Fairgrounds Is The Place To Be This Saturday Night: Published by BS Central
Fairgrounds Is The Place To Be This Saturday Night: Published by BS Central
Fairgrounds Is The Place To Be This Saturday Night: Published by BS Central
Vo
l .9
Fri
day
, July 3 2020
Willie Plouffe and Coach K were out at the Northeast assembling the Luminarias, which were at 200 sold
Montana Fairgrounds at 7:00 sharp this morning and counting. It’s still not too late to purchase them.
GAULTOERN NIR
’&S
EPA
RVICE
WRECKER SE
53999
Hwy 2 W
JULY 1 - 7
Stone’s 80% Lean 20% Fat (5 lb. Box)
GROUND BEEF PATTIES............$14.95 ea
St. Louis Style
PORK SPARERIBS ...................... $3.99 lb
Boneless Pork Loin Roast, Chops, & Ribs
PORK 3-MEAL DEAL ................... $2.79 lb
Boneless Pork
BACK RIBS ................................ $3.49 lb
Willamette Valley Beef
TENDERLOIN STEAKS................. $9.99 lb
Certified Angus Beef®
TOP SIRLOIN STEAKS................. $4.99 lb
Fresh Whole
SEEDLESS WATERMELON ............. 29¢ lb
Northwest
SWEET CHERRIES ...................... $2.88 lb
2 lb Bag
PEACHES .....................................2 / $5
2-DAY SALE
Fri. & Sat. ONLY! July 3 & 4
while supplies last
Fresh Boneless Skinless (40 lb. Case)
CHICKEN BREASTS – $40 / CASE
Letter to the Buzz Friday Funnies by
Covid Testing – what you should Me at my second rodeo: “This ain’t my
first rodeo.”
know, Dr. Don has an update
Question: Why Did The Cowboy
Most of the hundred available Covid tests
Die With His Boots On?
are of unproven accuracy. Only a few have been
Answer: Because he didn’t want to
validated by the CDC which may require no more
stub his toe when he kicked the bucket.
than an endorsement by a third party. One of
the more common tests, the Abbott Test, has a Upon arriving home, a husband was met at the door
sensitivity and specificity of 60-70 percent. by his sobbing wife. Tearfully she explained, “It’s the
In medicine, validity is expressed as percent druggist. He insulted me terribly this morning on the
sensitivity and specificity when compared to a phone. I had to call at least a half a dozen times before
gold standard. The closest thing to a gold standard he would even answer the phone!”
for Covid is the terminal or near terminal Covid Immediately, the husband drove downtown to
patient. The current tests have a sensitivity confront the druggist and demand an apology.
of zero to ninety-plus percent while some are Before he could say more than a word or two, the
nothing more than scams (see San Antonio druggist told him, “Now, just a minute, listen to my side
Health Department half million dollar loss). A of it. This morning the alarm failed to go off, so I was
95% sensitivity and specificity will result in five late getting up. I went without breakfast and hurried
missed cases and five false positive cases. out to the car, just to realize that I’d locked the house
Massachusetts Institute of Technology with both house and car keys inside and had to break a
example: window to get my keys.
Given a 5% incidence of infection in a “Then,” the druggist continued his story, “driving a
population that is tested with a test accuracy of little too fast, I got a speeding ticket. Later, when I was
95% sensitivity and 95% specificity results in a about three blocks from the store, I had a flat tire.
true accuracy of 50% — save your money and flip “When I finally got to the store a bunch of people
a coin! were waiting for me to open up. I got the store opened
and started waiting on these people, all the time the
Montana example:
darn phone was ringing off the hook.”
With a population of 1.096 million and a
His story went on: “Then I had to break a roll of
“true” case incidence of 1083 (0.001013 percent)
nickels against the cash register drawer to make change,
infected. Apply the math at 95% sensitivity and
and they spilled all over the floor. I had to get down
95% specificity and the test results are as follows:
on my hands and knees to pick up the nickels and the
54 true positives missed phone was still ringing. When I came up I cracked my
53,450 false positives (healthy people with head on the open cash drawer, which made me stagger
erroneous test results) back against a showcase with a bunch of perfume bottles
An asymptomatic Montanan with a positive on it. Half of them hit the floor and broke.
test in this setting has the probability of true “Meanwhile, the phone is still ringing with no let
Covid infection of one in 50 and (or a 50 to 1 up,” the druggist explained, “and I finally got back to
chance that he/she tis erroneously classified as a answer it. It was your wife. She wanted to know how to
Covid victim). use a rectal thermometer.
Use the test and its information with caution. “And believe me mister, with God Himself as my
Avoid crowds, keep a six foot distance and suit witness, all I did was tell her....”
yourself regarding face masks. If you are sixk the
test are of some value. The first-time father, beside himself with
~ Don Pansegrau, MD excitement over the birth of his son, was determined
PS: This correction is to simplify the above and to do everything right.
to update it to July 2nd numbers. The numbers “So tell me, Nurse,” he asked as his new family
will be different next week but the conclusions headed out the hospital door, “what time should we
will not. wake the little guy in the morning?”