Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                

Stat LAS 8

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 6

Quarter 3, Week 3

Learning Activity Sheets (LAS) No. 8

Name of Learner: ___________________ Grade and Section: _______________


Date: _____________________________

STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY ACTIVITY SHEET


Interpreting the Mean and the Variance of a Discrete Random Variable

I. Learning Competency with Code


Interprets the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable.
(M11/12SP-IIIb-3)

II. Background Information for Learners

In our daily experience in attending our classes, we encountered


situations that need wise decisions. Decision-making should be part of our skills
especially in achieving our goals. Just like for instance, you wanted to know or
guess about your performance in the ten Statistics and
Probability examinations. The scores are given by the teacher in each of the
tests. What can you say about your performance on the basis of the scores you
obtained? What is your overall performance in these tests?
You can answer your questions by calculating the average of the scores
obtained to get an idea of your overall performance. Your average score will tell
you about the scores you are most close to. You can easily see the difference
of scores in each of the tests from this average score. This difference in scores
shows the variability of the possible values of the random variable. The random
variable being the marks or scores in the test.
The variance of a random variable shows the variability or the scatterings
of the random variables. It shows the distance of a random variable from its
mean. We have already learned how to find the mean and variance of a discrete
probability distribution. Now let’s discover how to interpret this data and know
the implication of it.

Example 1: Online Class

A mathematics teacher conducted his online class on a zero, one, two


or three days a week. The probability that he holds a class on a zero day is
0.35, the probability that he holds a class on one day is 0.25, the probability
that he holds a class on two days is 0.30 and the probability that he holds a
class on three days is 0.10. Find the average or expected value, μ, of the
number of days per week the teacher holds an online class.

Solution:

X P(X) X ∙ P(X)
0 0.35 0
1 0.25 0.25
2 0.30 0.60
3 0.10 0.30
𝜇 = ∑ 𝑋 ∙ 𝑃(𝑋) = 0 + 0.25 + 0.60 + 0.30 = 1.15
The expected value or mean is 1.15. This means that the
mathematics teacher would, on the average, expect to hold online
class 1.15 days per week. The number 1.15 is the long-term average
or expected value if the mathematics teacher holds online classes
week after week after week.

Example 2 Roulette Wheel

Roulette is a casino game named after the French word


meaning little wheel. In the game, players may choose to place bets on
either a single number or a single color. This is usually played during
barangay fiesta. The bettor will just choose a single number from 1 to
9. Unfortunately, the owner of the roulette wheel made it an unfair
wheel with the following probabilities:

X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
P(X) 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.20

Find the mean, variance and standard deviation.

Solution:

X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
P(X) 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.20
𝑋 ∙ 𝑃(𝑋) 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 1.80

𝜇 = ∑ 𝑋 ∙ 𝑃(𝑋) = 0.10 + 0.20 + 0.30 + 0.40 + 0.50 + 0.60 + 0.70 + 0.80 + 1.80
= 5.4

The mean is equal to 5.4. Therefore, it means that the average number that
will appear in a roulette wheel is 5.4. This implies further that although 5.4 will never
show in a roulette wheel, spinning the wheel many times will result to 5.4

The mean of probability distribution is much like the mean of anything else. It
answers the question: If you perform this experiment many times, what’s the likely
(average) result?

To find the variance, let’s complete the table below:


𝑥 𝑃(𝑥) 𝑥 ∙ 𝑃(𝑥) 𝑥2 𝑥 2 ∙ 𝑃(𝑥)

1 0.10 0.10 1 0.10

2 0.10 0.20 4 0.40

3 0.10 0.30 9 0.90


4 0.10 0.40 16 1.60

5 0.10 0.50 25 2.50

6 0.10 0.60 36 3.60

7 0.10 0.70 49 4.90

8 0.10 0.80 64 6.40

9 0.20 1.80 81 16.20


∑[𝑥 2 ∙ 𝑃(𝑥)] = 36.60

𝜎 2 =∑[𝑥 2 ∙ 𝑃(𝑥)] − 𝜇 2 = 36.60- (5.4)2 = 7.44

𝜎=√𝜎 2 =√7.44= 2.73


Therefore, the variance (𝜎 2 ) of a probability distribution is equal to 7.44, while
the standard deviation (𝜎) is equal to 2.73.

III. Accompanying DepEd Textbook and Education Sites

Alferez, M.S. &Duro, M.A. (2006). MSA Statistics and Probability. MSA
Publishing House. Reprinted 2016.

Belecina, R. R.et.al. (2016). Statistics and Probability. First Edition. Rex Book
Store, Inc.

CHED. Statistics and Probability. Pasig City: Department of Education -


Bureau of Learning Resources, 2016, pp 108-1116

https://www.toppr.com/guides/maths/probability/mean-and-variance-of-
random-variables/
IV. Activity Proper

General Directions: In answering the exercises in the Learning Activity


Sheet (LAS), please be reminded not to write anything here. All answers
must be written in a separate sheet of paper. Read each problem carefully
and answer it systematically. If a solution is required, encircle your final
answer.

Exercise 1.Rolling a Single Unfair Die

For numbers 1- 4, refer to the probability distribution below:


X 1 2 3 4 5 6
P(X) 0.15 0.25 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15

1. What is the mean of the probability distribution?


A. 3.35 B. 14.05 C. 2.83 D. 1.68

2. What is the variance of the probability distribution?


A. 3.35 B. 14.05 C. 2.83 D. 1.68

3. What is the standard deviation of the probability distribution?


A. 3.35 B. 14.05 C. 2.83 D. 1.68

4. How would you interpret the mean of the probability distribution?


A. The mean value is the closest value to the most probable value of
the outcome when you roll the unfair die in numerous trials.
B. The mean value is the difference between each probable value of
the outcome when you roll the unfair die in numerous trials.
C. The mean value is the higher probable value of the outcome
when you roll the unfair die in numerous trials.
D. The mean value is the lowest probable value of the outcome when
you roll the unfair die in numerous trials.

5. Which of the following is the probability of getting a one in rolling a single


fair die?
A. 0.5 B. 0.17 C. 0.25 D. 0.15

Exercise 2. Modules Answered in a Week

John is a SHS student. He received 9 modules from his adviser. The


following table shows the number of modules he can finish in a single day.
Find the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the probability distribution
below. If John is claiming that he can finish 3 modules in a day, do you
believe in his claim?

X 1 2 3 4 5
P(X) 0.25 0.30 0.15 0.15 0.15
Guide Questions:
1. How do you find for the mean?, the variance?, the standard
deviation?
2. How will you interpret the result?

Exercise 3. Complete the table below then find the mean, variance, and standard
deviation of the probability distribution, then interpret the result.

X P(X) 𝑿 ∙ 𝑷(𝑿) 𝒙𝟐 ∙ 𝑷(𝒙)


𝟏
1
𝟗
𝟏
4
𝟗
𝟒
7
𝟗
𝟐
10
𝟗
𝟏
13
𝟗

Guide Questions:
1. What does the variance and the standard deviation of a
probability distribution tell us?
2. How do you interpret the variance and standard deviation of
a probability distribution?
Key to Solution

You might also like