A poll of 466 likely voters in Chicago's 10th Ward conducted on March 18, 2015 showed incumbent Alderman John Pope leading with 41.8% compared to 30% for Susan Sadlowski Garza. 28.1% of respondents remained undecided. The analysis indicates Pope has an 11-point lead and only needs to gain 1 out of 3 undecided voters to win on April 7. The methodology describes the polling firm's process of selecting likely voters based on voting history from the past 3 elections to increase accuracy.
A poll of 466 likely voters in Chicago's 10th Ward conducted on March 18, 2015 showed incumbent Alderman John Pope leading with 41.8% compared to 30% for Susan Sadlowski Garza. 28.1% of respondents remained undecided. The analysis indicates Pope has an 11-point lead and only needs to gain 1 out of 3 undecided voters to win on April 7. The methodology describes the polling firm's process of selecting likely voters based on voting history from the past 3 elections to increase accuracy.
Original Description:
10th Ward runoff poll conducted 3/18/15 by Ogden & Fry
A poll of 466 likely voters in Chicago's 10th Ward conducted on March 18, 2015 showed incumbent Alderman John Pope leading with 41.8% compared to 30% for Susan Sadlowski Garza. 28.1% of respondents remained undecided. The analysis indicates Pope has an 11-point lead and only needs to gain 1 out of 3 undecided voters to win on April 7. The methodology describes the polling firm's process of selecting likely voters based on voting history from the past 3 elections to increase accuracy.
A poll of 466 likely voters in Chicago's 10th Ward conducted on March 18, 2015 showed incumbent Alderman John Pope leading with 41.8% compared to 30% for Susan Sadlowski Garza. 28.1% of respondents remained undecided. The analysis indicates Pope has an 11-point lead and only needs to gain 1 out of 3 undecided voters to win on April 7. The methodology describes the polling firm's process of selecting likely voters based on voting history from the past 3 elections to increase accuracy.
28% of ward still undecided CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, March 18, 2015 for 10th Ward Alderman with 466 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters. John Pope Susan Sadlowski Garza Undecided
195 140 131
41.8% 30.0% 28.1%
Margin of Error +/- 4.63% at 95% Confidence Interval
ANALYSIS Alderman John Pope has an 11-point lead with 28% of the ward still undecided. Pope will only need to pick up 1 out of 3 undecided voters to be successful on April 7, 2015. Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race.
METHODOLOGY Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency. Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161
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Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
CROSSTABS Respondents by Gender Male Female
217 249
46.6% 53.4%
Respondents by Age Age 18 30 Age 31 - 45 Age 46 - 64 Age 65 plus
64 154 148 100
13.7% 33.0% 31.8% 21.5%
Respondents by Zipcode 60617 Count 60633 Count
372 94
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161
