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    Test - 2 - Probability: IB Mathematics HL

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    Ilayda Altay

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    Test - 2 - Probability: IB Mathematics HL

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    Ilayda Altay
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    173 views2 pages

    Test - 2 - Probability: IB Mathematics HL

    Uploaded by

    Ilayda Altay

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    of 2

    IB Mathematics HL

    Test_2 - probability
    syllabus content: probability rules for: combined events, mutually exclusive events & independent events; conditional
    probability; discrete probability distributions; continuous probability distributions; expected value (mean), variance &
    standard deviation for discrete & continuous distributions; binomial distribution; Poisson distribution; normal distribution

    9 questions. GDC is allowed on all questions. total marks on test: 63

    1. Events A and B are such that P ( A) = 0.3 and P ( B ) = 0.4

    (a) Find the value of P ( A  B ) when


    (i) A and B are mutually exclusive;
    (ii) A and B are independent. [4 marks]

    (b) Given that P ( A  B ) = 0.6 , find P ( A B ) . [3 marks]

    2. Kirsten measured the heights of 55 students. After analysis, she conjectured that the height, H,
    of the students could be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 168.3 cm and standard
    deviation 4.75 cm.
    (a) Based on this assumption, estimate the number of these students whose height is
    at least 172 cm. [3 marks]

    Later Kirsten noticed that the tape she had used to measure the heights was faulty as it started at
    the 5 cm mark and not at the zero mark.
    (b) What are the correct values of the mean and the variance of the distribution of
    the heights of these students? [3 marks]

    3. A continuous random variable X has probability density function

     20 x3 (1 − x ) , 0  x  1
    f ( x) = 
     0, otherwise

    Find the probability that X lies between the mean and the mode. [6 marks]

    4. A discrete random variable X has a probability distribution given in the following table.

    x 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5


    P ( X = x) 0.15 0.21 p q 0.13 0.07

    (a) If E ( X ) = 2.61 , determine the value of p and the value of q. [4 marks]


    (b) Calculate Var ( X ) to three significant figures. [2 marks]

    5. From a group of 13 people which includes 4 sisters, a team of 7 is randomly selected. Find the
    probability that the team contains:
    (a) all of the sisters; [3 marks]
    (b) at least one of the sisters. [4 marks]

    © InThinking – IB Maths HL & SL 1


    IB Mathematics HL

    Test_2 - probability
    6. A student arrives at a school X minutes after 08:00, where X may be assumed to be normally
    distributed. On a particular day it is observed that 40% of the students arrive before 08:30 and
    90% arrive before 08:55.
    (a) Find the mean and standard deviation of X. [5 marks]

    (b) The school has 1200 students and classes start at 09:00. Estimate the number
    of students who will be late on that day. [3 marks]
    (c) Edward had not arrived by 08:30. Find the probability that he arrived late. [2 marks]

    7. The number of accidents that occur at a large factory can be modelled by a Poisson distribution
    with a mean of 0.5 accidents per month.
    (a) Find the probability that no accidents occur in a given month [1 marks]

    (b) Find the probability that no accidents occur in a given 6 month period. [2 marks]
    (c) Find the length of time, in complete months, for which the probability that
    at least one accident occurs is greater than 0.99. [5 marks]

    8. A continuous random variable X has a probability density function given by the


    function p ( x ) , where

     k ( x + 2 )2 , − 2  x  0


    p ( x) =  k, 0 x
    4
     3
     0, otherwise

    (a) Find the value of k. [2 marks]


    (b) Hence, find
    (i) the mean of X;

    (ii) the median of X. [5 marks]

    9. Over a one month period of time, Anna and Blake play a total of n games of tennis.
    The probability that Anna wins any game is 0.4. The result of each game is independent
    of any other game played.
    Let X denote the number of games won by Anna over a one month period of time.

    (a) Find an expression for P ( X = 2 ) in terms of n. [3 marks]

    (b) If the probability that Anna wins two games is 0.121, correct to three decimal
    places, find the value of n. [3 marks]

    © InThinking – IB Maths HL & SL 2

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