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Tesis Venta de Energía

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Figura 2.1 Célula fotovoltaica >@


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Figura 2.2 Evolución de la capacidad y generación de energía solar fotovoltaica, 2006-2016 >@.

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Tabla 2.1 Potencial de generación eléctrica por año con energías renovables en México >@.

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Tabla 2.2 Potencial de capacidad y generación probables para para el escenario 1 >@.

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Tabla 2.2.3 Potencial de capacidad y generación probables para para el escenario 2 >@.

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Tabla 2.4 Potencial de capacidad y generación probables para para el escenario 3 >@.

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Tabla 2.5 Potencial de capacidad y generación probables para para el escenario 4 >@.

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Figura 2.3 Evolución de las adiciones de capacidad, capacidad a instalar y generación solar 2017-2031 >@.


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Figura 2.4 El efecto del viento en la temperatura de funcionamiento de los paneles [7].

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Figura 2.6 Características P-V >@.

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Figura 2.7 Configuraciones de los sistemas fotovoltaicos [9].

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Figura 2.8 Ilustración del perfil del comportamiento del sol y su relación con las horas pico >@.

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Figura 2.9 Variación de la salida del módulo solar con orientación y ángulo de inclinación con latitud 35°S >@.

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Figura 2.10 Inclinación del panel >@.

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Figura 2.12 Diagrama unifilar del sistema fotovoltaico Schneider Electric PIIT (270kW) 


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Figura 2.13 Garantía de rendimiento de los paneles fotovoltaicos >@.


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Tabla 2.6 Especificaciones del panel fotovoltaico Solartec S72PC >@.


Figura 2.14 Curvas de rendimiento I-V del panel fotovoltaico Solartec S72PC >@.

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Figura 2.15 Ilustración de la implementación de monitoreo a través del SmartBox incorporado al inversor Conext
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Figura 3.2 La reestructura de CFE >@.

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Tabla 3.3 Clasificación de los permisos de generación >@

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Figura 3.4 Contratos que otorga el CENACE >@


Figura 3.5 Contratos que se llevan a cabo entre participantes >@


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Tabla 3.4 Permisos y registros que otorga la CRE >@

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GHFDGD1RGR3\VHGHFLGHQORVSXQWRVEDVHGHGHVSDFKRHFRQyPLFRGXUDQWHGLFKR
,QWHUYDORGH'HVSDFKRGHODV8QLGDGHVGH&HQWUDO(OpFWULFDTXHQRRSHUDQEDMRHO
&$* FHQWUDOL]DGR XWLOL]DQGR HO '(560, 'LFKR GHVSDFKR FRQVLGHUD WDQWR OD
HQHUJtD HOpFWULFD FRPR ORV 6HUYLFLRV &RQH[RV /DV LQVWUXFFLRQHV UHVSHFWLYDV VH
HPLWHQFLQFRPLQXWRVDQWHVGHOLQLFLRGHFDGD,QWHUYDORGH'HVSDFKR

& (QHOWHUFHUFLFORFRQEDVHHQODVFRQGLFLRQHVGHJHQHUDFLyQ\GHPDQGDH[LVWHQWHV
FLQFRPLQXWRVDQWHVGHFDGDLQWHUYDORGHFLQFRPLQXWRVVHGHWHUPLQDQORVSXQWRV
EDVHGHGHVSDFKRHFRQyPLFR\ORVIDFWRUHVGHSDUWLFLSDFLyQHFRQyPLFRVSDUDODV
8QLGDGHV GH &HQWUDO (OpFWULFD TXHRSHUDQ EDMR HO &$* FHQWUDOL]DGR XWLOL]DQGR HO
'(56,



' (O FXDUWR FLFOR VH UHILHUH DO SURSLR &$* FHQWUDOL]DGR TXH FDGD FXDWUR VHJXQGRV
HPLWH VHxDOHV GH FRQWURO GHO QLYHO GH JHQHUDFLyQ SDUD ODV 8QLGDGHV GH &HQWUDO
(OpFWULFDFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV

'HILQLFLRQHV

$8750RGHORGHRSWLPL]DFLyQXWLOL]DGRHQOD$VLJQDFLyQGH8QLGDGHVGH&HQWUDO(OpFWULFD
HQ7LHPSR5HDOFRQHVWDKHUUDPLHQWDVHGHFLGHSDUDXQSHULRGRGHGRVKRUDVFDPELRV
FRQ GHWDOOH GH TXLQFH PLQXWRV DO SURJUDPD H[LVWHQWH GH DUUDQTXHV SDURV \ FDPELRV GH
FRQILJXUDFLyQFRQVLGHUDQGRODVOLPLWDFLRQHVLPSXHVWDVSRUORVWLHPSRVGHQRWLILFDFLyQ\OD
QHFHVLGDGGHHYLWDUTXHVHLQFXUUDHQFRVWRVDGLFLRQDOHVRHQODLPSRVLELOLGDGGHDSOLFDUHO
SURJUDPDH[LVWHQWHPiVDOOiGHOKRUL]RQWHGHGRVKRUDV

&$*&RQWURO$XWRPiWLFRGH*HQHUDFLyQ

'(56,0RGHORGHRSWLPL]DFLyQXWLOL]DGRSDUDHO'HVSDFKR(FRQyPLFRFRQ5HVWULFFLRQHV
GH6HJXULGDGHQXQLQWHUYDORGHFLQFRPLQXWRVFRQHVWDKHUUDPLHQWDVHGHFLGHQSDUDXQ
VyORLQWHUYDORGHFLQFRPLQXWRVODVSRWHQFLDVGHJHQHUDFLyQGHODV8QLGDGHVGH&HQWUDO
(OpFWULFD TXH RSHUDQ EDMR HO &$* FHQWUDOL]DGR DGHPiV VH XWLOL]D SDUD GHWHUPLQDU ORV
IDFWRUHVGHSDUWLFLSDFLyQHFRQyPLFRVGHODV8QLGDGHVGH&HQWUDO(OpFWULFDTXHSDUWLFLSDQ
HQOD5HJXODFLyQ6HFXQGDULDGH)UHFXHQFLD

'(560,0RGHORGHRSWLPL]DFLyQXWLOL]DGRSDUDHO'HVSDFKR(FRQyPLFRFRQ5HVWULFFLRQHV
GH 6HJXULGDG HQ YDULRV LQWHUYDORV FRQ HVWD KHUUDPLHQWD VH GHFLGHQ SDUD ORV VLJXLHQWHV
FLQFR,QWHUYDORVGH'HVSDFKRORVQLYHOHVGHJHQHUDFLyQ\ODDVLJQDFLyQGHORV6HUYLFLRV
&RQH[RVDGHPiVGHWHUPLQDORV3UHFLRV0DUJLQDOHV/RFDOHV\ORVSUHFLRVGHORV6HUYLFLRV
&RQH[RVSRU]RQDGHUHVHUYDSDUDHOSULPHULQWHUYDORLQFOXLGRHQFDGDVROXFLyQ

0HUFDGRGH%DODQFHGH3RWHQFLD

(O 0HUFDGR GH %DODQFH GH 3RWHQFLD HV XQ PHUFDGR H[SRVW TXH WLHQH FRPR SURSyVLWR
HVWDEOHFHUVHxDOHVGHSUHFLRTXHHVWpQGHDFXHUGRFRQODVLWXDFLyQGHHVFDVH]RH[FHVR
GH FDSDFLGDG GH JHQHUDFLyQ HQ HO 6LVWHPD (OpFWULFR 1DFLRQDO 6(1  \ GH HVWD IRUPD
LQFHQWLYDUHOGHVDUUROORGHQXHYDFDSDFLGDGGHJHQHUDFLyQTXHSXHGDVDWLVIDFHUODGHPDQGD
EDMR FRQGLFLRQHV GH VXILFLHQFLD \ VHJXULGDG GH 'HVSDFKR (VWH 0HUFDGR VH RSHUDUi GH
IRUPD DQXDO H LQGHSHQGLHQWH SDUD FDGD 6LVWHPD ,QWHUFRQHFWDGR HVSHFtILFDPHQWH VH
RSHUDUiXQ0HUFDGRSDUDHO%DODQFHGH3RWHQFLDLQGLYLGXDOSDUDHO6LVWHPD,QWHUFRQHFWDGR
1DFLRQDO 6,1  HO 6LVWHPD ,QWHUFRQHFWDGR %DMD &DOLIRUQLD %&$  \ HO 6LVWHPD
,QWHUFRQHFWDGR%DMD&DOLIRUQLD6XU %&6 (QFDVRGHTXHGLFKRV6LVWHPDVVHLQWHUFRQHFWHQ
HQWUHHOORVORVUHVSHFWLYRV0HUFDGRVGH3RWHQFLDLQGLYLGXDOHVVHFRPELQDUiQ

(O0HUFDGRGH%DODQFHGH3RWHQFLDVHDQDOL]DHQODVKRUDVHQODVTXHHO6(1QHFHVLWy
PiV GH ORVUHFXUVRVGH3RWHQFLDOODPDGDV +RUDV&UtWLFDV3DUD ORV DxRVGH SURGXFFLyQ
 \  ODV +RUDV &UtWLFDV VHUiQ ODV  KRUDV GH PD\RU GHPDQGD GH HQHUJtD
FDOFXODGD SRU EDODQFH PiV FXDOTXLHU GHPDQGD QR VXPLQLVWUDGD $ SDUWLU GHO DxR GH


SURGXFFLyQ  ODV  KRUDV FUtWLFDV VHUiQ DTXHOODV TXH SUHVHQWHQ HO PHQRU 1LYHO GH
5HVHUYDVGH*HQHUDFLyQ 15* HQHODxRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWH

/DV+RUDV&UtWLFDVLGHQWLILFDGDVSRUHO&(1$&(SDUDFDGD=RQDGH3RWHQFLDHQHODxR
GHSURGXFFLyQIXHURQODVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDODVKRUDVGHPD\RUGHPDQGDGHHQHUJtD
FDOFXODGDSRUEDODQFHHQOD7DEODVHPXHVWUDHOUDQJRGHIHFKDVHQODVTXHRFXUULHURQ


Tabla 3.5 Las 100 Horas Críticas del 2017 identificadas por el CENACE para cada Zona de Potencia >@.

(QODVKRUDVFUtWLFDVHQHO6LVWHPD,QWHUFRQHFWDGR1DFLRQDOGHPDQHUDFRPSOHWDVH
PXHVWUDQHQOD7DEOD

EƵŵĞƌŽĚĞ ĞŵĂŶĚĂĚĞ
&ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ
ŚŽƌĂĐƌşƚŝĐĂ ŶĞƌŐşĂ
ϭ ϭϳͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϰϭϮ͘ϭϯϭ
Ϯ ϭϴͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϱϬϬ͘Ϭϵϱ
ϯ ϭϴͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϱϵ͘Ϭϴϯ
ϰ ϭϵͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϮϴ͘ϱϴϰ
ϱ ϮϯͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϴϵ͘Ϯϲϴϭϳ
ϲ ϮϰͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϯϴϵ͘ϴϭϲ
ϳ ϮϱͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϴϲ͘ϮϬϭ
ϴ ϮϱͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϰϱϬ͘ϵϮϱϲϱ
ϵ ϮϲͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϱϲϬ͘ϰϳϯ
ϭϬ ϮϲͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϱϱ͘ϮϮϲ
ϭϭ ϬϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϮϰ͘ϲϲϱ
ϭϮ ϬϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϳϱϵ͘ϭϵ
ϭϯ ϬϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϭϬϮ͘ϱϵ
ϭϰ ϬϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϱϭϭ͘ϰϲϴ
ϭϱ ϬϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϬϯϴϵ͘Ϯϰϵ
ϭϲ ϬϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϵϯϵ͘ϳϲϵ
ϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϵϵϱ͘ϭϵϵ
ϭϴ ϬϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϱϳϱ͘ϰϰϵ
ϭϵ ϬϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϱϴϱ͘ϲϰϴ
ϮϬ ϬϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϳϭϭ͘ϯϬϭϱϲ


Ϯϭ ϬϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϰϯϮ͘Ϯϱ
ϮϮ ϬϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϴϯ͘Ϭϱϵ
Ϯϯ ϭϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϰϳ͘ϰϰϰ
Ϯϰ ϭϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϱϯϲ͘ϳϱϵ
Ϯϱ ϭϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϵϬϭ͘ϵϯϳ
Ϯϲ ϭϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϲϱϬ͘ϰϮ
Ϯϳ ϭϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϬϰϵϰ͘ϱϵϮ
Ϯϴ ϭϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϭϭϯϳ͘ϱϱ
Ϯϵ ϭϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϭϳϰ͘ϰϭϲ
ϯϬ ϭϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϭϬϮϴ͘ϴϲϳ
ϯϭ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϬϱϭϲ͘ϮϮϰ
ϯϮ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϬϴϲϱ͘ϰϳϴ
ϯϯ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϭϮϱϮ͘ϱϴϮ
ϯϰ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϭϳϲ͘ϴϳϱ
ϯϱ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϭϭϱϴ͘ϳϯϲ
ϯϲ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϯ ϰϬϰϰϭ͘ϱϯϮϰϰ
ϯϳ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϬϵϰϬ͘ϳϱϰ
ϯϴ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϭϯϱϴ͘ϰϴϯϲϳ
ϯϵ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϭϰϵϮ͘ϱϱϬϱϴ
ϰϬ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϮϬϰ͘Ϯϭϵϵϱ
ϰϭ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϲϵϳ͘ϭϳϱ
ϰϮ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϬϱϲϲ͘ϵϵ
ϰϯ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϬϴϱϴ͘ϲϮϵ
ϰϰ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϭϯϯϰ͘ϯϴ
ϰϱ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϲϬϳ͘ϱϱϳ
ϰϲ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϭϭϭϳ͘ϴϮϳ
ϰϳ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮ ϰϬϱϲϰ͘ϳϭϲ
ϰϴ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϯ ϰϬϲϳϲ͘ϭϵϯ
ϰϵ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϬϰϭϬ͘Ϯϱϭ
ϱϬ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϬϳϭϵ͘ϵϮϯ
ϱϭ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϭϯϯϳ͘ϰϴϴϭϭ
ϱϮ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϰϵϲ͘ϴϴ
ϱϯ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϵϲϮ͘ϵϲϰϲ
ϱϰ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮ ϰϬϲϱϰ͘ϱϭϭ
ϱϱ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϯ ϰϬϳϬϴ͘ϲϳ
ϱϲ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯ ϰϬϱϳϯ͘ϰϮϭϰϳ
ϱϳ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϬϵϴϱ͘ϳϰϳϭϲ
ϱϴ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϭϯϵϬ͘ϴϬϬϲϱ
ϱϵ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϭϴϴϳ͘ϭϱϬϱϴ
ϲϬ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϵϯϵ͘ϵϮϱϴϲ
ϲϭ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϭϰϳϵ͘Ϭϴϳϲϭ


ϲϮ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵ ϰϬϱϭϱ͘ϰϰϮϳϳ
ϲϯ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮ ϰϬϵϴϱ͘ϭϵϳϲϰ
ϲϰ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϯ ϰϭϮϭϵ͘ϳϭϱϭϯ
ϲϱ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮ ϰϬϱϭϵ͘ϱϱϵ
ϲϲ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯ ϰϭϭϰϮ͘Ϭϯϴ
ϲϳ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϭϱϭϭ͘ϴϰϯ
ϲϴ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϭϴϬϬ͘ϯϱϭ
ϲϵ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϮϬϯϯ͘ϲϲϰ
ϳϬ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϭϳϵϰ͘ϴϯϳ
ϳϭ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϭϱϱϱ͘ϱϱϭ
ϳϮ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵ ϰϬϴϯϰ͘ϲϲϵ
ϳϯ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮ ϰϭϭϯϴ͘ϳϰϳ
ϳϰ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϯ ϰϭϮϴϴ͘Ϯϴϵ
ϳϱ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϰ ϰϬϲϰϮ͘ϱϬϰ
ϳϲ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮ ϰϬϳϴϮ͘ϵϱϱ
ϳϳ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯ ϰϭϱϰϱ͘ϴϳϴ
ϳϴ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰ ϰϭϵϭϬ͘ϰϳϰϲϳ
ϳϵ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϮϭϭϯ͘ϳϯϯ
ϴϬ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϮϯϵϰ͘ϰϱϴ
ϴϭ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϮϰϮϭ͘ϭϭϰϱϲ
ϴϮ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϭϳϭϱ͘ϭϵϮ
ϴϯ ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ Ϯϯ ϰϬϰϬϭ͘ϱϵϴ
ϴϰ ϮϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϬϬ͘ϰϲϵ
ϴϱ ϮϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϯϵ͘ϵϰϴ
ϴϲ ϮϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϯϴϲ͘ϵϮϲ
ϴϳ ϮϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϳϯ͘Ϯϲϵϲϳ
ϴϴ ϮϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱ ϰϬϰϲϴ͘ϵϯ
ϴϵ ϮϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϲϴϮ͘ϱϳ
ϵϬ ϮϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϳϯϬ͘Ϯϳϰ
ϵϭ ϮϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴ ϰϬϰϲϭ͘ϴϮϱ
ϵϮ ϯϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϰϯϯ͘Ϯϯϰ
ϵϯ ϯϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϯϯ͘Ϯϲ
ϵϰ ϬϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲ ϰϬϰϱϬ͘ϱϴϰ
ϵϱ ϬϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϲϴ͘ϱϴ
ϵϲ ϭϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϱϯϮ͘ϭϯϰϬϯ
ϵϳ ϭϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϲϮϴ͘ϴϯϰ
ϵϴ ϭϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϯϴϱ͘ϴϴϲϲϲ
ϵϵ ϮϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϰϵϭ͘ϰϱϳ
ϭϬϬ ϮϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳ ϰϬϯϵϭ͘Ϯϰϱ

Tabla 3.6 Las 100 Horas Críticas del 2017 para el Mercado de Balance de Potencia en el SIN


 


 &DStWXOR0RGDOLGDGHVGHSDUWLFLSDFLyQ\PHUFDGRREMHWLYR

&RPR VH PHQFLRQy HQ HO FDStWXOR DQWHULRU OD QXHYD OH\ HVWDEOHFH GRV FDWHJRUtDV GH
JHQHUDGRUHVDTXHOORVDXWRUL]DGRVSDUDJHQHUDUHOHFWULFLGDGDWUDYpVGHFHQWUDOHVHOpFWULFDV
\ DTXHOORV TXH DFW~DQ FRPR UHSUHVHQWDQWHV GH GLFKDV FHQWUDOHV HOpFWULFDV R FRPR
UHYHQGHGRUHV GH OD HQHUJtD HOpFWULFD JHQHUDGD SRU ODV PLVPDV &RQ H[FHSFLyQ GH ORV
*HQHUDGRUHV ([HQWRV KDVWD 0:  WRGDV ODV FHQWUDOHV HOpFWULFDV UHTXLHUHQ GH SHUPLVR
RWRUJDGRSRUOD&5(SDUDJHQHUDUHQHUJtDHOpFWULFDHQHOPHUFDGR

/DFDWHJRUtDFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHSDUDODSODQWD6(GHOD)LJXUDFRUUHVSRQGHDJHQHUDFLyQ
GLVWULEXLGD\DTXHFXPSOHFRQORVVLJXLHQWHVDVSHFWRV

D  6HUHDOL]DSRUXQ*HQHUDGRU([HQWR KDVWDN:KGHFDSDFLGDGLQVWDODGD 

E  6HUHDOL]DHQXQD&HQWUDO(OpFWULFDTXHVHHQFXHQWUDLQWHUFRQHFWDGDDXQFLUFXLWRGH
GLVWULEXFLyQHQORVWpUPLQRVGHODV5HJODVGHO0HUFDGR

F  6HUHDOL]DDSDUWLUGH(QHUJtDV/LPSLDV

/DFODVLILFDFLyQSDUDODVFHQWUDVHOpFWULFDVSHUWHQHFLHQWHVDODJHQHUDFLyQGLVWULEXLGDHVOD
PRVWUDGDHQOD7DEOD


Tabla 4.1 Clasificación de las centrales eléctricas (generación distribuida) >@.

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Tabla 4.2 Esquemas de interconexión para Centrales Eléctricas con capacidad menor a 0.5 MW con relación
al uso y venta de energía eléctrica >@.

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Figura 4.1 Esquema de interconexión 3 para Centrales Eléctricas mayores que 250 kW y menores que 500 kW
en Media Tensión con Centros de Carga >@.


Figura 4.2 Esquema de interconexión 6 para Centrales Eléctricas mayores que 250 kW y menores que 500 kW
en Media Tensión con Centros de Carga >@.



Figura 4.3 Esquema de interconexión 9 para Centrales Eléctricas mayores que 250 kW y menores que 500 kW
en Media Tensión sin centros de carga >@.

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Figura 4.4 Modalidades correspondientes a generación distribuida para participar en el nuevo mercado eléctrico
>@.

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Figura 4.6 Comportamiento del PML durante el día 05 de marzo del 2017.


Figura 4.7 Comportamiento del PML durante el día 15 de junio del 2017.




Figura 4.8 Comportamiento del PML durante el día 16 de junio del 2017.


Figura 4.9 Comportamiento del PML durante el día 17 de junio del 2017.

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Figura 4.10 Línea de tiempo del día en el MDA >@

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Figura 4.11 Muestra de la información publicada en página del CENACE (consulta por día) >@


Figura 4.12 Muestra de la información publicada en página del CENACE (consulta por mes) >@


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8Q1RGR3RQRGRGHILMDFLyQGHSUHFLRVFRUUHVSRQGHDXQRRYDULRVQRGRVGHFRQHFWLYLGDG
GHODUHGGRQGHVHPRGHODODLQ\HFFLyQRUHWLURItVLFRVGHHQHUJtD\SDUDHOFXDOXQ3UHFLR
0DUJLQDO /RFDO VH GHWHUPLQD SDUD ODV OLTXLGDFLRQHV ILQDQFLHUDV HQ HO 0HUFDGR (OpFWULFR
0D\RULVWD

(QODSiJLQDGHO&(1$&(VHHQFXHQWUDGLVSRQLEOHHOFDWiORJRGHQRGRV3HQGRQGHVH
HQFXHQWUDQGHILQLGRVORVFyGLJRVSDUDFDGDXQRGHORVWUHV6LVWHPDV,QWHUFRQHFWDGRVTXH
FRQIRUPDQ HO 6LVWHPD (OpFWULFR 1DFLRQDO 6LVWHPD ,QWHUFRQHFWDGR %DMD &DOLIRUQLD %&$ 
6LVWHPD(OpFWULFR%DMD&DOLIRUQLD6XU %&6 \SDUDFDGDXQDGHODVUHJLRQHVTXHFRQIRUPDQ
HO 6LVWHPD ,QWHUFRQHFWDGR 1DFLRQDO 6,1  >@ FRPR VH PXHVWUD HQ OD )LJXUD
$FWXDOPHQWHH[LVWHXQWRWDOGHQRGRV3FDGDXQRFRQGLIHUHQWHVSUHFLRV


Figura 4.13 Regiones del sistema eléctrico nacional >@

(OSULPHUSDVRSDUDEXVFDUHOQRGRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODSODQWD6FKQHLGHU(OHFWULFHVXELFDU
ODJHUHQFLDGHFRQWURO5HJLRQDOFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHSDUDHVWHFDVRGHSODQWD3,,7FRUUHVSRQGH
DOD]RQD³1RUHVWH´ SiJLQDGHOFDWiORJRGHQRGRV3>@ \GHDOOtSURFHGHDXELFDUHO
GLDJUDPDXQLILODUGHODHPSUHVD SiJLQDGHOPLVPRFDWDORJR FRPRVHPXHVWUDHQOD
)LJXUD



Figura 4.14 Diagrama unifilar donde se encuentra la planta Schneider Electric PIIT >@.



Figura 4.15 Diagrama unifilar donde se encuentra la planta Schneider Electric PIIT (con zoom) >@.

/RVGDWRVTXHKD\TXHWRPDUGHHVWHGLDJUDPDSDUDHQFRQWUDUHOFyGLJRGHO1RGR3GHOD
SODQWDHVHOQRPEUHGHEXVJHQHUDODOTXHVHHQFXHQWUDLQWHUFRQHFWDGRHOVLVWHPDHOQLYHO
GHWHQVLyQFRQHOTXHVHHQFXHQWUDHVWH\ODXELFDFLyQHQHVWHFDVRHVHOEXVGH³+XLQDOD´
FRQXQDWHQVLyQGHN9\ODXELFDFLyQHV³$SRGDFD´XQDYH]REWHQLGRVHVWRVGDWRVVH
GHVFDUJDHO([FHOGHOFDWiORJRGH1RGRV3GHO6LVWHPD(OpFWULFR1DFLRQDO\VHILOWUDQORV
GDWRVSDUDREWHQHUODFODYHFRPRVHPXHVWUDHQOD7DEOD/DFODYHGHOQRGRDVLJQDGD
SDUDODSODQWD6(3,,7FRPRVHSXHGHREVHUYDUHQHOFLUFXORHV+8,(VWDFODYHHV
QHFHVDULDSDUDREWHQHUORVGDWRVGHORV30/VFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDODHPSUHVDVHKDUiXVR
GHHVWHHQFDStWXORVSRVWHULRUHV


Tabla 4.4 Catálogo de claves de NodosP del Sistema Eléctrico Nacional >@.


 


 &DStWXOR3HUILOHVGHJHQHUDFLyQ6FKQHLGHU(OHFWULF3,,7
(QODVLJXLHQWHWDEODVHPXHVWUDVODVJHQHUDFLRQHVWRWDOHVTXHVHWXYLHURQHQFDGDXQRGH
ORVPHVHVGHODxRDQDOL]DGRV\HQHURGHO

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽͬŵĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ

'ĞŶĞƌĂĚŽ;ŬtŚͿ ϯϮ͕Ϭϯϵ Ϯϰ͕ϵϬϲ ϮϮ͕ϱϱϬ ϮϮ͕ϳϭϳ

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽͬŵĞƐ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ

'ĞŶĞƌĂĚŽ;ŬtŚͿ Ϯϯ͕ϴϴϲ Ϯϰ͕ϯϬϵ Ϯϲ͕ϭϮϱ Ϯϭ͕ϴϵϭ

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽͬŵĞƐ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ

'ĞŶĞƌĂĚŽ;ŬtŚͿ ϭϳ͕Ϯϰϳ ϭϯ͕ϳϳϳ ϭϲ͕ϱϰϱ ϭϲ͕ϳϭϮ

Tabla 5.1 Generación por mes que se tuvo en 2017 (parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT)

3DUDHODQiOLVLVGHHVWDLQYHVWLJDFLyQHVQHFHVDULDODLQIRUPDFLyQGHJHQHUDFLyQTXHVHWXYR
HQFDGDKRUDGHFDGDGtDHQFDGDXQRGHORVPHVHV5HVSHFWRDHVWHFDVRGHODJHQHUDFLyQ
HQ HO SDUTXH IRWRYROWDLFR GH 6FKQHLGHU (OHFWULF 3,,7 VROR VH GLVSXVR FRQ OD LQIRUPDFLyQ
FRPSOHWDGHOPHVGHDJRVWRODFXDOVHREWXYRHQIRUPDWRGHJHQHUDFLyQPLQXWDODVt
TXHSDUDHOPHVGHDJRVWRVHSURFHGLyDWUDVODGDUORVGDWRVGHJHQHUDFLyQPLQXWDOHVD
IRUPDWRKRUDODWUDYpVGHODLQWHJUDFLyQGHORVGDWRVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVGHFDGDKRUDFRQOD
HFXDFLyQ

଺଴ ଶ
ͳ
ඩන ൭෍ሺܲሺ‫ݐ‬ሻሻ൱ ݀‫ݐ‬
͸Ͳ

2EWHQLHQGRDVtORVGDWRVGHODVJHQHUDFLRQHVSRUKRUDPRVWUDGRVHQODVVLJXLHQWHVWDEODV

'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ;ŬtŚͿ

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭ Ϯ ϯ ϰ ϱ ϲ ϳ
ϲ ͲϬ͘ϬϮϮϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϮϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭϳϱ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϳϱ Ϭ͘ϳϵϳϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϲϱ Ϭ͘ϱϮϱ Ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϯϲϮϱ ϭ͘ϮϴϮϱ
ϴ ϭϱ͘ϰϬϮϱ ϭϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϳϳ ϭϴ͘Ϭϵ ϲ͘ϱϮ ϳ͘Ϭϯϱ ϲ͘Ϭϵϳϱ
ϵ ϱϲ͘ϱϱ ϱϲ͘ϭϯ Ϯϳ͘ϰϲϳϱ Ϯϲ͘ϱϮϱ Ϯϴ͘ϯϱ ϱϴ͘Ϯ Ϯϴ͘ϱϭ
ϭϬ ϴϴ͘Ϭϭϳϱ ϳϴ͘ϵϵϱ ϳϰ͘ϴϳϮϱ ϯϭ͘ϰϯϱ ϵϬ͘Ϭϱ ϴϴ͘ϲϳ ϱϴ͘ϲϰϮϱ
ϭϭ ϭϬϴ͘ϴϲϳϱ ϭϬϲ͘ϵϲϱ ϭϬϵ͘ϵϬϮϱ ϰϮ͘ϵϬϱ ϭϭϰ͘ϱϬϳϱ ϴϴ͘ϭϲϳϱ ϭϭϭ͘ϱϬϱ
ϭϮ ϭϮϭ͘ϰϯϳϱ ϭϮϳ͘ϳϭϱ ϭϮϮ͘ϯϱϮϱ ϳϯ͘Ϭϵϱ ϴϭ͘ϰϵϳϱ ϭϮϮ͘ϵϬϳϱ ϭϮϰ͘Ϯϵ
ϭϯ ϭϮϳ͘ϭϵϮϱ ϭϯϮ͘ϵϵ ϭϰϭ͘ϬϰϮϱ ϱϭ͘ϴϰ ϭϭϴ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϭϮϳ͘ϰϱ ϭϭϳ͘ϵϭϳϱ
ϭϰ ϭϬϭ͘ϵϳϱ ϭϮϲ͘ϴϮϱ ϭϮϴ͘ϳϲ ϰϴ͘ϵϵϳϱ ϭϮϯ͘ϲϱϳϱ ϵϲ͘ϲϳ ϭϮϬ͘ϰϲϳϱ
ϭϱ ϱϭ͘ϴϬϮϱ ϭϭϳ͘Ϭϰ ϳϭ͘ϱϭϮϱ ϰϬ͘ϵϯϳϱ ϴϵ͘ϰϱϳϱ ϳϲ͘ϵϱϮϱ ϲϱ͘ϲϯϱ


ϭϲ ϰϭ͘ϴϮϱ ϱϵ͘ϱϭϮϱ Ϭ͘ϱϲϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϵϰ͘ϯϭϳϱ ϱϮ͘ϯϬϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ
ϭϳ ϲϴ͘ϳϲϳϱ ϲϳ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϳϮϱ ϯϭ͘ϴϴ ϱϯ͘ϳϯϮϱ ϱϬ͘ϯϬϳϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬϱ
ϭϴ ϯϮ͘ϱϰϱ ϭϱ͘ϭϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϳϱ ϵ͘Ϭϳ ϮϬ͘ϯϵϱ Ϭ͘ϯϯϱ Ϭ͘ϴϴϱ
ϭϵ ϯ͘ϰϳϳϱ ϱ͘ϰϳϳϱ ϭ͘Ϭϰϱ ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϯ͘Ϯϰϱ ͲϬ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϴϴϳϱ
ϮϬ ͲϬ͘ϭϱϱ ͲϬ͘ϭϰϳϱ ͲϬ͘ϭϭϮϱ ͲϬ͘ϭϮϳϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϴϮϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϴϳϱ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭϱ

Tabla 5.2 Parte 1: Generación por hora durante los días de "agosto 2017"

'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ;ŬtŚͿ

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϴ ϵ ϭϬ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
ϲ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϴϮ Ϭ͘ϱϳ Ϭ͘ϱϬ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϯϬ Ϭ͘ϰϲ
ϴ ϭϮ͘Ϯϭ ϭϲ͘ϰϭ Ϯ͘ϲϲ ϵ͘Ϭϲ ϯϯ͘ϮϮ ϱ͘ϳϯ ϯ͘ϰϴ
ϵ ϯϬ͘ϯϵ ϰϴ͘ϴϲ ϰϳ͘ϰϮ ϰϬ͘ϲϲ ϰϴ͘ϴϭ ϱϲ͘ϱϳ Ϯϯ͘ϱϮ
ϭϬ ϱϵ͘Ϯϱ ϵϯ͘ϳϮ ϳϵ͘ϭϲ ϭϬϭ͘ϭϱ ϴϱ͘ϲϯ ϴϴ͘Ϯϱ ϱϰ͘ϵϬ
ϭϭ ϳϯ͘ϵϯ ϭϭϮ͘ϴϮ ϵϲ͘ϵϳ ϭϬϳ͘ϵϱ ϭϭϳ͘Ϯϱ ϭϭϰ͘ϵϴ ϴϬ͘ϵϭ
ϭϮ ϭϯϬ͘Ϯϵ ϭϮϯ͘ϱϱ ϭϭϯ͘ϭϳ ϵϵ͘ϵϰ ϭϮϳ͘ϴϵ ϭϮϲ͘ϲϳ ϭϮϰ͘ϳϴ
ϭϯ ϭϭϬ͘ϭϱ ϭϯϰ͘ϳϵ ϭϭϮ͘ϯϳ ϴϲ͘ϱϰ ϭϯϮ͘ϵϬ ϭϯϮ͘ϰϰ ϭϮϴ͘ϳϯ
ϭϰ ϭϮϱ͘ϯϲ ϭϯϮ͘ϭϳ ϴϬ͘ϰϱ ϭϰϮ͘ϳϵ ϭϮϴ͘ϳϯ ϭϮϴ͘Ϯϳ ϭϮϯ͘ϴϮ
ϭϱ ϭϬϴ͘ϰϬ ϭϮϰ͘ϲϭ ϱϴ͘ϴϬ ϭϮϬ͘Ϯϲ ϭϭϲ͘ϴϱ ϭϭϲ͘ϴϮ ϭϭϬ͘Ϯϰ
ϭϲ ϴϲ͘Ϭϭ ϴϱ͘Ϭϰ ϰϭ͘ϴϱ ϭϬϭ͘Ϭϲ ϵϲ͘ϵϳ ϵϱ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰ͘ϳϰ
ϭϳ ϰϵ͘ϱϮ ϯϱ͘Ϯϲ Ϯϳ͘ϵϲ ϱϰ͘Ϯϯ ϲϳ͘ϵϭ ϲϲ͘ϲϱ ϲϮ͘Ϯϵ
ϭϴ Ϯϯ͘ϳϰ Ϯϳ͘ϲϯ ϯϬ͘ϲϰ ϯϬ͘ϳϮ ϯϬ͘ϯϲ Ϯϵ͘ϳϵ Ϯϵ͘ϲϭ
ϭϵ ϯ͘ϲϬ ϰ͘ϵϲ ϵ͘ϲϯ ϯ͘ϴϲ ϰ͘Ϭϯ ϰ͘ϬϬ ϱ͘ϭϲ
ϮϬ ͲϬ͘ϭϯ ͲϬ͘Ϭϲ ͲϬ͘Ϭϳ ͲϬ͘Ϭϳ ͲϬ͘Ϭϴ ͲϬ͘Ϭϳ ͲϬ͘Ϭϳ

Tabla 5.3 Parte 2: Generación por hora durante los días de "agosto 2017"

'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ;ŬtŚͿ

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϴ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ
ϲ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘Ϭϯ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϯ
ϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϮϬ
ϴ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϳ͘ϴϳ ϮϬ͘ϰϱ ϭϲ͘ϰϲ ϭϴ͘Ϭϴ ϴ͘ϱϱ ϯ͘ϭϵ
ϵ ϳ͘ϵϳ ϲϬ͘ϰϳ ϯϵ͘ϭϯ ϯϳ͘ϬϬ ϱϵ͘ϴϭ ϲϳ͘ϯϲ ϯϯ͘ϱϴ
ϭϬ ϯϲ͘ϭϭ ϳϵ͘Ϭϯ ϳϳ͘ϵϲ ϲϳ͘ϭϰ ϵϮ͘Ϯϳ ϴϴ͘Ϯϱ ϴϲ͘ϮϮ
ϭϭ ϴϯ͘ϳϯ ϭϬϭ͘ϱϵ ϭϭϳ͘ϰϵ ϭϭϭ͘ϰϲ ϭϭϰ͘Ϯϯ ϭϭϱ͘ϭϮ ϭϬϬ͘ϳϴ
ϭϮ ϭϮϵ͘Ϭϳ ϭϮϰ͘ϱϰ ϭϭϵ͘ϲϴ ϭϮϰ͘ϲϴ ϭϮϳ͘Ϯϳ ϭϯϱ͘ϯϵ ϵϳ͘ϰϳ
ϭϯ ϭϮϳ͘ϴϵ ϭϮϱ͘ϯϲ ϭϯϬ͘ϴϬ ϭϮϬ͘ϯϲ ϭϯϱ͘ϳϮ ϭϭϴ͘ϴϴ ϳϳ͘ϭϳ
ϭϰ ϭϮϰ͘ϲϯ ϭϮϯ͘ϵϬ ϭϮϲ͘ϲϵ ϭϮϱ͘Ϯϯ ϭϯϭ͘ϴϲ ϭϯϳ͘ϰϴ ϭϯϲ͘ϰϬ


ϭϱ ϭϭϯ͘Ϯϵ ϭϬϲ͘ϭϴ ϵϱ͘ϭϰ ϭϭϰ͘ϴϲ ϭϭϬ͘ϳϴ ϭϮϯ͘Ϯϵ ϴϮ͘ϳϱ
ϭϲ ϵϮ͘ϯϰ ϳϴ͘Ϯϰ ϱϰ͘ϯϱ ϲϱ͘ϴϬ ϵϵ͘ϵϭ ϵϰ͘ϰϵ ϭϬϱ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϳ ϲϯ͘Ϯϯ ϰϯ͘ϲϮ ϲϴ͘ϯϵ ϳ͘ϳϬ ϲϵ͘ϯϲ ϲϳ͘ϵϱ ϳϬ͘ϰϴ
ϭϴ Ϯϴ͘ϵϴ ϭϯ͘Ϯϭ ϯϯ͘ϵϴ ϯ͘ϵϵ Ϯϰ͘ϳϵ ϯϬ͘Ϭϭ Ϯϵ͘ϯϰ
ϭϵ ϰ͘ϯϵ ϯ͘ϴϰ ϯ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϵϯ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϳϱ ϯ͘ϭϱ
ϮϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϵ ͲϬ͘ϭϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϵ ͲϬ͘ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϭϬ ͲϬ͘ϭϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϵ

Tabla 5.4 Parte 3: Generación por hora durante los días de "agosto 2017"

'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ;ŬtŚͿ

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϮϮ Ϯϯ Ϯϰ Ϯϱ Ϯϲ Ϯϳ Ϯϴ
ϲ ͲϬ͘Ϭϯ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϰϲ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭϴ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϲϵ Ϭ͘ϲϬ
ϴ ϭϵ͘ϭϬ ϭϵ͘Ϯϲ ϲϬ͘ϭϴ ϭϲ͘ϮϬ ϭϰ͘ϯϯ ϭϴ͘ϭϭ ϮϮ͘ϱϬ
ϵ ϲϮ͘Ϯϰ ϲϭ͘ϳϲ ϵϭ͘Ϯϯ ϱϮ͘ϰϬ ϯϳ͘ϰϮ ϳϵ͘ϳϱ ϲϳ͘ϭϴ
ϭϬ ϵϲ͘ϯϬ ϵϯ͘ϰϬ ϭϭϬ͘ϯϵ ϵϬ͘ϯϴ ϵϰ͘ϴϱ ϰϳ͘ϴϳ ϴϴ͘ϰϯ
ϭϭ ϭϭϰ͘ϲϮ ϭϭϱ͘ϮϬ ϭϮϯ͘ϱϵ ϭϬϯ͘ϲϳ ϭϬϵ͘Ϯϰ ϭϮϮ͘Ϭϯ ϭϭϲ͘ϰϲ
ϭϮ ϭϭϲ͘ϵϯ ϭϮϲ͘ϵϵ ϭϯϮ͘ϳϮ ϭϯϰ͘ϴϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϳϭ ϭϭϲ͘Ϭϱ ϴϰ͘ϴϵ
ϭϯ ϭϯϯ͘Ϯϳ ϭϯϯ͘ϵϬ ϵϭ͘ϯϵ ϭϯϲ͘ϴϰ ϭϭϴ͘ϳϲ ϭϯϴ͘ϴϱ ϭϭϵ͘ϰϱ
ϭϰ ϳϴ͘ϰϳ ϰϴ͘ϲϯ ϴϰ͘ϲϱ ϴϵ͘ϴϱ ϭϯϰ͘ϰϳ ϭϯϱ͘Ϯϰ ϵϱ͘Ϯϳ
ϭϱ ϭϬϮ͘ϵϴ ϯϱ͘ϵϮ ϯϭ͘ϬϬ ϭϭϲ͘ϱϰ ϭϮϭ͘ϳϱ ϭϮϮ͘ϵϰ ϲϲ͘ϴϱ
ϭϲ ϭϴ͘ϮϮ ϱϭ͘ϲϴ ϭϵ͘ϴϬ ϵϲ͘ϰϮ ϭϬϮ͘ϴϭ ϭϬϬ͘ϰϰ ϵϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϳ ϭϴ͘ϳϱ ϱϰ͘Ϯϭ ϭϯ͘ϯϳ ϰϵ͘ϳϴ ϰϭ͘ϳϯ ϲϳ͘ϳϭ Ϯϵ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϴ ϭϵ͘ϲϯ ϯϮ͘Ϯϱ ϰ͘Ϯϱ ϮϬ͘ϰϭ ϯϭ͘ϲϱ Ϯϴ͘ϭϰ Ϯϭ͘ϭϯ
ϭϵ ϰ͘ϰϬ ϯ͘ϱϯ ͲϬ͘ϭϬ ϰ͘ϲϲ ϯ͘ϲϬ Ϭ͘ϳϳ ϭ͘Ϯϰ
ϮϬ ͲϬ͘ϭϬ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ

Tabla 5.5 Parte 4: Generación por hora durante los días de "agosto 2017"

'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ;ŬtŚͿ

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ Ϯϵ ϯϬ ϯϭ
ϲ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϱϰ Ϭ͘ϱϬ ϭ͘ϰϳ
ϴ ϮϮ͘Ϭϳ ϭϵ͘ϭϲ ϮϬ͘Ϯϯ
ϵ ϱϵ͘ϲϰ ϲϮ͘ϭϱ ϳϰ͘ϴϰ
ϭϬ ϵϳ͘ϳϮ ϵϰ͘Ϯϭ ϵϮ͘ϲϰ
ϭϭ ϭϮϮ͘ϱϮ ϭϭϲ͘ϭϭ ϭϭϱ͘ϲϲ
ϭϮ ϭϯϳ͘ϲϰ ϭϯϯ͘ϱϲ ϭϮϮ͘Ϯϳ
ϭϯ ϭϰϬ͘ϵϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϲϯ ϵϵ͘Ϭϴ


ϭϰ ϭϯϵ͘ϴϭ ϭϮϵ͘ϴϭ ϭϯϴ͘Ϭϳ
ϭϱ ϭϮϰ͘ϰϮ ϭϭϴ͘ϭϲ ϭϬϴ͘ϭϱ
ϭϲ ϵϵ͘Ϭϰ ϱϴ͘ϱϲ ϲϯ͘ϰϭ
ϭϳ ϲϲ͘ϵϯ Ϯϵ͘ϵϵ ϰϰ͘ϰϵ
ϭϴ Ϯϳ͘ϳϮ ϭϲ͘ϭϰ ϭϭ͘ϲϱ
ϭϵ ϯ͘ϮϮ ϰ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϰϲ
ϮϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ

Tabla 5.6 Parte 5: Generación por hora durante los días de "agosto 2017"

,ŽƌĂ WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽƐƉŽƌŚŽƌĂ;ŬtŚͿ

ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬ
ϳ ϭ͘ϭϬ
ϴ ϭϰ͘ϵϰ
ϵ ϰϵ͘ϰϭ
ϭϬ ϴϬ͘ϴϯ
ϭϭ ϭϬϲ͘ϭϲ
ϭϮ ϭϭϵ͘ϵϭ
ϭϯ ϭϮϬ͘ϱϰ
ϭϰ ϭϭϱ͘ϳϵ
ϭϱ ϵϱ͘ϲϮ
ϭϲ ϲϵ͘ϴϮ
ϭϳ ϰϲ͘ϱϯ
ϭϴ Ϯϭ͘Ϯϳ
ϭϵ Ϯ͘ϵϱ
ϮϬ ͲϬ͘Ϭϳ

Tabla 5.7 Generación promedio por hora durante los días de "agosto 2017"



Figura 5.1 Gráfico de comportamiento de la generación promedio por hora del mes (agosto 2017)


Figura 5.2 Gráfico de comportamiento de la generación promedio acumulada por día (agosto 2017)


3DUDHOUHVWRGHORVPHVHVVRORVHFRQWyFRQHOGDWRGHODJHQHUDFLyQWRWDO&RPRDOWHUQDWLYD
VH DQDOL]y HO FRPSRUWDPLHQWR GH RWUR SDUTXH IRWRYROWDLFR SHUWHQHFLHQWH DO 'U $UPDQGR
5DIDHO /ODPDV 7HUUpV  GHO FXiO VL VH GLVSXVR GH OD LQIRUPDFLyQ FRUUHVSRQGLHQWH DO
FRPSRUWDPLHQWRGHJHQHUDFLyQGHWDOODGDSDUDFDGDXQRGHORVGtDVGHWRGRVORVPHVHVGHO
DxR%DMRHODQiOLVLVGHHVWHVLVWHPDVHREWXYLHURQORVGHJHQHUDFLyQGHFDGDKRUD
HQFDGDGtDSDUDFDGDXQRGHORVPHVHV\HQEDVHDHVWHSRUFHQWDMHREWHQLGRVHFDOFXOy
ORTXHVHKXELHVHREWHQLGRHQHOSDUTXHIRWRYROWDLFRGH6(3,,7GLVWULEX\HQGRODJHQHUDFLyQ
WRWDOUHDOSDUDFDGDKRUDHQFDGDGtDFRQORVREWHQLGRVGHOSDUTXHIRWRYROWDLFRGHO'U
$UPDQGR /ODPDV ORV GDWRV GH HVWH VLVWHPD VH H[WUDMHURQ GH OD SODWDIRUPD \ VRIWZDUH
³.$&26RODU´GLFKRVLVWHPDHVHOHQFDUJDGRGHPRQLWRUHDUUHDOL]DUODVPHGLFLRQHVGLH]
PLQXWDOHV\DOPDFHQDUWRGDODLQIRUPDFLyQSDUDPDQWHQHUODDGLVSRVLFLyQYtDZHE\PyYLO

&RPRVRQGHPDVLDGRVGDWRVORVTXHVHWLHQHQSDUDFDGDPHVDFRQWLQXDFLyQVHPXHVWUD
HODQiOLVLVFRPSOHWRGHXQVRORPHVGHOVLVWHPDGHO'U$UPDQGR/ODPDV\SRVWHULRUDHVWH
VRORVHPXHVWUDQODVWDEODVGHORVUHVXOWDGRVGHORVPHVHVUHVWDQWHV

&yPR ORV GDWRV PRVWUDGRV GH OD 7DEOD  D 7DEOD  VH HQFXHQWUDQ HQ IRUPDWR
GLH]PLQXWDO\HOUHTXHULGRHVHQIRUPDWRKRUDOHVWRVIXHURQLQWHJUDGRVSRVWHULRUPHQWHSDUD
WUDVODGDUORVDOIRUPDWRUHTXHULGRFRQODVLJXLHQWHHFXDFLyQ

଺ ଶ
ͳ
ඩන ൭෍ሺܲሺ‫ݐ‬ሻሻ൱ ݀‫ݐ‬
͸

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭdž dž dž dž Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϴ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ
Ϭϴ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ
Ϭϴ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϭϵ
Ϭϵ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϰ Ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ
Ϭϵ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϰϮ
Ϭϵ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϲϲ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϯϭ
Ϭϵ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϱ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϯϳ
Ϭϵ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴ Ϭ͘ϳϴ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϱϯ
ϭϬ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘ϴϱ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϲϮ
ϭϬ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϵ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘ϳϲ
ϭϬ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϵϱ
ϭϬ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϴϴ ϭ͘Ϭϭ
ϭϬ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϭϳ
ϭϬ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͘ϭϮ
ϭϭ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϱ
ϭϭ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϵ
ϭϭ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϯϭ
ϭϭ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϰ
ϭϭ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϴ
ϭϭ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϭ
ϭϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϮ Ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘ϯϰ
ϭϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϯ
ϭϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰϭ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϲ
ϭϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϳ
ϭϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰϴ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϳ
ϭϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϱ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϴ
Ϭϭ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϵ
Ϭϭ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϵ
Ϭϭ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϰϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ
Ϭϭ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϱ
Ϭϭ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϰ
Ϭϭ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϯ 

Tabla 5.8 Parte 1.1 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
ϬϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϭ
ϬϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯ
ϬϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϴ
ϬϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϱϭ Ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϯϳ
ϬϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘ϰϳ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϬϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϲ
Ϭϯ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϰ
Ϭϯ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϭϴ
Ϭϯ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϱ
Ϭϯ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘Ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϲ
Ϭϰ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϴ ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϵϴ ϭ
Ϭϰ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘ϵϱ
Ϭϰ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϳϲ Ϭ͘ϵ
Ϭϰ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϮ Ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϲϲ Ϭ͘ϴϯ
Ϭϰ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϲ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘ϳϳ
Ϭϰ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘ϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϲϵ
Ϭϱ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϱϵ
Ϭϱ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϱϮ
Ϭϱ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϰϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϰϳ
Ϭϱ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϯϳ
Ϭϱ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ
Ϭϱ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ
Ϭϲ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϲ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž Ϭdž
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž 
Tabla 5.9 Parte 1.2 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž Ϭdž
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ
Ϭϴ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϲ
Ϭϴ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϲ
Ϭϴ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ
Ϭϴ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϭϭ
Ϭϵ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϰ Ϭ͘ϰϵ Ϭ͘ϰϴ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϭϱ
Ϭϵ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲ Ϭ͘ϱϳ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϱϭ Ϭ͘ϱϰ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϭϳ
Ϭϵ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϲϮ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘ϲ Ϭ͘ϭϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϲϵ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϭϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϳϱ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϭϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϱ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϴϮ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘ϴ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϬ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϴϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ
ϭϬ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϱ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘ϵϱ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϲϭ
ϭϬ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ ϭ͘ϬϮ ϭ Ϭ͘ϵϴ Ϭ͘ϵϴ ϭ Ϭ͘ϵϵ
ϭϬ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϭϱ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϬ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘ϭ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘ϭ ϭ͘ϭϮ
ϭϬ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϵϴ
ϭϭ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϯ
ϭϭ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϭϲ
ϭϭ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϮϮ
ϭϭ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯ
ϭϭ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϳ
ϭϭ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϯϴ
ϭϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϲϭ
ϭϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϳϲ
ϭϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϭ
ϭϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϴ
ϭϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϭϮ
ϭϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘Ϭϯ
Ϭϭ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘Ϭϵ
Ϭϭ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϮ
Ϭϭ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϱϯ
Ϭϭ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϭϯ
Ϭϭ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϰϯ
Ϭϭ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰϳ 

Tabla 5.10 Parte 2.1 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
ϬϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϳϲ
ϬϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϯϴ
ϬϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϵ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϮ Ϭ͘ϱϮ
ϬϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϰϵ
ϬϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ
ϬϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϯϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯ ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϯϴ
Ϭϯ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ
Ϭϯ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ
Ϭϯ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͘ϭ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϯ
Ϭϯ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϯϱ
Ϭϰ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϬϮ ϭ͘ϬϮ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭ ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ
Ϭϰ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘ϵϳ ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϵϱ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϵϲ Ϭ͘ϯϲ
Ϭϰ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϯ Ϭ͘ϵϯ ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϵ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϯϭ
Ϭϰ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϵϱ Ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϴϱ Ϭ͘ϱϭ
Ϭϰ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘ϴϮ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘ϱϯ
Ϭϰ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϴϮ Ϭ͘ϳϯ Ϭ͘ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϱ
Ϭϱ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϯ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϳϲ Ϭ͘ϲϲ Ϭ͘ϲϮ Ϭ͘ϲϮ Ϭ͘ϱϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϱϲ Ϭ͘ϱϲ Ϭ͘ϳϵ
Ϭϱ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϭ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϲ Ϭ͘ϱϭ Ϭ͘ϰϴ Ϭ͘ϰϵ Ϭ͘ϲϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϰϭ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϱϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯϮ Ϭ͘ϯϮ Ϭ͘ϱ
Ϭϱ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϳ
Ϭϲ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϲ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž 
Tabla 5.11 Parte 2.2 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭdž dž Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϴ
Ϭϴ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϯϲ
Ϭϴ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϰϯ
Ϭϵ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϱ Ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϰϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϱϳ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϲϭ
Ϭϵ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϲϴ
Ϭϵ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϳϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϳϱ
Ϭϵ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϴϮ
Ϭϵ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϱϭ Ϭ͘ϴϱ Ϭ͘ϴϱ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϴϵ
ϭϬ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϵϱ
ϭϬ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϵϲ Ϭ͘ϵϴ Ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘Ϭϭ
ϭϬ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϲ ϭ͘ϬϮ ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϭϳ
ϭϬ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϳ ϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘ϭϮ
ϭϬ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϯ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϵϮ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘ϭϲ
ϭϬ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϱϲ ϭ͘ϭϰ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϮϮ
ϭϭ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϵ Ϭ͘ϱϱ ϭ͘ϬϮ ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϭ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϵϳ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϱ ϭ͘ϯ
ϭϭ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϱϵ ϭ͘Ϭϴ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϲ
ϭϭ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϭ Ϭ͘ϲ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘ϯϵ
ϭϭ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϲϳ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϰϮ
ϭϭ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϳϳ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϱ
ϭϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϳϳ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϲϰ ϭ͘ϰϳ
ϭϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϳϰ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϱϭ
ϭϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϲϴ ϭ͘ϰϳ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘Ϭϱ ϭ͘ϱϮ
ϭϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϳϰ ϭ͘ϰϵ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘ϱϰ
ϭϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϱϴ
ϭϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϱϭ
Ϭϭ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘Ϭϲ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϵϰ
Ϭϭ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϭϰ
Ϭϭ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϱϯ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϰϮ
Ϭϭ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϲϵ ϭ͘ϱϯ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϱϵ
Ϭϭ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱ ϭ͘ϳ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϱϮ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϲϱ
Ϭϭ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘ϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϰϳ 

Tabla 5.12 Parte 3.1 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
ϬϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰϵ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϰϯ
ϬϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϭ Ϭ͘ϵϯ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϯϴ
ϬϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϱϮ
ϬϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϰϵ
ϬϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϰϱ
ϬϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϰϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϯϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ Ϭ͘ϯϴ
Ϭϯ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ
Ϭϯ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘Ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ
Ϭϯ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϳϲ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϯ
Ϭϯ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϲ ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϲϲ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϯϱ
Ϭϰ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϰ ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϴϲ ϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ
Ϭϰ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϲϯ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϱϳ Ϭ͘ϯϲ
Ϭϰ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϴ Ϭ͘ϳϮ Ϭ͘ϵϴ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘ϯϭ
Ϭϰ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘ϵϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϱϭ
Ϭϰ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϴϴ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϱϯ
Ϭϰ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϲϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘ϴ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϱ
Ϭϱ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϳϯ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϱϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϳϵ
Ϭϱ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϱϴ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϲϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϰϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϰϵ Ϭ͘ϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϱϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϱ
Ϭϱ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϳ
Ϭϲ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϲ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž 
Tabla 5.13 Parte 3.2 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

 


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϮϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϴ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ
Ϭϴ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϭϲ Ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘ϯϴ
Ϭϴ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϰϲ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϰϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϱϰ Ϭ͘ϱϭ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϱϮ
Ϭϵ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϮ Ϭ͘ϲϮ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϭ Ϭ͘ϰϳ Ϭ͘ϲ
Ϭϵ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘ϲϴ
Ϭϵ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϳϱ Ϭ͘ϳϱ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϰ
Ϭϵ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘ϴ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϴϮ
Ϭϵ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϭ Ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϴϲ Ϭ͘ϭϮ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϴϴ
ϭϬ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϳ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϵ Ϭ͘ϵϰ
ϭϬ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϯ ϭ Ϭ͘ϵϳ ϭ Ϭ͘ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϵϱ ϭ
ϭϬ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϴ ϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͘Ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͘Ϭϲ
ϭϬ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϮ
ϭϬ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘ϭϱ
ϭϬ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘Ϯ Ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘ϭϮ ϭ͘ϭϵ
ϭϭ͗ϬϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϮϮ
ϭϭ͗ϭϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϭ͗ϮϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯϭ
ϭϭ͗ϯϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͘ϯϱ Ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϰ
ϭϭ͗ϰϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϱϯ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϳ
ϭϭ͗ϱϬĂ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϲϴ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϵ
ϭϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϳ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϴ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϰ
ϭϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϵ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϰϳ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϰϮ
ϭϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϱϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ
ϭϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϯ ϭ͘ϰϳ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰϵ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϱ
ϭϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϯ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϲ
ϭϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϴ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ ϭ͘ϭϳ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϱ
Ϭϭ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϵ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϭϵ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϰ
Ϭϭ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘Ϭϱ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϱ
Ϭϭ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϯ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϰϲ
Ϭϭ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϲϳ ϭ͘ϰϰ ϭ͘ϰϯ
Ϭϭ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰϯ
Ϭϭ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϰ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϱϳ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϰϱ 

Tabla 5.14 Parte 4.1 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)




,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϮϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ


ϬϮ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘ϱϳ ϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͘ϰϮ
ϬϮ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱϭ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϰϵ ϭ͘ϲ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰ
ϬϮ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϱ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘ϰϴ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϵ
ϬϮ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϳ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϯϴ
ϬϮ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϯϳ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘ϰϱ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘ϯϭ ϭ͘ϯϱ
ϬϮ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϯ ϭ͘ϯϱ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϱϮ ϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͘ϯϭ
Ϭϯ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϰϮ ϭ͘ϯϯ ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘ϰ ϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϵ
Ϭϯ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϵ ϭ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͘Ϯϱ
Ϭϯ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯϰ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ ϭ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϮϮ
Ϭϯ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϯ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͘ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϴ
Ϭϯ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭ͘ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭ ϭ͘Ϯϰ Ϭ͘ϵϮ ϭ͘Ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϯ
Ϭϯ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϭϱ ϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϱϴ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϭϵ
Ϭϰ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϲ ϭ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͘ϭϱ Ϭ͘ϱ ϭ͘Ϭϰ ϭ͘Ϭϯ
Ϭϰ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϵϴ ϭ͘Ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϰϲ ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϵϵ
Ϭϰ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϵϴ Ϭ͘ϵϱ ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϵϰ
Ϭϰ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ ϭ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϵϴ Ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘ϴϵ Ϭ͘ϴϴ
Ϭϰ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϵϰ Ϭ͘ϴϴ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ Ϭ͘ϴϯ Ϭ͘ϴϮ
Ϭϰ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϴϮ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϭ͘ϴϱ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϳϲ Ϭ͘ϳϱ
Ϭϱ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϴϭ Ϭ͘ϳϲ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϳϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϴ Ϭ͘ϳϭ Ϭ͘ϲϴ
Ϭϱ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϳϰ Ϭ͘ϲϴ Ϭ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘ϳϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘ϲϭ
Ϭϱ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϲϳ Ϭ͘ϲϭ Ϭ͘ϱϴ Ϭ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϱϱ Ϭ͘ϱϯ
Ϭϱ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱϵ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϱ Ϭ͘ϱϯ Ϭ͘ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϰϴ Ϭ͘ϰϱ
Ϭϱ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϱ Ϭ͘ϰϰ Ϭ͘ϰϮ Ϭ͘ϰϯ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϰ Ϭ͘ϯϲ
Ϭϱ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϯ Ϭ͘ϯϭ Ϭ͘ϯϯ Ϭ͘ϯϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϲ Ϭ͘ϯϮ Ϭ͘Ϯϲ
Ϭϲ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϲ
Ϭϲ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϬϮ Ϭ͘ϬϮ
Ϭϲ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ͘Ϭϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϲ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭdž Ϭ Ϭ
Ϭϳ͗ϭϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϮϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϯϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϰϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϳ͗ϱϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž
Ϭϴ͗ϬϬƉ͘ŵ͘ dž dž dž dž dž dž dž 
Tabla 5.15 Parte 4.2 datos de comportamiento del sistema fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

,QWHJUDQGRORVGDWRVPRVWUDGRVDQWHULRUPHQWHFRQODHFXDFLyQSDUDWUDVODGDUORVGHO
IRUPDWRGLH]PLQXWDODIRUPDWRKRUDOUHDOL]DQGRODVXPDWRULDFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHGHFDGD
KRUDSDUDHOWRWDOGHOPHVVHREWXYRHOSRUFHQWDMHGHFDGDKRUDHQFRUUHODFLyQFRQOD
JHQHUDFLyQWRWDO


dŽƚĂůĚĞůŵĞƐƉŽƌ WŽƌĐĞŶƚĂũĞŐĞŶĞƌĂĚŽĞŶ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽƉŽƌŚŽƌĂ
ŚŽƌĂ;ŬtŚͿ ĐĂĚĂŚŽƌĂ
dŽƚĂůĚĞůŵĞƐ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬϬй
ϳ Ϭ͘ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϳϲϳй
ϴ ϱ͘ϯϵϯϯϯϯϯϯϯ Ϯ͘Ϯϵϳϱй
ϵ ϭϲ͘ϭϬϯϯϯϯϯϯ ϲ͘ϴϱϵϴй
ϭϬ Ϯϱ͘ϰϳ ϭϬ͘ϴϰϵϵй
ϭϭ ϯϭ͘Ϯϴϱ ϭϯ͘ϯϮϳϬй
ϭϮ ϯϰ͘ϰϯϴϯϯϯϯϯ ϭϰ͘ϲϳϬϯй
Ϯϯϰ͘ϳϰϴϯϯϯϯ
ϭϯ ϯϲ͘ϭϴϱ ϭϱ͘ϰϭϰϰй
ϭϰ ϯϮ͘Ϯϵϱ ϭϯ͘ϳϱϳϯй
ϭϱ Ϯϳ͘ϬϮϯϯϯϯϯϯ ϭϭ͘ϱϭϭϲй
ϭϲ ϭϴ͘ϱϵϯϯϯϯϯϯ ϳ͘ϵϮϬϱй
ϭϳ ϳ͘ϳϭϲϲϲϲϲϲϳ ϯ͘ϮϴϳϮй
ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϲϱ Ϭ͘ϬϮϳϳй
ϭϵ Ϭ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬϬй

Tabla 5.16 Datos característicos de generación del parque fotovoltaico Dr. Armando Llamas (febrero 2017)

(QEDVHDFRPRVHREWXYLHURQHVWRVSRUFHQWDMHVREWHQLGRVSRUKRUDVHWRPyODFDQWLGDG
WRWDOGHODJHQHUDFLyQGHSDUDFDGDXQRGHORVPHVHVGHOSDUTXHIRWRYROWDLFR6(3,,7\
VHHVWLPyODJHQHUDFLyQDSUR[LPDGDTXHWXYRGXUDQWHFDGDKRUDFRPRVHPXHVWUDGHOD
7DEODD7DEOD

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ

ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ


ϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϴй Ϯϰ͘ϱϲϳ Ϭ͘ϳϵϮ Ϭ͘ϳϵϮ
ϴ Ϯ͘ϯϬй ϳϯϲ͘ϭϬϰ Ϯϯ͘ϳϰϱ Ϯϰ͘ϱϯϴ
ϵ ϲ͘ϴϲй Ϯϭϵϳ͘ϴϰϴ ϳϬ͘ϴϵϴ ϵϱ͘ϰϯϲ
ϭϬ ϭϬ͘ϴϱй ϯϰϳϲ͘Ϯϰϴ ϭϭϮ͘ϭϯϳ ϮϬϳ͘ϱϳϯ
ϭϭ ϭϯ͘ϯϯй ϰϮϲϵ͘ϵϬϯ ϭϯϳ͘ϳϯϵ ϯϰϱ͘ϯϭϮ
ϭϮ ϭϰ͘ϲϳй ϰϳϬϬ͘Ϯϴϯ ϭϱϭ͘ϲϮϮ ϰϵϲ͘ϵϯϰ
ϯϮϬϯϵ͘ϰϬ
ϭϯ ϭϱ͘ϰϭй ϰϵϯϴ͘ϲϳϱ ϭϱϵ͘ϯϭϮ ϲϱϲ͘Ϯϰϲ
ϭϰ ϭϯ͘ϳϲй ϰϰϬϳ͘ϳϱϮ ϭϰϮ͘ϭϴϲ ϳϵϴ͘ϰϯϮ
ϭϱ ϭϭ͘ϱϭй ϯϲϴϴ͘Ϯϱϰ ϭϭϴ͘ϵϳϲ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϬϴ
ϭϲ ϳ͘ϵϮй Ϯϱϯϳ͘ϲϵϯ ϴϭ͘ϴϲϭ ϵϵϵ͘Ϯϲϵ
ϭϳ ϯ͘Ϯϵй ϭϬϱϯ͘ϮϬϮ ϯϯ͘ϵϳϰ ϭϬϯϯ͘Ϯϰϯ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϭϯй ϴ͘ϴϳϭ Ϭ͘Ϯϴϲ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϮϵ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϮϵ 
Tabla 5.17 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (febrero 2017)



'HHVWDPDQHUDVHUHDOL]ySDUDORVPHVHVUHVWDQWHVGHODxRREWHQLHQGRORVVLJXLHQWHV
UHVXOWDGRVSDUDFDGDPHV

o 0DU]R

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϳй ϲϴ͘Ϭϰϲ Ϯ͘ϭϵϱ Ϯ͘ϭϵϱ
ϴ ϯ͘Ϯϯй ϴϬϰ͘ϭϵϲ Ϯϱ͘ϵϰϮ Ϯϴ͘ϭϯϳ
ϵ ϳ͘Ϭϴй ϭϳϲϮ͘ϳϳϵ ϱϲ͘ϴϲϰ ϴϱ͘ϬϬϭ
ϭϬ ϭϭ͘ϬϬй ϮϳϰϬ͘ϰϲϭ ϴϴ͘ϰϬϮ ϭϳϯ͘ϰϬϯ
ϭϭ ϭϰ͘Ϭϭй ϯϰϴϵ͘ϲϭϬ ϭϭϮ͘ϱϲϴ Ϯϴϱ͘ϵϳϭ
ϭϮ ϭϱ͘Ϯϱй ϯϳϵϲ͘ϵϰϭ ϭϮϮ͘ϰϴϮ ϰϬϴ͘ϰϱϯ
ϮϰϵϬϲ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϰ͘ϳϲй ϯϲϳϳ͘Ϯϭϴ ϭϭϴ͘ϲϮϬ ϱϮϳ͘Ϭϳϯ
ϭϰ ϭϯ͘ϭϰй ϯϮϳϭ͘ϴϯϬ ϭϬϱ͘ϱϰϯ ϲϯϮ͘ϲϭϲ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘Ϭϳй ϮϱϬϴ͘Ϭϳϳ ϴϬ͘ϵϬϲ ϳϭϯ͘ϱϮϭ
ϭϲ ϳ͘ϯϳй ϭϴϯϲ͘ϲϬϯ ϱϵ͘Ϯϰϱ ϳϳϮ͘ϳϲϳ
ϭϳ ϯ͘ϰϲй ϴϲϭ͘ϵϳϭ Ϯϳ͘ϴϬϲ ϴϬϬ͘ϱϳϮ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϯϱй ϴϴ͘Ϯϲϳ Ϯ͘ϴϰϳ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϭϵ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϭϵ 
Tabla 5.18 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (marzo 2017)


o $EULO

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϯй ϲ͘ϱϮϳ Ϭ͘Ϯϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϭϴ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϲϱй ϭϰϱ͘ϰϴϭ ϰ͘ϴϰϵ ϱ͘Ϭϲϳ
ϴ ϯ͘ϲϴй ϴϯϬ͘ϴϮϯ Ϯϳ͘ϲϵϰ ϯϮ͘ϳϲϭ
ϵ ϳ͘ϴϮй ϭϳϲϯ͘ϭϳϴ ϱϴ͘ϳϳϯ ϵϭ͘ϱϯϰ
ϭϬ ϭϭ͘ϭϱй Ϯϱϭϯ͘Ϯϭϭ ϴϯ͘ϳϳϰ ϭϳϱ͘ϯϬϳ
ϭϭ ϭϯ͘Ϭϵй ϮϵϱϬ͘ϵϱϵ ϵϴ͘ϯϲϱ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϳϯ
ϭϮ ϭϰ͘ϭϵй ϯϭϵϵ͘ϭϯϯ ϭϬϲ͘ϲϯϴ ϯϴϬ͘ϯϭϬ
ϮϮϱϱϬ
ϭϯ ϭϯ͘ϭϮй Ϯϵϱϴ͘ϲϰϳ ϵϴ͘ϲϮϮ ϰϳϴ͘ϵϯϮ
ϭϰ ϭϮ͘Ϭϰй Ϯϳϭϱ͘ϱϱϬ ϵϬ͘ϱϭϴ ϱϲϵ͘ϰϱϬ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘ϰϱй Ϯϯϱϳ͘ϱϳϲ ϳϴ͘ϱϴϲ ϲϰϴ͘Ϭϯϲ
ϭϲ ϳ͘ϲϮй ϭϳϭϳ͘ϳϳϵ ϱϳ͘Ϯϱϵ ϳϬϱ͘Ϯϵϱ
ϭϳ ϱ͘Ϭϭй ϭϭϮϵ͘ϭϴϯ ϯϳ͘ϲϯϵ ϳϰϮ͘ϵϯϱ
ϭϴ ϭ͘ϭϲй ϮϲϬ͘ϵϯϴ ϴ͘ϲϵϴ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϯϯ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй ϭ͘Ϭϭϱ Ϭ͘Ϭϯϰ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϲϳ 
Tabla 5.19 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (abril 2017)

 


o 0D\R

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϵй ϮϬ͘Ϯϵϵ Ϭ͘ϲϱϱ Ϭ͘ϲϱϱ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϵϰй ϮϭϮ͘ϳϳϰ ϲ͘ϴϲϰ ϳ͘ϱϭϴ
ϴ ϰ͘Ϭϳй ϵϮϰ͘ϲϵϳ Ϯϵ͘ϴϮϵ ϯϳ͘ϯϰϳ
ϵ ϳ͘ϲϯй ϭϳϯϯ͘ϴϴϬ ϱϱ͘ϵϯϮ ϵϯ͘Ϯϳϵ
ϭϬ ϭϬ͘Ϭϱй ϮϮϴϭ͘ϵϱϮ ϳϯ͘ϲϭϭ ϭϲϲ͘ϴϵϬ
ϭϭ ϭϮ͘ϯϳй ϮϴϭϬ͘ϲϬϬ ϵϬ͘ϲϲϱ Ϯϱϳ͘ϱϱϱ
ϭϮ ϭϯ͘ϵϲй ϯϭϳϬ͘Ϯϴϲ ϭϬϮ͘Ϯϲϳ ϯϱϵ͘ϴϮϮ
ϮϮϳϭϳ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϯ͘ϳϴй ϯϭϯϬ͘ϱϲϰ ϭϬϬ͘ϵϴϲ ϰϲϬ͘ϴϬϴ
ϭϰ ϭϮ͘ϱϲй Ϯϴϱϯ͘Ϭϵϳ ϵϮ͘Ϭϯϱ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϰϰ
ϭϱ ϵ͘ϱϲй ϮϭϳϮ͘Ϯϳϵ ϳϬ͘Ϭϳϰ ϲϮϮ͘ϵϭϳ
ϭϲ ϳ͘Ϯϳй ϭϲϱϬ͘ϲϰϬ ϱϯ͘Ϯϰϲ ϲϳϲ͘ϭϲϯ
ϭϳ ϱ͘ϵϭй ϭϯϰϭ͘ϰϴϯ ϰϯ͘Ϯϳϰ ϳϭϵ͘ϰϯϳ
ϭϴ ϭ͘ϴϬй ϰϬϴ͘ϯϭϱ ϭϯ͘ϭϳϭ ϳϯϮ͘ϲϬϵ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘Ϭϯй ϲ͘ϭϯϯ Ϭ͘ϭϵϴ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϬϲ 
Tabla 5.20 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (mayo 2017)


o -XQLR

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϭϬй Ϯϯ͘ϭϵϱ Ϭ͘ϳϳϯ Ϭ͘ϳϳϯ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϱй ϭϳϴ͘ϳϬϯ ϱ͘ϵϱϳ ϲ͘ϳϯϬ
ϴ ϯ͘ϴϬй ϵϬϲ͘ϲϰϲ ϯϬ͘ϮϮϮ ϯϲ͘ϵϱϭ
ϵ ϳ͘ϯϯй ϭϳϰϵ͘ϵϴϬ ϱϴ͘ϯϯϯ ϵϱ͘Ϯϴϰ
ϭϬ ϭϬ͘ϰϬй Ϯϰϴϰ͘Ϭϰϵ ϴϮ͘ϴϬϮ ϭϳϴ͘Ϭϴϲ
ϭϭ ϭϮ͘ϳϭй ϯϬϯϲ͘ϵϯϲ ϭϬϭ͘Ϯϯϭ Ϯϳϵ͘ϯϭϳ
ϭϮ ϭϯ͘ϵϮй ϯϯϮϱ͘ϭϵϱ ϭϭϬ͘ϴϰϬ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϱϳ
Ϯϯϴϴϲ
ϭϯ ϭϯ͘Ϭϳй ϯϭϮϬ͘ϵϲϯ ϭϬϰ͘ϬϯϮ ϰϵϰ͘ϭϴϵ
ϭϰ ϭϮ͘ϲϵй ϯϬϯϭ͘ϱϯϴ ϭϬϭ͘Ϭϱϭ ϱϵϱ͘ϮϰϬ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘ϵϵй ϮϲϮϰ͘ϮϰϬ ϴϳ͘ϰϳϱ ϲϴϮ͘ϳϭϱ
ϭϲ ϴ͘ϯϯй ϭϵϴϴ͘ϵϯϮ ϲϲ͘Ϯϵϴ ϳϰϵ͘Ϭϭϯ
ϭϳ ϱ͘ϬϬй ϭϭϵϱ͘ϯϰϯ ϯϵ͘ϴϰϱ ϳϴϴ͘ϴϱϳ
ϭϴ ϭ͘ϳϳй ϰϮϮ͘ϭϳϴ ϭϰ͘Ϭϳϯ ϴϬϮ͘ϵϯϬ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϭй Ϯϱ͘ϵϲϳ Ϭ͘ϴϲϲ ϴϬϯ͘ϳϵϲ 
Tabla 5.21 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (junio 2017)

 


o -XOLR

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘Ϭϲй ϭϯ͘ϴϲϭ Ϭ͘ϰϰϳ Ϭ͘ϰϰϳ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϬй ϭϳϬ͘ϱϰϲ ϱ͘ϱϬϭ ϱ͘ϵϰϵ
ϴ ϯ͘ϱϯй ϴϱϴ͘ϬϬϰ Ϯϳ͘ϲϳϴ ϯϯ͘ϲϮϲ
ϵ ϳ͘ϭϲй ϭϳϰϭ͘ϭϲϳ ϱϲ͘ϭϲϳ ϴϵ͘ϳϵϯ
ϭϬ ϵ͘ϵϴй ϮϰϮϲ͘ϲϲϲ ϳϴ͘ϮϴϬ ϭϲϴ͘ϬϳϮ
ϭϭ ϭϮ͘ϭϬй Ϯϵϰϭ͘ϰϲϵ ϵϰ͘ϴϴϲ ϮϲϮ͘ϵϱϴ
ϭϮ ϭϯ͘ϴϳй ϯϯϳϬ͘ϱϰϲ ϭϬϴ͘ϳϮϳ ϯϳϭ͘ϲϴϲ
ϮϰϯϬϵ
ϭϯ ϭϰ͘ϰϳй ϯϱϭϲ͘ϯϴϰ ϭϭϯ͘ϰϯϮ ϰϴϱ͘ϭϭϴ
ϭϰ ϭϯ͘ϯϮй ϯϮϯϳ͘ϬϲϮ ϭϬϰ͘ϰϮϭ ϱϴϵ͘ϱϯϵ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘ϴϮй ϮϲϮϵ͘ϭϱϮ ϴϰ͘ϴϭϭ ϲϳϰ͘ϯϱϬ
ϭϲ ϳ͘ϴϯй ϭϵϬϮ͘ϱϮϯ ϲϭ͘ϯϳϮ ϳϯϱ͘ϳϮϮ
ϭϳ ϱ͘ϭϭй ϭϮϰϮ͘Ϭϯϰ ϰϬ͘Ϭϲϲ ϳϳϱ͘ϳϴϴ
ϭϴ ϭ͘ϴϯй ϰϰϯ͘ϵϵϮ ϭϰ͘ϯϮϮ ϳϵϬ͘ϭϭϬ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϭϮй Ϯϴ͘ϰϳϱ Ϭ͘ϵϭϵ ϳϵϭ͘ϬϮϴ 
Tabla 5.22 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (julio 2017)

o 6HSWLHPEUH

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϭй ϭϱϲ͘ϮϬϵ ϱ͘ϮϬϳ ϱ͘ϮϬϳ
ϴ ϰ͘Ϭϴй ϴϵϯ͘ϲϴϰ Ϯϵ͘ϳϴϵ ϯϰ͘ϵϵϲ
ϵ ϴ͘Ϯϵй ϭϴϭϯ͘ϵϯϯ ϲϬ͘ϰϲϰ ϵϱ͘ϰϲϭ
ϭϬ ϭϭ͘ϰϭй Ϯϰϵϳ͘Ϯϭϰ ϴϯ͘ϮϰϬ ϭϳϴ͘ϳϬϭ
ϭϭ ϭϰй ϯϬϯϰ͘ϯϴϬ ϭϬϭ͘ϭϰϲ Ϯϳϵ͘ϴϰϳ
ϭϮ ϭϱ͘ϭϮй ϯϯϭϬ͘ϯϭϰ ϭϭϬ͘ϯϰϰ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϵϭ
Ϯϭϴϵϭ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϰ͘ϵϬй ϯϮϲϭ͘ϳϴϲ ϭϬϴ͘ϳϮϲ ϰϵϴ͘ϵϭϳ
ϭϰ ϭϮ͘ϱϭй Ϯϳϯϴ͘Ϯϱϳ ϵϭ͘Ϯϳϱ ϱϵϬ͘ϭϵϯ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘ϯϱй ϮϮϲϱ͘ϬϮϲ ϳϱ͘ϱϬϭ ϲϲϱ͘ϲϵϯ
ϭϲ ϲ͘Ϯϭй ϭϯϱϴ͘ϱϵϬ ϰϱ͘Ϯϴϲ ϳϭϬ͘ϵϴϬ
ϭϳ Ϯ͘ϴϱй ϲϮϰ͘ϰϴϭ ϮϬ͘ϴϭϲ ϳϯϭ͘ϳϵϲ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϰϯй ϵϯ͘ϯϯϲ ϯ͘ϭϭϭ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϬϳ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϬϳ 
Tabla 5.23 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (septiembre 2017)

 


o 2FWXEUH

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϯϭй ϱϯ͘ϱϮϲ ϭ͘ϳϮϳ ϭ͘ϳϮϳ
ϴ ϰ͘ϯϵй ϳϱϲ͘ϵϮϱ Ϯϰ͘ϰϭϳ Ϯϲ͘ϭϰϰ
ϵ ϴ͘ϲϬй ϭϰϴϮ͘ϯϵϰ ϰϳ͘ϴϭϵ ϳϯ͘ϵϲϯ
ϭϬ ϭϭ͘ϲϰй ϮϬϬϴ͘ϬϮϯ ϲϰ͘ϳϳϱ ϭϯϴ͘ϳϯϴ
ϭϭ ϭϰй Ϯϯϳϭ͘ϭϮϯ ϳϲ͘ϰϴϴ Ϯϭϱ͘ϮϮϲ
ϭϮ ϭϰ͘ϴϴй Ϯϱϲϲ͘ϯϮϴ ϴϮ͘ϳϴϱ Ϯϵϴ͘ϬϭϬ
ϭϳϮϰϳ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϰ͘ϯϰй Ϯϰϳϰ͘ϬϮϵ ϳϵ͘ϴϬϳ ϯϳϳ͘ϴϭϴ
ϭϰ ϭϯ͘ϭϱй ϮϮϲϴ͘ϰϲϬ ϳϯ͘ϭϳϲ ϰϱϬ͘ϵϵϰ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘ϲϰй ϭϴϯϱ͘ϳϯϵ ϱϵ͘Ϯϭϳ ϱϭϬ͘Ϯϭϭ
ϭϲ ϲ͘ϲϮй ϭϭϰϭ͘ϴϱϬ ϯϲ͘ϴϯϰ ϱϰϳ͘Ϭϰϱ
ϭϳ ϭ͘ϵϳй ϯϯϴ͘ϵϱϴ ϭϬ͘ϵϯϰ ϱϱϳ͘ϵϳϵ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϬϮй ϯ͘ϭϳϬ Ϭ͘ϭϬϮ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴϭ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴϭ 
Tabla 5.24 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (octubre 2017)

o 1RYLHPEUH

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϳ Ϭ͘Ϭϴй ϭϭ͘ϲϵϭ Ϭ͘ϯϵϬ Ϭ͘ϯϵϬ
ϴ ϯ͘ϱϳй ϰϵϭ͘ϴϯϰ ϭϲ͘ϯϵϰ ϭϲ͘ϳϴϰ
ϵ ϴ͘Ϯϰй ϭϭϯϰ͘ϵϯϭ ϯϳ͘ϴϯϭ ϱϰ͘ϲϭϱ
ϭϬ ϭϮ͘ϰϮй ϭϳϭϭ͘ϬϲϮ ϱϳ͘Ϭϯϱ ϭϭϭ͘ϲϱϭ
ϭϭ ϭϱй ϮϬϬϰ͘ϴϳϭ ϲϲ͘ϴϮϵ ϭϳϴ͘ϰϴϬ
ϭϮ ϭϱ͘ϯϯй ϮϭϭϮ͘Ϭϯϲ ϳϬ͘ϰϬϭ Ϯϰϴ͘ϴϴϭ
ϭϯϳϳϳ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϰ͘ϱϰй ϮϬϬϮ͘ϲϭϱ ϲϲ͘ϳϱϰ ϯϭϱ͘ϲϯϱ
ϭϰ ϭϯ͘Ϭϳй ϭϴϬϭ͘ϯϬϳ ϲϬ͘Ϭϰϰ ϯϳϱ͘ϲϳϴ
ϭϱ ϭϬ͘ϱϭй ϭϰϰϴ͘ϮϮϰ ϰϴ͘Ϯϳϰ ϰϮϯ͘ϵϱϮ
ϭϲ ϲ͘ϳϵй ϵϯϱ͘Ϭϱϵ ϯϭ͘ϭϲϵ ϰϱϱ͘ϭϮϭ
ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϵϴй ϭϯϱ͘ϬϲϬ ϰ͘ϱϬϮ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮϯ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮϯ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮϯ 
Tabla 5.25 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (noviembre 2017)

 


o 'LFLHPEUH

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϬϮй ϯ͘ϭϮϲ Ϭ͘ϭϬϭ Ϭ͘ϭϬϭ
ϴ ϭ͘ϵϬй ϯϮϴ͘Ϯϯϲ ϭϬ͘ϱϴϴ ϭϬ͘ϲϴϵ
ϵ ϲ͘ϰϱй ϭϭϭϮ͘ϭϰϬ ϯϱ͘ϴϳϱ ϰϲ͘ϱϲϱ
ϭϬ ϭϭ͘ϮϬй ϭϵϯϭ͘ϭϲϳ ϲϮ͘Ϯϵϲ ϭϬϴ͘ϴϲϬ
ϭϭ ϭϰй ϮϰϰϬ͘ϴϵϴ ϳϴ͘ϳϯϵ ϭϴϳ͘ϱϵϵ
ϭϮ ϭϱ͘ϰϳй Ϯϲϲϴ͘ϳϯϮ ϴϲ͘Ϭϴϴ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϴϳ
ϭϲϱϰϱ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϲ͘ϳϬй ϮϴϴϬ͘Ϭϭϳ ϵϮ͘ϵϬϰ ϯϲϲ͘ϱϵϭ
ϭϰ ϭϰ͘ϵϮй ϮϱϳϮ͘ϱϲϬ ϴϮ͘ϵϴϲ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϳϳ
ϭϱ ϭϭ͘ϲϲй ϮϬϭϬ͘ϰϮϭ ϲϰ͘ϴϱϮ ϱϭϰ͘ϰϮϵ
ϭϲ ϲ͘ϱϴй ϭϭϯϰ͘ϬϮϯ ϯϲ͘ϱϴϭ ϱϱϭ͘ϬϭϬ
ϭϳ Ϭ͘ϵϴй ϭϲϴ͘ϴϬϳ ϱ͘ϰϰϱ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϱϲ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϱϲ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϱϲ 
Tabla 5.26 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (diciembre 2017)

o (QHUR

й;ƉĂƌƋƵĞƌ͘͘ ŶĞƌŐşĂdŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů 'ĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶ WƌŽĚƵĐŝſŶ


,ŽƌĂ
>ůĂŵĂƐͿ ƉĂƌƋƵĞ^;ŬtŚͿ ;ŬtŚͿ ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ ĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ
ϴ ϭ͘Ϯϵй Ϯϭϱ͘ϯϮϲ ϲ͘ϵϰϲ ϲ͘ϵϰϲ
ϵ ϲ͘Ϭϳй ϭϬϭϯ͘ϳϴϴ ϯϮ͘ϳϬϯ ϯϵ͘ϲϰϵ
ϭϬ ϭϬ͘ϯϳй ϭϳϯϯ͘ϱϱϯ ϱϱ͘ϵϮϭ ϵϱ͘ϱϳϬ
ϭϭ ϭϯ͘Ϭϱй Ϯϭϴϭ͘ϯϮϬ ϳϬ͘ϯϲϱ ϭϲϱ͘ϵϯϱ
ϭϮ ϭϱ͘ϰϴй Ϯϱϴϲ͘ϴϲϰ ϴϯ͘ϰϰϳ Ϯϰϵ͘ϯϴϮ
ϭϲϳϭϮ͘ϬϬ
ϭϯ ϭϲ͘ϴϳй Ϯϴϭϵ͘ϬϮϯ ϵϬ͘ϵϯϲ ϯϰϬ͘ϯϭϵ
ϭϰ ϭϰ͘ϴϳй Ϯϰϴϱ͘ϱϴϯ ϴϬ͘ϭϴϬ ϰϮϬ͘ϰϵϵ
ϭϱ ϭϭ͘Ϯϳй ϭϴϴϰ͘ϮϭϮ ϲϬ͘ϳϴϭ ϰϴϭ͘ϮϴϬ
ϭϲ ϴ͘ϬϬй ϭϯϯϳ͘Ϯϲϵ ϰϯ͘ϭϯϴ ϱϮϰ͘ϰϭϳ
ϭϳ Ϯ͘ϳϬй ϰϱϭ͘ϴϯϱ ϭϰ͘ϱϳϱ ϱϯϴ͘ϵϵϯ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘ϬϮй ϯ͘ϮϮϲ Ϭ͘ϭϬϰ ϱϯϵ͘Ϭϵϳ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬй Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬϬ ϱϯϵ͘Ϭϵϳ 
Tabla 5.27 Estimación de la generación por hora del parque fotovoltaico SE PIIT (enero 2018)


o $FRQWLQXDFLyQVHPXHVWUDQODVWDEODV7DEOD7DEOD\ODVILJXUDV)LJXUD
)LJXUDHQGRQGHVHPXHVWUDQHOSURPHGLRJHQHUDGRSRUKRUDGHFDGDPHV
\HOSURPHGLRGH HVWRV\HOSURPHGLRGH ODSURGXFFLyQDFXPXODGDHQ FDGD KRUD
SDUDFDGDPHV\GHORVPHVHV


,ŽƌĂͬŵĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϭϳ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϯ͘ϮϬ ϰ͘ϴϱ ϲ͘ϴϲ ϱ͘ϵϲ ϱ͘ϱϬ ϭ͘ϭϬ ϱ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϳϯ Ϭ͘ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϯ͘ϴϵ
ϴ Ϯϯ͘ϳϱ Ϯϱ͘ϵϰ Ϯϳ͘ϲϵ Ϯϵ͘ϴϯ ϯϬ͘ϮϮ Ϯϳ͘ϲϴ ϭϰ͘ϵϰ Ϯϵ͘ϳϵ Ϯϰ͘ϰϮ ϭϲ͘ϯϵ ϭϬ͘ϱϵ ϲ͘ϵϱ ϮϮ͘ϯϱ
ϵ ϳϬ͘ϵϬ ϱϲ͘ϴϲ ϱϴ͘ϳϳ ϱϱ͘ϵϯ ϱϴ͘ϯϯ ϱϲ͘ϭϳ ϰϵ͘ϰϭ ϲϬ͘ϰϲ ϰϳ͘ϴϮ ϯϳ͘ϴϯ ϯϱ͘ϴϴ ϯϮ͘ϳϬ ϱϭ͘ϳϲ
ϭϬ ϭϭϮ͘ϭϰ ϴϴ͘ϰϬ ϴϯ͘ϳϳ ϳϯ͘ϲϭ ϴϮ͘ϴϬ ϳϴ͘Ϯϴ ϴϬ͘ϴϯ ϴϯ͘Ϯϰ ϲϰ͘ϳϳ ϱϳ͘Ϭϰ ϲϮ͘ϯϬ ϱϱ͘ϵϮ ϳϲ͘ϵϯ
ϭϭ ϭϯϳ͘ϳϰ ϭϭϮ͘ϱϳ ϵϴ͘ϯϳ ϵϬ͘ϲϲ ϭϬϭ͘Ϯϯ ϵϰ͘ϴϵ ϭϬϲ͘ϭϲ ϭϬϭ͘ϭϱ ϳϲ͘ϰϵ ϲϲ͘ϴϯ ϳϴ͘ϳϰ ϳϬ͘ϯϳ ϵϰ͘ϲϬ
ϭϮ ϭϱϭ͘ϲϮ ϭϮϮ͘ϰϴ ϭϬϲ͘ϲϰ ϭϬϮ͘Ϯϳ ϭϭϬ͘ϴϰ ϭϬϴ͘ϳϯ ϭϭϵ͘ϵϭ ϭϭϬ͘ϯϰ ϴϮ͘ϳϴ ϳϬ͘ϰϬ ϴϲ͘Ϭϵ ϴϯ͘ϰϱ ϭϬϰ͘ϲϯ
ϭϯ ϭϱϵ͘ϯϭ ϭϭϴ͘ϲϮ ϵϴ͘ϲϮ ϭϬϬ͘ϵϵ ϭϬϰ͘Ϭϯ ϭϭϯ͘ϰϯ ϭϮϬ͘ϱϰ ϭϬϴ͘ϳϯ ϳϵ͘ϴϭ ϲϲ͘ϳϱ ϵϮ͘ϵϬ ϵϬ͘ϵϰ ϭϬϰ͘ϱϲ
ϭϰ ϭϰϮ͘ϭϵ ϭϬϱ͘ϱϰ ϵϬ͘ϱϮ ϵϮ͘Ϭϰ ϭϬϭ͘Ϭϱ ϭϬϰ͘ϰϮ ϭϭϱ͘ϳϵ ϵϭ͘Ϯϴ ϳϯ͘ϭϴ ϲϬ͘Ϭϰ ϴϮ͘ϵϵ ϴϬ͘ϭϴ ϵϰ͘ϵϯ
ϭϱ ϭϭϴ͘ϵϴ ϴϬ͘ϵϭ ϳϴ͘ϱϵ ϳϬ͘Ϭϳ ϴϳ͘ϰϳ ϴϰ͘ϴϭ ϵϱ͘ϲϮ ϳϱ͘ϱϬ ϱϵ͘ϮϮ ϰϴ͘Ϯϳ ϲϰ͘ϴϱ ϲϬ͘ϳϴ ϳϳ͘Ϭϵ
ϭϲ ϴϭ͘ϴϲ ϱϵ͘Ϯϱ ϱϳ͘Ϯϲ ϱϯ͘Ϯϱ ϲϲ͘ϯϬ ϲϭ͘ϯϳ ϲϵ͘ϴϮ ϰϱ͘Ϯϵ ϯϲ͘ϴϯ ϯϭ͘ϭϳ ϯϲ͘ϱϴ ϰϯ͘ϭϰ ϱϯ͘ϱϭ
ϭϳ ϯϯ͘ϵϳ Ϯϳ͘ϴϭ ϯϳ͘ϲϰ ϰϯ͘Ϯϳ ϯϵ͘ϴϰ ϰϬ͘Ϭϳ ϰϲ͘ϱϯ ϮϬ͘ϴϮ ϭϬ͘ϵϯ ϰ͘ϱϬ ϱ͘ϰϱ ϭϰ͘ϱϴ Ϯϳ͘ϭϮ
ϭϴ Ϭ͘Ϯϵ Ϯ͘ϴϱ ϴ͘ϳϬ ϭϯ͘ϭϳ ϭϰ͘Ϭϳ ϭϰ͘ϯϮ Ϯϭ͘Ϯϳ ϯ͘ϭϭ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϭϬ ϲ͘ϱϬ
ϭϵ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘Ϭϯ Ϭ͘ϮϬ Ϭ͘ϴϳ Ϭ͘ϵϮ Ϯ͘ϵϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϰϭ 
Tabla 5.28 Promedio generado por hora en el lapso de los 12 meses

,ŽƌĂͬŵĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϭϳ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϯ͘ϮϬ ϱ͘Ϭϳ ϳ͘ϱϮ ϲ͘ϳϯ ϱ͘ϵϱ ϭ͘ϭϬ ϱ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϳϯ Ϭ͘ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ ϯ͘Ϭϲ
ϴ Ϯϰ͘ϱϰ Ϯϴ͘ϭϰ ϯϮ͘ϳϲ ϯϳ͘ϯϱ ϯϲ͘ϵϱ ϯϯ͘ϲϯ ϭϲ͘Ϭϰ ϯϱ͘ϬϬ Ϯϲ͘ϭϰ ϭϲ͘ϳϴ ϭϬ͘ϲϵ ϲ͘ϵϱ Ϯϱ͘ϰϭ
ϵ ϵϱ͘ϰϰ ϴϱ͘ϬϬ ϵϭ͘ϱϯ ϵϯ͘Ϯϴ ϵϱ͘Ϯϴ ϴϵ͘ϳϵ ϰϵ͘ϰϭ ϵϱ͘ϰϲ ϳϯ͘ϵϲ ϱϰ͘ϲϮ ϰϲ͘ϱϲ ϯϵ͘ϲϱ ϳϱ͘ϴϯ
ϭϬ ϮϬϳ͘ϱϳ ϭϳϯ͘ϰϬ ϭϳϱ͘ϯϭ ϭϲϲ͘ϴϵ ϭϳϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭϲϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭϯϬ͘Ϯϱ ϭϳϴ͘ϳϬ ϭϯϴ͘ϳϰ ϭϭϭ͘ϲϱ ϭϬϴ͘ϴϲ ϵϱ͘ϱϳ ϭϱϮ͘ϳϲ
ϭϭ ϯϰϱ͘ϯϭ Ϯϴϱ͘ϵϳ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϳ Ϯϱϳ͘ϱϱ Ϯϳϵ͘ϯϮ ϮϲϮ͘ϵϲ Ϯϯϲ͘ϰϭ Ϯϳϵ͘ϴϱ Ϯϭϱ͘Ϯϯ ϭϳϴ͘ϰϴ ϭϴϳ͘ϲϬ ϭϲϱ͘ϵϰ Ϯϰϳ͘ϯϲ
ϭϮ ϰϵϲ͘ϵϯ ϰϬϴ͘ϰϱ ϯϴϬ͘ϯϭ ϯϱϵ͘ϴϮ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϲ ϯϳϭ͘ϲϵ ϯϳϮ͘ϯϲ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϵ Ϯϵϴ͘Ϭϭ Ϯϰϴ͘ϴϴ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϵ Ϯϰϵ͘ϯϴ ϯϱϯ͘ϯϮ
ϭϯ ϲϱϲ͘Ϯϱ ϱϮϳ͘Ϭϳ ϰϳϴ͘ϵϯ ϰϲϬ͘ϴϭ ϰϵϰ͘ϭϵ ϰϴϱ͘ϭϮ ϰϵϮ͘ϵϬ ϰϵϴ͘ϵϮ ϯϳϳ͘ϴϮ ϯϭϱ͘ϲϯ ϯϲϲ͘ϱϵ ϯϰϬ͘ϯϮ ϰϱϳ͘ϴϴ
ϭϰ ϳϵϴ͘ϰϯ ϲϯϮ͘ϲϮ ϱϲϵ͘ϰϱ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϰ ϱϵϱ͘Ϯϰ ϱϴϵ͘ϱϰ ϲϬϴ͘ϲϵ ϱϵϬ͘ϭϵ ϰϱϬ͘ϵϵ ϯϳϱ͘ϲϴ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϴ ϰϮϬ͘ϱϬ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϭ
ϭϱ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϭ ϳϭϯ͘ϱϮ ϲϰϴ͘Ϭϰ ϲϮϮ͘ϵϮ ϲϴϮ͘ϳϭ ϲϳϰ͘ϯϱ ϳϬϰ͘ϯϭ ϲϲϱ͘ϲϵ ϱϭϬ͘Ϯϭ ϰϮϯ͘ϵϱ ϱϭϰ͘ϰϯ ϰϴϭ͘Ϯϴ ϲϮϵ͘ϵϬ
ϭϲ ϵϵϵ͘Ϯϳ ϳϳϮ͘ϳϳ ϳϬϱ͘ϯϬ ϲϳϲ͘ϭϲ ϳϰϵ͘Ϭϭ ϳϯϱ͘ϳϮ ϳϳϰ͘ϭϯ ϳϭϬ͘ϵϴ ϱϰϳ͘Ϭϱ ϰϱϱ͘ϭϮ ϱϱϭ͘Ϭϭ ϱϮϰ͘ϰϮ ϲϴϯ͘ϰϭ
ϭϳ ϭϬϯϯ͘Ϯϰ ϴϬϬ͘ϱϳ ϳϰϮ͘ϵϯ ϳϭϵ͘ϰϰ ϳϴϴ͘ϴϲ ϳϳϱ͘ϳϵ ϴϮϬ͘ϲϲ ϳϯϭ͘ϴϬ ϱϱϳ͘ϵϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϴ͘ϵϵ ϳϭϬ͘ϱϯ
ϭϴ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϯ ϳϯϮ͘ϲϭ ϴϬϮ͘ϵϯ ϳϵϬ͘ϭϭ ϴϰϭ͘ϵϯ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϵ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ 
Tabla 5.29 Promedio de la producción acumulada en el lapso de los 12 meses



Figura 5.3 Promedio generado por hora en el lapso de los 12 meses


Figura 5.4 Promedio de la producción acumulada en el lapso de los 12 meses

 


 


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VHVXPDQDOFRPSRQHQWHGHHUURU>@

0RGHORDGLWLYRSDUDORVPpWRGRV
0RGHOR GH GDWRV HQ HO FXDO ORV HIHFWRV GH IDFWRUHV LQGLYLGXDOHV VRQ GLIHUHQFLDGRV \
DJUHJDGRVGHPDQHUDFRQMXQWDSDUDPRGHODUORVGDWRV'2)>@

 


(FXDFLRQHVTXHLPSOHPHQWDHOVRIWZDUH0,1,7$%SDUDORVPpWRGRV

0RGHORPXOWLSOLFDWLYR>@

‫ ݐܮ‬ൌ ߙ ሺܻ‫ ݐ‬Ȁ ܵ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫ ݌‬ሻ ൅ ሺͳ Ȃ ߙሻ ሾ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ͳ ൅ ܶ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ͳ ሿ

ܶ‫ ݐ‬ൌ ߛሾ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ͳሿ  ൅  ሺͳȂ ߛሻܶ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ͳ

ܵ‫ ݐ‬ൌ ߜሺܻ‫ݐ‬Ȁ‫ݐܮ‬ሻ  ൅  ሺͳȂ ߜሻܵ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫݌‬

ߛො௧ ൌ  ሺ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ͳ ൅ ܶ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ͳ ሻܵ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫݌‬

0RGHORDGLWLYR>@

‫ ݐܮ‬ൌ ߙሺܻ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ܵ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫݌‬ሻ  ൅  ሺͳȂ ߙሻሾ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ͳ ൅ ܶ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ͳሿ

ܶ‫ ݐ‬ൌ ߛሾ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ͳሿ  ൅  ሺͳȂ ߛሻܶ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ͳ

ܵ‫ ݐ‬ൌ ߜሺܻ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫ݐܮ‬ሻ  ൅  ሺͳȂ ߜሻܵ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫݌‬

 ൌ ‫ݐܮ‬Ȃ ͳ ൅ ܶ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ͳ ൅ ܵ‫ݐ‬Ȃ ‫݌‬


1RWDFLyQGHODVIyUPXODV

x /WHVHOQLYHOHQHOWLHPSRWĮHVODSRQGHUDFLyQSDUDHOQLYHO
x 7WHVODWHQGHQFLDHQHOWLHPSRW
x <HVODSRQGHUDFLyQSDUDODWHQGHQFLD
x 6WHVHOFRPSRQHQWHHVWDFLRQDOHQHOWLHPSRW
x įHVODSRQGHUDFLyQSDUDHOFRPSRQHQWHHVWDFLRQDO
x SHVHOSHULRGRHVWDFLRQDO
x <WHVHOYDORUGHORVGDWRVHQHOWLHPSRW
x ɀො୲ HVHOYDORUDMXVWDGRRHOSURQyVWLFRGHXQSHULRGRDGHODQWHHQHOWLHPSRW

3UXHEDGHORVPpWRGRV

3DUDGHWHUPLQDUFXiOVHUtDHOPHMRUPpWRGRSDUDHPSOHDUHQHVWDLQYHVWLJDFLyQVHUHDOL]y
ODVLPXODFLyQGHSURQyVWLFRVFRQFDGDXQRGHORVPpWRGRVLQLFLDOPHQWHSDUDXQVRORPHV
GHO QRYLHPEUH REWHQLHQGRDVtUHVXOWDGRVGHKRUDVSXQWDSDUDHVHPHVHQHO
\HVWRVUHVXOWDGRVVHFRPSDUDURQFRQORVGDWRVGH30/HQHO0'$GHO\DSXEOLFDGRV
SRUHO&(1$&(HQVXSiJLQDZHE>@/RVGDWRVGHHQWUDGDGHVDOLGD\VHOHFFLyQGHORV
PpWRGRVVRQPRVWUDGRVHQODV7DEODV7DEODD7DEOD 


WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů
&ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϰϵ͘ϳϮ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϵϵ͘ϬϮ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϰϬ͘ϴϵ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϳϱ͘ϯϰ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϲϰ͘Ϯ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϱϬ͘Ϯϯ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϱ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϰϴ͘Ϭϭ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϮϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϯϴ͘Ϭϳ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϯϯ͘ϲϰ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϭϳ͘ϯϱ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϯϲ͘ϯϴ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϭ͘ϴϵ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϮ͘ϵϭ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϱϮ͘ϯϴ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϳ͘Ϯϳ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϮϵ͘ϬϮ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϭϳ͘Ϯϳ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϱϴ͘ϭϵ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϯ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϳϯ͘ϯϱ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϲϲ͘Ϯϴ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϯϱ͘ϲϭ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϴϰ͘ϴϮ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϴϴ͘ϲϭ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϱϮ͘ϳϭ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϮϰ͘ϴϵ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϱϭϱ͘Ϭϭ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϬϲ͘ϲϲ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϱϭ͘Ϭϲ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϱϭϱ͘Ϯϱ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϱϴ͘ϵϯ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϰϵ͘ϲ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϱϯϰ͘ϯϭ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϴϮϰ͘ϳϰ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϳϰ͘ϳϭ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϱϯϮ͘ϭϰ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϳϯ͘ϰϮ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϲϳ͘ϯ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϱϯϲ͘Ϭϯ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϴϵϮ͘ϮϮ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϴϳ͘ϲϲ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϱϯϯ͘ϱϵ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϴϬϯ͘Ϭϲ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϳϵ͘ϵϱ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϱϯϬ͘ϲϲ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϴϳ͘ϯϭ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϳϭ͘ϰϴ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϱϮϱ͘ϴϲ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϴϭϯ͘ϵϴ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϰϴ͘Ϭϵ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϱϮϳ͘Ϭϭ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϴϮϲ͘ϲϱ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϰϳ͘ϲϱ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϱϮϮ͘ϱϳ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϴϮϳ͘ϵ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϰϰ͘ϯϲ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϮϯ͘Ϭϭ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϴϬϱ͘ϭϲ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϳϯϲ͘Ϯ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϭϱ͘Ϯϲ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϴϰϮ͘ϲϯ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϮϯ͘ϵϵ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϭϭ͘ϵϱ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϴϳ͘ϴ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϳϮϬ͘ϭϲ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϭϰ͘ϵϰ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϳϮϰ͘ϴϯ
ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϲϴϲ͘Ϭϰ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϵϰ͘ϯϱ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϳϮϱ͘ϬϮ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϲϱ͘ϴϭ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϴϳ͘ϴϵ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϱϲ͘ϯϲ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϲϬ͘ϵϵ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϱϭϰ͘ϭ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϯϴϭ͘Ϯϱ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϰϰ͘ϭϲ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϳϱ͘ϲ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϲϲ͘ϲϰ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϭϯ͘Ϯ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϲϬ͘ϰϴ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϰϰ͘ϳϵ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϲ͘ϳϲ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϱϲ͘ϱϴ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϯϴ͘ϬϮ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϭ͘ϲϭ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϲϬ͘ϮϮ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϰϱ͘ϭϲ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϲϴ͘ϭϰ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϳϯ͘ϳ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϯϰϴ͘Ϭϳ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϲϭϴ͘ϲϰ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϴϵ͘ϴϰ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϯϰϲ͘ϵϯ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϴϴ͘ϴϲ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϯϱ͘ϱϭ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϯϰϵ͘ϯϵ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϰϵ͘Ϯϯ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϱϭ͘ϱϲ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϯϴϯ͘ϱϮ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϲϵ͘ϱϱ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϲϱϮ͘ϰϯ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϰϬϴ͘ϲϳ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϴϮϵ͘ϭϵ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϲϲϯ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϰϮϬ͘ϵϵ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϴϰ͘ϭϵ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϲϱϴ͘ϴϱ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϰϯϳ͘ϵϳ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϴϰϰ͘ϭϳ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϲϯϲ͘ϱϯ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϰϰϬ͘ϱϭ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϵϳ͘ϵϯ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϱϮ͘ϴϴ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϰϰϳ͘ϰϮ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϴϰϳ͘Ϯϰ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϱϮ͘ϴϲ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϰϯϵ͘ϰϳ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϴϭ͘ϯϱ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϲϯϴ͘ϲϳ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϰϰϮ͘ϱϭ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϳϰ͘Ϯϭ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϱϰϬ͘ϳϯ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϰϯϱ͘ϰϮ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϳϭ͘Ϯϭ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϱϰϱ͘Ϭϲ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϰϳϴ͘Ϭϰ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϰϬ͘Ϭϰ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϰϳ͘ϵϵ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϰϴϳ͘ϴϲ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϳϰϬ͘Ϭϲ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϰϮ͘ϲϯ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϰϴϲ͘ϳ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϭϵ͘ϯϯ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϮϴ͘ϭϳ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϴϭ͘Ϯϲ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϲϳϱ͘ϵϳ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϭϮ͘ϳϱ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϴϬ͘ϴϯ
ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϲϰϯ͘Ϯϴ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϬϳ͘Ϯϲ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϴϭ͘ϳϰ 
Tabla 6.1 Parte 1 ejemplo de los datos de entrada para la simulación de pronósticos de un mes (noviembre
del 2016).


WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů
&ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϵϱ͘ϴϲ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϲϲϴ͘ϳϳ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϱϵ͘Ϭϭ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϰϵ͘ϰϴ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϱϬϭ͘ϱϵ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϲϰ͘Ϭϱ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϮϵ͘ϵϴ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϰϲ͘ϴϱ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϰϬ͘ϲ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϮϵ͘ϯϱ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϯϳ͘Ϯϭ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϮϱ͘ϰϲ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϱ͘ϱϯ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϯϱ͘ϲϲ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϬ͘ϯϰ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϱϮ͘ϭϵ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϲϰ͘ϰϱ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϴ͘Ϯϰ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϱϰ͘ϵϰ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϵϭ͘ϭϮ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϭϬ͘ϵϵ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϳϰϮ͘ϵϱ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϳϬϱ͘ϲϲ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϲϯϱ͘ϭϳ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϭϬϱϴ͘Ϭϭ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϴϰϱ͘ϯ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϳϮϳ͘ϲϰ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϭϭϵϱ͘ϱϳ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϵϵϲ͘Ϭϯ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϴϵϰ͘Ϭϯ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϭϭϲϭ͘ϵϳ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϭϬϱϳ͘ϲϳ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϴϴϱ͘ϯ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϭϮϮϮ͘ϲϵ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϭϬϳϯ͘ϳϵ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϵϴϱ͘ϳϮ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϭϭϴϵ͘ϴϲ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϭϭϴϰ͘ϵ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϵϭϬ͘ϯϳ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϭϭϴϵ͘ϯϮ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϭϭϯϲ͘ϯϰ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϵϴϬ͘ϵϯ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϭϭϴϭ͘ϱ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϭϬϳϵ͘ϱϮ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϵϯϱ͘ϰϱ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϭϭϳϲ͘ϴϯ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϭϬϵϰ͘ϴϱ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϵϲϳ͘ϰϴ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϭϴϳ͘ϰϮ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϬϳϴ͘Ϯϭ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϵϮϲ͘ϰϮ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϭϭϴϮ͘ϳϭ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϭϭϭϱ͘ϲϭ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϵϬϮ͘ϵϭ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϭϲϴ͘Ϯϵ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϬϵϮ͘ϲϵ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϵϮϭ͘ϴϱ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϭϭϲϴ͘Ϯϯ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϭϬϴϴ͘ϳϴ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϵϬϰ͘ϯ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϭϭϳϭ͘ϵϰ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϭϭϰϱ͘ϯϮ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϳϴϵ͘ϴϱ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϭϭϯϱ͘ϵϱ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϭϬϮϳ͘Ϭϰ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϱϮ͘ϭϱ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϭϬϮϭ͘Ϯϰ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϵϵϮ͘ϲϮ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϳϯϳ͘Ϯϴ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϵϲϬ͘Ϯϲ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϴϱϴ͘ϵϱ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϳϮϯ͘ϱϮ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϮϯ͘ϳϲ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϱϯ͘ϰϯ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϲϴ͘ϰϱ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϲϭ͘ϭϯ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϭϭ͘ϳϭ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϯϵϵ͘ϲϵ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϮϯ͘ϵϱ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϵϳ͘ϯϮ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϳϵ͘ϲ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϭϯ͘ϰϱ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϴϲ͘ϵ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϳϬ͘ϰϲ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϬ͘ϲϴ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϵϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϲϱ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϮϱ͘ϰϮ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϬϰ͘ϰϵ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϳϯ͘ϴϮ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϳϲ͘ϴϴ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϰϭ͘ϲϴ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϯϵϲ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϴϴ͘ϯϮ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϭϵ͘ϲϴ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϮϬ͘ϴϮ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϴϭ͘ϵϰ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϰϬ͘Ϯϵ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϳϯ͘Ϭϵ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϲϴ͘ϰϴ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϰϳ͘ϰϭ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϭϯ͘ϭϳ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϵϬϱ͘ϵϴ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϴϯϰ͘ϯϮ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϲϰϲ͘ϭϯ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϵϭϳ͘ϲϱ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϴϰϯ͘ϰϮ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϲϰϴ͘ϲϯ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϴϲϴ͘Ϭϭ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϵϰϴ͘ϳϵ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϬϱ͘Ϭϴ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϵϬϱ͘ϯϮ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϵϭϱ͘ϭ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϲϳϲ͘ϬϮ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϵϰϰ͘ϵϮ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϭϬϬϬ͘ϵϭ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϲϵ͘ϯϱ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϵϯϴ͘ϴϰ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϵϭϭ͘ϰϲ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϵϱ͘Ϯϰ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϵϰϰ͘ϳϮ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϵϱϲ͘ϲϳ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϲϮϳ͘ϴϭ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϵϯϬ͘ϴ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϵϯϴ͘ϴϲ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϱϮϰ͘Ϯϲ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϵϰϵ͘ϰϱ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϵϱϲ͘Ϯϱ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϱϲϮ͘ϲϵ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϵϱϯ͘ϯϵ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϵϯϲ͘ϳϵ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϬϴ͘ϰϭ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϴϱϭ͘ϳϰ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϴϲϴ͘ϱϯ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϬϴ͘ϱϵ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϱϮ͘ϵϵ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϰϴ͘ϱϳ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϴϳ͘ϲϲ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϳϮϭ͘ϲϱ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϲϰϲ͘ϲϳ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϵϯ͘ϲ
ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϲϲϱ͘ϳϱ ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϴϳ͘Ϭϭ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϮϬ͘ϭϭ 
Tabla 6.2 Parte 2 ejemplo de los datos de entrada para la simulación de pronósticos de un mes (noviembre
del 2016).


WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů
&ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϯϰϵ͘ϳϵ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϯϮϵ͘ϵ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϯϴϰ͘ϰϯ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϯϮϵ͘ϳϰ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϯϯϲ͘Ϭϳ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϯϰϱ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϮϱ͘ϲϵ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϭϵ͘ϵϴ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϯϰ͘ϯ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϮϲ͘ϰϲ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϮϲ͘ϴϲ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϭϲ͘ϱϴ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϭϵ͘ϴϴ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϮϲ͘ϲϮ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϭϯ͘ϯϵ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϯϰ͘Ϭϱ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϯϴ͘ϯϯ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϯϭϭ͘Ϭϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϯϴϬ͘ϱϯ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϯϴϯ͘ϱ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϯϭϰ͘ϭϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϭϰ͘ϮϮ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϯϵϴ͘ϳϴ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϯϮϯ͘ϳϱ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϲϰ͘Ϯϰ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϯϵ͘ϱϵ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϯϯϮ͘ϱϴ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϱϳϮ͘ϲϲ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϱϳϬ͘ϰϯ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϯϮϯ͘ϲϮ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϲϭϲ͘ϳϳ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϲϰϭ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϯϰϮ͘ϬϮ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϲϮϮ͘Ϯϰ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϲϲϴ͘Ϭϲ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϯϱϭ͘ϭϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϲϮϭ͘ϮϮ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϲϴϳ͘ϲϵ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϯϲϵ͘ϴϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϲϰϲ͘Ϭϯ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϲϴϱ͘ϳϳ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϯϲϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϰϱ͘Ϭϲ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϲϳ͘ϯϵ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϯϲϬ͘ϱϯ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϲϮ͘ϯϵ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϳϵ͘ϰϴ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϯϯϰ͘ϳϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϲϱϳ͘ϰϯ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϭϲ͘ϳϭ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϯϴϮ͘ϯ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϲϰϳ͘ϳϲ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϬϮ͘ϰϵ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϰϰϴ͘ϰϴ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϲϳϮ͘ϳϵ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϭϬ͘ϱϰ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϰϳϲ͘Ϭϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϭϳ͘Ϭϲ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϬϵ͘ϵϭ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϰϴϭ͘ϴϭ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϲϯϯ͘ϳϲ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϲϳϲ͘ϯϳ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϰϵ͘Ϭϵ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϴϯ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϱϰ͘ϱϭ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϬϭ͘Ϯϱ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϰϭ͘ϱϭ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϯϰϭ͘Ϭϳ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϯϰ͘ϳϱ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϭϯ͘ϭϲ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϳϳ͘Ϯϴ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϱϭ͘ϵϵ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϲϲ͘ϯ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϰϮ͘ϵϴ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϭϰ͘ϲϲ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϰϱ͘ϱϱ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϯϮ͘ϭϮ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϬϭ͘ϴϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϬϵ͘ϳϱ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϮϬ͘ϰϲ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϵϳ͘ϴ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϵϵ͘Ϯϱ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϬ͘Ϯϵ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϵϳ͘ϵϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϵϵ͘ϰ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϯ͘ϳϯ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϭϰ͘ϱϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϵ͘ϱϯ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϱϱ͘Ϭϴ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϲϭ͘ϭϱ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϲϵ͘ϱϳ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϱϰ͘ϴϮ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϬϱ͘ϰϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϯϲ͘ϳϵ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϮϳ͘ϭϵ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϱϵϭ͘ϰ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϯϭ͘ϰϮ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϳϬ͘Ϭϯ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϳϯ͘ϰϲ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϮϭ͘ϳϭ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϲϲϴ͘ϵϱ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϮϮ͘ϴϭ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϳϬ͘ϴϴ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϲϳϬ͘ϰϯ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϮϵ͘ϵ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϵϰ͘Ϯϭ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϲϲϲ͘ϰϳ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϭϵ͘Ϯϯ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϲϭ͘ϯ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϲϲϵ͘ϵϮ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϭϮ͘Ϯϱ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϵϰ͘ϲϲ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϴϱ͘ϭ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϮϳ͘Ϯϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϴϯ͘ϳϱ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϵϯ͘ϰϵ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϭϭ͘ϰϵ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϴϬ͘ϭϳ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϲϳϮ͘ϲϲ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϮϱ͘ϵϲ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϲϮ͘Ϯϯ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϲϳϯ͘ϮϮ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϮϳ͘ϰϴ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϴϱ͘ϳϴ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϲϲϰ͘ϳϮ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϮϭ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϱϵ͘ϯϳ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϭϭ͘ϮϮ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϰϱ͘Ϭϯ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϰϮ͘ϯϯ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϰϵϴ͘ϵϰ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϭϯ͘ϰϭ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϲϴϰ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϮϳ͘ϴϵ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϬϴ͘ϯϯ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϰϭ͘ϰϭ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϬϮ͘ϲϴ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϬϱ͘ϱϭ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϭϭ͘ϱϲ
ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϮϳ͘ϴϴ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϭϭ͘Ϭϲ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϳϵ͘ϳϴ 
Tabla 6.3 Parte 3 ejemplo de los datos de entrada para la simulación de pronósticos de un mes (noviembre
del 2016).


WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů
&ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϳϲ͘ϭϮ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϬϰ͘ϭϯ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϯϵ͘ϱϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϰϮ͘ϴϰ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϯϴϲ͘ϯϮ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϬϴ͘ϮϮ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϮϳ͘ϵϲ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϯϴϳ͘Ϭϵ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϬϮ͘ϴϱ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϬϲ͘ϭϴ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϳϳ͘ϳϵ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϬϭ͘ϴϯ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϵϯ͘ϳϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϯϲϳ͘ϲϮ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϭ͘ϳϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϬϲ͘ϯϴ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϲϮ͘ϭϮ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϬϬ͘ϳϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϮϵ͘ϵϯ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϯϰϭ͘ϲϴ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϬϴ͘ϲϰ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϯϴ͘ϲ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϯϲϳ͘ϰϰ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϭϵ͘ϳϯ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϴϭ͘ϲϵ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϯϴϱ͘ϭϲ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϰϴ͘ϯϰ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϲϰ͘ϭϯ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϰϬϴ͘ϰϲ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϰϲϲ͘ϴϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϬϭ͘ϯϯ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϰϭϳ͘ϲϴ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϰϵϬ͘ϰϮ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϬϱ͘ϵϲ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϰϭϵ͘ϲϴ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϱϯϲ͘Ϯϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϬϴ͘ϰϴ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϰϮϭ͘Ϭϯ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϱϱϵ͘ϱϯ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϬϱ͘ϯϰ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϰϮϬ͘ϰϯ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϱϴϱ͘ϱϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϴϱ͘ϯϰ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϰϮϬ͘ϴ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϱϳϵ͘Ϯ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϯϭ͘Ϯϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϰϮϰ͘ϲϵ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϱϱϰ͘ϰϮ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϲϬϭ͘ϭϵ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϰϮϲ͘ϳϳ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϱϯϵ͘ϰϵ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϲϰϴ͘ϯϵ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϰϰϰ͘Ϭϱ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϱϱϬ͘ϵϵ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϲϵϳ͘ϰϮ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϱϳϴ͘ϳϮ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϯϵ͘ϯϳ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϲϴϰ͘ϰϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϵϬ͘ϯϴ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϴϯϵ͘ϴϭ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϲϲϯ͘ϴϵ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϵϮ͘ϰϰ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϴϰϲ͘ϱϰ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϲϰϭ͘Ϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϲϱ͘ϳϰ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϴϯ͘Ϭϵ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϬϭ͘ϭ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϬϴ͘ϵϲ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϲϰϬ͘ϱ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϰϭ͘Ϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϰϬ͘ϵϰ ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϵϳ͘ϱϲ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϱϭ͘ϱϴ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϭϮ͘ϰϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϵϱ͘ϲϲ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϮϭ͘Ϯϯ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϲϯ͘Ϯϭ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϱϴ͘Ϭϭ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϭϮ͘ϵϵ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϰϴ͘ϭϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϯϲ͘Ϭϵ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϯϵϱ͘ϲϲ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϰϭ͘ϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϯϰ͘ϰϭ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϴ͘ϱϱ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϰϵ͘Ϯϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϵ͘ϳϱ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϭϯ͘ϯϵ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϳϬ͘ϴ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϱϴ͘ϭϱ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϰϲ͘ϯϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϭϳ͘ϵ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϬϰ͘ϯϮ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϵϬ͘ϱϱ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϱϰ͘ϴϵ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϰϱ͘ϵϭ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϱϲϬ͘ϳϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϱϳ͘ϵϰ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϲϯ͘ϲϵ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϵϴ͘Ϯϭ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϭϱ͘ϭϰ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϮϵ͘Ϯ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϮϯ͘ϯϴ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϮϭ͘ϱϱ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϮϳ͘ϭϭ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϭϳ͘ϭϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϯϰ͘Ϯϭ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϱϴ͘Ϯϳ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϰϴ͘ϯϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϰϰ͘ϭϲ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϲϬ͘ϳϰ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϯϴ͘ϴϵ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϲϬ͘ϱϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϱϰ͘ϲϰ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϭϵ͘ϵϱ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϲϴ͘ϱϱ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϳϳϮ͘ϵϳ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϮϰ͘ϯϱ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϯϲ͘ϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϲϯ͘Ϯϭ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϮϲ͘ϱϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϲϭ͘ϳ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϲϱ͘ϵϱ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϮϴ͘ϱϮ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϴϬϵ͘Ϯϰ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϱϵ͘ϳϳ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϮϳ͘ϯϵ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϰϰ͘ϭ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϱϮ͘ϰϵ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϭϵ͘ϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϲϮ͘Ϭϳ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϯϴ͘Ϯϯ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϲϴϱ͘Ϯϰ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϳϭϴ͘ϱϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϳϯϲ͘Ϯϲ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϲϯϬ͘Ϭϴ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϳϭϮ͘ϭϯ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϲϲϴ͘ϱϰ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϱϵ͘ϴϰ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϲϱϯ͘ϭϲ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϵϱ͘ϲϴ
ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϬϰ͘Ϯϯ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϱϱ͘ϭϲ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϮϱ͘ϲϰ

Tabla 6.4 Parte 4 ejemplo de los datos de entrada para la simulación de pronósticos de un mes (noviembre
del 2016).


WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů WƌĞĐŝŽŵĂƌŐŝŶĂůůŽĐĂů
&ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ &ĞĐŚĂ ,ŽƌĂ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϲϳ͘Ϭϯ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϵϭ͘ϭ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϯϬ͘ϳϯ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϮϵ͘ϲϰ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϲϲ͘ϰϭ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϭϲ͘ϱϵ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϮϯ͘ϲϱ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϯϮ͘ϰϮ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϭϮ͘ϱ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϮϰ͘ϯϴ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϯϲ͘ϰϭ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϭϬ͘ϴϲ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϯ͘Ϯϭ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϯϳ͘ϴϴ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϴ͘Ϯϭ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϳ͘ϳϵ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϯϳ͘ϰϲ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϬϲ͘Ϯϵ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϳϰ͘ϱ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϯϴ͘ϳϲ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϬϴ͘Ϯϲ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϭϰ͘ϯϴ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϳϳ͘ϲϴ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϬϲ͘Ϯϱ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϯϳ͘ϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϱϭϳ͘ϰϴ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϭϭ͘ϰϴ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϱϲ͘ϲϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϲϯϯ͘ϰϭ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϰϯϯ͘Ϯϯ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϳϬϳ͘ϬϮ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϲϰϵ͘ϴϯ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϰϰϬ͘ϯϱ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϳϭϱ͘Ϯϭ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϲϰϴ͘ϯϱ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϰϰϭ͘ϯϮ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϳϬϰ͘ϱϴ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϲϰϮ͘ϳϭ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϰϯϱ͘ϴϯ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϳϬϳ͘ϰϰ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϲϯϵ͘Ϯϴ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϰϰϭ͘Ϭϵ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϵϲ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϰϯ͘ϳ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϰϰϭ͘ϲϭ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϳϬϰ͘ϱϵ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϮϮ͘ϵϭ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϰϯϴ͘Ϯϵ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϳϭϮ͘Ϯϴ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϱϱϰ͘Ϯϲ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϰϯϴ͘Ϭϴ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϲϴϳ͘ϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϱϳϲ͘ϭϲ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϰϯϴ͘ϵϴ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϲϲϵ͘ϯϮ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϲϯϵ͘ϱϰ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϰϵϵ͘ϴϰ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϲϲϭ͘ϰϮ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϲϭϬ͘ϳϲ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϭϰ͘ϰϮ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϲϳϯ͘ϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϭϬ͘ϭϲ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϰϴϳ͘ϵϴ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϲϱ͘ϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϰϱ͘ϯϴ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϰϴϵ͘ϵϭ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϭϬ͘ϳϮ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϭϰ͘ϳϰ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϰϲϲ͘ϯϲ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϵϯ͘ϱϯ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϳϲ͘ϰϮ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϰϯ͘ϭϵ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϯϳ͘Ϭϴ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϰϱϳ͘ϲϵ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭ ϱϬϯ͘ϰϱ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϮϭ͘ϱϲ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϱϰ͘ϳϯ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯ ϰϵϱ͘ϳϯ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϮϯ͘ϲϲ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϱϱ͘ϴϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϯ ϰϱϱ͘ϱϵ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϮϮ͘Ϯϳ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϰϴ͘ϲϯ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϰ ϰϮϰ͘ϬϮ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϮϱ͘Ϭϵ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϰϴ͘Ϭϴ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϱ ϰϬϮ͘ϯϯ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϱϯ͘ϰϳ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϰϱϵ͘ϵϲ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϲ ϯϭϱ͘ϯϯ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϱϭϱ͘ϲϴ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϲϭ͘ϴϯ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϳ ϰϱϰ͘ϱϰ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϲϮϯ͘ϯϱ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϰϲϲ͘ϱϮ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϴ ϱϭϵ͘ϱϱ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϲϱϱ͘ϴϳ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ ϰϵϮ͘ϭϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϵ Ϯϰϳ͘ϲϭ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϳϴϭ͘Ϭϴ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϱϱϱ͘ϲϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϬ ϱϯϬ͘ϴϮ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϴϳϯ͘ϴ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϴϬϬ͘ϲϴ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϭ ϱϰϯ͘ϰ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϭϬϵϴ͘ϭϰ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϵϱϱ͘ϬϮ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϮ ϱϰϬ͘ϭϵ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϭϭϮϱ͘ϰϮ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϵϱϰ͘Ϯϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϯ ϱϯϳ͘ϳϮ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϭϭϬϱ͘ϯ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϵϴϭ͘ϰϭ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϰ ϱϲϰ͘ϵϱ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϭϭϰϮ͘ϳϮ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϵϴϭ͘ϱϵ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϱ ϲϯϭ͘Ϭϭ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϭϭϯϳ͘ϯϲ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϵϴϬ͘ϴ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϲ ϲϭϴ͘ϳϮ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϭϭϬ͘Ϭϴ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϴϬϴ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϳ ϱϲϵ͘ϱϲ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϭϬϵϳ͘ϲϲ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϳϱϯ͘ϲϰ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϴ ϱϯϴ͘ϲϱ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϬϰϬ͘ϱϭ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϳϮϱ͘ϯϱ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϭϵ ϱϯϲ͘ϵϴ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϳϯϴ͘ϰϰ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϱϬ͘ϲ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϬ ϱϯϴ͘ϰϰ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϳϭϵ͘Ϯϭ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϰϬ͘ϳϮ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϭ ϱϰϳ͘ϳ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϴϬ͘ϵϭ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϮϵ͘ϵϲ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ ϮϮ ϱϰϰ͘Ϭϰ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϵϳ͘Ϯϯ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϬϴ͘ϵϵ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϯ ϱϭϴ͘ϱϱ
ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϱϱ͘Ϭϴ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϰϳϱ͘ϲϱ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϲ Ϯϰ ϱϬϭ͘ϴϭ

Tabla 6.5 Parte 5 ejemplo de los datos de entrada para la simulación de pronósticos de un mes (noviembre
del 2016).

 


o 'DWRVGHVDOLGD
/DVVLPXODFLRQHVHQHOVRIWZDUH0LQLWDEDUURMDQXQFRQMXQWRGHUHVXOWDGRVHQIRUPDGHGRV
WDEODVFRQUHIHUHQFLDVQXPpULFDVOODPDGDV³tQGLFH´ 7DEODODFXDOPXHVWUDORVtQGLFHV
HVWDFLRQDOHVSURPHGLRSDUDFDGDKRUDGHOGtDGHOSHULRGRFRPSOHWRTXHVHHVWiDQDOL]DGR
HQHVWHFDVRGHXQPHV DPDQHUDGHUHVXPHQ\ODVHJXQGDHVXQDFRPR HVWDPLVPD
SHURFRPSOHWDHVGHFLUPXHVWUDORVtQGLFHVGHFDGDXQDGHODVKRUDV\SDUDFDGDXQRGH
ORVGtDVSURQRVWLFDGRV


Tabla 6.6 Índices estacionales promedio por mes

5HVSHFWRDODWDEODDQWHULRUHOtQGLFHHVXQDUHIHUHQFLDQXPpULFDTXHLQGLFDFXiOHVVHUtDQ
ODVKRUDVFRQPD\RUSUREDELOLGDGGHTXHVHDQKRUDVSXQWD\FXiOHVQRDPD\RUtQGLFHKD\
PD\RUSUREDELOLGDG\YLFHYHUVDDPHQRUtQGLFHKD\PHQRU(QHOHMHPSORGHOD7DEOD
ODVKRUDVSXQWDVHUtDQODV\

'HQWURGHORVUHVXOWDGRVTXHDUURMDQODVVLPXODFLRQHVHQ0LQLWDEWDPELpQVHHQFXHQWUDQ
GRVJUiILFRVHOSULPHURPRVWUDGRHQOD)LJXUDDUURMDXQFRQMXQWRGHFXDWURJUiILFDV
TXHLQGLFDQORVUDVJRVGHFRPSRUWDPLHQWRTXHVHWXYRHQFDGDXQDGHODVKRUDVGHORV
GtDV\HOVHJXQGR )LJXUD PXHVWUDHOFRPSRUWDPLHQWRGHORVGDWRVGHHQWUDGD\VDOLGD
\ORVGDWRVFDUDFWHUtVWLFRVGHHVWRV


$QiOLVLVHVWDFLRQDOSDUD30/
0RGHORPXOWLSOLFDWLYR
ÌQGLFHVHVWDFLRQDOHV 'DWRVFRQWHQGHQFLDLQYHUWLGDSRUHVWDFLyQ










                                               
 

9DULDFLyQSRUFHQWXDOSRUHVWDFLyQ 5HVLGXRVSRUHVWDFLyQ






 
                                                 
         


Figura 6.2 Gráficas en base a Análisis estacional

(QGRQGH>@

ËQGLFHVHVWDFLRQDOHV/RVtQGLFHVHVWDFLRQDOHVVRQORVHIHFWRVHVWDFLRQDOHVHQHOWLHPSR
W6HXWLOL]DODJUiILFDSDUDGHWHUPLQDUODGLUHFFLyQGHOHIHFWRHVWDFLRQDO

'DWRVFRQWHQGHQFLDLQYHUWLGD/RVYDORUHVFRQWHQGHQFLDLQYHUWLGDVRQORVGDWRVDORV
TXHVHOHVKDHOLPLQDGRHOFRPSRQHQWHGHWHQGHQFLD/RVYDORUHVFRQWHQGHQFLDLQYHUWLGD
VRQRELHQODVGLIHUHQFLDVHQWUHORVYDORUHVREVHUYDGRV\ORVYDORUHVREVHUYDGRVGLYLGLGRV
HQWUHORVYDORUHVGHWHQGHQFLD6LODVJUiILFDVGHORVGDWRVFRQWHQGHQFLDLQYHUWLGDGLILHUHQ
GHORVGDWRVRULJLQDOHVVHSXHGHFRQFOXLUTXHH[LVWHXQFRPSRQHQWHGHWHQGHQFLDHQORV
GDWRV

9DULDFLyQSRUFHQWXDOSRUHVWDFLyQ/DJUiILFDPXHVWUDHOSRUFHQWDMHGHYDULDFLyQGH
FDGDXQDGHODVKRUDVUHVSHFWRDODVPLVPDVKRUDVGHWRGRHOPHV6HXWLOL]DHVWDJUiILFD
SDUDFXDQWLILFDUODYDULDFLyQGHFDGDGHFDGDKRUDHQODORQJLWXGHVWDFLRQDODQDOL]DGD XQ
PHV 

5HVLGXRVSRUHVWDFLyQ/RVUHVLGXRVVRQODVGLIHUHQFLDVHQWUHORVYDORUHVREVHUYDGRV\
ORVSURQRVWLFDGRV6HXWLOL]DHVWDJUiILFDSDUDGHWHUPLQDUVLH[LVWHXQHIHFWRHVWDFLRQDOHQ
ORVUHVLGXRV






Figura 6.3 Gráfico con los datos característicos en base a método promedio móvil

(VWDVHJXQGDJUiILFDHVPiVLPSRUWDQWHTXHODSULPHUD\HVODTXHVHWRPDUiHQFXHQWD
SDUD GHVFDUWDU R VHOHFFLRQDU PpWRGRV \D TXH PXHVWUD HO ³0$3(´ /DV YDULDEOHV H
LQGLFDGRUHVPRVWUDGRVHQHVWDJUiILFDVHGHVFULEHQHQOD7DEOD

9DULDEOH,QGLFDGRUHV 'HILQLFLyQ
5HSUHVHQWD ORV GDWRV GH HQWUDGD TXH VH
 LQJUHVDURQ SDUD OD VLPXODFLyQ GH ORV
SURQyVWLFRV
5HSUHVHQWDHOFRPSRUWDPLHQWRDMXVWDGRGH

ORVGDWRV
5HSUHVHQWDORVSURQyVWLFRVDUURMDGRV

6RQORVLQWHUYDORVGHSUHGLFFLyQHOFXiOHV
 XQ UDQJR HQ GyQGH HV SUREDEOH TXH
FRQWHQJDXQDUHVSXHVWDIXWXUD
0$3( (V HO YDORU GHO HUURU SRUFHQWXDO DEVROXWR
PHGLR TXH H[SUHVD OD H[DFWLWXG FRPR XQ
SRUFHQWDMHGHHUURUHVGHFLUHOSRUFHQWDMH
GHOWLHPSRHVWLPDGRTXHVHHVWDUtDHUUDQGR
DO LPSOHPHQWDU GLFKR PpWRGR SDUD
GHWHUPLQDUODVKRUDVSXQWDHQXQSHULRGR[
GHGtDV


0$' (VODGHVYLDFLyQDEVROXWDGHODPHGLDHVWD
YDULDEOH H[SUHVD OD PHGLGD GH TXH WDQ
GLVSHUVRVHVWiQORVGDWRVFRQUHVSHFWRDOD
PHGLD
06' (VODGHVYLDFLyQFXDGUiWLFDPHGLDPLGHOD
H[DFWLWXG GH ORV YDORUHV DMXVWDGRV GH ODV
VHULHV GH WLHPSR HQ RWUDV SDODEUDV HV HO
YDORU0$'HOHYDGRDOFXDGUDGR
Tabla 6.7 Definición de variables en gráfico de pronósticos

6HOHFFLyQGHPpWRGRGHSURQyVWLFRVDHPSOHDU
3ULPHUD)DVH

3DUDODSULPHUDIDVHGHVHOHFFLyQGHPpWRGRVVHUHDOL]yODVLPXODFLyQGHSURQyVWLFRVFRQ
FDGD XQR GH ORV PpWRGRV PRVWUDGRV HQ OD )LJXUD  \ EDVDGR HQ OD JUiILFD GH
FRPSRUWDPLHQWR JHQHUDO TXH PXHVWUD HO 0$3( )LJXUD   VH VHOHFFLRQDURQ ORV TXH
PRVWUDEDQXQDPHMRUSUHFLVLyQ PHQRU0$3( \VHGHVFDUWDURQFRQORVSUHVHQWDURQXQD
SUHFLVLyQPHQRU PD\RU0$3( 

(O JUiILFR PRVWUDGR FRPR HMHPSOR HQ OD )LJXUD  FRUUHVSRQGH D OD VLPXODFLyQ FRQ HO
PpWRGREDVDGRHQSURPHGLRPyYLOFyPRVHSXHGHDSUHFLDUODYDULDEOHTXHUHSUHVHQWDD
ORV SURQyVWLFRV OtQHD SXQWHDGD YHUGH FRQ URPER LQFUXVWDGR  VROR PXHVWUD XQ
FRPSRUWDPLHQWR OLQHDO GHELGR D OR TXH VH GHVFULELy HQ HO IUDJPHQWR  HVWH HV XQ
PpWRGRVHQFLOOR\VRORVLUYHSDUDSUHGHFLUXQVyORGDWRDODYH]SDUDWRGRVORVGHPiVGDWRV
TXHVHGHVHDQSUHGHFLUVRORFRSLDHOYDORUGHOSULPHUR\ORUHSUHVHQWDFRQHOPLVPRYDORU
SDUDWRGRVORVUHVWDQWHV3DUDWHQHUYDORUHVGLIHUHQWHVVHGHEHUtDGHDFWXDOL]DUODEDVHGH
GDWRV FRQ HO SULPHU GDWR SURQRVWLFDGR DOPDFHQDU \ YROYHU D VLPXODU SDUD REWHQHU XQ
VHJXQGRGDWR\DVtVXFHVLYDPHQWHKDVWDWHQHUHOQ~PHURGHGDWRVGHVHDGRVDSUHGHFLUOR
TXHUHVXOWDUtDHQXQDSUiFWLFDPX\WDUGDGDHLQDGHFXDGDSDUDODFDQWLGDGGHGDWRVTXHVH
GHVHDEDQSURQRVWLFDUHQHVWDLQYHVWLJDFLyQSRUORWDQWRVHGHVFDUWyHVWHWLSRGHSURQyVWLFR
\VHSURFHGLyDDSOLFDUORVEDVDGRVHQVHULHVGHWLHPSR

$H[FHSFLyQGHHVWHPpWRGRWRGRVORVGHPiVSUHVHQWDURQXQFRPSRUWDPLHQWRQRUPDOHQ
ORV GDWRV GH VDOLGD GH ORV SURQyVWLFRV HV GHFLU DUURMDURQ SUHGLFFLRQHV FRQ YDORUHV
FDUDFWHUtVWLFRVSDUDFDGDXQDGHODVKRUDVGHOGtDSDUDWRGRHOKRUL]RQWHGHVHDGR ODSVR
GHWLHPSRDSURQRVWLFDU VLQSUREOHPDVDVtTXHVHUHDOL]yODVLPXODFLyQFRQFDGDXQRGH
ORV PpWRGRV UHVWDQWHV \ VH FRPSDUy GLUHFWDPHQWH OD YDULDEOH 0$3( UHVXOWDQWH SDUD
VHOHFFLRQDUORVGRVPpWRGRVFRQPHMRUSHUILOSDUDGHWHUPLQDUODVKRUDVSXQWDGHVHDGDV

(QOD)LJXUD\)LJXUDVHPXHVWUDQORVJUiILFRVGHORVGRVPpWRGRVVHOHFFLRQDGRV
FRQXQ0$3(GH\UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH



Figura 6.4 Método basado en Análisis por descomposición con tipo de modelo multiplicativo con tendencia
estacional.


Figura 6.5 Gráfico de Método Winters con modelo multiplicativo.


/RV PpWRGRV PRVWUDGRV HQ ORV GRV JUiILFRV DQWHULRUHV SUHVHQWDURQ ORV PHMRUHV 0$3(
FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D  ³0pWRGR EDVDGR HQ $QiOLVLV SRU GHVFRPSRVLFLyQ FRQ WLSR GH
PRGHOR PXOWLSOLFDWLYR FRQ WHQGHQFLD HVWDFLRQDO´ \  ³0pWRGR :LQWHUV FRQ PRGHOR
PXOWLSOLFDWLYR´$VtTXHVHSURFHGLyDODVHJXQGDIDVHGHVHOHFFLyQ~QLFDPHQWHFRQHVWRV
GRVPpWRGRV

6HJXQGDIDVH

3DUD OD VHJXQGD IDVH GH SUXHED GH PpWRGRV VH GHFLGLy SURQRVWLFDU XQ WRWDO GH  KRUDV
SXQWDVSRUGtDSDUDWHQHUXQDYDVWDSREODFLyQRFDQWLGDGDPSOLDGHUHVXOWDGRVSDUDHOWRWDO
GHOPHV\DVtSRGHUVHOHFFLRQDUFRQPD\RUSUHFLVLyQFXiOGHORVGRVPpWRGRVHQFXHVWLyQ
VHUtDHOPHMRUSDUDHOREMHWLYRGHVHDGR

6H UHDOL]y OD VLPXODFLyQ SDUD  PHVHV GH GLIHUHQWH HVWDFLyQ HVWR SDUD FRUURERUDU TXH
GXUDQWHXQPHVQRIXHUDXQPpWRGRPHMRUTXHHORWURSRUVLPSOHD]DU

(Q ODV 7DEOD  D 7DEOD  VH PXHVWUD XQD FRPSDUDWLYD HQWUH ORV GRV PpWRGRV
VHOHFFLRQDGRVHQODIDVHFRQODVKRUDVSURQRVWLFDGDVFRQFDGDXQR\VHLQFOX\HHOSUHFLR
GHFDGDXQDGHODVKRUDV7DPELpQVHPXHVWUDHQXQDILODODVKRUDVSXQWDUHDOHVGHO30/
HQHO0'$GHOSXEOLFDGDVSRUHO&(1$&(FRQVXVUHVSHFWLYRVSUHFLRV

/DVKRUDVTXHHVWiQUHVDOWDGDVHQFRORUYHUGHHQODVILODVGHORVPpWRGRVVRQODVKRUDV
SXQWDVDFHUWDGDVHQFRUUHODFLyQFRQODVKRUDVSXQWDGHODILOD³+30'$5´


ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϵϵ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϬϮ ϭϯϲϳ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϰϮϵ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕Ϭϱϲ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϭϮϯ͘ϬϬ ϭ͕Ϭϱϳ͘ϳϰ ϴϬϵ͘ϳϲ
DtDD ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ Ϯϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϴ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϬϮ ϭϯϲϬ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϰϮϵ͘ϲϵ ϵϯϭ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕Ϭϱϲ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϭϮϯ͘ϬϬ ϴϮϰ͘Ϭϲ ϭ͕Ϭϵϯ͘ϮϬ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϯϲ͘ϵϵ ϭ͕ϰϮϵ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϱϳϭ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϰϭϳ͘ϵϮ ϭ͕ϬϵϮ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϭϮϯ͘ϬϬ ϭ͕Ϭϵϴ͘ϲϯ ϭ͕Ϭϵϯ͘ϮϬ
ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϰϳ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϳϳϰ͘Ϯϰ ϭϱϲϳ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϱϵ ϵϱϱ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭϬϳϰ͘ϲϴ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϰϳ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϳϳϰ͘Ϯϰ ϭϱϰϳ͘ϵϵ ϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϭϲϮ͘ϲϬ ϭϬϳϰ͘ϲϴ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϯϲ ϭ͕ϲϰϲ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϲϰϳ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϳϳϰ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϭϲϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕ϭϲϮ͘ϲϬ ϭ͕ϭϭϵ͘ϯϲ
ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϯϯ͘ϭϱ ϳϳϳ͘ϰϰ ϳϴϯ͘ϯϮ ϳϲϮ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϴϬϮ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϬϮ ϭϳϯϲ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϱϵϬ͘ϯϰ
DtDD ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϳϳ͘ϰϰ ϳϴϯ͘ϯϮ ϳϲϮ͘ϰϴ ϳϵϭ͘ϵϲ ϭ͕ϴϬϮ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϯ ϭ͕ϱϵϬ͘ϯϰ
,WDZ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϯϯ͘ϰϮ ϴϴϬ͘Ϭϲ ϴϭϯ͘ϵϭ ϴϭϰ͘ϰϰ ϭ͕ϴϬϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕ϴϬϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϯ
ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϴ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ Ϯ͕ϲϲϴ͘ϴϳ Ϯ͕ϴϴϲ͘ϭϱ Ϯϱϰϴ͘Ϭϯ Ϯ͕ϰϵϴ͘ϬϮ ϭϰϭϱ͘ϴϰ Ϯϰϳϴ͘Ϯϯ ϮϱϰϮ͘Ϯ Ϯϱϳϭ͘ϵϰ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϰ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϲ Ϯϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ Ϯ͕ϲϲϴ͘ϴϳ Ϯ͕ϴϴϲ͘ϭϱ Ϯ͕ϲϲϴ͘ϴϳ Ϯ͕ϰϵϴ͘ϬϮ Ϯϰϵϲ͘ϲϵ Ϯ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϵϳ Ϯϰϳϴ͘Ϯϯ ϭϰϳϭ͘ϵϱ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ Ϯ͕ϳϳϳ͘ϵϯ Ϯ͕ϴϯϲ͘ϰϴ Ϯ͕ϴϴϲ͘ϭϱ Ϯ͕ϵϯϳ͘ϲϮ Ϯ͕ϱϵϯ͘ϳϯ Ϯ͕ϲϳϯ͘ϵϭ Ϯ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϵϳ Ϯ͕ϳϭϵ͘Ϭϯ
ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϲϯϮ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϲ ϵϲϳ͘ϰϴ ϭϱϴϱ͘ϳ ϭ͕ϰϵϮ͘ϳϲ ϭ͕ϰϭϲ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϰϰϱ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϯϭϮ͘ϭϱ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϮϮ ϭϰ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϲϯϮ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϲ ϵϲϳ͘ϰϴ ϭϬϴϮ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϰϵϮ͘ϳϲ ϵϴϳ͘Ϯϴ ϳϳϳ͘ϵϮ ϳϱϱ͘ϱϭ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϴϰϳ͘ϳϬ ϭ͕ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϳϭϳ͘ϳϵ ϭ͕ϲϴϲ͘ϭϱ ϭ͕ϲϬϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϱϱϬ͘ϲϯ ϭ͕ϱϯϮ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕Ϯϭϰ͘ϰϭ

Tabla 6.8 Parte 1 resultados y comparación de horas pronosticadas para noviembre 2017 con métodos
ADMMTE y MWMM.


ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϲ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϯϲ ϵϱϭ͘ϱ ϲϴϬ͘ϵϭ ϲϮϱ͘Ϯϵ ϲϮϲ ϲϮϭ͘ϴϱ ϲϮϲ͘Ϭϴ
DtDD ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϲϰ ϵϴϬ͘ϴϵ ϵϱϭ͘ϱ ϲϮϲ ϲϮϭ͘ϴϱ ϲϮϲ͘Ϭϴ ϲϮϲ͘ϳ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϵ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕Ϭϰϵ͘Ϭϰ ϲϴϬ͘Ϭϲ ϳϮϲ͘ϴϱ ϳϮϱ͘ϮϮ ϲϱϲ͘ϴϲ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϯϳ͘ϮϮ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϯϮϬ͘Ϯϲ ϴϳϬ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϱϬϮ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϰϭϯ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϯϬϭ͘ϵϱ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϯϳ͘ϮϮ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϯϮϬ͘Ϯϲ ϴϳϬ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϱϬϮ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϱϲϯ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϯϬϭ͘ϵϱ
,WDZ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϴ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϵϯ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕ϰϬϳ͘ϵϰ ϭ͕ϱϲϰ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϱϲϯ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϱϭϳ͘ϳϬ
ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϲϬϬ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϰϴϬ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕Ϭϴϵ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϮ͘ϲϮ ϭϲϭϱ͘ϯϴ ϭϲϭϵ͘Ϯϭ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϲϬϬ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕Ϭϴϵ͘ϬϮ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϳ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϮ͘ϲϮ ϭϲϰϭ͘ϭϭ ϭϲϭϵ͘Ϯϭ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϮϬ Ϯϭ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϵϳ͘ϴϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϲϬϬ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϱϳϵ͘ϴϭ ϭ͕ϵϮϯ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϰϭ ϭ͕ϵϲϬ͘ϴϴ ϭ͕ϴϰϰ͘ϳϲ
ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϬϲ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϳϴϴ͘ϭϳ ϭ͕ϴϵϬ͘ϭϰ ϭ͕ϳϳϭ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϯϴϲ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϰϬ ϭ͕ϰϬϲ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϵϭ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϴϴ͘ϭϳ ϭ͕ϵϭϬ͘ϱϴ ϭ͕ϵϲϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϳϳϭ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϰϬ ϭ͕ϰϬϲ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϰϬϯ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϵϭ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϵϵϵ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϵϭϬ͘ϱϴ ϭ͕ϵϲϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϴϵϬ͘ϭϰ ϭ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϰϬ ϭ͕ϰϬϲ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϴϲ
ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϭϭ͘ϴ ϲϴϭ͘ϰϲ ϲϵϯ͘ϲϮ ϲϳϭ͘ϰϵ ϳϭϱ͘Ϭϰ ϲϵϳ͘ϴϴ ϲϴϰ͘ϰϰ ϳϭϱ͘Ϯϭ
DtDD ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϴϭ͘ϰϲ ϲϵϯ͘ϲϮ ϲϳϭ͘ϰϵ ϲϲϲ͘ϵϴ ϳϭϱ͘Ϭϰ ϲϵϳ͘ϴϴ ϲϵϯ͘ϳϲ ϳϭϱ͘Ϯϭ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϰ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϵϯ͘ϲϮ ϳϯϴ͘ϴϵ ϳϴϳ͘ϭϱ ϳϳϱ͘ϱϵ ϳϭϱ͘Ϭϰ ϳϭϱ͘Ϯϭ ϳϳϵ͘ϰϭ ϳϲϭ͘ϵϭ
ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϯ ϭϵ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϵϰ͘ϯϭ ϭ͕ϱϱϭ͘ϭϰ ϭ͕ϰϳϴ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϱϲϳ͘ϲϰ ϳϲϵ͘ϲϯ ϴϭϭ ϳϱϰ͘ϰϱ ϳϱϯ͘ϴϮ
DtDD ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϱϭ͘ϭϰ ϭ͕ϱϲϴ͘ϵϬ ϭϰϲϳ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϱϲϳ͘ϲϰ ϳϲϵ͘ϲϯ ϴϭϭ ϳϱϮ͘ϱϳ ϳϱϯ͘ϴϮ
,WDZ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϲϴ͘ϵϬ ϭ͕ϱϳϵ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͕ϱϲϳ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϲϭϰ͘ϳϱ ϴϮϳ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϭϵϮ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϭϯϳ͘ϯϲ ϴϭϭ
ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϮ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϯϱ͘ϭϬ ϵϲϵ͘ϴϲ ϳϲϳ͘ϳϯ ϳϵϭ͘ϯ ϭ͕ϳϬϴ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕ϳϮϯ͘ϮϬ ϭϲϱϴ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϲϱϯ͘ϱϳ
DtDD ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϯϱ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϰϰϵ͘ϴϮ ϳϲϳ͘ϳϯ ϳϵϭ͘ϯ ϭ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϳϮϯ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϳϴϬ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϲϱϯ͘ϱϳ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϴϲ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϯϯϱ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϯϰϬ͘ϳϱ ϭ͕ϰϰϵ͘ϴϮ ϭ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϳϴϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͕ϳϴϬ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϳϲϲ͘Ϯϵ

Tabla 6.9 Parte 2 resultados y comparación de horas pronosticadas para noviembre 2017 con métodos
ADMMTE y MWMM.


ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϲϵ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϳϱ͘ϲϳ ϭ͕ϱϮϵ͘ϴϲ ϭϰϱϮ͘ϲϮ ϳϳϲ͘ϰϱ ϳϳϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϵϳ͘ϭϵ ϳϳϳ͘ϱϴ
DtDD ϭϯ ϭϰ Ϯϯ Ϯϰ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϳϱ͘ϲϳ ϭ͕ϱϮϵ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕Ϯϭϯ͘ϰϭ ϵϱϳ͘ϭϰ ϳϳϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϵϳ͘ϭϵ ϳϳϳ͘ϱϴ ϳϳϱ͘ϵϵ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ Ϯϯ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϲϵ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϳϱ͘ϲϳ ϭ͕ϱϮϵ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕ϰϵϲ͘ϳϮ ϴϲϰ͘ϲϲ ϴϵϳ͘ϰϴ ϴϱϭ͘ϲϱ ϴϯϯ͘Ϯϱ
ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϭϰϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϭϱϬ͘ϭϴ ϭϮϰϯ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͕ϯϵϯ͘ϴϱ ϭ͕Ϭϵϭ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭϮϭϲ͘ϰ ϭ͕ϭϴϯ͘Ϭϳ
DtDD ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϭϰϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϮϮϵ͘ϴϳ ϭ͕ϯϰϮ͘ϭϵ ϭ͕ϯϵϯ͘ϴϱ ϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͕ϯϱϭ͘ϵϳ ϭϮϯϭ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϭϴϯ͘Ϭϳ
,WDZ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϰϮ͘ϭϵ ϭ͕ϯϵϯ͘ϴϱ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϱϰ ϭ͕ϯϱϱ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͕ϮϴϬ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϯϱϭ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕Ϯϵϯ͘ϭϵ
ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϮϮ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϯϴ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϱϵϴ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϯϰϳ͘ϯϮ ϭ͕ϯϳϵ͘ϲϬ ϭ͕ϯϳϱ͘ϱϱ ϭϰϯϭ͘ϯϮ ϭ͕ϱϱϲ͘Ϭϴ
DtDD ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϮϮ ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϵϴ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϳϲϴ͘ϲϲ ϭϰϰϴ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϯϰϳ͘ϯϮ ϭ͕ϯϳϱ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϲϮϬ͘ϴϲ ϭϰϱϬ͘ϭϴ ϭ͕ϱϱϲ͘Ϭϴ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϴϰ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϴ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϲ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϳϮϴ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϰϰϯ͘ϰϮ ϭ͕ϰϱϯ͘ϴϭ ϭ͕ϲϮϬ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕ϱϱϲ͘Ϭϴ 
Tabla 6.10 Parte 3 resultados y comparación de horas pronosticadas para noviembre 2017 con métodos
ADMMTE y MWMM.

(QGRQGH

DDdсŶĄůŝƐŝƐƉŽƌĞƐĐŽŵƉŽƐŝĐŝſŶĐŽŶDŽĚĞůŽDƵůƚŝƉůŝĐĂƚŝǀŽĐŽŶdĞŶĚĞŶĐŝĂƐƚĂĐŝŽŶĂů͘

DtDDсDĠƚŽĚŽtŝŶƚĞƌƐĐŽŶDŽĚĞůŽDƵůƚŝƉůŝĐĂƚŝǀŽ͘

,WDZс,ŽƌĂƉƵŶƚĂĚĞůDĞƌĐĂĚŽĚĞşĂĞŶĚĞůĂŶƚŽZĞĂů͘

$O ILQDOGHHVWHFRPSDUDWLYRVHUHDOL]yODVXPDGH WRGRVORVSUHFLRV GHFDGD XQRGH ORV


PpWRGRV\GHOWRWDOUHDOSXEOLFDGRSRUHO&(1$&(SDUDREWHQHUHOYDORUGHOSRUFHQWDMHGH
DSURYHFKDPLHQWRGHFDGDXQRGHORVPpWRGRVYHUVXVHOWRWDOTXHVHWHQGUtDFRQFDGDXQR
GHORVPpWRGRVPRVWUDGRHQOD7DEOD1RVHVDFyHOSRUFHQWDMHGHFXDQWDVKRUDVVH
DFHUWy\GHFXDQWDVQR\DTXHDXQTXHQRVHKD\DDFHUWDGRODKRUDSXQWDKD\RFDVLRQHV
GRQGH HO SUHFLR GH OD RWUD KRUD VHOHFFLRQDGD TXHGD PX\ FHUFD DVt TXH VH FRPSDUy ORV
WRWDOHVGHFDGDPpWRGRFRQWUDHOWRWDOUHDO

йĞĂƉƌŽǀĞĐŚĂŵŝĞŶƚŽĚĞůƚŽƚĂů WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽĚĞůƉƌĞĐŝŽĚĞůĂƐ
DĠƚŽĚŽ dŽƚĂůĞƐ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ƉŽƐŝďůĞ ŚŽƌĂƐƉƌŽŶſƐƚŝĐĂĚĂƐ;ΨͬDtŚͿ

DDd ϭϱϵ͕ϯϲϵ͘ϭϵ ϵϬ͘ϳϭй ϭ͕ϯϮϴ͘Ϭϴ

DtDD ϭϱϴ͕ϲϲϲ͘Ϭϱ ϵϬ͘ϯϭй ϭ͕ϯϮϮ͘ϮϮ

dŽƚĂůZĞĂů ϭϳϱ͕ϲϵϱ͘ϰϳ ϭϬϬй ϭ͕ϰϲϰ͘ϭϯ



Tabla 6.11 Comparación de resultados entre ambos métodos (ADMTE Y MWMM)


$QDOL]DQGR PiV D GHWDOOH ORV UHVXOWDGRV PRVWUDGRV HQ OD WDEOD DQWHULRU VH REVHUYy TXH
KDEtDGtDVHQORVTXHVHREWXYRPX\EXHQRVUHVXOWDGRVLQFOXVLYHDFHUWDQGRDODVKRUDV
SXQWDGHOGtD\GtDVHQORVTXHVRORVHDFHUWyDXQDRDQLQJXQDKRUD

'HELGR D TXH HO SUHFLR GH OD HQHUJtD HOpFWULFD FRQ HO 30/ HVWi OLJDGR FRQ HO
FRQJHVWLRQDPLHQWR\SpUGLGDVTXHVHWLHQHQHQODVOtQHDVGHWUDQVPLVLyQ\GLVWULEXFLyQ\HO
FRPSRUWDPLHQWR GH ODV LQGXVWULDV HV PX\ GLIHUHQWH HQWUH VHPDQD FRQWUD ORV ILQHV GH
VHPDQDVHGHFLGLyUHDOL]DUQXHYRVSURQyVWLFRV PRVWUDGRVGHOD7DEOD7DEOD 
SDUDHOPLVPRPHVHQFXHVWLyQDQDOL]DGRDQWHULRUPHQWHSHURDKRUDFDPELDQGRORVGDWRV
GHHQWUDGD\UHDOL]DQGRSURQyVWLFRVSDUDHVWHPLVPRPHVFRQUHVSHFWRDFDGDWLSRGH
GDWRVGHHQWUDGDHVGHFLUVHSDUDQGRORVGDWRVGHHQWUDGDSRUORVGtDVGHODVHPDQDFRQ
FRPSRUWDPLHQWRVLPLODUHVWRIXH

  'DWRVGHOXQHVDMXHYHV
  'DWRVGHORVYLHUQHV
  'DWRVGHORVViEDGRV
  'DWRVGHORVGRPLQJRV

ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϱϳ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϯϵϵ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϰϮϵ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϭϬϬ͘ϱϰ ϭ͕Ϭϱϲ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϭϮϯ͘ϬϬ ϭ͕Ϭϵϯ͘ϮϬ
DtDD& ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϭ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϰϮϵ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϱϳϭ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϰϭϳ͘ϵϮ ϭ͕ϬϵϮ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕Ϭϱϳ͘ϳϰ ϭ͕Ϭϵϯ͘ϮϬ ϴϬϵ͘ϳϲ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϯϲ͘ϵϵ ϭ͕ϰϮϵ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϱϳϭ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϰϭϳ͘ϵϮ ϭ͕ϬϵϮ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϭϮϯ͘ϬϬ ϭ͕Ϭϵϴ͘ϲϯ ϭ͕Ϭϵϯ͘ϮϬ
ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϲϰϲ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϱϰϳ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϳϳϰ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕Ϭϲϲ͘ϰϰ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕Ϭϳϰ͘ϲϴ ϭ͕ϭϭϵ͘ϯϲ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ Ϯϭ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϯϲ ϭ͕ϲϰϳ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕ϲϭϮ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕Ϭϲϲ͘ϰϰ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϭϲϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕ϬϯϮ͘ϲϱ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϯϲ ϭ͕ϲϰϲ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϲϰϳ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϳϳϰ͘Ϯϰ ϭ͕ϭϮϲ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϭϲϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕ϭϲϮ͘ϲϬ ϭ͕ϭϭϵ͘ϯϲ
ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϲϮ͘ϰϴ ϳϵϭ͘ϵϲ ϴϯϯ͘ϰϮ ϴϯϯ͘ϰϮ ϭ͕ϴϬϬ͘ϴϬ ϭ͕ϴϬϮ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϱϵϬ͘ϯϰ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϮ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϯϯ͘ϭϱ ϳϴϯ͘ϯϮ ϳϲϮ͘ϰϴ ϴϭϰ͘ϰϰ ϭ͕ϴϬϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕ϴϬϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϴϬϮ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϲϴϬ͘ϳϯ
,WDZ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ
ϴϯϯ͘ϰϮ ϴϴϬ͘Ϭϲ ϴϭϯ͘ϵϭ ϴϭϰ͘ϰϰ ϭ͕ϴϬϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕ϴϬϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϯ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ 
Tabla 6.12 Parte 1 comparación de horas pronosticadas con los mejores 2 método, con datos de entrada
filtrados

 


ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ Ϯ͕ϴϯϲ͘ϰϴ Ϯ͕ϲϲϴ͘ϴϳ Ϯ͕ϴϴϲ͘ϭϱ Ϯ͕ϲϵϭ͘Ϯϳ Ϯ͕ϱϵϯ͘ϳϯ Ϯ͕ϲϳϯ͘ϵϭ Ϯ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϵϳ Ϯ͕ϳϭϵ͘Ϭϯ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ Ϯ͕ϳϳϳ͘ϵϯ Ϯ͕ϲϰϱ͘ϳϰ Ϯ͕ϲϲϴ͘ϴϳ Ϯ͕ϰϵϴ͘ϬϮ Ϯϰϵϲ͘ϲϵ Ϯϱϯϱ͘Ϭϰ Ϯ͕ϲϳϯ͘ϵϭ Ϯϱϳϭ͘ϵϰ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ Ϯ͕ϳϳϳ͘ϵϯ Ϯ͕ϴϯϲ͘ϰϴ Ϯ͕ϴϴϲ͘ϭϱ Ϯ͕ϵϯϳ͘ϲϮ Ϯ͕ϱϵϯ͘ϳϯ Ϯ͕ϲϳϯ͘ϵϭ Ϯ͕ϳϰϴ͘ϵϳ Ϯ͕ϳϭϵ͘Ϭϯ
ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϲϭϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϲϯϮ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϳϭϳ͘ϳϵ ϭ͕ϲϵϮ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕ϰϵϮ͘ϳϲ ϭ͕ϲϲϵ͘ϱϴ ϭ͕ϴϮϰ͘ϲϭ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕Ϯϯϵ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕ϴϰϳ͘ϳϬ ϭ͕ϲϯϮ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϲϴϲ͘ϭϱ ϭ͕ϳϮϱ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϲϵϮ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϲϲϵ͘ϱϴ ϭ͕ϱϴϵ͘ϲϯ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϴϰϳ͘ϳϬ ϭ͕ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϳϭϳ͘ϳϵ ϭ͕ϲϴϲ͘ϭϱ ϭ͕ϳϮϱ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϲϵϮ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕ϲϵϮ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕ϴϮϰ͘ϲϭ
ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϯϲ ϵϱϭ͘ϱ ϭ͕Ϭϰϵ͘Ϭϰ ϲϮϲ͘Ϭϴ ϲϮϲ͘ϳ ϲϴϬ͘Ϭϲ ϳϮϲ͘ϴϱ
DtDD& ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ Ϯϭ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϲϰ ϲϴϵ͘ϯϴ ϲϮϱ͘Ϯϵ ϲϮϭ͘ϴϱ ϲϮϲ͘Ϭϴ ϲϱϲ͘ϴϲ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϵ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕Ϭϰϵ͘Ϭϰ ϲϴϬ͘Ϭϲ ϳϮϲ͘ϴϱ ϳϮϱ͘ϮϮ ϲϱϲ͘ϴϲ
ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϰϱ͘ϱϲ ϭ͕ϯϯϳ͘ϮϮ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϯϮϬ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϰϳϳ͘ϴϱ ϭ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϱϬϮ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϰϭϯ͘ϲϮ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϰϮ͘ϱϲ ϭ͕ϯϱϯ͘ϴϯ ϭ͕ϯϯϳ͘ϮϮ ϴϳϬ͘ϱϵ ϭ͕ϰϴϰ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͕ϱϲϰ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϯϬϭ͘ϵϱ
,WDZ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϴ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϰϯ ϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϵϯ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕ϰϬϳ͘ϵϰ ϭ͕ϱϲϰ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕ϱϲϯ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϱϭϳ͘ϳϬ
ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϭϵ͘ϵϬ ϭ͕ϱϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϲϬϬ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϰϴϬ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϴϬϰ͘ϲϳ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϮ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϴϬϵ͘ϰϳ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϯϰ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͕ϱϵϳ͘ϴϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕Ϭϴϵ͘ϬϮ ϭ͕ϵϮϯ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϰϭ ϭ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϱϲ ϭ͕ϵϲϬ͘ϴϴ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϮϬ Ϯϭ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϵϳ͘ϴϵ ϭ͕ϱϮϮ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϲϬϬ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϱϳϵ͘ϴϭ ϭ͕ϵϮϯ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϴϰϴ͘ϰϭ ϭ͕ϵϲϬ͘ϴϴ ϭ͕ϴϰϰ͘ϳϲ
ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϬϲ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϳϴϴ͘ϭϳ ϭ͕ϵϭϬ͘ϱϴ ϭ͕ϳϳϭ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϯϴϲ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϰϬ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϴϲ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ Ϯϭ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϴϰϵ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϳϬϲ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϵϵϵ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϳϴϴ͘ϭϳ ϭ͕ϯϴϲ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϰϬ ϭ͕ϰϬϲ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϳϵϬ͘ϴϯ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϵϵϵ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϵϭϬ͘ϱϴ ϭ͕ϵϲϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϴϵϬ͘ϭϰ ϭ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϰϬ ϭ͕ϰϬϲ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϰϯϯ͘ϴϲ 

Tabla 6.13 Parte 2 comparación de horas pronosticadas con los mejores 2 método, con datos de entrada
filtrados


ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϳϭ͘ϰϵ ϲϲϲ͘ϵϴ ϳϯϴ͘ϴϵ ϳϴϳ͘ϭϱ ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϵ ϳϭϱ͘Ϭϰ ϲϵϳ͘ϴϴ ϳϭϱ͘Ϯϭ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϮ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϭϭ͘ϴ ϲϵϯ͘ϲϮ ϲϳϭ͘ϰϵ ϲϳϭ͘ϰϵ ϲϮϭ͘ϳϴ ϲϳϴ͘Ϯϵ ϲϵϴ͘Ϯϲ ϳϭϱ͘Ϭϰ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϰ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϵϯ͘ϲϮ ϳϯϴ͘ϴϵ ϳϴϳ͘ϭϱ ϳϳϱ͘ϱϵ ϳϭϱ͘Ϭϰ ϳϭϱ͘Ϯϭ ϳϳϵ͘ϰϭ ϳϲϭ͘ϵϭ
ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϰϮ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϱϱϭ͘ϭϰ ϭ͕ϱϲϴ͘ϵϬ ϭ͕ϱϲϳ͘ϲϰ ϴϮϳ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϭϯϳ͘ϯϲ ϴϭϭ ϳϱϯ͘ϴϮ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϵϰ͘ϯϭ ϭ͕ϱϰϮ͘ϵϯ ϭ͕ϰϳϴ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϱϱϭ͘ϭϰ ϳϲϵ͘ϲϯ ϴϮϳ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϭϵϮ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϭϯϳ͘ϯϲ
,WDZ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϲϴ͘ϵϬ ϭ͕ϱϳϵ͘Ϯϯ ϭ͕ϱϲϳ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϲϭϰ͘ϳϱ ϴϮϳ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϭϵϮ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϭϯϳ͘ϯϲ ϴϭϭ
ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϯϱ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϯϰϬ͘ϳϱ ϭ͕ϰϰϵ͘ϴϮ ϳϲϳ͘ϳϯ ϭ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϳϴϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͕ϳϮϯ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϲϱϯ͘ϱϳ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϴϲ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϯϯϱ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϯϮϭ͘Ϯϴ ϭ͕ϯϰϬ͘ϳϱ ϭ͕ϳϬϴ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϲϳϭ͘ϳϳ ϭ͕ϳϴϭ͘ϭϭ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϴϲ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϯϯϱ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϯϰϬ͘ϳϱ ϭ͕ϰϰϵ͘ϴϮ ϭ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϳϴϭ͘ϭϭ ϭ͕ϳϴϬ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϳϲϲ͘Ϯϵ
ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϲϵ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϵϲ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϰϱϮ͘ϲϮ ϭ͕ϱϬϱ͘ϵϳ ϳϳϳ͘ϱϴ ϳϳϱ͘ϵϵ ϴϲϰ͘ϲϲ ϴϵϳ͘ϰϴ
DtDD& ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ Ϯϭ ϭϭ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϲϵ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϵϲ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϱϮϵ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕Ϯϵϵ͘ϲϰ ϳϳϲ͘ϰϱ ϳϵϳ͘ϭϵ ϳϳϳ͘ϱϴ ϴϯϬ͘Ϭϲ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ Ϯϯ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϰϲϵ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϰϳϱ͘ϲϳ ϭ͕ϱϮϵ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕ϰϵϲ͘ϳϮ ϴϲϰ͘ϲϲ ϴϵϳ͘ϰϴ ϴϱϭ͘ϲϱ ϴϯϯ͘Ϯϱ
ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϭϰϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϯϲϱ͘ϱϳ ϭ͕ϮϮϵ͘ϴϳ ϭ͕ϯϵϯ͘ϴϱ ϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͕ϮϴϬ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϯϱϭ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕ϭϴϯ͘Ϭϳ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϭϱϴ͘ϯϱ ϭ͕ϭϰϴ͘ϯϯ ϭ͕ϭϱϬ͘ϭϴ ϭ͕ϯϲϱ͘ϱϳ ϭ͕Ϭϵϭ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϰϭ ϭ͕ϮϴϬ͘ϳϴ
,WDZ ϭϲ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϯϰϮ͘ϭϵ ϭ͕ϯϵϯ͘ϴϱ ϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϱϰ ϭ͕ϯϱϱ͘Ϭϵ ϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘Ϯϳ ϭ͕ϮϴϬ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϯϱϭ͘ϵϳ ϭ͕Ϯϵϯ͘ϭϵ
ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ ϭϮ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϵϴ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϳϲϴ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϳϮϴ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϯϳϱ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϰϱϯ͘ϴϭ ϭ͕ϲϮϬ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕ϱϱϲ͘Ϭϴ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϯϴ͘ϯϵ ϭ͕ϱϵϴ͘ϱϭ ϭ͕ϳϴϰ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϰϭϮ͘ϵϭ ϭ͕ϯϳϵ͘ϲϬ ϭ͕ϯϳϱ͘ϱϱ ϭ͕ϰϰϯ͘ϰϮ ϭ͕ϰϱϯ͘ϴϭ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϭϵ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϳϴϰ͘Ϯϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϴ͘ϲϲ ϭ͕ϳϲϲ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϳϮϴ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕ϰϰϯ͘ϰϮ ϭ͕ϰϱϯ͘ϴϭ ϭ͕ϲϮϬ͘ϴϲ ϭ͕ϱϱϲ͘Ϭϴ 

Tabla 6.14 Parte 3 comparación de horas pronosticadas con los mejores 2 método, con datos de entrada
filtrados (noviembre 2017).

2EWHQLHQGR DKRUD ORV UHVXOWDGRV PRVWUDGRV HQ OD 7DEOD  VL VH FRPSDUDQ FRQ ORV
UHVXOWDGRVDQWHULRUHVPRVWUDGRVHQOD 7DEOD VHYHTXHKXERXQDPHMRUDHQ DPERV
PpWRGRVHTXLYDOHQWHVDHQ$'007(\HQHO0:00


йĚĞĂƌƉŽǀĞĐŚĂŵŝĞŶƚŽĚĞů WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽĚĞůƉƌĞĐŝŽĚĞůĂƐ
DĠƚŽĚŽͬŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ dŽƚĂůĞƐ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ƚŽƚĂůƉŽƐŝďůĞ ŚŽƌĂƐƉƌŽŶŽƐƚŝĐĂĚĂƐ;ΨͬDtŚͿ

DDd ϭϲϵ͕ϴϳϬ͘Ϯϯ ϵϲ͘ϭϮй ϭ͕ϰϭϱ͘ϱϵ

DtDD ϭϲϲ͕ϵϱϰ͘Ϭϰ ϵϰ͘ϰϳй ϭ͕ϯϵϭ͘Ϯϴ

dŽƚĂůZĞĂů ϭϳϲ͕ϳϮϲ͘ϭϰ ϭϬϬй ϭ͕ϰϳϮ͘ϳϮ



Tabla 6.15 Nuevos resultados obtenidos, con el cambio de los datos de entrada en las simulaciones (noviembre
2017).

'HELGR D TXH VL VH SUHVHQFLy XQD PHMRUD HQ ORV UHVXOWDGRV FDPELDQGR ORV GDWRV GH
HQWUDGDVHSURFHGLyDUHDOL]DUHOUHVWRGHODVVLPXODFLRQHVGHODPLVPDPDQHUDVHSDUDQGR
ORVGDWRVGHHQWUDGDHQSDUWHV\UHDOL]DQGRDOLJXDOVLPXODFLRQHVSDUDFDGDXQRGHORV
PHVHVUHVWDQWHV

3DUDFRUURERUDUTXHHOPpWRGR$'007(VLHVPHMRUTXHHOPpWRGR0:00VHUHSLWLyGH
QXHYRHVWHSURFHVRGHVLPXODFLyQDKRUDFRQRWURPHV IHEUHUR <FRPRGDWRVGHHQWUDGD
SDUD OD VLPXODFLyQ GH QXHYR VH VHSDUDURQ ORV GDWRV FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D HQWUH VHPDQD
YLHUQHVViEDGR\GRPLQJR

$FRQWLQXDFLyQVHPXHVWUDORVUHVXOWDGRVHQODV7DEODD7DEODGHODVKRUDVSXQWD
SURQRVWLFDGDVSRUGtDGHFDGDPpWRGRGHQXHYRVHLQFOX\HQODVKRUDVSXQWDUHDOHVGHORV
GDWRVSXEOLFDGRVSRUHO&(1$&(\VHLQFOX\HQORVSUHFLRVGHWRGDVODVKRUDV

ϬϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϳϳ͘ϵϬ ϲϴϭ͘ϳϬ ϱϳϱ͘ϵϱ ϱϳϰ͘ϭϭ ϱϵϮ͘ϰϬ ϲϮϱ͘ϴϭ ϱϲϯ͘ϯϴ ϱϲϯ͘ϮϮ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϴϬ͘ϵϬ ϱϵϵ͘ϱϬ ϲϴϭ͘ϳϬ ϱϳϰ͘ϭϭ ϱϳϴ͘Ϯϭ ϱϲϵ͘Ϭϯ ϲϮϱ͘ϴϭ ϱϲϯ͘ϮϮ
,WDZ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϴ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ Ϯϯ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϵϵ͘ϱϬ ϲϴϭ͘ϳϬ ϲϰϲ͘ϰϱ ϱϴϵ͘ϵϰ ϱϵϮ͘ϰϬ ϲϮϱ͘ϴϭ ϲϯϵ͘Ϭϲ ϲϭϲ͘ϭϰ
ϬϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϱϯ͘ϵϭ ϳϳϴ͘ϯϴ ϳϰϱ͘ϳϬ ϲϰϵ͘ϳϵ ϴϯϵ͘ϵϲ ϴϰϴ͘ϯϵ ϴϬϰ͘ϴϮ ϳϭϬ͘Ϯϭ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϰϱ͘ϭϴ ϳϴϭ͘Ϯϳ ϳϳϴ͘ϯϴ ϲϰϵ͘ϳϵ ϴϯϯ͘ϳϰ ϴϮϴ͘ϵϱ ϴϰϴ͘ϯϵ ϳϭϬ͘Ϯϭ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϱ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϱϲ͘Ϭϱ ϳϱϯ͘ϵϭ ϳϴϭ͘Ϯϳ ϳϳϴ͘ϯϴ ϴϯϯ͘ϳϰ ϴϰϴ͘ϲϴ ϴϯϵ͘ϵϲ ϴϰϴ͘ϯϵ
ϬϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϰϳϬ͘ϳϲ ϰϳϬ͘ϭ ϰϳϬ͘ϵϱ ϰϵϭ͘ϴϮ ϲϵϬ͘Ϯϵ ϱϬϯ͘ϳϳ ϱϬϯ͘ϯϲ ϳϲϳ͘Ϭϳ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϰϲϲ͘ϰϮ ϰϳϯ͘ϭ ϰϳϬ͘ϭ ϰϵϭ͘ϴϮ ϰϵϲ͘ϯϯ ϱϬϮ͘ϰϱ ϱϬϯ͘ϳϳ ϳϲϳ͘Ϭϳ
,WDZ // ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ ϭϯ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϰϳϰ͘ϵ ϰϵϭ͘ϴϮ ϰϴϬ͘ϱϳ ϰϴϭ͘Ϯϳ ϲϵϬ͘Ϯϵ ϳϲϳ͘Ϭϳ ϳϲϱ͘ϮϮ ϳϮϰ͘ϭϮ

Tabla 6.16 Parte 1 comparación de horas pronosticadas para el mes de febrero 2017 ADMMTE vs MWMM

 


ϬϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϲϯϲ͘ϵϴ ϭ͕ϲϯϯ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͕ϲϭϰ͘ϭϭ ϳϳϰ͘ϯϱ ϵϱϬ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕ϮϴϮ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϯϰϱ͘ϮϮ ϴϮϰ͘ϲϲ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϴϲ͘ϵϴ ϭ͕ϲϰϰ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϲϯϯ͘Ϭϯ ϳϳϰ͘ϯϱ ϳϵϴ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϭϭϳ͘ϯϲ ϭ͕ϮϴϮ͘ϳϮ ϴϮϰ͘ϲϲ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϵ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϲϯϲ͘ϵϴ ϭ͕ϲϰϰ͘ϳϴ ϭ͕ϲϯϯ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͕ϲϯϰ͘Ϯϵ ϭ͕ϮϴϮ͘ϳϮ ϭ͕ϯϭϰ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕ϯϰϱ͘ϮϮ ϭ͕Ϯϯϰ͘ϰϯ
ϬϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕Ϭϴϱ͘ϵϱ ϴϮϭ͘ϯϲ ϭ͕Ϭϴϲ͘ϵϰ ϭ͕Ϯϳϴ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͕Ϯϵϰ͘ϯϳ ϭ͕ϬϴϬ͘ϰϳ ϳϴϴ͘ϵϴ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϭϲ͘ϴϮ ϵϱϮ͘Ϭϳ ϭ͕Ϭϴϱ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕Ϭϴϲ͘ϵϰ ϴϭϱ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϯϬϴ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕Ϯϵϰ͘ϯϳ ϳϴϴ͘ϵϴ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϮϬ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϬϱϬ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕Ϭϴϱ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕Ϭϯϯ͘ϱϳ ϭ͕Ϭϴϲ͘ϵϰ ϭ͕Ϯϳϲ͘ϯϳ ϭ͕Ϯϳϴ͘Ϭϯ ϭ͕ϯϬϴ͘ϯϬ ϭ͕Ϯϵϰ͘ϯϳ
ϭϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϲϵϴ͘ϯϮ ϲϵϱ͘ϱϵ ϱϯϰ͘ϰϳ ϳϰϰ͘ϴϰ ϱϰϵ͘ϱ ϱϳϱ͘ϲϵ ϱϮϬ͘ϱ ϳϱϬ͘ϲϯ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϭϱ͘ϯϬ ϲϵϲ͘ϯϴ ϲϵϱ͘ϱϵ ϳϰϰ͘ϴϰ ϰϵϯ͘ϭϯ ϱϯϰ͘ϯϴ ϱϳϱ͘ϲϵ ϳϱϬ͘ϲϯ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϵ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ Ϯϯ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϭϱ͘ϯϬ ϳϭϮ͘ϰϵ ϳϰϰ͘ϴϰ ϳϮϭ͘ϳϴ ϳϱϬ͘ϲϯ ϳϰϯ ϳϱϴ͘ϲϵ ϳϮϯ
ϭϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϵϯϯ͘ϱϲ ϴϬϬ͘Ϯϰ ϴϬϱ͘ϵϱ ϳϰϮ͘Ϯϴ ϳϵϴ͘ϱϲ ϴϬϬ͘ϳϰ ϴϭϳ͘ϳϯ ϳϳϳ͘Ϭϳ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϵϵ͘ϲϬ ϴϭϲ͘ϴϱ ϴϬϬ͘Ϯϰ ϳϰϮ͘Ϯϴ ϲϰϰ͘Ϭϰ ϴϬϬ͘ϳϮ ϴϬϬ͘ϳϰ ϳϳϳ͘Ϭϳ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϲ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϮϬ͘ϯϬ ϵϯϯ͘ϱϲ ϴϭϲ͘ϴϱ ϴϭϱ͘ϴϳ ϴϬϬ͘ϳϰ ϴϬϱ͘ϴϯ ϴϭϳ͘ϳϯ ϴϬϮ͘ϵϲ
ϭϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϭϯ͘ϰϵ ϱϱϭ͘ϵϱ ϱϮϯ͘ϴϯ ϱϮϱ͘ϱϵ ϲϱϬ͘ϰϵ ϲϬϬ͘ϯϬ ϱϮϰ͘ϯϲ ϱϮϰ͘ϯϲ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϴϬ͘ϲϰ ϱϭϲ͘ϴϯ ϱϱϭ͘ϵϱ ϱϮϱ͘ϱϵ ϱϴϰ͘ϯϭ ϲϬϭ͘ϵϭ ϲϬϬ͘ϯϬ ϱϮϲ͘ϴϳ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϱ ϭϴ ϭϵ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϴϬ͘ϲϰ ϱϱϭ͘ϵϱ ϱϲϮ͘Ϯϳ ϱϲϭ͘Ϯϰ ϲϱϬ͘ϰϵ ϲϬϭ͘ϵϭ ϲϬϬ͘ϯϬ ϱϵϰ͘Ϯϭ
ϭϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϬϭ͘ϲϱ ϭ͕ϰϳϴ͘ϭϴ ϭ͕ϱϬϭ͘ϮϬ ϭ͕ϰϵϬ͘ϱϰ ϳϱϳ͘ϴϬ ϳϬϵ͘ϲϬ ϲϵϬ͘ϬϬ ϳϯϲ͘ϰϱ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭϰϯϵ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϱϯϰ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϰϳϴ͘ϭϴ ϭ͕ϰϵϬ͘ϱϰ ϳϮϬ͘ϲϬ ϳϰϯ͘Ϯϴ ϳϬϵ͘ϲϬ ϳϯϲ͘ϰϱ
,WDZ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϭϳ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕ϱϭϬ͘ϵϱ ϭ͕ϱϬϭ͘ϲϱ ϭ͕ϱϯϰ͘ϰϱ ϭ͕ϱϬϭ͘ϮϬ ϳϯϮ͘ϰϲ ϳϱϳ͘ϴϬ ϳϰϯ͘Ϯϴ ϳϯϲ͘ϰϱ 

Tabla 6.17 Parte 2 comparación de horas pronosticadas para el mes de febrero 2017 ADMMTE vs MWMM

 


ϭϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϰϲϮ ϰϳϴ͘ϲϵ ϰϱϲ͘ϵϭ ϰϴϬ͘ϭϳ ϳϲϳ͘ϴϯ ϳϴϰ͘ϱϰ ϴϭϮ͘ϳϮ ϲϭϬ͘ϲϯ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϰϲϬ͘ϳϴ ϰϳϭ͘ϵϭ ϰϳϴ͘ϲϵ ϰϴϬ͘ϭϳ ϳϰϭ͘ϰϭ ϳϳϴ͘ϰϴ ϳϴϰ͘ϱϰ ϲϭϬ͘ϲϯ
,WDZ ϭϱ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϰϳϴ͘ϲϵ ϰϴϬ͘ϭϳ ϰϳϲ͘ϴϭ ϰϴϬ͘Ϯ ϳϴϰ͘ϱϰ ϳϵϬ͘ϳϱ ϴϭϮ͘ϳϮ ϳϴϭ͘Ϭϰ
ϮϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϳϬ͘ϴϬ ϱϴϮ͘Ϭϴ ϱϴϵ͘ϵϵ ϱϳϱ͘ϱ ϴϵϱ͘ϱϯ ϵϬϵ͘ϱϮ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϭ ϴϬϲ͘ϯϬ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϯϮ͘ϳϵ ϱϳϴ͘ϳϴ ϱϴϮ͘Ϭϴ ϱϳϱ͘ϱ ϴϬϴ͘ϰϳ ϵϭϱ͘ϰϲ ϵϬϵ͘ϱϮ ϴϬϲ͘ϯ
,WDZ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϳ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϱϳϴ͘ϳϴ ϱϴϮ͘Ϭϴ ϱϵϰ͘ϯϳ ϱϴϵ͘ϵϵ ϵϭϱ͘ϰϲ ϵϬϵ͘ϱϮ ϵϬϮ͘ϳϮ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϭ
ϮϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϵϲϵ͘ϴϯ ϵϱϴ͘ϰϭ ϵϰϯ͘Ϭϱ ϳϳϮ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϭϲϳ͘Ϭϭ ϭ͕ϭϰϳ͘ϯϭ ϭ͕ϭϳϬ͘ϭϭ ϭ͕ϭϲϲ͘ϭϴ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϳϳϱ͘ϯϮ ϴϵϬ͘ϯϯ ϵϱϴ͘ϰϭ ϳϳϮ͘ϰϵ ϭ͕ϭϬϱ͘ϴϳ ϭ͕ϭϱϰ͘ϰϴ ϭ͕ϭϰϳ͘ϯϭ ϭ͕ϭϲϲ͘ϭϴ
,WDZ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϲ ϭϴ ϭϮ ϭϴ Ϯϭ ϮϮ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϵϲϵ͘ϴϯ ϵϱϴ͘ϰϭ ϵϱϰ͘Ϭϱ ϵϱϳ͘Ϭϱ ϭ͕ϭϴϰ͘ϭϬ ϭ͕Ϯϭϴ͘ϴϭ ϭ͕ϭϴϯ͘ϳϵ ϭ͕ϯϭϮ͘ϴϰ
ϮϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϳ ϴϳϬ͘ϴϰ ϳϵϰ͘ϲϬ ϴϳϮ͘ϲϲ ϱϲϬ͘Ϭϵ ϱϯϬ͘ϰϵ ϱϮϰ͘ϭϮ ϲϵϬ͘ϱϳ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϴϰ͘ϵϱ ϴϵϳ͘Ϯϲ ϴϳϬ͘ϴϰ ϴϳϮ͘ϲϲ ϰϲϰ͘ϯϰ ϱϲϬ͘ϴϯ ϱϯϬ͘ϰϵ ϲϵϬ͘ϱϳ
,WDZ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ ϮϬ Ϯϭ ϮϮ Ϯϯ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϴϰ͘ϵϱ ϵϬϮ͘Ϯϳ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϳ ϴϵϳ͘Ϯϲ ϲϵϬ͘ϱϳ ϲϵϱ͘ϰϮ ϲϵϮ͘ϭϲ ϲϱϯ͘ϯϴ
ϮϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
DDd& ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ ϭϯ ϭϱ ϭϳ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϴϵ͘ϱϰ ϵϱϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͕Ϭϵϭ͘ϲϰ ϭ͕ϭϬϵ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕ϯϮϳ͘ϵϴ ϭ͕ϭϳϴ͘ϰϮ ϭ͕ϭϭϬ͘ϬϮ ϴϲϯ͘Ϭϲ
DtDD& ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϰ ϭϱ ϮϬ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϴϱϲ͘ϭϲ ϵϮϮ͘Ϯϳ ϵϱϭ͘ϮϮ ϭ͕ϭϬϵ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕Ϯϰϯ͘ϭϮ ϭ͕ϮϭϬ͘ϴϴ ϭ͕ϭϳϴ͘ϰϮ ϴϲϯ͘Ϭϲ
,WDZ ϭϳ ϭϴ ϭϵ ϮϬ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϴ
;ΨͬDtŚͿ ϭ͕Ϭϵϭ͘ϲϰ ϵϴϭ͘ϵϳ ϵϳϬ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͕ϭϬϵ͘ϰϲ ϭ͕Ϯϰϯ͘ϭϮ ϭ͕ϯϴϭ͘ϲϵ ϭ͕ϯϮϳ͘ϵϴ ϭ͕ϯϵϯ͘ϰϭ 

Tabla 6.18 Parte 3 comparación de horas pronosticadas para el mes de febrero 2017 ADMMTE vs MWMM

7RWDOHVREWHQLGRVFRQFDGDPpWRGR

йĚĞĂƌƉŽǀĞĐŚĂŵŝĞŶƚŽĚĞů WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽĚĞůƉƌĞĐŝŽĚĞůĂƐ
DĠƚŽĚŽͬŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ dŽƚĂůĞƐ;ΨͬDtŚͿ
ƚŽƚĂůƉŽƐŝďůĞ ŚŽƌĂƐƉƌŽŶŽƐƚŝĐĂĚĂƐ;ΨͬDtŚͿ

DDd ϵϭ͕ϵϬϱ͘ϬϬ ϵϮ͘ϱϱй ϴϮϬ͘ϱϴ

DtDD ϴϵ͕ϰϱϭ͘ϭϲ ϵϬ͘Ϭϴй ϳϵϴ͘ϲϳ

dŽƚĂůZĞĂů ϵϵ͕Ϯϵϴ͘ϵϲ ϭϬϬй ϴϴϲ͘ϲϬ



Tabla 6.19 Resultados obtenidos con segundo mes de diferente estación ADMMTE vs MWMM


&RPRVHSXHGHREVHUYDUHQOD7DEODQXHYDPHQWHHOPpWRGR$'007(SUHVHQWyXQ
PHMRU UHVXOWDGR DVt TXH HVWp IXH HO PpWRGR VHOHFFLRQDGR SDUD GHWHUPLQDU ODV KRUDV
HVWUDWpJLFDV GH YHQWD GH HQHUJtD HQ HO 0'$ FRQ HO EDQFR GH EDWHUtDV SDUD ORV PHVHV
UHVWDQWHVGHSURQRVWLFDU

3URQyVWLFRVGHODVKRUDVSXQWDSDUDFDGDPHVHQFXHVWLyQ
(Q HVWH IUDJPHQWR VROR VH PXHVWUDQ ORV UHVXOWDGRV GH ORV SURQyVWLFRV SDUD OD YHQWD GH
HQHUJtD HQ XQD \ GRV KRUDV SDUD FDGD ORV GtDV GH FDGD XQR GH ORV PHVHV HQ FXHVWLyQ
IHEUHURDGLFLHPEUHGHO\HQHURGHO HVWRHVVLJXLHQGRHOSURFHGLPLHQWRGHO
GLDJUDPDGHIOXMRPRVWUDGRHQOD)LJXUDGHOFDStWXORQ~PHURFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODV
VLPXODFLRQHVGHYHQWD

&RPR VH PHQFLRQy DQWHULRUPHQWH ORV tQGLFHV VRQ XQD SDUWH GH ORV UHVXOWDGRV GH ODV
VLPXODFLRQHVGHORVSURQyVWLFRVHQPLQLWDE\HQFRUUHODFLyQFRQODVKRUDVLQGLFDQFXiOHV
WLHQHQXQDSUREDELOLGDGPD\RUGHFRQWDUFRQXQSUHFLRVXSHULRU\FXiOHVFRQXQRPHQRU
TXH ODV RWUDV D PD\RU tQGLFH PiV SUREDELOLGDG \ YLFHYHUVD D PHQRU tQGLFH PHQRV
SUREDELOLGDG

'HOD7DEODD7DEODVHPXHVWUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVGHORVtQGLFHVSURPHGLRGHFDGD
PHVFRPSOHWRODVKRUDVUHPDUFDGDVFRQDPDULOORVRQODVTXHSUHVHQWDURQXQPD\RUtQGLFH
VLHQGR HVWDV ODV KRUDV SXQWD SDUD OD YHQWD GH HQHUJtD \ ODV UHVDOWDGDV GH FRORU D]XO
~QLFDPHQWHLQGLFDQODKRUDGHYHQWDGHOH[FHGHQWHGHHQHUJtDFXiQGRHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDV
\DQRWHQJDHVSDFLRSDUDUHVJXDUGDUPiVHOHFWULFLGDG

5HVXOWDGRVGHORVSURQyVWLFRVSDUDXQDKRUDGHYHQWDHQFDGDPHV

o )HEUHUR +RUDGHYHQWD 

3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH      
3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFHV ÌQGLFH      
HVWDFLRQDOHV 3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH      
3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH      

Tabla 6.20 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, febrero 2017)

 


o 0DU]R +RUDGHYHQWD 

3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH      
3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFHV ÌQGLFH      
HVWDFLRQDOHV 3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH      
3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH       
Tabla 6.21 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, marzo 2017)

o $EULO +RUDGHYHQWD 


Tabla 6.22 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, abril 2017)

o 0D\R +RUDGHYHQWD 

3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFH      
3HUtRGR      
ÌQGLFHV ÌQGLFH      
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Tabla 6.23 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, mayo 2017)

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Tabla 6.24 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, junio 2017)


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Tabla 6.25 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, julio 2017)

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Tabla 6.26 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, agosto 2017)

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Tabla 6.27 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, septiembre 2017)

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Tabla 6.28 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, octubre 2017)


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Tabla 6.29 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, noviembre 2017)

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Tabla 6.30 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, diciembre 2017)

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Tabla 6.31 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (1 hora, enero 2018)

 


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Tabla 6.32 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, febrero 2017)

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Tabla 6.33 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, marzo 2017)

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Tabla 6.34 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, abril 2017)


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Tabla 6.35 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, mayo 2017)

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Tabla 6.36 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, junio 2017)

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Tabla 6.37 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, julio 2017)

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Tabla 6.38 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, agosto 2017)


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Tabla 6.39 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, septiembre 2017)

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Tabla 6.40 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, octubre 2017)

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Tabla 6.41 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, noviembre 2017)

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Tabla 6.42 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, diciembre 2017)


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Tabla 6.43 Pronósticos de los índices estacionales promedio (2 horas, enero 2018)

 


 


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Tabla 7.4 Características de la batería "LG Chem RESU 6.5" >@>@

‡ &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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Tabla 7.5 Características de la batería "SimpliPhi PHI3.4 Smart-Tech battery" >@>@

‡ &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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Tabla 7.6 Características de la batería "Leclanche Apollion Cub" >@>@

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Tabla 7.7 Características de la batería "GCL E-KwBe 5.6" >@>@

x &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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Tabla 7.8 Características de la batería "ELMOFO E-Cells ALB52-106" >@>@

x &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD

࢑ࢃࢎ
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Tabla 7.9 Características de la batería "Akasol neeoQube" >@>@

x &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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Tabla 7.10 Características de la batería "Ampetus Super Lithium" >@>@

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Tabla 7.11 Características de la batería "DCS PV 5.0" >@>@

x &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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Tabla 7.12 Características de la batería "DCS PV 10.0 " >@>@

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Tabla 7.13 Características de la batería "BMZ ESS3.0" >@>@

x &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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Tabla 7.14 Características de la batería "Pylontech US2000B" >@>@

x &DQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDTXHVHSXHGHH[WUDHUDODEDWHUtD
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࢈ࢇ࢚ࢋ࢘࢏ࢇ


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Tabla 7.15 Características de la batería "Ampetus Energy Pod" >@>@

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Tabla 7.16 Características de la batería "LTH Solar (L-31/S-190M)" >@

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Tabla 7.17 Características de la batería "Cale Solar" >@

x (QEDVHDOD7DEODGHFLFORVUHVSHFWRDOSRUFHQWDMHGHGHVFDUJDGHHVWDEDWHUtD
REWHQHPRVODVLJXLHQWHGLVSRQLELOLGDGSRUEDWHUtD

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x &RVWRSRUFDGDN:KH[WUDtGR
 0;1N:K
#Î ൌ ൌ86'N:K
N:KEDWHUtD 

 0;1N:K
#Î  ൌ ൌ86'N:K
N:KEDWHUtD 

 0;1N:K
#Î ൌ ൌ86'N:K
N:KEDWHUtD 

 


6HOHFFLyQGHEDWHUtDV

(QEDVHDODFRPSDUDFLyQDQWHULRU VHVHOHFFLRQDURQEDWHUtDV GH WLSR,RQOLRGH WLSR


3ORPRDFLGR\GHWLSRSORPRFDOFLR(VWDVIXHURQODVTXHSUHVHQWDURQXQPHQRUFRVWRSRU
FDGD N:K\HQ HOFDVRGH ODV ,RQOLWR ODV PiVEDUDWDV \TXpDODYH] VHHQFXHQWUDQDO
DOFDQFHGHORVSURYHHGRUHVFRQORVTXHFXHQWDODHPSUHVD6FKQHLGHU(OHFWULF3,,7

$FRQWLQXDFLyQVHPXHVWUDQORVQRPEUHV \ODVLPiJHQHVGH ODVEDWHUtDV VHOHFFLRQDGDV


EDWHUtDVGHWLSRLRQOLWLR7DEOD\ODVGHWLSRSORPRiFLGRHQOD7DEOD 

6LPSOL3KL3+,6PDUW7HFKEDWWHU\

7LSRGHEDWHUtD ,RQOLWLR
3UHFLR 3UHFLRVHVWLPDGRVGHYHQWDPLQRULVWD 
HQ86' 

$OPDFHQDPLHQWRQRPLQDO N:K




*:/3RZHU:%/<3$+&/L)H<32

7LSRGHEDWHUtD ,RQOLWLR
3UHFLR 3UHFLRVHVWLPDGRVGHYHQWDPLQRULVWD 
HQ86' 

$OPDFHQDPLHQWRQRPLQDO N:K




Tabla 7.18 Baterías seleccionadas, basadas en la tecnología Ion-Litio >@>@ 


/7+6RODU /60 

7LSRGHEDWHUtD 3ORPRDFLGR
3UHFLR 3UHFLRVHVWLPDGRVGHYHQWDPD\RULVWD 
HQ0;1 

$OPDFHQDPLHQWRQRPLQDO $K




Tabla 7.19 Baterías seleccionadas, basadas en la tecnología Plomo-acido >@>@

(Q HO VLJXLHQWH FDStWXOR VH UHDOL]DUiQ ODV VLPXODFLRQHV GH YHQWD \ VH UHDOL]DUi OD
FRPSDUDWLYDHFRQyPLFDFRVWREHQHILFLRDORSHUDUHOVLVWHPDIRWRYROWDLFR6FKQHLGHU(OHFWULF
3,,7FRQFDGDXQDGHHVWDVEDWHUtDVPRVWUDGDVDQWHULRUPHQWH\DVtGHWHUPLQDUFXiOVHUtD
ODJDQDQFLDRSpUGLGDFRQFDGDXQRGHHVWRVVLVWHPDVGHWHUPLQDQGRDVtFXiOEDWHUtDHVOD
SUHVHQWDXQSHUILOHFRQyPLFR

'LPHQVLRQDPLHQWRGHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDV

(QHOFDStWXORGHSHUILOHVGHJHQHUDFLyQVHPXHVWUDQORVFRPSRUWDPLHQWRVGHJHQHUDFLyQ
GH  PHVHV GHO DxR GHO  \ HQHUR GHO  3DUD UHODFLRQDU HVWRV GDWRV FRQ HO
GLPHQVLRQDPLHQWRGHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVHVQHFHVDULRGHWHUPLQDUHOPRGRGHRSHUDFLyQGH
HVWHSDUDGHWHUPLQDUXQYDORUGHFDSDFLGDGGHDOPDFHQDPLHQWRDGHFXDGR

%DVDGRHQHOGLDJUDPDGHIOXMRGHOD)LJXUDVHGLPHQVLRQRHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVSDUD
GRVPpWRGRVGHYHQWDLQLFLDOPHQWHXQRFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDODYHQWDHQKRUD\HORWURSDUD
KRUDVSRUGtD

(Q OD )LJXUD  \ )LJXUD  VH PXHVWUDQ  JUiILFRV FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV D OD SURGXFFLyQ
DFXPXODGDORFXDOHVHQFRUUHODFLyQDODSHUVSHFWLYDTXHWHQGUtDQODVEDWHUtDVDOUHFLELUOD
HQHUJtDHOpFWULFDJHQHUDGDSRUORVSDQHOHVIRWRYROWDLFRV

6LQHPEDUJRQRHVQHFHVDULRGLPHQVLRQDUHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVSDUDDOPDFHQDUHOWRWDOGH
ODSURGXFFLyQDFXPXODGDDOPHQRVQRSDUDORVPpWRGRVGHYHQWDGHHQHUJtDSDUDRPiV
KRUDVSRUGtD<DTXpVLODVKRUDVSXQWDV SURQRVWLFDGDV ORFXDOVLHVDVt VHHQFXHQWUDQ
HQWUHODVKRUDVDFWLYDVGHJHQHUDFLyQGHHQHUJtDHOpFWULFDSRUSDUWHGHORVSDQHOHVVRODUHV
VH HVWDUi OLEHUDQGR HQHUJtD DOPDFHQDGD HQ ODV EDWHUtDV D WUDYpV GH OD LQ\HFFLyQ GH
HOHFWULFLGDGKDFLDHO6LVWHPD(OpFWULFR1DFLRQDO 6(1 FUHDQGRGHHVWDPDQHUDXQQXHYR


HVSDFLR SDUD UHFLELU PiV HQHUJtD HYLWDQGR DVt OD QHFHVLGDG GH UHVJXDUGDU WRGD OD
JHQHUDFLyQDFXPXODGD

o 'LPHQVLyQGHEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVSDUDYHQWDHQKRUD

(O REMHWLYR HV YHQGHU OD HQHUJtD JHQHUDGD HQ XQD VROD KRUD SXQWD SRU GtD FRPR
FRQVHFXHQFLDDHVWRVHUHTXLHUHXQEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVGHPD\RUFDSDFLGDGSHURXQDPD\RU
FDQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDVHYHQGHHQODKRUDSXQWDSURQRVWLFDGDDWHQHUXQPD\RUSUHFLR

o 9HQWDMDVHHVWLPDWHQHUXQDPD\RUJDQDQFLD
o 'HVYHQWDMDXQDPD\RULQYHUVLyQHQEDWHUtDV

(QHOFDStWXORQ~PHURFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDORVSHUILOHVGHJHQHUDFLyQVHPXHVWUDXQDWDEOD
GHOSURPHGLRGHODSURGXFFLyQDFXPXODGDGHORVPHVHVHQFXHVWLyQ 7DEOD \HQ
HOFDStWXORDQWHULRUVHPXHVWUDQORVUHVXOWDGRVGHORVtQGLFHVHVWDFLRQDOHVSDUDODVHOHFFLyQ
GH OD KRUD GH YHQWD GH HQHUJtD SDUD FDGD XQR GH ORV PHVHV 7DEOD  D 7DEOD  
FRPELQDQGR HVD VHOHFFLyQ GH ODV KRUDV \  ODV SURGXFFLRQHV DFXPXODGDV REWHQHPRV OR
PRVWUDGRHQOD7DEOD
,ŽƌĂͬŵĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϭϳ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϯ͘ϮϬ ϱ͘Ϭϳ ϳ͘ϱϮ ϲ͘ϳϯ ϱ͘ϵϱ ϭ͘ϭϬ ϱ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϳϯ Ϭ͘ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ ϯ͘Ϭϲ
ϴ Ϯϰ͘ϱϰ Ϯϴ͘ϭϰ ϯϮ͘ϳϲ ϯϳ͘ϯϱ ϯϲ͘ϵϱ ϯϯ͘ϲϯ ϭϲ͘Ϭϰ ϯϱ͘ϬϬ Ϯϲ͘ϭϰ ϭϲ͘ϳϴ ϭϬ͘ϲϵ ϲ͘ϵϱ Ϯϱ͘ϰϭ
ϵ ϵϱ͘ϰϰ ϴϱ͘ϬϬ ϵϭ͘ϱϯ ϵϯ͘Ϯϴ ϵϱ͘Ϯϴ ϴϵ͘ϳϵ ϰϵ͘ϰϭ ϵϱ͘ϰϲ ϳϯ͘ϵϲ ϱϰ͘ϲϮ ϰϲ͘ϱϲ ϯϵ͘ϲϱ ϳϱ͘ϴϯ
ϭϬ ϮϬϳ͘ϱϳ ϭϳϯ͘ϰϬ ϭϳϱ͘ϯϭ ϭϲϲ͘ϴϵ ϭϳϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭϲϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭϯϬ͘Ϯϱ ϭϳϴ͘ϳϬ ϭϯϴ͘ϳϰ ϭϭϭ͘ϲϱ ϭϬϴ͘ϴϲ ϵϱ͘ϱϳ ϭϱϮ͘ϳϲ
ϭϭ ϯϰϱ͘ϯϭ Ϯϴϱ͘ϵϳ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϳ Ϯϱϳ͘ϱϱ Ϯϳϵ͘ϯϮ ϮϲϮ͘ϵϲ Ϯϯϲ͘ϰϭ Ϯϳϵ͘ϴϱ Ϯϭϱ͘Ϯϯ ϭϳϴ͘ϰϴ ϭϴϳ͘ϲϬ ϭϲϱ͘ϵϰ Ϯϰϳ͘ϯϲ
ϭϮ ϰϵϲ͘ϵϯ ϰϬϴ͘ϰϱ ϯϴϬ͘ϯϭ ϯϱϵ͘ϴϮ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϲ ϯϳϭ͘ϲϵ ϯϳϮ͘ϯϲ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϵ Ϯϵϴ͘Ϭϭ Ϯϰϴ͘ϴϴ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϵ Ϯϰϵ͘ϯϴ ϯϱϯ͘ϯϮ
ϭϯ ϲϱϲ͘Ϯϱ ϱϮϳ͘Ϭϳ ϰϳϴ͘ϵϯ ϰϲϬ͘ϴϭ ϰϵϰ͘ϭϵ ϰϴϱ͘ϭϮ ϰϵϮ͘ϵϬ ϰϵϴ͘ϵϮ ϯϳϳ͘ϴϮ ϯϭϱ͘ϲϯ ϯϲϲ͘ϱϵ ϯϰϬ͘ϯϮ ϰϱϳ͘ϴϴ
ϭϰ ϳϵϴ͘ϰϯ ϲϯϮ͘ϲϮ ϱϲϵ͘ϰϱ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϰ ϱϵϱ͘Ϯϰ ϱϴϵ͘ϱϰ ϲϬϴ͘ϲϵ ϱϵϬ͘ϭϵ ϰϱϬ͘ϵϵ ϯϳϱ͘ϲϴ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϴ ϰϮϬ͘ϱϬ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϭ
ϭϱ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϭ ϳϭϯ͘ϱϮ ϲϰϴ͘Ϭϰ ϲϮϮ͘ϵϮ ϲϴϮ͘ϳϭ ϲϳϰ͘ϯϱ ϳϬϰ͘ϯϭ ϲϲϱ͘ϲϵ ϱϭϬ͘Ϯϭ ϰϮϯ͘ϵϱ ϱϭϰ͘ϰϯ ϰϴϭ͘Ϯϴ ϲϮϵ͘ϵϬ
ϭϲ ϵϵϵ͘Ϯϳ ϳϳϮ͘ϳϳ ϳϬϱ͘ϯϬ ϲϳϲ͘ϭϲ ϳϰϵ͘Ϭϭ ϳϯϱ͘ϳϮ ϳϳϰ͘ϭϯ ϳϭϬ͘ϵϴ ϱϰϳ͘Ϭϱ ϰϱϱ͘ϭϮ ϱϱϭ͘Ϭϭ ϱϮϰ͘ϰϮ ϲϴϯ͘ϰϭ
ϭϳ ϭϬϯϯ͘Ϯϰ ϴϬϬ͘ϱϳ ϳϰϮ͘ϵϯ ϳϭϵ͘ϰϰ ϳϴϴ͘ϴϲ ϳϳϱ͘ϳϵ ϴϮϬ͘ϲϲ ϳϯϭ͘ϴϬ ϱϱϳ͘ϵϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϴ͘ϵϵ ϳϭϬ͘ϱϯ
ϭϴ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϯ ϳϯϮ͘ϲϭ ϴϬϮ͘ϵϯ ϳϵϬ͘ϭϭ ϴϰϭ͘ϵϯ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϵ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
ϮϬ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
Ϯϭ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
ϮϮ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
Ϯϯ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ 
Tabla 7.20 Producciones acumuladas promedio por mes y las horas de venta seleccionadas para 1 hora.

&RPRVHPXHVWUDHQODWDEODDQWHULRUVHUHVDOWDQGRVKRUDVSRUGtDXQDHQFRORUDPDULOOR
TXHFRUUHVSRQGHDODKRUDSURQRVWLFDGDSDUDYHQWDGHODHQHUJtDHOpFWULFD\RWUDHQFRORU
YHUGHTXHFRUUHVSRQGHDODHQHUJtDTXHVHHQFRQWUDUDHQHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVDQWHVGHVHU
YHQGLGDGXUDQWHODKRUDGHYHQWD FRORUDPDULOOR ODVEDWHUtDVQRUHFLEHQHQHUJtDSRUSDUWH
GHORVSDQHOHVHVGHFLUWDQWRORVSDQHOHVFRPRODVEDWHUtDVLQ\HFWDQODHQHUJtDDO6LVWHPD
(OpFWULFR1DFLRQDO 6(1 


*UDILFDQGR~QLFDPHQWHORVGDWRVGHODVSURGXFFLRQHVDFXPXODGDVFRUUHVSRQGLHQWHVDODV
KRUDVHQFRORUYHUGHREWHQHPRVODVLJXLHQWHJUiILFDGHEDUUDV

N:K


Figura 7.1 Promedios de la energía acumulada antes de las horas seleccionas para venta en 1 hora por día.

&RPRVHSXHGHREVHUYDUHQHOJUiILFRDQWHULRUXQDGLPHQVLyQGHN:KSDUDHOEDQFR
GHEDWHUtDVVHUtDDGHFXDGDSDUDFXEULUODQHFHVLGDGGHFDVLODWRWDOLGDGGHORVPHVHVD
H[FHSFLyQGHIHEUHUR3DUDQRWHQHUXQDVREUHGLPHQVLyQGHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVVHDMXVWy
ODGLPHQVLyQHQN:KSDUDHVWHFDVRHQFXHVWLyQ GHYHQWDHQXQDSXQWDKRUDSRUGtD 

o 'LPHQVLyQGHEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVSDUDYHQWDHQKRUDV

(OREMHWLYRGHYHQGHUHQGRVKRUDVSXQWDGXUDQWHHOGtDHVUHGXFLUHOWDPDxRWRWDOGHOD
GLPHQVLyQGHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDV\DTXHDOOLEHUDUHQHUJtDHQGRVKRUDVGHYHQWDDOGtDVH
OLEHUD HVSDFLR RFXSDGR JHQHUDQGR GH QXHYR RWUR SDUD UHFLELU PiV HQHUJtD SRU SDUWH GHO
SDUTXHVRODU

o 9HQWDMD8QDPHQRULQYHUVLyQHQEDWHUtDV
o 'HVYHQWDMD6HHVWLPDWHQHUXQDPHQRUJDQDQFLDSRUGtD

,QLFLDOPHQWHDOSURQRVWLFDU ODVGRVKRUDV SXQWDGH YHQWD SDUD DOJXQRVPHVHV TXHGDEDQ


FRQWLJXDVSDUDHYLWDUHVWRVHGLYLGLySRUODPLWDGODFDPSDQDGHOODSVRGRQGHVHSUHVHQWD
OD JHQHUDFLyQ GH HQHUJtD HOpFWULFD \ VH SURQRVWLFy XQD KRUD SXQWD SDUD FDGD VHFFLyQ
SRGUtDQ KDEHU TXHGDGR MXQWDV ODV KRUDV  \  VRODPHQWH SHUR QR RFXUULy  OD
SULPHUDKDVWDODV\ODVHJXQGDGHVSXpVGHODVFRPRVHPXHVWUDHQODVLJXLHQWH
JUiILFD




 


Figura 7.2 Separación de lapsos de horas, para pronosticas horas punta no contiguas.

1RWD3DUDGLYLGLUORHQSDUWHVLJXDOHVODVGHEHUtDGHTXHGDUHQHOVHJXQGRODSVRGH
ODVKRUDVSHURFRPRHVWiKRUDVHSUHVHQWyHQYDULRVPHVHVtQGLFHVHVWDFLRQDOHVPiVDOWRV
TXHODVKRUDVDQWHULRUHV\PiVEDMRVTXHODVSRVWHULRUHVVHGHFLGLyGHMDUODHQHOSULPHU
ODSVRSDUDWHQHURSFLyQGHEXHQRVSUHFLRVHQHOSULPHUODSVRHQORVPHVHVGRQGHIXHHO
FDVRGHWHQHUXQDOWRtQGLFH 7DEODDOD7DEODGHOFDStWXORGHSURQyVWLFRV 

$OLJXDOTXHHOPpWRGRGHYHQWDGHXQDKRUDVHWRPyOD7DEODGHOSURPHGLRGHOD
SURGXFFLyQDFXPXODGDGHORVPHVHVHQFXHVWLyQ\VHUHVDOWDURQODVKRUDV
VHOHFFLRQDGDV HQFRORUDPDULOORSDUDHOVHJXQGRODSVR\YHUGHSDUDHOSULPHUODSVR SRU
PHGLRGHORVtQGLFHVHVWDFLRQDOHVGHOFDStWXORDQWHULRU
,ŽƌĂͬŵĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ;ŬtŚͿ
ϲ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϮϮ Ϭ͘ϲϱ Ϭ͘ϳϳ Ϭ͘ϰϱ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ Ϭ͘ϭϳ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϵ Ϯ͘ϮϬ ϱ͘Ϭϳ ϳ͘ϱϮ ϲ͘ϳϯ ϱ͘ϵϱ ϭ͘ϭϬ ϱ͘Ϯϭ ϭ͘ϳϯ Ϭ͘ϯϵ Ϭ͘ϭϬ Ϭ͘ϬϬ ϯ͘Ϭϲ
ϴ Ϯϰ͘ϱϰ Ϯϴ͘ϭϰ ϯϮ͘ϳϲ ϯϳ͘ϯϱ ϯϲ͘ϵϱ ϯϯ͘ϲϯ ϭϲ͘Ϭϰ ϯϱ͘ϬϬ Ϯϲ͘ϭϰ ϭϲ͘ϳϴ ϭϬ͘ϲϵ ϲ͘ϵϱ Ϯϱ͘ϰϭ
ϵ ϵϱ͘ϰϰ ϴϱ͘ϬϬ ϵϭ͘ϱϯ ϵϯ͘Ϯϴ ϵϱ͘Ϯϴ ϴϵ͘ϳϵ ϰϵ͘ϰϭ ϵϱ͘ϰϲ ϳϯ͘ϵϲ ϱϰ͘ϲϮ ϰϲ͘ϱϲ ϯϵ͘ϲϱ ϳϱ͘ϴϯ
ϭϬ ϮϬϳ͘ϱϳ ϭϳϯ͘ϰϬ ϭϳϱ͘ϯϭ ϭϲϲ͘ϴϵ ϭϳϴ͘Ϭϵ ϭϲϴ͘Ϭϳ ϭϯϬ͘Ϯϱ ϭϳϴ͘ϳϬ ϭϯϴ͘ϳϰ ϭϭϭ͘ϲϱ ϭϬϴ͘ϴϲ ϵϱ͘ϱϳ ϭϱϮ͘ϳϲ
ϭϭ ϯϰϱ͘ϯϭ Ϯϴϱ͘ϵϳ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϳ Ϯϱϳ͘ϱϱ Ϯϳϵ͘ϯϮ ϮϲϮ͘ϵϲ Ϯϯϲ͘ϰϭ Ϯϳϵ͘ϴϱ Ϯϭϱ͘Ϯϯ ϭϳϴ͘ϰϴ ϭϴϳ͘ϲϬ ϭϲϱ͘ϵϰ Ϯϰϳ͘ϯϲ
ϭϮ ϰϵϲ͘ϵϯ ϰϬϴ͘ϰϱ ϯϴϬ͘ϯϭ ϯϱϵ͘ϴϮ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϲ ϯϳϭ͘ϲϵ ϯϳϮ͘ϯϲ ϯϵϬ͘ϭϵ Ϯϵϴ͘Ϭϭ Ϯϰϴ͘ϴϴ Ϯϳϯ͘ϲϵ Ϯϰϵ͘ϯϴ ϯϱϯ͘ϯϮ
ϭϯ ϲϱϲ͘Ϯϱ ϱϮϳ͘Ϭϳ ϰϳϴ͘ϵϯ ϰϲϬ͘ϴϭ ϰϵϰ͘ϭϵ ϰϴϱ͘ϭϮ ϰϵϮ͘ϵϬ ϰϵϴ͘ϵϮ ϯϳϳ͘ϴϮ ϯϭϱ͘ϲϯ ϯϲϲ͘ϱϵ ϯϰϬ͘ϯϮ ϰϱϳ͘ϴϴ
ϭϰ ϳϵϴ͘ϰϯ ϲϯϮ͘ϲϮ ϱϲϵ͘ϰϱ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϰ ϱϵϱ͘Ϯϰ ϱϴϵ͘ϱϰ ϲϬϴ͘ϲϵ ϱϵϬ͘ϭϵ ϰϱϬ͘ϵϵ ϯϳϱ͘ϲϴ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϴ ϰϮϬ͘ϱϬ ϱϱϮ͘ϴϭ
ϭϱ ϵϭϳ͘ϰϭ ϳϭϯ͘ϱϮ ϲϰϴ͘Ϭϰ ϲϮϮ͘ϵϮ ϲϴϮ͘ϳϭ ϲϳϰ͘ϯϱ ϳϬϰ͘ϯϭ ϲϲϱ͘ϲϵ ϱϭϬ͘Ϯϭ ϰϮϯ͘ϵϱ ϱϭϰ͘ϰϯ ϰϴϭ͘Ϯϴ ϲϮϵ͘ϵϬ
ϭϲ ϵϵϵ͘Ϯϳ ϳϳϮ͘ϳϳ ϳϬϱ͘ϯϬ ϲϳϲ͘ϭϲ ϳϰϵ͘Ϭϭ ϳϯϱ͘ϳϮ ϳϳϰ͘ϭϯ ϳϭϬ͘ϵϴ ϱϰϳ͘Ϭϱ ϰϱϱ͘ϭϮ ϱϱϭ͘Ϭϭ ϱϮϰ͘ϰϮ ϲϴϯ͘ϰϭ
ϭϳ ϭϬϯϯ͘Ϯϰ ϴϬϬ͘ϱϳ ϳϰϮ͘ϵϯ ϳϭϵ͘ϰϰ ϳϴϴ͘ϴϲ ϳϳϱ͘ϳϵ ϴϮϬ͘ϲϲ ϳϯϭ͘ϴϬ ϱϱϳ͘ϵϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϴ͘ϵϵ ϳϭϬ͘ϱϯ
ϭϴ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϯ ϳϯϮ͘ϲϭ ϴϬϮ͘ϵϯ ϳϵϬ͘ϭϭ ϴϰϭ͘ϵϯ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϵ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
ϮϬ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
Ϯϭ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
ϮϮ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ
Ϯϯ ϭϬϯϯ͘ϱϯ ϴϬϯ͘ϰϮ ϳϱϭ͘ϲϳ ϳϯϮ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϯ͘ϴϬ ϳϵϭ͘Ϭϯ ϴϰϰ͘ϴϴ ϳϯϰ͘ϵϭ ϱϱϴ͘Ϭϴ ϰϱϵ͘ϲϮ ϱϱϲ͘ϰϲ ϱϯϵ͘ϭϬ ϳϭϳ͘ϰϰ 
Tabla 7.21 Producciones acumuladas promedio por mes y las horas de venta seleccionadas para 2 horas.


(Q OD WDEOD DQWHULRU VH UHVDOWDQ DKRUD FXDWUR KRUDV SRU GtD HQ FRORU DPDULOOR ODV KRUDV
SURQRVWLFDGDV SDUD YHQWD GH OD HQHUJtD HOpFWULFD \ HQ FRORU YHUGH FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHV DOD
KRUDKDVWDGRQGHHOEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVUHVJXDUGDUiHQHUJtDDQWHVGHVHUYHQGLGD/RVGDWRV
GHOD7DEODPXHVWUDQODSURGXFFLyQWRWDODFXPXODGDGHPDQHUDJHQHUDOSRUGtDSDUD
ODSULPHUDKRUDGHYHQWDVHOHGHEHGHVXPDUODHQHUJtDTXHVREURGHVSXpVGHODVHJXQGD
KRUDGHYHQWD\ODVHJXQGDKRUDGHYHQWDIDOWDUHVWDUOHODHQHUJtDTXH\DVHOLEHUyHQOD
SULPHUDGHYHQWD/RVYDORUHVSURPHGLRGHHQHUJtDTXHKDEUiHQODVEDWHUtDVDQWHVGHOD
SULPHUD\VHJXQGDKRUDGHYHQWDVRQORVPRVWUDGRVHQOD7DEOD

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽͬŵĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ

ŶƚĞƐĚĞϭƌĂ͘sĞŶƚĂ
ϮϬϳ͘ϱϳ ϰϬϴ͘ϰϱ ϯϴϵ͘Ϭϰ ϯϱϵ͘ϴϮ ϰϰϰ͘ϵϰ ϭϴϯ͘ϯϭ ϮϲϬ͘ϲϯ ϭϴϭ͘ϴϭ Ϯϭϱ͘Ϯϯ ϭϭϭ͘ϲϱ ϭϴϳ͘ϲϬ ϵϱ͘ϱϳ
;ŬtŚͿ
ŶƚĞƐĚĞϮĚĂ͘sĞŶƚĂ
;ŬtŚͿ ϲϴϴ͘ϮϮ Ϯϳϲ͘ϯϱ ϮϮϲ͘ϯϲ ϮϳϮ͘ϬϬ ϭϴϴ͘ϱϯ ϰϳϮ͘ϳϲ ϰϬϭ͘ϳϲ ϰϯϭ͘ϭϯ Ϯϱϵ͘ϵϳ Ϯϴϭ͘ϭϰ ϮϴϮ͘ϳϳ ϯϳϯ͘ϭϲ

Tabla 7.22 Datos característicos promedio que se encontraran en las baterías antes de las 2 horas de venta
seleccionadas.

*UDILFDQGRHVWRVGDWRVREWHQHPRVODVLJXLHQWHJUiILFDGHEDUUDV

N:K


Figura 7.3 Promedios de la energía acumulada antes de las horas seleccionas para venta en 2 horas por día.

3DUD HVWH VHJXQGR PpWRGR GH YHQWD VH DMXVWy OD GLPHQVLyQ GHO EDQFR GH EDWHUtDV HQ
N:KGHFDSDFLGDGGHGHVFDUJD 


 


 &DStWXOR  6LPXODFLRQHV GH YHQWD \ UHVXOWDGRV
HFRQyPLFRV
3DUDWRPDUODGHFLVLyQGHWUDEDMDUFRQHOPpWRGRGHYHQGHUODHQHUJtDHQKRUDSXQWDSRU
GtDHQKRUDVRPiVIXHHQEDVHDOGLDJUDPDGHIOXMRPRVWUDGRHQOD)LJXUDFRPRVH
LQGLFDHQHVWHLQLFLDOPHQWH VRORVHUHDOL]yODHYDOXDFLyQSDUDODYHQWD HQ\KRUDV \
GHSHQGLHQGRGHORVUHVXOWDGRVHFRQyPLFRVGHHVWRVVHSURFHGHUtDDUHDOL]DUVLPXODFLRQHV
GHYHQWDFRQPiVGHKRUDVHVWRSDUDHQFRQWUDUFXiOVHUtDODPDQHUDGHRSHUDFLyQPiV
EHQHILFLRVDHQEDVHDODYHQWDGHKRUDSXQWD WHQLHQGRODQHFHVLGDGGHUHVJXDUGDUPiV
HQHUJtD \ GLPHQVLRQDU XQ EDQFR GH EDWHUtDV PiV JUDQ  R PiV GH  KRUD UHGXFLHQGR OD
FDQWLGDGGHHQHUJtDDDOPDFHQDU\WHQHUXQEDQFRGHEDWHUtDVPiVSHTXHxR 


Figura 8.1 Proceso para decidir número de horas de venta a emplear.

3DUDUHDOL]DUODHYDOXDFLyQGHHVWRVGRVPpWRGRVVLQUHDOL]DUODHYDOXDFLyQFRPSOHWDGHORV
PHVHVVHHOLJLHURQGRVDOD]DU\SUREDUHQEDVHDHVWRVFXiOSUHVHQWDXQPHMRUSHUILO
HFRQyPLFRVLJXLHQGRHOSURFHVRGHOGLDJUDPDGHIOXMR\DPHQFLRQDGR&RPRGHORVPHVHV
HQFXHVWLyQVRORVHGLVSXVRFRQODLQIRUPDFLyQFRPSOHWDGHJHQHUDFLyQGHXQVRORPHV


FRUUHVSRQGLHQWHDDJRVWRHVWHIXHXQRHQORVTXHVHUHDOL]yODVLPXODFLyQGHYHQWD
SDUDODHYDOXDFLyQGHORVPpWRGRV\HORWURHOHJLGRGHPDQHUDDOD]DUIXH-XQLR ORVGDWRV
GHJHQHUDFLyQSRUKRUDGHFDGDXQRGHORVGtDVIXHURQHQEDVHDH[WUDSRODFLyQHQEDVHD
ORV Q~PHURV REWHQLGRV GHO FDPSR IRWRYROWDLFR GHO 'U $UPDQGR /ODPDV WDO \ FRPR VH
H[SOLFyHQHOFDStWXOR 

(YDOXDFLyQGHORVPpWRGRVGHVLPXODFLyQGHYHQWD
o 9HQWDHQPHVGHDJRVWRFRQPpWRGRGHYHQWDHQKRUDSXQWD

(QODV7DEODD7DEODVHPXHVWUDGHOGHVJORVHGHOFRPSRUWDPLHQWRSDUDFDGDKRUD
PRVWUDQGRODDFXPXODFLyQGHHQHUJtDHQODVEDWHUtDV ORVYDORUHVVRQHQ³N:K´ \ODVKRUDV
GH GHVFDUJD\ YHQWDSDUDODKRUDSXQWD SURQRVWLFDGD\ODKRUDDQWHULRUDHVWD YHQWD GH
H[FHGHQWH SDUDFDGDXQRGHORVGtDVGHOPHV ODVKRUDVDQRVHLQFOX\HURQHQ
ODVWDEODV\DTXHWLHQHQORVPLVPRVYDORUHVTXHODVKRUDV\ 

^ŝŐŶŝĨŝĐĂĚŽĚĞůŽƐĐŽůŽƌĞƐ ,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ


ŶĞƌŐşĂƐŝŶǀĞŶĚĞƌĚĞůĚşĂĂŶƚĞƌŝŽƌ ϲ Ϭ ϯϱ͘ϴϰϮϱ ϮϬ͘ϰϱϱ Ϯ͘ϭϵϮϱ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϱϮϱ ϯϲ͘ϲϭϱ ϮϬ͘ϳϭ Ϯ͘ϳϬϮϱ
ϴ ϭϲ͘ϭϱϱ ϱϰ͘ϵϰϱ ϮϮ͘ϰϴ ϮϬ͘ϳϵϮϱ
ϵ ϳϮ͘ϳϬϱ ϭϭϭ͘Ϭϳϱ ϰϵ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϰϳ͘ϯϭϳϱ
ϭϬ ϭϲϬ͘ϳϮϮϱ ϭϵϬ͘Ϭϳ ϭϮϰ͘ϴϮ ϳϴ͘ϳϱϮϱ
ŶĞƌŐşĂĂĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂĚƵƌĂŶƚĞůĂƐ
ϭϭ Ϯϲϵ͘ϱϵ Ϯϵϳ͘Ϭϯϱ Ϯϯϰ͘ϳϮϮϱ ϭϮϭ͘ϲϱϳϱ
ŚŽƌĂƐĚĞŐĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶĚĞů̺ÌĂƐƚĂ
ϭϮ ϯϵϭ͘ϬϮϳϱ ϰϮϰ͘ϳϱ ϯϱϳ͘Ϭϳϱ ϭϵϰ͘ϳϱϮϱ
ĂŶƚĞƐĚĞůĂŚŽƌĂĚĞǀĞŶƚĂ
ϭϯ ϱϭϴ͘ϮϮ ϱϱϳ͘ϳϰ ϰϵϴ͘ϭϭϳϱ Ϯϰϲ͘ϱϵϮϱ
ϭϰ ϲϮϬ͘ϭϵϱ ϲϴϰ͘ϱϲϱ ϲϮϲ͘ϴϳϳϱ Ϯϵϱ͘ϱϵ
ϭϱ ϲϳϭ͘ϵϵϳϱ ϴϬϭ͘ϲϬϱ ϲϵϴ͘ϯϵ ϯϯϲ͘ϱϮϳϱ
ϭϲ ϳϭϯ͘ϴϮϮϱ ϴϲϭ͘ϭϭϳϱ ϲϵϴ͘ϵϱϳϱ ϯϲϵ͘ϲϰ
ƐƚĂƚƵƐĚĞůĂƐďĂƚĞƌşĂƐ͕ƵŶŽŚŽƌĂĂŶƚĞƐ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ĚĞůĂǀĞŶƚĂ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
sĞŶƚĂĚĞůĂŶĞƌŐşĂĞdžĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ ϭϲ Ϭ ϲϭ͘ϭϭϳϱ Ϭ Ϭ
ŶĞƌŐşĂĞŶĂƚĞƌşĂƐ ϭϲ ϳϭϯ͘ϴϮϮϱ ϴϬϬ ϲϵϴ͘ϵϱϳϱ ϯϲϵ͘ϲϰ
sĞŶƚĂĚĞĞŶĞƌŐşĂ;ĂƚнWĂŶĞůĞƐͿ ϭϳ ϳϴϮ͘ϱϵ ϴϲϳ͘ϭϯ ϲϵϵ͘Ϭϯ ϰϬϭ͘ϱϮ
ϭϴ ϯϮ͘ϱϰϱ ϭϱ͘ϭϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϳϱ ϵ͘Ϭϳ
ŶĞƌŐşĂƋƵĞƋƵĞĚĂƌĄĂůŵĂĐĞŶĂĚĂ͕
ϭϵ ϯϲ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϮϬ͘ϲϭϮϱ Ϯ͘ϯϮ ϭϬ͘ϯ
ƉĂƌĂĞůƐŝŐƵŝĞŶƚĞĚşĂ
ϮϬ ϯϱ͘ϴϲϳϱ ϮϬ͘ϰϲϱ Ϯ͘ϮϬϳϱ ϭϬ͘ϭϳϮϱ 
Tabla 8.1 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 1 a 4 (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)




,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϲ ϭϬ͘ϭϱϳϱ ϮϮ͘ϱϰϮϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ϭ͘ϳϰϮϱ Ϯϳ͘Ϯ ϯϮ͘ϱϭϮϱ ϰϬ͘ϭϳϳϱ
ϳ ϭϬ͘ϱϬϮϱ ϮϮ͘ϴϵ ϭ͘Ϯϰϱ Ϯ͘Ϭϯϱ Ϯϴ͘Ϭϭ ϯϯ͘Ϭϲϳϱ ϰϬ͘ϲϱϳϱ
ϴ ϭϳ͘ϬϮϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϵϮϱ ϳ͘ϯϰϮϱ ϭϰ͘Ϯϰϳϱ ϰϰ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϯϱ͘ϳϯ ϰϵ͘ϳϭϳϱ
ϵ ϰϱ͘ϯϳϮϱ ϴϴ͘ϭϮϱ ϯϱ͘ϴϱϮϱ ϰϰ͘ϲϯϮϱ ϵϯ͘ϮϴϮϱ ϴϯ͘ϭϰϱ ϵϬ͘ϯϳϱ
ϭϬ ϭϯϱ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϭϳϲ͘ϳϵϱ ϵϰ͘ϰϵϱ ϭϬϯ͘ϴϳϳϱ ϭϴϳ͘ϬϬϱ ϭϲϮ͘ϯϬϳϱ ϭϵϭ͘ϱϮϳϱ
ϭϭ Ϯϰϵ͘ϵϯ Ϯϲϰ͘ϵϲϮϱ ϮϬϲ ϭϳϳ͘ϴϬϳϱ Ϯϵϵ͘ϴϮϱ Ϯϱϵ͘ϮϳϮϱ Ϯϵϵ͘ϰϳϮϱ
ϭϮ ϯϯϭ͘ϰϮϳϱ ϯϴϳ͘ϴϳ ϯϯϬ͘Ϯϵ ϯϬϴ͘Ϭϵϳϱ ϰϮϯ͘ϯϳϳϱ ϯϳϮ͘ϰϰ ϯϵϵ͘ϰϬϳϱ
ϭϯ ϰϰϵ͘ϰϱ ϱϭϱ͘ϯϮ ϰϰϴ͘ϮϬϳϱ ϰϭϴ͘Ϯϱ ϱϱϴ͘ϭϲϳϱ ϰϴϰ͘ϴϭϮϱ ϰϴϱ͘ϵϰϮϱ
ϭϰ ϱϳϯ͘ϭϬϳϱ ϲϭϭ͘ϵϵ ϱϲϴ͘ϲϳϱ ϱϰϯ͘ϲϬϳϱ ϲϵϬ͘ϯϰ ϱϲϱ͘Ϯϲ ϲϮϴ͘ϳϯ
ϭϱ ϲϲϮ͘ϱϲϱ ϲϴϴ͘ϵϰϮϱ ϲϯϰ͘ϯϭ ϲϱϮ͘Ϭϭ ϴϭϰ͘ϵϰϱ ϲϮϰ͘Ϭϱϳϱ ϳϰϴ͘ϵϴϱ
ϭϲ ϳϱϲ͘ϴϴϮϱ ϳϰϭ͘Ϯϰϳϱ ϲϯϰ͘Ϯϵ ϳϯϴ͘Ϭϭϱ ϴϵϵ͘ϵϴϮϱ ϲϲϱ͘ϵϬϳϱ ϴϱϬ͘Ϭϰ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ ϵϵ͘ϵϴϮϱ Ϭ ϱϬ͘Ϭϰ
ϭϲ ϳϱϲ͘ϴϴϮϱ ϳϰϭ͘Ϯϰϳϱ ϲϯϰ͘Ϯϵ ϳϯϴ͘Ϭϭϱ ϴϬϬ ϲϲϱ͘ϵϬϳϱ ϴϬϬ
ϭϳ ϴϭϬ͘ϲϭϱ ϳϵϭ͘ϱϱϱ ϲϯϰ͘Ϯϵϱ ϳϴϳ͘ϱϯϱ ϴϯϱ͘Ϯϱϱ ϲϵϯ͘ϴϲϱ ϴϱϰ͘ϮϯϮϱ
ϭϴ ϮϬ͘ϯϵϱ Ϭ͘ϯϯϱ Ϭ͘ϴϴϱ Ϯϯ͘ϳϰϮϱ Ϯϳ͘ϲϯϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϲϯϳϱ ϯϬ͘ϳϭϳϱ
ϭϵ ϮϮ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϴϱ ϭ͘ϳϳϮϱ Ϯϳ͘ϯϰϱ ϯϮ͘ϱϴϳϱ ϰϬ͘Ϯϲϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϱϴ
ϮϬ ϮϮ͘ϱϱϳϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϬϮϱ ϭ͘ϳϱϳϱ Ϯϳ͘ϮϭϮϱ ϯϮ͘ϱϯ ϰϬ͘ϭϵϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϱϭϱ 

Tabla 8.2 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 5 a 11 (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ


ϲ ϯϰ͘ϱϬϮϱ ϯϰ͘ϯ ϯϯ͘ϳϬϱ ϯϰ͘ϲϴϮϱ ϯϯ͘ϮϲϮϱ ϭϲ͘ϵϮ ϯϲ͘ϵϱϳϱ
ϳ ϯϱ͘ϬϴϮϱ ϯϰ͘ϱϳϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϭϰϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϳϱϱ ϯϯ͘ϰϯϱ ϭϳ͘ϱϰϮϱ ϯϳ͘ϰϲ
ϴ ϲϴ͘ϯϬϱ ϰϬ͘ϯϬϳϱ ϯϳ͘ϲϮϮϱ ϯϲ͘ϭϰϮϱ ϰϭ͘ϯ ϯϳ͘ϵϴϳϱ ϱϯ͘ϵϮϮϱ
ϵ ϭϭϳ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϵϲ͘ϴϳϳϱ ϲϭ͘ϭϰ ϰϰ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϭϬϭ͘ϳϳϮϱ ϳϳ͘ϭϭϳϱ ϵϬ͘ϵϮϱ
ϭϬ ϮϬϮ͘ϳϰϮϱ ϭϴϱ͘ϭϮϮϱ ϭϭϲ͘Ϭϰ ϴϬ͘ϮϮ ϭϴϬ͘ϴ ϭϱϱ͘ϬϳϮϱ ϭϱϴ͘Ϭϲ
ϭϭ ϯϭϵ͘ϵϵϱ ϯϬϬ͘Ϭϵϳϱ ϭϵϲ͘ϵϱϮϱ ϭϲϯ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϮϴϮ͘ϯϴϳϱ ϮϳϮ͘ϱϱϳϱ Ϯϲϵ͘ϱϮϮϱ
ϭϮ ϰϰϳ͘ϴϴ ϰϮϲ͘ϳϲϮϱ ϯϮϭ͘ϳϮϳϱ Ϯϵϯ͘Ϭϭϳϱ ϰϬϲ͘ϵϯ ϯϵϮ͘Ϯϯϳϱ ϯϵϰ͘ϮϬϱ
ϭϯ ϱϴϬ͘ϳϴ ϱϱϵ͘Ϯ ϰϱϬ͘ϰϲ ϰϮϬ͘ϵϬϱ ϱϯϮ͘Ϯϵ ϱϮϯ͘Ϭϰ ϱϭϰ͘ϱϲϳϱ
ϭϰ ϳϬϵ͘ϱϭ ϲϴϳ͘ϰϳ ϱϳϰ͘Ϯϳϳϱ ϱϰϱ͘ϱϯϮϱ ϲϱϲ͘ϭϵ ϲϰϵ͘ϳϯϮϱ ϲϯϵ͘ϳϵϱ
ϭϱ ϴϮϲ͘ϯϲ ϴϬϰ͘Ϯϴϱ ϲϴϰ͘ϱϭϳϱ ϲϱϴ͘ϴϮ ϳϲϮ͘ϯϲϳϱ ϳϰϰ͘ϴϳϮϱ ϳϱϰ͘ϲϱϱ
ϭϲ ϵϮϯ͘ϯϯ ϴϵϵ͘ϯϭ ϳϲϵ͘Ϯϱϱ ϳϱϭ͘ϭϲϮϱ ϴϰϬ͘ϲϬϳϱ ϳϵϵ͘ϮϮϮϱ ϴϮϬ͘ϰϱϳϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ ϭϮϯ͘ϯϯ ϵϵ͘ϯϭ Ϭ Ϭ ϰϬ͘ϲϬϳϱ Ϭ ϮϬ͘ϰϱϳϱ
ϭϲ ϴϬϬ ϴϬϬ ϳϲϵ͘Ϯϱϱ ϳϱϭ͘ϭϲϮϱ ϴϬϬ ϳϵϵ͘ϮϮϮϱ ϳϴϯ͘ϱ
ϭϳ ϴϲϳ͘ϵϭϮϱ ϴϲϲ͘ϲϱϮϱ ϴϯϭ͘ϱϰϳϱ ϴϭϰ͘ϯϵ ϴϰϯ͘ϲϭϱ ϴϲϳ͘ϲϭ ϳϵϭ͘Ϯ
ϭϴ ϯϬ͘ϯϲϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϳϵϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϲϬϱ Ϯϴ͘ϵϴ ϭϯ͘ϮϬϱ ϯϯ͘ϵϴ ϯ͘ϵϴϱ
ϭϵ ϯϰ͘ϯϵϱ ϯϯ͘ϳϵϱ ϯϰ͘ϳϲϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϯϲϱ ϭϳ͘ϬϰϮϱ ϯϳ͘ϬϲϮϱ ϰ͘ϵϭϮϱ
ϮϬ ϯϰ͘ϯϮ ϯϯ͘ϳϮϱ ϯϰ͘ϲϵϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϮϳϮϱ ϭϲ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϯϲ͘ϵϳϱ ϰ͘ϴϬϳϱ 
Tabla 8.3 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 12 a 18 (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϲ ϰ͘ϴ Ϯϰ͘ϳϵϳϱ ϯϬ͘ϲϮϱ ϯϮ͘ϯϳϮϱ Ϯϯ͘ϵϭ ϯϲ͘ϮϮϮϯϯϯϯ ϰ͘ϭϮϲϴϯϯϯϯ
ϳ ϱ͘ϰϮϳϱ Ϯϱ͘ϭϱϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϳϵ ϯϮ͘ϵϯϱ Ϯϰ͘ϰϭϮϱ ϱϰ͘ϲϵϳϭϲϲϳ ϰ͘ϯϮϲϴϯϯϯϯ
ϴ Ϯϯ͘ϱϬϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϳϬϮϱ ϯϯ͘ϵϴ ϱϮ͘Ϭϯ ϰϯ͘ϲϲϳϱ ϭϭϰ͘ϴϴ ϮϬ͘ϱϮϭϴϯϯϯ
ϵ ϴϯ͘ϯϮ ϭϬϭ͘Ϭϱϳϱ ϲϳ͘ϱϱϳϱ ϭϭϰ͘Ϯϲϱ ϭϬϱ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϮϬϲ͘ϭϬϳϲϲϳ ϳϮ͘ϵϭϲϴϯϯϯ
ϭϬ ϭϳϱ͘ϱϴϳϱ ϭϴϵ͘ϯϬϳϱ ϭϱϯ͘ϳϴ ϮϭϬ͘ϱϲϱ ϭϵϴ͘ϴϭϳϱ ϯϭϲ͘ϰϵϲϭϲϳ ϭϲϯ͘Ϯϵϵϯϯϯ
ϭϭ Ϯϴϵ͘ϴϭϮϱ ϯϬϰ͘ϰϮϱ Ϯϱϰ͘ϱϲ ϯϮϱ͘ϭϴϳϱ ϯϭϰ͘Ϭϭϱ ϰϰϬ͘Ϭϴϴϱ Ϯϲϲ͘ϵϲϰϯϯϯ
ϭϮ ϰϭϳ͘Ϭϳϳϱ ϰϯϵ͘ϴϭϱ ϯϱϮ͘ϬϮϱ ϰϰϮ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϰϰϭ͘ϬϬϳϱ ϱϳϮ͘ϴϭϮϱ ϰϬϭ͘ϴϬϵϯϯϯ
ϭϯ ϱϱϮ͘ϳϵϮϱ ϱϱϴ͘ϲϵϮϱ ϰϮϵ͘ϭϵϮϱ ϱϳϱ͘ϯϴϱ ϱϳϰ͘ϵϭ ϲϲϰ͘ϮϬϮϯϯϯ ϱϯϴ͘ϲϰϲϴϯϯ
ϭϰ ϲϴϰ͘ϲϱϮϱ ϲϵϲ͘ϭϳϱ ϱϲϱ͘ϱϵϱ ϲϱϯ͘ϴϱϱ ϲϮϯ͘ϱϯϱ ϳϰϴ͘ϴϱϯϲϲϳ ϲϮϴ͘ϰϵϵϯϯϯ
ϭϱ ϳϵϱ͘ϰϮϳϱ ϴϭϵ͘ϰϲϱ ϲϰϴ͘ϯϰϳϱ ϳϱϲ͘ϴϯϮϱ ϲϱϵ͘ϰϱϮϱ ϳϳϵ͘ϴϱϯϭϲϳ ϳϰϱ͘Ϭϯϵϯϯϯ
ϭϲ ϴϵϱ͘ϯϯϱ ϵϭϯ͘ϵϱϮϱ ϳϱϯ͘ϲϬϮϱ ϳϳϱ͘ϬϱϮϱ ϳϭϭ͘ϭϯϱ ϳϵϵ͘ϲϱϰϲϲϳ ϴϰϭ͘ϰϲϭϴϯϯ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ ϵϱ͘ϯϯϱ ϭϭϯ͘ϵϱϮϱ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ ϰϭ͘ϰϲϭϴϯϯϯ
ϭϲ ϴϬϬ ϴϬϬ ϳϱϯ͘ϲϬϮϱ ϳϳϱ͘ϬϱϮϱ ϳϭϭ͘ϭϯϱ ϳϵϵ͘ϲϱϰϲϲϳ ϴϬϬ
ϭϳ ϴϲϵ͘ϯϲϮϱ ϴϲϳ͘ϵϱ ϴϮϰ͘Ϭϴ ϳϵϯ͘ϴ ϳϲϱ͘ϯϰϮϱ ϴϭϯ͘ϬϮϲ ϴϰϵ͘ϳϳϱ
ϭϴ Ϯϰ͘ϳϵϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϬϬϱ Ϯϵ͘ϯϰϮϱ ϭϵ͘ϲϮϳϱ ϯϮ͘ϮϱϮϱ ϰ͘Ϯϱϭϯϯϯϯϯ ϮϬ͘ϰϬϳϱ
ϭϵ Ϯϰ͘ϵϬϳϱ ϯϬ͘ϳϱ ϯϮ͘ϰϵ Ϯϰ͘Ϭϯ ϯϱ͘ϳϴ ϰ͘ϭϰϲϴϯϯϯϯ Ϯϱ͘Ϭϳ
ϮϬ Ϯϰ͘ϴϭϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϲϱϱ ϯϮ͘ϰϬϮϱ Ϯϯ͘ϵϯ ϯϱ͘ϳϲϮϱ ϰ͘ϭϰϲϴϯϯϯϯ Ϯϱ͘ϬϰϮϱ 

Tabla 8.4 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 19 a 25 (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϮϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ


ϲ Ϯϱ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϯϱ͘Ϯϱϳϱ Ϯϴ͘ϵϬϮϱ ϮϮ͘ϯϯϱ ϯϬ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϮϬ͘ϭϵϱ
ϳ Ϯϱ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϯϱ͘ϵϯϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϰϴϱ ϮϮ͘ϴϲϮϱ ϯϭ͘ϰϬϱ Ϯϭ͘ϲϰϳϱ
ϴ ϯϵ͘ϳϱ ϱϰ͘ϬϰϮϱ ϱϭ͘ϵϴϮϱ ϰϰ͘ϵϯϮϱ ϱϬ͘ϱϲ ϰϭ͘ϴϳϮϱ
ϵ ϳϳ͘ϭϳϮϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϳϵϮϱ ϭϭϵ͘ϭϱϳϱ ϭϬϰ͘ϱϳ ϭϭϮ͘ϳϭ ϭϭϲ͘ϳϬϳϱ
ϭϬ ϭϳϮ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϭϴϭ͘ϲϱϳϱ ϮϬϳ͘ϱϴϮϱ ϮϬϮ͘ϮϵϮϱ ϮϬϲ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϮϬϵ͘ϯϱ
ϭϭ Ϯϴϭ͘Ϯϲ ϯϬϯ͘ϲϴϮϱ ϯϮϰ͘Ϭϯϳϱ ϯϮϰ͘ϴϬϳϱ ϯϮϯ͘Ϭϯ ϯϮϱ͘ϬϬϱ
ϭϮ ϰϭϰ͘ϵϳ ϰϭϵ͘ϳϯ ϰϬϴ͘ϵϮϱ ϰϲϮ͘ϰϰϳϱ ϰϱϲ͘ϱϴϳϱ ϰϰϳ͘Ϯϳ
ϭϯ ϱϯϯ͘ϳϯ ϱϱϴ͘ϱϴϮϱ ϱϮϴ͘ϯϳϮϱ ϲϬϯ͘ϯϵϳϱ ϱϵϬ͘Ϯϭϱ ϱϰϲ͘ϯϰϳϱ
ϭϰ ϲϲϴ͘ϭϵϱ ϲϵϯ͘ϴϭϳϱ ϲϮϯ͘ϲϰ ϳϰϯ͘ϮϬϮϱ ϳϮϬ͘ϬϮϱ ϲϴϰ͘ϰϭϳϱ
ϭϱ ϳϴϵ͘ϵϰϱ ϴϭϲ͘ϳϱϮϱ ϲϵϬ͘ϰϵ ϴϲϳ͘ϲϭϳϱ ϴϯϴ͘ϭϴϱ ϳϵϮ͘ϱϲϱ
ϭϲ ϴϵϮ͘ϳϱ ϵϭϳ͘ϭϵϮϱ ϳϴϭ͘ϳϱ ϵϲϲ͘ϲϱϳϱ ϴϵϲ͘ϳϰϱ ϴϱϱ͘ϵϳϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ ϵϮ͘ϳϱ ϭϭϳ͘ϭϵϮϱ Ϭ ϭϲϲ͘ϲϱϳϱ ϵϲ͘ϳϰϱ ϱϱ͘ϵϳϱ
ϭϲ ϴϬϬ ϴϬϬ ϳϴϭ͘ϳϱ ϴϬϬ ϴϬϬ ϴϬϬ
ϭϳ ϴϰϭ͘ϳϯϮϱ ϴϲϳ͘ϳϭ ϴϭϬ͘ϳϳϱ ϴϲϲ͘ϵϯϮϱ ϴϮϵ͘ϵϴϱ ϴϰϰ͘ϰϴϳϱ
ϭϴ ϯϭ͘ϲϰϱ Ϯϴ͘ϭϯϳϱ Ϯϭ͘ϭϮϳϱ Ϯϳ͘ϳϭϱ ϭϲ͘ϭϯϱ ϭϭ͘ϲϱϮϱ
ϭϵ ϯϱ͘ϮϰϮϱ Ϯϴ͘ϵϭ ϮϮ͘ϯϳ ϯϬ͘ϵϯϱ ϮϬ͘Ϯϭϱ ϭϮ͘ϭϭ
ϮϬ ϯϱ͘Ϯϳ Ϯϴ͘ϵϮ ϮϮ͘ϯϱ ϯϬ͘ϵϯ ϮϬ͘ϮϭϮϱ ϭϮ͘ϭϭϮϱ 
Tabla 8.5 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 26 a 31 (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)


/RV30/V 0:K GHODVKRUDVGHYHQWD ODVHOHFFLRQDGD\ODGHOH[FHGHQWH GHODVWDEODVDQWHULRUHVVHPXHVWUDQDFRQWLQXDFLyQ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϬϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϲ ϭϰϲϭ͘ϰϭ ϭϳϳϮ͘ϵϭ ϭϱϮϵ͘Ϯϰ ϭϱϴϰ͘Ϯϴ ϭϯϳϮ͘Ϭϲ ϭϭϰϳ͘Ϭϲ ϭϲϱϯ͘ϲ ϭϲϰϯ͘Ϯϴ ϭϵϮϱ͘ϳϮ ϮϮϵϰ͘ϱϴ ϭϱϰϳ͘Ϭϯ
ϭϳ ϭϰϮϳ͘ϯϵ ϭϲϮϲ͘Ϭϯ ϭϲϮϵ͘ϵϯ ϭϱϴϯ͘Ϭϱ ϭϰϬϵ͘ϮϮ ϭϭϴϭ͘ϰϵ ϭϳϮϰ͘ϵϴ ϭϲϰϯ͘ϵϰ ϭϴϰϰ͘ϭϰ ϮϮϳϮ͘ϴϰ ϭϯϳϬ͘ϱϴ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϭϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϲ ϭϮϲϮ͘ϴϰ ϴϲϴ͘ϭϴ ϭϴϬϱ͘Ϭϰ Ϯϰϯϲ͘Ϭϱ ϮϮϱϭ͘ϯϯ ϭϱϳϱ͘ϲϱ ϭϱϱϯ͘ϵϰ ϭϮϳϮ͘ϵϯ ϴϮϳ͘ϱϳ ϭϲϰϰ͘ϰϭ ϭϱϴϱ͘ϴϭ
ϭϳ ϭϮϱϲ͘Ϯϰ ϴϳϮ͘ϵϭ ϭϲϴϵ͘ϰϮ ϯϬϰϲ͘ϯϯ ϮϮϮϰ͘ϰϴ ϭϱϰϬ͘ϯϰ ϭϱϱϵ͘ϱϲ ϭϮϬϯ͘ϵϲ ϴϭϴ͘ϱϳ ϭϲϯϲ͘Ϯϴ ϭϲϱϭ͘ϲϮ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϮϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϲ Ϯϴϵϭ͘ϳϭ ϭϵϰϱ͘ϵϭ ϲϲϳ͘ϴϳ ϭϱϬϳ͘Ϯϯ ϴϱϳ͘ϴϴ Ϯϴϴϲ͘ϴϳ ϮϴϮϬ͘ϴϴ ϯϰϲϱ͘ϳϵ ϭϳϲϮ͘Ϭϱ
ϭϳ ϮϱϳϬ͘ϲϰ ϮϬϯϯ͘ϭϭ ϳϯϵ͘Ϯϭ ϭϯϵϱ͘ϳ ϴϴϲ͘ϲϮ ϯϬϵϵ͘Ϯϵ ϮϴϳϬ͘Ϭϯ Ϯϵϳϱ͘ϱϵ ϭϳϬϭ͘Ϭϵ 
Tabla 8.6 PMLs de la hora seleccionada para venta y la hora de venta del excedente (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)

/RVPRQWRVREWHQLGRVGHFDGDGtDHOWRWDOGHOPHV\HOSURPHGLRSRUGtDVHPXHVWUDQHQODVLJXLHQWHWDEOD


Tabla 8.7 Montos obtenidos (agosto 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o 3DUDHOPpWRGRGHYHQWDGHKRUDVSXQWDSRUGtDODGLQiPLFDGHFDGDXQRGHORVGtDVVHPXHVWUDGHOD7DEODD7DEOD
GDWRVHQN:K 


^ŝŐŶŝĨŝĐĂĚŽĚĞůŽƐĐŽůŽƌĞƐ ,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ŶĞƌŐşĂƐŝŶǀĞŶĚĞƌĚĞůĚşĂĂŶƚĞƌŝŽƌ ϲ Ϭ ϯϱ͘ϴϰϮϱ ϮϬ͘ϰϱϱ Ϯ͘ϭϵϮϱ
ϳ Ϭ͘ϳϳϱ ϯϲ͘ϲϭϱ ϮϬ͘ϳϭ Ϯ͘ϳϬϮϱ
ŶĞƌŐşĂĂĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂĚƵƌĂŶƚĞůĂƐ ϴ ϭϲ͘ϭϱϱ ϱϰ͘ϵϰϱ ϮϮ͘ϰϴ ϮϬ͘ϳϵϮϱ
ŚŽƌĂƐĚĞŐĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶĚĞů̺ÌĂƐƚĂ ϵ ϳϮ͘ϳϬϱ ϭϭϭ͘Ϭϳϱ ϰϵ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϰϳ͘ϯϭϳϱ
ĂŶƚĞƐĚĞůĂŚŽƌĂĚĞǀĞŶƚĂ ϭϬ ϭϲϬ͘ϳϮϮϱ ϭϵϬ͘Ϭϳ ϭϮϰ͘ϴϮ ϳϴ͘ϳϱϮϱ
ϭϭ Ϯϲϵ͘ϱϵ Ϯϵϳ͘Ϭϯϱ Ϯϯϰ͘ϳϮϮϱ ϭϮϭ͘ϲϱϳϱ
ƐƚĂƚƵƐĚĞůĂƐďĂƚĞƌşĂƐ͕ƵŶŽŚŽƌĂĂŶƚĞƐ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϭ
ĚĞůĂǀĞŶƚĂ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
sĞŶƚĂĚĞůĂŶĞƌŐşĂĞdžĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
sĞŶƚĂĚĞĞŶĞƌŐşĂ;ĂƚнWĂŶĞůĞƐͿ ϭϮ ϯϵϭ͘ϬϮϳϱ ϯϴϴ͘ϵϬϳϱ ϯϯϲ͘ϲϮ ϭϵϮ͘ϱϲ
ϭϯ ϭϮϳ͘ϭϵϮϱ ϭϯϮ͘ϵϵ ϭϰϭ͘ϬϰϮϱ ϱϭ͘ϴϰ
ŶĞƌŐşĂĂĐƵŵƵůĂĚĂĚƵƌĂŶƚĞůĂƐ
ϭϰ ϮϮϵ͘ϭϲϳϱ Ϯϱϵ͘ϴϭϱ Ϯϲϵ͘ϴϬϮϱ ϭϬϬ͘ϴϯϳϱ
ŚŽƌĂƐĚĞŐĞŶĞƌĂĐŝſŶĚĞů̺ÌĂƐƚĂ
ϭϱ ϮϴϬ͘ϵϳ ϯϳϲ͘ϴϱϱ ϯϰϭ͘ϯϭϱ ϭϰϭ͘ϳϳϱ
ĂŶƚĞƐĚĞůĂŚŽƌĂĚĞǀĞŶƚĂ
ϭϲ ϯϮϮ͘ϳϵϱ ϰϯϲ͘ϯϲϳϱ ϯϰϭ͘ϴϴϮϱ ϭϳϰ͘ϴϴϳϱ
ƐƚĂƚƵƐĚĞůĂƐďĂƚĞƌşĂƐ͕ƵŶŽŚŽƌĂĂŶƚĞƐ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ĚĞůĂǀĞŶƚĂ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
sĞŶƚĂĚĞůĂŶĞƌŐşĂĞdžĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ ϭϲ Ϭ ϯϲ͘ϯϲϳϱ Ϭ Ϭ
sĞŶƚĂĚĞĞŶĞƌŐşĂ;ĂƚнWĂŶĞůĞƐͿ ϭϳ ϯϵϭ͘ϱϲϮϱ ϰϲϳ͘ϭϯ ϯϰϭ͘ϵϱϱ ϮϬϲ͘ϳϲϳϱ
ϭϴ ϯϮ͘ϱϰϱ ϭϱ͘ϭϯϱ ϭ͘Ϯϳϱ ϵ͘Ϭϳ
ŶĞƌŐşĂƋƵĞƋƵĞĚĂƌĄĂůŵĂĐĞŶĂĚĂ͕
ϭϵ ϯϲ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϮϬ͘ϲϭϮϱ Ϯ͘ϯϮ ϭϬ͘ϯ
ƉĂƌĂĞůƐŝŐƵŝĞŶƚĞĚşĂ
ϮϬ ϯϱ͘ϴϲϳϱ ϮϬ͘ϰϲϱ Ϯ͘ϮϬϳϱ ϭϬ͘ϭϳϮϱ 
Tabla 8.8 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 1 a 4 (agosto 2017, método 2 horas punta)

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϬϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ


ϲ ϭϬ͘ϭϱϳϱ ϮϮ͘ϱϰϮϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϮ ϭ͘ϳϰϮϱ Ϯϳ͘Ϯ ϯϮ͘ϱϭϮϱ ϰϬ͘ϭϳϳϱ
ϳ ϭϬ͘ϱϬϮϱ ϮϮ͘ϴϵ ϭ͘Ϯϰϱ Ϯ͘Ϭϯϱ Ϯϴ͘Ϭϭ ϯϯ͘Ϭϲϳϱ ϰϬ͘ϲϱϳϱ
ϴ ϭϳ͘ϬϮϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϵϮϱ ϳ͘ϯϰϮϱ ϭϰ͘Ϯϰϳϱ ϰϰ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϯϱ͘ϳϯ ϰϵ͘ϳϭϳϱ
ϵ ϰϱ͘ϯϳϮϱ ϴϴ͘ϭϮϱ ϯϱ͘ϴϱϮϱ ϰϰ͘ϲϯϮϱ ϵϯ͘ϮϴϮϱ ϴϯ͘ϭϰϱ ϵϬ͘ϯϳϱ
ϭϬ ϭϯϱ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϭϳϲ͘ϳϵϱ ϵϰ͘ϰϵϱ ϭϬϯ͘ϴϳϳϱ ϭϴϳ͘ϬϬϱ ϭϲϮ͘ϯϬϳϱ ϭϵϭ͘ϱϮϳϱ
ϭϭ Ϯϰϵ͘ϵϯ Ϯϲϰ͘ϵϲϮϱ ϮϬϲ ϭϳϳ͘ϴϬϳϱ Ϯϵϵ͘ϴϮϱ Ϯϱϵ͘ϮϳϮϱ Ϯϵϵ͘ϰϳϮϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϭ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
ϭϮ ϯϮϭ͘Ϯϳ ϯϲϱ͘ϯϮϳϱ ϯϯϬ͘ϯϭ ϯϬϲ͘ϯϱϱ ϯϵϲ͘ϭϳϳϱ ϯϯϵ͘ϵϮϳϱ ϯϱϵ͘Ϯϯ
ϭϯ ϭϭϴ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϭϮϳ͘ϰϱ ϭϭϳ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϭϭϬ͘ϭϱϮϱ ϭϯϰ͘ϳϵ ϭϭϮ͘ϯϳϮϱ ϴϲ͘ϱϯϱ
ϭϰ Ϯϰϭ͘ϲϴ ϮϮϰ͘ϭϮ Ϯϯϴ͘ϯϴϱ Ϯϯϱ͘ϱϭ Ϯϲϲ͘ϵϲϮϱ ϭϵϮ͘ϴϮ ϮϮϵ͘ϯϮϮϱ
ϭϱ ϯϯϭ͘ϭϯϳϱ ϯϬϭ͘ϬϳϮϱ ϯϬϰ͘ϬϮ ϯϰϯ͘ϵϭϮϱ ϯϵϭ͘ϱϲϳϱ Ϯϱϭ͘ϲϭϳϱ ϯϰϵ͘ϱϳϳϱ
ϭϲ ϰϮϱ͘ϰϱϱ ϯϱϯ͘ϯϳϳϱ ϯϬϰ ϰϮϵ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϰϳϲ͘ϲϬϱ Ϯϵϯ͘ϰϲϳϱ ϰϱϬ͘ϲϯϮϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ Ϯϱ͘ϰϱϱ Ϭ Ϭ Ϯϵ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϳϲ͘ϲϬϱ Ϭ ϱϬ͘ϲϯϮϱ
ϭϳ ϰϱϯ͘ϳϯϮϱ ϰϬϯ͘ϲϴϱ ϯϬϰ͘ϬϬϱ ϰϰϵ͘ϱϮ ϰϯϱ͘Ϯϱϱ ϯϮϭ͘ϰϮϱ ϰϱϰ͘ϮϯϮϱ
ϭϴ ϮϬ͘ϯϵϱ Ϭ͘ϯϯϱ Ϭ͘ϴϴϱ Ϯϯ͘ϳϰϮϱ Ϯϳ͘ϲϯϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϲϯϳϱ ϯϬ͘ϳϭϳϱ
ϭϵ ϮϮ͘ϲϰ Ϭ͘Ϭϴϱ ϭ͘ϳϳϮϱ Ϯϳ͘ϯϰϱ ϯϮ͘ϱϴϳϱ ϰϬ͘Ϯϲϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϱϴ
ϮϬ ϮϮ͘ϱϱϳϱ ͲϬ͘ϬϬϮϱ ϭ͘ϳϱϳϱ Ϯϳ͘ϮϭϮϱ ϯϮ͘ϱϯ ϰϬ͘ϭϵϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϱϭϱ 

Tabla 8.9 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 5 a 11 (agosto 2017, método 2 horas punta)


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϲ ϯϰ͘ϱϬϮϱ ϯϰ͘ϯ ϯϯ͘ϳϬϱ ϯϰ͘ϲϴϮϱ ϯϯ͘ϮϲϮϱ ϭϲ͘ϵϮ ϯϲ͘ϵϱϳϱ
ϳ ϯϱ͘ϬϴϮϱ ϯϰ͘ϱϳϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϭϰϳϱ ϯϰ͘ϳϱϱ ϯϯ͘ϰϯϱ ϭϳ͘ϱϰϮϱ ϯϳ͘ϰϲ
ϴ ϲϴ͘ϯϬϱ ϰϬ͘ϯϬϳϱ ϯϳ͘ϲϮϮϱ ϯϲ͘ϭϰϮϱ ϰϭ͘ϯ ϯϳ͘ϵϴϳϱ ϱϯ͘ϵϮϮϱ
ϵ ϭϭϳ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϵϲ͘ϴϳϳϱ ϲϭ͘ϭϰ ϰϰ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϭϬϭ͘ϳϳϮϱ ϳϳ͘ϭϭϳϱ ϵϬ͘ϵϮϱ
ϭϬ ϮϬϮ͘ϳϰϮϱ ϭϴϱ͘ϭϮϮϱ ϭϭϲ͘Ϭϰ ϴϬ͘ϮϮ ϭϴϬ͘ϴ ϭϱϱ͘ϬϳϮϱ ϭϱϴ͘Ϭϲ
ϭϭ ϯϭϵ͘ϵϵϱ ϯϬϬ͘Ϭϵϳϱ ϭϵϲ͘ϵϱϮϱ ϭϲϯ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϮϴϮ͘ϯϴϳϱ ϮϳϮ͘ϱϱϳϱ Ϯϲϵ͘ϱϮϮϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϭ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
ϭϮ ϰϭϯ͘ϯϳϳϱ ϯϵϮ͘ϰϲϮϱ Ϯϴϴ͘ϬϮϮϱ Ϯϱϴ͘ϯϯϱ ϯϳϯ͘ϲϲϳϱ ϯϳϱ͘ϯϭϳϱ ϯϱϳ͘Ϯϰϳϱ
ϭϯ ϭϯϮ͘ϵ ϭϯϮ͘ϰϯϳϱ ϭϮϴ͘ϳϯϮϱ ϭϮϳ͘ϴϴϳϱ ϭϮϱ͘ϯϲ ϭϯϬ͘ϴϬϮϱ ϭϮϬ͘ϯϲϮϱ
ϭϰ Ϯϲϭ͘ϲϯ ϮϲϬ͘ϳϬϳϱ ϮϱϮ͘ϱϱ ϮϱϮ͘ϱϭϱ Ϯϰϵ͘Ϯϲ Ϯϱϳ͘ϰϵϱ Ϯϰϱ͘ϱϵ
ϭϱ ϯϳϴ͘ϰϴ ϯϳϳ͘ϱϮϮϱ ϯϲϮ͘ϳϵ ϯϲϱ͘ϴϬϮϱ ϯϱϱ͘ϰϯϳϱ ϯϱϮ͘ϲϯϱ ϯϲϬ͘ϰϱ
ϭϲ ϰϳϱ͘ϰϱ ϰϳϮ͘ϱϰϳϱ ϰϰϳ͘ϱϮϳϱ ϰϱϴ͘ϭϰϱ ϰϯϯ͘ϲϳϳϱ ϰϬϲ͘ϵϴϱ ϰϮϲ͘ϮϱϮϱ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ

ϭϲ ϳϱ͘ϰϱ ϳϮ͘ϱϰϳϱ ϰϳ͘ϱϮϳϱ ϱϴ͘ϭϰϱ ϯϯ͘ϲϳϳϱ ϲ͘ϵϴϱ Ϯϲ͘ϮϱϮϱ


ϭϳ ϰϲϳ͘ϵϭϮϱ ϰϲϲ͘ϲϱϮϱ ϰϲϮ͘ϮϵϮϱ ϰϲϯ͘ϮϮϳϱ ϰϰϯ͘ϲϭϱ ϰϲϴ͘ϯϴϳϱ ϰϬϳ͘ϳ
ϭϴ ϯϬ͘ϯϲϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϳϵϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϲϬϱ Ϯϴ͘ϵϴ ϭϯ͘ϮϬϱ ϯϯ͘ϵϴ ϯ͘ϵϴϱ
ϭϵ ϯϰ͘ϯϵϱ ϯϯ͘ϳϵϱ ϯϰ͘ϳϲϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϯϲϱ ϭϳ͘ϬϰϮϱ ϯϳ͘ϬϲϮϱ ϰ͘ϵϭϮϱ
ϮϬ ϯϰ͘ϯϮ ϯϯ͘ϳϮϱ ϯϰ͘ϲϵϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϮϳϮϱ ϭϲ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϯϲ͘ϵϳϱ ϰ͘ϴϬϳϱ 

Tabla 8.10 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 11 a 18 (agosto 2017, método 2 horas punta)

,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϭϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ


ϲ ϰ͘ϴ Ϯϰ͘ϳϵϳϱ ϯϬ͘ϲϮϱ ϯϮ͘ϯϳϮϱ Ϯϯ͘ϵϭ ϯϲ͘ϮϮϮϯϯϯϯ ϰ͘ϭϮϲϴϯϯϯϯ
ϳ ϱ͘ϰϮϳϱ Ϯϱ͘ϭϱϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϳϵ ϯϮ͘ϵϯϱ Ϯϰ͘ϰϭϮϱ ϱϰ͘ϲϵϳϭϲϲϳ ϰ͘ϯϮϲϴϯϯϯϯ
ϴ Ϯϯ͘ϱϬϳϱ ϯϯ͘ϳϬϮϱ ϯϯ͘ϵϴ ϱϮ͘Ϭϯ ϰϯ͘ϲϲϳϱ ϭϭϰ͘ϴϴ ϮϬ͘ϱϮϭϴϯϯϯ
ϵ ϴϯ͘ϯϮ ϭϬϭ͘Ϭϱϳϱ ϲϳ͘ϱϱϳϱ ϭϭϰ͘Ϯϲϱ ϭϬϱ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϮϬϲ͘ϭϬϳϲϲϳ ϳϮ͘ϵϭϲϴϯϯϯ
ϭϬ ϭϳϱ͘ϱϴϳϱ ϭϴϵ͘ϯϬϳϱ ϭϱϯ͘ϳϴ ϮϭϬ͘ϱϲϱ ϭϵϴ͘ϴϭϳϱ ϯϭϲ͘ϰϵϲϭϲϳ ϭϲϯ͘Ϯϵϵϯϯϯ
ϭϭ Ϯϴϵ͘ϴϭϮϱ ϯϬϰ͘ϰϮϱ Ϯϱϰ͘ϱϲ ϯϮϱ͘ϭϴϳϱ ϯϭϰ͘Ϭϭϱ ϰϰϬ͘Ϭϴϴϱ Ϯϲϲ͘ϵϲϰϯϯϯ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϭ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ ϰϬ͘Ϭϴϴϱ Ϭ
ϭϮ ϰϭϮ͘Ϯϳϳϱ ϰϭϱ͘Ϭϭϳϱ ϯϮϭ͘ϰ ϰϬϵ͘ϳϰ ϰϭϳ͘Ϭϵϳϱ ϰϵϲ͘ϱϬϭϲϲϳ ϯϵϳ͘ϲϴϮϱ
ϭϯ ϭϯϱ͘ϳϭϱ ϭϭϴ͘ϴϳϳϱ ϳϳ͘ϭϲϳϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϮϳϮϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϵϬϮϱ ϵϭ͘ϯϴϵϴϯϯϯ ϭϯϲ͘ϴϯϳϱ
ϭϰ Ϯϲϳ͘ϱϳϱ Ϯϱϲ͘ϯϲ Ϯϭϯ͘ϱϳ Ϯϭϭ͘ϳϰϮϱ ϭϴϮ͘ϱϮϳϱ ϭϳϲ͘Ϭϰϭϭϲϳ ϮϮϲ͘ϲϵ
ϭϱ ϯϳϴ͘ϯϱ ϯϳϵ͘ϲϱ Ϯϵϲ͘ϯϮϮϱ ϯϭϰ͘ϳϮ Ϯϭϴ͘ϰϰϱ ϮϬϳ͘ϬϰϬϲϲϳ ϯϰϯ͘Ϯϯ
ϭϲ ϰϳϴ͘Ϯϱϳϱ ϰϳϰ͘ϭϯϳϱ ϰϬϭ͘ϱϳϳϱ ϯϯϮ͘ϵϰ ϮϳϬ͘ϭϮϳϱ ϮϮϲ͘ϴϰϮϭϲϳ ϰϯϵ͘ϲϱϮϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ ϳϴ͘Ϯϱϳϱ ϳϰ͘ϭϯϳϱ ϭ͘ϱϳϳϱ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ ϯϵ͘ϲϱϮϱ
ϭϳ ϰϲϵ͘ϯϲϮϱ ϰϲϳ͘ϵϱ ϰϳϬ͘ϰϳϳϱ ϯϱϭ͘ϲϴϳϱ ϯϮϰ͘ϯϯϱ ϮϰϬ͘Ϯϭϯϱ ϰϰϵ͘ϳϳϱ
ϭϴ Ϯϰ͘ϳϵϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϬϬϱ Ϯϵ͘ϯϰϮϱ ϭϵ͘ϲϮϳϱ ϯϮ͘ϮϱϮϱ ϰ͘Ϯϱϭϯϯϯϯϯ ϮϬ͘ϰϬϳϱ
ϭϵ Ϯϰ͘ϵϬϳϱ ϯϬ͘ϳϱ ϯϮ͘ϰϵ Ϯϰ͘Ϭϯ ϯϱ͘ϳϴ ϰ͘ϭϰϲϴϯϯϯϯ Ϯϱ͘Ϭϳ
ϮϬ Ϯϰ͘ϴϭϮϱ ϯϬ͘ϲϱϱ ϯϮ͘ϰϬϮϱ Ϯϯ͘ϵϯ ϯϱ͘ϳϲϮϱ ϰ͘ϭϰϲϴϯϯϯϯ Ϯϱ͘ϬϰϮϱ 

Tabla 8.11 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 19 a 25 (agosto 2017, método 2 horas punta)


,ŽƌĂͬşĂ ϮϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϲ Ϯϱ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϯϱ͘Ϯϱϳϱ Ϯϴ͘ϵϬϮϱ ϮϮ͘ϯϯϱ ϯϬ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϮϬ͘ϭϵϱ
ϳ Ϯϱ͘ϰϮϮϱ ϯϱ͘ϵϯϮϱ Ϯϵ͘ϰϴϱ ϮϮ͘ϴϲϮϱ ϯϭ͘ϰϬϱ Ϯϭ͘ϲϰϳϱ
ϴ ϯϵ͘ϳϱ ϱϰ͘ϬϰϮϱ ϱϭ͘ϵϴϮϱ ϰϰ͘ϵϯϮϱ ϱϬ͘ϱϲ ϰϭ͘ϴϳϮϱ
ϵ ϳϳ͘ϭϳϮϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϳϵϮϱ ϭϭϵ͘ϭϱϳϱ ϭϬϰ͘ϱϳ ϭϭϮ͘ϳϭ ϭϭϲ͘ϳϬϳϱ
ϭϬ ϭϳϮ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϭϴϭ͘ϲϱϳϱ ϮϬϳ͘ϱϴϮϱ ϮϬϮ͘ϮϵϮϱ ϮϬϲ͘ϵϭϳϱ ϮϬϵ͘ϯϱ
ϭϭ Ϯϴϭ͘Ϯϲ ϯϬϯ͘ϲϴϮϱ ϯϮϰ͘Ϭϯϳϱ ϯϮϰ͘ϴϬϳϱ ϯϮϯ͘Ϭϯ ϯϮϱ͘ϬϬϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϭ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ Ϭ
ϭϮ ϯϴϵ͘ϵϰϳϱ ϯϴϰ͘ϰϳϮϱ ϯϴϬ͘ϬϮϮϱ ϰϰϬ͘ϭϭϮϱ ϰϮϱ͘ϲϳ ϰϮϳ͘Ϭϳϱ
ϭϯ ϭϭϴ͘ϳϲ ϭϯϴ͘ϴϱϮϱ ϭϭϵ͘ϰϰϳϱ ϭϰϬ͘ϵϱ ϭϯϯ͘ϲϮϳϱ ϵϵ͘Ϭϳϳϱ
ϭϰ Ϯϱϯ͘ϮϮϱ Ϯϳϰ͘Ϭϴϳϱ Ϯϭϰ͘ϳϭϱ ϮϴϬ͘ϳϱϱ Ϯϲϯ͘ϰϯϳϱ Ϯϯϳ͘ϭϰϳϱ
ϭϱ ϯϳϰ͘ϵϳϱ ϯϵϳ͘ϬϮϮϱ Ϯϴϭ͘ϱϲϱ ϰϬϱ͘ϭϳ ϯϴϭ͘ϱϵϳϱ ϯϰϱ͘Ϯϵϱ
ϭϲ ϰϳϳ͘ϳϴ ϰϵϳ͘ϰϲϮϱ ϯϳϮ͘ϴϮϱ ϱϬϰ͘Ϯϭ ϰϰϬ͘ϭϱϳϱ ϰϬϴ͘ϳϬϱ
ƐƉĂĐŝŽ
ϭϲ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ džĐĞĚĞŶƚĞ
ŝƐƉŽŶŝďůĞ
ϭϲ ϳϳ͘ϳϴ ϵϳ͘ϰϲϮϱ Ϭ ϭϬϰ͘Ϯϭ ϰϬ͘ϭϱϳϱ ϴ͘ϳϬϱ
ϭϳ ϰϰϭ͘ϳϯϮϱ ϰϲϳ͘ϳϭ ϰϬϭ͘ϴϱ ϰϲϲ͘ϵϯϮϱ ϰϮϵ͘ϵϴϱ ϰϰϰ͘ϰϴϳϱ
ϭϴ ϯϭ͘ϲϰϱ Ϯϴ͘ϭϯϳϱ Ϯϭ͘ϭϮϳϱ Ϯϳ͘ϳϭϱ ϭϲ͘ϭϯϱ ϭϭ͘ϲϱϮϱ
ϭϵ ϯϱ͘ϮϰϮϱ Ϯϴ͘ϵϭ ϮϮ͘ϯϳ ϯϬ͘ϵϯϱ ϮϬ͘Ϯϭϱ ϭϮ͘ϭϭ
ϮϬ ϯϱ͘Ϯϳ Ϯϴ͘ϵϮ ϮϮ͘ϯϱ ϯϬ͘ϵϯ ϮϬ͘ϮϭϮϱ ϭϮ͘ϭϭϮϱ 
Tabla 8.12 Simulación de venta: comportamiento de los días 26 a 31 (agosto 2017, método 2 horas punta)

/RV30/V 0:K GHODVKRUDVGHYHQWD ODVHOHFFLRQDGD\ODGHOH[FHGHQWH GHODV


WDEODVDQWHULRUHVVHPXHVWUDQDFRQWLQXDFLyQ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϬϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϭ ϭϯϰϬ͘ϲ ϭϰϯϲ͘Ϭϲ ϭϰϮϮ͘ϴϭ ϭϰϰϲ͘ϯϮ ϭϯϳϲ͘ϭϳ ϴϮϳ͘ϳϭ ϭϰϴϲ͘ϯϳ ϭϱϭϰ
ϭϮ ϭϯϲϬ͘ϳϮ ϭϰϲϲ͘ϲϮ ϭϰϵϯ͘Ϭϳ ϭϰϳϴ͘Ϭϭ ϭϰϮϭ͘ϭϳ ϵϰϮ͘ϭϭ ϭϱϮϲ͘ϲ ϭϱϲϬ͘ϱ
ϭϲ ϭϰϲϭ͘ϰϭ ϭϳϳϮ͘ϵϭ ϭϱϮϵ͘Ϯϰ ϭϱϴϰ͘Ϯϴ ϭϯϳϮ͘Ϭϲ ϭϭϰϳ͘Ϭϲ ϭϲϱϯ͘ϲ ϭϲϰϯ͘Ϯϴ
ϭϳ ϭϰϮϳ͘ϯϵ ϭϲϮϲ͘Ϭϯ ϭϲϮϵ͘ϵϯ ϭϱϴϯ͘Ϭϱ ϭϰϬϵ͘ϮϮ ϭϭϴϭ͘ϰϵ ϭϳϮϰ͘ϵϴ ϭϲϰϯ͘ϵϰ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϬϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϭ ϭϴϮϭ͘ϳϵ ϮϭϬϴ͘Ϯϵ ϭϱϳϰ͘ϭ ϭϮϬϵ͘ϴϭ ϴϬϵ͘ϱϳ ϭϱϯϰ͘Ϭϱ ϮϳϱϬ͘ϴϯ ϮϳϬϰ͘ϯϱ
ϭϮ ϭϴϯϰ͘ϴϲ Ϯϭϵϲ͘ϱϱ ϭϱϰϰ͘Ϭϱ ϭϮϱϲ͘ϵ ϴϬϮ͘ϭϳ ϭϲϭϴ͘ϰϭ ϮϯϯϬ͘ϳϴ Ϯϭϭϴ͘ϰϵ
ϭϲ ϭϵϮϱ͘ϳϮ ϮϮϵϰ͘ϱϴ ϭϱϰϳ͘Ϭϯ ϭϮϲϮ͘ϴϰ ϴϲϴ͘ϭϴ ϭϴϬϱ͘Ϭϰ Ϯϰϯϲ͘Ϭϱ ϮϮϱϭ͘ϯϯ
ϭϳ ϭϴϰϰ͘ϭϰ ϮϮϳϮ͘ϴϰ ϭϯϳϬ͘ϱϴ ϭϮϱϲ͘Ϯϰ ϴϳϮ͘ϵϭ ϭϲϴϵ͘ϰϮ ϯϬϰϲ͘ϯϯ ϮϮϮϰ͘ϰϴ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϭϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϭ ϭϯϰϵ͘ϵϴ ϭϱϯϯ͘ϯϭ ϭϮϳϭ͘Ϭϯ ϳϲϴ͘ϵϱ ϭϰϱϰ͘ϱϯ ϭϯϲϰ͘ϰϭ ϭϰϮϴ͘ϴϲ ϭϱϬϵ͘ϯϮ
ϭϮ ϭϰϰϳ͘ϲϯ ϭϱϱϴ͘Ϯϯ ϭϮϴϴ͘ϰϲ ϳϳϲ͘ϳϲ ϭϱϱϴ͘ϳϯ ϭϲϭϮ͘Ϯϳ ϭϰϲϮ͘Ϯϱ ϭϱϲϲ͘ϱϰ
ϭϲ ϭϱϳϱ͘ϲϱ ϭϱϱϯ͘ϵϰ ϭϮϳϮ͘ϵϯ ϴϮϳ͘ϱϳ ϭϲϰϰ͘ϰϭ ϭϱϴϱ͘ϴϭ Ϯϴϵϭ͘ϳϭ ϭϵϰϱ͘ϵϭ
ϭϳ ϭϱϰϬ͘ϯϰ ϭϱϱϵ͘ϱϲ ϭϮϬϯ͘ϵϲ ϴϭϴ͘ϱϳ ϭϲϯϲ͘Ϯϴ ϭϲϱϭ͘ϲϮ ϮϱϳϬ͘ϲϰ ϮϬϯϯ͘ϭϭ
,ŽƌĂͬ&ĞĐŚĂ ϮϱͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϭͬϬϴͬϮϬϭϳ
ϭϭ ϰϰϯ͘ϲ ϭϰϳϯ͘ϵϯ ϴϬϭ͘ϳϯ ϭϲϳϰ͘ϱϱ ϮϯϯϮ͘ϭϯ Ϯϳϳϭ͘ϭϳ ϭϴϵϬ͘Ϯϳ
ϭϮ ϱϲϴ͘ϱϴ ϭϯϯϰ͘Ϭϰ ϴϭϬ͘ϵϲ Ϯϲϵϯ͘Ϭϴ ϭϲϲϳ͘ϲϵ ϯϱϮϳ͘ϮϮ ϭϳϳϴ͘ϴϳ
ϭϲ ϲϲϳ͘ϴϳ ϭϱϬϳ͘Ϯϯ ϴϱϳ͘ϴϴ Ϯϴϴϲ͘ϴϳ ϮϴϮϬ͘ϴϴ ϯϰϲϱ͘ϳϵ ϭϳϲϮ͘Ϭϱ
ϭϳ ϳϯϵ͘Ϯϭ ϭϯϵϱ͘ϳ ϴϴϲ͘ϲϮ ϯϬϵϵ͘Ϯϵ ϮϴϳϬ͘Ϭϯ Ϯϵϳϱ͘ϱϵ ϭϳϬϭ͘Ϭϵ 
Tabla 8.13 PMLs de la hora seleccionada para venta y la hora de venta del excedente (agosto 2017, método
2 horas punta)


/RVPRQWRVREWHQLGRVGHFDGDGtDHOWRWDOGHOPHV\HOSURPHGLRSRUGtDVHPXHVWUDQHQOD
VLJXLHQWHWDEOD


Tabla 8.14 Montos obtenidos (agosto 2017, método 2 horas punta)

&RPSDUDQGRORVUHVXOWDGRVGHORVPRQWRVREWHQLGRVHQHVWHPHVGHDJRVWRSDUDHO
PpWRGR GH YHQWD HQ  \  KRUDV 7DEOD   REVHUYDPRV TXH VH REWLHQHQ PHMRUHV
UHVXOWDGRVYHQGLHQGRWRGDODHQHUJtDHQXQDVRORKRUDSXQWDTXHHQGRV6LQHPEDUJR
SDUDHOSULPHUPpWRGRVHQHFHVLWDXQDPD\RUFDQWLGDGGHEDWHUtDVFRPRFRQVHFXHQFLDVH
UHTXLHUHGHXQDLQYHUVLyQLQLFLDOPiVJUDQGHTXHODUHTXHULGDHQHOVHJXQGRPpWRGRDVt
TXH VH GHEH GH  SODQWHDU HO UHWRUQR D OD LQYHUVLyQ R LQJUHVRV SRU GtD QHFHVDULRV SDUD


UHFXSHUDUODLQYHUVLyQLQLFLDOFRQFDGDPpWRGR\DQDOL]DQGRDODYH]ORVHVTXHPDVTXHVH
WHQGUtDQFRQFDGDXQDGHODVEDWHUtDVVHOHFFLRQDGDV PRVWUDGDVHQOD7DEOD\7DEOD
 WDQWRGHWHFQRORJtDLRQOLWLRFRPRGHSORPRiFLGRHVWiV~OWLPDVFRPR\DVHPHQFLRQy
WDPELpQHQHVHFDStWXORSXHGHRSHUDUDGLVWLQWRVQLYHOHVGHSURIXQGLGDGGHGHVFDUJDDVt
TXHHVRVSHUILOHVWDPELpQVHSODVPDUDQHQODVLJXLHQWHWDEOD
EŽ͘ĚĞĚĞƐĐĂƌŐĂƐƉŽƌ WƌŽĨƵŶĚŝĚĂĚĚĞ ŝĐůŽƐĚĞsŝĚĂ;ĚĞ
ĂƚĞƌşĂ dĞĐŶŽůŽŐşĂ WƌĞĐŝŽĚĞůĂĂƚĞƌşĂ
̺à ĞƐĐĂƌŐĂ;йͿ ĚĞƐĐĂƌŐĂͿ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ Ϯ Ϯϱ ϮϮϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ Ϯϱ ϮϮϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ Ϯ ϱϬ ϭϬϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ ϱϬ ϭϬϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ Ϯ ϳϱ ϱϱϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ ϳϱ ϱϱϬ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϵϴ͕ϱϬϳ͘Ϭϱ ϭ ϴϬ ϭϬϬϬϬ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϵϴ͕ϱϬϳ͘Ϭϱ Ϯ ϴϬ ϭϬϬϬϬ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϰϳ͕Ϯϰϳ͘ϵϲ ϭ ϴϬ ϯϬϬϬ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϰϳ͕Ϯϰϳ͘ϵϲ Ϯ ϴϬ ϯϬϬϬ
WƌŽŵ͘KďƚĞŶŝĚŽĞŶ WƌŽŵ͘KďƚĞŶŝĚŽƉŽƌ WƌŽŵĞĚşŽŽďƚĞŶŝĚŽƉŽƌ
ĂƚĞƌşĂ şĂƐĚĞǀŝĚĂƷƚŝů ĂƚĞƌşĂƐZĞƋƵĞƌşĚĂƐ
sĞŶƚĂ ĞůƐ ĚşĂ
>d, ϭϭϬϬ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϯ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϯϰϯ͘ϭϳ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϳϬ
>d, ϮϮϬϬ ΨϮ͕ϰϮϱ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϰϰϳ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϯϵ
>d, ϱϬϬ ΨϲϬϲ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϯϰϯ͘ϭϳ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϳϬ
>d, ϭϬϬϬ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϯ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϰϰϳ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϯϵ
>d, Ϯϳϱ Ψϱϯϴ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϯϰϯ͘ϭϳ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϳϬ
>d, ϱϱϬ Ψϭ͕Ϭϳϲ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϰϰϳ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϯϵ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ ϱϬϬϬ Ψϱϱϲ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϯϰϯ͘ϭϳ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϳϬ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ ϭϬϬϬϬ Ψϱϱϲ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϰϰϳ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϯϵ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ϭϱϬϬ ΨϱϬϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϯϰϯ͘ϭϳ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϱϵϭ͘ϳϬ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ϯϬϬϬ ΨϱϬϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϭ͕ϰϰϳ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϯϵ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽĞǀĞŶƚĂ
ĂƚĞƌşĂ /ŶǀĞƌƐŝſŶ/ŶŝĐŝĂů 'ĂŶĂŶĐŝĂƉŽƌĚşĂ
ZĞƋƵĞƌŝĚŽƉŽƌĚşĂ
>d, Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϳϰ Ψϭ͕ϳϯϰ͘ϱϳ ͲΨϭϰϮ͘ϴϳ
>d, Ψϯ͕ϴϭϰ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϱϬ Ψϭ͕ϳϯϯ͘ϴϱ ͲΨϯϳ͘ϰϲ
>d, Ψϵϱϯ͕ϮϮϱ͘ϴϴ Ψϭ͕ϵϬϲ͘ϰϱ ͲΨϯϭϰ͘ϳϲ
>d, Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϳϰ Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͘ϬϮ ͲΨϮϭϭ͘ϲϯ
>d, Ψϴϰϲ͕Ϯϲϯ͘Ϯϰ Ψϯ͕Ϭϳϳ͘ϯϮ ͲΨϭ͕ϰϴϱ͘ϲϮ
>d, Ψϭ͕ϲϵϮ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϰϴ Ψϯ͕Ϭϳϳ͘ϯϮ ͲΨϭ͕ϯϴϬ͘ϵϯ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ Ψϱϰ͕ϳϲϵ͕ϵϭϵ͘ϴϬ ΨϭϬ͕ϵϱϯ͘ϵϴ ͲΨϵ͕ϯϲϮ͘Ϯϵ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ Ψϱϰ͕ϳϲϵ͕ϵϭϵ͘ϴϬ Ψϱ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϵϵ ͲΨϯ͕ϳϴϬ͘ϲϬ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ΨϮϯ͕ϲϮϯ͕ϵϴϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϭϱ͕ϳϰϵ͘ϯϮ ͲΨϭϰ͕ϭϱϳ͘ϲϮ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ΨϮϯ͕ϲϮϯ͕ϵϴϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϳ͕ϴϳϰ͘ϲϲ ͲΨϲ͕ϭϳϴ͘Ϯϳ 
Tabla 8.15 Resultados de ganancia totales para el mes, comparando ambos métodos evaluados (agosto 2017)

&yPRVHSXHGHREVHUYDUHQOD7DEODHQWRGRVORVFDVRVVHREWLHQHXQDPHQRUSpUGLGD
HFRQyPLFDSRUGtDDOHPSOHDUHOPpWRGRGHYHQWDGHHQHUJtDHQKRUDSXQWD\WDPELpQVH
REVHUYDTXHHQFXDQWRDODVEDWHUtDVGHSORPRiFLGRVHWLHQHXQPHMRUEHQHILFLRWUDEDMDQGR
FRQXQDPHQRUSURIXQGLGDGGHGHVFDUJD\TXHODVEDWHUtDVGHLRQOLWLRJHQHUDQXQDSHUGLGD
PXFKRPD\RUTXHODVGHODWHFQRORJtDGHSORPRiFLGR

3DUDFRUURERUDUTXHHOPpWRGRGHYHQWDHQKRUDHVPHMRUVHSURFHGLyDUHDOL]DUODPLVPD
HYDOXDFLyQ DKRUD FRQ XQ VHJXQGR PHV DO D]DU ³MXQLR ´ SDUD HVWH VH REWXYLHURQ ORV
UHVXOWDGRV PRVWUDGRV HQ OD 7DEOD  SDUD HO PpWRGR GH YHQWD HQ  KRUD SXQWD \ ORV
UHVXOWDGRVPRVWUDGRVHQOD7DEODFRUUHVSRQGHQDOPpWRGRGHYHQWDHQKRUDVSXQWD


o 0pWRGRGHYHQWDHQXQDKRUDSXQWD
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϲ ΨͲ ΨϮϴ͘ϳϱ ΨϮϱ͘Ϭϯ Ψϭϵ͘ϯϭ ΨϮϵ͘ϯϬ Ψϳϭ͘ϰϱ Ψϳϲ͘ϰϰ ΨϱϬ͘ϲϵ Ψϱϯ͘ϲϲ ΨϮϳ͘ϲϯ Ψϭϳ͘Ϯϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϳ Ψϭ͕ϭϰϭ͘ϰϱ Ψϭ͕Ϯϯϲ͘ϴϱ Ψϭ͕ϭϬϮ͘ϱϰ ΨϴϱϬ͘ϴϵ Ψϭ͕ϭϰϱ͘Ϭϵ ΨϮ͕ϵϴϳ͘ϮϮ Ψϯ͕Ϭϳϵ͘ϭϳ ΨϮ͕ϭϭϯ͘ϲϭ ΨϮ͕ϭϭϯ͘Ϭϴ Ψϭ͕ϯϭϭ͘ϬϮ ΨϳϮϮ͘ϴϴ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϲ Ψϯϭ͘ϵϱ Ψϯϯ͘ϯϬ Ψϯϯ͘ϰϰ Ψϭϯϯ͘ϯϬ Ψϭϯϯ͘ϭϰ ΨϳϮ͘ϲϯ ΨϯϬ͘ϰϮ Ψϰϴ͘ϭϲ Ψϴϯ͘ϯϮ ΨϲϬ͘Ϭϲ Ψϴϵ͘ϱϯ
sĞŶƚĂϭϳ Ψϭ͕ϱϮϴ͘Ϭϯ Ψϭ͕Ϯϰϵ͘ϱϰ Ψϭ͕ϮϴϬ͘ϭϯ Ψϱ͕ϲϵϮ͘ϰϰ Ψϱ͕ϲϴϱ͘ϳϮ Ψϯ͕ϭϭϯ͘Ϭϰ Ψϭ͕ϰϬϲ͘ϱϮ ΨϮ͕Ϭϳϰ͘ϭϭ Ψϯ͕ϲϳϭ͘ϴϴ Ψϭ͕ϳϰϬ͘ϵϳ Ψϯ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϵϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϭϲ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϭ͕ϰϮϮ͘ϲϯ
sĞŶƚĂϭϲ Ψϳϭ͘ϲϱ ΨϮϵ͘ϱϬ Ψϭϴ͘ϯϮ ΨϮϰ͘Ϭϱ ΨϮϲ͘ϲϮ ΨϮϳ͘ϭϳ Ψϰϳ͘ϵϳ ΨϮϴ͘ϱϴ dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϲϭ͕ϴϭϲ͘ϳϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϳ Ψϯ͕ϯϭϰ͘ϯϯ Ψϭ͕ϵϭϬ͘ϯϵ Ψϳϳϴ͘ϴϬ Ψϵϳϱ͘Ϭϳ Ψϭ͕ϭϱϵ͘Ϭϭ Ψϭ͕ϯϮϲ͘ϭϭ ΨϮ͕Ϭϱϳ͘ϲϯ Ψϭ͕ϮϯϮ͘ϯϱ dŽƚĂů Ψϲϯ͕Ϯϯϵ͘ϰϬ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ ΨϮ͕ϭϬϳ͘ϵϴ 
Tabla 8.16 Montos obtenidos (junio 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o 0pWRGRGHYHQWDHQGRVKRUDVSXQWD
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϮ ΨϭϮϴ͘ϱϲ Ψϭϱϳ͘ϱϵ ΨϭϱϮ͘Ϭϲ ΨϭϬϮ͘ϱϯ Ψϭϯϰ͘Ϯϱ ΨϰϬϰ͘ϰϴ ΨϮϳϭ͘ϴϯ ΨϮϵϯ͘ϬϮ Ψϭϲϰ͘Ϭϰ Ψϭϱϵ͘Ϯϳ Ψϵϱ͘ϰϱ
sĞŶƚĂϭϯ Ψϱϰϴ͘ϯϮ ΨϲϬϰ͘ϯϭ Ψϱϱϰ͘ϰϮ Ψϯϴϳ͘ϴϬ Ψϱϰϵ͘ϭϰ Ψϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϴϬ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϳ͘ϭϴ Ψϭ͕Ϯϳϵ͘ϵϴ Ψϵϯϭ͘ϰϬ ΨϳϬϵ͘ϱϯ Ψϯϱϲ͘ϱϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂϭϳ ΨϰϮϲ͘ϯϴ Ψϰϱϱ͘ϱϴ ΨϰϬϲ͘ϭϭ Ψϯϭϯ͘ϰϮ ΨϰϮϭ͘ϳϴ Ψϭ͕ϭϬϬ͘ϯϬ Ψϭ͕ϭϯϰ͘ϭϴ Ψϳϳϴ͘ϱϮ Ψϳϳϴ͘ϯϯ ΨϰϴϮ͘ϵϬ ΨϮϲϲ͘Ϯϲ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϭͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϮ ΨϮϬϭ͘ϲϳ Ψϭϲϵ͘Ϯϭ ΨϭϴϮ͘Ϭϱ ΨϮϲϱ͘Ϭϰ Ψϰϳϰ͘ϯϱ Ψϰϯϯ͘ϭϯ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϯϰ ΨϮϲϯ͘ϳϰ Ψϰϱϵ͘Ϭϳ ΨϮϭϮ͘Ϯϭ ΨϰϮϮ͘ϵϱ
sĞŶƚĂϭϯ Ψϲϴϵ͘ϲϰ Ψϲϯϰ͘ϯϬ Ψϲϳϴ͘ϲϮ Ψϭ͕ϬϬϯ͘ϵϮ Ψϭ͕ϴϰϰ͘ϱϰ Ψϭ͕ϲϱϴ͘Ϭϱ Ψϴϳϱ͘ϮϮ Ψϵϲϯ͘ϱϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϲϵ͘ϱϬ Ψϴϱϯ͘ϲϴ Ψϭ͕ϳϳϭ͘Ϭϭ
sĞŶƚĂϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂϭϳ ΨϱϲϮ͘ϴϯ ΨϰϲϬ͘Ϯϱ Ψϰϳϭ͘ϱϮ ΨϮ͕Ϭϵϲ͘ϳϰ ΨϮ͕Ϭϵϰ͘Ϯϲ Ψϭ͕ϭϰϲ͘ϲϱ Ψϱϭϴ͘Ϭϳ Ψϳϲϯ͘ϵϳ Ψϭ͕ϯϱϮ͘ϰϵ Ψϲϰϭ͘Ϯϳ Ψϭ͕ϰϬϱ͘ϵϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϯͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϲͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϭϮ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂϭϮ Ψϰϭϰ͘Ϯϳ Ψϭϲϱ͘ϱϮ ΨϭϬϬ͘ϳϰ Ψϭϯϴ͘ϳϯ Ψϭϰϲ͘Ϭϭ Ψϭϱϯ͘ϵϵ ΨϮϲϭ͘ϱϰ ΨϭϲϮ͘ϰϮ dŽƚĂů;ϭϯ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϳ͕Ϭϳϴ͘ϰϴ
sĞŶƚĂϭϯ Ψϭ͕ϲϮϳ͘ϵϬ Ψϴϵϱ͘ϭϳ ΨϯϴϮ͘ϭϯ Ψϰϵϱ͘ϯϬ Ψϱϭϵ͘ϲϴ Ψϱϲϭ͘ϰϮ Ψϭ͕ϬϬϱ͘ϱϭ Ψϱϴϵ͘ϵϮ dŽƚĂů;ϭϲ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϲ͕ϵϮϲ͘ϵϳ
sĞŶƚĂϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϮ͕ϳϳϱ͘ϯϴ
sĞŶƚĂϭϳ Ψϭ͕ϮϮϬ͘ϳϵ ΨϳϬϯ͘ϲϳ ΨϮϴϲ͘ϴϲ Ψϯϱϵ͘ϭϲ ΨϰϮϲ͘ϵϭ Ψϰϴϴ͘ϰϲ Ψϳϱϳ͘ϵϬ Ψϰϱϯ͘ϵϮ dŽƚĂů Ψϱϲ͕ϳϴϬ͘ϴϮ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϭ͕ϴϵϮ͘ϲϵ 
Tabla 8.17 Montos obtenidos (junio 2017, método 2 horas punta)

7HQLHQGRORVUHVXOWDGRVREWHQLGRVGHHVWHPHVFRQDPERVPpWRGRVDKRUDHOVLJXLHQWHSDVRHVFRPSDUDUORVHQFRUUHODFLyQFRQOD
LQYHUVLyQUHTXHULGDHQODVEDWHUtDVHQVXVGLIHUHQWHVPRGDOLGDGHVGHRSHUDFLyQFRPRVHPXHVWUDHQOD7DEOD


EŽ͘ĚĞĚĞƐĐĂƌŐĂƐ WƌŽĨƵŶĚŝĚĂĚĚĞ ŝĐůŽƐĚĞsŝĚĂ;ĚĞ
ĂƚĞƌşĂ dĞĐŶŽůŽŐşĂ WƌĞĐŝŽĚĞůĂĂƚĞƌşĂ
ƉŽƌ̺à ĞƐĐĂƌŐĂ;йͿ ĚĞƐĐĂƌŐĂͿ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ Ϯ Ϯϱ ϮϮϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ Ϯϱ ϮϮϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ Ϯ ϱϬ ϭϬϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ ϱϬ ϭϬϬϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ Ϯ ϳϱ ϱϱϬ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ ϳϱ ϱϱϬ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϵϴ͕ϱϬϳ͘Ϭϱ Ϯ ϴϬ ϭϬϬϬϬ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϵϴ͕ϱϬϳ͘Ϭϱ ϭ ϴϬ ϭϬϬϬϬ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϰϳ͕Ϯϰϳ͘ϵϲ Ϯ ϴϬ ϯϬϬϬ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϰϳ͕Ϯϰϳ͘ϵϲ ϭ ϴϬ ϯϬϬϬ
WƌŽŵ͘KďƚĞŶŝĚŽĞŶ WƌŽŵ͘KďƚĞŶŝĚŽƉŽƌ WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽƚŽƚĂů
ĂƚĞƌşĂ şĂƐĚĞǀŝĚĂƷƚŝů ĂƚĞƌşĂƐZĞƋƵĞƌşĚĂƐ
sĞŶƚĂ >Ɛ ŽďƚĞŶŝĚŽƉŽƌĚşĂ
>d, ϭϭϬϬ ϭϮϭϯ Ψϭ͕ϴϵϮ͘ϲϵ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϮϵ͘ϳϱ
>d, ϮϮϬϬ ϮϰϮϱ ΨϮ͕ϭϬϳ͘ϵϴ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϯϰϱ͘Ϭϰ
>d, ϱϬϬ ϲϬϲ Ψϭ͕ϴϵϮ͘ϲϵ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϮϵ͘ϳϱ
>d, ϭϬϬϬ ϭϮϭϯ ΨϮ͕ϭϬϳ͘ϵϴ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϯϰϱ͘Ϭϰ
>d, Ϯϳϱ ϱϯϴ Ψϭ͕ϴϵϮ͘ϲϵ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϮϵ͘ϳϱ
>d, ϱϱϬ ϭϬϳϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϬϳ͘ϵϴ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϯϰϱ͘Ϭϰ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ ϱϬϬϬ Ϯϳϴ Ψϭ͕ϴϵϮ͘ϲϵ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϮϵ͘ϳϱ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ ϭϬϬϬϬ ϱϱϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϬϳ͘ϵϴ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϯϰϱ͘Ϭϰ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ϭϱϬϬ ϮϱϬ Ψϭ͕ϴϵϮ͘ϲϵ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϭϮϵ͘ϳϱ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ϯϬϬϬ ϱϬϬ ΨϮ͕ϭϬϳ͘ϵϴ ΨϮϯϳ͘Ϭϲ ΨϮ͕ϯϰϱ͘Ϭϰ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽĞǀĞŶƚĂ
ĂƚĞƌşĂ /ŶǀĞƌƐŝſŶ/ŶŝĐŝĂů 'ĂŶĂŶĐŝĂƉŽƌĚşĂ
ZĞƋƵĞƌŝĚŽƉŽƌĚşĂ
>d, Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϳϰ Ψϭ͕ϳϯϰ͘ϱϳ Ψϯϵϱ͘ϭϴ
>d, Ψϯ͕ϴϭϰ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϱϬ Ψϭ͕ϳϯϯ͘ϴϱ Ψϲϭϭ͘ϭϴ
>d, Ψϵϱϯ͕ϮϮϱ͘ϴϴ Ψϭ͕ϵϬϲ͘ϰϱ ΨϮϮϯ͘ϯϬ
>d, Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϳϰ Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͘ϬϮ Ψϰϯϳ͘Ϭϭ
>d, Ψϴϰϲ͕Ϯϲϯ͘Ϯϰ Ψϯ͕Ϭϳϳ͘ϯϮ ͲΨϵϰϳ͘ϱϳ
>d, Ψϭ͕ϲϵϮ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϰϴ Ψϯ͕Ϭϳϳ͘ϯϮ ͲΨϳϯϮ͘Ϯϵ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ ΨϮϳ͕ϯϴϰ͕ϵϱϵ͘ϵϬ Ψϱ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϵϵ ͲΨϯ͕ϯϰϳ͘Ϯϰ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ Ψϱϰ͕ϳϲϵ͕ϵϭϵ͘ϴϬ Ψϱ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϵϵ ͲΨϯ͕ϭϯϭ͘ϵϲ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ Ψϭϭ͕ϴϭϭ͕ϵϵϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϳ͕ϴϳϰ͘ϲϲ ͲΨϱ͕ϳϰϰ͘ϵϭ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ ΨϮϯ͕ϲϮϯ͕ϵϴϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϳ͕ϴϳϰ͘ϲϲ ͲΨϱ͕ϱϮϵ͘ϲϮ 
Tabla 8.18 Resultados de ganancia totales para el mes, comparando ambos métodos evaluados (junio 2017)

&yPRVHSXHGHREVHUYDUHQORVUHVXOWDGRVGHODWDEODDQWHULRUDOLJXDOTXHHQHOPHVGH
DJRVWRVHYXHOYHDWHQHUHOPLVPRFRPSRUWDPLHQWRHQWRGRVORVFDVRVVHREWLHQHXQD
PHQRU SpUGLGD HFRQyPLFD SRU GtD DO HPSOHDU HO PpWRGR GH YHQWD GH HQHUJtD HQ  KRUD
SXQWD\WDPELpQVHREVHUYDTXHHQFXDQWRDODVEDWHUtDVGHSORPRiFLGRVHWLHQHXQPHMRU
EHQHILFLRWUDEDMDQGRFRQXQDPHQRUSURIXQGLGDGGHGHVFDUJD\TXHODVEDWHUtDVGHLRQOLWLR
JHQHUDQXQDSHUGLGDPXFKRPD\RUTXHODVGHODWHFQRORJtDGHSORPRiFLGR

'DGDHVWDFRQFOXVLyQGHOFRPSRUWDPLHQWRVHHVWDEOHFLyHOPpWRGRGHYHQWDHQXQDVROD
KRUDSXQWD\DVtVHSURFHGLyDUHDOL]DUODVLPXODFLyQGHYHQWDSDUDHOUHVWRGHORVPHVHV\
REWHQHUORVSURPHGLRVJHQHUDOHVSRUGtDDQDOL]DQGRHOEORTXHGHXQDxRFRPSOHWR

$FRQWLQXDFLyQVHPXHVWUDQORVPRQWRVREWHQLGRVSDUDFDGDXQRGHORVPHVHVUHVWDQWHV
HQFXHVWLyQ


o )HEUHUR
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϵ Ψϭϯϰ͘ϴϴ ΨϭϮϴ͘ϴϭ Ψϭϭϵ͘ϮϮ Ψϭϴϭ͘ϲϵ ΨϭϭϬ͘ϭϬ Ψϭϰϯ͘ϴϬ ΨϭϴϬ͘ϳϱ ΨϮϴϴ͘Ϯϴ Ψϭϳϳ͘ϳϰ ΨϭϴϮ͘Ϭϭ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ Ψϰϱϵ͘Ϯϵ ΨϰϱϬ͘ϱϴ Ψϱϭϵ͘ϴϯ Ψϱϲϴ͘ϭϳ Ψϯϵϯ͘ϰϲ Ψϲϭϯ͘ϲϲ Ψϲϭϵ͘ϰϴ Ψϵϴϳ͘ϱϰ Ψϴϲϵ͘ϱϱ Ψϲϯϭ͘ϭϴ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϵ Ψϭϲϲ͘ϯϵ Ψϭϲϳ͘ϬϮ Ψϭϳϵ͘ϴϬ Ψϭϴϯ͘ϮϮ Ψϭϯϭ͘Ϭϳ ΨϭϮϬ͘ϱϵ ΨϯϰϬ͘ϯϬ Ψϭϲϲ͘ϳϬ ΨϭϬϴ͘ϲϳ Ψϭϳϳ͘ϯϬ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ Ψϱϵϱ͘ϴϳ ΨϲϬϬ͘ϱϬ Ψϱϵϯ͘ϴϮ ΨϲϮϭ͘ϲϲ ΨϰϮϬ͘ϰϳ ΨϰϮϭ͘ϱϬ Ψϭ͕ϭϵϮ͘ϰϯ Ψϱϴϵ͘ϭϲ Ψϯϴϰ͘ϭϰ Ψϰϴϴ͘ϱϬ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϮͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϭϵ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϰ͕ϵϱϳ͘ϯϲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϵ ΨϭϮϱ͘ϱϬ ΨϭϵϬ͘ϰϭ Ψϭϴϱ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϲϳ͘ϰϱ Ψϭϴϳ͘Ϯϯ Ψϭϯϭ͘ϰϵ ΨϮϮϲ͘ϱϳ ΨϮϱϰ͘ϱϮ dŽƚĂů;ϮϬ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϭϳ͕ϱϬϱ͘ϳϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨϰϲϬ͘ϰϬ Ψϲϰϱ͘Ϭϰ Ψϲϭϳ͘ϵϵ ΨϵϯϮ͘ϵϰ Ψϲϵϴ͘ϭϯ ΨϱϱϮ͘ϰϲ Ψϴϴϳ͘ϱϳ ΨϲϵϬ͘ϰϱ dŽƚĂů ΨϮϮ͕ϰϲϯ͘ϭϮ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ ΨϴϬϮ͘Ϯϱ 

Tabla 8.19 Montos obtenidos (febrero 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o 0DU]R
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ Ψϯ͘ϮϮ ΨϮ͘ϳϮ Ψϭ͘ϳϴ Ψϭ͘ϴϬ Ψϭ͘ϲϯ Ψϯ͘Ϭϱ Ψϰ͘Ϭϴ ΨϮ͘ϲϲ ΨϮ͘ϳϰ ΨϮ͘ϳϲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϳϰϭ͘Ϯϱ ΨϲϬϵ͘ϵϴ Ψϯϲϯ͘ϳϭ ΨϰϭϮ͘ϳϵ Ψϯϴϰ͘Ϯϲ Ψϲϵϰ͘ϵϲ Ψϵϴϱ͘ϴϭ ΨϲϮϰ͘ϭϯ Ψϲϭϵ͘ϴϮ Ψϲϯϱ͘ϵϵ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨϮ͘ϳϱ ΨϮ͘ϳϭ ΨϮ͘ϲϱ ΨϮ͘ϱϳ ΨϮ͘ϰϲ ΨϮ͘ϱϮ ΨϮ͘ϴϳ Ψϯ͘ϭϰ Ψϭ͘ϴϬ ΨϮ͘Ϯϰ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ ΨϲϬϴ͘ϱϲ Ψϲϭϭ͘ϮϮ ΨϱϬϬ͘Ϭϲ Ψϰϵϯ͘ϱϱ Ψϱϳϳ͘Ϯϳ Ψϰϵϳ͘Ϭϯ Ψϲϰϭ͘ϲϱ Ψϳϯϭ͘Ϯϯ Ψϯϵϳ͘ϴϮ ΨϱϮϰ͘ϮϮ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ Ψϰ͘Ϭϭ Ψϰ͘ϯϰ ΨϮ͘ϲϲ ΨϮ͘ϰϬ Ψϭ͘ϵϬ ΨϮ͘ϯϭ Ψϲ͘ϱϯ Ψϱ͘ϭϵ Ψϳ͘ϬϬ Ψϲ͘ϵϵ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ ΨϵϮϵ͘ϰϲ Ψϭ͕ϬϬϵ͘ϲϮ ΨϲϬϵ͘ϰϮ Ψϱϯϵ͘Ϯϵ Ψϰϯϰ͘ϱϳ ΨϱϮϱ͘ϯϭ Ψϭ͕ϳϮϭ͘ϲϳ Ψϭ͕ϮϵϮ͘ϴϰ Ψϭ͕ϲϱϴ͘ϲϴ Ψϭ͕ϲϮϱ͘ϭϱ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϯϭͬϬϯͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϮϬ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϵϵ͘ϯϬ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ Ψϯ͘ϴϮ dŽƚĂů;Ϯϭ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϮ͕ϵϲϯ͘ϬϮ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϵϲϭ͘ϳϭ dŽƚĂů ΨϮϯ͕ϬϲϮ͘ϯϮ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϳϰϯ͘ϵϱ

Tabla 8.20 Montos obtenidos (marzo 2017, método 1 hora punta)

 


o $EULO

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨϲϯϮ͘ϳϭ ΨϰϮϲ͘ϲϯ Ψϭ͕Ϭϲϵ͘Ϯϱ Ψϭ͕ϮϬϵ͘ϲϮ Ψϭ͕ϳϴϰ͘Ϯϲ Ψϭ͕Ϭϳϭ͘ϵϳ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϴ͘ϳϭ ΨϲϱϬ͘ϭϬ Ψϰϲϯ͘Ϯϲ ΨϵϵϬ͘ϰϯ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϳϱϴ͘ϰϰ Ψϲϴϳ͘ϭϰ Ψϲϭϱ͘Ϭϱ Ψϱϲϵ͘ϭϭ ΨϲϬϱ͘Ϭϲ Ψϱϳϭ͘ϵϵ Ψϭ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϳϮ Ψϭ͕ϭϱϲ͘Ϯϰ Ψϵϴϱ͘ϭϰ Ψϭ͕Ϭϳϵ͘ϭϮ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϰͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϴϵϱ͘ϴϳ Ψϵϴϰ͘ϭϮ ΨϱϮϯ͘ϴϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϲϯ͘ϳϴ Ψϭ͕Ϭϵϱ͘ϲϳ Ψϭ͕ϯϱϳ͘ϵϱ Ψϯ͕ϴϮϬ͘ϳϳ Ψϭ͕ϵϱϰ͘ϮϮ Ψϭ͕ϯϵϵ͘ϰϰ Ψϲϱϴ͘ϰϰ
dŽƚĂů;ϭϲ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϯϭ͕ϮϮϯ͘Ϭϳ
dŽƚĂů Ψϯϭ͕ϮϮϯ͘Ϭϳ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϭ͕ϬϰϬ͘ϳϳ 

Tabla 8.21 Montos obtenidos (abril 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o 0D\R

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϲϵϲ͘ϭϵ ΨϴϮϬ͘ϭϭ ΨϳϭϬ͘ϯϮ Ψϲϲϵ͘Ϯϴ Ψϲϰϭ͘ϴϰ Ψϰϱϱ͘ϵϮ Ψϱϳϭ͘ϯϯ ΨϲϬϮ͘ϵϱ ΨϴϱϬ͘ϲϲ Ψϵϲϲ͘ϯϬ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϴϲϲ͘Ϭϳ Ψϭ͕Ϯϴϳ͘ϯϵ Ψϭ͕ϬϬϮ͘ϯϴ ΨϲϬϵ͘ϯϯ Ψϭ͕Ϭϲϱ͘ϳϲ Ψϭ͕ϭϰϱ͘ϱϱ Ψϭ͕Ϭϰϲ͘ϵϱ Ψϵϵϵ͘Ϯϭ Ψϯ͕ϮϬϯ͘ϲϮ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϳ͘ϲϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϱϴ͘ϱϲ Ψϭ͕ϬϮϮ͘ϱϬ Ψϭ͕ϭϱϭ͘ϲϮ Ψϭ͕Ϯϴϳ͘ϲϵ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϯ͘ϵϲ ΨϮ͕ϴϲϴ͘ϳϬ ΨϵϬϲ͘ϱϲ Ψϭ͕ϭϬϴ͘ϲϵ Ψϭ͕Ϭϰϲ͘ϭϭ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϮ͘Ϯϵ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϯϭͬϬϱͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϮϬ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ dŽƚĂů;Ϯϭ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϯϯ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϵϯ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϭ͘ϰϴ dŽƚĂů Ψϯϯ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϵϯ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϭ͕Ϭϴϳ͘ϬϬ 

Tabla 8.22 Montos obtenidos (mayo 2017, método 1 hora punta)


o -XOLR
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϴϭϳ͘Ϯϵ ΨϱϴϮ͘ϱϮ Ψϳϴϵ͘ϳϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϲϯ͘ϳϯ Ψϭ͕Ϯϰϱ͘ϯϯ Ψϭ͕ϳϴϳ͘ϯϭ Ψϭ͕ϯϬϬ͘ϯϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϯϯ͘ϲϯ Ψϱϱϴ͘Ϭϰ Ψϭ͕ϭϴϳ͘ϰϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨϵϬϰ͘ϲϯ ΨϳϱϮ͘ϱϮ Ψϴϳϭ͘ϴϭ ΨϵϮϳ͘ϰϬ ΨϳϬϯ͘ϯϲ ΨϱϴϮ͘ϯϬ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϮ͘ϳϰ Ψϭ͕Ϭϱϰ͘ϰϮ Ψϵϳϴ͘ϰϬ Ψϵϰϵ͘ϯϲ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨϳϱϬ͘ϱϲ Ψϳϱϳ͘ϳϳ ΨϲϬϱ͘ϱϭ Ψϵϳϰ͘ϳϮ Ψϵϴϳ͘ϴϴ Ψϭ͕Ϭϱϴ͘ϲϯ Ψϵϯϭ͘ϭϱ Ψϳϰϵ͘Ϯϰ Ψϳϭϵ͘ϯϯ Ψϱϰϵ͘ϬϬ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϯϭͬϬϳͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϭϲ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϴ͕ϯϵϳ͘ϯϴ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϭ͘Ϯϰ dŽƚĂů ΨϮϴ͕ϯϵϳ͘ϯϴ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϵϭϲ͘Ϭϰ 

Tabla 8.23 Montos obtenidos (julio 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o 6HSWLHPEUH
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϭ͕ϱϲϳ͘ϴϵ ΨϴϮϭ͘ϰϮ Ψϰϴϳ͘ϳϵ Ψϭ͕ϬϮϬ͘ϳϭ Ψϱϵϭ͘ϴϮ Ψϰϰϭ͘ϭϵ Ψϰϯϳ͘ϰϮ Ψϱϲϭ͘ϯϳ Ψϰϰϲ͘ϱϭ Ψϰϲϱ͘ϵϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϰϳϱ͘ϰϳ Ψϭ͕ϬϬϱ͘ϴϰ Ψϭ͕ϭϯϮ͘ϰϴ ΨϴϬϰ͘Ϯϱ ΨϴϮϭ͘Ϭϳ Ψϱϱϲ͘ϭϯ Ψϲϴϴ͘ϴϰ Ψϭ͕ϭϭϭ͘ϲϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϱϭ͘Ϭϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϳϭ͘ϲϮ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϵͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϲ Ψϰ͘Ϭϭ Ψϰ͘ϯϰ ΨϮ͘ϲϲ ΨϮ͘ϰϬ Ψϭ͘ϵϬ ΨϮ͘ϯϭ Ψϲ͘ϱϯ Ψϱ͘ϭϵ Ψϳ͘ϬϬ Ψϲ͘ϵϵ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨϵϮϵ͘ϰϲ Ψϭ͕ϬϬϵ͘ϲϮ ΨϲϬϵ͘ϰϮ Ψϱϯϵ͘Ϯϵ Ψϰϯϰ͘ϱϳ ΨϱϮϱ͘ϯϭ Ψϭ͕ϳϮϭ͘ϲϳ Ψϭ͕ϮϵϮ͘ϴϰ Ψϭ͕ϲϱϴ͘ϲϴ Ψϭ͕ϲϮϱ͘ϭϱ
dŽƚĂů;ϭϲ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϯ͕ϵϵϮ͘ϴϲ
dŽƚĂů ΨϮϯ͕ϵϵϮ͘ϴϲ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϳϵϵ͘ϳϲ 

Tabla 8.24 Montos obtenidos (septiembre 2017, método 1 hora punta)

 


o 2FWXEUH
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ ΨϰϮϮ͘ϲϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϭϳ͘ϭϲ ΨϳϳϮ͘ϱϱ Ψϵϰϭ͘ϵϮ Ψϵϳϯ͘ϳϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϰϲ͘ϳϳ Ψϴϰϰ͘ϵϱ Ψϱϭϰ͘Ϯϯ Ψϭ͕Ϭϳϱ͘ϲϰ Ψϭ͕ϭϰϲ͘ϳϳ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨϮ͘Ϯϰ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϰϱ͘ϯϭ ΨϵϵϬ͘Ϭϳ Ψϵϴϱ͘ϲϴ Ψϴϴϴ͘ϯϬ Ψϱϭϲ͘ϰϭ ΨϵϱϬ͘ϭϲ Ψϵϳϳ͘ϵϮ Ψϵϴϯ͘Ϭϳ Ψϵϯϱ͘ϭϬ ΨϱϮϰ͘ϮϮ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϯϵ͘ϬϮ ΨϳϬϴ͘ϬϮ ΨϰϳϬ͘ϰϵ Ψϵϳϳ͘ϰϮ Ψϲϯϲ͘ϲϯ Ψϵϵϭ͘ϯϳ Ψϴϳϳ͘ϰϯ Ψϵϯϳ͘Ϭϳ Ψϳϲϱ͘Ϭϰ ΨϱϬϲ͘Ϯϵ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϯϭͬϭϬͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϮϬ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϬ ΨͲ dŽƚĂů;Ϯϭ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϲ͕ϳϱϳ͘ϰϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϮϭ Ψϵϱϲ͘ϳϮ dŽƚĂů ΨϮϲ͕ϳϱϳ͘ϰϳ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϴϲϯ͘ϭϰ

Tabla 8.25 Montos obtenidos (octubre 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o 1RYLHPEUH

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϵ Ψϲϱϳ͘ϭϮ ΨϱϬϮ͘ϰϲ Ψϭ͕ϭϲϵ͘ϲϳ ΨϴϮϮ͘ϲϯ ΨϲϭϮ͘ϰϵ Ψϭ͕Ϯϯϱ͘ϭϴ Ψϭ͕ϵϳϳ͘ϴϯ Ψϭ͕ϵϵϴ͘Ϯϯ Ψϭ͕ϮϲϮ͘ϰϮ ΨϴϵϮ͘ϰϴ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϵ ΨϳϳϬ͘ϵϱ Ψϰϵϵ͘ϳϴ ΨϵϳϬ͘Ϯϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϯϴ͘ϴϴ Ψϭ͕Ϭϴϳ͘ϴϱ Ψϭ͕ϭϴϵ͘ϵϳ Ψϭ͕ϯϬϮ͘Ϭϯ Ψϭ͕Ϭϱϯ͘ϳϱ Ψϱϰϯ͘ϬϮ ΨϱϮϱ͘ϲϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϭϭͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϵ Ψϭ͕ϭϱϮ͘Ϭϳ Ψϱϱϯ͘ϵϵ Ψϱϲϰ͘Ϯϭ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϱ͘ϮϮ Ψϭ͕ϭϬϲ͘ϳϱ Ψϲϯϱ͘ϰϰ Ψϭ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϯϱ Ψϴϲϵ͘ϰϱ Ψϭ͕Ϯϲϵ͘ϵϵ Ψϭ͕Ϭϭϳ͘ϰϯ
dŽƚĂů;ϭϴ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
dŽƚĂů;ϭϵ͗ϬϬͿ ΨϮϵ͕ϱϮϭ͘ϱϬ
dŽƚĂů ΨϮϵ͕ϱϮϭ͘ϱϬ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϵϴϰ͘Ϭϱ

Tabla 8.26 Montos obtenidos (noviembre 2017, método 1 hora punta)

 


o 'LFLHPEUH
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϮͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϯͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϰͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϱͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϲͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϳͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϴͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϬϵͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϬͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ ΨϵϳϬ͘ϲϭ Ψϭ͕ϬϯϬ͘ϱϰ Ψϰϳϴ͘ϲϬ Ψϳϵϰ͘Ϭϴ Ψϭ͕ϮϮϱ͘ϯϲ ΨϳϮϰ͘Ϯϯ Ψϳϯϱ͘ϱϮ Ψϳϲϭ͘ϰϯ Ψϳϯϱ͘ϱϲ Ψϰϳϭ͘ϱϬ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϮͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ ΨϱϵϬ͘ϱϳ Ψϰϯϯ͘Ϭϭ ΨϳϮϴ͘ϭϬ ΨϳϰϮ͘Ϭϲ ΨϯϴϬ͘ϲϯ Ψϰϯϱ͘ϭϴ ΨϰϮϭ͘ϭϯ Ψϲϵϵ͘ϱϯ ΨϳϯϮ͘ϰϲ Ψϰϰϯ͘ϳϬ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϮͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ Ψϲϲϯ͘ϴϲ Ψϳϯϵ͘ϯϲ Ψϰϲϵ͘Ϭϵ ΨϯϬϯ͘ϴϱ ΨϰϯϮ͘ϱϯ Ψϱϴϳ͘ϰϲ ΨϲϬϰ͘ϰϭ Ψϲϲϵ͘Ϭϱ Ψϱϯϰ͘ϴϴ ΨϰϬϵ͘ϯϭ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϯϭͬϭϮͬϮϬϭϳ dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ Ψϯ͘ϴϮ dŽƚĂů;ϭϴ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϭϵ͕ϯϱϲ͘ϵϲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ Ψϵϲϭ͘ϳϭ dŽƚĂů Ψϭϵ͕ϯϱϲ͘ϵϲ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ ΨϲϮϰ͘ϰϮ 

Tabla 8.27 Montos obtenidos (diciembre 2017, método 1 hora punta)

o (QHUR
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϬϭͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϮͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϯͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϰͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϱͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϲͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϳͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϴͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϬϵͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϭϬͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨϮ͘ϳϰ ΨϮ͘ϳϲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ ΨϯϳϮ͘ϰϮ Ψϱϱϳ͘Ϭϰ ΨϳϯϬ͘ϰϰ ΨϴϮϴ͘ϴϭ Ψϴϭϳ͘ϲϴ Ψϰϰϴ͘Ϭϱ Ψϯϱϱ͘ϯϬ ΨϰϮϯ͘ϳϰ Ψϲϭϵ͘ϴϮ Ψϲϯϱ͘ϵϵ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϭϭͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϭϮͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϯͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϰͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϱͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϲͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϳͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϴͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϭϵͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϬͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ Ψϯϳϰ͘ϲϴ Ψϯϴϭ͘ϳϭ ΨϰϯϮ͘ϯϬ ΨϯϱϮ͘ϭϱ Ψϯϱϱ͘ϲϱ ΨϯϮϳ͘ϳϮ Ψϯϳϭ͘ϯϮ Ψϲϰϳ͘ϰϴ Ψϲϳϵ͘ϰϯ Ψϳϲϵ͘ϰϱ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϮϭͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ ϮϮͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϯͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϰͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϱͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϲͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϳͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϴͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϮϵͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ ϯϬͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϳ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ Ψϯϭϴ͘ϵϬ ΨϰϬϯ͘ϯϵ ΨϰϮϱ͘Ϯϵ ΨϰϬϯ͘ϲϴ ΨϴϭϮ͘ϭϰ Ψϰϱϴ͘ϰϯ Ψϰϲϭ͘ϬϬ Ψϯϱϰ͘ϵϰ ΨϰϬϰ͘ϳϬ Ψϰϰϯ͘ϵϱ
ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽ̺ͬà ϯϭͬϬϭͬϮϬϭϴ dŽƚĂů;ϭϳ͗ϬϬͿ ΨͲ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϳ ΨͲ dŽƚĂů;ϭϴ͗ϬϬͿ Ψϭϱ͕ϮϱϬ͘ϯϯ
sĞŶƚĂĂůĂƐϭϴ Ψϰϭϳ͘ϴϰ dŽƚĂů Ψϭϱ͕ϮϱϬ͘ϯϯ
WƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ Ψϰϵϭ͘ϵϱ 

Tabla 8.28 Montos obtenidos (enero 2018, método 1 hora punta)


 


o 5HVXOWDGRVJHQHUDOHV LQFOX\HQGRORVLQFHQWLYRVSRUFRQFHSWRGH&(/V 

ŽŶĐĞƉƚŽͬDĞƐ ĨĞďͲϭϳ ŵĂƌͲϭϳ ĂďƌͲϭϳ ŵĂLJͲϭϳ ũƵŶͲϭϳ ũƵůͲϭϳ ĂŐŽͲϭϳ ƐĞƉͲϭϳ ŽĐƚͲϭϳ ŶŽǀͲϭϳ ĚŝĐͲϭϳ ĞŶĞͲϭϴ dŽƚĂůĚĞůĂŹŽ

WƌŽĚƵĐĐŝſŶƚŽƚĂů
ϯϮϬϯϵ͘ϰ ϮϰϵϬϲ͘ϭ ϮϮϱϱϬ͘ϰ ϮϮϳϭϲ͘ϲ Ϯϯϴϴϱ͘ϲ ϮϰϯϬϵ͘ϭ ϮϲϭϮϱ͘Ϯ ϮϭϴϵϬ͘ϱϱϲ ϭϳϮϰϲ͘ϴϱϲ ϭϯϳϳϲ͘ϱϳϲ ϭϲϱϰϰ͘ϵϰϲ ϭϲϳϭϮ͘Ϯϵ ϮϲϮϳϬϯ͘ϲϮϰ
ĚĞůŵĞƐ;ŬtŚͿ
sĞŶƚĂƚŽƚĂůƉŽƌ
ΨϮϮ͕ϰϲϯ͘ϭϯ ΨϮϯ͕ϬϲϮ͘ϯϮ Ψϯϭ͕ϮϮϯ͘Ϭϳ Ψϯϯ͕ϲϵϲ͘ϵϯ ΨϲϮ͕ϯϴϳ͘ϯϯ ΨϮϴ͕ϯϵϳ͘ϯϴ Ψϰϰ͕ϴϴϯ͘ϳϴ ΨϮϯ͕ϵϵϮ͘ϴϲ ΨϮϲ͕ϳϱϳ͘ϰϳ ΨϮϵ͕ϱϮϭ͘ϱϬ Ψϭϵ͕ϯϱϲ͘ϵϲ Ψϭϱ͕ϮϱϬ͘ϯϰ ΨϯϲϬ͕ϵϵϯ͘Ϭϳ
ŵĞƐ;ŬtŚͿ
sĞŶƚĂƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ
ΨϴϬϮ͘Ϯϱ Ψϳϰϯ͘ϵϱ Ψϭ͕ϬϰϬ͘ϳϳ Ψϭ͕Ϭϴϳ͘ϬϬ ΨϮ͕Ϭϳϵ͘ϱϴ Ψϵϭϲ͘Ϭϰ Ψϭ͕ϰϰϳ͘ϴϲ Ψϳϵϵ͘ϳϲ Ψϴϲϯ͘ϭϰ Ψϵϴϰ͘Ϭϱ ΨϲϮϰ͘ϰϮ Ψϰϵϭ͘ϵϱ Ψϭϭ͕ϴϴϬ͘ϳϳ
ƉŽƌĚşĂ;ŬtŚͿ

>Ɛ ϯϮ Ϯϰ ϮϮ ϮϮ Ϯϯ Ϯϰ Ϯϲ Ϯϭ ϭϳ ϭϯ ϭϲ ϭϲ Ϯϱϲ

/ŶĐĞŶƚŝǀŽdŽƚĂů
ΨϭϬ͕Ϭϲϰ͘ϬϬ Ψϳ͕ϱϰϴ͘ϬϬ Ψϲ͕ϵϭϵ͘ϬϬ Ψϲ͕ϵϭϵ͘ϬϬ Ψϳ͕Ϯϯϯ͘ϱϬ Ψϳ͕ϱϰϴ͘ϬϬ Ψϴ͕ϭϳϳ͘ϬϬ Ψϲ͕ϲϬϰ͘ϱϬ Ψϱ͕ϯϰϲ͘ϱϬ Ψϰ͕Ϭϴϴ͘ϱϬ Ψϱ͕ϬϯϮ͘ϬϬ Ψϱ͕ϬϯϮ͘ϬϬ ΨϴϬ͕ϱϭϮ͘ϬϬ
ƉŽƌ>Ɛ
/ŶĐĞŶƚŝǀŽ
Ψϯϱϵ͘ϰϯ ΨϮϰϯ͘ϰϴ ΨϮϯϬ͘ϲϯ ΨϮϮϯ͘ϭϵ ΨϮϰϭ͘ϭϮ ΨϮϰϯ͘ϰϴ ΨϮϲϯ͘ϳϳ ΨϮϮϬ͘ϭϱ ΨϭϳϮ͘ϰϳ Ψϭϯϲ͘Ϯϴ ΨϭϲϮ͘ϯϮ ΨϭϲϮ͘ϯϮ ΨϮ͕ϲϱϴ͘ϲϲ
ƉƌŽŵĞĚŝŽƉŽƌĚşĂ

dŽƚĂů ΨϯϮ͕ϱϮϳ͘ϭϯ ΨϯϬ͕ϲϭϬ͘ϯϮ Ψϯϴ͕ϭϰϮ͘Ϭϳ ΨϰϬ͕ϲϭϱ͘ϵϯ Ψϲϵ͕ϲϮϬ͘ϴϯ Ψϯϱ͕ϵϰϱ͘ϯϴ Ψϱϯ͕ϬϲϬ͘ϳϴ ΨϯϬ͕ϱϵϳ͘ϯϲ ΨϯϮ͕ϭϬϯ͘ϵϳ Ψϯϯ͕ϲϭϬ͘ϬϬ ΨϮϰ͕ϯϴϴ͘ϵϲ ΨϮϬ͕ϮϴϮ͘ϯϰ Ψϰϰϭ͕ϱϬϱ͘Ϭϳ

dŽƚĂůWƌŽŵĞĚŝŽ
Ψϭ͕ϭϲϭ͘ϲϴ Ψϵϴϳ͘ϰϯ Ψϭ͕Ϯϳϭ͘ϰϬ Ψϭ͕ϯϭϬ͘ϭϵ ΨϮ͕ϯϮϬ͘ϲϵ Ψϭ͕ϭϱϵ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϳϭϭ͘ϲϰ Ψϭ͕Ϭϭϵ͘ϵϭ Ψϭ͕Ϭϯϱ͘ϲϭ Ψϭ͕ϭϮϬ͘ϯϯ Ψϳϴϲ͘ϳϰ Ψϲϱϰ͘Ϯϳ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϲϮ
ƉŽƌ̺à 
Tabla 8.29 Resultados característicos del lapso total de los 12 meses en cuestión

5HODFLRQDQGRHVWRVGDWRVFRQODVLQYHUVLRQHVUHTXHULGDVSDUDODVEDWHUtDVVHOHFFLRQDGDVVHREWXYLHURQORVVLJXLHQWHVUHVXOWDGRV

ϭ Ϯ ϯ ϰ ϱ ϲ ϳ ϴ ϵ ϭϬ ϭϭ ϭϮ ϭϯ ϭϰ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ Ϯϱй ϮϮϬϬ ϮϮϬϬ ϮϰϮϱ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϲϮ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϱ Ψϯ͕ϴϭϰ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϱϬ Ψϭ͕ϳϯϯ͘ϴϱ ͲΨϮϳϯ͘ϳϭ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ ϱϬй ϭϬϬϬ ϭϬϬϬ ϭϮϭϯ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϲϮ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϱ Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͕ϬϮϰ͘ϳϰ Ψϭ͕ϵϬϴ͘ϬϮ ͲΨϰϰϳ͘ϴϴ
>d, WďͲĐŝĚŽ Ψϭ͕ϱϳϮ͘ϵϴ ϭ ϳϱй ϱϱϬ ϱϱϬ ϭϬϳϲ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϲϮ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϱ Ψϭ͕ϲϵϮ͕ϱϮϲ͘ϰϴ Ψϯ͕Ϭϳϳ͘ϯϮ ͲΨϭ͕ϲϭϳ͘ϭϳ
^ŝŵƉůŝW,/ϯ͘ϰ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϵϴ͕ϱϬϳ͘Ϭϱ ϭ ϴϬй ϭϬϬϬϬ ϭϬϬϬϬ ϱϱϲ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϲϮ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϱ Ψϱϰ͕ϳϲϵ͕ϵϭϵ͘ϴϬ Ψϱ͕ϰϳϲ͘ϵϵ ͲΨϰ͕Ϭϭϲ͘ϴϱ
't>ͬWŽǁĞƌ >ŝƚŝŽͲ/ŽŶ Ψϰϳ͕Ϯϰϳ͘ϵϲ ϭ ϴϬй ϯϬϬϬ ϯϬϬϬ ϱϬϬ Ψϭ͕Ϯϭϭ͘ϲϮ ΨϮϰϴ͘ϱϯ Ψϭ͕ϰϲϬ͘ϭϱ ΨϮϯ͕ϲϮϯ͕ϵϴϬ͘ϬϬ Ψϳ͕ϴϳϰ͘ϲϲ ͲΨϲ͕ϰϭϰ͘ϱϭ

Tabla 8.30 Resultados generales del lapso total de los 12 meses en cuestión, y en datos promedio por día la perdida que se tendía con cada tipo de batería.


6LJQLILFDGRGHODVFROXPQDV

  1RPEUHGHODEDWHUtD
  7LSRGHWHFQRORJtD
  3UHFLRSRUXQLGDG
  'HVFDUJDVSRUGtD
  3URIXQGLGDGGHGHVFDUJD
  &LFORVGHYLGDGHODEDWHUtD
  'tDVGHRSHUDFLyQ
  &DQWLGDGGHEDWHUtDVUHTXHULGDV
  ,QJUHVRSRUGtDREWHQLGR SRUFRQFHSWRGHYHQWD 
 ,QJUHVRSRUGtDREWHQLGR SRUFRQFHSWRGH&(/V 
 ,QJUHVRWRWDOSRUGtD VXPDGHOSXQWR\ 
 ,QYHUVLyQUHTXHULGDSDUDODDGTXLVLFLyQGHODVEDWHUtDVQHFHVDULDV
 ,QJUHVRUHTXHULGRSRUGtDSDUDTXHODLQYHUVLyQVHDLJXDODOEHQHILFLRREWHQLGR
 *DQDQFLDREWHQLGDSRUGtD

3DUDTXHODJDQDQFLDKXELHVHUHVXOWDGRDOPHQRVLJXDOD LQYHUVLyQ EHQHILFLR ODV


EDWHUtDVWHQGUtDQTXHEDMDUVXYDORUGHOSUHFLR\HVWRVYDORUHVORVSRGHPRVREWHQHUGHOD
VLJXLHQWHPDQHUDHPSOHDQGRODVVLJXLHQWHVHFXDFLRQHV

9 &RQGLFLyQ‫݀ݎ݋݌݋݀݅݊݁ݐܾ݋݋݅݀݁݉݋ݎ݌݋ݏ݁ݎ݃݊ܫ‬Àܽ ൌ ‫ݎ݁ݑݍ݁ݎ݋ݏ݁ݎ݃݊ܫ‬À݀‫݀ݎ݋݌݋‬Àܽ

ሺ‫ܱܲܫ‬ሻ െ  ሺ‫ܴܲܫ‬ሻ ൌ ܴ

ሺܴሻሺ‫ܦ‬ሻ
ൌ ܴܰ
‫ܥ‬
ܴܰ
ሺͳͲͲΨሻ ൌ ܺ
ܴܲ
ܴܲ െ ܴܰ ൌ ܲܰ


,32 ,QJUHVRSURPHGLRREWHQLGRSRUGtD

,35 ,QJUHVRSURPHGLRUHTXHULGR

5 5HVLGXR

' GtDVGHYLGD~WLO

& FDQWLGDGGHEDWHUtDVUHTXHULGDV

35 3UHFLRUHDO

51 5HGXFFLyQQHFHVDULDGHOSUHFLRUHDO

; 3RUFHQWDMHQHFHVDULRGHUHGXFFLyQGHOSUHFLRSDUDREWHQHU³EHQHILFLR LQYHUVLyQ´

31 3UHFLRQHFHVDULRSRUXQLGDG


/RV SRUFHQWDMHV GH UHGXFFLyQ GH SUHFLR QHFHVDULR SDUD FDGD EDWHUtD VH PXHVWUD D
FRQWLQXDFLyQ UHVSHFWR D ODEDWHUtD /7+ VyORVH FDOFXOySDUD HO SHUILOGH SURIXQGLGDG GH
GHVFDUJDGHOSRUKDEHUSUHVHQWDGRHOPHMRUUHVXOWDGR\HQFXHQWRDODVEDWHUtDVLRQ
OLWLRVRORVHWRPyHQFXHQWDOD6LPSOL3+,SRUKDEHUSUHVHQWDGRPHMRUUHVXOWDGRTXHOD
*:/SRZHU 

o %DWHUtD/7+6RODU 9 

ሺ̈́ͳǡ͹͵͵Ǥͺͷሻ െ ሺ̈́ͳǡͶ͸ͲǤͳͷሻ  ൌ ̈́ʹ͹͵Ǥ͹ͳ

ሺ̈́ʹ͹͵Ǥ͹ͳሻሺʹǡʹͲͲሻ
ൌ ̈́ʹͶͺǤ͵Ͳͷ
ʹǡͶʹͷ
̈́ʹͶͺǤ͵Ͳͷ
ሺͳͲͲΨሻ ൌ ૚૞Ǥ ૠૢΨ
̈́ͳǡͷ͹ʹǤͻͺ
ࡼ࢘ࢋࢉ࢏࢕࢔ࢋࢉࢋ࢙ࢇ࢘࢏࢕ ൌ ̈́ͳǡͷ͹ʹǤͻͺ െ ̈́ʹͶͺǤ͵Ͳͷ ൌ ̈́૚ǡ ૜૛૝Ǥ ૟ૡ

o 6LPSOL3+,

ሺ̈́ͷǡͶ͹͸Ǥͻͻሻ െ ሺ̈́ͳǡͶ͸ͲǤͳͷሻ ൌ ̈́ͶǡͲͳ͸Ǥͺͷ

ሺ̈́ͶǡͲͳ͸ǤͺͷሻሺͳͲǡͲͲͲሻ
ൌ ̈́͹ʹǡʹͶͷǤͷ
ͷͷ͸
̈́͹ʹǡʹͶͷǤͷ
ሺͳͲͲΨሻ ൌ ૠ૜Ǥ ૜૝Ψ
̈́ͻͺǡͷͲ͹ǤͲͷ
ࡼ࢘ࢋࢉ࢏࢕࢔ࢋࢉࢋ࢙ࢇ࢘࢏࢕ ൌ ̈́ͻͺǡͷͲ͹ǤͲͷ െ ̈́͹ʹǡʹͶͷǤͷ ൌ ̈́૛૟ǡ ૛૟૚Ǥ ૟૙

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