Development Feasibility Sample Report - JLDA
Development Feasibility Sample Report - JLDA
Development Feasibility Sample Report - JLDA
16 November 2011
(Note: this sample report contains sections from different reports and is intended to
provide an example of the scope of a typical site feasibility report)
ABC Developments Ltd – Land Feasibility Study
JLDA 2
Contents
1. Executive Summary 4
Current development activity 4
Pricing of new build property 4
Town planning constraints 4
Site development potential 4
Financial analysis and Return on Investment 4
2. Site Context 6
The Proposed Site 6
Services 8
Flood Risk Assessment 9
3. Planning Context 10
Planning Policy 10
Planning History 11
4. Development Context 12
Current Development Sites in the Locality 12
5. Development Value 13
Demographics 13
Sale prices for new build and resale 17
Average Sale Values 19
6. Development Potential 20
Site Feasibility Plan 20
Accommodation Schedule & Potential Development Value 22
Site Development Calculation 23
Return on Investment Calculation 24
Comments on Financial Analysis 25
Conclusions & Recommendations 26
Recommendations 26
Risk Assessment 27
7. Terms and Conditions of Use 29
Another Road, Somewhere Road, Oxfordshire
ABC Development Ltd
1. Executive Summary
• In October 2011 there are 2 active developments in the local area of 69 and 22 units that are currently under construction.
• Across the wider area there are 6 active developments containing a total of 130 units of which 39 are still under construction.
• 28% are detached houses, 13% are semis, 20% are terraced and 34% flats.
• The average selling price at October 2011 is £44,8611 for detached houses, £303,464 for semis, £202,409 for terraced houses and £140,063 for flats.
• Over the last 12 months to October 2011 the average price for detached houses has risen by 10.4% compared to a fall of 5.5% for the overall market.
• Average prices per square foot are £214psf for 1 bed flats, £30psf for 2 bed flats, £246psf for 2 bed houses, £251psf for 3 bed houses and £317psf for 4
bed houses.
• South Oxfordshire District Council’s Core Strategy makes provision for additional houses in Henley on suitable infill and redevelopment sites.
• Local Plan 2011 policy H4 provides for new houses in Henley, subject to a number of criteria being satisfied.
• The Shepherds Road site has a potential for 11 units totalling 14,790 sqft/ 1375 sqm in a mix of 3 and 4 bed detached houses with double garages.
• Using local pricing data, this equates to a total sale value of £5,989,000 at October 2011 prices.
• Assuming 3 years to complete the development and a 3.5% estimated increase in construction costs per annum, the total outlay on completion will be
£4,926,800.
• Assuming a finance requirement of £3,700,000 at 75% loan-to-value, the total initial investment outlay will be £1.226,800.
• Assuming a 2.0% estimated growth on current value per annum in the 3 years to complete the development, the current development value on completion
will be £6,355,600.
• Based on these figures, the Return on Capital will be 15.6% over the period of the development.
JLDA 4
Another Road, Somewhere Road, Oxfordshire
ABC Development Ltd
JLDA 5
Another Road, Somewhere Road, Oxfordshire
ABC Development Ltd
2. Site Context
JLDA 6
Another Road, Somewhere Road, Oxfordshire
ABC Development Ltd
Site details
Location Henley-on-Thames
Gross site area 1,494 m2 / 16,065 sqft
Land cost £540,000
Existing buildings or structures on site yes
Listed buildings no
Conservation area yes
The proposed site on St Andrew’s Road is part of the curtilage of XX St Andrew’s Road. A high boundary wall on the frontage separates the plot from the
footway. Conservation Area Consent has been granted for the demolition of the other existing structures on the site (LPA ref P10/EXXXX/CA), whose
presence was a negative feature of the area. No significant trees are present on the site that would prejudice any development. The site is at the edge of St
Mark’s Road Conservation Area, with both adjoining properties being outside the Area.
The proposed site is located within Henley conservation area, a designated heritage asset. Henley conservation area was designated under the Planning
(Listed Buildings and Conservation Areas) Act 1990 for its ‘special architectural or historic interest, the character or appearance of which it is desirable to
preserve or enhance’. South Oxfordshire District Council approved the Henley Conservation Area Appraisal and Management Plan on 16th June 2005. This
included a conservation area boundary review which extended the boundaries of the St Mark’s Road Conservation Area to include properties in St Andrew’s
Road and Reading Road. St Andrew’s Road is located within Character Area 7, the proposal site is therefore included within a designated heritage asset,
(Henley Conservation Area) and is also identified as a non designated heritage asset of local interest.
• Mainly red brick houses with blue brick or stone decoration under Welsh slate or tiled roofs
• Mainly semi-detached houses, set back slightly from the road behind brick walls or hedges
• More substantial houses in St Andrew’s Road - detached with larger gardens
• Roads laid out on grid pattern
• Common building line for most houses
• Reasonably generous, long, narrow gardens
• Houses of varied architectural designs and details
JLDA 7
Another Road, Somewhere Road, Oxfordshire
ABC Development Ltd
• Significant local characteristic of frontage house with larger garden behind, set back behind modest front gardens
• Double-depth, 2 storey houses most common; however 2 storeys plus attics typical in detached houses in St Andrew’s Road
• Largely concealed rear gardens
• Positive contribution of trees and other more open gardens
• Fine examples of brick boundary walls
• Views of the surrounding wooded hills
Vegetation on the site prevents any significant townscape relationship between development on it and the more recently housing on adjacent land in Western
Avenue.
Services
Electricity
Records provided by EDF indicate a low voltage cable which runs parallel to the site’s northern boundary.
Gas
National Grid have confirmed that there is a 180mm diameter gas main running along St Andrew’s Road.
British Telecom
Residential and commercial services are available from BT in the St Andrew’s Road area. There are no overhead lines crossing the site.
JLDA 8
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
The proposed site is located on raised ground outside the potential flood risk area of the River Thames.
3.
JLDA 9
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Planning Context
Planning Policy
The Oxfordshire Structure Plan makes provision for an additional 8,000 dwellings in the district between 1996 and 2011, divided between Didcot - about 5,000
dwellings (with a further 500 dwellings in the Vale of the White Horse District at Didcot) and the rest of South Oxfordshire - 3000 dwellings, but there will be no
significant housing growth in Henley. South Oxfordshire District Council’s Core Strategy proposes to make provision for additional houses in Henley (Policy
CSS1). Policy CSHEN1 accordingly includes the intention to “… allow housing on suitable infill and redevelopment sites.” South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011
policy H4 provides for new houses in Henley, subject to a number of criteria being satisfied.
Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing (PPS3) seeks the effective use of land for housing by re-using previously developed land. For the purposes of PPS3
the Secretary of State removed gardens from the definition of previously developed land, together with the national indicative minimum density, last year. As
a consequence, rear gardens are now treated as undeveloped plots with no presumption in favour of their development.
Guidance in Planning Policy Statement 3 (PPS3), and South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011 policy H8 recommend a minimum density of 30 dwellings per
hectare.
The adopted South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011 policies G5, G6, CON7, D1, D2, D3, D4, D6, D,7 D8, H4, H8, as well as the South Oxfordshire Design Guide
(SODG) 2000 and the Henley Character Appraisal in respect of Henley Character Area 7 are relevant to this proposal. South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011
policy D1 requires that new developments contribute to the distinctive character and sense of place of each part of the district, and in the detailed design of
the building and the use of materials, reference should be made to local architectural themes or traditions. The scale of any new development should be in
keeping with adjoining development and with the size of the plot. Building forms should be kept as simple as possible and should reflect the general
relationship of buildings to the street in the local area. Dwellings in the immediate vicinity of the plot site are a mix of large semi-detached and detached
houses, and any proposal should be designed to reflect this mix.
Policy D2 requires that parking should be accommodated on the development plot, and policy D3 requires garden and outdoor sitting areas to be designed so
as to provide a reasonable degree of privacy. Policies D4 and D8 require that adequate privacy be provided to existing and new residents without undue
intrusion from neighbours or from the public, and that buildings should be orientated within their plots to maximise daylight, passive solar gain and sunlight to
garden areas, avoiding overshadowing of adjoining dwellings.
Policy G6 requires that development in the district is of a high quality and inclusive design, and has regard to the distinctive characteristics of the local area
and that the development is appropriate in terms of its type and its scale. Policy H4 regarding the design, height, scale and materials of a proposed
development should be in keeping with its surroundings, such that the character of the area is not adversely affected. The choice of materials, the scale and
JLDA 10
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
character of the proposed development should be chosen and designed to carefully respect the distinctive character of Another Road in order to fully comply
with these policies. Further guidance is contained in the South Oxfordshire Design Guide 2008.
Policy D7 requires access to and into buildings from the street to the proposed dwelling to ensure adequate access for those with impaired mobility, hearing or
sight.
The Council’s parking standards set out in South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011 Appendix 5 require 1 parking for 1 bed dwellings, 2 spaces spaces for 2/3 bed
dwellings and 2+ extra spaces on merit for 4 bed+ dwellings.
Planning History
JLDA 11
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
4. Development Context
There are 2 active developments in the local area of 69 and 22 units which are currently under construction. Across the wider area there are 6 active
developments containing a total of 130 units of which 39 are still under construction. Sales price data is not yet available for these units.
This is a summary of the mix of units currently being developed in the local area. Table 2 displays the profile of units that are under construction or yet to be
sold. Tables 3 and 4 set out the mix of housing being developed on all sites - both under construction and completed within the last 2 years.
Bungalow 4 4.4%
Detached house 26 28.6%
Semi-detached House 12 13.2%
Terraced House 18 19.8%
Table 2. Mix of all housing on current active sites
Flat / Maisonette 31 34.1% Source: NHBC
Studio 0 0.0%
1B flats 5 5.5%
2B flats 12 13.2%
2B houses 29 31.9%
3B houses 27 29.7% Table 3. Mix of units on current active sites
4B+ houses 18 19.8% Source: NHBC
JLDA 12
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
5. Development Value
Demographics
Population 21,459
Median Age 43 39.05
% Educated to Degree level 36.25% 19.77%
% Retirees 25.63% 21.96%
%Full Time Students 3.15% 3.40%
% Unemployed 1.64% 3.22%
Average Property Value £522,900 £221,800
Average Earnings £35,598 £24,478
Property Price / Earnings Ratio 14.69x 9.06x
The demographic data shows the social makeup of the postcode district for the plot compared to the national average. The price to earnings ratio is an
effective measure of the relative affordability of property in the area. This is shown the average current value of property divided by the average annual
household income for the area. The demographic data combined with the price to earnings ratio provides a picture of the market for the intended
development.
JLDA 13
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
JLDA 14
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
JLDA 15
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
JLDA 16
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
JLDA 17
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Figures for local pricing have been obtained from NHBC and Hometrack data. The NHBC holds a database of all new properties that are registered with them
for the purposes on insurance, which accounts for about 85% of all new homes/dwellings built each year. Hometrack provide data on house prices and
housing market trends, which is updated monthly.
JLDA 18
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Analysis of actual sales prices for all completions in the catchment area over the last 12 months. The price data relates to achieved prices as recorded by a
solicitor rather than asking prices.
JLDA 19
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
6. Development Potential
After carefully considering the existing property mix in the area as well as the relevant local planning policies, and the client’s preferred dwelling house types,
a site feasibility plan taking into urban design and townscape, vehicle and pedestrian movement has been produced for a scheme consisting of a mix of 3 and
4 bed detached dwellings in a price range of £475,000 to £700,000 for the Shepherds Road site.
JLDA 20
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Plot and dwelling areas for the above site plan are summarised as follows:
JLDA 21
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Figures shown in yellow for the price psft are taken from the local pricing data from tables 8 and 9 above, otherwise client provided data.
JLDA 22
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
JLDA 23
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Summary: £1,226,842 initial capital less £172,050 pa finance repayment over 3 yrs ends with £2,496,702 capital @ 15.6% pa assuming a
geared property asset grows by 8.86% pa. With no finance the RoC is 7.9 % pa.
JLDA 24
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
• The land value at £2,525,000 equates to £452 psm which is higher than land values in the wider area at £360 psm.
• The Return on Investment is highly sensitive to any increase in construction costs and in particular to changes in the growth in value of the completed
development. For example if the construction costs increase by 5% per annum over the period of the development, the RoI reduces to 13%. If
property values fall 2% over that time, the RoI reduces to 1.2% (excluding any construction cost increases)
• If the purchase price for the land could be reduced to between £2,000,000 and £2,200,000 (£360 - £390 psm), any fall in property values of 2% would
produce a RoI of between 10 – 18%.
JLDA 25
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
A scheme consisting of a mix of 3 and 4 bed detached dwellings in the range of 1,000 to 1,600 square feet within a price range of £475,000 to £700,000
makes optimum viable use of the site within this built-up area, in accordance with 3RDC Adopted Local Plan policy G5 of the Local Development Framework.
Changes to PPS3 have resulted in the removal of the density target of 30dph, and dwelling capacities of sites are based on design case studies which
recognise the characteristics of the surrounding areas.
The layout of this proposal provides good sized plots, with parking arrangements for 2 spaces or double garage and 2 additional visitor spaces in compliance
with policy T2. Vehicular and pedestrian access into the site is a level and would not affect the safety and convenience of users on Chorleywood Road. The
proposal makes provision of a hard surface to the front door of the dwelling, in compliance with policy Policy D7 which requires access to and into buildings
from the street to be adequate for those with impaired mobility, hearing or sight.
The viability assessment demonstrates that this preferred option would provide a viable Return on Capital, taking into account current economic conditions.
Recommendations
Any development proposal should be carefully designed to balance contribution to the street scene and neighbourliness, make use traditional materials and
design idioms, and seek to preserve or enhance the character and appearance of the Conservation Area. Scheme design should be appropriate for context,
and make a positive contribution to the appearance, character, quality and local distinctiveness of the historic environment.
JLDA 26
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
Risk Assessment
UK house sales continue to fall, with the property market in a three-year slump, and sales well below levels recorded prior to the banking crisis in 2008. Sales
have been depressed by a combination of mortgage rationing by lenders, and rising unemployment.
A careful appraisal of the development cost must be made in order to avoid costs exceeding the funding identified for the project. The funding for the project
has been calculated having analysed the market and with reference to current building cost rates provided by the client and adding inflation allowances within
the project costs. This risk has been mitigated by adopting a cautious approach to the assumptions made in the ROI calculation. However, changes in the
market place may lead to a fall in sales prices and/or fluctuations in construction costs.
A contingency sum has been allowed for unseen costs. This almost always relates to unexpected ground conditions, and it is recommended that a soil
analysis be obtained prior to completion of the land purchase. This may identify possible contamination as well as areas of weak load bearing soils. If
contamination is found, a more detailed survey with recommendations and costs for the removal of the contamination should be obtained and entered into the
development cost calculation. Any areas of weak soil will require engineered foundation works, the costs of which should be reflected in the build cost rates.
Other areas of uncertainty/risk have not been evaluated in this study, such as an affordable housing requirement and any planning gain agreements that may
be required by the local council. You are advised to make appropriate enquires regarding these and any other matters that may affect the viability of the
development.
16/11/2011
JLDA 27
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
References
2. Communities and Local Government, Planning Policy Statement 25: Development and Flood Risk, 2006.
4. South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011 Sections 4 & 5: High-quality development & the social needs of communities (includes the housing
allocations and housing policies)
5. South Oxfordshire Local Plan 2011 Sections 11 to 13: Henley, Thame and Wallingford
JLDA 28
Another Road, Henley-on-Thames
AB Property Development Ltd
JLDA provides the information contained in this report in good faith, but does not in any circumstances accept responsibility for the accuracy, completeness,
suitability, or otherwise of such information contained herein. Most of the information contained in this report has been sourced from third parties or is
information already in the public domain. Sources are referenced where applicable.
The information provided in this report constitutes an opinion and is for information purposes. In using this information, you assume full responsibility and risk
for the subsequent use of this information. It is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness, fitness for purpose, usefulness and suitability
of the information provided in this report. You are advised to make your own independent enquiries before entering into any agreements with third parties.
All data and information within this report provided on an as is basis. JLDA does not make any express or implied warranties, representations or
endorsements whatsoever with regard to the data or any information provided in this report. In no event will JLDA be liable to you or any other party using this
report for any loss or damage of any nature whatsoever and howsoever arising (including due to our negligence) out of or in connection with this report or its
contents, whether used due to inaccuracy, error, omission or any other cause and whether or not part of any other person. JLDA makes no express or implied
warranties, representations or endorsements whatsoever with regard to this report, and will not be liable for any loss of profit, loss of business, loss of
revenue, loss or impairment of goodwill, loss or impairment of opportunity, loss of or reduction in anticipated savings, indirect loss or damage, and/or
consequential loss or damage.
The contents of this report are protected by copyright. The use of this report is limited to use by the party that originally ordered it from JLDA, and may not be
copied, reproduced, modified, distributed or published by any means or in any manner without the written permission of JLDA. You agree to indemnity and
hold JLDA harmless from any claim or demand, including reasonable legal fees, made by any third party due to or arising out of your use of this report, the
breach of these Terms and Conditions of Use by you, or the infringement by you, or any other person, firm or company to whom you allow access to this
report.
JLDA 29