Corporate Risk Management: Costs and Benefits: Depaul University
Corporate Risk Management: Costs and Benefits: Depaul University
Corporate Risk Management: Costs and Benefits: Depaul University
2002
Ali Fatemi*
Carl Luft
This paper establishes a framework within which the costs and the
benefits of corporate risk management decisions can be analyzed.
The most important conclusion is that risk management strategies
should be pursued to enhance shareholder value. Although systematic
hedging of all variation in the net cashflows may be in the best
interest of the management, such behavior is inconsistent with
maximizing firm and shareholder value. The extant empirical evidence
cited is supportive of the notion that the strongest motive for risk
management behavior is the avoidance of financial distress. However,
there are offsetting costs to consider as well. The existence of these
costs makes it imperative that shareholders understand the risk
management process.
1. Introduction
2. Sources of risk
It can be said that, in general, firms face three sources of risk: business risk,
strategic risk, and financial risk. Business risk is fundamental to the firm and is
inherent in the firm’s operations. This type of risk, sometimes identified as
operating risk, can be technological, distributional, or informational. Firms will
assume these risks to exploit a competitive advantage in technology, distribution,
or information. More importantly, much of this risk can be controlled via
management’s internal operating decisions. Indeed, if the firm does not enjoy a
competitive advantage that would allow it to control its operating risk, then it stands
little chance of being rewarded for bearing this risk. As a result, firms unable to
mitigate their operating risk on advantageous terms may ultimately fail.
Montgomery Ward, the one-time retail giant, is an excellent example of this type of
failure.
Strategic risk encompasses macro factors that affect the firm and, by extension,
the value to its shareholders. These events can be economic or political and can be
domestic or international. The Japanese banking crisis and the Asian currency crisis
would represent examples of international events. Increased regulation of the US
securities markets and
changes in the US tax structure may be classified as examples of domestic economic
events. Fundamental changes in government, such as the dissolution of the Soviet
Union and shifts in the congressional majority, illustrate strategic political risks. A
common feature of these risk factors is that they are long-lived and can, therefore,
affect a firm’s value for many years. Therefore, value consequences of strategic risk
factors are long term, and are longer in duration than those attributable to business
risk factors. Accordingly, prudence at the time of making the firm’s long-term
investment decisions will hold the key to the minimization of their adverse effects.
When prudence is exercised and investments are carried out with appropriate
safeguards built in, the firm’s projects will yield long-term cash flows that are
desirably stable. However, it should be emphasized that investments which exhibit
strategic stability typically are also expensive to implement and difficult to cancel.
In contrast to strategic risk, financial risk arises from adverse changes over
relatively shorter time horizons in interest rates, commodity prices, equity prices, and
foreign currency values. Adverse changes in these factors translate into real losses
in shareholder value. Of course, the extent of these losses depends on the form and
the magnitude of the firm’s net cash flow exposure to each of these factors. The
operational question that arises is whether the firm should attempt to manage these
types of short-term financial risk. The answer is not obvious, and depends on
whether or not the firm enjoys an informational advantage over the shareholders in
the capital markets.
Consider the imperfect world once again, and allow for the presence of market
frictions of the type that lead to lower transactions and hedging costs for the firm (as
compared to those for the individual shareholders). Further, assume divergence
between the interests of management and the shareholders of the firm. Under such
conditions, the managerial risk aversion hypothesis predicts that the managers will
engage in full cover hedging. That is, they will attempt to eliminate deviations below,
as well as those above, the mean of the probability distribution of the firm’s net cash
flows. This pattern of risk management may be further strengthened by managerial
compensation schemes that encourage the achievement of static performance targets.
Therefore, the managerial risk aversion hypothesis holds that risk
management strategies are implemented, principally, to enhance the position of the
firm’s management. This brings into focus the agency costs arising from the conflicts
between management and shareholders. In analyzing this, consider that full cover
hedging eliminates desirable (upper tail) outcomes as well as all the undesirable
(lower tail) outcomes. As such, full cover hedging enhances neither the firm nor
shareholder value. The benefits derived from it, if any, accrue only to the
management. Indeed, in its extreme form, full cover hedging can be used to
protect the management at the expense of shareholders. The premise is that
hedging strategies can be used to perpetuate negative NPV projects in order to
protect managerial perquisites. The specific strategy used to insulate management is
cash flow hedging, i.e., structuring the operating cash flows such that the firm will be
able to continue its investments without having to rely upon funding from external
capital markets. This provides the benefit of avoiding expensive external capital,
but at a cost —that of removing the discipline and the scrutiny imposed by the
external capital markets on management.
In short, when management and shareholders are aligned (and cash flow
hedging is used properly), sufficient funds will be available to pursue positive NPV
projects. The adoption of these types of projects will, in turn, result in an increase in
both firm value and shareholder value. Conversely, in the presence of extreme
conflict between the management and shareholders (and the improper use of cash
flow hedging), the management will be able to secure funding for projects that
actually destroy shareholder value. It is important that these types of agency costs be
evaluated as real costs of risk management (e.g., see Tufano, 1998).
6. Selective hedging
In this paper, we have established a framework within which the costs and the
benefits of corporate risk management decisions can be analyzed. The most important
conclusion is that risk management strategies should be pursued to enhance
shareholder value. Routinely hedging all variation in the net cashflows may be
consistent with management’s aversion to risk, but it is inconsistent with maximizing
firm and shareholder value. Froot, Scharfstein, and Stein present theoretical
arguments that are consistent with the value maximization hypo- thesis. They show
that the most important reason for risk management is to protect net cashflows,
which are internally generated and minimize the underinvestment problem. Gay and
Nam provide convincing empirical evidence that supports Froot, Scharfstein, and
Stein and strengthens the case for Stultz’s theory of comparative advantage and
selective hedging.
Stultz’s theory predicts that managers can enhance shareholder value by
exploiting an advantage in information or expertise when choosing which net
cashflow exposures to hedge. Selectively hedging exposures minimizes the costs of
financial distress and the probability of lower tail outcomes while preserving the
gains associated with upper tail events. Further, following this strategy yields two
important benefits. First, it provides the flexibility to pursue positive NPV growth
opportunities with internally generated funds. Second, it affords the firm the
opportunity to use risk management strategies aimed at minimizing the probability of
financial distress and thus increasing its debt capacity.
Therefore, a clear conclusion can be drawn: risk management activities can
lead to the enhancement of value for shareholders. However, there are offsetting
costs to consider as well. The theoretical arguments presented by Froot, Scharfstein,
and Stein, and by Stultz assume that the management’s interests were aligned with
those of the shareholders. Tufano questions the validity of this assumption. He
presents arguments that illustrate how managers can use cashflow hedging tactics to
insulate itself from the shareholders. These costs will continue to take a toll on
shareholder value until the engendering agency conflicts are resolved. The existence
of these costs makes it imperative that shareholders understand the risk management
process.
Shareholders who act according to the predictions of either the theory of
comparative advantage and selective hedging (as developed by Stultz) or the
preservation of internally generated operating cashflows (as advocated by Froot,
Scharfstein, and Stein) will reward managers for minimizing the probability of
financial distress. Further, they will not penalize them for exploiting informational
and operational advantages. On the other hand, informed shareholders will not be
fooled by managers who pursue risk management strategies designed to enhance their
personal wealth at shareholder expense.
The extant empirical evidence is supportive of the notion that the strongest
motive for risk management behavior is the avoidance of financial distress.
Future research should focus on this motive within Stultz’s comparative advantage
framework. Particular attention should be paid to the agency costs of the risk
management process as described by Tufano. Finally, this comparative
advantage/agency cost framework should be applied to both US and non-US
firms.
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