The Good The Bad The Difficult

Transport MRV & Fuel Economy –
The Good, The Bad & The Difficult
Sudhir Gota
Independent Consultant
Shifting to Efficient and Zero Emissions Vehicles in the

Global South
13–15 June 2022,
UNEP Headquarters, Nairobi, Kenya
1
Transport MRV & Fuel Economy – The Bad and The Difficult
Transport MRV – Tackling “Merchants of Doubt”
Myths
• Transport MRV is difficult

• Transport data is not available
• Transport data is not reliable
• Transport MRV is very expensive
• Transport MRV takes a long time
• Transport MRV needs complex models
• Local experts are not good enough to
carry out transport MRV
SDG’S & Transport Energy Efficiency
Affordable & Clean Energy Climate Change

 SDG 7.2 By 2030,  Indicator 7.2.1:  SDG 13.1 Strengthen  Indicator 11.5.2: Direct
increase Renewable energy resilience and adaptive economic loss in
substantially the share in the total capacity to climate- relation to global GDP,
share of renewable final energy related hazards and damage to critical
energy in the global consumption natural disasters in all infrastructure and
energy mix countries number of disruptions
 Indicator 7.3.1: to basic services,
 SDG 7.3 double the Energy intensity  SDG 1.5 By 2030, build attributed to disasters
global rate of measured in terms the resilience of the
improvement in of primary energy poor and those in  Indicator 13.2.2: Total
energy efficiency by and GDP vulnerable situations greenhouse gas
2030 and reduce their emissions per year
exposure and
vulnerability to climate-  Indicator 13.2.1:
related extreme events Number of countries
and other economic, with nationally
social and determined
environmental shocks contributions, long-
and disasters term strategies,
national adaptation
 SDG 13.2 Integrate plans and adaptation
climate change communications
Use of “Aggregated Indicators” measures into national
policies, strategies and
planning
Transport Energy Efficiency Reporting in VNR’s
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2017 VNR 2018 VNR 2019 VNR 2020 VNR Analysis
Fuel Economy Standards Eco-driving Fuel Quality/ Vehicle Regulations Alternative Fuels/ Renewables E-mobility
However, since 2016, transport energy efficiency data has NOT been reported by countries
Transport Energy Intensity
0.35
0.3
WHY IS 2019 TRANSPORT ENERGY NEED DISAGGREGATED INDICATORS
INTENSITY > 2005/2010 LEVELS?
Transport boe/thousand USD
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
World Europe North America Central and Africa Middle East Eurasia China India Other Asia
South America Pacific
2000 2005 2010 2015 2019
Fuel Economy in New Climate Strategies
NDC-I (169 NDCs) NDC-II/Revisions NDC's (127)
60% 56%
50%
50% 47%
40%
30%
20% 17% 16%
9%
10%
0%
Transport sector GHG Mitigation Strategy - Electric Mobility
emission target Clean Fuels and Vehicle
identified
However, only 40% of Countries have long-term transport CO2 emission projections (2050)
Source: Analysis of Tracker of Climate Strategies for Transport, GIZ & SLOCAT
Sustainable Mobility for All (SUM4ALL)
Green Mobility Efficiency
• PM2.5 air pollution, mean Logistics performance index:
annual exposure Overall Container port traffic
• Transport-related GHG Digital Adoption index
emissions per capita Efficiency of air transport
• CO2 emission from services
transport (of which road) Efficiency of seaport services
per capita Efficiency of train services
• CO2 emission from Energy consumption of
transport per capita transport relative to GDP
• Energy Transition Index (PPP)
• Fossil fuel energy Good governance index
consumption Logistics performance index -
• PM2.5 air pollution, customs Public Private
population exposed to Partnership investment in
levels exceeding WHO transport
guideline value
• Renewable energy
consumption
The Global Tracking Framework for Transport (GTF) consists of more • Total transport-related
than 100 desirable and actual transport-related indicators to measure the GHG emissions
performance of countries’ transport systems, covering all modes of
transportation (road, air, *maritime, and rail).
~ Energy consumption of transport to GDP (PPP)

Transport MRV & Fuel Economy – The Good (1 example)
MRV using ASIF Framework
Fuel Sale Statistics &
Carbon content of Fuel
Fuel Use and

Emissions from = A * Si * Ii * Fi,j
Transport
Total Transport
Activity Emissions per unit of
energy
Veh-km and or volume or km
pass-km by mode
from fuel J in mode I
Occupancy/ Modal Energy

Load Factor Intensity
Technological energy
efficiency
Vehicle fuel Real drive cycles and

Vehicle characteristics intensity routing, driver behavior
Source – Lee Schipper

MRV using GFEI Toolkit
MRV Principles & GFEI Toolkit
• Required data are accessible by all stakeholders involved • Data collected from various sources is consistent and
(a portal being designed to share the data) comparable in order to compare different sources,
• Country Factsheets jurisdictions and over time
Consistency
Accessible • Country Reports
• Local data available on disaggregated level (Vehicle make,

• Time-series data for diverse types of LDV’s to facilitate Vehicle model, Model production year, Engine displacement,
various types of analysis along multiple dimensions Engine power, Fuel type)
• ~ 30 million vehicle data from 60+ countries were • Consistent assumptions
Accuracy
Comprehensive cumulatively collected over 2005-2019 • Two-stage QC
• Local data by local institutions via partnerships

• Data matches the requirements of “ASIF”
Cost • No Commercial data but reliable assumptions & conversions
• Insights on energy consumption & GHG emissions
Relevance Effectiveness
• Assumptions are explicitly explained and substantiated via

toolkit. The methods used to collect statistics are • Outputs are easily understood by the policymakers
accessible for review (country reports) Easy to
Transparency • Capacity Building workshops Communicate
Fuel Economy MRV Pyramid
Danger Signal
to the
Transport
Ministry?
Economic Impact,
Emissions Design and
Implementation
of Policy Actions
(emissions or fuel
consumption/km*kilometers) for each
vehicle type, fuel
Detailed Data: make, model, production year, engine displacement,

engine power, fuel type
Based on Henrik Gudmunsson

Example – Whatif countries achieve LDV GFEI 2030 target
Thank you
sudhirgota@gmail.com
Twitter : sudhirgota
Skype - sudhirgota

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Transport MRV & Fuel Economy –

The Good, The Bad & The Difficult

Shifting to Efficient and Zero Emissions Vehicles in the

• Transport MRV is difficult

Affordable & Clean Energy Climate Change

20% 17% 16%

~ Energy consumption of transport to GDP (PPP)

Fuel Use and

Occupancy/ Modal Energy

Vehicle fuel Real drive cycles and

Source – Lee Schipper

• Local data available on disaggregated level (Vehicle make,

• Local data by local institutions via partnerships

• Assumptions are explicitly explained and substantiated via

Detailed Data: make, model, production year, engine displacement,

Based on Henrik Gudmunsson

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