Siller 2018
Siller 2018
Siller 2018
research-article2018
MSJ0010.1177/1352458518765666Multiple Sclerosis JournalN Siller, J Kuhle
MULTIPLE
SCLEROSIS MSJ
JOURNAL
1–9
Nelly Siller, Jens Kuhle, Muthuraman Muthuraman, Christian Barro, Timo Uphaus,
Sergiu Groppa, Ludwig Kappos, Frauke Zipp and Stefan Bittner
Abstract
Background: Monitoring neuronal injury remains one key challenge in early relapsing-remitting mul- Correspondence to:
S Bittner
tiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients. Upon axonal damage, neurofilament – a major component of the neuro- Department of Neurology,
axonal cytoskeleton – is released into the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and subsequently peripheral blood. University Medical Center
of the Johannes Gutenberg
Objective: To investigate the relevance of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) for acute and chronic University Mainz, 55131
Mainz, Germany.
axonal damage in early RRMS. stefan.bittner@unimedizin-
Methods: sNfL levels were determined in 74 patients (63 therapy-naive) with recently diagnosed clini- mainz.de
Nelly Siller
cally isolated syndrome (CIS) or RRMS using Single Molecule Array technology. Standardized 3 T mag- Muthuraman Muthuraman
netic resonance imaging (MRI) was performed at baseline and 1–3 consecutive follow-ups (42 patients; Timo Uphaus
Sergiu Groppa
range: 6–37 months). Frauke Zipp
Results: Baseline sNfL correlated significantly with T2 lesion volume (r = 0.555, p < 0.0001). There was Stefan Bittner
Department of Neurology
no correlation between baseline sNfL and age, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score or other and Focus Program
Translational Neuroscience
calculated MRI measures. However, T2 lesion volume increased (r = 0.67, p < 0.0001) and brain paren- (FTN), Research Center for
chymal volume decreased more rapidly in patients with higher baseline sNfL (r = −0.623, p = 0.0004). Immunotherapy (FZI), Rhine-
Main Neuroscience Network
Gd-enhancing lesions correlated positively with sNfL levels. Initiation of disease-modifying treatment (rmn2), University Medical
Center of the Johannes
led to a significant decrease in sNfL levels. Gutenberg University Mainz,
Conclusion: sNfL indicates acute inflammation as demonstrated by correlation with Gd+ lesions. It is Mainz, Germany
a promising biomarker for neuro-axonal damage in early multiple sclerosis (MS) patients, since higher Jens Kuhle
Christian Barro
baseline sNfL levels predicted future brain atrophy within 2 years. Ludwig Kappos
Neurologic Clinic and
Policlinic and Departments of
Medicine, Biomedicine and
Keywords: Multiple sclerosis, neurodegeneration, neurofilament, biomarker, clinical progression, MRI, Clinical Research, University
disease activity Hospital Basel, University of
Basel, Basel, Switzerland
Date received: 29 August 2017; revised: 19 January 2018; accepted: 6 February 2018
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Multiple Sclerosis Journal 00(0)
Figure 1. Study design. sNfL was determined in serum of 63 therapy-naive patients; standardized MRI was performed at
baseline. 1−3 consecutive MRI follow-ups (FU) in 42 patients after 637 months were conducted. Follow-up MRIs were
classified into two groups, one with MRI after less than 18 months (n = 38, median = 11 months) and one with MRI at least
18 months later (n = 33, median = 24 months). Correlation between sNfL levels and gadolinium (Gd)-enhancing lesions
was evaluated in 74 patients, 62 of the naive cohort and an additional 12 patients (one patient in the therapy-naive cohort
refused gadolinium administration). Follow-up MRIs with consecutive serum samples were included leading to 107 sNfL
values and MRI scans.
controls.7,8 A recent study using this technology in Center Mainz and University Hospital Basel) were
MS has proposed sNfL as a biomarker to monitor or involved in the study. Serum samples were obtained
potentially even predict neuronal damage in MS in Mainz, pseudonymized, and sent and analysed
patients,8 while it is still largely unclear, whether sNfL without clinical data or other information.
could predict neuronal damage in very early MS or Standardized 3 T MRI protocol was performed at
CIS. Therefore, we investigated the association baseline; 42 patients underwent 1−3 consecutive
between sNfL and clinical and MRI measurements in follow-ups after 6–37 months. Follow-up MRIs
a therapy-naive cohort of CIS and RRMS patients in were classified into two groups, one with MRI
the very early stage of disease. after less than 18 months (n = 38, median: 11 months)
and one with MRI at least 18 months later (n = 33,
median: 24 months). Imaging was performed using
Methods sagittal three-dimensional (3D) T1-weighted mag-
netization-prepared rapid gradient-echo (MP-
Study design and population RAGE) sequence (TE/TI/TR = 2.52/900/1900 ms, flip
In all, 74 patients (63 therapy naive) with recently angle = 9°, field of view (FOV) = 256 × 256 mm2,
diagnosed CIS or RRMS were included in the study matrix size = 256 × 256, slab thickness = 192 mm,
(see also Figure 1 for study design), which was voxel size = 1 × 1 × 1 mm3), sagittal 3D T2-weighted
approved by the local ethics committees; all patients fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) sequence
provided written informed consent. sNfL was deter- (TE/TI/TR = 388/1800/5000 ms, echo-train length = 848,
mined by a previously described Simoa NfL assay.8 FOV = 256 × 256 mm2, matrix size = 256 × 256, slab
Measurements were performed in a completely blinded thickness = 192 mm, voxel size = 1 × 1 × 1 mm3). MRI
fashion, since two centres (University Medical data were obtained and analysed by blinded raters
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N Siller, J Kuhle et al.
who had no further information about the sNfL levels from UmanDiagnostics. Calibrators ranged from 0 to
or clinical data of the investigated patients. 2000 pg/mL. Batch prepared calibrators were stored
at −80°C. Inter-assay coefficients of variation (CV)
Correlation between sNfL levels and gadolinium were 4%, 2%, and 3% for control samples with mean
(Gd)-enhancing lesions was evaluated in all 74 concentrations of 13, 33 and 283 pg/mL, respectively.
patients: 62 of the naive cohort and an additional 12 The mean intra-assay CV of duplicate determinations
patients with therapy already at baseline. One patient for concentration was 4%. Repeated measuring was
in the treated cohort did not receive gadolinium and performed for few samples with intra-assay CV above
could therefore not be included in the correlation 20%.
analysis between NfL and Gd-enhancing lesions.
Altogether, 107 sNfL values and corresponding MRI
scans were available for analysis. Statistical analysis
Summary statistics are presented as mean ± SD,
Consecutive serum samples after a median 13 months median (range) and percentage, where applicable. For
were available in 21 patients, 14 patients had started univariate analysis, the Mann–Whitney U test and
an immunomodulatory therapy and 6 had not. One chi-square test were used as appropriate. For correla-
patient quit immunomodulatory therapy after 4 weeks tion, non-parametric Spearman analysis was used.
and was added to the latter group, assuming no long- Multivariate regression analysis was performed with
term therapeutic effect of dimethyl fumarate after this Gd lesion number as dependent variable and sNfL,
short period of time. Informed consent was obtained age, sex and so on as independent variables. Receiver
from all patients and the study was approved by local operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to
Medical Ethics Committee. estimate the predictive discriminating values. For
every individual cut-off point, there is a pair of diag-
nostic sensitivity and specificity values. To construct
MRI analysis a ROC graph, we plotted these pairs of values with
Initially, lesion maps were drawn on T2-weighted 3D 1 – specificity on the x-axis and sensitivity on the
FLAIR images using the MRIcron software (http:// y-axis. From the ROC curves, we estimated Youden’s
www.mccauslandcenter.sc.edu/mricro/mricron/). index, which is defined for all points of an ROC
Using the lesion segmentation toolbox (LST) which is curve, and the maximum value of the index may be
part of the statistical parameter mapping (SPM8) soft- used as a criterion for selecting the optimum cut-off
ware, 3D FLAIR images were co-registered to 3D T1 point between two variables. The index is represented
images and bias corrected. After partial volume esti- graphically as the height above the 50% chance line,
mation (PVE), lesion segmentation was performed and it is also equivalent to the area under the curve
with 20 different initial threshold values for the lesion (AUC) represented by a single operating point. p-val-
growth algorithm. By comparing automatically and ues less than <0.05 were considered statistically sig-
manually estimated lesion maps, the optimal thresh- nificant. All statistical analyses were performed by
old (κ value) for lesion detection was determined for means of SPSS 23.0 package software (IBM, Armonk,
each patient and used for automatic lesion volume NY, USA). Prediction accuracy of brain atrophy by
estimation and lesion filling. Subsequently, the filled NfL was calculated using support vector machine
3D T1 images as well as the native 3D T1 images (SVM). SVM is a powerful tool for nonlinear predic-
were segmented into grey matter, white matter and tion between two variables.9 In short, the algorithm
CSF and normalized to Montreal Neurological looks for an optimal threshold between the two vari-
Institute (MNI) space. Finally, the quality of the seg- ables by maximizing the correlation between classes’
mentations was visually inspected. closest points. In most cases, the linear prediction is
not ideal so a projection into a higher-dimensional
space is performed where the data points effectively
Serum NfL measurements become linearly correlated. Here, we have used the
Serum samples were collected by treating physicians radial basis function kernel for this projection due to
during the past few years at the University Medical its good performance as discussed previously9 and
Center Mainz. Samples were processed at room tem- used the grid search (min = 1; max = 10) to find the
perature within 2 hours. Serum samples were spun at few optimal input parameters namely C (Type of
2000g at room temperature for 10 minutes, aliquoted regression algorithm; 1 to 1000) and gamma (0.25).
in polypropylene tubes and stored at −80°C. Serum The selection was checked by 10-fold cross validation
NfL was measured by Simoa NfL assay as described by taking 70% of the data for training and 30% for
previously.8 Bovine lyophilized NfL was obtained testing.
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Multiple Sclerosis Journal 00(0)
Table 1. Detailed characteristics of patient data and MRI parameters for treatment-naive cohort.
Table 2. Detailed characteristics of patient data and MRI parameters for patients included in the gadolinium-enhancing
lesion analysis.
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N Siller, J Kuhle et al.
Figure 2. Correlation of baseline sNfL levels with T2 lesion volume at baseline and brain atrophy rates after 1 and
2 years of follow-up. (a) Baseline sNfL correlated significantly with T2 lesion volume (r = 0.55, p < 0.0001). One outlier
was excluded due to technical difficulties: movement artefacts during acquisition prevented further analysis. The
regression analysis refers to all data points; however, for improved visualization the x/y axes were adjusted leading to
9 data points out of range. (b) Baseline sNfL correlated significantly with T2 lesion volume change over time (r = 0.67,
p < 0.0001), comparing T2 lesion volume at baseline with MRI follow-up after 6−37 months. (c) Brain parenchyma
decreased more rapidly in patients with higher baseline sNfL. Analysis was performed after a median MRI follow-up of
11 months (Group 1, 6–17 months, n = 38) and after 24 months (Group 2, >18 months, n = 33). (d) Non-linear prediction
(SVM) showed 69.2% prediction accuracy (70% training and 30% testing) of brain atrophy after median 24 months with
baseline sNfL.
Baseline sNfL correlated significantly with T2 lesion subsequent brain atrophy (Figure 2(c)). In our cohort,
volume (Figure 2(a), r = 0.555, p < 0.0001) and change baseline sNfL levels showed only a low prediction
in T2 lesion volume over time (Figure 2(b), r = 0.67, accuracy of brain atrophy after 1 year (group 1,
p < 0.0001). Additional MRI measures did not show 29.4%), compared to relatively high prediction accu-
any significant correlation with baseline sNfL (white racy (69.2%) after 2 years (group 2). These findings
matter volume (r = 0.087, p = 0.5), grey matter volume might reflect the temporal latency of structural MRI
(r = −0.040, p = 0.757), brain parenchyma (r = 0.023, quantification towards neurodegenerative processes.
p = 0.857) or total volume (r = 0.089, p = 0.488)).
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Multiple Sclerosis Journal 00(0)
Figure 3. Association between sNfL levels and gadolinium-enhancing lesions. (a) Median sNfL in group with Gd-
enhancing lesion was 45.3 pg/mL, n = 19 (−6 outliers), median NfL in group without Gd-enhancing lesion was 27.9 pg/
mL, n = 79 (−3 outliers), p < 0.0001. Boxes include median, 25th and 75th percentiles. (b) Positive correlation, using non-
parametric Spearman correlation, between number of Gd-enhancing lesions and baseline serum NfL levels in 25 patients
(r = 0.484, p = 0.014).
correlation between the number of Gd-enhancing β-interferons, two with glatiramer acetate and one
lesions and serum NfL levels (r = 0.484, p = 0.014, patient with teriflunomide. Median baseline sNfL was
Figure 3(b)). We found no significant differences in not significantly different between groups (61.57 pg/
age, sex, EDSS score or gap time between blood with- mL in the therapy group, 34.94 pg/mL in the naive
drawal and MRI assessment between the two groups. group, p = 0.488). Median change in NfL in the ther-
Disease duration was median 8 months in patients apy group was −34.2 pg/mL, whereas the therapy
without Gd-enhancing lesions and only 1 month in the naive group had a median reduction of only −3.7 pg/
group with Gd-enhancing lesions (p = 0.045). mL (p = 0.0074, Figure 4(a) and (b)) in the second
Multivariate regression analysis confirmed sNfL as sNfL analysis. Of note, while a correlation between
the only parameter influencing Gd lesion numbers treatment initiation and reduced sNfL levels is highly
(p < 0.001) while age, sex, disease duration or EDSS probable, one has to point out significant differences
score were not significant. ROC analysis was per- concerning age, sex and disease duration in the groups
formed to determine the predictive discriminating (age: 40 vs 50 years, p = 0.020; sex: 8 females and 6
value of sNfL. sNfL below or above 34 pg/mL pre- males vs 7 females, p = 0.05; disease duration: 1
dicted gadolinium enhancement in MRI with a sensi- month vs 8 months, p = 0.04).
tivity of 84% and specificity of 66% (AUC = 0.845);
the Youden index was 0.53. In clinical practice, where
repetitive MRI assessments are common in young MS Discussion
patients, sNfL measurements might therefore be a The search for valid biomarkers for patients with MS
supportive tool to decide which patient needs gado- has been unsatisfying throughout many years.
linium application and when MRI without gadolinium Particularly at the beginning of the disease, prospec-
is supported. tive biomarkers could facilitate therapy decisions,
permit the detection of neuroimmunological activity
before structural damage becomes prominent10 and
therefore lead to better patient outcome and decreased
Effect of immunomodulatory therapy on sNfL incidence of transition to progressive disease course
levels: longitudinal changes of sNfL over time in the long term.11 So far, female sex, pure sensory
Longitudinal serum samples were available for a lim- onset, lower age at onset and other prognostic factors
ited number of patients (n = 21) within our naive are associated with a benign course in early RRMS
cohort (follow-up serum sample after median patients.12 However, availability of prognostic param-
13 months), allowing us to address the impact of ther- eters in addition to MRI measurements in clinical
apy initiation on sNfL levels. In total, 14 out of 21 practice is limited. Easily accessible, reliable and sen-
newly diagnosed patients started an immunomodula- sitive biomarkers are therefore needed.
tory therapy after baseline sNfL measurement,
whereas 7 patients remained therapy naive. Five In our study, we were able to show in a cohort of
patients started with dimethyl fumarate, six with newly diagnosed CIS/RRMS patients that sNfL levels
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N Siller, J Kuhle et al.
Figure 4. Effect of immunomodulatory therapy on sNfL levels. (a) 14 therapy-naive patients who started an
immunomodulatory therapy in comparison to 7 naive patients staying without therapy, each with a consecutive serum
sample (both groups median 13 months after baseline; t0 = baseline, t1 = follow-up). Immunomodulatory therapy
was started median 12 months before second serum sample. (b) sNfL decreases significantly after initiation of any
immunomodulatory therapy (** p = 0.0074, obtained by Mann–Whitney U test).
at the time point of diagnosis correlate significantly this study addressed mostly patients with established,
with T2 lesion volume at baseline and at any time ongoing disease (disease duration ~7 years and EDSS
point with the presence and number of Gd-enhancing ~3.0), in contrast to our investigation focusing on
lesions. Longitudinal investigations showed a very early MS patients (disease duration ~1 month
decrease in sNfL after initiating disease-modifying and EDSS ~1.0).
therapies. Patients with higher baseline sNfL showed
a more rapid decrease in brain volume and a more So far, MRI-derived metrics are most commonly used
rapid increase in T2 lesion volume after 2 years. Acute in clinical practice to monitor subclinical disease activ-
inflammatory neuronal damage, illustrated by ity and – so far only in study cohorts – progressive
Gd-enhancing lesions, was clearly associated with brain atrophy. Other parameters such as NEDA (no evi-
sNfL levels. Strong correlation of T2 lesion volume dence of disease activity, that is, no relapse, EDSS
and of brain atrophy rates with baseline sNfL lead to worsening or new MRI lesions) have been suggested as
the question whether treatment decisions in individual novel monitoring compound parameters for treating
patient care may be adjusted to neuronal damage MS patients.14,15 However, a recent study showed that
already in the beginning of the disease. clinical and MRI data included in NEDA after 2 years
did not correlate with the long-term outcome (>90% of
Recently, a pilot study in 22 versus 20 patients from the subjects had a 10-year follow-up) in a cohort of
a phase II trial of riluzole as add-on treatment to actively treated MS and CIS patients (n = 517).16 The
weekly interferon-β (IFN-β)-1a addressed, for the authors questioned both annual MRI assessments for
first time, the potential of using sNfL as a biomarker monitoring in individual MS care and commonly used
for neuronal damage in MS. Interestingly, sNfL lev- clinical and MRI features over 2 years in most rand-
els correlated with EDSS score, neuropsychological omized clinical trials. Disability accumulation in
outcome and Gd-enhancing lesions and predicted patients despite meeting NEDA criteria was possibly
whole brain atrophy at 1 and 2 years, possibly reflect- overlooked due to a lack of spinal cord MRI and brain
ing progressive neuronal loss and ongoing disease atrophy evaluation. While it is important to point out
activity.13 In a larger study assessing two independent that in contrast to MRI, NfL levels cannot provide
Swiss cohorts, these initial findings were largely con- localization information about the specific site of
firmed and expanded as sNfL levels correlated with axonal damage, a contribution of spinal cord damage to
EDSS assessments, presence of relapses and sNfL levels was recently depicted by Disanto et al.8
Gd-enhancing lesions. Disease-modifying treatments
reduced sNfL levels and patients with higher sNfL We found a significant reduction of sNfL in patients
levels were at risk of future relapses and EDSS pro- that started immunomodulatory treatment in compari-
gression.8 While these findings are indeed promising, son to patients that stayed naive. Reduction of NfL in
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Multiple Sclerosis Journal 00(0)
CSF of RRMS patients under second line/escalation in the multiple sclerosis brain. Brain 2016; 139:
therapies natalizumab,17 fingolimod18 and rituximab19 807–815.
and recently also in plasma for fingolimod20 has been 4. Trapp BD, Peterson J, Ransohoff RM, et al. Axonal
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Declaration of Conflicting Interests progression in multiple sclerosis: Neuronal
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of inter- exhaustion or distinct pathology? Trends Neurosci
est with respect to the research, authorship and/or 2016; 39: 325–339.
publication of this article.
12. Sartori A, Abdoli M and Freedman MS. Can we
predict benign multiple sclerosis? Results of a 20-year
Funding
long-term follow-up study. J Neurol 2017; 264:
The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following finan- 1068–1075.
cial support for the research, authorship and/or publi-
cation of this article: This work was supported by the 13. Kuhle J, Nourbakhsh B, Grant D, et al. Serum
German Research Council (DFG, CRC-TR-128 to neurofilament is associated with progression of brain
S.G., F.Z. and S.B.). atrophy and disability in early MS. Neurology 2017;
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