Bertaud, A. (2014) - Cities As Labour Markets. Marrion, NYU

WOR KING PA PER #2 / F EBRUA RY 1 9 , 2 0 1 4
CITIES AS LABOR MARKETS

+ A L A I N B E R TAU D
A B S T R AC T
A citys welfare depends on its labor market. As long as a labor market does not fragment into adjacent,
smaller ones as it grows, the larger the market, the more innovative and productive the city will be.
Maintaining mobility is therefore essential to the economic viability of cities.
Maintaining mobility has two implications: first, managing a transport system that allows an efficient
movement of labor and goods across metropolitan areas, and second, insuring that regulations or inadequate
land supply do not prevent firms and households from settling in the area that will maximize their welfare.
This also implies that transaction costs should be low enough to allow firms and households to change
location when their circumstances change. Considering cities primarily as labor markets has important
operational implications for their management, particularly in the way transport systems are developed and
in the way land markets are allowed to operate.
CO N TAC T
Alain Bertaud
abertaud@stern.nyu.edu
http:urbanizationproject.org
THE EFFICIENCY OF L ARGE L ABOR MARKETS IS
art galleries, public libraries, well-designed public spaces, and
T H E M A I N C AU S E O F E V E R - G R OW I N G C I T I E S
great restaurants, among many others. In turn, these typically

urban amenities require additional specialized jobs and attract
c i t i e s a r e p r i m a r i ly l a b o r m a r k e t s
Cities are primarily labor markets. This claim may seem terribly
reductionist to the many among us who love cities. Certainly
the attractions offered by the amenities of a large city cannot be
reduced such that the whole is seen merely as a place where firms
are looking for labor and people are looking for jobs.
During the French cultural revolution of May 1968 students
were deriding a life reduced to only three activities: Metro,
boulot, dodo, which could be roughly translated by commuting,
working, sleeping. This became one of the most ubiquitous tags
on Paris walls. The students were revolting against what I, more
pedantically, call an urban labor market, and they had a strong
point; I have seen such reduced forms of urban life in many
malfunctioning cities. However, I believe that improving the way
labor markets function through better land use and transport
allow for the indispensable values of urban life: a commute short
enough that one has time for elective activities; an open job
market that allows one to change jobs until an interesting and/
or materially rewarding professional activity has been secured; a
residence from which access to social life or nature is quick and
easy. All this is possible only in the presence of a well-functioning
labor market. Urban life reduced to Metro, boulot, dodo is
precisely the expression of a dysfunctional labor market.
I am not implying that a citys only purpose is as a labor
marketplace, but I am arguing that without a functioning labor
market there is no city. Try thinking of an alternative explanation
for the existence of very large cities. A city nucleus might have
been created originally as a commercial port, a trading post,
an even more diverse population, which become the source of

future innovations and a more interesting urban life.
Usually when a citys population is growing, it means that its
labor market is growing. Still, there is a segment of any urban
population (usually between 35 and 50 percent) that does not
participate directly in the labor market. Statisticians rightly
call the non-active segment the dependent population. Its
membersretired people, infants, students, prison inmates,
etc.are not part of the labor market and participate in the urban
economy only as consumers.
People migrating from other cities once they have reached
retirement age may be the cause of the growth of a few cities
whose growth is more driven by consumer markets than by labor
markets. These types of cities might become more common in
the twenty first century with the projected aging of the world
population. The retiree population of these cities would be
expected to consume a lot of services in health care facilities,
restaurants, and entertainment venues. The growth of these
retiree cities would then be caused by the dual effect of not
only the retirees migration, but also the migration of additional
workers to staff the services required by the retirees. These
retiree cities would not require spatial concentration and are
unlikely to create much economic dynamism. The eventual
growth of retiree cities is the only exception to growth created
by the efficiency of large labor markets. And, of course, the
retirement income of retirees will have to have been generated by
efficiently working labor markets in other large cities.
an administrative center, a military stronghold, or a center
large labor markets are more productive than
of religious pilgrimage, but over the years, the growth of a
smaller ones
diversified labor force would be the only possible cause for the
Economists have convincingly demonstrated the productivity
expansion of the original urban nucleus. While most cities offer a
advantage of larger cities over smaller ones. Large cities generate
lot more than job opportunities, it is important to recognize that
scale economies that allow enterprises to reduce their costs
the expansion of job markets makes everything else possible. A
by increasing output, thereby reducing costs per unit. Scale
well-functioning labor market brings together people with varied,
economies are only possible in cities with a large labor market.
but complementary, knowledge and skills-- the preconditions
When many related activities are located in close proximity, they
for innovation. A well-functioning labor market makes possible
generate what economists call knowledge spillovers. New ways
every other urban attractionsymphonic orchestra, museums,
of doing things in one firm are soon imitated by other firms and
C I T I ES AS L A B O R M A R K E TS
eventually by other sectors as a result of the proximity and close
countries, shows the regularities found in the distribution of
contact between workers of different firms and sectors within
city size across countries, with the exception of anomalies in
the urban economy. For instance, the first users of electronic
the former Soviet Union and China. In his book Planet of Cities
spreadsheets in the early eighties were mostly accountants
(2012), Shlomo Angel summarizes previous studies on the subject
and financial analysts. The use of spreadsheets soon became
and addresses the issue of worldwide city size distribution.
common in all sectors of the economy, but the spillover occurred
Angel based his analysis on a reliable worldwide database. His
first in large cities. Knowledge spillovers are responsible for
conclusions confirm previous, less exhaustive studies:
agglomeration economies, i.e. increase in productivity due to the

rapid dissemination of new ideas in areas where large numbers
The size distribution of cities by continent follows
of workers are in close contact. Agglomeration economies also
Zipfs law, which states that the size of a citys
result from a lowering of transaction costs in larger cities because
population is inversely proportional to its statistical
of the proximity of competing suppliers and consumers.
rank, such that if cities are ranked by decreasing
size, the second largest city is half the size of the

Economic literature linking the wealth of cities to spatial
largest, the third largest city a third the size of the
concentration is quite abundant and is no longer controversial
largest, etc.
in academic circles. National accounts show that the output

share of large cities is always much higher than their share of
On average, large cities, as a group, are growing at
the national population. The 2009 World Bank Development
about the same rate as medium and small cities in
Report Reshaping Economic Geography, and the report of the
the same countries or regions. It seems that cities
Commission on Growth and Development, Urbanization and
growth rates follow Gibrats law of proportionate
Growth published the same year, exhaustively summarize and
effect, which says that the size of a city is not an
document the theoretical and empirical arguments justifying
indicator of its future growth ratethat is, cities
the economic advantage provided by the spatial concentration of
growth rates are random, with the same average
economic activities in large cities.
expected growth rate and same variance. This is why

Zipfs law is preserved over time.
But if larger cities are more productive than smaller ones, why
are large cities not growing faster than small ones? And why do
In any given region, the distribution of cities of various sizes
many households and firms choose to remain in or even move
therefore remains stable. Larger cities keep growing, but on
to smaller cities when they could instead settle in the more
average, so do smaller cities. This seems paradoxical given that
productive environment provided by larger cities?
larger cities are more productive than smaller ones. However,

larger cities do not play the same economic role as smaller
the proportion of smaller cities to l arger ones

s tay s c o n s ta n t o v e r t i m e ; o n av e r a g e , a l l g r o w at
a b o u t t h e s a m e r at e
Data on city size distribution by country or by region show that

the proportion of small to medium and large cities stays about
constant over time. When households decide to migrate and
cities. They complement each others activities. The increased

productivity of larger cities is therefore linked to the existence
and growth of smaller cities. In turn, smaller cities economic
growth is dependent on larger cities innovations and inventions.
some cities keep g rowing while others don t
firms decide to select a location for a new enterprise, they are as
Small cities do not always grow into larger cities. The rate of
likely to choose a small city as a larger one.
population growth is determined by economic opportunity,

which in turn is largely determined by the comparative advantage
The American economist Vernon Henderson, who pioneered
given by a citys location and its populations capacity for
work on the growth rate and size distribution of cities in various
innovation. But the economic advantage provided by location
1 The internet is certainly able to spread knowledge quickly without requiring spatial concentration. However, the
impact of the internet in disseminating knowledge might be similar to books: it makes knowledge available quickly
and cheaply but it doesnt replace the serendipity of a random meeting of people with similar interests.
is not necessarily permanent; it may increase, decrease, or even
instance, activities like furniture-making require a lot of land and
vanish with technological change. Being close to an obsidian
easy truck access to transport the bulky materials necessary for
mine might have been a decisive advantage for the early Middle
the finished product. They require skilled, but not particularly
Eastern cities described by Jane Jacobs, but that advantage
specialized, labor. Furniture manufacturers, therefore, have no
disappeared when obsidian ceased to be the preferred material
reason to relocate to a large city, where land and labor would be
for tools and weapons. The Anatolian cities, whose economies
expensive and where moving bulky raw materials and finished
had not been able to diversify into activities other than obsidians
products in and out of the factory would be inefficient and costly.
craft and trade, inevitably shrunk and eventually disappeared.
These types of firms would tend to locate their manufacturing
The dominance of New York as the United States main eastern
activities in smaller cities. However, furniture makers may
seaport was made possible by the comparative advantage
require innovative designers who may not be found in smaller
provided by the Erie Canal. By the time railways made waterway
cities. In such cases, they may need to subcontract the design
transport obsolete, New Yorks population had accumulated such
of furniture to a firm located in a large city, where talented
a high level of diversified, specialized skills that it continued
designers are more likely to be found and where agglomeration
to thrive without having to rely on the advantage conferred by
economies and idea spillover, both important for a design
proximity to the canal.
firm, are also more likely to occur. Firms such as furniture

makers can carry out their highly specialized and innovative
The history of the worlds cities is full of examples of large cities
activitiesdesign and marketing, for instancein large cities.
dominating their regions for a time and then shrinking back to a
Their repetitive and land intensive activities (manufacturing) can
smaller size or even into oblivion. In 1050, Cordoba, in the south
be carried out in smaller cities. In this way, they can enjoy the
of Spain, was the largest city in Europe with 450,000 inhabitants,
advantages of both a large city (innovation, specialized labor) and
followed by Palermo, Sicily, with a population of 350,000. By the
a smaller city (low land and labor costs).
middle of the fourteenth century, the population of both cities

had shrunk to 60,000 and 50,000, respectively. In the eleventh
Speedier and cheaper communication over the past twenty years,
century, Kaifeng in China was probably the largest city in the
including the expansive adoption of the Internet, has contributed
world, with 700,000 people, while Shenzhen was not even on
to the splitting up of large firms into various departments located
the map. Today, Shenzhen has 10 million people, and over the
in cities of different sizes. Specialized tasks (design, marketing,
past ten centuries, Kaifengs population has barely increased to
export promotion) can take place in larger cities, where the
800,000 people.
requisite innovators and specialized labor force are more likely

to be found, while more routine manufacturing can take place in
w h y d o n t h o u s e h o l d s a n d f i r m s m i g r at e t o l a r g e r
smaller cities. In addition, large firms increasingly subcontract
c i t i e s w h e r e p r o d u c t i v i t y a n d s a l a r i e s a r e h i g h e r?
tasks to smaller firms often located in different areas. The same
In spite of the higher productivity to be gained, only some types of
factors have likely led to the growth of both large and small
firms can benefit from moving to a larger city. Firms established
cities, allowing them to specialize in what they do best. Similar
in larger cities require higher capital and higher operation and
rationale could be applied by workers who prefer either to remain
maintenance costs than those located in smaller cities. Land and
in large cities or to migrate to smaller cities: the latter have lower
rents are more expensive in larger cities than in smaller ones.
salaries but also lower rents, lower commuting costs and, often, a
Distances traveled are longer, and the congestion tax is higher.
better natural environment.
In addition, not every enterprise can benefit from economy of

scale or agglomeration economies.
Some services are likely to thrive in both large and small cities
and are thus not dependent upon the advantage provided by
Moving to a smaller city where land is cheaper and salaries are
location. Fast food restaurants, barber shops, and laundry
lower makes economic sense for firms whose activities require
services, for instance, follow the labor force of more specialized
a lot of land and labor that is not particularly specialized. For
firms wherever they locate, contributing to the even growth rate
of small and larger cities.
smuggling, or other unlawful, predatory activities are its main

cause.
THE PL ANNER S ANTI- BIG - CIT Y BIAS AND

T H E I R AT T E M P T S TO B A L A N C E G R OW T H
The assumption that the preparation of national or regional
Cities grow when their labor markets expand. This economic
plans would result in a predictable urban growth rate for
expansion is usually the result of a comparative advantage gained
each individual city in a region is also demonstrably false.
from location or an unusual concentration of skilled workers.
Unfortunately, in many countries this common planning conceit
The rate of a citys population growth cannot be attributed to
has resulted in misallocated public investments and regulatory
advance planning; rather, it is due to a combination of exogenous
impediments that have decreased cities productivity. In reality,
and endogenous circumstances. To the chagrin of urban
planners have very little influence on city size distribution and
planners, a citys growth rate over the mid or long term is largely
city growth rates, unless they take active, targeted measures to
unpredictable, and it is futile to pretend it is the result of careful
destroy the urban economies of the cities that have grown too
planning.
large. The Khmer Rouges urban policy applied to Cambodia in

the late seventies was an extreme and brutal example of planners
Planners and city managers have traditionally been concerned
temporarily successful attempt to manage city size.
about the unplanned growth of large cities because of the

complexity involved in managing them, the difficulty integrating
As a consequence of the planners hubris about the necessity
poor migrants from rural areas into city life, and an instinctive
of managing city size, many regional plans designed in the
aversion to anything that seems undesigned. Planners have
second half of the twentieth century have promoted regulatory
even described the growth of large, dominant cities like Paris or
limits on the growth of large cities. These were combined with
Mexico City as cancerous.
planned infrastructure investment aimed at stimulating the

growth of smaller cities, which were deemed more manageable.
The aversion to unplanned or to asymmetrical spatial patterns
A seminal and influential paper published in 1947, calling for a
is quite apparent in most urban planners approach. Some
national plan for the spatial development of France, was titled
planners look at a countrys map and observe that some regions
Paris and the French Desert, implying that the growth of Paris
contain many cities while others have only a few. They incorrectly
had occurred at the expense of the French provincial towns.
conclude that this imbalance represents an inequity due to
Anyone familiar with French provincial towns would recognize
parasitic urban activities or to other market failures. In their
their comparison to a barren desert as a slightly comical but
view, it then becomes the responsibility of the government to
gross exaggeration. While it is possible that the centralization
modify the imbalance and to remove this regional inequity
tendency of successive governments since the French revolution
through national spatial planning, with the declared objective of
of 1789 contributed to Paris rapid growth, the problem, if it
restoring a regional symmetry in the spatial distribution of cities.
exists, lays with the political system. Preventing investments in
However, the assumption that national spatial planning can
the capital while directing large resources towards provincial
modify the distribution of urban populations in order to reach a
towns is unlikely to change a city size hierarchy caused by an
new, planner-designed spatial equilibrium is false.
idiosyncratic political system whose reforms fail to allow for more

decentralized decisions.
Cities that have a decisive comparative advantage, either

because of their location or because of their large specialized
In 1956, the Indian government adopted a policy dictating that
and innovative labor pool, are likely to grow. People migrate
new industries should locate in backward areas. At the same
toward cities where economic and social opportunities are best,
time, it prevented further development of manufacturing in
from their point of view. The idea that a citys economic and
large cities.2 Through this policy, the government committed
demographic growth rate is due to parasitic activities occurring to

the detriment of other cities is fancifulunless, of course, piracy,
2 Industrial Policy Resolution of the Government of India adopted in 1956 under the provisions of the Industrial
Development and Regulation Act, 1951.
itself to correcting regional imbalance and to preventing further
their construction and insured their initial survival as they were
industrial growth in cities of more than 500,000. In 1988, the
financed by taxes paid by the rest of the country. Eventually, a
negative impact of the policy was compounded by an interdiction
more diversified labor market grafted itself onto the government
that new industries locate less than 50 kilometers from cities with
activities.
a population of more than 2.5 million and within 30 kilometers

of cities with a population between 1.5 million and 2.5 million. As
During the 70 years of the Soviet Union, planners had the
one can easily imagine, the latter policy didnt prevent the growth
opportunity to decide which cities were going to grow and which
of industries in successful cities like Mumbai or Bangalore with
were not. No city could grow without supporting resources
a population significantly bigger than 2.5 million; it just made
allocated from the Gosplan,4 a specialized ministry in Moscow.
it more expensive for these industries to expand there. More
The government had the means to enforce the movement of
tragically, it diverted scarce government infrastructure resources
people, and migrations toward selected locations within the
to regions with weak potential while starving large metropolitan
Soviet Unions vast hinterland were often involuntary. Many new
areas of desperately needed investment, even though this
cities were created for various political or perceived economic
was where most people were migrating. The current poor
reasons, but none of these cities was the result of voluntary
performance of public infrastructure roads, transport, sewer,
migration of firms and people toward areas that represented
drainage, and power in major Indian cities is in part the result
better opportunities.
of misguided national spatial policy conducted over the last 50

years.
In 2010, traveling to Moscow as a consultant, I was asked by the

ministry of construction to provide advice on how to proceed
If planners are unable to control the growth rate of cities, how do
for the closing of 60 cities that the Russian government had
I explain the successful growth of entirely planned cities like St
identified as no longer viable. The government could not
Petersburg, Brasilia or Shenzhen, created ex nihilo by powerful
continue to support social services and infrastructure in cities
rulers as diverse as Peter the Great, Juscelino Kubitschek and
that had been abandoned by the large monopolistic industries
Deng Xiao Ping? These planned cities became large and
that were originally their raison dtre. The labor market had
successful as the result of two main factors. First, each citys
disappeared, but the laborers were still there; closing the
location was selected because of a geopolitical necessity and
cities would entail another forced migration of several million
not because of an abstract planning concept. Second, each city
people. Apartments that had recently privatized represented
had the strong political and financial support of a powerful ruler
most peoples only asset; however, because the apartments
of a very large country. This support allowed these cities to sink
had become worthless, their owners were unable to move. The
large amounts of money in infrastructure investment without
closing of cities in Russia is an extreme illustration of the danger
having to borrow and tax their own initially fledgling economies.
of creating cities based on planning criteria without economic
These political and financial conditions are not typically met in
base and of using forced migrations or heavy subsidies to
the regional plans routinely prepared by technocrats. Politicians
promote urban growth.
created new capital cities like Washington (USA), Canberra

(Australia), Islamabad (Pakistan), Abuja (Nigeria), and Naypyidaw
w h y p l a n n e r s s h o u l d n o t t r y t o a lt e r t h e
(Myanmar). All are capitals of large countries and were initially
distribution of cit y sizes
without economic base beyond the national government
There is a natural equilibrium reached, within countries
bureaucracy. The cost is no object concept presided over
and regions, between the size of the population and the firms
choosing to settle in small, medium, and large cities. This
3 St. Petersburg was created by Peter the Great to open a port toward Western Europe in order to gain new technology
through trade and cultural contact. Brasilia, created by president Juscelino Kubitschek of Brazil, was part of an
equilibrium is created by the accumulated decisions of firms and
effort to develop the center of the country and to make the capital more politically independent from the large cities
households to vote with their feet, thereby selecting to move to
of the coast. Deng Xiao Pings main objective in creating Shenzhen was to graft and test within a limited perimeter
some of the market institutions and technical know-how used across the border by his Chinese compatriots in Hong
4 In Russian: Gosudarstvennaya Planovaya Comissiya State Planning Committee, in charge of the Soviet
Kong.
economy.
the cities that will grow and to leave the cities or villages that have
THE CIT YS PRODUCTIVIT Y DEPENDS ON ITS
less potential. The spontaneous spatial equilibrium created by
A B I L I T Y TO M A I N TA I N M O B I L I T Y A S I T S B U I LT-
the sum of uncoordinated, individual decisions illustrates what I
U P A R E A I S G R OW I N G
call the principle of order without design.

Mobility, which I would argue is the centerpiece of
With the exception of the few geopolitical examples mentioned
our national productivity, is neither highly valued
above, planners have no credible rationale for intervening directly
nor understood among public officials.
in the location and growth rate of cities. Planners should no
--Alan Pisarski, 2006
more encouragea favorite word in the planning literature

the growth of large cities at the expense of smaller cities than
Good management can therefore increase
they should discourage their growth, as they have done in the
indefinitely the optimal size of a city.
past. History has shown that these types of planner initiatives
--Rmy Prudhomme & Chang-Woon Lee, 1998 ,
are bound to fail or, worse, to create serious diseconomies,
Size, Sprawl, Speed And The Efficiency Of Cities
making a country poorer. The size of a city does not make it

automatically more productivelarge, dense refugee camps are
Larger labor markets are made possible by an increase in the
less productive than small towns, although they may provide
mobility of people and goods. Advancements in urban transport
shelter to several hundred thousand inhabitants. A city only
technology have improved the mobility of people and goods,
becomes more productive when its growth is generated by the
which in turn, has contributed to the growth of large cities during
aggregated decisions of many firms and households to migrate
the last 150 years. Improvements to transport technology have
toward it and when those firms and households have the freedom
also made possible the spatial concentration of both people and
to either stay put or to migrate elsewhere. These decisions should
fixed capital. Economists describe fixed capital as factories,
not be altered either by coercive regulations or by government
office buildings, houses, apartment buildings, community
investment incentives. Because households and firms have the
facilities, and infrastructure. In the last fifty years, an increasing
most invested in the successful outcomes of their moves, we
return to scale and agglomeration economies as a result of this
have to trust that the majority of them have enough information
spatial concentration has led to the emergence of mega-cities.
to justify their migration choices. Planners, in contrast, lack

the information about the economy of individual firms and
The potential economic advantages of large cities are reaped only
households that would be necessary to make informed decisions
if workers, consumers, and suppliers are able to exchange labor,
about the advantages and disadvantages of locating in a small,
goods, and ideas with minimum friction and to multiply face-to-
medium, or large city.
face contacts with minimum time commitments and cost. The

productivity of a city with a growing population can increase only
We will see below that planners optimum design hubris is
if travel between residential areas and firms and among firms
not limited to the size and location of cities. Within cities,
locations remains fast and cheap. As a city grows, it is therefore
too, they attempt to regulate both where households and firms
important to monitor mobility by comparing how average travel
should locate and the quantity of land and floor space they
times and transport costs vary over time.
should consume. As we will also see, planners do have a crucial

role to play in the development of cities, in particular with the
development of their infrastructure. However, it must be clear
that allocating land and floor space in specific locations is not
their role.
t h e d a i ly h u m a n t i d e : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f m o v i n g p e o p l e
and goods
The necessity of managing urban growth rather than to trying

to slow it down is finally being understood by mayors, city
managers, and urban planners. An increase in city size is not the
only condition necessary to increase productivity. Productivity
increases with city size only if the transportation network is able
to connect workers with firms and providers of goods and services
square kilometers. Today, by contrast, the built-up area of the
with consumers. This connectivity is difficult to achieve in large
largest cities covers several thousand square kilometers each.
cities; it requires consistency among a number of factors: land
In large modern cities, mobility can be maintained only with an
use and investments for transport networks, pricing decisions
elaborate system of transport, usually combining private and
for road use, parking, and transit fares, and collection of local
public modes of travel. The frequency of face-to-face contact
taxes and user fees. In their 2009 book, aptly titled Mobility
among the millions of people living in large cities depends
First, Sam Staley and Adrian Moore describe in detail the cross-
entirely on the efficiency of a motorized urban transport system.
disciplinary reforms in road and urban transport design and

in road pricing, among other things, that would be required to
maintain mobility in cities in the twenty first century.
t h e s p at i a l p at t e r n o f l a b o r m o b i l i t y
Every day in urban areas, the millions of people who constitute

the active population leave their homes to travel to their places
Failure to manage urban transportation in a manner that
of work, usually located in parts of the metropolitan area other
maintains mobility results in congestion. Congestion decreases
than the ones in which they live. Every evening these same people
labor mobility and productivity and is in fact avoidable in
come back home. In between, they may drop their children at
large cities. Its presence represents a failure on the part of city
school, stop to buy groceries, or meet friends at a coffee shop.
managers. Congestion has a double-negative effect; it acts
These daily trips originate and terminate at peoples homes but
as a tax on productivity by tying down people and goods, and
also include their workplaces and any number of amenities
it degrades the environment and increases greenhouse gas
restaurants, museums, supermarkets, cinemas, etc. The
emissions. It is conceivable that in the future some mismanaged
commute constitutes a daily tide moving back and forth in a
large cities may reach a level of congestion and pollution the
predictable manner, with peak hours and ebb times, from home
combined negative effects of which could offset the economic
to workplace and amenities and back.
advantage of spatial concentration. These cities would then stop

growing, and the economic advantage of spatial concentration
In addition to trips originated in residential areas by commuters
would be taxed away by congestion and an unsafe environment.
and consumers, economic activities generate freight trips

between firms locations and increasingly, with the growth of
Given this potential scenario, the positive economic effect of
e-commerce, from firms directly to their consumers in residential
agglomeration must be very powerful in cities like Bangkok and
locations. Firms in large cities need to be constantly supplied
Jakarta where urban productivity continues to offset the price of
both with merchandise to be sold in shops and with the materials
chronic congestion. It is difficult to assess a citys productivity
and parts to be used in manufacturing. These freight trips do
just by visiting, but traffic congestion is clearly apparent on even
not follow the same patterns as commuting trips and are often
a short visit to either city. But, even the spectacular and semi-
ignored by planners. In a typical city in an OECD5 country,
permanent traffic congestion in these economic powerhouses, as
freight trips may represent 10 to 15 percent of the total vehicle
well as in Beijing, does not cancel the productivity advantage of
kilometers traveled (VKT). When roads are congested, the tax on
their large, human spatial concentrations.
productivity affects both labor and freight mobility.
Maintaining mobility while a citys built-up area and its
A citys economy is therefore dependent on the repetitive flow of
population are growing is not easy. During centuries of urban
commuting and freight trips. If by chance a snowstorm, a flood,
development, walking was an adequate means of urban
or a public transport strike forces these trips to be canceled, the
transportation. At the beginning of the industrial era, one could
citys economy freezes immediately and remains frozen until the
walk from the periphery to the center of each of the largest
daily commuting tide resumes.
European and American cities in less than an hour. In the

1830s, the area occupied by each of the three largest cities in the
Western worldMoscow, London, and Pariswas less than 60
5 The OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) is a club of 34 rich countries with high
human development index committed to market economy and democracy
commuting time and commuting cost limit the size of
each way. Only a small percentage of commuters in large cities
labor markets
have a total commuting time of more than one hour per day.
Obviously, there are limits to the money and time that workers are
In 2009, the mean travel time in US metropolitan areas was 26
willing to spend on commuting. These limits impose a constraint
minutes; however, in New York, the largest US metropolitan area,
on the commuting distance, and as a consequence, on the size
with 19 million people, it was 35 minutes. Figure 1 compares
of the urban labor market. For very low-income workerswhose
the distribution of commuting travel time (one way) between an
income is nearly entirely devoted to food and shelterthe cost
average of US metropolitan areas and Gauteng, the South African
of commuting is a more binding constraint than the time spent
metropolitan area that includes Johannesburg and Pretoria
commuting. As a households disposable income increases, the
(12.3 million people in 2011). In spite of the difference in their
cost of transport becomes a smaller fraction of incometypically
economies, urban structures, cultures, and topographies, the
less than 15 percent, and the time spent commuting becomes
majority of commuters, approximately a third in both Gauteng
the major constraint for workers, limiting the size of the labor
and US cities, spend 15-29 minutes of travel time. The percentage
market. Because the time spent on commuting is a dead loss
of commuters who spend less than 15 minutes of travel time
for both individuals and employers, the size and efficiency of a
is significantly higher in the US cities, and the percentage
labor market depends on how short, cheap, and comfortable the
who spend either 30-59 minutes or more than 60 minutes is
commute is. The maximum cost in time and cash that workers
significantly higher in Gauteng.
are willing to spend commuting will therefore dictate the size of
Figure 1: Distribution of commuting travel time in US cities and in Gauteng (South

Africa)
the labor market and, by extension, the productivity of a city.
I consider an hours commute (one way) to be the absolute limit
Urban commuting surveys indicate that the median travel time
when defining the spatial extent of a labor market. For a worker,
across cities and countries is, and for a long time has been,
the number of jobs that can be reached within a travel time of less
remarkably stable, with an approximate mean of 30 minutes
than one hour defines the size of his labor market.
Aarabi.7 Prudhomme and Lees paper titled Size, Sprawl, Speed

One could argue that the number of jobs for which a particular
and the Efficiency of Cities shows that productivity per worker
worker would be qualified or in which he would be interested
is closely correlated to the average number of jobs per worker
would be much smaller than the total number of jobs accessible
that are reachable in less than 60 minutes. In Korean cities, a 10%
within an hour of his home. This is true, but increasingly
increase in the number of jobs accessible per worker corresponds
specialized jobs have led to a greater dependence on the physical
to a 2.4% increase in workers productivity. Additionally, for
proximity of people with other specialties and skills. In the
25 French cities, a 10% increase in average commuting speed,
service industry in particular, which constitutes a large portion
all other things remaining constant, increases the size of the
of the jobs in large cities, large arrays of skills are needed in close
labor market by 15 to 18%. In the US, Melo et al. show that the
proximity. For instance, a lawyer who specializes in European
productivity effect of accessibility, measured by an increase in
agriculture regulations would not be very productive if she were
wages, is correlated to the number of jobs per worker accessible
surrounded only by people with the same skills. To be effective,
within a 60-minute commuting range. The maximum impact
she will have to be in close contact with other specialists in
on wages is obtained when the number of jobs accessible
taxation and import tariffs, and she will need to engage the
within 20 minutes increases; within this travel time, a doubling
services of workers who will fix her computer, clean her office,
in the number of jobs results in an increase in real wages of
deliver coffee to the board room and prepare and serve the
6.5%. Beyond 20 minutes of travel time, worker productivity still
food that she will eat at lunch. In the same way, an unskilled
increases, but its rate decays and practically disappears beyond
industrial worker is likely to work in a factory requiring a large
60 minutes.
array of workers specialized in electronics, mechanics, labor law,

insurance and so on.
Both papers demonstrate that workers mobility their ability to

reach a large number of potential jobs in as short a travel time
The idea that a lawyer needs to access only the area where lawyers
as possible, is a key factor in increasing the productivity of large
are likely to work while an industrial worker needs to access
cities and the welfare of their workers. Large agglomerations
only industrial areas no longer corresponds to the reality of job
of workers do not insure a high productivity in the absence of
distribution in a large modern city. Our European agriculture
worker mobility. The time spent commuting should, therefore, be
regulations specialist may only be interested in a few jobs, and
a key indicator in assessing the way large cities are managed.
these few jobs are likely to be randomly distributed among

many other jobs. For this reason, the larger the total number
As Prudhomme writes in his paper: [] the benefits associated
of jobs, the greater the chances that a few very specialized jobs
with city size are only potential, they are contingent upon the
will be among them. In addition, the larger the number of jobs
quality of management. City size would therefore define an
accessible within an hours commute, the better the ability to
efficiency frontier, with effective efficiency often significantly
change jobs when desired. This type of labor mobility the ability
below this frontier. The quality of management as defined by
to change jobs within different economic sectors benefits both
Prudhomme is in a large part the ability of the local government
individual workers and the city economy by redistributing labor
to adapt the transport system to the spatial structure so that
where it will provide the most benefits.
workers can access a maximum number of jobs in less than 60

minutes of travel time.
the effective size of the labor market depends on

t r av e l s p e e d a n d t h e s p at i a l d i s t r i b u t i o n o f j o b s
The effective size of a citys labor market is, therefore, not
The impact of travel speed, size of labor markets and jobs
necessarily equal to the number of jobs available within a
spatial distribution on urban productivity has been convincingly
metropolitan area but to the average number of jobs per worker
demonstrated for European and Korean cities by Prudhomme

and Lee6 and for US cities by Melo, Graham, Levinston and
et des Institutions Locales, IUP Universit de Paris XII

7 Patricia Melo, Graham, Levinson and Aarabi, 2013, Agglomeration, Accessibility, and Productivity: Evidence for
6 Prudhomme and Lee, 1998, Size, Sprawl, Speed and the Efficiency of Cities. LOEIL, Observatoire de lconomie
Urbanized Areas in the US paper submitted to the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC.
accessible within a one hour commute. Depending on the speed
of transport could be increased so that one could travel from a
of the transport system, the effective size of the labor market
to d and from e to b within one hour, rather than the 90 minutes
could be equal to the total number of jobs available in a
each trip currently takes, then the effective size of the job market
city or to only a fraction of it. The location of workers residences
would be 100% of all jobs available (100% of 3/3 = 100%).
relative to their jobs and the speed of transport will determine

the effective size of a labor market and, therefore, the additional
In a less schematic city, the effective size of labor markets can be
productivity that could be gained by the scale and agglomeration
calculated as follows: Let us assume that the city is divided into
economies described earlier.
polygons identified by their number i; then, the effective size of

its labor market can be expressed by:
I will illustrate the relationship between speed of transport,
J =(wi ji)/ni
effective size of labor market and spatial distribution of jobs by
using a schematic representation of a city as shown on Figure 2
where:
Imagine a linear city where workers residences are spread evenly
between a and e. Jobs are concentrated in only three locations
J is an indicator of the effective size of the labor market expressed
b, c and d. Each location contains 1/3 of all jobs. The speed of
as the average % of total jobs accessible in less than one hour per
transport is uniform within the city and is represented by the
worker;
arrows showing travel time between different points. It takes
two hours to travel from a to e, on opposite outer edges of the
wi is the number of workers living in location i;
hypothetical city.

ji is the number of jobs accessible within one hour travel time of
location i;

ni is the number of jobs in location i;
This type of calculation would have been prohibitively labor
intensive before the availability of GIS technology, but it is now
quite feasible to update this indicator regularly. Different
transport modes and networks could be tested for their potential
Figure 2: Distribution of workers residence and job location in a hypothetical linear

city
impact on the effective size of the labor market.

The effective size of a labor market depends on commuting
Workers living between b and d can reach 100% of the jobs in less
travel speeds and the relative location of workers residences to
than one hour, but workers living between a and b can reach only
their jobs. This dependence may be illustrated in a less abstract
the jobs located in b and c in less than one hour; jobs located in
way by representing a city as a two dimensional object, rather
d are out of reach for workers living between a and b. Similarly,
than the one dimensional, linear representation of Figure 2, and
workers living between d and e can reach only the jobs located in
by showing alternative arrangements for travel speeds and job
c and d; the jobs located in b are out of reach. As a consequence,
locations.
50% of the workers (those living between b and d) have access

to 100% of the jobs in less than 1 hour of travel time while the
Figure 3 shows a schematic representation of an urban built-
other 50% (those between a and b and between d and e) only have
up area, represented by a circle. Within this circle, smaller red
access to 2/3 of all the jobs. Therefore, the effective size of the
circles represent job locations. Horizontally, I have shown three
labor market represented in Figure 2 is only 83% of all the jobs
types of spatial distribution for jobs: monocentric, where all jobs
available in the city: 50% of 3/3 + 50% of 2/3 = 83.3%. If the speed
are concentrated in a central business district (CBD); polycentric,
where jobs are concentrated within three clusters; and dispersed,
access to all jobs within the built-up area, but workers living
where jobs are uniformly distributed within the built-up area. For
on the periphery have access to only a fraction of the total jobs
each pattern of job distribution, an arrow shows the maximum
available in the city. In this case, then, the implied productivity
travel distance that a worker can cover in one hour from the outer
of a large labor market is not fully realized. A decrease in
edge of the urban area. The different arrows lengths correspond
commuting travel speed fragments large labor markets into
to different travel speed.
smaller ones and results in a decrease in urban productivity.

Increasing travel speed decreases the difference between the
We will see how different commuting speeds have an impact on
effective labor market (the number of jobs accessible within an
the effective size of the labor market depending on the spatial
hour commute) and the nominal labor market (the total number
distribution of jobs.
of jobs in a metropolitan area.)
Figure 3: Labor markets, speed, and job location
In the three graphs on the top row of Figure 3, I have adjusted
For a given built-up area, the pattern of job distribution is
the speed of travel to allow for accessibility to all jobs in less than
important in defining access to the labor market. When jobs are
one hour. On the bottom row, at a lower travel speed, the workers
clustered in a CBD, the distance from all jobs to all residential
residing on the periphery can access only a fraction of the jobs in
locations is much shorter than it is when jobs are randomly
less than one hour. The labor market in this case is fragmented
distributed within the built-up area. This does not necessarily
and is therefore less efficient than the unified one represented
demonstrate that the CBD model is the most efficient pattern or
in the top row. Workers who live in a more central area may have
that it will ensure full access to the labor market for everyone.
In cities where job accessibility has been measured, the number
It is true that a centrally located CBD , containing one hundred
of jobs accessible by commuting time shows large variations. For
percent of all jobs, would decrease the distance from ones
instance, Prudhomme noted that in Seoul, in 1998 the average
residence to ones job for everyone. However, the size of labor
worker has in 60 minutes access to only 51% of all the jobs
markets is limited not only by distance but also by travel time.
offered by the city; and the average enterprise has 56% of all the
Therefore, speed of transport (distance/time) is the key parameter
workers at less than 60 minutes. The additional subway lines
in allowing access to the maximum number of jobs.
built since that date must have increased the effective size of the
labor market in Seoul. A comparison of car commuting across

The convergence of all commuting routes toward a CBD usually
US cities in 2010 calculated by David Livingston10 shows amazing
creates congestion and slows the speed of travel. In contrast,
differences in accessibility between US cities (Figure 4). Within a
when jobs are dispersed in suburban locations, there is no
30 minute drive, 2.4 million jobs can be accessed in Los Angeles
convergence of routes, and transport speed is usually faster. The
compared with 0.6 million in Atlanta. However, 4 of the 5 cities
average surface transport speed in the center of Paris (within
represented in figure 4, allow access to all jobs within 60 minutes.
5km of City Hall) is about 12 km/h; rush-hour speeds in the

suburbs (20 km from City Hall) are about 50 km/h. Thanks
t h e l a b o r m a r k e t s h a p e s t h e p at t e r n o f c o m m u t i n g
to improvement in GPS technology, we are now able to check
trips
variations in rush hour speeds on the internet in real time for
As we have seen in Figure 3, a majority of jobs may be
many cities in the world.
concentrated in a central business district or be clustered in

several centers or be completely dispersed across a metropolitan
In areas where the major road network was originally designed
area. Next, we will look only at the possible trip patterns that
for a monocentric city, commuting routes from suburb to suburb
would allow the labor market to function within each of the
may be less direct than they should be; this is the case in Paris,
following spatial distributions of jobs.
Atlanta and Shanghai. Initially, suburb to suburb commuting

routes may have to follow minor roads and may include awkward
Figure 5 illustrates in a schematic manner the most usual trip
major road crossings. There is usually a long time lag before a
patterns in metropolitan areas depending on the concentration
municipality is able to adjust the design of a major road network
or dispersion of jobs. There are three observed models of
from monocentric to a grid-like pattern that will better serve new,
commuting route patterns, labeled from A to C on Figure 5:
emerging routes among suburbs.

A.
The monocentric model most jobs are
It is outside the scope of this paper to further discuss the
concentrated in a dense Central Business
influence of different transport modes cars, public buses, or
District (CBD); trip routes follow radial roads and
subways on transport costs and travel time for various types of
converge toward the CBD. Of course, no real city
urban spatial structures in which population and job densities
is ever strictly monocentric; a number of jobs are
are distributed differently within the built-up area. The schematic
necessarily found inside residential areas, for
representation of spatial structure in Figure 3 is very crude, but
instance in schools, dispensaries, gas stations and
it clearly demonstrates the impact of speed of travel and job
grocery stores.
location on the effective size of a labor market.

Monocentricity is really measured by degree rather
8 Not all CBDs are located at the center of the built-up area. Mumbais CBD, for instance is located at the Southern
than in absolute terms. A city where more than 50%
tip of a peninsula while the centroid of the built up area is located more than 15 km to the north. This situation is
of the jobs are located in the CBD is dominantly
relatively rare, as market forces tend to re-center the CBD toward the center of gravity of a citys population.
monocentric. To my knowledge, no metropolitan
9 The term commuting routes defines an itinerary from one place to another, which may have to follow minor roads
area with a population above 5 million meets this
in the absence of major roads linking the point of origin to the desired destination. Commuting routes are therefore
independent from the existing design of major roads which may often converge toward a central point.
10 David Levinson, Access Across America, 2013, Center for transportation studies, University of Minnesota
Figure 4: Average number of jobs accessible by workers in various US cities
Figure 5: Possible trip patterns in metropolitan areas
criterion.
The trips toward each job cluster follow radial

routes centered on each cluster and behave as if
B. The polycentric or dispersed model most jobs
each cluster were an isolated, monocentric city.
are concentrated in small clusters or completely
According to this model, a large city can be made up
dispersed among residential areas; trip routes are
of a number of self-sufficient, small monocentric
randomly distributed within the built-up area. If
cities.
speed of transport allows it, some workers will

commute from one edge of the metropolitan
Unfortunately, the urban village model exists only in the mind of
area to its opposite edge. As in the monocentric
urban planners. Otherwise, it would be a very attractive model,
model, workers residing closer to the centroid of
which is why urban planners favor it, as it would not require
the built-up area are closer to all the jobs than are
significant investment in transportation or roads. Furthermore,
workers residing at the edge. Firms located closer
it would dramatically reduce vehicle kilometers travelled (VKT)
to the built-up area centroid are also closer to all
and, as a result, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. According to
workers. However, because commuting speeds
the proponents of this model, everybody could walk or bicycle to
are usually not the same near the centroid and at
work, even in a very large metropolis. To allow a city to grow, it
the periphery, firms located close to the periphery
would only be necessary to add more clusters. The assumption
might be accessible in shorter time by more workers
behind this model is either that urban planners would be able to
than firms located close to the centroid. In part,
perfectly match work places and residences, or that workers and
this explains why firms do not cluster close to the
employers would spontaneously organize themselves into the
centroid even though doing so would put them at a
appropriate clusters.
shorter distance from all their potential workers.

This model does not exist in the real world because it contradicts
C. The composite model a significant fraction of all
the economic justification of large cities: the efficiency of large
jobs are concentrated (say, 30% for instance) in a
labor markets. Employers do not select their employees based on
dense CBD, but the majority of jobs are randomly
their places of residence; neither do specialized workers select
distributed in the rest of the built-up area. Trip
their jobs based on proximity from their residences. However,
routes toward the CBD follow radial roads while
as I have postulated above, employees may be reluctant to
trip routes toward dispersed jobs are randomly
accept a job located beyond a one-hour commuting time. This
distributed but usually avoid the congestion of the
commuting time limit would not allow the creation of urban
CBD. This is the most usual pattern of trips in large
villages.
cities in Asia and Europe.

The urban village model implies a systematic fragmentation
There is also a fourth model of trips that doesnt exist in the
of labor markets within a large metropolis and does not make
real world but is very often presented in master plans as being a
economic sense in the real world. A firm that would be satisfied
desirable alternative to the three trips patterns described above.
to restrict the selection of its employees to the vicinity of its
Because of the prevalence of this conceit in many urban master
factory or office would not need to locate in a large metropolis
plans, this utopian alternative trip pattern, labeled D in Figure 5,
where rents and salaries are higher. This firm could locate in a
needs to be discussed:
small town where the unspecialized workers it seeks could be

recruited for a lower salary. In the same way, a worker living in
D. The so-called Urban Village Model jobs are
a large city and looking for a new job would try to maximize job
concentrated in many small clusters. In this model,
satisfaction, measured in part through salary, level of interest
there are many centers, but commuters travel
in the work and its compatibility with skillset, attractiveness
only to the center that is closest to their residence.
of the work environment, etc. The time spent commuting
might certainly be a consideration in seeking a job, but if the
This path dependency11 rule, common to all evolving shapes, is
commuting time were less than one hour, it would likely not be a
a reality that should seriously limit the freedom of planners to
determining one.
dream up new urban forms. Planners should take into account

the path dependency of city shape when designing for new
The five satellite towns built around Seoul are an example
transport systems.
of an attempt to implement the urban village concept. The

government built the new towns under the assumptions that
None of the three models discussed above are immutable. Future
they would be self-contained and that most inhabitants would
urban labor markets, for instance, might not require as many
work and live within their own towns. To achieve this objective,
face-to-face interactions between employees, customers and
planners carefully balanced the number of projected jobs in
suppliers as they have in the past. New models of trip patterns
each town with the number of projected inhabitants. However,
might emerge in the future reflecting the new requirements of
subsequent surveys showed that most people living in the new,
an evolving labor market. For instance, the recent emergence
satellite towns commuted to work in the Seoul metropolitan area,
of telecommuting has put into question not only the pattern of
and most of the jobs in the satellite towns were filled by people
commuting trips but also the very need for commuting. As such,
living outside of them. The trip pattern found in satellite towns
we should remain agnostic regarding the patterns of commuting
is consistent with the hypothesis made at the beginning of this
trips twenty years from now. However, we can look at the trend in
paper: a large unified labor market is the justification for large
trip patterns over the last decades to inform our understanding
cities. Its likely that some households initially decided to move
going forward. This trend reflects path dependency, mentioned
to Seouls satellite towns because apartments were cheaper than
above.
in Seouls core city or because the environment was better and

newer. It is also probable that when these households moved,
What effect could a large increase in telecommuting have on
the heads of household were already employed somewhere in
current trip patterns? So far, the effect has been modest. In fact,
Seoul. After all, had they not been employed, they likely would
there is a hint that this modest trend may reverse itself among
not have been able to buy a new apartment. Furthermore, after
high tech companies that were the first to initiate it. In 2013,
moving to a satellite town, it is unlikely that they would quit their
Yahoos new CEO announced a reversal of its telecommuting
current jobs to find equivalent, vacant jobs within the town. The
policy, which confirmed what we already knew: that serendipitous
same reasoning could be made for firms moving to a satellite
face-to-face contact between professionals is necessary for
town. A firm might move from the central city to find cheaper
innovation.
rents or more space, but many of its employees would likely

decide to keep their jobs and commute from the core city to the
However, the question remains: how often should those face-
satellite town.
to-face interactions occur? Once a week? Every other day?

How large should the groups needing face-to-face interaction
h o w c o m m o n a r e e a c h o f t h e t h r e e s p at i a l
be? How much serendipity is required to generate innovation?
d i s t r i b u t i o n m o d e l s?
Whatever the answer, telecommuting will certainly decrease
The spatial distribution of jobs, and as a consequence
daily commuting flow and change traffic flow, but it will not
commuting trip patterns, evolve as cities become larger and
completely eliminate a workers need for spatial proximity to
more affluent. The monocentric model is a simple, primitive
his/her employer or to other workers with complementary skills.
city model that inevitably evolves over time into a more complex
It is quite possible that telecommuting will decrease in firms
form, more closely resembling the composite model. Once jobs
requiring innovation and increase in firms engaged in routine
have dispersed into a pattern similar to the dispersed/polycentric

model, it is unlikely that they will eventually concentrate again
into a dense, central CBD.
11 Path dependency refers to situations in which options taken in the past limit the number of options available in the
future. The concept is commonly used in history, evolutionary biology and economics but is obviously applicable to
urban development. For instance, in evolutionary biology a group of primitive living cells could possibly evolve in into
a mammal or into a fish. But once the cells have evolved into a fish, they cannot possibly evolve into a mammal and
vice-versa.
data processing. One lesson is clear, we cannot plan for it, but we
to Manhattan or within Manhattan; 2.1 % of trips are from
must monitor carefully the spatial implication of this trend and
Manhattan to the suburbs, and the large majority, 73.6%, are
support it with adequate transport infrastructure.
from suburb to suburb. The pattern of trips in metropolitan New

York illustrates what I have called the composite model (Figure 5,
Although the large metropolises of the world show a great
pattern C).
variety of histories, cultures and incomes, the trends, when the

data exist to measure them, seem to converge toward a more
Outside the US, the trends of large metropolitan areas also seem
spatial dispersion of jobs. This trend seems counterintuitive,
to move toward the composite model, even in cities like Paris,
particularly as the CBDs in an increasing number of cities
with a historically dominant and prestigious center and a radio-
compete for the distinction of worlds tallest skyscraper. But
concentric transit system providing excellent access to the center.
we must realize that a prime office skyscraper contains fewer
In Paris metropolitan area (defined as the Ile de France region),
workers per hectare than the five-story sweatshop that it likely
trips within and to the Paris municipality (historical Paris)
replaced.
represent 30% of the total commuting trips, and 70% of trips are
from suburb to suburb (Figure 6).
Because of the very low built-up densities of US cities, their

spatial trend might not be representative of most world
Large metropolitan areas of Asia, although much denser than
cities. However, the US trend has the advantage of being well
US or European cities, are showing the same trends toward the
documented and may still provide some insights into the way
suburbanization of jobs and people. Seouls metropolitan area,
changes in labor markets impact urban land use. In 1995
with a population of 24.7 million in 2010, is representative of the
and 2005, Alan Pisarski conducted the most comprehensive
trend in prosperous East Asian cities that have seen a significant
nationwide study of commuting in the US. The trends he
increase in population and household income in the last 30 years.
measured over a ten-year interval are clear: the ratio between
In Seoul, between 2000 and 2010, the population decreased by
jobs and resident workers is decreasing in central cities and
0.5% in the central city13, and it increased by 92% in outer suburbs
increasing in suburban areas. Pisarskis studies clearly show
located more than 20 km from the city center (Table 1). During
that, on average, US metropolitan areas are slowly evolving from a
that same ten year period, the spatial distribution of jobs has
composite model (Figure 5, pattern C), to a more dispersed model
been less dispersed, with 16% of the new jobs being added to the
(pattern B). Furthermore, Pisarskis studies indicated that the
CBD, while 59% were added to outer suburbs more than 20 km
job concentration in the traditional CBD is constantly decreasing
from the CBD. Seoul, however, still remains more monocentric
not in absolute terms but as a proportion of the total number of
than Paris or New York, with 31% of the total metropolitan jobs
metropolitan jobs.
concentrated in the central city.
Pisarskis reports show that in smaller US metropolitan areas,
As we can see from the historical trend the monocentric model
those below 100,000 people, commuting trips to the CBD
tends to break down when a city becomes larger. However,
represent about 50% of all trips a good approximation of the
empirical evidence does not show an obvious population size
monocentric model. However, for larger metropolitan areas,
threshold beyond which cities cease to thrive as dominantly
those with population above two million people, the trips to
monocentric. Sometimes, topography rivers or mountains
the CBD drop to about or below 24%. This is also observed in
prevents direct communication from suburb to suburb and
very large metropolises with a well-marked, dominant CBD
therefore maintain monocentricity in spite of a large population.
such as Seoul, New York or Paris. For instance, in the New
An original network of primary radial roads would reinforce a
York metropolitan area, 24.3% of trips are from the suburbs
high degree of monocentricity as a city expands by making it
12
12 Commuting trips include only trips between a residence and a work place. Other trips, for shopping, social life or
leisure, are counted separately. Commuting trips are often a fraction of all trips, but they are the most important for
proper functioning of the labor market. In addition, most commuting trips take place at rush hour and therefore test
the capacity limit of the transport system.
easier to go to the CBD than to peripheral locations. This type

13 In this case, I defined Seoul central city as the area within a circle of 10 km radius centered on Seoul City Hall. This
area includes three distinct CBD-like areas with an intense spatial concentration of jobs.
Figure 6: Trip Patterns in Metropolitan Paris
of radial network can be seen in European cities like Berlin,
t h e e f f i c i e n t o p e r at i o n o f l a b o r m a r k e t s r e q u i r e s
Copenhagen or Paris. By contrast, a primary grid network
mobility
would rapidly encourage the creation of sub centers with good
Mobility should be understood in two ways: first, it is the
overall accessibility as a city develops. This has been the case
ability to move quickly and easily between locations within a
for Los Angeles, Houston, and Omaha. The grids in these cities
metropolitan area; second, its the ability to locate ones house or
sometimes become irregular, but the availability of wide roads,
ones firm in any location within a metropolitan area. Mobility
perpendicular to the radial roads at the fringe of urbanization,
is, therefore, not only the ability to move rapidly between origin
stimulates the creation of sub-centers, and perhaps even of job
and destination but also the ability to change the origin and
dispersion, because wide roads allow for higher driving speeds
destination of commuting trips as circumstances dictate.
and, therefore, for faster accessibility to areas farther away from

the radial roads. A grid network of roads, therefore, encourages
The ability of households and firms to choose where they locate
an early shift toward polycentricity.
depends upon the availability of land and floor space in the areas
of the city they deem to have the most favorable benefits for
T H E A F FO R DA B I L I T Y O F L A N D A N D F LO O R
households, the proximity to jobs and amenities, and for firms,
S PAC E A L LOWS A L L I N CO M E G R O U P S TO
the proximity to clients, employees and suppliers. Theoretically,
PA R T I C I PAT E I N T H E L A B O R M A R K E T
the lowest-income household or the least well-capitalized firm

should be able to locate anywhere in a city, even where land
Figure 7: Seoul - Changes in population and job distribution between 2000 and 2010
Table 1: Seoul - Spatial changes in the distribution of population and jobs 2000-2010
is the most expensive, if they are allowed to consume as little
built before 1930; they are prohibited in apartment buildings
land as they require. The food carts of Manhattan and the tiny
that are more recent. These unfortunate regulations reduce the
paanwalas stalls of Mumbai demonstrate this point. These
mobility of the poor. As a consequence, their participation in the
small businesses sell cheap products but thrive in their expensive
full labor market is also restricted.
14
locations by consuming only two or three square meters of land,

as opposed to the several hundred square meters occupied by
In South Africa, the government housing program for the poor
most shops in the same area. Farmers markets and flea markets
illustrates how well-intentioned planners may limit residents
are other examples of the trade-off between location and land
mobility, reduce their participation in the labor market, and
consumption allowing low-margin businesses to thrive in
increase their travel time. Starting in 1995, the government
expensive locations.
embarked on a massive housing program to improve the living

conditions of the victims of apartheid. The program aimed to
Equivalent examples exist for housing; for instance, Paris
provide subsidized housing to about 80 percent of the poorest
chambres de bonne
South Africans. By 2012, it had already delivered 3.5 million
15
are located in the citys most expensive
neighborhoods. Typically as small as nine square meters, they
urban dwelling units, a unique quantitative achievement for
allow students or low-income workers to afford housing in a
a government housing program. The standards are generous:
very favorable location. The residential plots in Indonesias
400 square meters per lot, 65 square meters of floor space per
kampongs are another example of the demand for centrally
house, wide vehicular access roads, and schools equipped with
located residences with low land and floor consumption. The
large sports grounds and within walking distance, etc. The
availability of these residences allows the poor to decide about
space standards are fixed and similar all over urban South Africa.
the trade-offs they want to make regarding location and land
The subsidy is also fixed, amounting to about 150,000 rand (US
consumption. If water, sanitation, and refuse management are
$16,000) per dwelling in 2012. The only dependent variable is
adequate, a small, inner city location might be a desirable trade-
the price of land. Land for this massive program must be very
off compared to a suburban one far from jobs, amenities, and
cheap to allow beneficiaries to enjoy the high space standards
social services. Whether Chambres de bonnes or Kampongs,
prescribed by the program. As a result, the new subsidized
the neighborhoods in which such dwellings are located are by no
housing projects are all located in the far periphery of cities, in
means slums, in spite of the very small size of their dwellings.
settlements that are too dispersed to be easily serviced by public
16
transport. Because of the remote location, the beneficiaries of

Unfortunately, well-intentioned regulations often prevent
these projects have a hard time finding employment. Those
the poor from making these trade-offs between floor space
who are employed pay as much as 50 percent of their income on
consumption and location. Urban regulations typically require
transport, even when sharing taxis with other commuters. This
a generous minimum floor space standard for housing. These
dramatic example illustrates why planners should not make
well-intentioned regulations exclude the poor because the high
trade-off decisions involving location and land consumption for
price of floor area makes it too expensive for them to afford the
households and firms.
minimum standard. Chambres de bonne exist only in housing

In the case of South Africa, the outcome is indeed comfortable
14 Paanwalas sell paan, a mixture of betel leaf, areca nuts, and tobacco. They are small, informal, thriving retail
housing for poor people, but the large subsidy attached to a house
businesses in the streets of Indian cities.
in a distant location prevents the beneficiaries from participating
15 Chambres de bonnes or maids rooms were independent rooms of about 10 to 12 square meters built under the
in the labor market. High-standard housing provided to poor
roofs of opulent buildings in Paris and provincial towns, usually with common bathroom facilities on the same floor.
When the households in these buildings could not afford maids anymore, the rooms became the cheapest rental rooms
people in a remote location becomes a poverty trap. The
on the market. Their low cost has been maintained over the years in spite of their excellent location because they are
subsidies are not to blame here. The error is not only tying the
located on the 5th or 6th floors of buildings without elevators.
subsidy to a specific location but also deciding on the location
16 A Kampong, which means village in Bahasa Indonesian, is an informal but legal residential neighborhood in
verse land consumption trade-off without having solicited input
Indonesian cities. The lot sizes vary by income with the smallest being around 10 m2. Streets in a Kampong are
usually 2 or 3 meters wide; some passages between houses not wider than one-half meter.
from the beneficiaries. A portable subsidythat is, a lump sum
given to poor households to use for shelter anywhere in the
However, too often planners substitute the constraint for the
metropolitan areais significantly preferable.
objective. For instance, advocates of smart growth imply that

the reduction of congestion and pollution is the main objective
Because planners lack information to make informed decisions
of urban planning. They soon realize that nothing would reduce
about the difficult trade-offs between location and land
congestion and pollution more certainly than a decrease in
consumption, they shouldnt have the authority to make these
mobility. Reducing mobility is then considered a desirable
types of decisions. Only a free market allows households and
outcome and is the logical consequence of the confusion between
firms to choose the trades- offs that best allow them to maximize
objectives and constraints. For this reason, planners design
their comfort and their participation in the labor market. To
urban village spatial arrangements (Figure 5, pattern D), which
benefit fully from a large labor market, households and firms
implicitly reduce mobility.
must have ease of mobility. As such, there must be sufficient,

affordable options that allow them to make the trade-off
Matching employment location with residence in large
decisions between location and land consumption that best suit
metropolitan areas has become the Holy Grail of urban planners.
their needs.
This recurrent conceit, motivating many master plans and many

land use regulations17, can only be explained by ignorance of the
CITIES VIEWED AS L ABOR MARKETS:
economic efficiency of large labor markets and the mobility that
O P E R AT I O N A L I M P L I C AT I O N S
large labor markets require in order to function. The choice of
Looking at cities as unified labor markets should change the
spatial location is best left to households and firms themselves.
generally negative views that urban planners hold regarding

mobility. Planners believe that one of their most important tasks
The functioning of labor markets is my guiding principle in
is to decrease nuisances created by urbanization and particularly
evaluating alternative spatial arrangements. Mobility is the
by vehicular traffic. They are right; decreasing congestion and
ability to reach any area of a metropolitan area in as short a travel
pollution is one of the most pressing challenges brought on by
time as possible, and affordability is the ability of households
urbanization. However, planners, in their enthusiasm to reduce
and firms to locate in whichever area they deem will maximize
nuisances, often fail to understand the differences between the
their welfare. Increasing mobility and affordability are the two
objective of increasing mobility and the constraint of decreasing
main objectives of urban planning. These two objectives are
the nuisances it creates.
directly related to the overall goal of maximizing the size of a

citys labor market, and therefore, its economic prosperity.
One of the main objectives of urban planning is maintaining

mobility preventing an increase in commuting time as the size
of the labor market increases. In other words, the main objective
of planning should be to increase the speed of urban transport as
a citys size increases. Decreasing the level of nuisances due to
transport is a constraint that may increase the cost of achieving
the objective. But this cost is fully justified if the marginal
cost of reducing nuisance is lower than the marginal increase
in productivity due to the expansion of the labor market. For
instance, charging vehicles in proportion to the pollution they
create, or imposing tolls on highways to reduce congestion would
increase the cost of transport, but at the same time would also
increase its efficiency, allow for higher speeds and improve
environmental quality.
17 For instance, Stockholm urban regulations require a job housing balance in each neighborhood, in spite of statistics showing that when this balance is achieved it doesnt decrease trip length. Allowing mixed land use where firms
and housing can be found in the same location is an excellent thing but mandating it is illusory and only slow down
the development process. In addition, the number of jobs per commercial structure could vary a lot in time.

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WOR KING PA PER #2 / F EBRUA RY 1 9 , 2 0 1 4

CITIES AS LABOR MARKETS

THE EFFICIENCY OF L ARGE L ABOR MARKETS IS

art galleries, public libraries, well-designed public spaces, and

great restaurants, among many others. In turn, these typically

an even more diverse population, which become the source of

an administrative center, a military stronghold, or a center

large labor markets are more productive than

of religious pilgrimage, but over the years, the growth of a

Economists have convincingly demonstrated the productivity

expansion of the original urban nucleus. While most cities offer a

advantage of larger cities over smaller ones. Large cities generate

lot more than job opportunities, it is important to recognize that

scale economies that allow enterprises to reduce their costs

the expansion of job markets makes everything else possible. A

by increasing output, thereby reducing costs per unit. Scale

well-functioning labor market brings together people with varied,

economies are only possible in cities with a large labor market.

but complementary, knowledge and skills-- the preconditions

When many related activities are located in close proximity, they

for innovation. A well-functioning labor market makes possible

generate what economists call knowledge spillovers. New ways

every other urban attractionsymphonic orchestra, museums,

eventually by other sectors as a result of the proximity and close

countries, shows the regularities found in the distribution of

contact between workers of different firms and sectors within

city size across countries, with the exception of anomalies in

the urban economy. For instance, the first users of electronic

spreadsheets in the early eighties were mostly accountants

(2012), Shlomo Angel summarizes previous studies on the subject

and financial analysts. The use of spreadsheets soon became

and addresses the issue of worldwide city size distribution.

common in all sectors of the economy, but the spillover occurred

Angel based his analysis on a reliable worldwide database. His

first in large cities. Knowledge spillovers are responsible for

conclusions confirm previous, less exhaustive studies:

agglomeration economies, i.e. increase in productivity due to the

The size distribution of cities by continent follows

of workers are in close contact. Agglomeration economies also

Zipfs law, which states that the size of a citys

result from a lowering of transaction costs in larger cities because

population is inversely proportional to its statistical

of the proximity of competing suppliers and consumers.

rank, such that if cities are ranked by decreasing

size, the second largest city is half the size of the

largest, the third largest city a third the size of the

concentration is quite abundant and is no longer controversial

in academic circles. National accounts show that the output

On average, large cities, as a group, are growing at

the national population. The 2009 World Bank Development

about the same rate as medium and small cities in

Report Reshaping Economic Geography, and the report of the

the same countries or regions. It seems that cities

Commission on Growth and Development, Urbanization and

growth rates follow Gibrats law of proportionate

Growth published the same year, exhaustively summarize and

effect, which says that the size of a city is not an

document the theoretical and empirical arguments justifying