. Q., Kompas, Q., and Hilborn, R. W. 2007. Economics of Overexploitation Revisited.
Science. 318: 1601.
Hilborn, R. 2007. Reinterpreting the state of fisheries and their management. Ecosystems. DOI:
10.1007/s10021-007-9100-5.
Hilborn, R. 2007. Managing fisheries is managing people: what has been learned? Fish and
Fisheries. 6: 285-296.
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Magnusson, A., and Hilborn, R. 2007. What makes fisheries data informative? Fish and
Fisheries. 8: 337-358.
Metzger, K. L., Sinclair, A. R. E., Campbell, K. L. I., Hilborn, R., Hopcraft, J. G. C., Mduma, S.
A. R. & Reich, R. M. 2007. Using historical data to establish baselines for
conservation: The black rhinoceros (Diceros bicornis) of the Serengeti as a case study.
Biological Conservation. 139:358-374.
Chasco, B., Hilborn, R., and Punt, A. E. 2007. Run reconstruction of mixed-stock salmon
fisheries using age-composition data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences 64: 1479-1490.
Naish, K. A., Taylor, J. E. I., Levin, P. S., Quinn, T. P., Winton, J. R., D., H., and Hilborn, R.
2008. An evaluation of the effects of conservation and fishery enhancement hatcheries
on wild populations of salmon. Advances in Marine Biology. 53: 61-194.
Walters, C. J., R. Hilborn, and R. H. Parrish. 2007. An equilibrium model for predicting the
efficacy of marine protected areas in coastal environments. Canadian Journal of
Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 64:1009-1018.
Ward, E. J., Hilborn, R., Towell, R. G., and Gerber, L. 2007. A state-space mixture approach for
estimating catastrophic events in time series data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and
Aquatic Sciences 64: 899-910.
Hilborn, R. 2007. Moving to Sustainability by Learning from Successful Fisheries. Ambio. 36:
296-303.
Hilborn, R. 2007. Biodiversity loss in the oceans: how bad is it? Science 316: 1281-1282.
Sinclair, A. R. E., A. R. Mduma Simon, J. G. C. Hopcraft, J. M. Fryxell, R. Hilborn, and S.
Thirgood. 2007. Long-Term ecosystem dynamics in the Serengeti: lessons for
conservation. Conservation Biology 21:580-590.
Hilborn, R. 2007. Faith, evolution, and the burden of proof - The author responds. Fisheries
32:91-93.
Hilborn, R., Hopcraft, G., and Arcese, P. 2007. Wildlife population increases in Serengeti
National Park - Response. Science. 315: 1790-1791.
Quinn, T.P., Hodgson, S., Flynn, L., Hilborn, R. and Rogers, D.E. 2007. Directional selection by
fisheries and the timing of sockeye salmon migrations. Ecological Applications 17: 731-
739
Hilborn, R. 2007. Defining success in fisheries and conflicts in objectives. Marine Policy 31:
153-158.
Hilborn, R., Arcese, P., Borner, M., Hando, J., Hopcraft, G., Loibooki, M., Mduma, S., and
Sinclair, A. R. E. 2006. Effective enforcement in a conservation area. Science. 314:
1266-1266.
Hilborn, R. 2006. Faith-based fisheries. Fisheries. 31: 554-555.
Hilborn, R. 2006. Salmon-farming impacts on wild salmon. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences. 103: 15277.
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Hilborn, R., Annala, J., and Holland, D. S. 2006. The cost of overfishing and management
strategies for new fisheries on slow-growing fish: orange roughy (Hoplostethus
atlanticus) in New Zealand. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63:
2149-2153.
Branch, T. A., Hilborn, R., Haynie, A. C., Fay, G., Flynn, L., Griffiths, J., Marshall, K. N.,
Randall, J. K., Scheuerell, J. M., Ward, E. J., and Young, M. 2006. Fleet dynamics and
fishermen behavior: lessons for fisheries managers. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and
Aquatic Sciences 63: 1647-1668.
Flynn, L., Punt, A. E., and Hilborn, R. 2006. A hierarchical model for salmon run reconstruction
and application to the Bristol Bay sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka) fishery. Canadian
Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 63: 1564-1577.
Hilborn, R. 2006. Fisheries success and failure: the case of the Bristol Bay salmon fishery.
Bulletin of Marine Science 78: 487-498.
Parma, A. M., Hilborn, R., and Orensanz, J. M. 2006. The good, the bad and the ugly: learning
from experience to achieve sustainable fisheries. Bulletin of Marine Science 78: 411-
428.
Scheuerell, M. D., Hilborn, R., Ruckelshaus, M. H., Bartz, K. K., Langueux, K. M., Haas, A. D.,
and Rawson, K. 2006. The Shiraz model: a tool for incorporating anthropogenic effects
and fish–habitat relationships in conservation planning. Canadian Journal of Fisheries
and Aquatic Sciences 63: 1596-1607.
Hobbs, N.T. and R. Hilborn. 2006. Alternatives to statistical hypothesis testing in ecology: a
guide to self teaching. Ecological Applications 16: 5-19.
Hilborn, R. Micheli, F. and DeLeo, G. 2006. Integrating Marine Protected Areas with catch
regulation. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 63: 642-649.
Grafton, R.Q., Arnason, R., Bjørndal, T., Campbell, D., Campbell, H.F., Clark, C.W., Connor,
R., Dupont, D.P., Hannesson, R., Hilborn, R., Kirkley, J.E., Kompas, T., Lane, D.E.,
Munro, G.R., Pascoe, S., Squires, D., Steinshamn, S.I., Turris, B.R., Weninger, Q. 2006.
Incentive-based approaches to sustainable fisheries. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and
Aquatic Sciences. 63: 699-710.
Branch, T. A., Rutherford, K., and Hilborn, R. 2006. Replacing trip limits with individual
transferable quotas: implications for discarding. Marine Policy. 30: 281-292.
Hodgson, S., Quinn, T.P. Hilborn, R., Francis, R.C. and D.E. Rogers. 2006. Marine and
freshwater climatic factors affecting interannual variation in the timing of return
migration to fresh water of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka). Fisheries
Oceanography 14:4 1-24.
Hilborn, R., J. K. Parrish, K. Litle 2005. Fishing Rights or Fishing Wrongs? Reviews in Fish
Biology and Fisheries 15, 191-198.
Walters, C. J., and Hilborn, R. 2005. Exploratory assessment of historical recruitment patterns
using relative abundance and catch data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences 62: 1985-1990.
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de Valpine, P. and R. Hilborn. 2005. State-space likelihoods for nonlinear fisheries time-series.
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62: 1937-1952.
Hyun, S-Y, Hilborn, R. Anderson J. and Ernst, B. 2005. A statistical model for in-season
forecasts of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) returns to the Bristol Bay districts of
Alaska. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62: 1665-1680.
Branch, T. A., Hilborn, R., and Bogazzi, E. 2005. Escaping the tyranny of the grid: a more
realistic way of defining fishing opportunities. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and
Aquatic Sciences 62: 631-642.
Sharma, R., Cooper, A. and R. Hilborn. 2005. A quantitative framework for the analysis of
habitat and hatchery practices on Pacific salmon. Ecological Modelling. 183: 231-250.
Hilborn, R., J. M. Orensanz, and A. M. Parma. 2005. Institutions, incentives and the future of
fisheries. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B-
Biological Sciences, 360:47-57.
Hilborn, R. 2005. Fisheries management. Issues in Science and Technology, 21:10-11.
Packer, C., Hilborn, R., Mosser, A., Kissui, B., Borner, M., Hopcraft, G., Wilmshurst, J.,
Mduma, S. and Sinclair, A R E. 2005. Ecological Change, Group Territoriality, and
Population Dynamics in Serengeti Lions. Science 307: 390-393
Valero, J., C. Hand, J.M. Orensanz, A. M. Parma, D.Armstrong, R. Hilborn. 2004. Geoduck
(Panopea abrupta) recruitment trends in the Pacific northwest: long-term changes in
relation to climate. California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations Report 45:
80-86.
Boatright, C., T. Quinn, and R. Hilborn. 2004. Timing of adult migration and stock structure for
sockeye salmon in Bear Lake, Alaska. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society,
133:911-921.
Orensanz, J. M., C. M. Hand, A. M. Parma, J. Valero, and R. Hilborn. 2004. Precaution in the
harvest of Methuselah’ s clams — the difficulty of getting timely feedback from
slowpaced dynamics. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 61: 1355-1372.
Hilborn, R., Punt, A.E., Orensanz, J. 2004. Beyond band-aids in fisheries management: fixing
world fisheries. Bulletin of Marine Science 74(3): 493-507.
Hilborn, R., Stokes, K. Maguire, J.J., Smith, A.D.M., Botsford, L.W., Mangel, M., Orensanz, J.,
Parma, A., ,Rice, J., Bell, J.. Cochrane, K.L., Garcia, S.,. Hall, S.J.,. Kirkwood, G.P.,
Sainsbury, K., Stefansson, G., Walters, C. J. 2004. When can marine reserves improve
fisheries management? Ocean and Coastal Management. 47/3-4 pp. 197-205.
Hilborn, R. 2004. Ecosystem-based fisheries management: the carrot or the stick? Marine
Ecology-Progress Series, 274:275-278.
Flynn, L. and R. Hilborn. 2004. Test fishery indices for sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka)
as affected by age composition and environmental variables. Canadian Journal of
Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61: 80-92
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Gende, S.M., Quinn, T.P., Hilborn, R., Hendry A.P. and Dickerson, B. 2004. Brown bears
selectively kill salmon with higher energy content but only in habitats that facilitate
choice. Oikos. 104: 518-528.
Norse, E. A., C. B. Grimes, S. Ralston, R. Hilborn, J. C. Castilla, S. R. Palumbi, D. Fraser, and
P. Kareiva. 2003. Marine reserves: the best option for our oceans? Frontiers in Ecology
and Environment. 1: 495-502.
Hilborn, R., T.A. Branch. B. Ernst, A Magnusson, C.V. Minte-Vera, M.D. Scheuerell, and J.L.
Valero. 2003. State of the world’
s fisheries. Annual Review of Environment and
Resources 28: 359-399.
Magnusson, A. and R. Hilborn. 2003. Estuarine influence on survival rates of coho
(Oncorhynchus kisutch) and chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) released
from hatcheries on the U.S. Pacific coast. Estuaries 26: 1094-1103.
Butterworth, D.S., J.N. Ianelli, R. Hilborn. 2003. A statistical model for stock assessment of
southern bluefin tuna with temporal changes in selectivity. South African Journal of
Marine Science 25: 331-361.
Cooper, Andrew B., Hilborn, Ray, Unsworth, James W. 2003: An approach for population
assessment in the absence of abundance indices. Ecological Applications: Vol. 13, No.
3, pp. 814–828
Barrowman, Nicholas J., Myers, Ransom A., Hilborn, Ray, Kehler, Daniel G., Field, Chris A.
2003: The variability among populations of coho salmon in the maximum reproductive
rate and depensation.. Ecological Applications: Vol. 13, No. 3, pp. 784–793.
Flynn, L., R. Hilborn and A.E. Punt. 2003. Identifying the spatial distribution of stocks of
migrating adult sockeye salmon using age composition data. Alaska Fishery Research
Bulletin 10: 50-60.
Stewart, I.J. R. Hilborn and T.P. Quinn. 2003. Coherence of observed adult sockeye salmon
abundance within and among spawning habitats in the Kvichak River watershed. Alaska
Fishery Research Bulletin 10: 28-41.
Hilborn, R. 2003. The state of the art in stock assessment: where we are and where we are
going. Scientia Marina 67 (supplement 1): 15-20.
Breen, P.A., R. Hilborn, M. Maunder, S. Kim . 2003. Comparing alternative harvest rules to
minimise the effects of squid fishery bycatch on Hooker’
s sea lions (Phocarctos
hookeri) in New Zealand. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 60:
527:541.
Hilborn, R., T.P. Quinn, D.E. Schindler and D.E. Rogers. 2003. Biocomplexity and fisheries
sustainability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 100: 6564-6568.
Cooper, A. B., J. C. Pinheiro, J.W. Unsworth and R. Hilborn. 2002. Predicting hunter success
rates from elk and hunter abundance, season structure, and habitat. Wildlife Society
Bulletin 30: 1068-1077.
Hilborn, R. 2002. The Dark Side of Reference Points. Bulletin of Marine Science. 70: 403-408
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Myers, R.A., N.J. Barrowman, R. Hilborn and D.G. Kehler. 2002. Inferring Bayesian priors
with limited direct data: applications to risk analysis. North American Journal of
Fisheries Management 22: 351-364.
Hilborn, R. 2002. Marine reserves and fisheries management. Science 295: 1233-1234.
Hilborn, R., A. Parma and M. Maunder. 2002. Exploitation rate reference points for west coast
rockfish: are they robust and are there better alternatives. North American Journal of
Fisheries Management 22: 365-375.
Schindler, D., T.E. Essington, J.F. Kitchell, C. Boggs and R. Hilborn. 2002. Sharks and tunas:
fisheries impacts on predators with contrasting life histories. Ecological Applications
12: 735-748.
Essington, T.E., J.F. Kitchell, C. Boggs, D.E. Schindler, R.J. Olson and R. Hilborn. 2002.
Alternative fisheries and the predation rate of yellowfin tuna in the eastern Pacific
Ocean. Ecological Applications 12: 724-734.
Rose, K.A., J.H. Cowan Jr., K.O. Winemiller, R.A. Myers and R. Hilborn. 2001. Compensatory
density dependence in fish populations: importance, controversy, understanding and
prognosis. Fish and Fisheries 2: 293-327.
Sharma, R. and R. Hilborn. 2001. Empirical relationships between watershed characteristics and
coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) smolt abundance in 14 western Washington
streams. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58:1453-1463.
Gerber, L.R. and R. Hilborn. 2001. Catastrophic events and recovery from low densities in
populations of otariids: implication for risk of extinction. Mammal Review 11: 131-
150.
Hilborn, R. and D. Eggers. 2001. A review of the hatchery programs for pink salmon in Prince
William Sound and Kodiak Island, Alaska: response to comment. Transactions of the
American Fisheries Society 130: 720-724.
Liermann, M. and R. Hilborn. 2001. Depensation, evidence, models and implications. Fish and
Fisheries 2: 33-58.
Hilborn, R. 2001. Calculation of biomass trend, exploitation rate and surplus production from
survey and catch data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58: 579-
584.
Hilborn, R., J.J. Maguire, A. M. Parma, and A. A. Rosenberg. 2001. The precautionary
approach and risk management: can they increase the probability of success in fisheries
management. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 58:99-107
Hilborn, R. and D. Eggers. 2000. A review of the hatchery programs for pink salmon in Prince
William Sound and Kodiak Island, Alaska. Transactions of the American Fisheries
Society 129: 333-350.
Hamon, T.R., C.J. Foote, R. Hilborn and D.E. Rogers. 2000. Selection on morphology of
spawning wild salmon by a gill-net fishery. Transactions of the American Fisheries
Society 129: 1300-1315.
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Maunder, M., Starr, P.J. and R. Hilborn. 2000. A Bayesian analysis to estimate loss in squid
catch due to the implementation of a sea lion population management plan. Marine
Mammal Science: 16: 413-426.
Mduma, S. Sinclair, A.R.E. and R. Hilborn. 1999. Food regulates the Serengeti wildebeest: a
forty-year record. Journal of Animal Ecology 68: 1101-1122.
Hilborn, R., B.G. Bue, and S. Sharr. 1999. Estimating spawning escapements from periodic
counts: a comparison of methods. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
56:888-896.
Hilborn, R. 1999. Confessions of a reformed hatchery basher. Fisheries 24: 30-31.
Hilborn, R. and M. Liermann. 1998. Standing on the shoulders of giants: learning from
experience. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 8: 273-283
Coronado, C. and R. Hilborn. 1998. Spatial and temporal factors affecting survival in coho
salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) in the Pacific Northwest. Canadian Journal of Fisheries
and Aquatic Sciences 55: 2067-2077.
Hilborn, R. 1998. The economic performance of marine stock enhancement projects. Bulletin of
Marine Science 62: 661-674
Coronado, C. and R. Hilborn. 1998. Spatial and temporal factors affecting survival in coho and
fall chinook salmon in the Pacific northwest. Bulletin of Marine Science 62: 409-425.
Orensanz, J.M., J. Armstrong, D. Armstrong and R. Hilborn. 1998. Crustacean resources are
vulnerable to serial depletion –the multifaceted declines of crab and shrimp fisheries in
the Greater Gulf of Alaska. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 8: 117-176
Starr, P., J.H. Annala and R. Hilborn. 1998. Contested stock assessment: two case studies.
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55: 529-537.
Prince J. and R. Hilborn. 1998. Concentration profiles and invertebrate fisheries management..
Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 125: 187-196.
Hilborn, R. 1997. Statistical hypothesis testing and decision theory in fisheries science.
Fisheries 22 (10): 19-20
Pascual, M.A., P. Kareiva and R. Hilborn. 1997. The influence of model structure on
conclusions about the viability and harvesting of Serengeti wildebeest. Conservation
Biology: 11: 966-976.
Starr, P.J., Breen, P.A., Hilborn, R. and T.H. Kendrick. 1997. Evaluation of a management
decision rule for a New Zealand rock lobster substock. Mar. Freshwater Res., 48: 1093-
1101.
Hilborn, R. 1997. Lobster stock assessment: report from a workshop; II. Mar. Freshwater Res.,
48: 945-947
Liermann, M. and R. Hilborn. 1997. Depensation in fish stocks: a hierarchic Bayesian meta-
analysis. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 54: 1976-1984.
Fogarty, M.J., Hilborn, R. and D. Gunderson. 1997. Chaos and parametric management.
Marine Policy 21: 187-194.
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Punt, A.E. and R. Hilborn. 1997. Fisheries stock assessment and decision analysis: the Bayesian
approach. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries. 7: 35-63.
Hilborn, R. 1997. Recruitment paradigms for fish stocks. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and
Aquatic Sciences 54: 984-985
Hilborn, R. 1996. Risk analysis in fisheries and natural resource management. Human Ecology
and Risk Assessment 2: 655-659.
Hilborn, R. 1996. Do principles for conservation help managers? Ecological Applications
6:364-365.
Hilborn, R. and D. Gunderson. 1996. Chaos and paradigms for fisheries management. Marine
Policy 20: 87-89.
Hilborn, R., C.J. Walters and D. Ludwig. 1995. Sustainable exploitation of renewable resources.
Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 26: 45-67.
Pascual, M. A., and R. Hilborn. 1995. Conservation of harvested populations in fluctuating
environments: the case of the Serengeti wildebeest. Journal of Applied Ecology 32:
468-480.
McAllister, M.M, E.K. Pikitch, A.E. Punt and R. Hilborn. 1994. A Bayesian approach to stock
assessment and harvest decisions using the sampling/importance resampling algorithm.
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 51: 2673-2687.
Anganuzzi, A., R. Hilborn and J. R. Skalski. 1994. Estimation of size selectivity and movement
rates from mark-recapture data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 51:
734-742
Punt, A.E. and R. Hilborn. 1994. A comparison of fishery models with and without cannibalism
with implications for the management of the Cape hake resource off southern Africa.
ICES Journal of Marine Science 51: 19-29
Winton, J. and R. Hilborn. 1994. Lessons from supplementation of chinook salmon in British
Columbia. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 14:1-13
Hilborn, R., E. K. Pikitch, and M. K. McAllister. 1994. A Bayesian estimation and decision
analysis for an age-structured model using biomass survey data. Fisheries Research 19:
17-30
Schnute, J. T. and R. Hilborn. 1993. Analysis of contradictory data sources in fish stock
assessment. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 50: 1916-1923
Polacheck, T., R. Hilborn and A. E. Punt. 1993. Fitting surplus production models: comparing
methods and measuring uncertainty. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences 50: 2597-2607.
Hilborn, R. and J. Winton. 1993. Learning to enhance salmon production: lessons from the
salmonid enhancement program. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
50: 2043-2056
Hilborn, R. and D. Ludwig. 1993. The limits of applied ecological research. Ecological
Applications 3: 550-552
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Ludwig, D., R. Hilborn, and C. Walters. 1993. Uncertainty, resource exploitation, and
conservation: lessons from history. Science 260: 17/ 36.
Hilborn, R., E. K. Pikitch, M. K. McAllister, and A. E. Punt. 1993. Use of Risk Analysis to
Assess Fishery Management Strategies - a Case-Study Using Orange Roughy
(Hoplostethus-Atlanticus) on the Chatham Rise, New-Zealand - Comment. Canadian
Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 50:1122-1125.
Hilborn, R., E.K. Pikitch, and R.C. Francis. 1993. Current trends in including risk and
uncertainty in stock assessment and harvest decisions. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 50: 874-
880.
Hilborn, R. 1992. Current and future trends in fisheries stock assessment and management.
South African Journal of Marine Science 12: 975-988.
Hilborn, R. 1992. Can fisheries agencies learn from experience? Fisheries 17:6-14.
Hilborn, R. 1992. Hatcheries and the future of salmon in the northwest. Fisheries. 17: 5-8.
Hilborn, R. 1992. Institutional learning and spawning channels for sockeye salmon
(Oncorhynchus nerka). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science 49:1126-
1136.
Hilborn, R. and R. Kennedy. 1992. Spatial pattern in catch rates: a test of economic theory.
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 54: 263-273.
Hilborn, R., and C. J. Krebs. 1992. Bias in the Minimum Number Alive Estimator - a Reply.
Canadian Journal of Zoology. 70:632-632.
Hilborn, R. 1991. Modeling the stability of fish schools: exchange of individual fish between
schools of skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and
Aquatic Sciences 48: 1081-1091.
Hilborn, R. 1990. Determination of fish movement patterns from tag recoveries using maximum
likelihood estimators. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 47: 635-
643.
Hilborn, R. 1989. Yield estimation for spatially connected populations: an example of surface
and longline fisheries for yellowfin tuna. North American Journal of Fisheries
Management. 9: 402-410.
Hilborn, R. 1989. Models of tag dynamics with exchange between available and unavailable
populations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 46: 1356-1366.
Hilborn, R. 1989. International Management of Tuna. Marine Policy, 13:166-166.
Hilborn, R. and P. Medley. 1989. Tuna purse seine fishing with fish aggregating devices:
models of tuna FAD interactions. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences.
46: 28-32.
Hilborn, R. and J. Sibert. 1988. Is international management of tuna necessary? Marine Policy.
January 1988 pp. 31-39.
Hilborn, R. and J. Sibert. 1988. Adaptive management of developing fisheries. Marine Policy.
April 1988 pp. 112-121.
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Hilborn, R. 1988. Determination of tag return from recaptured fish by sequential examination
for tags. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society. 117: 510-514.
Starr, P.J. and R. Hilborn. 1988. Reconstruction of harvest rates and stock contribution in
gauntlet salmon fisheries. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences.
45:2216-2229.
Hall, D.L, R. Hilborn, M. Stocker and C.J. Walters. 1988. Alternative harvest strategies for
Pacific Herring (Clupea harengus pallasi). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences. 45: 888-897.
Fried, S.M. and R. Hilborn. 1988. Inseason forecasting of Bristol Bay, Alaska, Sockeye Salmon
(Oncorhynchus nerka) abundance using Bayesian probability theory. Canadian Journal
of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 45: 850-855.
Hilborn, R. and W. Luedke. 1987. Rationalizing the irrational: a case study in user group
participation in Pacific salmon management. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences. 44: 1796-1805.
Hilborn, R. 1987. Living with uncertainty in resource management. North American Journal of
Fisheries Management. 7: 1-5.
Shardlow, T., R. Hilborn, and D. Lightly. 1987. Components analysis of instream escapement
methods for Pacific Salmon. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 44:
1031-1037.
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Walters. 1987. A general model for simulation of stock and fleet dynamics
in spatially heterogeneous fisheries. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences. 44: 1366-1370.
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Walters. 1987. Microcomputer simulation for training and teaching.
Environmental Software. 1: 156-163.
Hilborn, R. 1986. A comparison of alternative harvest tactics for invertebrate fisheries, p. 313-
317. In: G.S. Jamieson and N. Bourne [ed.] Canadian Special Publication in Fisheries
and Aquatic Sciences 92.
Hilborn, R. 1986. Some Remarks on Determinants of Catching Power in the British-Columbia
Salmon Purse Seine Fleet by Hilborn and Ledbetter - Reply. Canadian Journal of
Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 43:1086-1088.
Moussalli, E. and R. Hilborn. 1986. Optimal stock size and harvest rate in multistage life history
models. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 43: 135-141.
Renyard, T.S. and R. Hilborn. 1986. Sport angler preferences for alternative regulatory methods.
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 43: 240-242.
Lawson, T.A. and R. Hilborn. 1985. Equilibrium yields and yield isopleths from a general age-
structured model of harvested populations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences. 42: 1766-1771.
Hilborn, R. 1985. Simplified calculation of optimum spawning stock size from Rickers' stock
recruitment curve. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 42: 1834-1835.
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Hilborn, R. 1985. Fleet dynamics and individual variation: why some people catch more fish
than others. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 42: 2-13.
Hilborn, R. 1985. Apparent stock recruitment relationships in mixed stock fisheries. Canadian
Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 42: 718-723.
Shardlow, T. and R. Hilborn. 1985. Density dependent catchability coefficients. Transactions of
the American Fisheries Society. 114: 436-438.
Hilborn, R. and M. Ledbetter. 1985. Determinants of catching power in the B.C. salmon purse
seine fleet. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 42: 51-56.
Hilborn, R., C.J. Walters, R.M. Peterman and M.J. Staley. 1984. Models and fisheries: A case
study in implementation. North American Journal of Fisheries Management. 4: 9-15.
Walker, K.D., R.B. Rettig, and R. Hilborn. 1983. Analysis of multiple objectives in Oregon
coho salmon policy. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 40: 580-587.
Argue, A.W., R. Hilborn, R.M. Peterman, M.J. Staley, and C.J. Walters. 1983. The Strait of
Georgia Chinook and Coho fishery. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences. Bulletin 211.
Ludwig, D. and R. Hilborn. 1983. Adaptive probing strategies for age structured fish stocks.
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 40: 559-569.
Stocker, M. and R. Hilborn. 1982. Comment on "Short-term forecasting in marine fish stocks."
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 39: 1071-1072.
Hilborn, R. and S. Stearns. 1982. On inference in ecology and evolutionary biology: the problem
of multiple causes. Acta Biotheoretica. 32: 145-164.
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Walters. 1981. Pitfalls of environmental baseline and process studies.
Environmental Impact Assessment Review. 2: 265-278.
Stocker, M. and R. Hilborn. 1981. Short term forecasting in marine fish stocks. Canadian
Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 38: 1247-1254.
Yom-Tov, Y. and R. Hilborn. 1981. Energetic constraints on clutch size and time of breeding in
temperate zone birds. Oecologia. 48: 234-243.
Hilborn, R. 1979. Comparison of fisheries control systems that utilize catch and effort data.
Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada. 36: 1477-1489.
Hilborn, R. 1979. Some failures and successes at applying systems analysis to ecological
problems. Journal of Applied Systems Analysis. 6: 25-31.
Hilborn, R. and M. Ledbetter. 1979. Analysis of the British Columbia salmon purse seine fleet:
dynamics of movement. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada. 36: 384-
391.
Hilborn, R. 1979. Some long term dynamics of predator-prey models with diffusion. Ecological
Modelling. 6: 23-30.
Walters, C.J., R. Hilborn, R.M. Peterman and M. Staley. 1978. A model for examining early
ocean limitation of Pacific salmon production. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board
of Canada. 35: 1303-1315.
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Walters, C.J. and R. Hilborn. 1978. Ecological optimization and adaptive management. Annual
Review of Ecology and Systematics. 8: 157-188.
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Walters. 1977. Differing goals of salmon management on the Skeena
River. Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada. 34: 64-72.
Hilborn, R., C.J. Krebs, and J.A. Redfield. 1976. On the reliability of enumeration for mark and
recapture census of voles. Canadian Journal of Zoology. 54: 1019-1024.
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Krebs. 1976. Fates of disappearing individuals in fluctuating populations of
Microtus townsendi. Canadian Journal Zoology. 54: 1501-1520.
Hilborn, R. 1976. Optimal exploitation of multiple stocks by a common fishery. Journal of the
Fisheries Research Board of Canada. 33: 1-5.
Walters, C.J. and R. Hilborn. 1976. Adaptive control of fishing systems. Journal of the
Fisheries Research Board of Canada. 33: 145-159.
Krebs, C.J. I. Wingate, J. LeDuc, J. Redfield, M. Taitt and R. Hilborn. 1976. Microtus
population biology: dispersal in fluctuating populations of Microtus townsendi.
Canadian Journal of Zoology. 54: 79-95.
Hilborn, R. 1975. Similarities in dispersal tendency among siblings in four species of voles
(Microtus). Ecology. 56: 1221-1225.
Hilborn, R. 1975. The effect of spatial heterogeneity on the persistence of predator-prey
interactions. Theoretical Population Biology. 8: 346-355.
Walters, C.J., Bunnell, F., Hilborn, R., and R.M. Peterman. 1975. Computer simulation of
barren ground caribou dynamics. Ecological Modelling. 1: 303-315.
Himamowa, Bubu. 1975. The Obergurgl model: a microcosm of economic growth in relation to
limited ecological resources. Nature and Resources. 2: 10-21. (Himamowa is a
pseudonym for myself and six other authors)
Hilborn, R. 1974. Inheritance of skeletal polymorphism in Microtus californicus. Heredity. 33:
81-83.
Walters, C.J. R. Hilborn, E. Oguss, R. Peterman and J. Stander. 1974. Development of a
simulation model of Mallard duck populations. Canadian Wildlife Service Occasional
Paper No. 20: 1-34.
Hilborn, R. 1973. A control system for FORTRAN simulation programming. Simulation. 20:
172-175.
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Book Chapters
Hilborn, R. 2009. Life History Models for Salmon Management: The Challenges. In Pacific
salmon environmental and life history models: advancing science for sustainable salmon
in the future. Edited by E. E. Knudsen and J. H. J. Michael. American Fisheries Society,
Bethesda, Maryland. 71. pp. 23-32.
Scheuerell, M., and Hilborn, R. 2009. Estimating the freshwater component of essential fish
habitat for Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) with the Shiraz model. In Pacific
salmon environmental and life history models: advancing science for sustainable salmon
in the future. Edited by E. E. Knudsen and J. H. J. Michael. American Fisheries Society,
Bethesda, Maryland. 71. pp. 187-202.
Hilborn, R. 2009. Fisheries Management. Chapter VII.2 pps 689-694 in The Princeton Guide to
Ecology, Simon Levin editor.
Fryxell, J, Abrams, P, Holt, R, Wilmshurst, J, Sinclair, ARE, and Hilborn, R. 2008. Spatial
dynamics and coexistence of the Serengeti grazer community. In Serengeti III. human
impacts on ecosystem dynamics. Edited by A. R. E. Sinclair, C. Packer, Mduma, SAR
and J. Fryxell. University of Chicago Press, Chicago. pp. 277-300.
Costello, C, Burger, N, Galvin, KA, Hilborn, R, and Polasky, S. 2008. Dynamic consequences of
human behavior in the Serengeti ecosystem. In Serengeti III. human impacts on
ecosystem dynamics. Edited by A. R. E. Sinclair, C. Packer, Mduma,SAR and J.
Fryxell. University of Chicago press, Chicago. pp. 301-324.
Hilborn, R, Sinclair, ARE, and Fryxell, J. 2008. Propagation of change through a complex
ecosystem. In Serengeti III. human impacts on ecosystem dynamics. Edited by A. R. E.
Sinclair, C. Packer, Mduma. SAR and J. Fryxell. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
pp. 417-442.
Hilborn, R. 2008. Knowledge on how to achieve sustainable fisheries. In Fisheries for Global
Welfare and Environment, 5th World Fisheries Congress 2008. Edited by K.
Tsukamoto, T. Kawamura, T. Takeuchi, T. D. J. Beard and M. J. Kaiser. TERRAPUB,
Tokyo. pp. 45-56.
Hilborn, R. 2005. Are sustainable fisheries achievable? Pps 247-259 in Norse, E.A. and
Crowder, L.B. (eds.) Marine Conservation Biology. Island Press, 575 p.
Hilborn, R. 2004. Population management in stock enhancement and sea ranching. In Stock
enhancement and sea ranching: developments, pitfalls and opportunities. Edited by K.
M. Leber, S. Kitada, H. L. Blankenship and T. Svasand. Blackwell, Oxford, U.K. pp.
201-209.
Anderson, JL, RW Hilborn, RT Lackey, D Ludwig. 2003. Watershed restoration--adaptive
decision making in the face of uncertainty. Pages 203-232 in RC Wissmar, PA Bisson
(eds), Strategies for Restoring River Ecosystems: Sources of Variability and
Uncertainty in Natural and Managed Systems. Am. Fish. Soc., Bethesda.
Hilborn, R. 2001, Stock, recruitment and reference points: assessment and management of
Atlantic salmon. Prevost,-E.-(ed.); Chaput,-G.-(ed.) Paris France. Institut National de
la Recherche Agronomique 2001 pp. 177-193
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Hilborn, Ray. 1998. Challenges and progress in sustainable fisheries .pps 82-88. In The
Brundtland Commission’ s Report –10 Years. Edited by Guri Bang Søfting, George
Benneh, Kjetil Hindar, Lars Walløe and Anders Wijkman. Scandinavian University
Press, Oslo, Norway. 234 p.
Mduma, S.A.R., Hilborn, R. & Sinclair, A.R.E. 1998. Limits to exploitation of Serengeti
wildebeest and implications for its management. Dynamics of tropical communities, the
37th Symposium of the British Ecological Society (eds D.M. Newbery, H.B., H.H.T.
Prins & N.D. Brown) pp. 243-265. Blackwell Science, Oxford.
Hilborn, R. 1997. Uncertainty, Risk, and the Precautionary Principle. Pps 100-106 in Pikitch,
E.K, Huppert, DD. And M.P. Sissenwine (eds). Global Trends: Fisheries Management.
American Fisheries Society Symposium 20.
Hilborn, R. 1996. Computers in fisheries population dynamics. Pps 176-189 in B.E. Megrey
and E. Moksness (eds). Computers in Fisheries Research. Chapman and Hall, London
254 p.
Hilborn, R. 1995. A model to evaluate alternative management policies for the Serengeti-Mara
ecosystem. pps 617-637 in (A.R.E. Sinclair and P. Arcese eds). Serengeti II:
dynamics, management and conservation of an ecosystem. University of Chicago Press.
Hilborn, R. 1990 Marine Biota. pps 371-386 In : B.L. Turner III (ed.). The Earth as
Transformed by Human Action. Cambridge University Press.
Hilborn, R. and A.R.E. Sinclair. 1979. A simulation of the wildebeest population, other
ungulates and their predators. pps 287-309 In: Serengeti: Dynamics of an Ecosystem.
A.R.E. Sinclair and M. Norton-Griffiths, eds. University of Chicago Press.
Hilborn, R., and R. M. Peterman. 1977. Changing management objectives. pps 68-98 In:
Pacific salmon: management for people. D. V. Ellis ed. University of Victoria,
Western Geographic Series, Vol 13. Victoria, Canada
Reviews
Hilborn, R. 2007. Review of: Return to the River: Restoring Salmon to the Columbia River.
Restoration Ecology. 15: 747-748.
Hilborn, R. 2005. Review of “ Namibia’
s fisheries: economic, economic and social aspects”
.
Fish and Fisheries 6: 88.
Hilborn, R. 2003. Review of “Conservation of exploited species.”By Reynolds, J.D., G.M.
Mace, K.H. Redford and J.G. Robinson. Conservation Biology 17: 340-341.
Hilborn, R. 2000. Review of “ Dynamics of pelagic fish distribution and behaviour: effects on
fisheries and stock assessment.”By P. Freon and O. A. Misund. Transactions of the
American Fisheries Society 129: 887-887.
Hilborn, R. 1999. Review of "Stocking and introductions of fish." Edited by I.G. Cowx.
Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 9: 121-122.
Hilborn, R. 1995. Review of “ Fishing for Truth: A sociological Analysis of Northern Cod Stock
Assessments from 1977 to 1990”by A.C. Finlayson. Reviews in Fish Biology and
Fisheries 5: 461-462.
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Hilborn, R. 1995. Review of “Scaling Fisheries: The Science of Measuring the Effects of
Fishing, 1855-1955”by T.D. Smith. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 5: 122-123.
Hilborn, R. 1994. Review of “ On the Dynamics of Exploited Populations [reprint]”by R.J.H.
Beverton and S.J. Holt. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 4: 259-260.
Hilborn, R. 1992. Review of "Catch effort sampling strategies" edited by I.G. Cowx, in
Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries 2: 273-275.
Hilborn, R. 1990. Review of "Mathematical analysis of fish stock dynamics by E. Edwards and
B. Megrey" in Transactions of the American Fisheries Society.
Hilborn, R. 1990. Review of "Salmon production, management and allocation" edited by W. J.
McNeil" in Transactions of the American Fisheries Society.
Hilborn, R. 1981. Review of "Management and analysis of biological populations by B. Goh".
Quarterly Review of Biology 56:357.
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Hilborn, R. 1987. Spatial models of tuna dynamics in the western Pacific. pp 276-286 In: T.L.
Vincent, Y. Cohen, W.J. Grantham, G.P. Kirkwood and J.M. Skowronski (eds.)
Modeling and Management of Resources under Uncertainty, Proceedings of the Second
U.S.-Australia Workshop on Renewable Resource Management. Lecture Notes in
Biomathematics #72, Spring-Verlag, Berlin.
Hilborn, R. 1985. A comparison of harvest policies for mixed stock fisheries. pp 75-88 In:
Proceedings of the second Ralf Yorque conference, M. Mangel (ed.). Lecture notes in
Biomathematics #61. Springer Verlag..
Hilborn, R. and P.J. Starr. 1984. Making stock and recruitment work. In: P.E.K. Symons and M.
Waldichuk (eds.) Proceedings of the workshop on stream indexing for salmon
escapement estimation. Canadian Technical Report of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences.
No. 1326. pps 227-244.
Hilborn, R., C.S. Holling and C.J. Walters. 1980. Managing the unknown: approaches to
ecological policy design. pps 103-113 In "Biological Evaluation of Environmental
Impacts." U.S. Dept. of the Interior FWS/OBS-80/26.
Hilborn, R. 1979. Troubled waters over Pacific Salmon. pps 49-52 in F.J. Convery and B.R.
Strain (eds). U.S. dependency on Canadian natural resources: extent and significance.
Center for Resource and Environmental Policy Research, Canadian Studies Center,
Duke University.
Popular Articles
Halmay, P. and R. Hilborn. 2005. Community co-ops: the solution to small-scale U.S. fisheries?
National Fisherman. March 2005. p 8.
Hilborn, R. 2001. Comments on marine reserves. Western Outdoor News, June 29, 2001.
Hilborn, R. 2000. Why fishermen oppose stock rebuilding plans. National Fisherman May 2000
p 7.
Hilborn, R. 1999. Statistical issues in ecological risk assessment. Newsletter of the Section on
Statistics & the Environment of American Statistical Association. 3 (1): 1/5
Hilborn, R. 1995. Taking precautions: the implications of the precautionary approach for
commercial fisheries. Seafood New Zealand Vol 3 No 11 pps 12-13.
Hilborn, R. 1995. Fish stock collapses: lessons for New Zealand. Seafood New Zealand:9.
Hilborn, R. 1995. How many spawners is enough? Seafood New Zealand:16.
Hilborn, R. 1995. Is it dangerous to harvest spawning fish? Seafood New Zealand:21.
Hilborn, R. 1993. Controlling Johnny Salmonseed. The Osprey 17: 2/18.
Hilborn, R. Key to saving B.C. fishery is to reduce the costs of fishing. Vancouver Sun. March
9, 1984.
Hilborn, R. and C.J. Walters. Truth about wolves is lost in the howl. Vancouver Province
Sunday Supplement. Jan. 29, 1984.
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Hilborn, R. 1974. The S.E. Ridge on Ironman, Northern Selkirks. American Alpine Journal p.
164
Hilborn, R. 1973. Climbing in the Adamants. Canadian Alpine Journal 57: 75-77.
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