Energy Assesment
Energy Assesment
Energy Assesment
An economic and environmental assessment for selecting the optimum new renewable energy system for educational facility
Taehoon Hong a,n, Choongwan Koo a, Taehyun Kwak b, Hyo Seon Park a
a b
Department of Architectural Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 120-749, Republic of Korea Engineering Team/Development Part, Parsons Brinckerhoff, Seoul 135-763, Republic of Korea
art ic l e i nf o
Article history: Received 11 January 2012 Received in revised form 12 August 2013 Accepted 24 August 2013 Available online 19 September 2013 Keywords: New renewable energy Energy consumption Educational facility Energy simulation Life cycle Co2
a b s t r a c t
With the world's attention focused on climate change, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change provides the basis for global action to encourage sustainable development. A wide variety of measures are being taken in South Korea in line with this trend, but new and renewable energy (NRE) have been highlighted as sustainable energy sources. This study aims to assess the economic and environmental effects of the use of NRE for selecting the optimum NRE system in educational facilities. Towards this end, the following were done: (i) selection of facility and its applicable NRE system type; (ii) calculation of the energy generation by the NRE systems via energy simulation; (iii) life cycle cost analysis for the economic evaluation on the NRE systems; (iv) life cycle assessment for the environmental evaluation on the NRE systems; (v) using the net present value and the savings-to-investment ratio, comprehensive evaluation of the economic and environmental effects on the NRE systems. The results of this study can be used to (i) determine which NRE system is most appropriate for educational facilities; (ii) calculate the payback period for a certain investment; (iii) decide which location is proper for the implementation of an NRE system considering the characteristics of the regional climate; and (iv) select energy- and cost-efcient elementary schools where the NRE system can be applied. & 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Contents 1. 2. 3. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 Research framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 Selection of facility and its applicable type of new renewable energy systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 3.1. Selection of facilities under criteria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 3.2. Selection of applicable type of new renewable energy systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 3.2.1. Selection of PV system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 3.2.2. Selection of GSHP system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 Design of new renewable energy systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 4.1. Target generation of new renewable energy systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 4.2. Energy simulation on new renewable energy systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 4.2.1. Validation of the simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 4.2.2. Effects of photovoltaic system. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291 4.2.3. Effects of ground source heat pump system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292 Life cycle cost analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293 Life cycle assessment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 294 Analysis of life cycle cost and life cycle CO2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 294 7.1. Net present value (NPV) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 7.1.1. Economic and environmental analysis on S elementary school using NPV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 7.1.2. Economic and environmental analysis on I elementary school using NPV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296
4.
5. 6. 7.
Correspondence to: Yonsei University, 262 Seongsanno, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul 120-749, Republic of Korea. Tel.: 82 2 2123 5788; fax: 82 2 365 4668. E-mail address: hong7@yonsei.ac.kr (T. Hong).
1364-0321/$ - see front matter & 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.08.061
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Saving to investment ratio (SIR) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 7.2.1. Economic and environmental analyses on S elementary school using SIR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 7.2.2. Economic and environmental analyses on I elementary school using SIR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 8. Conclusions and discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299
7.2.
1. Introduction Faced with the problem of global warming and climate change, efforts to save energy and to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are being exerted all over the world. Under such circumstances, researches on new and renewable energy (NRE) are also actively being done [1]. As radioactive pollution and energy storage problems were highlighted in the wake of the nuclear-power-plant accident in Fukushima, Japan, the interest in NRE has been increased. Germany enacted the Renewable Energy Source Act in 2000, established the Sustainable Energy Supply Scenario, and set the target of replacing 50% of its total energy generation with NRE by 2050 [2]. China proposed the use and development of renewable energy as a prior task to be promoted in the energy area, and established a plan to invest US$740 billion in the next 10 years to increase the proportion of NRE by 2020. The U.S. established a plan to invest US$150 billion to achieve its target of replacing 25% of its total energy generation with NRE by 2025 [35]. For South Korea, the South Korean government is promoting various programs to expand the distribution of NRE, such as the 1 Million Green Homes Program, Regional Deployment Subsidy Program, Loans and Tax Incentive Program, and Mandatory Renewable Energy Installation Program. In particular, the implementation of the Mandatory Renewable Energy Installation Program was limited to new construction projects but was expanded in April 2011 to include the extension and reconstruction works of existing buildings [68]. In South Korea, NRE has been introduced to education facilities through programs for the improvement of the educational environment and the establishment of green schools and eco-schools. As the oor area ratios of educational facilities are relatively smaller compared to those of other facilities, such as multifamily housing or ofces, the effect of the introduction of NRE to educational facilities is expected to be greater. Nevertheless, as it is being promoted only as part of the educational-facility improvement program, there is a limit to the expansion of the distribution of NRE. Further, there is no clear general method for assessing the economic and environmental effects of the introduction of NRE. The previous studies on NRE system have been conducted from a variety of perspectives. First, the life cycle cost (LCC) and the life cycle cost CO2 (LCCO2) analyses of NRE systems have been conducted [917]. The application of the photovoltaic (PV) system to the roof of a hotel reduced the LCCO2 emissions by 1321% compared with the conventional system [9]. The energy payback period was analyzed through the sensitivity study of the electricity generation of stand-alone and grid-connected PV systems [10]. In another study, LCC and LCCO2 analyses of the ground source heat pump (GSHP) system and the existing oil boiler system were performed. As opposed to the existing oil boiler system, it was determined that about 50% of the LCCO2 emissions can be saved by applying the GSHP system, and that LCC savings amounting to over 50,00090,000 Japanese yen/year can be attained [11]. These studies simultaneously considered the economic and environmental effects by calculating the energy generated by NRE system and converting it to CO2 emissions. The amounts of CO2 emissions generated in the construction, operation and maintenance phases of NRE systems, however, were not considered.
Second, a life cycle assessment (LCA) on the materials used in each NRE system has been conducted to assess the environmental effects of the NRE systems [1822]. To assess the environmental effects of the renewable electricity systems (e.g., PV system, wind system, geothermal, steam turbine, etc.), the renewable heat systems (e.g., heating plant, central heating, solar thermal collectors, etc.), and the conventional system, the amounts of CO2 emissions were analyzed via LCA [19]. LCA was also conducted to assess the environmental effect of the PV system by type such as polycrystalline, mono-crystalline, and thin lms [20]. LCA was performed to assess the environmental impacts of the PV and maize-biogas systems. From the long-term point of view, the appropriate strategies of the aforementioned two systems were also proposed [21]. These studies deal with the CO2 generated in the process of material production for the NRE system. After the introduction of the NRE system, however, the amounts of CO2 emissions in the operation and maintenance phases were not considered. Third, the techno-economic analysis, experimental evaluation, and future outlook of NRE system have been conducted [2329]. To analyze the technical feasibility and nancial viability of gridconnected or stand-alone PV system, a computerized renewable energy assessment tool RETScreen was used [23,24]. To conduct the techno-economic appraisal of heat pump systems (e.g., groundcoupled, air-coupled, biogas, and solar heat pump) for space heating and cooling, experimental system was installed and tested [2527]. To establish the introduction strategy of PV system, a study was conducted to predict the scenarios in terms of the pessimistic, optimistic and realistic, and very optimistic views for three factors: initial investment cost, market penetration, and environmental performance [28]. Further, the economic effect of the introduction of an NRE system was assessed considering the price of the NRE system and the volatility of carbon price [29]. Although these studies conducted a validity test reecting the uncertainty of the introduction of the NRE system from various perspectives, the economic and environmental effects of the introduction of the NRE system were not demonstrated. Nevertheless, there have been insufcient studies providing a comprehensive method of assessing the economic and environmental effects of the NRE systems, and executing LCA based on such effects. In this study, an economic and environmental assessment for selecting the optimum NRE system was conducted. Educational facilities were also selected as a case study because their NRE introduction effects are expected to be large as their oor area ratios are small compared to the other facilities included in the Mandatory Renewable Energy Installation Program. This paper consists of the following ve steps: (i) selection of facility and its applicable NRE system type; (ii) calculation of the energy generation by the NRE systems via energy simulation; (iii) life cycle cost analysis for the economic evaluation on the NRE systems; (iv) life cycle assessment for the environmental evaluation on the NRE systems; (v) using the net present value and the savings-to-investment ratio, comprehensive evaluation of the economic and environmental effects on the NRE systems.
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2. Research framework The purpose of this study was to conduct an economic- and environmental-effect assessment for the NRE systems. The study process is shown in Fig. 1, and below are its details. First, the facilities that the NRE systems are applied to and their applicable NRE system type were selected, after which the facility usage data were examined and utilized as basic data for the energy simulation in the next stage. Then a market research on the NRE system was conducted, and the type of NRE system that is applicable to the corresponding facility was selected. Second, energy simulation using the NRE system selected in the previous stage was conducted to compute the amount of energy produced or substituted by such system, and the obtained value was used in the LCC analysis. The amount of energy produced or substituted, however, was converted to the amount of CO2 emissions and was used in the LCCO2 analysis. Third, economic evaluation was conducted before and after the introduction of the NRE system, via LCC analysis. The validity of the signicant cost of ownership was secured through a market research on the NRE system and an interview with the suppliers. Fourth, environmental evaluation was conducted before and after the introduction of the NRE system, via LCA. The composition of the materials was determined through the analysis of a bill of quantity on the NRE systems, and the amount of CO2 emissions in the material production phase was calculated. The amount of CO2 emissions by the repair and replacement work in the operation and maintenance phase was also calculated.
Fifth, using the results obtained from the LCC analysis and LCA, comprehensive economic and environmental evaluation was conducted before and after the introduction of the NRE systems. The NPV was used as an absolute index, and the SIR was utilized, with the return on investment (ROI) as a relative index.
3. Selection of facility and its applicable type of new renewable energy systems 3.1. Selection of facilities under criteria To conduct an economic- and environmental-effect assessment for the NRE systems in this study, a facility that has actually applied an NRE system was selected as a case study. The following criteria were applied to select the cases:
T. Hong et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 29 (2014) 286 300 Table 1 Description of S and I Elementary School. Class Year established Location No. of buildings Gross area (m2) Type of structure Air-conditioning area (m2) Cooling schedule Heating schedule Electricity consumption (kWh) Gas energy consumption (m3) CO2 emission from electricity consumption (tCO2) CO2 emission from gas energy consumption (tCO2) S Elementary School 2003 Seoul 4 11,406.80 Steel-reinforced concrete 7490.10 MaySeptember January-April, OctoberDecember 443,954.67 40,487.00 197.46 90.31 I Elementary School 1982 Goyang 2 7895.2 Steel-reinforced concrete 5367.9 MaySeptember JanuaryApril, OctoberDecember 353,353.67 6401.00 157.16 14.28
289
South Korea has four seasons, the actual data reecting the seasonal characteristics are required; and Educational facilities that implemented the gas-engine-drivenheat-pump (GHP) or electric-heat-pump (EHP) system as an air cooling and heating systems (to compare the GHP and EHP replacement effect according to the introduction of the GSHP system).
Table 2 Prole of the PV system (200 W). Classication Model name Output (w) Module efciency (%) Miscellaneous losses (%) Size(mm) PV System SM-200 PDO 200 15.2 3 980 1460 38
Based on the above criteria, two facilities were selected for the study: (i) S Elementary School, located in Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, South Korea; and (ii) I Elementary School, located in Ilsan-gu, Goyang-si, South Korea. S Elementary School introduced a 44 kW PV system in December 2009 and has replaced 7.5% of the annual energy consumption with PV energy. Moreover, it uses the GHP system as its cooling and heating system. I Elementary School, on the other hand, implemented the 42 kW PV system in December 2009 and has replaced 11.5% of the annual energy consumption with PV energy. Moreover, it uses the EHP system as its cooling and heating system. Table 1 provides data about S and I Elementary School with regard to their characteristics and energy consumption. 3.2. Selection of applicable type of new renewable energy systems There are nine types of NRE systems: solar photovoltaic energy (PV), solar thermal energy (STE), ground source heat pump (GSHP), wind energy (WE), fuel cell, hydrogen energy, bio energy, technology for energy recovery from waste, and liqueed petroleum gas (LPG). Of these, four are generally applied to buildings: PV, STE, GSHP, and WE. In this study, the PV and GSHP systems were selected as applicable NRE systems to S and I Elementary School. The STE and WE systems were excluded from this study for the reasons cited below.
in the region where the buildings are located, however, is 2.43 m/s, which does not meet the implementation standard. As such, the WE system was not considered suitable for the buildings.
3.2.1. Selection of PV system According to the materials of the solar cell, the PV system is divided into the crystalline and amorphous silicon solar cells. Among the various crystalline silicon solar cells [32], the monocrystalline and multi-crystalline solar modules are currently the most generally used in the South Korean market. As the schools that were selected for this study had actually applied the 200 W multi-crystalline module, such module was selected as the module to be applied to the energy simulation. The validity of the simulation result is reviewed by comparing the actual energy produced by the PV system and that produced in the energy simulation [24,33]. Table 2 shows the prole of the multicrystalline module found from the market research.
3.2.2. Selection of GSHP system The GSHP system is classied into the closed-loop vertical-type geothermal-energy system and the closed-loop horizontal-type geothermal-energy system, according to the type of holes drilled as part of a geotechnical investigation or environmental site assessment. Unlike the closed-loop horizontal-type geothermal-energy system, the closed-loop vertical-type geothermal-energy system does not largely rely on the geological and regional characteristics, and the required area for its establishment is small [34]. As the areas of the two selected schools playgrounds are large, there was no problem applying the closed-loop horizontal-type geothermal-energy system. Considering, however, that the systems can be expanded in the future, it was assumed that the two schools apply the closed-loop vertical-type geothermal-energy system that has higher efciency per area [35,36]. The air cooling and heating coefcient of
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performance, also called as the COP, of the closed-loop vertical-type geothermal-energy system are 5.17 and 4.81, respectively.
16.73 17.77 14.99 18.40 15.53 13.53 13.63 13.09 10.51 11.22 11.89 14.16 171.44
4. Design of new renewable energy systems 4.1. Target generation of new renewable energy systems S and I Elementary School introduced the PV system in December 2009. To compute the target energy generation of the NRE system, the amount of energy consumption by energy source in JanuaryDecember 2009, one year before the PV system was introduced, was analyzed. As the units of electricity and gas energy are different, the electricity and gas energy consumptions were converted to the quantity of CO2 emissions to unify the units. Eqs. (1) and (2) were used [37,38].
The amount of CO2 emission from electric energy consumption tCO2
1022.00 1716.00 1546.00 793.00 247.00 138.00 80.00 57.00 50.00 68.00 204.00 480.00 6401.00
2.28 3.83 3.45 1.77 0.55 0.31 0.18 0.13 0.11 0.15 0.46 1.07 14.28
I Elementary School
Electricity consumption
14.45 13.94 11.54 16.63 14.98 13.22 13.45 12.96 10.40 11.07 11.43 13.09 157.16
1
32,498.33 31,338.67 25,942.33 37,383.33 33,673.00 29,728.67 30,237.67 29,138.67 23,388.33 24,881.00 25,709.00 29,434.67 353,353.67
kWh
where, the ratio of the carbon emission factor of electric energy is 0.0001213tC/kWh, and the ratio of the molecular weight of CO2 to carbon is 44tCO2/12tC. The amount of CO2 emission from gas energy consumption tCO2 The yearly amount of gas energy consumption m3 tC The ratio of the carbon emission factor of gas energy m3 tCO2 The ratio of the molecular weight of CO2 to carbon tC 2 where, the ratio of the carbon emission factor of gas energy is 0.0006083tC/m3, and the ratio of the molecular weight of CO2 to carbon is 44tCO2/12tC. Table 3 shows the electricity and gas energy consumption and the quantity of CO2 emissions using Eqs. (1) and (2). First, S Elementary School introduced the 44 W PV system in December 2009 and replaced 7.5% of its annual energy consumption with PV energy. Therefore, the target generation of the NRE system was set at 7.5% of the annual energy consumption. That is, over 7.5% reduction of the quantity of CO2 emitted by energy consumption was targeted, which is equivalent to 21.58tCO2. It was converted to 48.53 MWh electricity and 9676 m3 gas energy. Second, I Elementary School introduced the 42 W PV system in December 2009 and replaced 11.5% of its energy being consumed annually with PV energy. Therefore, the target generation of the NRE system was set at 11.5% of the energy being consumed annually. That is, over 11.5% of the quantity of CO2 emitted by energy consumption was targeted, which is equivalent to 18.86tCO2. It was converted to 42.40 MWh electricity and 8454 m3 gas energy. 4.2. Energy simulation on new renewable energy systems 4.2.1. Validation of the simulation The PV system is an NRE system that can produce electricity. The target generation was set to replace 7.5% and 11.5% of the annual energy consumed by S and I Elementary School, respectively, by introducing the NRE system. Table 4 compares the actual electricity generation of the PV system established in S and I
Electricity consumption
S Elementary School
Monthly
Jan. 2009 Feb. 2009 Mar. 2009 Apr. 2009 May. 2009 Jun. 2009 Jul. 2009 Aug. 2009 Sep. 2009 Oct. 2009 Nov. 2009 Dec. 2009 Sum
50,020.67 44,579.67 42,443.33 44,249.00 40,536.00 27,180.67 30,931.33 31,983.67 28,136.00 31,718.67 28,694.33 43,481.33 443,954.67
22.25 19.83 18.88 19.68 18.03 12.09 13.76 14.23 12.51 14.11 12.76 19.34 197.46
7757.90 3998.05 2917.13 570.61 238.19 2756.57 5722.69 4322.92 3431.96 499.00 2740.74 5531.23 40,487.00
17.30 8.92 6.51 1.27 0.53 6.15 12.76 9.64 7.66 1.11 6.11 12.34 90.31
39.55 28.75 25.38 20.95 18.56 18.24 26.52 23.87 20.17 15.22 18.88 31.68 287.76
T. Hong et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 29 (2014) 286 300 Table 4 Comparison between actual electricity generation and simulation-based electricity generation. Monthly S Elementary School Actual electricity generation (kWh) Jan. 2010 Feb. 2010 Mar. 2010 Apr. 2010 May. 2010 Jun. 2010 Jul. 2010 Aug. 2010 Sep. 2010 Oct. 2010 Nov. 2010 Dec. 2010 3436 3947 4204 5007 5298 3072 3548 3420 3918 4785 4068 3249 Simulation-based electricity generation (kWh) 3482 3956 4685 5044 5101 4361 3446 3877 4112 4276 3243 3055 Error (%) CV (RMSE) (%) I Elementary School Actual electricity generation (kWh) 4040 3449 3208 4260 4462 4049 3551 3343 3602 4255 3608 2791 Simulation-based electricity generation (kWh) 3213 3671 4404 4773 4868 4167 3286 3685 3879 3997 2999 2814 Error (%)
291
1.3% 0.2% 11.4% 0.7% 3.7% 42.0% 2.9% 13.4% 5.0% 10.6% 20.3% 6.0%
13.43%
20.5% 6.4% 37.3% 12.0% 9.1% 2.9% 7.5% 10.2% 7.7% 6.1% 16.9% 0.8%
Elementary School for one year (2010) with simulation-based electricity generation. To secure the validity of the energy simulation results, the coefcient of variation of the root mean square error (CV(RMSE)) proposed by ASHRAE was computed using eq. (3). The validity of the energy simulation was secured only when the result was within 25% [39]. s CV RMSE
i1 n
The CV(RMSE) of S and I Elementary School were yielded at 13.43% and 14.27%, respectively. Both cases met the required value within the 25% margin of error. Thus, the validity of the energy simulation was secured.
100
i1
where, CV(RMSE) is the coefcient of the variation of the root mean square error, AEG is the actual electricity generation, SEG is the simulation-based electricity generation, and n is the number of data (months).
4.2.2. Effects of photovoltaic system Fig. 2 shows the energy consumption by energy source of S Elementary School before and after the introduction of the PV system. The shaded area indicated as (A) is the reduced amount of electricity consumption through the PV system. That is, it is the amount of electricity produced by the PV system, which is about 48.65 MWh (Note that as the PV system is an NRE system that produces electricity, it does not inuence gas energy consumption.) Fig. 3 shows the energy consumption by energy source of I Elementary School before and after the introduction of the PV system. The shaded area indicated as (A) is the reduced amount of electricity
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consumption through the PV system. That is, it is the amount of electricity produced by the PV system, which is about 45.76 MWh.
4.2.3. Effects of ground source heat pump system The GSHP system is an NRE system that can replace heating and cooling energy. S and I Elementary School set the target generation to replace 7.5% and 11.5% of their annual energy consumption, respectively. When operating the GSHP system, however, it is necessary to set the target generation considering the additional electricity needed to run the system. Therefore, such additional electricity was considered in establishing the target generation, and below are the standards for setting the target generation for the introduction of the GSHP system in each schools.
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Table 5 Signicant cost of ownership for LCC analysis. Classication S Elementary School PV Initial investment cost (US$) Government subsidy Repair cost and cycle Replacement cycle (years) Annual energy consumption (MWh) GSHP I Elementary School PV GSHP
124,293 102,314 120,729 108,808 Half of the initial cost Half of the initial cost Half of the initial cost Half of the initial cost 0.5% of the initial cost per year 1.5% of the initial cost per year 0.5% of the initial cost per year 1.5% of the initial cost per year 25 40 25 40 0 61.0 0 56.60
simulation result, about 56.6 MWh electricity is additionally being used to run the GSHP system (32.2 MWh for heating, 24.4 MWh for cooling). Converted to the quantity of CO2 emissions, it is about 14.7% of the annual energy consumption of the school. Thus, 14.7% was added to the previously set target generation of 11.5%, and the target generation was therefore reset to about 26.2% of the annual energy consumption of the school. To meet this target, it was determined that the GSHP system needs to replace 100% of the cooling and heating energy being consumed by the school based on the EHP system. Fig. 4 presents the energy consumption by energy source for S Elementary School before and after the introduction of the GSHP system. The shaded area indicated as (A) is the increased amount of electricity consumption after the introduction of the GSHP system, and the shaded area indicated as (B) is the reduced amount of gas energy consumption. Fig. 5 shows the energy consumption by energy source of I Elementary School before and after the introduction of the GSHP system. The shaded area indicated as (A) is the reduced amount of electricity consumption after the introduction of the GSHP system.
(ECOS) and the Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) [41,42], the real discount rate on the ination rate (3.30%), the electricity price growth rate (0.66%), the gas price growth rate (0.11%), and the CO2 emission trading price growth rate (2.66%) were calculated, respectively, as follows: i 1 in 1 1 f 4
5. Life cycle cost analysis For LCC analysis, assumptions on various considerable factors are required [40]. First, the ination rate, interest rate, the electricity price growth rate, the gas price growth rate, and the CO2 emission trading price growth rate were determined, and the real discount rate was computed by applying them to Eq. (4). Based on the data provided by the Bank of Korea Economic Statistics System
where, i is the real discount rate, in is the nominal interest rate, and f is the ination rate, the electricity price growth rate, the gas price growth rate, and the carbon dioxide emission trading price growth rate. Second, the analysis period for LCC should be set. The two selected schools were both reinforced-concrete buildings. Thus, the service life of both buildings was set at 40 years, based on the service life of reinforced-concrete buildings in the standard service life and service life scope chart for buildings in the Enforcement Regulation of the Corporate Income Tax Act in South Korea [43]. As S Elementary School, however, was built in 2003 and is thus now 6 years old, its analysis period for LCC was set at 34 years. As for I Elementary School, it was established in 1982 and was extended and reconstructed in 1992, which extended the service life of the building. As such, the age of I Elementary School was set at 17 years, and its analysis period for LCC was set at 23 years. Third, the signicant cost of ownership had to be established for LCC analysis [4446]. This includes the consideration of the initial investment cost, operation and maintenance cost, and demolition cost. It was assumed in this study, however, that the waste disposal cost set off the salvage value, which corresponds to two components of the demolition cost, for which reason the demolition cost was excluded from the analysis. Therefore, only the
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Table 6 CO2 emissions from the materials (or equipment) of the NRE systems. Type Phase Materials (or Equipment) S Elementary School Quantity of CO2 emission by material (kg) PV Preceding process PV material Waterproong and grouting Module Cell Glass Frame Inverter Connection box Steel structure (hot-dip galvanizing) Power cable Wire way Other materials (bolt, nut, washer) Heat pump Heat transfer circulating pump Supplemental pump Heat-charging water storage tank Expansion tank Borehole Black pipe casing Vertical-loop piping Geothermal-piping parts Geothermal horizontal pipe Antifreeze PG Grouting Bentonite Trench piping Excavation and relling Fuel of equipment Copper pipe and component Electrical devices Other materials 650,976 1,219,402 180,166 184,798 747,418 16,243 821,987 47,875 14,363 15,509 782,449 68,906 7421 5417 72,791 2,017,604 64,691 373,304 135,126 336,520 151,366 108,640 127,470 160,484 1,051,626 606,647 51,816 Sum of quantity of CO2 emission by system (kg) 3,898,737 I Elementary School Quantity of CO2 emission by material (kg) 607,577 1,163,975 171,977 176,398 717,521 16,243 784,624 47,875 13,724 14,992 853,581 82,687 8905 9849 132,347 2,017,604 64,691 388,859 128,984 367,113 150,386 114,072 127,470 192,581 1,147,228 662,184 56,527 Sum of quantity of CO2 emission by system (kg) 3,714,905
PV construction
GSHP
GSHP material
6,122,277
6,505,065
GSHP construction
initial investment cost and operation and maintenance cost were considered in the LCC analysis. The details of the initial investment cost and operation and maintenance cost of NRE systems were from obtained an interview with an expert in the eld of a leading manufacturer and supplier of NRE system in South Korea. Further, the amounts of energy produced by the PV and GSHP systems were calculated via energy simulation, and these were used as the bases of the energy cost out of the total operation cost. Table 5 provides the signicant cost of ownership for LCC analysis: the initial investment cost, government subsidy, repair cost and cycle, replacement cycle, and annual energy consumption of the PV and GSHP systems to be applied to S and I Elementary Schools. The detailed LCC analysis results are provided in the following sections.
6. Life cycle assessment In this study, LCA was also conducted for the PV and GSHP systems. LCA is a methodology for analyzing the amount of CO2 emissions for the entire life cycle of a building, from material production to waste disposal. It uses the LCI database, which lists the data regarding the amount of resources inputted and the wastes generated during the entire life cycle of a building, from the excavation of the raw materials to the nal disposal of each product unit (function unit). It can be used to calculate the amount of CO2 emitted to the environment. In this study, the LCI database developed by the Ministry of Environment, the Ministry of Knowledge Economy, and the Ministry of Land, Transport, and Maritime Affairs in South Korea was applied. To conduct LCA, the material compositions of the NRE systems must be determined. The material compositions of the NRE systems were established according to their target generation that was reected on the results of the energy simulation. These were
organized based on the detailed bills of quantities obtained from the production factories and installation companies of the NRE systems. The amount of CO2 emissions according to the fuel consumption of the equipment, which is used to construct the system, was also considered. The LCA for the PV system was classied into the preceding process, the PV system materials, and the PV system construction. The preceding process consisted of waterproong and grouping. The PV system materials included a module (cell, glass, and frame), an inverter, and a connection box. Finally, the PV system construction included a steel structure, a power cable, a wire way, and other materials. The LCA for the GSHP system was classied into the GSHP equipment, GSHP construction, and plumbing HVAC engineering parts. The GSHP equipment included a heat pump, a heat transfer circulating pump, a supplementary pump, a heat-charging water storage tank, and an expansion tank. The GSHP construction included a borehole, a black pipe casing, a vertical-loop piping, geothermal-piping parts, a geothermal horizontal pipe, antifreeze, grouting, trench piping, and the fuel of the equipment for excavating and relling (excavator). Finally, the plumbing HVAC engineering parts included a copper pipe and component, electrical tools, and other materials. Table 6 shows the material compositions of the PV and GSHP systems, and the equipment used in their respective construction processes. The amounts of CO2 emitted by the factors are provided by school.
7. Analysis of life cycle cost and life cycle CO2 Based on the results of the previously conducted LCC and LCA, the economic and environmental effects of each NRE system were determined. First, in the economic aspect, the initial investment cost,
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Fig. 6. Economic analysis for the NRE systems in S Elementary School (based on the NPV).
Fig. 7. Environmental analysis for the NRE systems in S Elementary School (based on the NPV).
maintenance cost for repair and replacement, and operation cost for electricity and gas energy consumption were considered. Second, in the environmental aspect, the amounts of CO2 emissions by initial construction work, by repair and replacement work, and by electricity and gas energy consumption were considered. The total amount of CO2 emissions over the entire life cycles of the schools were applied to the LCC and LCCO2 analyses. The amounts of CO2 emissions were converted to economic values using the prot from the sale of carbon credits, called certied emission reductions (CERs) (US$4.55/tCO2eq.) [47]. 7.1. Net present value (NPV) Net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of benets and the present value of costs. NPV is used to analyze the absolute protability of projects [48]. The protability of the project is generally accepted when NPV 4 0 and when it is judged to occur the break-even point (BEP) within the analysis period. In this study, NPV was calculated using Eq. (5). NPV
n Bt Ct t 1 r 1 r t t0 t0 n
where NPV is the net present value, Bt the benet in year t, Ct the cost in year t, r the real discount rate, and n the LCA period.
7.1.1. Economic and environmental analysis on S elementary school using NPV Figs. 6 and 7 show the results of the economic and environmental analyses that were conducted in this study with regard to the effects of the introduction of the PV and GSHP systems to S Elementary School. Fig. 6 shows the results of the economic analysis based on the NPV. Compared to the existing facility, it was determined that the PV system saves US$29,859 (NPV US$29,859) and that the GSHP system saves US$291,099 (NPV US$291,099). The amount of cost saved by the PV system is largely inferior to that saved by the GSHP system. This is because the replacement of the PV system occurs within the LCC analysis period of 34 years as the end of service life of the PV system is 25 years. Further, the improvement effect of the GSHP system is very high. The previous studies suggested the efciency of the cooling and heating systems to be in the order of GSHP 4 EHP 4 GHP [49].
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Fig. 8. Economic analysis for the NRE systems in I Elementary School (based on the NPV).
Fig. 9. Environmental analysis for the NRE systems in I Elementary School (based on the NPV).
Fig. 7 shows the results of the environmental analysis based on the NPV. Compared to the existing facility, it was determined that the PV system adds US$24,503 to the environmental cost (NPV US$24,503) and that the GSHP system adds US$33,059 to the same (NPV US$33,059). This is because the embedded CO2 emissions by each material comprising the PV and GSHP systems are very high. Therefore, efforts should be exerted to reduce the amounts of CO2 emitted in the production processes of the materials comprising the NRE system. Moreover, considering the trends of the reduction of the initial investment cost of the NRE system and the increase in its energy generation efciency, the results of the environmental analysis are expected to gradually improve in the future [5052].
7.1.2. Economic and environmental analysis on I elementary school using NPV Figs. 8 and 9 show the results of the economic and environmental analyses that were conducted in this study with regard to the effects of the introduction of the PV and GSHP systems to I Elementary School.
Fig. 8 shows the results of the economic analysis based on the NPV. Compared to the existing facility, it was determined that the PV system saves US$43,384 (NPV US$43,384) and that the GSHP system saves US$38,252 (NPV US$38,252). The amount of cost saved by the PV system is slightly higher than that saved by the GSHP system. It is different from the result of the analysis on S Elementary School. This is because the replacement of the PV system does not occur within the LCC analysis period of 24 years for I Elementary School as the end of service life of the PV system is 25 years. Moreover, the improvement effect of the GSHP system is inadequate. That is, as the EHP system applied to the existing facility showed sufcient efciency, the improvement effect of the introduction of the GSHP system is not large enough. The previous studies suggest the efciency of the cooling and heating systems to be in the order of GSHP 4 EHP 4 GHP [49]. Fig. 9 shows the results of the environmental analysis based on the NPV. Compared to the existing facility, it was determined that the PV system adds US$16,194 to the environmental cost (NPV US$16,194) and that the GSHP system adds US$34,388 to the same (NPV US$34,888). This is because the embedded CO2 emissions by each material comprising the PV and GSHP systems are very high. Therefore, efforts should be exerted to reduce the
Table 7 SIR of the PV and GSHP systems from the economic and environmental points of view. Year S Case PV GSHP I Case PV GSHP Year S Case PV GSHP I Case PV GSHP Year S Case PV GSHP I Case PV GSHP Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic Economic analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis analysis and environmental analysis 11 0.83 0.66 1.80 1.23 0.86 0.69 0.85 0.58 24 1.62 1.31 3.39 2.36 1 0.08 0.07 0.20 0.13 0.09 0.07 0.10 0.07 12 0.90 0.72 1.94 1.32 0.92 0.74 0.91 0.63 25 0.94 0.84 3.51 2.44 2 0.17 0.13 0.39 0.26 0.17 0.14 0.19 0.13 13 0.96 0.77 2.07 1.41 0.99 0.80 0.97 0.67 26 0.98 0.87 3.62 2.52 3 0.25 0.20 0.58 0.38 0.25 0.20 0.28 0.19 14 1.03 0.82 2.20 1.51 1.06 0.85 1.03 0.71 15 1.09 0.87 2.33 1.59 1.12 0.91 1.08 0.75 27 1.01 0.90 3.73 2.60 4 0.32 0.26 0.75 0.50 0.34 0.27 0.36 0.24 16 1.15 0.92 2.45 1.68 1.19 0.96 1.13 0.78 28 1.04 0.92 3.84 2.68 5 0.40 0.32 0.92 0.61 0.41 0.33 0.44 0.30 17 1.21 0.97 2.57 1.77 1.25 1.01 1.18 0.82 29 1.07 0.95 3.95 2.76 6 0.48 0.38 1.08 0.72 0.49 0.39 0.52 0.35 18 1.27 1.02 2.69 1.86 1.32 1.06 1.23 0.86 30 1.10 0.98 4.06 2.84 7 0.55 0.44 1.23 0.83 0.57 0.45 0.59 0.40 19 1.33 1.07 2.81 1.94 1.38 1.11 1.28 0.89 31 1.13 1.01 4.17 2.92 20 1.39 1.12 2.93 2.03 1.44 1.16 1.33 0.93 32 1.17 1.03 4.28 3.00 8 0.62 0.50 1.38 0.93 0.64 0.51 0.66 0.45 21 1.45 1.17 3.05 2.11 1.50 1.21 1.38 0.96 9 0.69 0.55 1.53 1.03 0.71 0.57 0.73 0.50 22 1.51 1.22 3.16 2.19 1.56 1.26 1.43 1.00 33 1.20 1.06 4.39 3.07 10 0.76 0.61 1.67 1.13 0.79 0.63 0.79 0.54 23 1.57 1.26 3.28 2.28 1.62 1.31 1.47 1.03 34 1.23 1.09 4.50 3.15
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Note: The shaded areas stands for the periods with SIR 4 1 where the BEP is generated. They sometimes do not continuously appear due to the replacement of the NRE systems.
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quantities of CO2 emitted in the production processes of the materials comprising the NRE system. The initial investment cost of the NRE system, however, is continuously decreasing, and its energy generation efciency is growing. Considering these, it is expected that the result of the environmental analysis will gradually improve in the future [5052]. 7.2. Saving to investment ratio (SIR) The savings-to-investment ratio (SIR) method is the ratio of the present value of savings to the present value of investments. SIR is used to analyze the relative protability of projects [48]. When SIR Z 1, the protability of the project is accepted. In LCC analysis, while the NPV method is an absolute evaluation method, the SIR method is a relative one. Table 7 shows the results of the economic and environmental analyses for the PV and GSHP systems using the SIR method. The SIR was calculated using Eq. (6).
n St 1 r t
because the environmental cost was added due to the embedded CO2 emissions by material. Second, the results of the economic analysis for the GSHP system showed that SIR Z 1 appeared in the 14th year after the introduction of the system. Based on the comprehensive evaluation results in both the economic and environmental aspects, however, SIR Z 1 appeared in the 22nd year, which was eight years later. Namely, the BEP (SIR 1.03 and 1.00, respectively) occurred. This is because the environmental cost was added due to the embedded CO2 emissions by material.
8. Conclusions and discussion This study aimed to evaluate the economic and environmental effects of NRE systems for the selection of the optimum NRE system for educational facilities. By conducting a multilateral analysis on the results of the energy simulation, the energy generation (or substitution) effect was evaluated by applying the PV and GSHP systems as NRE systems. Furthermore, LCC analysis, including the analysis of the LCCO2 (e.g., the embedded CO2 emissions by material or CO2 emissions by energy consumption), was conducted to assess the economic and environmental effects of the introduction of the NRE systems, using several methods, such as the NPV and SIR methods. The effects of the introduction of the NRE system to S and I Elementary School were evaluated through an economic- and environmental-assessment proposed in the study. First, the evaluation results for S Elementary School are shown below.
SIR
t0
t n t 0 I t =1 r
where, SIR is the savings-to-investment ratio, St the savings in year t, It the investment in year t, r the real discount rate, and n the LCA period. 7.2.1. Economic and environmental analyses on S elementary school using SIR First, it was determined from the economic analysis that SIR Z 1 appeared in the14th year after the introduction of the PV system. Namely, the BEP (SIR 1.03) occurs. As the PV system, however, was replaced in the 25th year, SIR o 1 in the 25th and 26th years; as such the BEP did not occur. Nevertheless, the BEP reappeared in the 27th year due to energy-saving effect. In the comprehensive evaluation of the economic and environmental effects, it was determined that SIR Z 1 was achieved in the 18th years after the PV system is introduced. Namely, the BEP (SIR 1.02) occurs. As with the result of the economic analysis, however, the PV system is replaced in the 25th year; as such, the BEP does not occur within the period between the 25th and 30th years. Nevertheless, the BEP reappears in the 31st year due to the energy-saving and environmental-cost-saving effects. In this study, in the comprehensive evaluation of the economic analysis along with environmental analysis, the BEP appeared at a later time. As with the result of the NPV analysis, this was because the environmental cost was added due to the embedded CO2 emissions by material. Second, it was determined in the economic analysis for the GSHP system that SIR Z 1 appeared in the 6th year after the introduction of the system. Based on the comprehensive evaluation results in both the economic and environmental aspects, however, SIR Z 1 appeared in the 9th year, which was three years later. Namely, the BEP (SIR 1.08 and 1.03, respectively) occurred. This is because the environmental cost was added due to the embedded CO2 emissions by material. 7.2.2. Economic and environmental analyses on I elementary school using SIR First, the results of the economic analysis for the PV system showed that SIR Z 1 appeared in the 14th year after the introduction of the system. Based on the comprehensive evaluation results in both the economic and environmental aspects, however, SIR Z 1 appeared in the 17th year, which was three years later. Namely, the BEP (SIR 1.06 and 1.01, respectively) occurred. This is
Second, the evaluation results for I Elementary School are shown below.
Third, the results of the economic evaluation for both facilities were found to be superior to the results of the economic and environmental evaluation. This is because the embedded CO2
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emissions by material comprising the NRE system are very high and is not covered by the energy-saving effect. In this study, economic and environmental evaluation was conducted for the PV and GSHP systems, and the following multidimensional analyses are suggested to be performed in the future studies: (i) various analyses of other NRE systems, such as the STE and WE systems; (ii) sensitivity analysis of the NRE systems considering the recent trends in the reduction of the initial investment cost and in the improvement of the energy generation efciency; and (iii) comparative analysis of the effects of introducing energy-saving measures (ESMs) and NRE systems. With regard to this, the development of an optimum design model for the NRE systems using a genetic algorithm is under way. It is expected that the results of this study can be used to (i) determine which NRE system is most appropriate for a specic facility; (ii) calculate the payback period for a certain investment; (iii) decide which location is proper for the implementation of the NRE system considering the characteristics of the regional climate; and (iv) select energy- and cost-efcient elementary schools where the NRE system can be applied.
Acknowledgments This research was supported by a Grant from High-Tech Urban Development Program (10CHUD-C03) funded by the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime affairs, South Korea. This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) Grant funded by the Korea government (MSIP; Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning) (No. 2012004376 and No. 20120001247). References
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