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ABSTRACT
Predrill overpressure prediction is important for well planning and migration modeling for prospect evaluation.
The Eaton (Journal of Petroleum Technology, 24, 1972, 929) and Bowers (SPE Drilling & Completion, 10, 1995,
89) methods are used worldwide for postdrill overpressure prediction using sonic log and predrill overpressure
prediction using seismic interval velocity. In this research, these two methods were used for overpressure predic-
tion using 3D anisotropic prestack depth-migrated seismic interval velocity in a field of the Malay Basin. In the
shallow overpressured zone, where the mechanism of overpressure is undercompaction, the onset of overpressure
was predicted reasonably well using the Eaton and Bowers methods with their standard parameters (i.e., Eaton
exponent 3 and Bowers loading curve) for seismic velocity. However, in the deep overpressured zone, where fluid
expansion is the cause of overpressure generation, these methods underpredicted the high overpressure. In the
deep overpressured zone, the overpressures were better predicted by applying a correction to the Eaton method.
On the other hand, the Bowers unloading parameters for the fluid expansion mechanisms did not show any sig-
nificant effect on overpressure prediction. Hence, in the study area, the Bowers method is not effective for 3D
overpressure prediction using seismic velocity, whereas the Eaton method is more robust and can be used for 3D
overpressure prediction from seismic velocity.
Key words: Bowers method, Malay Basin, overpressure, predrill prediction, seismic velocity
Corresponding author: Iftikhar Ahmed Satti, Department of Geosciences, Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, 31750
Tronoh, Perak, Malaysia. Email: iasatti@gmail.com. Tel: +0060192903309.
Geofluids (2015)
Fig. 2. Summarized hydrocarbon occurrences, stratigraphy, and structural history of the Malay Basin (P. Koch, A. Aznan, N. Mcallister, unpublished).
acoustic travel time (Eaton 1972). By contrast, the Bowers unloading curves to predict the overpressure generated by
(1995) method is an effective stress approach. Bowers undercompaction and fluid expansion mechanisms, respec-
(995) introduced the concept of virgin/loading and tively (Bowers 1995).
and the overpressures are stratigraphically constrained able; the overpressure may start deeper and ramp up rapidly
(Tingay et al. 2013). or start at shallow and ramp up gradually with depth.
The overpressure is observed in almost all of the wells Recently, Satti et al. (2014a) used velocity versus effective
drilled in the study area. The overpressure behavior is vari- stress and velocity versus density cross-plots to identify the
q ¼ aV b ; ð1Þ
where q is the density, V is the P-wave velocity, a and b
are empirical parameters.
The Gardner parameters for the study area are obtained
from the cross-plot of sonic and density logs.
Accuracy of 3D density is important to develop an
accurate overburden pressure, as overburden pressure is one
of the major input parameters for overpressure prediction.
Hence, the accuracy of density calculation plays an
important role in accurate overpressure prediction. To
enhance the accuracy of the velocity derived density cube,
Satti et al. (2014b) introduced the concept of 3D density
calibration. The 3D density cube is calibrated with the well
log density using the 3D grid-based modeling technique of
Petrel software. The calibrated density cube is validated by
Fig. 7. Comparison of well log density with the seismically generated den-
exporting the density data at blind well locations (Fig. 7).
sity before and after the density calibration at a blind well location. Overburden pressure is calculated using the calibrated
density cube (Fig. 8). In marine environments, overburden
overpressure generating mechanisms in the study area. This pressure rv at depth z is given as
study showed that the overpressure in the shallower zone
Zz
(i.e., depth approximately <1550 m) is caused by the
rv ðzÞ ¼ qw gzw þ z qðzÞgdz ð2Þ
undercompaction mechanism, whereas in the deeper zone
zw
(i.e., depth approximately >1550 m), fluid expansion is the
mechanism responsible for overpressured generation. where qw is the seawater density, zw is the water depth, q
(z) is the density at depth z below the surface, and g is the
acceleration due to gravity.
3D SEISMIC VELOCITY PROCESSING AND
DENSITY CALCULATION
Overpressure prediction
3D Prestack depth migration (PSDM) seismic interval
velocity data are used for the pore pressure prediction. The The Eaton (1972) and Bowers (1995) methods were used
processing workflow of the seismic velocity is shown in for pore pressure prediction using 3D PSDM interval
Fig. 4. velocity in the study area.
Eaton method
Sv ¼ rv þ Pf ð3Þ
The Eaton method is based on the detection of changes in
porosity with depth and is derived from Terzaghi & Peck Here, Sv is the total vertical stress, Pf is the pore fluid
(1948) equation (Eq. 1) based on soil mechanics (Eaton 1972). pressure, and rv is the vertical effective stress.
(A)
(B)
(A) (B)
logs. This method uses a regionally defined exponent pressure cubes using Eaton exponent 3.0 and exponent 6.0
(Eaton exponent) that can be varied to calibrate the trend are shown in Fig. 10A,B. The predicted pressure using both
to predict the pore pressure generated by different mecha- the Eaton exponents was extracted at the blind well’s loca-
nisms. In the areas where the mechanism of overpressure tion and compared with the repeat formation tester (RFT)
generation is undercompaction, an Eaton exponent of 3.0 pressure measurements (Fig. 11).
is typically used for pore pressure prediction, whereas in
the area where the fluid expansion mechanism is present, Bowers method
the Eaton method can be modified by changing its expo- In 1995, Bowers introduced a new method for pore pres-
nent (i.e., using higher Eaton exponent). sure prediction using an effective stress approach. The
The Eaton method requires a normal compaction trend Bowers (1995) method is based on the relationship
for overpressure prediction, and it is always very tricky to between velocity and effective stress. In the zones where
develop the normal compaction trend for 3D pressure overpressure is generated by an undercompaction mecha-
prediction. To develop the 3D normal compaction for the nism, overpressure can be predicted using Bowers loading/
Eaton method, the following procedure is adopted: virgin curve, whereas in the zone where the fluid expansion
(1) Calibrated seismic velocity is exported at well locations. mechanism is present, overpressure can be predicted using
(2) The normal compaction curve is developed for each Bowers unloading curve (Bowers 1995). The equations of
well location. the loading and unloading curves are given below:
(3) By taking the average of compaction curves for all the Virgin curve:
wells, a 3D normal compaction trend is developed for
V ¼ 5000 þ ArB ð5Þ
the study area.
1
This average normal compaction trend (Fig. 9) was Here, V = velocity (ft s ), r is the effective stress (Psi),
used in 3D overpressure prediction in the study area. Pore and A and B are Virgin curve parameters.
Unloading curve:
rmax ¼ ððVmax 5000Þ=AÞ1=B ð7Þ
ð1=U Þ B
v ¼ 5000 þ A½rmax ðr=rmax Þ ð6Þ
Here, Vmax is the velocity at the onset of unloading.
Here, rmax is the estimate of the effective stress U = 1 implies no permanent deformation, when the
at the onset of unloading and U is the unloading unloading curve reduces to the virgin curve. U = ∞ which
parameter. corresponds to a completely irreversible deformation.
(A) (B)
In the study area, both the undercompaction and fluid the Eaton method successfully predicted the pore pressure
expansion mechanisms are present in the shallow and deep using an Eaton exponent of 3.0. In the deep overpressured
overpressured zones, respectively. Hence, the values of vir- zones of the wells where overpressure is generated by the
gin and unloading curve parameters are required for over- fluid expansion mechanism, Eaton exponent 3 underpre-
pressure prediction. The values of loading curve parameters dicted the pore pressure. However, a reasonable pore pres-
A and B have been obtained from the cross-plot of velocity sure prediction was obtained by applying a correction on the
versus effective stress for the normal pressured zone Eaton method (i.e., using the higher Eaton exponent of
(Fig. 12). These values are used for 3D overpressure pre- 6.0), determined from calibration with RFT pressure data.
diction. 3D predicted pore pressure using the Bowers In contrast, the Bowers method underpredicted the over-
method is shown in Figure 13. pressure, particularly in the deep overpressured zone where
To check the accuracy of the results, the predicted pres- the fluid expansion mechanism was present. However, the
sure using the Bowers (1995) method was extracted at onset of overpressure was fairly quite well. To predict the
well’s locations and compared with RFT pressure measure- pressure in the deeper zone, different values of the unload-
ments (Fig. 14). ing curve parameter (U) were used, but they did not show
any significant effect on overpressure prediction.
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
The results obtained from 3D overpressure prediction using
the Eaton and Bowers methods are validated at the blind The Eaton method is empirical and uses a regionally
well locations. In the shallow overpressure zone where the defined exponent (Eaton exponent) that can be varied
overpressure is generated by undercompaction mechanism, easily to calibrate the trend to predict the pore pressure
Fig. 15. Example of overpressure prediction from extracted velocity at well location using the Bowers method. (A) Seismic velocity and Bowers normal com-
paction trend using the values of A and B. (B) The predicted pressure (pink color line) using the Bowers loading curve. (C) The predicted pressure (pink color
line) using the Bowers unloading curve parameter (i.e., U = 6).
generated by different mechanisms. An Eaton exponent of location and used it for overpressure prediction (Fig. 15).
3.0 is typically used in sediments where undercompaction It is observed that at the onset of overpressure, seismic
is the mechanism of overpressure generation. In the pres- velocity (dark yellow line) increases with depth, but the
ence of the fluid expansion mechanism, velocity will show rate of increase is slower than the normal trend (black
a small response to the overpressure, although this can be line). Hence, it shows the presence of overpressure. At the
compensated using a higher Eaton exponent. Therefore, it onset of high overpressure (i.e., at 1550 m), seismic veloc-
gives better overpressure prediction results. ity did not show reversal and it is still increasing slowly
By contrast, the Bowers (1995) method requires the val- (Fig. 15A). The Bower method is used for overpressure
ues of Vmax and rmax for the unloading curve to predict prediction in both shallow and deep overpressured zones.
the overpressure generated by the fluid expansion mecha- In the shallow overpressured zone, the Bowers method
nism. Vmax is the maximum velocity value after which successfully predicted the overpressure using Bowers load-
velocity starts decreasing (reverse) due to high overpres- ing curve and underpredicted the overpressure in the dee-
sure. This assumes that all formations within the reversal at per zone (Fig. 15B). In the deep overpressured zone, the
one time passed through the same maximum stress state, Bower unloading curve method was applied, but it did not
while this generally may not be true (Bowers 1995). show any significant effect on overpressure prediction and
To find the possible cause of this underprediction by the underpredicted the overpressure in the deeper zone
Bowers method, we exported the seismic velocity at a well (Fig. 15C). On the contrary, the sonic log shows reversal
Fig. 16. Example of overpressure prediction from sonic log using the Bowers method. B (A) Shale point sonic and Bowers normal compaction trend (NCT).
Light blue circle shows the starting point of velocity reversal because increase in sonic value will decrease the velocity. (B) Overpressure prediction using the
Bowers loading curve equation. (C) Overpressure prediction using the Bowers unloading curve equation. The light blue circle shows the starting point of the
effect of the unloading parameter U on pore pressure prediction.
(light blue circle) at the onset of high overpressure infer that the Bowers (1995) method is lithologically
(Fig. 16A). Therefore, in the high overpressured zone, unsuitable for overpressure prediction using seismic veloc-
overpressure is successfully predicted from sonic log using ity (both 1D and 3D) in the study area.
the Bowers unloading curve method (Fig. 16C). On the This study shows that knowledge of the geology of the
other hand, seismic velocity did not show any reversal at area of interest and the limitation of the overpressure pre-
the onset of high overpressure (see Fig. 15A) and it con- diction techniques must be considered for better overpres-
tinued increasing slowly, so Bowers method underpre- sure prediction. This study shows that in geologically
dicted the overpressure in the deeper zone. complex areas, the Eaton method is more useful to predict
We suggest that the possible cause of slow increase in 3D overpressure from seismic velocity as compared to the
seismic velocity in the high overpressured zones is the thin Bowers method.
interbeds of sand and shale, which are present in Group H
and Group I. Hence, the effect of overpressure on seismic
CONCLUSION
velocity is less than the sonic log due to the presence of
these thin interbeds. Therefore, seismic velocity does not Based on the overpressure prediction results, we conclude
show reversal as shown by the sonic log where only shale that the Eaton method can be used for 3D predrill over-
points are used for overpressure prediction. Hence, we pressure prediction using well-conditioned anisotropic
PSDM interval velocity. By contrast, the Bowers method Hoesni MJ (2004). Origins of overpressure in the Malay Basin
was lithologically not suitable for 3D overpressure predic- and its influence on petroleum systems. Doctoral dissertation,
University of Durham.
tion using seismic interval velocity in the study area. There-
Hoesni MJ, Swarbrick R, Goulty N (2003) Origin of overpressure
fore, it did not give good results for overpressure in the Malay Basin. In 2003 American Association of Petroleum
prediction, although the Bowers method can be used for Geologists International Conference & Exhibition Technical
overpressure prediction in shale using sonic log. Program.
Madon M, Abolins P, Hoesni MJ, Ahmad MB (1999) Malay
basin. The Petroleum Geology and Resources of Malaysia: 173–
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 217.
Pennebaker E (1968) Seismic data indicate depth, magnitude of
We wish to thank Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS abnormal pressure. World Oil, 166, 73–8.
(UTP) and PETRONAS Carigali for providing us the data Satti IA, Ghosh DP, Yusoff WIW (2014a) Analysis of
and permission to publish these findings. Special thanks to Overpressure Mechanism in a Field of Southwestern Malay
Basin. In Offshore Technology Conference – Asia.
Center for Seismic Imaging (C.S.I.), Universiti Teknologi
Satti IA, Ghosh D, Yusoff WIW (2014b) 3-D predrill overpressure
PETRONAS, for providing us the facilities to carry out prediction using prestack depth-migrated seismic velocity in a
this research work. field of southwestern Malay Basin. Arabian Journal of
Geosciences, 1–12. doi: 10.1007/s12517-014-1734-y.
Sayers CM, den Boer LD, Nagy ZR, Hooyman PJ (2006) Well-
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