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    UTP Lecture-16 Text Part Sourv

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    Shivangi Mishra
    This document summarizes key concepts from a lecture on urban transport planning and modal split analysis. [1] It discusses how the choice-abstract theory models people's perceptions of transportation options in terms of attributes. [2] It explains how trip-related variables and travelers' economic characteristics can be incorporated into utility functions. [3] The document provides an example of applying the logit model to estimate the market share and revenues for different transportation modes.

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    UTP Lecture-16 Text Part Sourv

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    Shivangi Mishra
    19 views18 pages
    This document summarizes key concepts from a lecture on urban transport planning and modal split analysis. [1] It discusses how the choice-abstract theory models people's perceptions of transportation options in terms of attributes. [2] It explains how trip-related variables and travelers' economic characteristics can be incorporated into utility functions. [3] The document provides an example of applying the logit model to estimate the market share and revenues for different transportation modes.

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    This document summarizes key concepts from a lecture on urban transport planning and modal split analysis. [1] It discusses how the choice-abstract theory models people's perceptions of transportation options in terms of attributes. [2] It explains how trip-related variables and travelers' economic characteristics can be incorporated into utility functions. [3] The document provides an example of applying the logit model to estimate the market share and revenues for different transportation modes.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    19 views18 pages

    UTP Lecture-16 Text Part Sourv

    Uploaded by

    Shivangi Mishra
    This document summarizes key concepts from a lecture on urban transport planning and modal split analysis. [1] It discusses how the choice-abstract theory models people's perceptions of transportation options in terms of attributes. [2] It explains how trip-related variables and travelers' economic characteristics can be incorporated into utility functions. [3] The document provides an example of applying the logit model to estimate the market share and revenues for different transportation modes.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    of 18

    Lecture-16

    Urban Transport Planning


    Modal Split Analysis
    Part-4

    A. K. Singh
    Recapitulation of Lecture 15

    What is the hypothesis behind the


    Choice-Abstract theory ?

    The choice-abstract theory is based on


    the hypothesis that when making choices,
    people perceive goods and services
    indirectly in terms of their attributes, each
    of which is weighted identically across choices.
    How are the constant terms in the utility
    functions, which are meant to capture the
    effect of variables that are not explicitly
    included in the model, weighted across modes
    in attribute specific approach ?

    This is done by utilizing any of the modes in the


    choice set as the base mode.
    How to incorporate trip related attributes,
    that changes the utility of modes, in
    attribute-specific utility functions ?

    By Dummy or Binary-variable technique.

    How to incorporate the variables reflecting


    the economic characteristics of travellers in
    utility functions ?

    By representing travel cost as percentage of


    the income of travellers.
    Hence, the utility that a traveler in zone i
    receives when choosing alternative j can
    be written as,
    Why utility/disutility of a travel mode
    needs to be treated as a random
    quantity ?

    Because, the level of utility (Service)


    of a mode of travel, as perceived by
    travellers, varies significantly between
    individuals based on their personal
    characteristics.
    It has been found, based on extensive
    research, and considerations of simplicity in
    analysis and possibility of getting closed-form
    solution, that the Gumbel or Double
    Exponential distribution will be suited for
    fitting the random utility term . .
    A mode Choice situation involving two
    modes (1 &2), wherein 40 % of travellers
    make use of mode 1 can be
    mathematically represented as follows.
    Where,
    p(j) is the probability of choice of alternative j
    m is the number of alternative modes including j

    The above is known as the Logit Model of mode


    choice.
    Example1: Application of the Logit Model

    A calibration study resulted in the following


    utility function:
    The zonal trip interchange in the target-year is
    5,000 person-trips per day. During the target
    year, trip-makers will have a choice between
    motorised two-wheeler (M) and city bus (B).

    The target-year service attributes of the two


    competing modes have been estimated to be
    as follows :
    Assuming that the calibrated mode-specific
    constants are 0.00 for the motorised two-wheeler
    (i.e., base mode) and -0.10 for the bus mode,
    apply the logit model to estimate the target-year
    market share of the two modes and the resulting
    fare-box revenue of the bus system.
    Example 2: Introduction of a New Mode
    It is desired to examine the effect of introducing
    a Rapid Transit (RT) system in the city of
    Example 1. A related study has projected that
    the service attributes of the proposed system for
    the trip interchanges under consideration will be

    Based on professional experience, the mode-


    specific constant for the new mode is
    estimated to be -0.06.
    Find the market shares of the three modes that
    will result from implementing the rapid-transit
    proposal and the effect on the revenues of the
    public transportation authority, which operates
    both the city bus and the rapid transit systems.

    Solution: Assuming that the attributes of the


    existing modes will not be affected by the
    introduction of the new mode, the utilities of the
    three alternatives will be
    Questions ?

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