Ldcr2012 Ch4 en
Ldcr2012 Ch4 en
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U n i t e d N at i o n s C o n f e r e n c e o n T r a d e A n d D e v e l o p m e n t
Chapter 4
CHAPTER
86
A. Introduction
The issues of brain drain, brain gain, brain circulation and the effects of
diaspora networks on home countries are very contentious. They involve complex
processes produced by economic, political and social factors and strongly
influenced by policies in both sending and receiving countries. Mainstream
academic and policy discussions have swung from a pessimistic view to a
rather optimistic position on these processes. A significant share of the literature
is theoretical, but lacks empirical validation. Another portion of research focuses
on national or local case studies, the conclusions of which cannot always be
generalized. There is scarcely any study of these processes for the group of
The potential contribution stemming LDCs, which is what this chapter strives to do.1 It shows that brain drain is
from diaspora is not automatically more prevalent in LDCs than in other developing countries and is especially
strong in islands and some African LDCs. However, the potential contribution
realized.
to the home country stemming from the strong presence abroad of high-skilled
LDC nationals and other members of the diaspora is not automatically realized.
This is especially true of knowledge transfer and sharing, the strengthening of
trade and investment linkages, or the contribution of returnees to their home
country. Achieving this potential depends on a series of institutional, economic
and political conditions, which are so far missing in most LDCs. Therefore, policy
action by home and host countries, as well as by the international community, is
crucial in order to foster or strengthen positive diaspora effects on LDCs.
1. Analytical
framework
87
88
2. Brain
drain trends
The following section briefly analyses global trends and future prospects for
international flows of high-skilled labour, in order to put trends concerning brain
drain and knowledge circulation in LDCs into perspective.
a) Global trends
Brain drain has been increasing
worldwide in absolute figures.
89
40
35.3
34.6
Percentage
30
18.7
20
12.9
9.4
10
4.6
4.1
1.0
Developed
countries
Transition
economies
All immigrants
Other developing
countries
LDC immigrants
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations, based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
LDCs
90
international skilled labour flows. Skilled migration flows are highly concentrated
in a few destination countries, and developed countries absorb some 80 per
cent of all international high-skilled migratory flows. The major country is the
United States, which hosts some 40 per cent of all internationally mobile highskilled people. It is followed by Canada, Australia, United Kingdom, Germany,
Russian Federation and France.5 The professions most affected by brain drain
are computer specialists, accountants, managers, medical doctors and nurses
and, among higher education levels, scientists and academics.
The gender balance of brain drain seems to be closely associated with the
level of development of destination countries. In developed countries, highskilled men and women each account for half of total high-skilled immigration.
In the group of other developing countries, two-thirds of all tertiary-educated
immigrants are male, while in LDCs this share is 71 per cent. In developing
countries of origin, genders differ slightly in their brain drain rates (i.e. the number
of tertiary-educated emigrants as a share of the labour force at the same level
of education in the home country). They are five per cent for males and six per
cent for females. The main reason for this discrepancy is that tertiary education
enrolment in home countries is higher for males than for females (Docquier and
Rapoport, 2012).
Future outlook. Based on underlying forces pushing current international
migratory flows, and barring major disruptions in the international economy, the
international mobility of high-skilled persons is likely to continue in the future,
largely as a result of the following trends:
The growing knowledge intensity of the world economy (see section B1);
The decline in demographic growth and consequent ageing of the world
population, as well as the expanding demand for health services which
accompanies development;
The steadily falling costs of transportation and communication;
b) LDC trends
91
Asia Pacific
Other developing
Transition
economies
North
America
Europe
Africa
America
LDCs
Asia
Africa
Asia
Total
Number of migrants
LDC Africa
LDC Americas
LDC Asia
LDC Pacific
LDC Total
14,245
20
37,179
10,450
61,894
170,814
2,127
67,041
354
240,336
178,561
150,999
192,243
5,762
527,565
55 86,763
0
19
218 2,297
1
4
274 89,083
380
8,138
17
1
8,536
44,696 29,809
11
295,669
6
340,382 29,809
2,703
2,703
525,323
161,314
597,367
16,578
1,300,582
Percentage of destination
LDC Africa
LDC Americas
LDC Asia
LDC Pacific
LDC Total
23.0
60.1
16.9
100.0
71.1
0.9
27.9
0.1
100.0
33.8
28.6
36.4
1.1
100.0
20.1
79.6
0.4
100.0
97.4
2.6
100.0
4.5
95.3
0.2
100.0
13.1
86.9
100.0
100
100
100
100
40.4
12.4
45.9
1.3
100.0
8.5
49.5
26.2
5.7
2.3
0.5
0.0
0.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Percentage of origin
32.5
34.0
16.5
LDC Africa
2.7
LDC Americas
1.3
93.6
LDC Asia
6.2
11.2
32.2
0.4
LDC Pacific
63.0
2.1
34.8
LDC Total
4.8
18.5
40.6
6.8
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
0.1
5.0
0.7
Table 14. Indicators of high-skilled immigration from LDCs to selected host countries in the 2000s
(Persons and percentage)
Host country
United Statesa,b
Indicator
Number of tertiary-educated residents from 15 LDCs
(amounting to 91 per cent of total LDC high-skilled
residents in 2000)
Number of non-resident visas for skilled persons
granted to nationals from all LDCs
Canadac
United Kingdomd
Francee
Australiaf
Initial
period (A)
Latest
period (B)
2000
2010
1998-2000
Persons
(A)
(B)
Change
(B/A : %)
381,425
681,485
78.7
2008-2010
1,289
1,364
5.9
1999-2001
1999-2001
2009-2011
2009-2011
15,950
1,514
22,813
2,406
43.0
58.9
2004
2009
676
1,581
133.9
2009
2010
788
1,077
36.7
2004-2005
2007-2008
324
1,214
274.7
2004-2005
2007-2008
4,841
4,446
-8.2
92
to have been offset by the continuing operation of the push and pull forces
driving brain drain mentioned in section B1.
The selection rate of immigration from LDCs is directly related to the income
level of destination countries, as is the case for immigrants from all other
countries. In developed countries, the selection rate is highest: 35 per cent of all
immigrants born in LDCs are tertiary-educated. In other developing countries,
the corresponding share is much lower (five per cent), while in the case of other
LDCs it is a scant one per cent. In other words, intra-LDC migration largely
consists of low-skilled persons. The total selection rate of LDC immigrants in
developed countries is similar to that of immigrants coming from other regions. In
developing countries, by contrast, immigration from LDCs is much less selective
than migratory flows originating in other country groups (chart 33). This confirms
the strong Northern bias of LDC skilled emigration. Available data indicate that
LDC emigration selectivity rose in the 2000s. In the United States (the largest
host country for LDC high-skilled emigrants), the selection rate for LDC nationals
The major source of high-skilled
rose from 32.4 per cent in 2000 to 48.3 per cent in 2010 (based on the same
LDC emigrants is Asia (45.9 per cent sample as table 14).
of the LDC brain drain) followed by
Home countries. The major source of high-skilled LDC emigrants is Asia,
African LDCs (40.4 per cent).
which generates 45.9 per cent of tertiary educated migrants from LDCs. It is
followed by African LDCs, which account for 40.4 per cent of the LDC brain
drain (table 13). Regional figures, however, mask a very strong concentration of
migratory flows in a few countries. The largest LDCs of origin for skilled migrants
are Bangladesh and Haiti, both of which have more than 160,000 high-skilled
nationals living abroad. These two countries account for 30 per cent of all LDC
migration. They are followed by Afghanistan, Yemen, Sudan, Lao Peoples
Democratic Republic, Ethiopia and Cambodia, each of which have more than
50,000 high-skilled people living abroad (chart 36). Taken together, these nine
countries account for almost two-thirds of LDC brain drain. Data on the major
The LDCs are by far the group most bilateral high-skilled migration corridors originating in LDCs are shown in table
15.
seriously affected by brain drain.
Brain drain rates. Collectively, the LDCs are by far the most seriously
affected by brain drain among the country groups shown in chart 37. They have
an average brain drain rate of 18.4 per cent, much higher than other developing
countries (10 per cent). Regionally, the worst affected subgroups are LDCs from
the Americas (Haiti), Pacific and Africa, which have higher brain drain rates than
all other groups of developing countries except the Pacific ODCs. The LDC
regional group with the lowest brain drain rate is Asian LDCs (chart 37).
South America
Haiti
Sao Tome
& Principe
171
Europe
14
37
Asian LDCs
30,000-100,000 people
10,000-20,000 people
5,000-10,000 people
>30%
150,000-300,000 people
Comoros
45
296
Asia
20 - 30%
87
Africa
African LDCs
67
10 - 20%
Source: UNCTAD secretariat elaboration based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
from Pacific
Islands LDCs
151
North America
179
192
Australia &
New Zealand
10
Tuvalu
Kiribati
Vanuatu
Pacific Island
LDCs
Solomon
Islands
Samoa
to North America
94
Chart 35. Major destination countries of high-skilled LDC emigrants, 1990 and 2000
(Thousand persons)
United States
Saudi Arabia
Canada
United Kingdom
India
France
Australia
Germany
Thailand
Belgium
Cte d'Ivoire
South Africa
Iran
United Arab Emirates
Oman
0
100
200
300
2000
400
500
1990
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations, based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
The LDCs most affected by brain drain are islands or relatively small African
countries. For example, six LDCs have more high-skilled professionals living
abroad than at home: Haiti, Samoa, the Gambia, Tuvalu, Kiribati and Sierra
Leone. However, the case of Haiti stands out (box 5). Apart from the six LDCs
already mentioned, 11 other LDCs also have more than 30 per cent of their
high-skilled labour force living abroad. These are mostly African countries
(Liberia, Eritrea, Somalia, Rwanda, Uganda, Mozambique, Togo and GuineaBissau), and three are Asian LDCs: Yemen, Lao Peoples Democratic Republic
and Afghanistan (chart 38). The majority are post-conflict States.
3. Adverse
impacts
Brain drain has both adverse and beneficial effects on the countries of
origin of high-skilled emigrants, as summarized in table 16. While the positive
aspects are discussed later in section C, the negative implications are analysed
below. The adverse impacts of brain drain can be especially damaging when
the countries of origin are developing countries and/or they have a small pool of
highly qualified human resources.
95
Chart 36. Number of skilled emigrants from LDCs, 1990 and 2000
(Thousand persons)
Bangladesh
Haiti
Afghanistan
Yemen
Sudan
Lao People's Dem. Republic
Ethiopia
Cambodia
Myanmar
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Uganda
United Rep. of Tanzania
Somalia
Nepal
Zambia
Liberia
Senegal
Eritrea
Togo
Sierra Leone
Samoa
Madagascar
Benin
Angola
Burkina Faso
Mali
Rwanda
Malawi
Mozambique
Burundi
Guinea
Mauritania
Gambia
Chad
East Timor
Niger
Equatorial Guinea
Central African Republic
Lesotho
Guinea-Bissau
Comoros
Kiribati
Solomon Islands
Djibouti
Sao Tome and Principe
Vanuatu
Bhutan
Tuvalu
0
50
100
2000
150
1990
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations, based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
high-skilled people emigrate (Berry and Soligo, 1969; Bhagwati and Hamada,
1974). Given the fundamental role played by human capital in long-term growth
and development, brain drain could have the impact of slowing down the origin
countrys economic growth rate (Miyagiwa, 1991; Haque and Kim, 1995; Wong
and Yip, 1999). The adverse impact of shrinking human capital on development
is especially acute as the world economy becomes increasingly knowledgebased.
200
250
96
Table 15. Largest bilateral migration corridors for skilled emigrants from LDCs, 2000
(Number of migrants)
Originating LDC
Haiti
Destination country
United States
Bangladesh
India
70,092
Bangladesh
United States
41,920
United States
41,440
Bangladesh
Saudi Arabia
41,222
Yemen
Saudi Arabia
39,200
Ethiopia
United States
34,428
Cambodia
United States
32,955
Haiti
Canada
24,475
Sudan
Saudi Arabia
22,399
Afghanistan
Iran
20,715
Afghanistan
United States
19,246
Liberia
United States
18,436
Belgium
18,428
Myanmar
United States
18,047
Uganda
United Kingdom
17,600
Myanmar
Thailand
15,742
Bangladesh
United Kingdom
15,507
Afghanistan
Germany
14,519
Bangladesh
Oman
12,625
Canada
12,220
Nepal
India
11,179
Bangladesh
Canada
11,065
80
70
Percentage
60
50
40
30
20
10
LDCs America
LDCs Pacific
ODCs Pacific
LDCs Africa
LDCs Total
LDCs Asia
ODCs Total
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations, based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
Note: The brain drain rate is the emigrants share of the correponding age and educational group in the home country.
10,535
97
Some 57 per cent of employment in Haiti takes place in the informal sector (IHSI, 2010).
Adverse
Beneficial
Brain gain
Transfer/sharing of skills/technology
Diaspora knowledge networks
Acccumulation of broader/deeper knowledge/
skills/experience
Macroeconomic processes
Returnee entrepreneurship
Remittances
Diaspora savings: bonds, deposits, loans, funds,
etc.
Diaspora effects and business networks:
creation/strengthening of trade flows:
merchandise and services (e.g. tourism)
creation/stregthening of foreign direct
investment
Institutional processes
Brain drain reduces welfare due to the loss of externalities. The high-skilled
labour force tends to have a positive externality on the rest of the labour force,
since the latter emulates the better qualified workers and thereby achieves
higher productivity. Therefore, the positive impact of highly talented persons
goes well beyond their small numbers in the population. If many of the most
highly skilled workers leave the country, this externality is considerably reduced
(Haque, 2005).
Apart from this general formulation on human capital, brain drain can have
an adverse effect on local science and knowledge systems (box 7 provides
the example of Ethiopia), impairing the economys capacity to produce and
98
10
20
30
40
50
2000
60
70
80
90
1990
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations, based on data from Docquier et al. (2011).
implement innovation. This, in turn, slows down productivity growth (Kapur and
McHale, 2005; Agrawal et al., 2011). Schiff and Wang (2009) empirically estimate
that higher brain drain rates reduce the technological absorptive capacity of
home countries and thereby the degree to which they incorporate technological
innovation. As a result, brain drain could lead to lower productivity growth.
99
Box 6. Human capital endowments and international labour and resource flows
Least developed countries have relatively more low-skilled than high-skilled labour. In the LDCs, the ratio of the former
to the latter is 42. This is more than double the level in other developing countries (16) and more than ten times higher than
in developed countries, where the ratio is just 4.1 Prima facie, it could be expected that high-skilled labour has the highest
return where it is relatively scarcer, i.e. in developing countries and especially in LDCs. Therefore, highly qualified labour should
apparently flow to the latter countries, where human capital is most scarce and knowledge stocks are lowest. In absolute
figures, the prediction of the conventional view is verified: low-skilled emigration from LDCs outpaces high-skilled emigration
by a ratio of 11. Yet this same ratio shows that LDCs are exporting high-skilled labour more intensively than low-skilled labour,
since the low/high-skilled ratio of labour exports (i.e. emigration) corresponds to just one-fourth of the ratio of endowments.
Another way of measuring the relative export intensity at the different skill levels is through the emigration rates for low-skilled
and high-skilled labour.2 In 43 out of the 48 LDCs, the emigration rate of high-skilled labour is higher than that of low-skilled
labour, and the opposite is true in only five of these countries.
The above data reveal that the vast majority of LDCs export high-skilled labour more intensively than low-skilled labour.
This finding contradicts the expectations mentioned above based on apparent returns to knowledge. The explanation for
this apparent paradox seems to lie in the particular nature of human capital embodied in people. Knowledge is subject to
increasing returns and to positive agglomeration effects. Agglomeration economies generate centripetal forces, so that human
resources tend to agglomerate in locations which already have a considerably stock of qualified persons. Agglomeration
leads to higher productivity and earnings in these locations. For instance, Clemens et al. (2008) estimate that on average,
Haitians moving to the United States boost their incomes almost sevenfold. Beyond earnings differentials, the significance of
agglomeration effects is particularly strong for research and scientific production, which depend on the availability of scientific
infrastructure (laboratories, measurement instruments, specific materials, sophisticated machinery, access to databases and
libraries, interaction with colleagues, face-to-face discussions and collaboration, etc.).
SouthNorth migration of high-skilled labour amounts to an international transfer of (human) resources from the poorest
countries to the richest. Similarly, SouthSouth flows of high-skilled people from LDCs (around one-third of the total) are
directed to developing countries with a relatively higher development and income level.
1 Data
are for 2000, the year for which the latest bilateral high-skilled migration matrix is available.
2 The
emigration rate is the number of emigrants divided by the corresponding skill and age group. In the case of high-skilled labour, it is the
brain drain rate.
Box 7. The effects of brain drain on higher education and academic research in Ethiopia
The exponential growth of higher education in Ethiopia over the last 15 years (section C1) hides the extent to which the
sector is adversely affected by brain drain. The number of students graduating at the bachelors level rose sharply from 29,800
in 2007 to 75,300 in 2011. At the same time, however, the corresponding figure for higher level education (masters and PhD)
rose much more moderately: from 2,700 to 6,200.
As a result, there is a dearth of people with doctorate-level degrees in Ethiopia, and this is especially true where they are
most needed, i.e. in higher education. Among the 15,192 teachers and researchers working in the countrys 25 universities,
only 979 (6.4 per cent) hold a doctoral degree. Moreover, PhD holders are very unevenly distributed, since half of them work at
the University of Addis Ababa. The bulk of the countrys university teachers and researchers have only a masters degree (43.4
per cent) or a bachelors degree (42.6 per cent). Ethiopian higher education institutions sorely lack very high-skilled people.
The number of PhD-holding teachers and researchers active in the countrys universities is much lower than the members of
the Ethiopian diaspora just in the United States and Canada who have that level of education: 1,600, according to conservative
estimates. The case study on the Ethiopian academic diaspora prepared for this Report identified 200 Ethiopian professors
currently working in foreign universities, of whom 148 are active in the United States. Among these, 72 are full professors. In
Ethiopia, by contrast, only 65 persons hold an equivalent position. In other words, there are more Ethiopian full professors
working in the United States than in Ethiopia itself, in spite of the strong need of Ethiopian universities for very highly skilled
people.
In order to respond to the stringent need for more qualified university teachers and professors, the Ethiopian Government
has launched a campaign to recruit 631 teachers and researchers, especially from India. Whether this programme will succeed is
not yet clear. Nevertheless, if properly implemented, its implications for the countrys limited foreign exchange will be significant.
Brain drain can also comprise entrepreneurs and students (i.e. future
professionals). The formers departure deprives the home country of some of
the people who create businesses and employment. As for students, most
developing countries send some of them abroad for tertiary-level studies, as
a means of expanding and improving the human capital stock of the home
country. However, this often becomes a route to brain drain. The greater the gap
between the conditions in the study country and those in the home country, the
higher the probability of graduates staying abroad (Finn, 2010), which shrinks
the human capital base of the home country.
100
b) Sectoral impacts
The impact of reduced availability of qualified professionals could be more
acute in some sectors, for instance education and scientific activities (box 7)
and health (box 8). These are the main sectors responsible for building and
improving countries human capital endowment. Their malfunction due to brain
drain hampers the continuing formation of human capital, which in turn is likely
to depress the national long-term growth rate.
The impact of reduced availability
of qualified professionals could be
more acute in some sectors, for
instance education and scientific
activities.
e) Brain waste
In the context of international labour mobility, brain waste refers to the fact
that some immigrants can only find jobs in the host country which are below the
skills corresponding to their education level. This happens for instance when
medical doctors work as nurses or university graduates work as taxi drivers
or waiters. The degree of brain waste depends to a large extent on home
country characteristics. In the case of the United States, Mattoo et al. (2008)
note that the probability of skilled immigrants finding a job corresponding to
their education level rises with the income level of the country of origin and with
the level of the latters expenditure on education. Educated immigrants from
Latin America, Eastern Europe and Africa are more likely to take jobs below
their education skill level than immigrants from Asia and industrial countries. In
101
rates are low as compared with those for total brain drain quoted in the main text. This is due to methodological differences in computing
both sets of rates. The present ones are based on the country of training and on emigration to just 12 developed countries. By contrast, the
figures for total brain drain in the main text are based on nationality or country of birth and on all host countries. Clemens and Pettersson (2008)
estimate medical brain drain for African countries based on physicians country of birth and reach rates much higher than the ones quoted in
this box. Their median medical brain drain rate for African LDCs is 39 per cent, as opposed to 14 per cent in the database used in the present
box. These authors do not provide data for non-African countries.
Box chart 2. Medical brain drain and physician density by country groups, 2004
40
35
Haiti
30
25
20
15
LDCs Africa
10
LDCs Asia
5
0
Developed
countries
ODC
Transition
economies
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Source: UNCTAD secretariat calculations, based on data from Bhargava et al. (2011).
3.0
3.5
4.0
102
other words, the lower the economic and institutional development of the home
country, the more likely that brain waste takes place.
f) Institution-building
Typically, the most skilled people are those who are best qualified to build
and run institutions which are required for the national development process
(State and government institutions, policymaking organizations, political debate,
etc.).11 At the same time, the most qualified people are those who are most
likely to demand good-quality institutions and press for them. Their departure
therefore potentially reduces both the demand and the supply of the institutions
required for development and may slow the long-term development of the home
country.
Home country
Senegal
Burkina Faso
Where occupation performed
Hostb
Homea
Hostb
Homea Hostb
3.0
27.7
8.7
48.7
33.7
Uganda
Homea
54.9
10.9
29.4
18.3
0.6
3.5
10.9
17.4
36.3
1.2
5.7
1.5
8.8
11.7
1.1
1.4
30.9
Other
18.7
12.9
33.3
9.2
Don't know
10.9
26.5
0.6
35.0
51.3
35.5
103
1. Brain
gain
Beneficial brain drain. The brain gain literature argues that brain drain raises
returns to education, providing an incentive for people to obtain additional
education in order to increase their chances of emigrating. Out of these educated
people, many emigrate (i.e. brain drain). At the same time, some eventually do
not settle abroad and thereby help raise the human capital endowment of the
home country with respect to what would have been the case if the migration
incentive had not been present (i.e. a net brain gain). The evidence on the
benefits of migration stressed by the new migration literature is still inconclusive
(Solimano, 2010). Schiff (2006) questions the assumptions and conclusions of
The net impacts of brain drain on
this literature, arguing that the actual brain gain effect is smaller than what these
home countries are negative for
authors claim and that they fail to take into account several negative externalities
countries with high brain drain rates.
caused by brain drain. Still, both he and these authors agree that the net impacts
of brain drain on home countries vary with brain intensity and are negative for
countries with high brain drain rates.
Tertiary education has been expanding in most LDCs since the 1990s.
Between 19992000 and 20092010, the number of graduates in all tertiarylevel programmes in a sample of 16 LDCs more than doubled from 182,000 to
455,000, which corresponds to a 19 per cent annual growth rate.13 This has
been driven by the efforts of the educational sector mainly public but also
private to respond to previously unmet demand for university-level education
in many LDCs.14 However, it is difficult to attribute this rapid expansion in higher
104
2. Financial
flows
The most tangible positive impacts of both high- and low-skilled migration
are the financial flows to the home country that they generate. These flows are
mainly remittances, diaspora bonds and foreign direct investment (FDI). The
trends and economic impacts of remittance to LDCs are analysed in detail
in chapter 3 of this Report. Therefore, this section focuses on two issues: 1.
differences in remitting patterns between emigrants according to their skill profile;
and 2. whether remittances offset the costs of brain drain. Diaspora bonds are
mentioned in this section, while diaspora FDI is discussed in section C4 below.
105
Table 18. Emigrant skills and remittance patterns in selected LDCs, 2009
(Percentage, unless otherwise indicated)
Uganda
Home country
Senegal
Burkina Faso
Remitting propensity of international migrants (share of migrants who ever sent remittances)
Low-skilled
27.9
High-skilled
51.1
78.8
60.6
60.8
76.8
782
1882
1538
1545
98
679
54.2
45.8
94.9
5.1
99.5
0.5
106
cent in only one case (Lesotho) (table 6, chapter 3).16 Thus, indications are
that remittances do not offset the costs of educating people who leave the
country (even if computing solely the costs of higher education). Therefore, it is
more likely that these countries lose out on balance when comparing costs of
education and remittance recepits.
Indications are that remittances do
not offset the costs of educating
people who leave the LDCs.
3. Diaspora
Beyond remittances, diasporas can
also be a source of savings, which
can be channelled as capital inflows
to home countries.
knowledge networks
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The channels used to date to foster the transfer and sharing of diaspora
knowledge and skills with LDCs home countries can be grouped into two
categories: 1. diaspora-inspired initiatives; and 2. multilateral and bilateral
programmes.
Diaspora initiatives. While most LDC diaspora associations, organizations
and NGOs have philanthropic objectives, some of them are aimed at assisting
home countries in benefiting from the expertise, skills and experience
accumulated by diaspora members. This is the case with diaspora associations
of medical doctors, scientists, engineers, etc., which strive to transfer and share
knowledge and technology with researchers, scientists and entrepreneurs in
the country of origin. Most LDC diaspora organizations are based in developed
countries. Examples of successful knowledge initiatives and programmes are
provided in box 9.
Bilateral and multilateral programmes. These include programmes initiated
by international organizations (typically acting in collaboration with national
governments of both home and host countries) or knowledge components of
wider agreements between origin and destination countries initiated to influence
bilateral migration and the ensuing flows of expertise and business. The
knowledge components of these programmes take the form of either advisory
missions or participation in specific projects in the home country. The main
beneficiaries in the LDC home countries are universities, government institutions,
civil society and the private sector.
At the multilateral level, the United National Development Programme (UNDP)
launched the Transfer of Knowledge Through Expatriate Nationals (TOKTEN)
in 1977. The International Organization for Migration (IOM) has also been
running the Temporary Return of Qualified Nationals (TRQN) and Migration for
Development in Africa (MIDA), the latter since 2001. Through MIDA, the following
LDCs have created partnerships with destination countries and expatriates:
Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia,
Guinea, Mali, Mauritania, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone and Somalia. Box 10
provides examples of how international programmes operate in LDCs.
Several bilateral programmes have been launched jointly by host and home
countries in order to foster cooperation on bilateral migration. They typically
deal with different aspects of international labour flows, including diaspora
mobilization though knowledge transfer and direct investment, and assistance
to permanent return migration. One example is the Programme dAppui aux
Initiatives de Solidarit pour le Dveloppement (PAISD), jointly undertaken by
the Governments of Senegal and France during 20092011 in the context of
co-development programmes. With total funding of 9 million, its knowledge
component financed 52 diaspora experts to transfer knowledge and experience
to Senegalese counterparts through short- to medium-term missions. The
sectors targeted were health, agriculture and food industry, management, ICTs
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Box 9. Examples of successful LDC diaspora initiatives for knowledge sharing and transfer
The national case studies prepared for this Report highlight some examples of how diaspora knowledge, skills and
resources can be successfully harnessed and transferred to home countries.
Strengthening PhD education at the University of Addis Ababa. Given the obvious need for more and better training
at the doctorate level in Ethiopia, the countrys largest university established several PhD programmes. It realized, however,
that in order to reach its objectives it could not rely uniquely on its own resources. Accordingly, it decided to mobilize the
knowledge of the national diaspora working in foreign academic institutions. To this end, in 2008 it launched a large-scale
programme financed by the Ethiopian Government and the Swedish and French official development aid agencies. The main
participants abroad have been Ethiopians active in US and European universities, who in several cases convinced their nonEthiopian colleagues to take part in the project. Their collaboration with the home country has taken the form of participation
in research seminars, book donations, links between laboratories in the universities of Addis Ababa and laboratories abroad,
and thesis direction by diaspora members. The programme has had a considerable impact on several departments.
Decoding the jute genome in Bangladesh. A Bangladeshi microbiologist and biochemist who studied and worked in
the Soviet Union, Germany, United States and Malaysia decoded for the latter country the genome sequencing of its most
important plant, rubber. In order to have his country of origin benefit from his knowledge and skills, he later undertook the
same type of research for jute. This was done in a joint project with the Global Network of Bangladeshi Biotechnologists
(GNOB), the Centre for Chemical Biology, the University of Science (Malaysia) and the University of Hawaii (United States) and
a team of Bangladeshi researchers. The discovery facilitates pest control and the manufacturing of better finished industrial
products out of jute.
Upgrading the national health sector in Ethiopia. The People to People association was established by Ethiopian
diaspora members in the late 1990s with the aim of mobilizing diaspora skills for the benefit of the home country. It operates
in several countries in North America and Europe and has been active above all in the health sector. Its activities have included
participating in medical training in Ethiopia, advocating for diaspora mobilization with international organizations and donor
institutions, mobilizing resources abroad for medical programmes in Ethiopia, setting up a telemedicine system in the home
country, restructuring university hospitals, organizing an annual conference on health in Ethiopia, awarding a prize for medical
best practice, and maintaining a blog for the exchange of medical best practices and discussions. The association collaborates
with other diaspora organizations, NGOs active in Ethiopia and international organizations (e.g. the World Bank), the United
States National Institute of Health and universities of host countries.
Mobilizing resources and knowledge transfer to Haiti. In Canada, the Regroupement des organismes canado-hatiens
pour le dveloppement (ROCADH) is an effort to coalesce many philanthropic organizations working for the advancement of
Haitian communities back home. ROCADH brings together some 47 home town associations. It has been active in the fields
of education and capacity-building (including in agricultural, animal breeding techniques, commodity processing, medical and
tourism service skills). ROCADH has been able to channel substantial funding through the Canadian International Development
Agency (CIDA). To be eligible for CIDA funds, ROCADH has to contribute one-third of the value of the project.
Medical diaspora network for Bangladesh. Bangladeshi physicians in North America established the Bangladesh
Medical Association of North America (BMANA) in 1980. It supports the home country by organizing visits of medical teams
to provide training and technology transfer, provision of subsidized/pro bono specialized clinical services, and donation of
books, computers and journals to medical colleges and universities in Bangladesh. Its members have been participating in
activities of knowledge transfer and training in terms of cutting-edge advances in medical specialities, such as neurology,
surgery and infection control.
Water in Ethiopia. A programme of collaboration between an American and an Ethiopian university was put in place in 2009
at the initiative of an Ethiopian working as professor in a United States university, with financing from the United States Agency
for International Development (USAID) under the African American Universities Partnership. It was successful in leveraging
official financing to obtain financing from the American private sector for project activities. It foresees the establishment of
a research centre on water in Ethiopia to conduct academic research and participate in the formulation and planning of the
countrys policies and programmes for water management.
c) Effects on LDCs
To date, many of the efforts to establish diaspora knowledge networks and
foster knowledge transfer and sharing between diaspora members and home
LDC countries have attained their specific and circumscribed goals. However,
they have not succeeded in creating synergies with other initiatives or ensuring
continuity, both of which are essential for a regular knowledge flow to home
countries. As a result, their development impacts have been limited for a number
of reasons, such as:
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success is limited and the number of beneficiaries is not in proportion to the total
number of migrants and/or expatriates (Zoomers and van Naerssen, 2006:
29). Second, such initiatives are frequently inconsistent with national priorities.
Knowledge-sharing programmes and activities are often designed without
consulting home country governments and are not articulated with broader
development strategies or wider national policies and programmes in mind. This
thwarts the desired effectiveness of diaspora knowledge initiatives.
Trust. Trust among different groups of the diaspora and stakeholders of
knowledge transfer is often lacking, hampering collaboration and coordination
between them. In some cases, associations of LDC nationals living abroad prefer
not to undertake projects in collaboration with the national government either
because of the causes of emigration (civil conflict, political strife, etc.) or due to
frustration with bureaucratic delays and uncertainty concerning the use of funds.
In other cases, trust is lacking among diaspora associations themselves.
4. Diaspora
business networks
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far, low-skilled LDC immigrants have been more involved in facilitating bilateral
trade in their destination countries than their more educated fellow countrymen
and countrywomen.
With regard to tourism, 70 per cent of the 254,000 tourists arriving in Haiti
are Haitian-born or of Haitian origin, with the United States, Canada, France So far, low-skilled LDC immigrants
have been more involved in
and the Dominican Republic as the leading sources (data for 2011). These are
facilitating bilateral trade in their
the main host countries of the Haitian diaspora. Haitian diaspora tourists spend
amounts ranging from $1000-5000 per person on each trip, and it is therefore destination countries than their more
likely that they account for a larger share of the countrys tourism receipts than
educated fellow countrymen and
the number of tourists arriving in the country.
countrywomen.
The diapora business network effect of generating bilateral FDI is expected
to vary according to the size of the diaspora and of the home country (Docquier
and Lodigiani, 2010). FDI by diasporas in LDC home countries (which are mostly
small economies) is still limited. According to concerns expressed by potential
LDC diaspora investors, the main reported deterrents are lack of support from
the home government, a dearth of incentives for investment, and diasporas
demand for guarantees for their investments. Still, some LDC diasporas have
started gearing up to invest in their home country. Members of the Haiti diaspora
are active in FDI in the areas of mining, tourism, energy and financial services.
They seem to be cautious and risk-averse, typically taking minority stakes in
projects and companies and shunning larger investment projects. The diasporas
of Rwanda and Liberia have launched or planned diaspora funds, which are
professionally managed vehicles that allow individual investors to diversify risk
by purchasing shares of a basket of investment products typically including
money market funds, sovereign and corporate bonds, and equities (Terrazas,
2010).
In Senegal, PAISD provided technical assistance for 221 investment projects
in the country in agriculture, domestic trade, handicraft, services, tourism,
ICT, consultancy, etc. Half of them were undertaken by diaspora members
who remained in France, while the others were implemented by investors who
returned permanently to Senegal to oversee their projects. The total value of the
beneficiary investment projects was $4 million, which represents around 0.1%
of gross fixed capital formation in 2010. Some $400 million were mobilized to
co-finance them. 21 PLASEPRI had a budget of 24 million, consisting mainly
of credits to SMEs and microfinance institutions as well as a grant component.
Also in Senegal, in 2010 FAISE had a budget of $323,000 to finance 31 diaspora
projects, mainly in fisheries, small industry and services (ANSD, 2011).
5. Returnees
a) Potential contribution to the home country
The potential contributions of permanent returnees to the home country
are many and often depend on the level of development of the home country
and the range of opportunities for the involvement of returnees. Some of the
potential contributions are discussed below.
Knowledge. Returnees can deploy their skills and experience accumulated
abroad by working in knowledge-intensive activities, e.g. government,
consultancies, managerial positions in firms, etc. (Dustmann and Kirchkamp
2002). They can also forge and sustain simultaneous and multi-stranded
relationships that link their societies of origin and destination (Glick Schiller et
al., 1992). There is ample evidence demonstrating that the knowledge and skills
accumulated abroad and brought home by returnees have significantly boosted
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Burkina Faso. As a share of the population, they account for less than two per
cent in all four cases.23 It should be borne in mind that in these countries (except
for Uganda) the vast majority of returnees are low-skilled, which means that they
are less likely to have accumulated resources and new knowledge abroad. As
for the time spent abroad, in Haiti, out of returned emigrants 78.4 per cent have
lived six years or less abroad. Only 6.7 per cent of all returnees have spent ten
years or more abroad, which means that most returnees have had little time to
accumulate resources.
Professional and business
On the whole, professional and business development opportunities have
not been very common in most LDCs, so they have not been very successful development opportunities have not
in attracting returnees and benefiting from their professional and entrepreneurial been very common in most LDCs.
activities. In many cases, LDC returnees have tried to start new businesses,
but have been discouraged by lack of support for enterprise development
(extension services, financing, etc.) or have found bureaucratic requirements
too demanding. This contrasts with the experience of more vibrant economies
which offer wider opportunities for returnees in terms of both economic activities
and professional prospects, as exemplified by Bangladesh (box 11).
Despite these caveats, there is evidence of positive effects for migration
and returnees activities in the home country and for returnees contribution to
economic activities in LDCs. In Senegal, research findings show that returnees
Box 11. Contributions of returnees to the Bangladeshi economy and society
The highly skilled knowledge workers who migrated from Bangladesh through State-sponsored scholarships from the
1950s to the 1980s rarely returned or circulated to the home country. Since the 1990s, however, private universities, technical
institutions, research bodies and NGOs have provided a launching pad for temporary or permanent return. At present, the
country has reached a social and economic stage where the return and circulation of knowledge workers are sustainable
(RMMRU-DRC, 2005). Some examples of the contribution of permanent returnees to Bangladesh in different domains are
given below.1
Education. After studying and working at Harvard University (United States), a scientist returned to Bangladesh, where
he is contributing to the development of a leading private university. He has successfully developed collaborative research
relationship with different United States and United Kingdom universities, including for an international centre for climate change
and development in his institution. After having studied and worked in the United States, a computer scientist returned to
Bangladesh to become a professor of computer science and engineering at a public university. He is a public activist and part
of the nationwide campaign using contests and science fairs, for example, to encourage young students to concentrate on
science and mathematics. He has been a member of the technical committee which prepared the draft national education policy.
Medicine. After working as a senior physician in a leading US hospital, a Bangladeshi doctor returned to his home
country to use his expertise in pathology and improve the quality of pathology tests. There are only a few individuals in the
country with exposure to leading-edge pathology, which is one of the most technology-intensive branches of medicine.
Some Bangladeshi doctors, after finishing their post-graduate studies in Japan, returned to their home country, where they
established the Japan Bangladesh Friendship Hospital (JBFH) in 1993 in partnership with Japanese doctors. The Hospital has
initiated a grassroots programme entitled Krishoker Sashtho Seba (health care for farmers). It has been conducted in the
remote areas of Bangladesh in order to provide health-care facilities to farmers since 2006. JBFH also provides health-care
facilities to the marginal and underprivileged and organizes workshops on issues such as first aid training and awareness of
common diseases.
Telecommunications. A top Bangladeshi manager studied in the United States, where he worked in both the public
and private sectors. He returned to his home country, where he contributed to providing access to telephone services and
increasing self-employment opportunities for the rural poor through connectivity. In 1993, he started a company with the
backing of a Norwegian telecom company and financing from aid agencies and development banks. The company later
became a major telephone operator, with 16 million subscribers providing telephone access to more than 100 million people
covering 60,000 villages.
Finance. A Bangladeshi returnee from the United States and one from the United Kingdom have successfully contributed
to the strong spread of microcredit in Bangladesh, first to the countrys subsistence farmers then to urban areas. Rahman
(2010) argues that this helped foster entrepreneurship among the rural poor.
Media. Two communications professionals developed international careers as journalists and worked for several public
affairs and media bodies in Asia, North America and Europe, including international organizations. They later returned to
Bangladesh, where they launched a newspaper in 1991, with the stated aim of strengthening democracy and freedom of
expression. The newspaper has become the countrys English-language daily with the largest circulation.
1 The individual cases presented in this Box as examples derive from a country study prepared for this Report.
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have some characteristics which differentiate them favourably from nonmigrants: 1. returnees have higher labour force participation rates and have a
stronger tendency to be self-employed; 2. they are more likely to have skilled
jobs; 3. they are more present in commercial and handicraft activities; 4. they
have higher earnings (Mezger, 2008; Mezger and Flahaux, 2010). Beyond
self-selection at the moment of deciding whether to migrate or not, it is likely
that the knowledge and experience accumulated abroad contribute to further
differentiating returnees from non-migrants.
Survey evidence on the investment activity of returnees in LDCs shows that
in Burkina Faso, 32.5 per cent of them have invested based on the savings
accumulated abroad, whereas in Senegal the corresponding share is 17.3 per
cent.24 In the former country, all individual returnee amounts invested were
smaller than $5,000, while in Senegal they ranged as high as $20,000. The
total cumulative amount invested by returnees in Senegal corresponds to
2.6 per cent of the countrys gross fixed capital formation in 2009, whereas
in Burkina Faso, the corresponding share is a higher 6.2 per cent. 25 In both
countries, returnees have invested mainly in traditional sectors. In Burkina Faso,
the primary sector accounted for 65 per cent of returnee investment projects,
whereas in Senegal, 60 per cent of the projects were in trade and services, while
the remainder was in the primary sector and real estate. A fraction of returnee
investment involved international partners: two per cent or less in both cases.
It is likely that a significant share of these business partnerships resulted from
contacts held while living abroad, possibly indicating some form of diaspora
business network.
These case studies do not correspond to the typical examples of
transformative returnee entrepreneurship in modern sectors which assists the
structural transformation of home country economies, as was the case with
a few successful dynamic developing countries mentioned above. Still, they
do show that the potential of returnees and their entrepreneurship is far from
negligible. The example of the contribution of Bangladeshi returnees (box 7)
reveals that, given a conducive domestic environment and policy action, this
potential can be developed to a much greater extent.
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D. Conclusions
According to Gibson and McKenzie (2011: 125), we are still some way
from a comprehensive global answer on the effect of brain drain on sending
country growth and development outcomes. This is certainly true of LDCs.
Nevertheless, this chapter has presented analysis and information which help us
to identify some major features of high-skilled migration and the potential impact
of diasporas on LDC home country development.
On average, LDCs are more affected by brain drain than any other group of
countries. The intensity is especially acute in islands (where more than half of the
high-skilled workers often live abroad) and in African LDCs, 21 of which have
more than one-fifth of their high-skilled population abroad. The brain drain rate is
lower is Asian LDCs, though even there it is still higher than in other developing
countries. There is strong variation in the rates of brain drain of LDCs, but it
is close to the estimated optimal level (510 per cent) in only five of these
countries. Apart from the likely adverse macroeconomic effects to be expected
at these high rates of brain drain, emigration of highly qualified LDC nationals
has adverse consequences, especially in the activities of health, education and
STI. This brain drain primarily amounts to a SouthNorth transfer of resources.
Available evidence shows that the (positive) developmental impacts of brain
drain on LDCs have been limited so far. Concerning their human capital base,
since the 1990s, education enrolment in most LDCs has been expanding rapidly
at all levels, including the tertiary stage. This expansion is driven mainly by public
policies and by the increased supply of educational services. It is very difficult
to attribute improving educational attainment (or a significant share of it) to the
incentive effect of emigration, although some observers argue that it has been
one of the factors pushing demand for higher education.
There are indications of embryonic diaspora business network effects in a
few LDCs. With respect to financial and capital flows, beyond the remittances
analysed in chapter 3 of this Report, a few LDCs have taken initial steps to
mobilize the savings of their diaspora through diaspora bonds and FDI. Some
fledgling diaspora business network effects are starting to appear in terms of
strengthening trade and investment ties between home and host countries.
The current impact pertains especially to bilateral trade in services (especially
tourism) and goods (e.g. nostalgia trade). LDC diaspora FDI in home countries is
still very limited compared to its potential.
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not been supportive, returnee investment has been limited and has tended to
reinforce existing patterns of specialization. By contrast, in some larger LDC
economies or those that are growing and undergoing structural transformation,
returnees have made significant contributions to economic activity and social
innovation.
Notes
1 This chapter builds on UNCTAD (2007: 139160) by updating the statistical
information and broadening the scope of analysis and policy recommendations.
2 By contrast, low-skilled migrants are those whose highest educational attainment is
at the secondary or primary level or who did not undergo any formal schooling.
3 Bhagwati and Hanson (2009); Docquier and Rapoport (2012); Kapur and McHale
(2005); IOM (2008); Solimano (2010); Pritchett (2006).
4 The most widely used database on worldwide brain drain is that of Docquier and
Marfouk (2006), which was later revised to provide a gender breakdown (Docquier,
Lowell and Marfouk, 2009). It was subsequently expanded in Docquier et al. (2011),
which includes non-OECD host countries and therefore captures SouthSouth
flows. The first version of this database was kindly made available to the UNCTAD
secretariat by its authors.
5 High-skilled people flows are in sharp contrast with those of overall migration, where
SouthSouth movements predominate, as seen in chapter 2 of this Report. The latter
are strongly influenced by the migration of low-skilled people.
6 Given the preponderance of oil exporters among developing host countries,
developments in the price of this commodity are also likely to play a role in determining
brain drain trends in the future.
7 The indicators include the number of LDC students, since studying abroad is often
the first step towards long-term emigration.
8 Even if education is financed privately, this is an investment in human capital formation
made under the expectation that it will bring returns.
9 These costs are net of: 1. the estimated fiscal gains from domestic consumption
funded by remittances; and 2. the Government savings from not having to provide
services to people who no longer live in the home country.
10 By the same token, host countries become better endowed with skills or human
capital, which tends to reinforce their specialization in the corresponding goods and
services.
11 On the importance of institutions to economic growth and development, see Szirmai
(2012) and Bluhm and Szirmai (2012).
12 Mountford (1997); Stark (2004); Stark et al. (1997, 1998); Vidal (1998); Beine et al.
(2001); Docquier and Rapoport (2007, 2012); Kangasniemi et al. (2007); Commander
et al. (2004).
13 Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Burundi, Cambodia, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia,
Lao Peoples Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Niger, Uganda
and United Republic of Tanzania (UNCTAD secretariat estimates, based on data
from the UNESCO Institute for Statistics: http//www.uis.unesco.org, accessed on
22/06/2012).
14 In Ethiopia, for example, in the mid-1990s, university-level institutions hosted
only 15,000 students, but received 300,000 applications annually. However, the
introduction of new policies by the Government to boost investment in human capital
formation resulted in a rapid expansion of the number of universities and students.
During the academic year 2006/2007, universities hosted 203,000 students at
the bachelors level and within five years the number of enrolments had more than
doubled to 448,000. Similarly, in Senegal, the number of students enrolled in tertiarylevel education institutions swelled from 30,000 in 2001 to 86,000 in 2008, as the
expansion rate was double that of the preceding decade. By 2012, total enrolment
had reached 91,000.
15 Similarly, in Gibson and McKenzies (2010) survey data for high-skilled emigration
from Tonga, Federated States of Micronesia, Papua New Guinea, Ghana and New
Zealand, the migration incentive generally pushed respondents to learn a language or
take test preparation classes, but not to lengthen schooling itself.
16 Even considering that high-skilled emigrants tend to remit more than low-skilled
emigrants (and remittance data refer to all migrants), remittances as a share of GDP
per capita exceed 20 per cent in only four LDCs: Lesotho, Haiti, Samoa and Nepal.
17 Rogers (2004) finds that countries with relatively high numbers of students studying
science and engineering abroad experience faster subsequent growth.
18 Source: http://www.codev.gouv.sn.
19 The Government of Senegal, for instance, has recorded as many as 741 associations
of the Senegalese diaspora (ANSD, 2011).
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