Industry Research Report On Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and Power-Focused Nbfcs
Industry Research Report On Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and Power-Focused Nbfcs
Industry Research Report On Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and Power-Focused Nbfcs
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November 2023
Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
Power-focused NBFCs
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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Table of Contents
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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List of Charts
Chart 1: Global Growth Outlook Projections (Real GDP, Y-o-Y change in %) .............................................................. 12
Chart 2: World Electricity Demand vs. GDP Growth Rate .......................................................................................... 14
Chart 3: China - Electricity Demand vs. GDP Growth Rate ........................................................................................ 15
Chart 4: US - Electricity Demand vs. GDP Growth Rate ............................................................................................. 15
Chart 5: India - Electricity Demand vs. GDP Growth Rate ......................................................................................... 16
Chart 6: Growth in Per Capita GDP, Income and Final Consumption (Y-o-Y growth in %) ........................................... 19
Chart 7: Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) as % of GDP (At constant prices): .................................................... 19
Chart 8: Y-o-Y growth in IIP (in %) ........................................................................................................................ 20
Chart 9: Retail Price Inflation in terms of index and Y-o-Y Growth in % (Base: 2011-12=100) .................................... 21
Chart 10: RBI historical Repo Rate .......................................................................................................................... 22
Chart 11: Historical trend in Fiscal Deficit as % of GDP ............................................................................................ 23
Chart 12: Historical trend in Current Account Deficit as % of GDP ............................................................................. 23
Chart 13: Exchange Rate of Indian Rupee against US Dollar ..................................................................................... 24
Chart 14: Trend of India Population vis-à-vis dependency ratio ................................................................................. 25
Chart 15: Age-Wise Break Up of Indian population .................................................................................................. 25
Chart 16: Yearly Trend - Young Population as % of Total Population ........................................................................ 26
Chart 17: Urbanization Trend in India ..................................................................................................................... 26
Chart 18: Trend of Per Capita Gross National Disposable Income .............................................................................. 27
Chart 19: Trend in SCBs and NBFCs Credit .............................................................................................................. 27
Chart 20: Share in Overall credit ............................................................................................................................. 28
Chart 21: Structure of Power Sector in India ........................................................................................................... 30
Chart 22: Power Generation over the years ............................................................................................................. 31
Chart 23: Installed Capacity Trend .......................................................................................................................... 32
Chart 24: Mode-wise total installed capacity – 425 GW(September 2023) .................................................................. 32
Chart 25: Installed Capacity in India- Conventional (Thermal + Nuclear) ................................................................... 33
Chart 26: Coal production, import and despatch to power sector trend in India ......................................................... 34
Chart 27: Lignite production and despatch, electricity generated .............................................................................. 34
Chart 28: Share of Installed Capacity as on March’23 ............................................................................................... 36
Chart 29: Installed Capacity- Renewable v/s Thermal ............................................................................................... 37
Chart 30: Evolution of India’s CO2 emissions ........................................................................................................... 38
Chart 31: India’s per capita CO2 emission v/s other countries................................................................................... 38
Chart 32: Generation loss due to coal shortage ........................................................................................................ 38
Chart 33: Solar Irradiance data – India and World (kWh/m2) ................................................................................... 39
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Chart 34: Trend in Tariff of Solar and Wind as compared to thermal power projects (Rs. /kWh) ................................. 40
Chart 35: Growth of Electricity Sector in India - Installed Capacity and Per Capita Consumption* ............................... 41
Chart 36: Power Supply Position in India ................................................................................................................. 43
Chart 37: Projected All India Peak Demand and Energy Requirement ........................................................................ 44
Chart 38: Growth Drivers for power demand ........................................................................................................... 45
Chart 39: Renewable Energy – Trend in Installed Capacity ....................................................................................... 50
Chart 40: State-wise estimated potential of renewable power in India ....................................................................... 52
Chart 41: Share of Renewables in total power generation ........................................................................................ 53
Chart 42: Breakup of renewable energy generation FY15 ......................................................................................... 53
Chart 43: Breakup of renewable energy generation FY23 ......................................................................................... 53
Chart 44: Long term RPO Trajectory ....................................................................................................................... 54
Chart 45: RPO Trajectory from FY23 to FY30 ........................................................................................................... 57
Chart 46: Status of RECs ....................................................................................................................................... 59
Chart 47: Price trend of RECs ................................................................................................................................. 59
Chart 48: Trend in Solar Installations ...................................................................................................................... 61
Chart 49: State-wise installed capacity of solar as on September 2023 ...................................................................... 62
Chart 50: Trend in Solar tariff ................................................................................................................................. 63
Chart 51: State-wise estimated solar power potential ............................................................................................... 64
Chart 52: Trend in Solar tariff ................................................................................................................................. 65
Chart 53: Typical month wise CUF variation of Solar ................................................................................................ 66
Chart 54: Import and Export of Solar Cells and Modules (HSN Code-854140) ............................................................ 67
Chart 55: Solar Power – Trend in Future Installed Capacity Additions ........................................................................ 69
Chart 56: Year-wise investment opportunity in solar sector ...................................................................................... 69
Chart 57: Trend in wind installed capacity ............................................................................................................... 71
Chart 58: India- Cumulative Wind Power Installations by States as on September 2023 ............................................. 71
Chart 59: Trend in wind power tariffs ...................................................................................................................... 73
Chart 60: Month wise CUF variation of Wind ............................................................................................................ 76
Chart 61: Wind Power Projections ........................................................................................................................... 77
Chart 62: Year-wise investment opportunity in wind energy (including offshore)........................................................ 77
Chart 63: Trend in Hydro Power Installations .......................................................................................................... 79
Chart 64: State-wise distribution of hydro power as on September 2023 ................................................................... 80
Chart 65: Hydro Power Projections (Including PSP) .................................................................................................. 83
Chart 66: Investment opportunity in hydro power projects (including pumped hydro storage) .................................... 84
Chart 67: Power generated from Bioenergy ............................................................................................................. 85
Chart 68: Bioenergy Power Projections .................................................................................................................... 86
Chart 69: Year-wise investment opportunity in bioenergy-based power plants ........................................................... 87
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Chart 70: Transmission line network (220 kV & above) .......................................................................................... 103
Chart 71: Classification of Energy Storage Technologies ......................................................................................... 107
Chart 72: Battery Energy Storage Systems Architecture ......................................................................................... 108
Chart 73: Fund requirement for BESS.................................................................................................................... 110
Chart 74: DER Management System ..................................................................................................................... 113
Chart 75: Annual Revenue forecast from EV sales .................................................................................................. 114
Chart 76:Total number of charging stations as of March 2023 ................................................................................ 115
Chart 77: Lithium-ion Imports in India .................................................................................................................. 120
Chart 78: Investments required for India to meet EV Battery Demand .................................................................... 120
Chart 79: Energy Intensity of India ....................................................................................................................... 123
Chart 80: Impact of Energy Efficiency Measures on India’s Energy Consumption ..................................................... 123
Chart 81: Green Energy Value Chain ..................................................................................................................... 127
Chart 82: Import and Export of Solar Cells and Modules ......................................................................................... 129
Chart 83: Ethanol Production Projections ............................................................................................................... 143
Chart 84: Structure of NBFIs under the Reserve Bank of India’s Regulations ........................................................... 152
Chart 85: Gross Credit Deployed by NBFCs ........................................................................................................... 154
Chart 86: Sectoral distribution of NBFCs' credit ..................................................................................................... 154
Chart 87: Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) Ratio ........................................................................................... 155
Chart 88: Capital Position of NBFCs ...................................................................................................................... 156
Chart 89: Share in NBFCs total borrowings ............................................................................................................ 156
Chart 90: Return on Assets of NBFCs .................................................................................................................... 157
Chart 91: Gross Credit Deployed by NBFCs ............................................................................................................ 160
Chart 92: Trend in Credit deployed by key power financing NBFCs .......................................................................... 162
Chart 93: Trend in power financing NBFCs credit towards Renewable sector ........................................................... 163
Chart 94: Gross non-performing assets of key power financing NBFCs .................................................................... 164
Chart 95: Trend in Bank’s Credit towards Industry Sector ....................................................................................... 164
Chart 96: Power Supply Position ........................................................................................................................... 165
Chart 97: Renewable Energy Installed Capacity ..................................................................................................... 166
Chart 98: Major Sources of Financing for Power financing NBFCs ............................................................................ 169
Chart 99: Asset Mix of IREDA ............................................................................................................................... 172
Chart 100: Resource Profile of IREDA as on Mar-23 ............................................................................................... 172
Chart 101: Asset Mix of PFC Ltd ............................................................................................................................ 173
Chart 102: Resource Profile of PFC Ltd as on Mar-23 ............................................................................................. 174
Chart 103: Asset Mix of REC Ltd ........................................................................................................................... 175
Chart 104: Resource Profile of REC Ltd as on Mar-23 ............................................................................................. 175
Chart 105: Asset Mix of India Infradebt Limited ..................................................................................................... 176
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Chart 106: Resource Profile of India Infradebt Ltd as on Mar-23 ............................................................................. 177
Chart 107: Asset Mix of TCCL ............................................................................................................................... 178
Chart 108: Resource Profile of TCCL as on Mar-23 ................................................................................................. 178
Chart 109: Asset Mix of PFS Ltd ............................................................................................................................ 179
Chart 110: Resource Profile of PFS Ltd as on Mar-23.............................................................................................. 180
List of Tables
Table 1: GDP growth trend comparison - India v/s Other Emerging and Developing Economies (Real GDP, Y-o-Y change
in %) .................................................................................................................................................................... 13
Table 2: RBI's GDP Growth Outlook (Y-o-Y %) ........................................................................................................ 17
Table 3: Sectoral Growth (Y-o-Y % Growth) - at Constant Prices .............................................................................. 18
Table 4: Snapshot of Central Government Finances in FY23 (Rs trillion) .................................................................... 22
Table 5: Weighted average specific emissions for fossil fuel fired stations for 2020-21 ............................................... 38
Table 6: Construction time for various type of power projects .................................................................................. 40
Table 7: Global Per Capita Consumption Comparison (MWh/Capita) .......................................................................... 41
Table 8: Sector wise Power Consumption in India .................................................................................................... 42
Table 9: List of top 10 countries – Installed Capacity Statistics 2023 (As on Dec 2022) .............................................. 42
Table 10: State-wise details of electrification of households since launch of SAUBHAGYA Scheme / Additional sanctions
and achievements under DDUGJY – as on March 2022 ............................................................................................. 47
Table 11: Sale of EV Units in India (in units) ........................................................................................................... 48
Table 12: Charging demand by vehicle segment ...................................................................................................... 49
Table 13: Physical Progress cumulative up to July’23 (GW): ..................................................................................... 51
Table 14: State-wise RPO targets from FY17 to FY22 ............................................................................................... 54
Table 15: State/ UT wise RPO Compliance (2019-20) ............................................................................................... 56
Table 16: Energy Storage Obligation from FY24 to FY30 .......................................................................................... 58
Table 17: Renewable Energy Capacity as on September 2023 (GW).......................................................................... 60
Table 18: Renewable Energy Capacity - Target for CY30 (GW) ................................................................................. 60
Table 19: Top 10 states by potential ....................................................................................................................... 60
Table 20: Solar Capacity awarded and under construction as on March 2023 ............................................................. 62
Table 21: Wind Power Potential in India and Installed Capacities. ............................................................................. 70
Table 22: Wind and hybrid capacity under construction as on March 2023 ............................................................... 72
Table 23: Details of tenders auctioned for Wind-Solar Hybrid ................................................................................... 72
Table 24: Hybrid power plants under development .................................................................................................. 74
Table 25: State-wise repowering potential ............................................................................................................... 75
Table 26: List of Under construction Hydro Projects ................................................................................................. 80
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
Power-focused NBFCs
CARE Analytics and Advisory Private Limited has been appointed by Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency
Limited (IREDA) for providing the report titled “Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
Power-focused NBFCs” (the Report). IREDA is proposing to launch an initial public offering (IPO) and the Report shall be
included in the regulatory documents to be filed with the stock exchanges for the purpose of the IPO. A brief summary
of the key messages of the Report is as follows.
India is the world's third-largest producer and second-largest user of energy. Power demand in the country has been on
a rise in the past decade, with an exception during FY21 due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Peak energy demand grew at a
CAGR of 4.7% from 148 GW in FY14 to 216 GW in FY23, while peak supply grew at a CAGR of 5.3% over the same time
period. The peak deficit stood at 0.5% i.e. 7,582 MU in FY23.
The all India peak electricity demand projected is projected to reach 277 GW and energy requirement is projected at
1,908 BU in FY27, growing at a CAGR of 4.8% and 4.5%, respectively. During FY27 to FY32, energy requirement and
peak demand are expected to grow at a faster CAGR of 5.3% and 5.7%, respectively.
As on September 2023, the total installed power generation capacity stood at 425 GW with renewable sources accounting
for 42 % of the installed capacity. Driven by factors such as (i) government’s thrust on the renewable energy sector to
achieve India’s climate targets – 500 GW of non-fossil fuel energy capacity by 2030, 50% of energy requirement to be
met through renewable energy by 2030, reduction in carbon intensity of the economy by 45% by 2030 over 2005 levels,
becoming energy independent by 2047 and achieving net zero by 2070, (ii) Benefits of renewable energy such as abundant
availability of resources, lower tariffs and (iii) technological advancements in renewable power technology, the installed
renewable power capacity is expected to increase to 336 GW by FY27, with solar, wind and hydro accounting for 55%,
22% and 16% of installed renewable power capacity, respectively. The installed renewable power capacity is expected
to reach 595 GW by FY32 and account for 66% of the total power generation capacity. A total outlay of Rs 24.43 trillion
is expected towards renewable capacity additions between FY23-FY32.
To further support reduction in emissions, the government has taken multiple initiatives to promote net zero and other
technologies. The National Green Hydrogen Mission has been launched in August 2021 with an objective to make India a
global hub for production, usage and export of green hydrogen and its derivatives with an outlay of Rs. 190 billion to help
achieve an annual production target of 5 MMT by 2030. Further, India has set a target of 30% electric vehicle (EV)
adoption by 2030, which will require a massive expansion of the EV charging infrastructure. The government has set a
target of 46,397 public charging stations by 2030. With further focus on achieving a sustainable and eco-friendly
transportation ecosystem, the government is taking steps to promote EV adoption, such as providing subsidies for EVs
and the charging infrastructure is expected to expand rapidly in the coming years. Additionally, decarbonization measures
are being implemented by all major industries including power, steel, fertilizers, cement, oil and gas etc. to contribute to
the net zero target by 2070.
Governments thrust towards renewable energy presents lending opportunity to power focused NBFCs
Power sector financing NBFCs primarily focus on financing of power generation, transmission, distribution and other such
activities. These NBFCs provide funds for various types of power projects, including thermal power plants, transmission
lines and renewable energy projects such as solar power plants, wind farms, hydroelectric projects, bioenergy energy
projects and clean energy generation.
Power financing NBFCs have seen significant traction supported by increase in demand for funds from power sector, and
government’s push towards growth of power sector. In FY23, the outstanding credit of key power financing NBFCs
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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witnessed a CAGR of nearly 10% over FY19. In FY24, power-financing NBFCs are expected to continue this growth
momentum and this growth is likely to be driven by increase in power demand, rise in population, renewable integration
and sustainability goals of the country. The renewable sector has been gaining significant traction over the years and
power financing NBFCs have been playing a key role in funding renewable projects.
Over the years, asset quality for this set of NBFCs have seen significant improvement with gross NPAs coming down. The
decline in gross NPAs is largely supported by restructuring of stressed assets, write-offs, decline in slippages and increased
provisioning.
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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1. Economic Outlook
6.0%
GDP growth (Y-o-Y %)
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21 CY22 CY23P CY24P CY25P CY26P CY27P CY28P
-2.0%
-4.0%
-6.0%
Notes: P-Projection;
Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook, October 2023
One of the major countries from this group is the United States. The United States registered GDP growth of 2.1% in
CY22 compared to 5.9% in CY21. Whereas, growth for CY23 and CY24 is projected at 2.1% and 1.5%, respectively.
Among advanced economies group, private consumption has been stronger in the United States than in the euro area.
The business investments have also been robust in the second quarter, in addition, the general government fiscal stance
of United States is expected to be expansionary in CY23. However, the unemployment rate is expected to rise coupled
with declining wages and savings. With this, the GDP growth is expected to soften in near term.
Further, the Euro Area registered GDP growth of 3.3% in CY22 compared to 5.6% in CY21. For CY23 and CY24, the
growth is projected at 0.7% and 1.2%, respectively. There is divergence in GDP growth across the euro area. Wherein,
Germany is expected to witnesses slight contraction in growth due to weak interest rate sensitive sector like banking and
1
CY – Calendar Year
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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financial services and slow trading demand. On the other hand, the GDP growth for France has been revised upwards on
account of growing industrial production and external demand.
For the emerging market and developing economies group, GDP growth stood at 4.1% in CY22, compared to 6.8% in
CY21. This growth is further projected at 4.0% in CY23 and CY24. About 90% of the emerging economies are projected
to make positive growth. While the remaining economies, including the low-income countries, are expected to progress
slower.
Further, in China, growth is expected to pick up to 5.0% with the full reopening in CY23 and subsequently moderate in
CY24 to 4.2%. The property market crisis and lower investment are key factors leading to this moderation. Whereas,
India is projected to remain strong at 6.3% for both CY23 and CY24 backed by resilient domestic demands despite
external headwinds.
Table 1: GDP growth trend comparison - India v/s Other Emerging and Developing Economies (Real GDP,
Y-o-Y change in %)
Real GDP (Y-o-Y change in %)
CY2 CY2 CY2 CY23 CY24 CY25 CY26 CY27 CY28
CY19
0 1 2 P P P P P P
India 3.9 -5.8 9.1 7.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3
China 6.0 2.2 8.5 3.0 5.0 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.4
Indonesia 5.0 -2.1 3.7 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Saudi
0.8 -4.3 3.9 8.7 0.8 4.0 4.2 3.3 3.3 3.1
Arabia
Brazil 1.2 -3.3 5.0 2.9 3.1 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
P- Projections; Source: IMF- World Economic Outlook Database (October 2023)
The Indonesian economy is expected to register growth of 5% both in CY23 and CY24 with a strong recovery in domestic
demands, a healthy export performance, policy measures, and normalization in commodity prices. In CY22, Saudi Arabia
was the fastest-growing economy in this peer set with 8.7% growth. The growth is accredited to robust oil production,
non-oil private investments encompassing wholesale and retail trade, construction and transport, and surging private
consumption. Saudi Arabia is expected to grow at 0.8% and 4.0% in CY23 and CY24, respectively. On the other hand,
Brazil is expected to project growth of 3.1% in CY23 driven by buoyant agriculture and resilient services in the first half
of CY23.
Despite the turmoil in the last 2-3 years, India bears good tidings to become a USD 5 trillion economy by CY27. According
to the IMF dataset on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at current prices, the GDP has been estimated to be at USD 3.4
trillion for CY22 and is projected to reach USD 5.2 trillion by CY27. India’s expected GDP growth rate for coming years of
6.3% is almost double compared to the world economy’s projected growth of 3.0-3.2% over CY23-CY28.
Besides, India stands out as the fastest-growing economy among the major economies. The country is expected to grow
at more than 6% in the period of CY24-CY28, outshining China’s growth rate. By CY27, the Indian economy is estimated
to emerge as the third-largest economy globally, hopping over Japan and Germany. Currently, it is the third-largest
economy globally in terms of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) with a ~7% share in the global economy, with China [~18%]
on the top followed by the United States [~15%]. Purchasing Power Parity is an economic performance indicator denoting
the relative price of an average basket of goods and services that a household needs for livelihood in each country.
Despite Covid-19’s impact, high inflationary and interest rates globally, and the geopolitical tensions in Europe, India has
been a major contributor to world economic growth. India is increasingly becoming an open economy as well through
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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growing foreign trade. Despite the global inflation and uncertainties, Indian economy continues to show resilience. This
resilience is mainly supported stable financial sector backed by well-capitalized banks and export of services in trade
balance. With this, the growth of Indian economy is expected to fare better than other economies majorly on account of
strong investment activity bolstered by the government’s capex push and buoyant private consumption, particularly
among higher income earners.
Economic growth and electricity demand are positively correlated – if the economy grows, the electricity demand rises
and vice-versa. Continuous supply of electricity is critical factor for growth of key economic drivers such as industrial
activity, services sector, agriculture etc.
As depicted in chart below, the electricity demand was growing in line with the real GDP growth in 2018 and 2019. During
2020, the GDP declined by 2.8% y-o-y due to the impact of lockdowns and movement restrictions imposed by several
countries due to the Covid-19 pandemic. During this year, the global electricity demand shrank by 0.8%. In 2021, as the
global GDP bounced back from the impact of pandemic with 6.3% growth, electricity demand also followed the trend with
5.7% y-o-y growth.
6.0%
4.0%
y-o-y
2.0%
0.0%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
-2.0%
-4.0%
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2023)
Global electricity demand growth moderated to 1.9% in CY22 amidst the global energy crisis on account of Russia-Ukraine
war. The high energy prices and prices of linked commodities such as coal and natural gas in turn sharply increased
power generation costs and electricity prices in most economies of the world. Furthermore, high inflationary environment
and high electricity prices led to lower electricity growth in most economies around the world.
A similar trend was observed in the electricity demand of China, the United States and India, the top 3 consumers of
electricity, where-in the electricity demand mapped the GDP growth for respective years.
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10.0%
8.0%
y-o-y
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2023)
1.0%
0.0%
-1.0% 2019 2020 2021 2022
-2.0%
-3.0%
-4.0%
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2023)
Note: Electricity demand contracted in 2019 despite GDP growth due to milder summer and winter weather
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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10.0%
5.0%
y-o-y
0.0%
2019 2020 2021 2022
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2023)
Subsequently, Q4FY23 registered broad-based improvement across sectors compared to Q3FY23 with a growth of 6.1% y-o-
y. The investments, as announced in the Union Budget 2022-23 on boosting public infrastructure through enhanced capital
expenditure, have augmented growth and encouraged private investment through large multiplier effects in FY23. Supported
by fixed investment and higher net exports, GDP for full-year FY23 was valued at Rs. 160.1 trillion registering an increase of
7.2% y-o-y.
Furthermore, in Q1FY24, the economic growth accelerated to 7.8%. The manufacturing sector maintained an encouraging
pace of growth, given the favourable demand conditions and lower input prices. The growth was supplemented by a supportive
base alongside robust services and construction activities.
• During FY24, strong agricultural and allied activity prospects are likely to boost rural demands. However, a rebound in
contact-intensive sectors and discretionary spending is expected to support urban consumption.
• Strong credit growth, resilient financial markets, and the government’s continual push for capital spending and
infrastructure are likely to create a compatible environment for investments.
• External demand is likely to remain subdued with a slowdown in global activities, thereby indicating adverse implications
for exports. Additionally, heightened inflationary pressures and resultant policy tightening may pose a risk to the growth
potential.
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Industry Research Report on Renewable Energy, Green Technologies and
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Taking all these factors into consideration, in October 2023, the RBI in its bi-monthly monetary policy meeting estimated
a real GDP growth of 6.5% y-o-y for FY24.
• The gap between GDP and GVA growth turned positive in FY22 (after a gap of two years) due to robust tax collections. Of
the three major sector heads, the service sector has been the fastest-growing sector in the last 5 years.
• The agriculture sector was holding growth momentum till FY18. In FY19, the acreage for the rabi crop was marginally
lower than the previous year which affected the agricultural performance. Whereas FY20 witnessed growth on account of
improved production. During the pandemic-impacted period of FY21, the agriculture sector was largely insulated as timely
and proactive exemptions from COVID-induced lockdowns to the sector facilitated uninterrupted harvesting of rabi crops and
sowing of kharif crops. However, supply chain disruptions impacted the flow of agricultural goods leading to high food inflation
and adverse initial impact on some major agricultural exports. However, performance remained steady in FY22.
Further, in Q1FY23 and Q2FY23, the agriculture sector recorded a growth of 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively, on a y-o-y basis.
Due to uneven rains in the financial year, the production of some major Kharif crops, such as rice and pulses, was adversely
impacted thereby impacting the agriculture sector’s output. In Q3FY23 and Q4FY23, the sector recorded a growth of 4.7%
and 5.5%, respectively, on a y-o-y basis.
Overall, the agriculture sector performed well despite weather-related disruptions, such as uneven monsoon and unseasonal
rainfall, impacting yields of some major crops and clocked a growth of 4% y-o-y in FY23, garnering Rs. 22.3 trillion. In Q1FY24,
this sector expanded at a slower pace of 3.1% compared to a quarter ago. Going forward, rising bank credit to the sector and
increased exports will be the drivers for the agriculture sector. However, a deficient rainfall may impact the reservoir level
weighing on prospects of rabi sowing. A downside risk exists in case the intensity of El Nino is significantly strong.
• The industrial sector witnessed a CAGR of 4.7% for the period FY16 to FY19. From March 2020 onwards, the nationwide
lockdown due to the pandemic significantly impacted industrial activities. In FY20 and FY21, this sector felt turbulence due to
the pandemic and recorded a decline of 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively, on a y-o-y basis. With the opening up of the economy
and resumption of industrial activities, it registered 11.6% y-o-y growth in FY22, albeit on a lower base.
The industrial output in Q1FY23 jumped 9.4% on a y-o-y basis. However, in the subsequent quarter, the sector witnessed a
sharp contraction of 0.5% due to lower output across the mining, manufacturing, and construction sectors. This was mainly
because of the poor performance of the manufacturing sector, which was marred by high input costs. In Q3FY23, the sector
grew modestly by 2.3% y-o-y. The growth picked up in Q4FY23 to 6.3% y-o-y owing to a rebound in manufacturing activities
and healthy growth in the construction sector. Overall, the industrial sector is estimated to be valued at Rs. 45.2 trillion
registering 4.4% growth in FY23.
The industrial sector grew by 5.5% in Q1FY24. The industrial growth was mainly supported by sustained momentum in the
manufacturing and construction sectors. Within manufacturing (as captured by IIP numbers), industries such as pharma, non-
metallic mineral products, rubber, plastic, metals, etc., witnessed higher production growth during the quarter.
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• The services sector recorded a CAGR of 7.1% for the period FY16 to FY20, which was led by trade, hotels, transport,
communication, and services related to broadcasting, finance, real estate, and professional services. This sector was the
hardest hit by the pandemic and registered an 8.2% y-o-y decline in FY21. The easing of restrictions aided a fast rebound in
this sector, with 8.8% y-o-y growth witnessed in FY22.
In Q1FY23 and Q2FY23, this sector registered a y-o-y growth of 16.3% and 9.4%, respectively, on a lower base and supported
by a revival in contact-intensive industries. Further, the services sector continued to witness buoyant demand and recorded a
growth of 6.1% y-o-y in Q3FY23. Supported by robust discretionary demands, Q4FY23 registered 6.9% growth largely driven
by the trade, hotel, and transportation industries. Overall, benefitting from the pent-up demand, the service sector was valued
at Rs. 20.6 trillion and registered growth of 9.5% y-o-y in FY23.
Whereas in Q1FY24, the services sector growth jumped to 10.3%. Within services, there was a broad-based improvement in
growth across different sub-sectors. However, the sharpest jump was seen in financial, real estate, and professional services.
Trade, hotels, and transport sub-sectors expanded at a healthy pace gaining from strength in discretionary demand.
Accordingly, steady growth in various service sector indicators like air passenger traffic, port cargo traffic, GST collections,
and retail credit are expected to support the services sector.
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Per capita GDP, Per Capita GNI and Per Capita PFCE
India has a population of about 1.3 billion with a young demographic profile. The advantages associated with this
demographic dividend are better economic growth, rapid industrialization and urbanization.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is a measure of a country’s economic output per person. FY21 witnessed
significant de-growth due to the pandemic. However, in FY22 the economy paved its way towards recovery and the per
capita GDP grew by 8.0%. This growth was moderated to 6.1% due to the correction of base effect in FY23. The Gross
national income (GNI) also increased by 7.3% in FY22 and 6.2% in FY23. The per capita private final consumption
expenditure (PFCE), which represents consumer spending, increased by 10.2% in FY22 and 6.4% in FY23.
Chart 6: Growth in Per Capita GDP, Income and Final Consumption (Y-o-Y growth in %)
12.0 10.2
10.0 8.0 7.3
8.0 6.1 6.2 6.0 6.4
5.4 5.4
Y-o-Y growth in %
6.0 4.1
4.0 2.8 2.9
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0 -6.8 -6.2
-7.2
-10.0
Per capita GDP Per capita GNI Per capita PFCE
Note: 3RE – Third Revised Estimate, 2RE – Second Revised Estimates, 1RE – First Revised Estimates, PE – Provisional Estimate; Source:
MOSPI
Chart 7: Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) as % of GDP (At constant prices):
34.0
GFCF as % of GDP
32.7
32.4
31.1 31.1
30.7 30.8 30.8
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 [3RE] FY21 FY22 [1RE] FY23 [PE]
[2RE]
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Overall, the support of public investment in infrastructure is likely to gain traction due to initiatives such as Atmanirbhar Bharat,
Make in India, and Production-linked Incentive (PLI) scheme announced across various sectors.
Improved Core and Capital Goods Sectors helped IIP Growth Momentum
The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is an index to track manufacturing activity in an economy. On a cumulative basis, IIP
grew by 11.4% y-o-y in FY22 post declining by 0.8% y-o-y and 8.4% y-o-y, respectively, in FY20 and FY21. This high growth
was mainly backed by a low base of FY21. FY22 IIP was higher by 2.0% when compared with the pre-pandemic level of FY20,
indicating that while economic recovery was underway, it was still at very nascent stages.
During FY23, the industrial output recorded a growth of 5.1% y-o-y supported by a favourable base and a rebound in
economic activities. During April 2023 and May 2023, IIP grew by 4.2% y-o-y and 5.3% y-o-y growth, respectively. This
growth in April and May 2023 was aided by encouraging performance of the mining and manufacturing sectors. However,
in June 2023, the industrial output slowed to 3.7% mainly due to moderation in the manufacturing sector’s output. This
industrial growth rebounded to 5.7% in July 2023 with improvement in the manufacturing segment and further
accelerated to 10.3% in August 2023 with improvement in the manufacturing segment. Sectors like mining and electricity
as well aided this performance.
11.4
7.7
Y-o-Y growth in IIP (in %)
6.1
4.6 5.1
4.0 4.4 3.8
3.3 3.3
-0.8
Apr'22-Aug'22
Apr'23-Aug'23
FY22
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY23
-8.4
Source: MOSPI
The rebound in industrial activity in July 2023 is encouraging. The healthy momentum recorded in the infrastructure and
construction sector is likely to continue aided by the Government’s focus on this segment. The consumption demand is likely
to see an improvement in the upcoming festive season. However, the elevated food inflation and monsoon-related vagaries
could pose a risk to consumption demand. Over a longer period of time, the unfolding of the domestic demand scenario
remains critical for industrial activity. External demand is likely to remain weak and that will continue to cast a shadow on
export-dependent sectors.
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CPI remained elevated at an average of 6.7% in FY23, above the RBI’s tolerance level. However, there was some respite
toward the end of the fiscal wherein the retail inflation stood at 5.7% in March 2023, tracing back to the RBI’s tolerance band.
Apart from a favourable base effect, the relief in retail inflation came from a moderation in food inflation.
In the current fiscal FY24, the CPI moderated for two consecutive months to 4.7% in April 2023 and 4.3% in May 2023. This
trend snapped in June 2023 with CPI rising to 4.9% and 7.4% in July 2023 largely due to increased food inflation. The CPI
has breached the RBI’s target range for the first time since February 2023. This marks the highest reading observed since the
peak in April 2022 at 7.8%. The notable surge in vegetable prices and elevated inflation in other food categories such as
cereals, pulses, spices, and milk have driven this increase. Further, the contribution of food and beverage to the overall
inflation has risen significantly to 65%, surpassing their weight in the CPI basket. This was moderated for second consecutibe
month in In September 2023 by 5% helped by a sharp correction in vegetables prices and lower LPG prices.
Chart 9: Retail Price Inflation in terms of index and Y-o-Y Growth in % (Base: 2011-12=100)
183.2
174.7 173.17.3%
Retail price index (number)
163.8
155.3 6.7%
139.6 146.3
5.9% 130.3 135.0 6.2% 5.8%
118.9 124.7
Y-o-Y growth in %
112.2 5.5%
4.9% 4.8%
4.5%
3.6% 3.4%
2.0%
FY19
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
Apr'22 - Sep'22
Apr'23 - Sep'23
Index number Y-o-Y growth in %
Source: MOSPI
The CPI is primarily factored in by RBI while preparing their bi-monthly monetory policy. The repo rate increased from 4.00
as of March 2021 and March 2022 to 5.90% as of September 2022 and further to 6.25% as of March 2023 and 6.50% as of
September 2023.
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6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Apr-18
Apr-19
Jan-18
Jan-19
Apr-17
Oct-17
Oct-18
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Apr-23
Jan-17
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Oct-16
Jul-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Jul-17
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Source: RBI
However, with the inflation easing over the last few months, RBI has kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% in the last four
meetings of the Monetary Policy Committee. At the bi-monthly meeting held in October2023, RBI projected inflation at 5.4%
for FY24 with inflation during Q2FY24 at 6.4%, Q3FY24 at 5.6%, Q4FY24 at 5.2% and Q1FY25 at 5.2%
In a meeting held in October 2023, RBI also maintained the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) corridor by adjusting the standing
deposit facility (SDF) rate of 6.25% as the floor and the marginal standing facility (MSF) at the upper end of the band at
6.75%.
Further, the central bank continued to remain focused on the withdrawal of its accommodative stance. With domestic economic
activities gaining traction, RBI has shifted gears to prioritize controlling inflation. While RBI has paused on the policy rate
front, it has also strongly reiterated its commitment to bringing down inflation close to its medium-term target of 4%. Given
the uncertain global environment and lingering risks to inflation, the Central Bank has kept the window open for further
monetary policy tightening in the future, if required.
Fiscal Deficit
In FY23, the Central government finances remained fairly comfortable despite several challenges. During the fiscal, the
Centre undertook targeted fiscal measures to curb domestic inflation as global food and energy prices soared following
the Russia-Ukraine crisis. However, healthy tax collections had supported government finances thereby offseting the
impact of several fiscal measures and weak disinvestment receipts. The quantum of fiscal deficit in FY23 at Rs 17.3 trillion
was better compared to the revised estimate of Rs 17.6 trillion. With this, the Centre stayed on the path of fiscal
consolidation with the fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP at 6.4%, down from 6.7% in FY22.
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6.7% 6.4%
4.5% 4.7%
4.1% 3.9%
3.5% 3.5% 3.4%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
1.0%
0.0% -0.6% -0.9%
-1.3% -1.1% -1.2%
-1.0% -1.7% -1.8% -2.1% -2.1% -2.2%
GDP)
-2.0%
-3.0% -3.7%
-4.0% -4.8%
-5.0%
-6.0%
FY20
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY21
FY22
Q1FY23
Q2FY23
Q3FY23
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With 1.41 billion people, India is the second-most populous country in the world, with the population witnessing significant
growth in the past few decades.
Age Dependency Ratio is the ratio of dependents to the working age population, i.e., 15 to 64 years, wherein dependents are
population younger than 15 and older than 64. This ratio has been on a declining trend. It was as high as 76% in 1982, which
has reduced to 47% in 2022. Declining dependency means the country has an improving share of working-age population
generating income, which is a good sign for the economy.
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1.40 80%
76%
1.20 70%
64%
60%
1.00 55%
50%
0.80 47%
1.42 40%
0.60 1.27
1.10 30%
0.40 0.91
0.73 20%
0.20 10%
0.00 0%
1982 1992 2002 2012 2022
• Young Population
With an average age of 29, India has one of the youngest populations globally. With vast resources of young citizens entering
the workforce every year, it is expected to create a ‘demographic dividend’. India is home to a fifth of the world’s youth
demographic and this population advantage will play a critical role in economic growth.
7%
25%
Population ages 0-14
68%
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67.8%
67.5%
67.2%
66.9%
66.7%
66.4%
66.0%
65.7%
65.4%
65.1%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
• Urbanization
The urban population is significantly growing in India. The urban population in India is estimated to have increased from 403
million (31.6% of total population) in the year 2012 to 508 million (35.9% of total population) in the year 2022. People living
in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities have greater purchasing power.
Chart 17: Urbanization Trend in India
35.9%
35.4%
Urban population (% of total
34.9%
34.5%
34.0%
population)
33.6%
33.2%
32.8%
32.4%
32.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
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The chart below depicts the trend of per capita GNDI in the past 12 years:
1,97,676
1,72,490
1,52,5041,48,408
income (Rs.)
1,44,620
1,31,743
1,20,052
1,09,315
1,00,439
91,843
82,408
73,479
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
(3RE) (2RE) (1RE) (PE)
Note: 3RE – Third Revised Estimate, 2RE – Second Revised Estimates, 1RE – First Revised Estimates, PE – Provisional Estimate
Source: MOSPI
80,000
60,000 10%
40,000 5%
20,000
0 0%
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
SCBs Non-Food Credit 86,334 1,03,191 1,08,883 1,18,363 1,36,553
NBFCs Gross Credit 22,954 24,639 27,026 29,087 33,771
SCBs Y-o-Y Growth 12.3% 19.5% 5.5% 8.7% 15.4%
NBFCs Y-o-Y Growth 17.0% 7.3% 9.7% 7.6% 16.1%
Over the years, there has been significant growth in credit deployed by SCBs and NBFCs. Despite the hike in interest
rates in 2022, global uncertainties related to geo-political and supply chain issues, the credit offtake has remained robust.
During FY23, the credit growth continued to be driven by a lower base of previous year, higher lending to NBFCs, growth
in retail segments of unsecured personal loans, housing loans, auto loans while growth in MSME and corporate lending
was on account of increase in working capital requirements.
During FY23, NBFCs have also seen significant ramp-up in credit deployed, with its growth surpassing y-o-y growth of
bank credit. NBFCs growth is driven by increase in demand for retail credit and working capital loans.
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While SCBs share in total credit deployed has marginally declined, they continue to be the largest lenders of credit with
their share in overall credit hovering in the range of 79%-81%, followed by NBFCs at 19%-21% share in overall credit in
the last five financial years.
In general sense, bank credit growth is a key indicator of economic growth. The domestic credit to private sector (as %
GDP) was on an average ~51% during the period 2017-2021. In the financial sector, credit conditions remain strong even
as the cost of funds tightens. As on July 28, 2023, bank credit grew by 14.7% y-o-y as compared to 15.4% on May 19,
2023. With indications of healthy GDP growth in the medium term, private investments which remained subdued has
started to pick up which is visible in the current credit growth which have remained above 14% in the last few quarters.
With private investments gaining full momentum, the credit growth will continue to remain healthy benefiting banks and
NBFCs in the medium term.
Likewise, several high-frequency growth indicators including the purchasing managers index, auto sales, bank credit, and
GST collections have shown improvement in FY23. Moreover, normalizing the employment situation after the opening up
of the economy is expected to improve and provide support to consumption expenditure.
Further, in line with the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) projection, the rainfall activity has been muted
during June 1, 2023 to September 20, 2023, with cumulative rainfall falling back to a 7% deficit. Also, weak-to-moderate
El Nino conditions are expected to lead to a prolonged dry spell. A drop-in yield due to irregular monsoon and a lower
acreage can lead to a demand-supply mismatch, further increasing the inflationary pressures on the food basket. Going
ahead, consumption demand is expected to pick up during the festive season, but the quantum of rise in demand will be
dependent on the extent of the impact of the irregular monsoon.
At the same time, public investment is expected to exhibit healthy growth as the government has allocated a strong
capital expenditure of about Rs. 10 lakh crores for FY24. The private sector’s intent to invest is also showing improvement
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as per the data announced on new project investments. However, volatile commodity prices and economic uncertainties
emanating from global turbulence may slow down the improvement in private CapEx and investment cycle.
Furthermore, the industrial sector is expected to perform better among all sectors, as input costs are now moderating.
With flagship programmes like ‘Make in India’ and the PLI schemes, the government is continuing to provide the necessary
support to boost the industry sector. Similarly, the service sector is expected to see continued growth in FY24. However,
some segments in the service sector, like information technology, are likely to be impacted by the slowdown in the US
and European economies.
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Power is one of the most critical components for infrastructure development and crucial for the economic growth and
well-being of any country. The existence and development of adequate power infrastructure is essential for the sustained
growth of the Indian economy.
• Generation
• Transmission
• Distribution
Generation is the process of producing electricity from different sources like thermal energy (coal, diesel etc.), nuclear
and renewable sources such as sunlight and wind, natural gas, etc. in generating stations or power generation plants.
Transmission utilities transport large amount of electricity from power plants to distribution substations via a grid at high
voltages. The retail electricity distribution, which is the distribution of electricity to consumers at lower voltages, forms
part of the distribution segment.
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Electricity generation in India increased from 1,372 BU in FY19 to 1,618 BU in FY23, implying a compounded annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 4.2%. Electricity generation increased by about 6% y-o-y to 745 BU during April 2023 to August
2023. Thermal power forms the largest source of power in the country with about 75% of the electricity consumed being
generated from thermal power plants. There are different types of thermal power plants, out of which coal based thermal
power plants account for highest amount of electricity followed by gas and diesel. Renewable Energy Sources (RES)
including solar, wind and hydro are quickly increasing their share and their contribution has increased from 19.1% in
FY19 to 23% in FY23.
706 745
800
19 19 2%
3%
600 1206 74% 175 181 24%
1072 78% 1043 1032 75% 1115 75% 25%
75%
400
513 74% 546 74%
200
0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 YTD FY23 YTD FY24
Source: CEA; RES refers to power generated from Hydro, Wind, Solar, Small hydro and Bioenergy projects;
Note: YTD FY23/FY24 indicates April to August
Installed capacity
The installed power capacity in India has increased from 356 GW in FY19 to 416 GW in FY23; it increased by 4% y-o-y
as on September 2023 to 425 GW; India is the world's third-largest producer and second-largest user of energy.
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200 30%
25%
GW
150
20%
233 237 242 243 244 243 247
100 15%
172 165 179
141 157
123 133 10%
50
5%
0 0%
Mar'19 Mar'20 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Sep'22 Sep'23
While conventional sources currently account for 58% of installed capacity, with the Government of India's ambitious
projects and targets, power generated from RES including hydro, which currently accounts for 42%, is expected to have
nearly equal in contribution compared to conventional sources in the medium term. With consistent focus on renewable
sector, the percentage share of installed capacity is expected to shift towards renewable energy.
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Renewable accounts for 42% of the total power generation capacity of which solar accounts for the largest share of 17%
followed by hydro at 11% and wind at 10%.
Conventional Power
Conventional power includes power generated from thermal sources i.e. coal, lignite, gas, diesel and nuclear energy. The
conventional power generation capacity has increased from 233 GW in FY19 to 244 GW in FY23, and 247 GW in September
2023.
India is majorly dependent on fossil fuels for power generation even as the installed and generation capacity of renewables
is increasing. Coal continues to be the backbone of India’s energy sector, accounting for 69% as on September 2023 of
the country’s energy mix, the third largest among Group of 20 (G20) countries. With abundant local reserves, India has
the world’s fifth largest proven coal reserves.
300
242 243 244 243 247
233 237
250 7 7 7 7 7 7
7 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 25 25 25 25
25 25
25 7 7 7 7 7
200 6 7
GW
150
50
0
Mar'19 Mar'20 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Sep'22 Sep'23
Coal Lignite Gas Diesel Nuclear
Thermal:
• Coal
India has the world’s fifth largest known coal reserves of 361,411 million tonnes as on April 2022, however, coal production
has lagged behind demand. This has resulted in a dependence on imports. Coal is primarily provided by public-sector
enterprises at prices specified under fuel supply agreements (FSAs), can be purchased through e-auctions conducted by
the public sector coal miners or procured from captive coal mines.
India’s coal production has been on an increasing trend due to sustained investments and greater thrust on use of modern
technologies. The all India coal production stood at 893 million tonnes in FY23 and 293 million tonnes between April
2023-July 2023, with a y-o-y growth of around 14.8% and 10%, respectively.
The dispatch of coal to the power sector was at its peak of 91% during FY20. Since then there has been a shift and
decrease in the dispatch of coal to power sector.
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Chart 26: Coal production, import and despatch to power sector trend in India
1000 95%
893
900
91% 778
800 729 731 716 90%
700
Million Tonnes
%
428**
81% 382**
400 80%
249 78%
300 234 215 209 238
200 75%
116* 104*
100
0 70%
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 YTD FY23 YTD FY24
• Lignite
India has around 40.9 billion tonnes of lignite reserves which are mainly found in Tamil Nadu. Currently, only a small
percentage of lignite reserves are exploited and there is considerable scope of use of lignite in thermal power stations.
As on September 2023, India has around 6,620 MW of lignite-based installed power generation capacity.
BU
30 16 20
14
44 46 47 49 45 46 15
20 42 42 38 38
10
10 22 23 19 19 5
- -
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23* YTD FY23 YTD FY24
Source: CMIE, National Power Portal, Ministry of Coal, CareEdge Research, YTD denotes April-September
• Natural Gas
While natural gas’ proportion in India’s primary energy mix has remained relatively stable at approximately 6% in recent
years, overall energy demand has increased quickly, with substantial swings in natural gas consumption in certain sectors
of the economy. There has been a shortage of natural gas availability as most of the wells have aged and become less
productive over time and producers would now have to invest heavily in extracting gas from more difficult fields using
technologically intensive means. The shortage has impacted natural gas-based power generation.
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India has announced its target to raise the natural gas portion of its primary energy mix to 15% by 2030, up from 6% in
2019. The government has taken a number of steps to promote this goal, including increasing domestic production,
facilitating imports, and encouraging demand.
• Diesel
A diesel power plant consists of two or more diesel generators that operate in parallel. Diesel power generation is used
in areas that are not connected to the power grid or are isolated like islands. The installed capacity for grid connected
diesel-based power plant was 589 MW as on May 2023.
• Nuclear
India has 23 nuclear reactors in operation at seven nuclear power facilities, with a total installed capacity of 7 GW as on
March 2023. Nuclear power plants generated 46 BU in FY23, accounting for 3% of India’s total electricity output. A total
of ten additional reactors with a combined generation capacity of 8,000 MW are now under development.
Renewable Power
Installed capacity of renewable energy including hydro power has increased from 123 GW in FY19 to 172 GW in FY23.
The total potential of renewable power in India is estimated to be 1,639 GW.
India’s renewable installed capacity has increased due to increased support from the government and increased
economies. The sector has also become attractive for the investors.
India has made a commitment to decrease the emissions intensity of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 45% by 2030,
compared to 2005 levels. Additionally, India aims to attain a non-fossil fuel-based installed power generation capacity of
approximately 50% (500 GW) by 2030. These targets were proposed at the 26th session of the Conference of the Parties
(COP26) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which took place in Glasgow, United
Kingdom, in November 2021. The ultimate objective is to achieve a net-zero emissions target by the year 2070. This
further reiterates India’s commitment and focus towards renewable energy additions in the future.
The Government of India has highlighted priority areas for Renewable Energy (RE) generation, including RE component
manufacturing (solar modules, hydrogen electrolysers, battery storage, among others), green energy corridor, green
hydrogen production, utility-scale battery storage, pumped storage hydro and rooftop solar power. Further with the
announcement of 500 GW RE capacity installation by 2030 and Net-Zero emissions by 2070, India has set itself on one
of the most accelerated energy transition trajectories in the world.
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Thermal
36%
Renewable Thermal
30% 57%
Renewable
55%
P-Projected
Source: CEA, CareEdge Research
The total installed power generation capacity is expected to reach 817 GW as on March 2030. The share of renewable
energy (excluding Hydropower) is expected to increase from 30% as on March 2023 to 55% in March 2030 while the
share of thermal power is expected to reduce from 57% to 36% over the same period.
Share of renewable energy in the total power generation increased from 17% in FY15 to 23% in FY23. The CAGR in
thermal installed capacity for the last five years was 2.9% whereas for renewables it was 10%, indicating a shift in trend
from thermal to renewables.
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300
150 133
114 123
102
100 80 89
50
0
Mar'15 Mar'16 Mar'17 Mar'18 Mar'19 Mar'20 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Sep'22 Sep'23
India's current electricity generation is highly reliant on non-renewable natural resources like coal. Renewable energy
mainly solar and wind, backed by batteries and other green technologies like electric vehicles and green hydrogen are
recognized by the government as necessary alternatives to high-emitting fossil fuel generation plants. Renewable energy
market of India is one of the most attractive market globally due to its large targeted capacity additions, strong
government support and favourable policies.
The support and implementation of policies by the government has been playing a vital role in aiding India’s renewable
sector and has led the sector becoming attractive for investors. The policies include National Solar Mission, International
Solar Alliance, Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha Evam Utthan Mahabhiyan (PM KUSUM), Green Energy Corridor,
National Solar-Wind Hybrid Policy, National Offshore Wind Energy Policy, Hydro Policy Notification, Renewable Purchase
Obligation (RPO) Trajectory. Other special measures include Round-The-Clock Power (RTC) from RE power plants, Hybrid
Projects, Solar cities, waiver of Inter State Transmission System Charges, enhancing domestic manufacturing, must run
status for renewable projects, concessional open access charges etc.
One of the biggest challenges involved with the conventional source is the environmental contamination. Coal combustion
at thermal power plants emits carbon dioxide (CO2), Sulphur oxides (SOx), nitrogen oxide (NOx), Chlorofluorocarbon
(CFCs) and other gases, and inorganic pollutants like fly ash.
As per the UN Human Development Report 2021/22, the per capita carbon dioxide emission of India is around 1.8 metric
tonnes as compared to the world average of 4.3 tonnes.
About half of the total carbon dioxide emission of India is estimated to be generated by the power sector while other
sectors contributing to it are transport and industrial sector. As per a report by International Energy Agency (IEA) around
30% of the carbon emission is by the industrial sector and 13% can be attributed to transport sector.
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Chart 30: Evolution of India’s CO2 emissions Chart 31: India’s per capita CO2 emission v/s other
countries
1020 1002 18
15.4
1000 16 14.2
980 961 14
tonnes of CO2
960 12
Mtonnes/year
Source: National Electricity Plan Vol 1 (March 2023), UNDP Human Development report 2021/22, CareEdge Research
Majority of the coal-fired power plants are inefficient and run on older subcritical technologies. These technologies utilize
more coal per MWh of electricity generated. Air pollution, water pollution, noise pollution and land degradation are some
of the environmental and health risk posed by the thermal power plants.
Table 5: Weighted average specific emissions for fossil fuel fired stations for 2020-21
Coal Diesel Gas Lignite
tCO2/MWh (net) 0.975 - 0.465 1.28
Source: National Electricity Plan Vol 1 (March 2023), CareEdge Research
The Government of India has taken various measure to reduce the environmental emission which include improving the
efficiency of power generation, notification of stricter environmental norms and retiring old thermal plants, etc.
From FY18 to FY20, there was around 30 BU of loss in generation due to coal shortage which has reduced to zero in FY21
and FY22 due to import of coal to meet the increasing demand. The loss of generation due to coal shortage as reported
by the power utilities between FY18 to FY22 is given as below:
20
BU
10
0 0
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
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India has a large amount of solar energy potential with incidence of approximately 5,000 trillion kWh of energy over
India's geographical area each year. Among various countries like Germany, China, USA, etc. India has the highest solar
irradiance. The abundance of solar irradiance and availability of solar energy throughout the year has created enormous
opportunities to exploit solar energy especially in states like Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Andhra Pradesh.
1,500
1,000
500
-
India Germany China USA MENA Mexico Australia
Source: Solargis, CareEdge Research
Wind is an intermittent and site-specific resource of energy and therefore, an extensive Wind Resource Assessment is
essential for the selection of potential sites. The Government, through National Institute of Wind Energy (NIWE), has
installed over 800 wind-monitoring stations all over country and issued wind potential maps at 50m, 80m, 100m and
120m above ground level. The recent assessment indicates a gross wind power potential of 302 GW in the country at 100
meter and 696 GW at 120 meter above ground level.
Most of this potential exists in seven windy states including Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Rajasthan,
Tamil Nadu and Telangana.
Clean generation technologies like solar and wind are becoming increasingly cost competitive compared to the traditional
technologies.
The tariffs of wind and solar projects have declined sharply in comparison with thermal power projects in the past few
years. Solar tariffs have reduced from Rs. 6.47/ Kwh in FY14 to Rs. 2.9/ Kwh in FY23, driven by declining solar panel
prices, supportive government policies, technological advancements and intense competition resulting in significantly
lower tariffs than the thermal power tariffs.
A similar drop was observed in wind power when the procurement process was changed from Feed in Tariff to bidding in
2017.
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Chart 34: Trend in Tariff of Solar and Wind as compared to thermal power projects (Rs. /kWh)
7.0
5.8
6.0 5.4
5.0
3.9 3.1
Rs. / kWh
3.4 3.6
4.0 3.3 3.3
2.8 2.8 3.0 2.9
2.4 2.4 2.7
3.0 2.4
2.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21* FY22* FY23*
Solar Wind Thermal
DISCOMs purchase power from multiple power producers, across various generation types and under different contractual
frameworks. Since renewable energy have the must run status, the electricity from these renewable plants cannot be
curtailed for any commercial reasons. This reduces the offtake risk since in case of excess supply or availability of cheaper
power, the DISCOMs cannot curtail the RE power or refrain the power producers from generating or dispatching power.
Renewable energy (solar and wind) plants are easier to construct in terms of complexity and take less time as compared
to the coal and gas fired plants. Further, they are easier to maintain. Hence the risk of completion in solar and wind
projects are lower compared to thermal and nuclear projects.
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Chart 35: Growth of Electricity Sector in India - Installed Capacity and Per Capita Consumption*
450 1,149 1,208 1,255 1,400
1,181 1,161
400 1,122 1,200
350
884 1,000
300
Developed countries such as Japan and the United States have the world's highest per capita electricity consumption.
India’s per capita consumption has remained low as compared to even the emerging countries like Brazil and Mexico,
implying significant room for growth.
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India is among the top nations in the world which are leading the global renewable energy growth. On technology specific
installed capacity, India ranks 3th in onshore wind, 5th in Solar, 4th in Bioenergy and 6th in Hydro as per International
Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) renewable capacity statistics 2023.
Table 9: List of top 10 countries – Installed Capacity Statistics 2023 (As on Dec 2022)
Technology Specific Ranking by Installed Capacity
Ranking - Total
Ranking Onshore Offshore Renewable
Solar Bioenergy Hydro
Wind Wind Installed Capacity
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Covid-19 induced lockdown and restrictions had led to lower demand and generation of electricity since the pandemic
had curtailed commercial and business activity. As a result, the first half of FY21 witnessed a decline in power demand.
However, with the gradual reopening of the economy despite localized lockdowns, the power demand has continued to
gradually rise over the past 2 years.
Surplus/ (Deficit)
1,000 786 -0.30%
848 -0.3%
…
791
BU
400 -0.60%
- -0.80%
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 As on As on
Sep'22 Sep'23
Requirement Availability Surplus/Deficit (RHS)
The electricity requirement has grown from 1,274 BU in FY19 to 1,512 BU in FY23. There has been a continuous deficit
between electricity requirement and availability of around 0.4%-0.5% between FY19 and FY23. During April-September
2023, the electricity demand stood at 848 BU, an increase of 7% y-o-y, while the deficit was 0.3%.
The peak demand not met was around 3.31 GW in FY18 and the average energy not supplied was around 8,629 MU. The
peak demand not met and energy not supplied has been on a downward trend and has substantially decreased to 2,475
MW and 5,787 MU, respectively, in FY22. However, in FY23, due to very high demand of power, the peak demand not
met was 8.6 GW and energy not supplied increased to 7,582 MU. In April-September 2023, the peak demand not met
was 731 MW and the energy not supplied was 2,444 MU.
There was a 9.6% y-o-y increase in the power requirement by the country in FY23. The power consumption and demand
were highest in months of March and April due to higher temperatures during the summer season compared to last year.
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The CAGR between FY24 and FY27 is expected to be around 4.5% for energy requirement while for peak demand it is
expected to be around 4.8%. For FY27 to FY32, the CAGR is on a higher side at 5.3% for energy requirement and 5.7%
for peak demand.
The government has taken various steps to meet the peak demand of power such as:
• 175 GW of power generation capacity, 17,33,459 ckt kms of transmission lines and 6,21,176 MVA of
transformation capacity has been added to the grid from 2014 till 31.12.2022.
• Schemes like Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY)/ Pradhan Mantri Sahaj Bijli Har Ghar Yojana
(SAUBHAGYA) / Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) have strengthened the distribution system.
• 100% FDI through automatic route for power generation projects
• Private sector participation in generation and transmission through notification of revised Tariff Policy on
28.01.2016
• For promoting generation, purchase, consumption of green energy the Green Open Access Rules, 2022 have
been notified on 06.06.22
• Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS) launched in 2021 for improving the financial sustainability and
make operationally efficient distribution sector.
• The Electricity Amendment Rules, 2022 has been notified on 29.12.2022 which mandate preparation of resource
adequacy plan so as to successfully meet the power demand of the consumers.
Chart 37: Projected All India Peak Demand and Energy Requirement
2,378 2,474
2,280
2,139
2,021
1,908
1,695 1,796
1,511 1,600
FY23 FY24P FY25P FY26P FY27P FY28P FY29P FY30P FY31P FY32P
*Projected
Source:20TH Electric Power Survey of India, CareEdge Research
The growth drivers for the increasing power demand are mentioned as below.
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India has latent power demand because of its low per capita power consumption, strong GDP outlook and growing
population. India is likely to emerge as one of the world’s fastest growing economy as per IMF which is expected to lead
to an increase in the power demand of the country.
• Urbanization
Urbanization leads to faster infrastructure development, job creation, development of the consumer and services sectors,
and hence is a major driver for the growing power demand. The urban consumption is increasing due to rising disposable
income, favourable demographics and the trend is likely to continue.
Recently, there has been a significant focus on blending two or more energy sources like wind-solar hybrid to achieve
better synergies, higher plant load factor and better energy gains. The wind and solar energy have complementary
generation patterns and hence provide smooth output. Round-The-Clock ensures quality clean power is made available
round the clock, mixing renewable with conventional energy sources for stable power and utilization of existing coal-
based plants.
• Rural Electrification
The government of India has taken joint initiative with the state governments for providing Power for All (PFA) to all
households/homes, industrial and commercial consumers including supply of power to agricultural consumers. PFA
initiative along with rural electrification across various states aims to ensure 24X7 electricity access, enhance the
satisfaction levels of the consumers, improve quality of life of people and increase economic activities resulting in
development. This is one of the key drivers for the growing power demand.
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Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY) was launched in December 2014 with the objective of electrification
of all un-electrified villages as per Census 2011 by the Government of India. Similarly, Pradhan Mantri Sahak Bijli Har
Ghar Yojana- SAUBHAGYA was launched in October 2017 for electrification of rural and urban poor households in the
country.
Schemes like Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) with an outlay of Rs. 326.12 billion including a budgetary
support of Rs. 253.54 billion from the Government of India have been approved. Other schemes like Deendayal Upadhyaya
Gram Jyoti Yojana, Pradhan Mantri Sahaj Har Ghar Yojana, etc. have also been announced.
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Table 10: State-wise details of electrification of households since launch of SAUBHAGYA Scheme /
Additional sanctions and achievements under DDUGJY – as on March 2022
Original
households Additional households Additional Households
sanctioned sanctioned under sanctioned under
under SAUBHAGYA DDUGJY
Sr. Grand
States SAUBHAGYA
No. Total
From
From Electrified
11.10.2017 As on Additional
01.04.2019 to as on
to 31.03.2021 Sanctioned
31.03.2021 31.03.2022
31.03.2019
Andhra
1. 1,81,930 0 1,81,930 1,81,930
Pradesh*
Arunachal
2. 47,089 0 47,089 7,859 0 47,089
Pradesh
3. Assam 17,45,149 2,00,000 19,45,149 4,80,249 3,81,507 23,26,656
4. Bihar 32,59,041 0 32,59,041 32,59,041
5. Chhattisgarh 7,49,397 40,394 7,89,791 21,981 2,577 7,29,368
6. Gujarat* 41,317 0 41,317 41,317
7. Haryana 54,681 0 54,681 54,681
Himachal
8. 12,891 0 12,891 12,891
Pradesh
Jammu &
9. 3,77,045 0 3,77,045 3,77,045
Kashmir
10. Jharkhand 15,30,708 2,00,000 17,30,708 17,30,708
11. Karnataka 3,56,974 26,824 3,83,798 3,83,798
12. Ladakh 10,456 0 10,456 10,456
Madhya
13. 19,84,264 0 19,84,264 99,722 0 19,84,264
Pradesh
14. Maharashtra 15,17,922 0 15,17,922 15,17,922
15. Manipur 1,02,748 5,367 1,08,115 21,135 0 1,08,115
16. Meghalaya 1,99,839 0 1,99,839 420 401 2,00,240
17. Mizoram 27,970 0 27,970 27,970
18. Nagaland 1,32,507 0 1,32,507 1,32,507
19. Odisha 24,52,444 24,52,444 24,52,444
20. Puducherry* 912 912 912
21. Punjab 3,477 0 3,477 3,477
22. Rajasthan 18,62,736 2,12,786 20,75,522 2,10,843 52,206 21,27,728
23. Sikkim 14,900 0 14,900 14,900
24. Tamil Nadu* 2,170 0 2,170 2,170
25. Telangana 5,15,084 0 5,15,084 5,15,084
26. Tripura 1,39,090 0 1,39,090 1,39,090
27. Uttar Pradesh 79,80,568 12,00,003 91,80,571 3,34,652 0 91,80,571
28. Uttarakhand 2,48,751 0 2,48,751 2,48,751
29. West Bengal 7,32,290 0 7,32,290 7,32,290
TOTAL 2,62,84,350 18,85,374 2,81,69,724 11,83,870 4,43,700 2,86,13,424
* Electrified prior to SAUBHAGYA and not funded under SAUBHAGYA
Source: PIB, CareEdge Research
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• Railway Electrification
A lot of emphasis is given to railway electrification with the view to reduce the nation’s dependence on the imported coal
and petroleum-based energy and with a vision of providing eco-friendly, faster and energy-efficient mode of
transportation. In the past 9 years, the pace of electrification has increased significantly with a record breaking 37,011
route kms (RKM) of tracks being electrified.
A total of 58,424 RKMs have been electrified, nearly 50% was completed in the last 5 years alone. 100% railway
electrification in 14 states/UTs has been achieved making significant strides. Electrification of 6,542 RKMs has been
achieved in Indian railways history during FY23, registering an increase of 2.76% over last year. Government plans to
fully electrify railway network by 2024. To support the electrified railway network, close to 30 billion units of electricity
shall be required on an annual basis by 2024.
The growth of EV segment in India has also been on an increasing trend. The penetration of EVs has increased to 5% of
the total vehicle sales in FY23. The EV sales have witnessed massive growth in FY23 on account of favourable government
policies for EVs supporting reduction in upfront cost and expansion of charging infrastructure, rising fuel prices and shifting
consumer preferences.
The 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler segments dominate the electric vehicles market in India, comprising of around 62% and
34%, respectively, of total EV sales in year FY23. Electric two-wheelers (E2Ws) are a key segment of the electric vehicle
market in India, with growing interest among consumers and increasing government support for electric mobility. On the
other hand, Electric three-wheelers (E3Ws) are also an important mode of public transportation in India, particularly for
last-mile connectivity and intra-city transportation. The historical trends of sales of EVs in each segment are depicted in
the table below:
The Government of India has targeted 30% EV penetration by 2030. NITI Aayog projects EV sales penetration of 80%
for two and three wheelers, 50% for four wheelers, and 40% for buses by 2030.
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As EV adoption grows, there will be additional power demand for EVs and hence readiness of the electricity grid to EV
charging demand is critical to achieve rapid and large-scale transition to EVs.
The total electricity demand for EVs, at 33% EV penetration rate by 2030, is projected to be 37 TWh as per NITI Aayog
2021 report. This constitutes less than 2% of the total electricity demand across the country by 2030. Therefore, meeting
the overall energy demand for EVs in India can be met going forward. The charging demand by vehicle segment is
depicted below in the table:
E – 2W 1,25,596 7,65,442
E-3W (passenger / cargo) 2,55,162 9,72,757
E-car (personal) 17,498 1,64,786
E-car (commercial) 55,931 4,91,838
Total 4,54,187 23,94,823
Source: Handbook of electric vehicle charging infrastructure implementation by NITI Aayog – Version 1
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3. Renewable Energy
3.1 Overview
There has been a significant shift globally in the generation capacity mix due to the growing concerns towards the
environment and climate change. India is an active participant and has taken initiatives towards sustainable development
and cleaner environment including significant additions of renewable energy generation capacity.
As per REN21 Renewables 2022 Global Status Report, India currently ranks 4 th globally in total renewable energy installed
capacity, wind power capacity and solar power capacity with generation from non-fossil fuel sources being 41% of the
total installed generation capacity in 2022. The total potential of renewable power in India is estimated to be 1,639 GW
as compared to installed capacity of 179 GW as on September 2023. The installed capacity of renewable energy has
grown by 92 GW over FY15-FY23, implying a CAGR of around 10%.
100
80
60
40
20
0
Mar'15 Mar'16 Mar'17 Mar'18 Mar'19 Mar'20 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Sep'22 Sep'23
Note: Small Hydro denotes projects up to 25 MW, Hydro Power Plants denotes projects more than 25 MW
Source: CEA, CareEdge Research
• Solar:
In the last nine years, solar power capacity has risen manifold, from 4 GW in Mar 2015 to 72 GW as on September 2023,
supported by MNRE. Solar tariffs in India are now highly competitive and have reached grid parity. Along with large scale
grid connected solar PV, there is development of off-grid solar projects for local needs in India.
Solar energy in India has emerged as a significant player in the grid connected power generation capacity over the years
and various initiatives by the government like National Solar Mission, Solar Park Scheme, VGF Schemes, CPSU Scheme,
Canal and Canal top Scheme, Grid Connected Solar Rooftop Scheme, etc. have helped solar to grow fastest among other
renewable energy sources.
As per Central Electricity Authority (CEA), as on July 2023, solar projects aggregating 36.27 GW are under construction.
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• Wind:
With a total installed capacity of 44 GW (as of September 2023), the country has the fourth largest wind installed
capacity in the world. The pace of capacity additions in wind has slowed down in the past few years due to non-
availability of favourable wind sites, policy structure moving away from feed-in-tariff mechanism to competitive
bidding, removal of generation-based incentives (GBI) and accelerated depreciation (AD) benefits etc. These factors
are expected to continue to affect future capacity additions in wind.
As per Central Electricity Authority (CEA), as on July 2023, wind projects aggregating to 17.23 GW are under
construction.
• Hydro:
India has the fifth-largest installed hydroelectric power capacity in the world. India's installed utility-scale hydroelectric
capacity was 47 GW as on September 2023, accounting for 11% of the country's total utility power generating capacity.
Hydro projects aggregating to 10.9 GW are under construction and are likely to be completed between FY24 and FY27.
• Small Hydro
The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) is in charge of constructing Small Hydro Power (SHP) Projects,
i.e. hydro power projects with a capacity of up to 25MW. As on September 2023 the total installed capacity is 4,982
MW while another 277 MW are under construction.
• Bioenergy:
Power generation from bioenergy and waste to energy offers good potential in rural areas especially if they are far
from the grid. The total power generating capacity is 10,835 MW as on September 2023. Gasification based (bioenergy)
power projects of aggregate capacity of 59.25 MW are under construction along with 227.25 MW of waste to energy
and co-generation projects.
The MNRE has declared a quarterly plan for bids for FY24, which includes bids of around 15 GW of renewable energy in
first and second quarter of FY24 and around 10 GW of renewable energy in third and fourth quarters of FY24. The
targeted capacity for FY24 will be allocated among the four Renewable Energy Implementing Agency (REIA) i.e. Satluj
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Jal Vidyut Nigam (SJVN), Solar Energy Corporation of India Ltd. (SECI), National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) and
National Hydro Electric Power Corporation (NHPC).
The state-wise potential of renewable energy is as below. Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Andhra
Pradesh are top 5 renewable energy potential states.
Himachal Pradesh
3%
Telangana
3%
Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh 12%
5%
Tamil Nadu
6%
Maharashtra
Jammu & Kashmir
11%
8%
Andhra Pradesh Karnataka
8% 10%
*Excluding Hydro power
Source: Energy Statistics India 2023, CareEdge Research
While conventional sources (thermal power comprising of coal, lignite, gas and diesel-based power plants) currently
account for 58% of installed capacity, installed capacity of RES, which currently accounts for 42%, is expected to
contribute equally as the conventional sources in the long term supported by Government of India's ambitious projects
and targets.
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400 30%
25% 24%
350 22% 22% 23% 25%
21%
300 19%
17% 17% 17% 20%
250 16%
BU
200 15%
%
366
150 294 298 321
262 10%
100 204 228
191 187 174 181
50 5%
0 0%
In FY15, the power generated from renewable sources including hydro was 191 BU which has increased to 366 BU in
FY23, growing at a compounded annual growth rate of 8.5%. The share of renewable also increased from 17% in FY15
to around 23% in FY23.
In FY15, hydro power had the largest share in renewable energy generation at 68% followed by wind at 9%. In FY23,
while hydro continues to have the largest share, it has decreased from 68% to 44%, and solar has emerged as the second
largest with a share of 28% followed by wind.
Chart 42: Breakup of renewable energy Chart 43: Breakup of renewable energy generation
generation FY15 FY23
Small Biogas Small
Biogas 5% Hydro
Hydro
9% 5% 3%
Wind
20%
Wind Hydro
15% 44%
Solar
3%
Hydro
68%
Solar
28%
Source: CEA, CareEdge Research
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RPOs were earlier categorised as solar and non-solar RPOs. However, as per the latest targets, RPOs are categorized as
Wind RPO, Hydro RPO, Distributed RPO and Others. Obligated entities (which includes distribution companies (or
DISCOMs), open access consumers and captive power producers) are obligated to purchase a minimum share of their
electricity from renewable energy sources as per RPO targets.
The RPO target set for FY18 was 14.25% which was gradually increased to 21% for FY22.
19 21
25 17.5
17
20 14.25
10.5
RPO %
15 8.75
6.75 7.25
4.75
10
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Non-Solar Solar
Source: National Portal for Renewable Power Obligations, MNRE, CareEdge Research
The Central Electricity Regulatory Commission has taken a position that it does not have the jurisdiction to enforce RPOs
in the relevant states and that the responsibility of setting RPO targets and implementation rests with the State Electricity
Regulatory Commissions (SERCs). However, some of the SERCs have not enforced RPOs and the market for RECs has
not matured as originally expected when the legislation was adopted. However, revenue from REC sales has increased
following the order of the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity to resume REC trading from November 24, 2021 after a ban
on REC trading since July 2020.
The state-wise RPO targets for various states from FY18 to FY22 is given as below:
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The actual RPO compliance of various states for the year 2019-20 is given below:
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RE-rich states of Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan and Tamil Nadu had RPO compliance more than 100% i.e. they
fulfilled their compliance. Other states which have lower RE potential were unable to fulfil their RPO compliance. While
majority of the states lie in the bracket of less than 55% which shows that the states are unable to comply with the RPO.
A joint committee under the Co-chairmanship of Secretary, Ministry of Power and Secretary, Ministry of New and
Renewable Energy was constituted on 17th December 2020 and based on the recommendations, Ministry of Power has
specified the RPO trajectory beyond FY22. As per the targets set, RPO of 43.33% is proposed to be achieved by FY30.
Source: Renewable Purchase Obligation and Energy Storage Obligation Trajectory Report dated 22nd July, 2023
Renewable Purchase Obligation and Energy Storage Obligation Trajectory Report dated 20th October, 2023,
Ministry of Power, CareEdge Research
Note: Distributed RPO is not available for FY23 and FY24
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• Wind RPO shall be met only through energy generated from wind power projects commissioned after 31 st March
2024.
• Hydro purchase obligation (HPO) shall be met only by energy generated from hydro-power projects, Pumped Storage
Plants (PSPs) and Small Hydro Projects commissioned after 31th March 2024
• Distributed renewable energy target shall be met from capacities of less than 10 MW, including various solar
installation configurations such as net metering, gross metering, virtual net metering etc.
• Other RPO targets shall be met by energy produced from any RE power projects not included above including all wind
and hydropower projects commissioned before 1st April 2024.
The energy storage obligation shall be calculated in energy terms as a percentage of total consumption of electricity and
shall be treated as fulfilled only when at least 85% of the total energy stored in the Energy Storage System (ESS) is
procured from renewable energy sources on an annual basis.
Renewable energy sources are not evenly spread across the country and hence this inhibits the State Electricity Regulatory
Commissions (SERCs) from specifying higher RPOs. In this context, RECs assume significance as it addresses the mismatch
between availability of RE sources and the requirement of the obligated entities to meet their RPO. RECs are issued to
eligible RE generators, distribution licensee, open access consumers and Captive generating stations based on renewable
energy. On January 14, 2010, CERC issued the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission Terms for recognition and
issuance of RECs for enabling states to meet their RPO targets.
The framework of REC is expected to give push to RE capacity additions in the country.
REC mechanism has provided an extra avenue for sale of renewable energy, the renewable energy generators may use
either of the following ways for sale of energy:
• Sale of electricity to obligated entities which include DISCOMs, captive power plants, open access consumers, etc.
wherein the buyer uses the purchased electricity for compliance of RPO.
• The renewable energy generator can set up the project under REC mechanism. Here the renewable energy
generators sell the generated electricity to the local DISCOM at Average Power Purchase Cost (APPC) or to the open
access consumers at a mutually agreed rate. In this case, the buyer is not allowed to use the purchased renewable
electricity for compliance of RPO but the energy sold to the purchaser is eligible for issuance of REC.
RECs can be exchanged in CERC approved power exchanges and through electricity traders. The price of REC would be
determined in power exchange. RECs are traded in power exchange within the forbearance price and floor price
determined by CERC from time to time.
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The chart below gives the annual trend in closing balance2 of RECs.
Solar Non-Solar
The prices below indicate REC cleared prices as traded at Indian Energy Exchange (IEX).
2,000
1,500
Rs.
1,000
500
2
The closing balance is calculated as RECs issued less (i) RECs redeemed through power exchanges, traders, (ii) RECs retained by the
generators and (iii) RECs revoked/deleted.
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As India is committed to meet 50% of its energy requirements from renewable energy by 2030, non-fossil fuel based
installed capacity target of 500 GW by 2030 has been set, with highest target for solar power.
3.5.1 Overview
India has a significant amount of solar energy potential. Approximately 5,000 trillion kWh of energy is incident over India's
geographical area each year incident over India’s land area with most parts receiving 4-7 kWh per square meter per day.
Further, solar PV power can effectively be harnessed, providing huge scalability in India and at the same time, has the
ability to generate power on a distributed basis and enables rapid capacity addition with short lead times.
India's solar energy sector has emerged as a key participant in grid-connected power generation capacity over the past
decade. It contributes significantly to the government's objective of sustainable growth while emerging as a key anchor
in meeting the nation's energy demands and ensuring energy security. Due to its abundant availability, solar energy is
the most secure among all sources from an energy security perspective.
India has a solar potential of 749 GW, assuming that solar PV modules cover 3% of the waste land area. Comparatively,
India had an installed capacity of 72 GW of as on September 2023. The top ten states, which account for around 75% of
the total solar potential, have an installed capacity of 65 GW, which is only around 9% of their potential and hence there
is a significant untapped solar potential across India.
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40 35
28
30 22
20 12 14 13 14 12
9 7 6
10 5
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 Sep'22 Sep'23
Out of the total installed capacity of 72 GW, Rajasthan has the highest installed capacity of 18 GW constituting a 25%
share followed by Gujarat at 10 GW and Karnataka at 9 GW. Other states which hold major share in the installed capacity
of solar power are Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh. While the
other states together hold only 9% share in installed capacity which is around only 7 GW.
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Telangana, 5GW,
7%
The capacity under construction or in advance stages of development that are likely to be commissioned during 2022-23
to 2026-27 is around 92.6 GW for Solar while the capacity under construction as on March 2023 is around 36,270 MW.
Table 20: Solar Capacity awarded and under construction as on March 2023
Sr. Total Capacity Awarded Under Construction
Scheme
No (MW) Capacity (MW)
1 Solar Energy Corporation of India Limited 26,311 19,860
2 National Thermal Power Corporation Limited 1,218 1,208
3 Narmada Hydroelectric Development Corporation Limited 96 96
4 Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam Limited 1,385 1,385
5 National Hydro Power Corporation 1,040 1,040
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The solar tariffs in India are now competitive and have achieved grid parity due to technological improvements, economy
of scale and reduction in solar cells/module prices. There has been a steep decrease in solar tariffs in India from Rs. 6.2
kWh in FY15 to Rs. 2.9 in FY23.
5 4.3
Rs. /kWh
4 3.3
2.7 2.9
3 2.4 2.4 2.4
2.0
2
0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
The bid tariff rates during FY23 was around Rs 2.7 - 3 per unit. While in FY22, the bid tariff rates were around Rs. 2.7
per unit, which is 36% higher than FY21 primarily due to the rise in equipment pricing, raw material cost, government
duties and interest rates. Despite this the bid tariff rates remained lower than that of FY15 levels.
Demand Drivers:
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• Falling RE Tariffs
The solar tariffs in India are now competitive and have achieved grid parity due to technological improvements, economies
of scale and reduction in solar cells/module prices. There has been a steep decrease in solar tariffs in India from Rs. 6.2
kWh in FY15 to Rs. 2.9 in FY23.
5 4.3
4
R./kWh
3.3
2.9
2.7
3 2.4 2.4 2.4
2
2
0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
The bid tariff rates during FY23 was around Rs 2.7 - 3 per unit. While in FY22, the bid tariff rates were around Rs. 2.7
per unit, which is 36% higher than FY21 primarily due to the rise in equipment pricing, raw material cost, government
duties and interest rates. Despite this the bid tariff rates remained lower than that of FY15 levels.
India's present electricity generation is highly reliant on non-renewable natural resources like coal. Government initiatives
such as subsidy programmes and laws, are pushing power production firms to engage in this industry. Various government
schemes like Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan Yojana (PM-KUSUM), Rooftop Phase-II,
Atmanirbhar Bharat- PLI scheme in Solar PV manufacturing, imposition of Basic Customs Duty of 25% on solar cells and
40% on solar modules, 100% FDI, waiver of ISTS charges, setting up ultra-mega RE parks, grid connected rooftop solar
scheme. To ensure timely payment to the RE generators, government has issued orders that power shall be dispatched
against letter of credit (LC) or advance payment.
The performance of solar power plants is defined by the Capacity Utilization Factor (CUF), which is the ratio of the actual
electricity output from the plant to the maximum possible output during the year. There has been improvement in
performance of the technology with more projects achieving projected PLF levels. In addition, innovations such as wind-
solar hybrid, floating PV Projects and storage technologies, etc. are key drivers supporting the improvement in CUF.
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20
15
CUF %
10
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
India has been experimenting with new techniques to place solar power in agricultural lands, canals, and other bodies of
water. These new and novel technologies, such as agrivoltaics, canal top PV, and floating PV, are still in their early stages
of development and have higher installation prices, however, they present significant opportunities for future growth.
There have been investments worth USD 15 billion in FY22, largely for generation assets in the renewable energy sector.
It includes green bonds worth USD 4.7 billion and debt worth USD 1.8 billion from domestic and foreign lenders.
Challenges:
While the DISCOMs have faced several issues in the past including increasing debt levels, poor collection efficiency, high
Aggregate Technical & Commercial (AT&C) losses and high ACS-ARR gap3, the government has taken multiple initiatives
over the past few years to improve the sector. DISCOMs have begun clearing the overdue amounts to generation company
post government’s imposition of late payment surcharge. The government also expects that the DISCOMs will be able to
clear all their outstanding dues by 2026.
The Union Budget 2023-24 permitted the states to have a fiscal deficit of 3.5% of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP)
out of which 0.5% will be on account of power sector reforms. Such fiscal reforms will help the state undertake power
distribution reforms, which will lead to upgradation of the DISCOMs.
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In FY22, solar cells and modules exports have increased by 9% compared to FY21 whereas the imports have increased
by 218% during the same period. The growth in imports has been significant because of imposition of BCD 4 as
manufacturers tried to stock up on their raw material inventory. The imports reduced by 11% in FY23 (9 months) y-o-y
while the exports declined by 84% in the same period after the BCD was imposed.
Indian solar power producers are still dependent on imports of solar modules mainly from China which accounts for about
90% of the total imports, followed by Hong Kong and Malaysia, assessed based on to the value of imports.
Chart 54: Import and Export of Solar Cells and Modules (HSN Code-854140)
600
485.6
500
400
Rs. Billions
100
9.6 10.2 16.0 9.0 9.6 8.5 1.4
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY22 (Apr- FY23 (Apr-
Dec) Dec)
Exports Imports
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, CareEdge Research; Note: No data available after Dec’22
India is well positioned by way of its geographical location and abundance of resources to become global hub for solar
cells manufacturing. However, China’s strong position and low-cost manufacturing base poses a challenge for domestic
manufacturers to achieve self-reliance in solar energy sector.
4
Basic Custom Duty (BCD) was imposed from effect on April 1,2022 according to which custom duty of 25% on import of solar PV cells and 40% on
import of solar PV modules has been implemented. This was done to improve the indigenous manufacturing of solar panels and modules.
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Continued shortage of polysilicon, increased commodity prices and rupee depreciation have led to an increase in the
module prices in Q4FY23. However, it is expected that in FY24 the downward trajectory in solar modules prices will return
with increase in supply of polysilicon and reduction in input costs.
The Approved List of Models and Manufacturers (ALMM) mandate 5 introduced in 2021 to boost the domestic
manufacturing, has led to disruption in the completion of the solar projects. The intention behind the ALMM mandate was
to reduce the import of solar equipment from China. However, it turned out to be a barrier in ongoing projects as the
demand for solar modules exceeded its indigenous supply.
After the announcement of the ALMM mandate and BCD, the manufacturers have either pushed their projects to the latter
half of the year or postponed the timeline. This was because of the unavailability of solar modules due to increased
demand.
Hence, the ALMM mandate is suspended for a year to prioritize solar capacity expansion to meet the targets. This
temporary relief has helped the manufacturers and project developers in completion of the projects and in bringing down
the project cost. Apart from this, the Government is expected to continue focus on conducive environment to increase
domestic production and improve the local supply chain.
• Grid Integration
While the government has planned grid integration in line with renewable capacity additions, any delays in grid integration
due to land acquisition, project execution delays, etc. For the additional solar capacity will impact the offtake of the
projects.
3.5.5 Outlook
There has been a substantial increase in the installed solar power capacity because of the government’s push in a bid to
achieve COP26 targets6. The pace of bidding has also remained strong all along. MNRE has announced plans to invite
bids for 50 GW of renewable energy capacity annually from FY24 to FY28 with an objective to achieve the targeted 500
GW installed capacity by 2030. Further, the domestic production of solar modules is also expected to increase driven by
government initiatives such as the PLI scheme, which will lower the dependence on imports for critical components
thereby addressing supply chain challenges and lowering the capital cost of solar power projects.
As per the National Electricity Plan Vol-1 (March 2023) 186 GW of installed solar power capacity is expected to be achieved
by FY27 and 365 GW by FY32.
5
ALMM mandate consists of a list of manufacturers who are eligible to manufacture solar cell and modules types which are Bureau of Indian Standard
certified.
6
The COP 26 target by Government of India states that by 2030, the non-fossil fuel energy capacity would be 500 GW, and 50% of the energy
requirement would be fulfilled by renewable sources. Also, the aim is to reduce the carbon intensity of the economy by 45% and reduce the total
projected carbon emission by 1 billion tonnes.
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200
150
100 67
50
0
Mar'23 Mar'27 Mar'32
This represents an investment opportunity of Rs. 6.81 trillion FY23-27 and Rs. 7.97 trillion between FY28-32. The year-
wise expected investment opportunity in the solar sector to achieve the targeted installed capacity is given below.
1915 1972
2000 1821 1863
1720
1571
1467
Rs. Billion
1500
1118
934
1000
500 397
0
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
3.6.1 Overview
With a total installed capacity of 44 GW (as on September 2023), India currently ranks fourth in the world in terms of
installed capacity of wind power. The wind power industry's growth has resulted in a robust ecosystem, project operating
capabilities, and a domestic manufacturing base of around 10,000 megawatts per year as per MNRE.
Wind is an intermittent and site-specific resource of energy and therefore, an extensive wind resource assessment is
essential for the selection of potential sites. The government, through National Institute of Wind Energy (NIWE), has
installed over 800 wind-monitoring stations all over country and issued wind potential maps at 50m, 80m, 100m and
120m above ground level. The recent assessment indicates a gross wind power potential of 302 GW in the country at 100
meter and 696 GW at 120 meter above ground level. Most of this potential exists in seven windy states.
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India has a coastline of about 7,600 kms surrounded by seawater on three sides and has tremendous power generation
potential from off shore wind energy.
As per MNRE, based on early analysis of satellite data and data from other sources, eight zones in Gujarat and Tamil
Nadu have been identified as possible offshore wind energy exploitation zones. The potential for off-shore wind energy
is estimated to be 174 GW (technical resources) across fixed bottom and floating potential mainly off the coast of Gujarat
and Tamil Nadu7.
Ministry has set a target of 30 GW by 2030 which has been issued to give confidence to the project developers in India.
Benefits:
• The wind speed over water bodies is high and the direction is constant. Offshore wind farms generate more
power per installed capacity as a result.
• Because offshore wind is stronger during the day, it provides more constant and efficient energy generation
during peak consumer demand. Wind power on land, on the other hand, performs better at night when electricity
demand is lower.
• The CUF of offshore wind farms is greater than that of onshore wind farms. As a result, offshore wind power may
operate for extended periods of time.
Challenges:
• Local substructure manufacturers, installations vessels and trained workers are lacking in India.
• Offshore wind turbines require stronger structures and foundations than onshore wind farms. This can cause
higher installation costs.
• The action of waves and even high winds, particularly during storms or hurricanes, can damage wind turbines.
Eventually, offshore wind farms require maintenance that is costlier and more difficult to undertake.
7 Source: India Outlook 2026- Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) June 2022
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The transition to competitive bidding from feed-in-tariff mechanism affected wind capacity additions leading to a drop
since FY18. In addition, the highly competitive tariffs in wind power sector and unavailability of favourable wind sites has
led to a slowdown in capacity additions for wind sector.
Wind installed capacity has increased from 23 GW in FY15 to about 43 GW in FY23 and to 44GW as on September 2023,
with majority of the capacity additions during FY15-FY17.
25
20
15
10
5
0
Out of around 44 GW of wind projects installed to date, Gujarat remained the leader in cumulative installations with
installed capacity of 11 GW as on September 2023, followed by Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Maharashtra.
Chart 58: India- Cumulative Wind Power Installations by States as on September 2023
Other States, Andhra Pradesh,
Tamil Nadu, 10GW, 0.2GW, 0% 4GW, 9%
23%
Gujarat, 11GW,
25%
Rajasthan, 5GW,
12%
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As on March 2023, wind projects aggregating to around 10,769 MW are under construction while 6,300 MW of hybrid
projects are under construction. Details of the same are mentioned below:
Table 22: Wind and hybrid capacity under construction as on March 2023
Sr. Total Capacity Awarded Under Construction
Scheme
No (MW) Capacity (MW)
Wind
1 Solar Energy Corporation of India Limited 15,031 6,743
Other Projects (various states of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka
2 4025.35 4,025.35
and Gujarat)
Total 19,056.35 10,768.35
Hybrid
1 Solar Energy Corporation of India Limited 5,110 5,080
2 Other Projects (Karnataka and Gujarat) 1,220.375 1,220.375
Total 6,330.375 6,300.375
Source: CEA, CareEdge Research
Wind-solar hybrid projects of 5,420 MW capacity have been awarded through e- reverse auction of which 1440 MW has
been commissioned till December, 2022.
Currently the bidding process has changed from reverse auctions to closed bidding where the bidder who offers the lowest
tariff will win the project if the technical criteria is met. While in reverse auctions, bidders would continue quoting lower
competitive tariffs after the opening of bids. The change in bidding is expected to stop the aggressive bidding by the
developers and lead to higher tariffs.
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5.0
Rs./kWh
4.0
3.0 3.1
2.8 2.8 2.8
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Demand Drivers:
The country also has repowering potential of around 25.406 GW considering wind turbines below capacity of 2 MW as
per National Institute of Wind Energy.
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generation based incentive scheme for wind projects commissioned before 31st March 2017, technical support including
wind resource assessment and identification of potential sites, issuance of guidelines for competitive bidding process for
procurement of power, etc. The concessional custom duty benefit (CCDC) for several wind turbine components have also
been extended till 31st March 2025 by Ministry of Finance.
• Hybrid Plants
SECI began conducting solar/wind hybrid auctions in 2018 to enhance the dependability of renewable energy. In May
2018, the MNRE released the National Wind-Solar Hybrid Policy. The policy's major goal is to create a framework for the
development of large-scale grid-connected wind-solar PV hybrid systems that make most efficient use of wind and solar
resources, transmission infrastructure, and land. Hybrid plants provide good potential for future growth of wind capacities
as they provide relatively less intermittent and more stable power supply and don’t solely depend on wind for power
generation.
As on March 2023, 6,475.475 MW of hybrid projects are under construction by SECI and other projects in the state of
Karnataka and Gujarat. While the total capacity awarded is around 6,505.475 MW.
The critical land resources required for onshore wind projects are gradually becoming a major constraint. Offshore wind
power offers a plausible alternative in such a scenario. Absence of any obstruction in the sea offers much better quality
of wind and its conversion to electrical energy. Offshore wind turbines are much larger in size (in range of 5 to 10 MW
per turbine) as against 2-3 MW of an onshore wind turbine. While, the cost per MW for offshore turbines are higher
because of stronger structures and foundations needed in marine environment, the desirable tariffs can be achieved on
account of higher efficiencies of these turbines after development of the eco system.
The MNRE has taken several steps to kick start the offshore wind sector in India. The steps taken by the ministry are as
follows:
o Strategy paper for offshore wind energy was issued showing the offshore wind auction trajectory of 37 GW by 2030.
o Ministry sought approval from the Department of Expenditure, Ministry of Finance for a Viability Gap Funding scheme
of Rs. 156.09 billion for initial 3 GW of offshore wind energy projects.
o Draft Offshore Wind Energy Lease Rules 2022 have been finalized and legally vetted by Ministry of Law & Justice and
is under notification.
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The wind power industry has been looking at the prospect of repowering existing wind farms, which might help to speed
up capacity expansion.
The repowering potential of India is estimated to be around 25.406 GW considering wind turbines below capacity 2 MW
as per National Institute of Wind Energy. The state wise details of repowering potential are as follows:
The latest wind turbine technology of 3+ MW capacity is being manufactured in India and hence the repowering of wind
turbines below 2 MW capacity should be considered.
Wind turbine models earlier available in the Indian market were suitable mainly for class III and IV sites; they could not
be used for class I sites of older wind farms.
Wind turbine technology has advanced in the last decade with improved rotor diameters, turbine sizes and pole length
(hub heights). Rotor diameters of modern wind turbines are up to 140 m compared to 80-100 m for the older turbines.
Hub heights have also increased to up to 160 m from 60-100 m. Modern turbines would provide better availability of
about 98%. Combining all these advancements in technology would improve capacity utilization rates to 35-40%, doubling
wind generation compared to older turbines.
Challenges:
The Indian wind sector has faced challenges due to land availability, regulatory approvals and transmission-related
difficulties. Unlike the solar industry, which commissions projects on continuous land, wind projects require scattered
property on a footprint basis, resulting in greater land acquisition costs and challenges, and transmission issues like
upgradation of transmission infrastructure.
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60
50
40
CUF %
30
20
10
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
3.4.4 Outlook
Wind capacity additions have slowed down in the recent past, due to challenges in pricing, grid availability, scarce
availability of windy sites, land availability and payment delays. While the cost competitiveness of wind continues to be
strong when compared to conventional power and government is pushing capacity additions through wind-solar hybrids,
storage, round the clock supply, constraints on land and transmission infrastructure is likely to continue to impact near
term capacity additions. Also, the declaration by governments of ultra-mega power parks for wind might alter the wind
deployment strategy in the future.
As per the National Electricity Plan Vol-1 (March 2023), 72.8 GW of installed wind power capacity is expected to be
achieved by FY27 and 121.8 GW by FY32.
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100
80 72.8
GW
60
43
40
20
0
Mar'23 Mar'27 Mar'32
This target translates into an investment opportunity of Rs. 2.309 trillion between FY23-FY27 and Rs. 3.309 trillion
between FY28-FY32 for onshore wind plants. Additionally, Rs. 274.01 billion would be required for offshore wind plants
between FY28-32. The year-wise investment opportunity for wind energy including offshore wind is given below.
613
600 548 556 531
463
415
400
259
200
0
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
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3.7.1 Overview
Hydroelectric power is electricity produced from generators driven by turbines that convert the potential energy of falling
water from rivers, rivulets, artificially created storage dams or canal drops into mechanical energy. Hydro power projects
are classified as large and small hydro projects based on their sizes and in India, hydro power plants of 25MW or below
capacity are classified as small hydro and comes under purview of Ministry of New and renewable energy.
India has the fifth-largest installed hydroelectric power capacity in the world. India's installed utility-scale hydroelectric
capacity was 47 GW as on September 2023, accounting for 11% of the country's total power generating capacity. At a
60% load factor, India's hydroelectric power potential is projected to be 148 GW.
Government-owned companies produce 92.5% of hydropower generated in India including National Hydroelectric Power
Corporation (NHPC), Northeast Electric Power Company (NEEPCO), Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam (SJVNL), THDC India, and
NTPC. With the growth of hydroelectric power in the Himalayan mountain ranges and Northeast India, the private sector
participation is projected to increase as well. Hydropower plants have also been built by Indian firms in Bhutan, Nepal,
Afghanistan, etc.
The energy generated from hydropower was around 10% of the total power generated in the country in FY23. The share
of overall hydro power generation has been declining over the years, from 12% in FY15 to around 10% in FY23.
Small Hydro
MNRE is in charge of constructing Small Hydro Power (SHP) Projects, which are hydro power projects with a capacity of
up to 25 MW. These projects have the ability to satisfy the electricity needs of rural and inaccessible locations in a
decentralized way while also generating jobs for locals.
The projected potential of small, mini, and micro hydel projects in India is 21,135 MW 8 as on June, 2021, with 7,135
locations around the nation. Around half of this potential is in the hilly states of India mainly Arunachal Pradesh, Himachal
Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Uttarakhand. As on September 2023 the total installed capacity of small hydro power is
4,983 MW.
Pumped hydro storage is where water is pumped uphill into a reservoir and released to power turbines when needed.
They play an important part in meeting peak power requirement and maintain system stability in the power system. The
pumped storage technology is long term technically proven, cost effective, highly efficient, and flexible way of energy
storage large scale.
In India, the Purulia project which was set up in West Bengal in 2009 with a capacity of 900 MW, has been running
successfully. As on March 31, 2022, there are 8 PSP announced projects with an aggregate capacity of 4,746 MW, out of
which projects with the capacity of 3,306 MW are working in pumped mode while the balance is not commissioned due
to delay in construction.
The PSP potential in India has been identified of 96,529 MW as per Central Electricity Authority. The Western region has
the highest PSP potential of 37,845 MW. The following projects are under construction as on March 31, 2022:
8 Source: MNRE
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52 52 52 52
52
51
50
50 50
50
49
GW
48 47
46 45
44
42
Mar'15 Mar'16 Mar'17 Mar'18 Mar'19 Mar'20 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Sep'22 Sep'23
The state-wise distribution of hydro power is shown below. The states of Punjab, Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh have the
highest share of installed capacity at 8%, 8% and 7%, respectively, followed by others states like Maharashtra, Himachal
Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Tamil Nadu, etc.
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Punjab, 4GW, 8%
Karnataka, 4GW, 8%
Others, 13GW, 27%
Uttarakhand, 2GW,
4%GW Maharashtra, 3GW,
7%
Odisha, 2GW, 5%
Himachal Pradesh, 3GW,
Tamil Nadu, 2GW, 7%
5%
There are various hydropower projects at early development stages in the country. Details of the projects under
construction are as follows:
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Demand Drivers:
From the total potential of 1,48,701 MW, above 25 MW installed capacity potential is around 1,45,320 MW. As on May
2023, hydroelectric potential of the country is given below:
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Challenges:
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3.7.4 Outlook
There has been a subdued increase in the installed hydro power capacity because of various challenges like hydro power
projects being site specific, lengthy process for detailed project report and environmental clearances, geological surprises,
etc.
To meet the country’s energy demand at a faster pace and achieve the targeted 500 GW of non-renewable energy, there
needs to be an increase and shift of dependence on hydro power. The development of Mega hydro projects is essential.
The hydro power capacity is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.3% from FY23 to FY27, reaching 59.8 GW while in FY32,
the installed capacity is expected to reach 88.8 GW. For small hydro, the installed capacity is expected to remain in the
range of 4.8 GW to 5.4 GW.
50
40
30
20
10 4.9 5.2 5.4
0
Mar'23 Mar'27 Mar'32
The capacity addition targets translate into an investment opportunity of Rs. 542.03 billion and Rs. 661.5 billion between
FY23-27 and Rs. 752.4 billion and Rs. 1,297.77 billion between FY28-32 for PSP and Hydro power, respectively. The year-
wise investment opportunity for hydro power including pumped hydro storage is given below.
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Chart 66: Investment opportunity in hydro power projects (including pumped hydro storage)
700
596
600 377
584
377
470
500 377
299
Rs. Billion
377 333
400
257 96 290
300 316 377
192 197
181 103
200
297 240 109
149 282 251
100 147 167 377
154 154 109
34 25 47 50
0 0
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
PSP Hydro
The current availability of biomass in India is 750 million metric tonnes, with an estimated surplus biomass availability of
230 million metric tonnes per annum corresponding to a potential of 28 GW. An additional power of 14 GW could be
generated through bagasse-based cogeneration in the 550 sugar mills in the country.
Waste to Energy technologies like bio methanation, incineration, gasification, pyrolysis is used to recover the energy from
waste in form of electricity and biogas/syngas. Waste-to-energy projects use agricultural, industrial and urban wastes of
renewable nature such as municipal solid wastes, vegetable and other market wastes, slaughterhouse waste, agricultural
residues and industrial and sewage treatment plant wastes and effluent, animal waste for power generation or for biogas
generation.
Sector-wise waste to energy potential covering urban and industrial sectors is given below:
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11 Palm Oil 2
12 Milk Processing/ Dairy Products 24
13 Maize Starch 47
14 Tapioca Starch (liquid waste) 36
15 Tapioca Starch (solid waste) 15
16 Sugar (liquid waste) 49
17 Sugar press mud (solid waste) 200
18 Distillery (liquid waste) 781
19 Wine Industry NA
20 Slaughterhouse (solid waste) 48
21 Slaughterhouse (liquid waste) 263
22 Cattle farm 862
23 Poultry 462
24 Chicory 1
25 Tanneries (liquid waste) 9
25 Tanneries (solid waste) 10
TOTAL (MW equivalent) 5,690
Source: MNRE, CareEdge Research
Power Generation from bioenergy offers a good potential in rural areas especially if they are far from the grid. Bioenergy
uses biogas which is produced when bio-degradable waste such as cattle dung, biomass from farms, gardens, kitchen,
poultry, municipal waste, etc. are subjected to scientific process in a biogas plant.
The total installed capacity of bioenergy power as on September 2023 is 10,262 MW while waste to energy is 573 MW.
The bioenergy capacity has been stagnant, growing at a CAGR of 3% between FY15 to FY23. A total of 2,318 MW of
bioenergy capacity is under construction.
6,000
4,000
2,000
477 554 495 573
91 91 114 138 138 148 169
-
Mar'15 Mar'16 Mar'17 Mar'18 Mar'19 Mar'20 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Sep'22 Sep'23
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The major driver for bioenergy is that it an efficient way of utilization of waste and there are variety of feedstock used
for bioenergy.
In metropolitan region, the bioenergy market is still developing, and strict governmental measures are needed to boost
bioenergy generation from municipal and industrial waste. Municipal corporations are generally responsible for waste
management in metropolitan areas, but they have limited financial resources. As a result, public-private partnerships
should be promoted to boost private investment in India's waste-to-energy sector. However, considerations such as
expensive upfront technology costs and the difficulty of obtaining finance from banks are some of the reasons for the low
level of private sector participation in this area. As a result, financial assistance from the central and state governments
is required to close the viability gap and make bioenergy projects financially viable. Financial incentives such as expedited
depreciation and tax breaks would also aid in attracting major private sector companies.
Outlook
In 2022, India's bioenergy potential was assessed to be 25 GW with the Government of India persistently promoting the
Biomass Power and Bagasse Co-generation initiative. According to National Electricity Plan Vol-1 (March 2023), the
estimated installed capacity as on Mar 2027 is 13 GW and 15.5 GW as on Mar 2032.
8
6
4
2
0
Mar'23 Mar'27 Mar'32
The investment opportunity in bioenergy projects up to FY27 is around Rs. 247 billion and between FY28-FY32 is Rs. 231
billion. Year-wise fund requirement to achieve the targeted installed capacity is given below.
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40.0
30.0
18.1
20.0
10.0
0.0
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
Renewable
Hydro 60-200 2.5% of Capex 5-8 40
Solar 45- 41 1% of Capex 0.5 25
Wind (Onshore) 60^ 1% of Capex 1.5 25
Wind (Offshore) 137 1% of Capex 1.5 25
Bioenergy 90 2% of Capex 3 20
Source: National Electricity Plan Vol-1 (March 2023), CareEdge Research
*Capex figures are considered on actual basis at cost level of 2021-22
^ Excludes soft cost, interest during construction, contingencies etc.
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As part of its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) for the Paris Agreement obligations, the government stated that
by 2030, reduction of the emissions intensity of GDP by 45% below 2005 levels, and raise the percentage of non-fossil
fuels in total capacity to 50% and increase share of non-fossil power capacity to 50%. Hence the government has pushed
towards renewable capacity additions through policies initiatives like JNNSM, obligations of RPO, setting up of SECI, etc.
As on 31.12.2022, 8759 ckm of intra-state transmission lines have been constructed and 19868 MVA intrastate substations
have been charged. Under the second phase of Intra-State Transmission System Green Energy Corridor Scheme (InSTS
GEC-II) approved on 6th January, 2022, the 7 states of Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Rajasthan, Tamil
Nadu and Uttar Pradesh, are currently in the process of issuing tenders to implement projects for evacuation of 20 GW
renewable capacity. The project cost is Rs. 120.31 billion with central financial assistance (CFA) @33% of the project cost
i.e. Rs. 39.70 billion.
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ISTS waiver would be allowed for trading electricity generated and supplied from solar, wind, pumped hydro, and Battery
Energy Storage Systems (BESS) in the green term ahead market (GTAM) till 30 th June 2023 and the arrangement would
be reviewed on annual basis depending on future development in the power market.
As per the notification issued by Ministry of Power, a complete waiver of ISTS charges has been given for off-shore wind
power projects commissioned on or before 31st December, 2032 for a period of 25 years from the date of commissioning
of the Project.
o GBI of 50 paisa (half an Indian rupee) per unit was launched in December 2009. The purpose of this subsidy/incentive
was to shift the mechanism of payment from installation-based to generation-based methods of rewarding wind
farms. GBI was a way to encourage development of more efficient wind farms.
o AD and GBI benefits enabled an improvement in installed capacities in the last decade. GBI was later discontinued in
2017.
o Solar GBI- There are two schemes under Solar GBI, the Solar Demonstration GBI scheme and the Rooftop PV and
Small Solar Power Generation Programme (the “RPSSGP”) Scheme. The Solar Demonstration GBI Scheme was
introduced in 2008 with the objective to develop and demonstrate the technical performance of grid interactive solar
power generation and to achieve reduction in the cost of solar systems and the cost of solar generation in the country.
The RPSSGP Scheme was introduced in 2010 with the objective to increase the capacity addition of Rooftop PV and
small solar power plants with voltage level up to 33kV. Under this scheme, 72 solar projects with total capacity of
91.8 MW were set up across 13 states, as of March 31, 2023.
o Wind GBI- The wind GBI scheme was introduced with the objective to promote efficient technology by incentivizing
the actual generation, broaden investor base, facilitate entry of large IPPs and FDI. It was introduced with a
demonstration scheme in which total of 48.9 MW wind projects were registered for GBI against target of 49MW. With
the success of this scheme, Wind GBI-I scheme and Wind GBI-II scheme were introduced by MNRE in 2009 and 2013
respectively with total commissioned capacity of 13,624.88 MW and 704 wind power projects registered under the
schemes. A budget of Rs. 12.14 billion have been allocated for 2023-24 under the GBI scheme which will utilized to
clear past liabilities.
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4.1 Solar
• Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha Evam Utthan Mahabhiyan (PM KUSUM):
The PM-KUSUM programme is to supply renewable energy to over 3.5 million farmers by solarizing their agriculture
pumps. The PM-KUSUM programme intends to build grid-connected ground mounted solar power plants (up to 2 MW)
totalling 10 GW under Component A; and 2 million freestanding solar pumps under Component B; and solarize 1.5 million
grid connected agricultural pumps under Component C. All components combined would support installation of additional
solar capacity of 30.80 GW.
As on Dec 2022, 88.45 MW capacity solar power plants were installed under scheme’s Component-A, about 0.181 million
stand-alone solar pumps were installed under Component-B and 1174 pumps were reported solarised under individual
pump solarisation variant of Component-C.
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Financial Assistance is given at 40% for RTS systems up to 3 kW capacity and 20% for systems with capacities more than
3 kW.
Against the target of 4 GW RTS in Residential sector under the programme, around 1.66 GW capacity was reported
installed as on 31.12.2022. Overall, nearly 7.6 GW capacity of grid-connected RTS plants were reported installed in the
country as on 31.12.2022. Phase II of the Rooftop Solar Programme timelines have been extended up to 31.03.2026.
• Solar Parks:
The Ministry of Power has introduced the Solar Parks programme with the objective of facilitating solar project developers
to set up projects in a plug-and-play model. The scheme for development of solar parks has a target capacity of 40 GW
and all States and Union Territories are eligible for getting benefit under the scheme.
Under this scheme, 57 Solar Parks with a cumulative capacity of 39.28 GW in 13 states were approved, as on 31.12.2022.
• Solar Cities
Under this scheme, at least one city in each state of India is being developed as a solar city. Here, all the electricity needs
of the city will be met through RE sources primarily from solar energy and all houses will have roof-top solar energy plants
along with solar street lights and waste to energy plants.
The aim of the programme is to enable and empower urban local government to address the energy challenges at city
level, provide a framework and support to prepare a master plan including assessment of current energy situation, future
demand and action plans.
• Greening of Islands:
The government plans to entirely convert the islands of Andaman and Nicobar and Lakshadweep to Green Electricity, with
RE sources meeting all energy demands. The Ministry grants a capital subsidy of 40% for projects under the plan.
Under this scheme, around 8.2 GW of projects have been awarded, as on 31.12.2022, out of which around 1.5 GW has
been commissioned as on 31.12.2022 and balance are under implementation.
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4.2 Wind
Based on MNRE’s recommendation, CCDC for several wind turbine components has been extended till 31.03.2025 by
Ministry of Finance (Notification No. 02/2023-Customs dated 01.02.2023).
Repowering potential
In India, the wind power industry has been looking at the prospect of repowering existing wind farms, which might help
to speed up capacity expansion. Repowering, which means the installation of newer, higher-capacity turbines in older
wind farms, can be partial or complete. Full repowering entails the decommissioning of outdated wind turbines and the
installation of new, more efficient wind turbines.
According to the NIWE, all windmills with a CUF of 15% are technically suitable for repowering, and their CUF may be
quadrupled, or tripled in wind-intensive areas. If solar is also added, leading to hybrid renewable energy projects, the
annual energy production can go up by more than six times.
It's worth noting that these older wind turbines are situated in some of India's most wind-friendly locations (class I sites).
However, they have low plant load factors (PLF) of 10-15%, more opposed to the greater than 30% PLF of contemporary
wind turbines.
Draft National Repowering Policy for Wind Power Projects was issued for stakeholder’s consultation in October, 2022,
with the objective for optimum utilization of wind energy resources by maximizing energy (kWh) yield per km2 of the
project area and utilizing the latest state-of-the-art onshore wind turbine technologies.
According to the policy, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy will serve as the nodal ministry for the development
of off-shore wind energy in India, working in close collaboration with other government entities to effectively develop and
use Maritime Space within the country's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) for the production of massive amounts of grid-
quality electrical power for national cohesion.
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• A wind-solar plant will be recognized as hybrid plant if the rated power capacity of one resource is at least 25%
of the rated power capacity of other resource.
• Both AC and DC integration of wind-solar hybrid project are allowed.
• The power procured from the hybrid project may be used for fulfilment of solar RPO and non-solar RPO in the
proportion of rated capacity of solar and wind power in the hybrid plant respectively.
• Existing wind or solar power projects, willing to install solar PV plant or Wind Turbine Generators (WTGs)
respectively, to avail benefit of hybrid project, may be allowed.
• All fiscal and financial incentives available to wind and solar power projects will also be made available to hybrid
projects.
• The Central Electricity Authority (CEA) and Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) shall formulate
necessary standards and regulations including metering methodology and standards, forecasting and scheduling
regulations, REC mechanism, grant of connectivity and sharing of transmission lines, etc., for wind-solar hybrid
systems.
• Storage may be added to the hybrid project to ensure availability of firm power for a particular period.
The Hydro Policy was notified by the government on March 2019, the salient features of the policy are as follows:
The large hydro projects with the capacity more than 25 MW were earlier not recognized as renewable energy, but
through the Hydro Policy, it was recognized as renewable in 2019. The large hydro projects would however not be eligible
for any differential treatment for statutory clearances like forest clearances, environmental clearances, National Board of
Wildlife clearance, any related assessment and study, etc. available for small hydro projects.
Hydro Power Obligation was given separate category within the non-solar RPO and these would cover all large hydro
projects commissioned after the notification as well as untied capacity of the commissioned projects. The non-solar RPO
for other renewable sources have remained unchanged by the introduction of HPO.
Tariff rationalization measures were introduced to bring down the hydropower tariffs. The measures include providing
flexibility to the developers to determine the tariff by back loading of tariff after increasing project life to 40 years,
increasing the debt repayment period to 18 years and introducing escalating tariff of 2%.
• Budgetary support for funding flood moderation component of hydropower in case-to-case basis
• Budgetary support for cost funding for infrastructure i.e. roads and bridges limited to Rs. 15 million per MW for
up to 200 MW projects and Rs. 10 million per MW for above 200 MW projects.
To achieve government of India’s commitment of 500 GW of installed capacity from non-fossil fuel sources by 2030,
become energy independent by 2047 and achieve net zero emissions by the year 2070, hydro pumped storage projects
are necessary. Hence 39 Hydro PSPs of 47 GW are being pursued to be commissioned by 2029-30.
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Various steps have been taken by the government in order to ensure that Pumped Storage Projects (PSPs) get
commissioned on a fast track for accelerating the growth of renewable energy sector of India. The steps include:
The Central government had issued waiver of ISTS charges for PSP and BESS projects in order to promote commissioning
and optimum utilization of storage projects on 21.06.2021. The scheme also waiver of transmission charges for trading
of electricity generated/supplied from Solar, Wind, PSP and BESS in Green Term Ahead Market (GTAM) and Green Day
Ahead Market (GDAM) for till 30.06.2023.
The ISTS charges for power supplied from Hydro PSP or BESS projects shall be levied gradually as follows:
i. 25% of STOA charges for initial 5 years of operation.
ii. After 5 years, the charges will be increased in steps of 25% every 3 rd year to reach 100% of STOA charges from 12th
year onwards.
4.5 Bioenergy
The National Bioenergy Programme was launched by the MNRE in November 2022 for the period from Fiscal 2022 to
Fiscal 2026. The programme has been recommended for implementation in two phases. Phase-I of the programme has
been approved with a budget outlay of Rs. 8.58 billion. The National Bioenergy Programme comprises the following sub-
schemes:
(i) Waste to Energy Programme (Programme on Energy from Urban, Industrial and Agricultural Wastes/Residues)
(ii) Biomass Programme (Scheme to Support Manufacturing of Briquettes and Pellets and Promotion of Biomass (non-
bagasse) based cogeneration in Industries); and
(iii) Bio-gas programme.
The total outlay of the programme under Phase-1 is Rs. 8.58 billion, out of which IREDA has been designated as the
implementing agency for Programme on Energy from Urban, Industrial and Agricultural Wastes and Residues and the
Scheme to Support Manufacturing of Briquettes and Pellets and Promotion of Biomass (non-bagasse) based cogeneration
in Industries for Rs. 7.58 billion.
• Biomass Co-firing
Biomass co-firing is a practice where a part of fuel is substituted with biomass in thermal plants. This helps cut down the
emissions from combustion of fossil fuels and reduces waste burden creating jobs in rural areas. While presenting the
Union Budget 2022-23, the finance minister said that 5-7% of biomass pallets will be co-fired in every thermal power
plant in the country. This will annually reduce the carbon emissions by 38 million tonnes.
13 NTPC plants have been retrofitted completely to run this scheme as of now. This retrofitting has allowed the company
to co-fire 10% of biomass at maximum.
Biomass co-firing has emerged the most economical way of utilizing the biomass and reducing the carbon footprints of
coal power plants.
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The National Green Hydrogen Mission was approved by the Government of India in Jan 2023, with an objective to make
India a global hub for production, usage and export of green hydrogen and its derivatives and approved an outlay of Rs.
190 billion to help achieve an annual production target of 5 MMT by 2030 for facilitating the net-zero target. The mission
is also expected to generate Rs. 8 trillion in total investments by 2030 and around 50 MMT per annum of CO 2 emissions
are expected to be averted.
i. Green Hydrogen / Ammonia manufacturers may purchase renewable power from the power exchange or set up
renewable energy capacity themselves or through any other, developer, anywhere.
ii. Open access will be granted within 15 days of receipt of application.
iii. The Green Hydrogen / Ammonia manufacturer can bank his unconsumed renewable power, up to 30 days, with
Distribution Company and take it back when required.
iv. Distribution licensees can also procure and supply Renewable Energy to the manufacturers of Green Hydrogen /
Green Ammonia in their States at concessional prices which will only include the cost of procurement, wheeling
charges and a small margin as determined by the State Commission.
v. Waiver of inter-state transmission charges for a period of 25 years will be allowed to the manufacturers of Green
Hydrogen and Green Ammonia for the projects commissioned before 30th June 2025.
vi. The manufacturers of Green Hydrogen / Ammonia and the renewable energy plant shall be given connectivity to
the grid on priority basis to avoid any procedural delays.
vii. The benefit of Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO) will be granted incentive to the hydrogen/Ammonia
manufacturer and the Distribution licensee for consumption of renewable power.
viii. To ensure ease of doing business a single portal for carrying out all the activities including statutory clearances in
a time bound manner will be set up by MNRE.
ix. Connectivity, at the generation end and the Green Hydrogen / Green Ammonia manufacturing end, to the ISTS for
Renewable Energy capacity set up for the purpose of manufacturing Green Hydrogen / Green Ammonia shall be
granted on priority.
x. Manufacturers of Green Hydrogen / Green Ammonia shall be allowed to set up bunkers near Ports for storage of
Green Ammonia for export / use by shipping. The land for the storage for this purpose shall be provided by the
respective Port Authorities at applicable charges.
The mission defines green hydrogen as the hydrogen produced using renewable energy, including but not limited to
production through electrolysis or conversion of biomass.
When green hydrogen is produced through electrolysis, the non-biogenic greenhouse gas emissions arising from water
treatment, electrolysis, gas purification and drying and compression of hydrogen shall not be greater than 2 kilogram of
carbon di-oxide equivalent per kilogram of hydrogen (kg CO2 eq./kg hydrogen), taken as an average over last 12-month
period.
For green hydrogen produced through conversion of biomass, the non-biogenic greenhouse gas emissions arising from
biomass processing, heat/steam generation, conversion of biomass to hydrogen, gas purification and drying and
compression of hydrogen shall not be greater than 2 kilogram of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilogram of hydrogen (kg
CO2 eq./kg hydrogen) taken as an average over last 12-month period.
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The mission is proposed to be implemented in phased manner since the sector is at nascent stage and rapidly evolving.
The pilot projects of the mission includes outlay of Rs. 4.55 billion up to FY30 for low carbon steel projects, Rs. 4.96
billion up to FY26 for mobility pilot projects, Rs. 1.15 billion up to FY26 for shipping pilot projects and other target areas
including decentralized energy applications, hydrogen production from biomass, hydrogen storage technologies, etc.
Under the Green Hydrogen Mission, the sub schemes are Strategic Interventions for Green Hydrogen Transition
Programme and Green Hydrogen Hubs where, states and regions capable of supporting large scale production and/or
utilization of hydrogen will be identified and developed as hubs,
The Strategic Interventions for Green Hydrogen Transition (SIGHT) program is a major financial measure under the Green
Hydrogen Mission with an outlay of Rs. 174.90 billion. The programme has two distinct financial initiative mechanisms to
support domestic manufacturing of electrolyser and production of green hydrogen with an aim to enable rapid scale-up,
technology development and cost reduction.
For integration of additional wind and solar capacity by 2030, the estimated length of transmission line and sub-station
capacity planned is around 50,890 ckm and 4,33,575 MVA, respectively. The investment required for the green
transmission is estimated to be around Rs. 2,440 billion as per the Ministry of Power. Out of this, Rs. 281 billion will be
required for integration of offshore wind capacities while Rs. 2,160 billion will be required for new solar and wind (onshore)
plants.
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Table 34: Summary of government schemes with defined targets/ financial outlay
Sr. No. Scheme/ Policy Financial Outlay Target
1. Green Energy Corridor Rs. 120.31 billion
2. Green Transmission Rs. 2,440 billion
Solar
3 Solar GBI NA 91.8 MW
4. National Solar Mission NA 100 GW by 2022
5. PM KUSUM Rs. 340 billion 30.8 MW
6. RTS Programme Rs. 350 billion 7.6 MW
7. Solar Parks NA 40 GW by Mar’24
8. Solar Cities NA 60 solar cities
9. CPSU Scheme Rs. 858 million 8.2 GW
10. PLI Scheme for Solar Module Rs. 195 billion NA
Wind
11. Wind GBI Rs. 12.14 billion NA
12. Offshore Wind Policy Rs. 156.08 billion 37 GW by 2030
Hydro
Hydro Pumped Storage NA 47 GW by 2030
Bioenergy
13. National Bioenergy Programme Rs. 8.58 billion NA
Green Hydrogen
14. Green Hydrogen Mission Rs. 197.4 billion NA
Note: Timelines of the policies and proposed financial outlay are provided in the earlier sections
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The government of India is focusing on increasing the usage of biofuel in India with the following objectives:
First Generation Produced from edible energy crops such Bioethanol and biodiesel
as sugarcane, corn, wheat, barley,
sunflower, canola etc.
Second Generation Produced from non-food feedstock such Bio-oil, FT oil, lignocellulosic ethanol,
as wood, forest waste, food crop waste, butanol, mixed alcohol etc.
waste vegetable oil, animal waste etc.
Third Generation Produced from microorganisms such as All types of biofuels with higher yield
bacteria and algae compared to earlier generations can be
produced under third generation
techniques.
Source: CareEdge Research
India is one of the leading producers of biofuels in the world 9. The Public Sector Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) have
procured ethanol from domestic producers and thereafter blended 4.336 billion litres of ethanol in petrol during the
Ethanol Supply Year (ESY)10 2021-22 and procured 58.3 million litres of bio-diesel till November 2022 for blending with
diesel during FY23. The Oil and Gas Marketing Companies (OGMCs) have issued 3,694 Letters of Intents (LoIs) to potential
entrepreneurs for procurement of Compressed Bio Gas (CBG) up to 31st October, 2022. Further, Oil CPSEs are setting up
2nd generation ethanol bio-refineries in the country at Panipat (Haryana), Bathinda (Punjab), Numaligarh (Assam), Bargarh
(Odisha) and one demonstration project at Panipat.11
As on June 2022, the OMCs achieved 10% ethanol blending target ahead of the November 2022 deadline which was set
under the Roadmap for Ethanol Blending in India 2020-25. As per government sources, this achievement has translated
into a forex impact of over Rs.415 billion, reduced greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of 2.7 million MT and also led to the
expeditious payment of over Rs.406 billion to farmers since 2014.
Further, as on June 11, 2023, ESY 2022-23 recorded 11.70% blending. The blending target for current ESY is 12%.
9
Source: PIB Dated 22nd December 2022
10 ESY: 1st December to 30th November
11 https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1885827
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Compressed Bio gas is similar to the commercially available natural gas in its composition and energy potential and can
be used as an alternative renewable automotive fuel. CBG is produced after purification and compression of bio gas which
is produced naturally from waste or biomass sources like agriculture residue, cattle dung, sugarcane press mud, municipal
waste, etc.
The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Government of India had permitted usage of bio-compressed natural gas
for motor vehicles as an alternate to CNG in 2015 via Vide Gazette Notification no. 395 dated 16 th June 2015.
The CBG potential from various sources in India is estimated to be around 62 MMT with bio-manure generation capacity
of 370 MMT12. There are various biofuels projects undertaken including Compressed Biogas (CBG) projects under SATAT
(Sustainable Alternative Towards Affordable Transportation) initiative by the government. The initiative envisages
production target of 15 million metric tonnes of CBG by 2023-24 from 5,000 CBG Plants. Investment of around Rs. 30,000
crores is envisaged for 900 plants.
The government notified the National Policy on Biofuels (NBP) in June 2018 to promote the use of biofuels in the country
and ensure availability of the same from indigenous feedstock. This policy envisaged an indicative target of 20% blending
of ethanol in petrol by 2030 and 5% blending of biodiesel in diesel by 2030.
National Biofuel Coordination Committee (NBCC) headed by the Minister, Petroleum and Natural Gas and representatives
of concerned Ministries was set up under the NBP to provide overall coordination, effective end-to-end implementation
and monitoring of biofuel programmes.
Subsequently in May 2022, the following amendments were carried out to the NBP.
In 2018, the government had imposed restrictions on imports and exports of biofuels from India under the NBP to
encourage domestic manufacturing and consumption of biofuels. Subsequently, under the 2022 amendment to the NBP,
the export of biofuels was permitted subject to certain conditions and with prior approval of the NBCC.
In March 2023, the Directorate General of Foreign Trade has permitted exports of biofuels for fuel as well as non-fuel
purpose without any restrictions, to the extent that biofuels exported from special economic zones/export-oriented units
are produced using only imported feed stock.
12 Source: White Paper on Compressed CBG- The fuel of future by Indian Oil
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3. Pradhan Mantri JI-VAN (Jaiv Indhan - Vatavaran Anukool fasal awashesh Nivaran) Yojana
In March 2019, the government notified the Pradhan Mantri Ji-Van Yojana to provide financial support to integrated bio-
ethanol projects or setting up Second Generation (2G) ethanol projects in the country using lignocellulosic biomass and
other renewable feedstock. The total financial outlay for the scheme is Rs. 19.695 billion for the period FY19 to FY24.
Under this scheme, financial assistance of Rs. 1.5 billion per project for commercial projects, and Rs.150 million per
project for demonstration projects was prescribed for improving commercial viability as well as promoting R&D for
development and adoption of technologies in the field of production of second-generation ethanol.
As on July 2022, financial assistance of Rs. 1.5 billion each to the four commercial second generation bio-ethanol projects
at Bathinda in Punjab, Panipat in Haryana, Bargarh in Odisha and Numaligarh in Assam and Rs. 150 million to one
demonstration project at Panipat in Haryana has been approved under the scheme and Rs. 1.51 billion was released
based on the milestones achieved as per the scheme.
Apart from financial support through PM JI-VAN Yojana, other steps taken to promote 2G Ethanol Plants include
imposition of additional excise duty on non-blended fuels, encouraging studies on various aspects including identifying
areas having the potential of surplus Biofuels feedstocks, policy interventions to mainstream biofuels, separate price for
2G ethanol, etc.
The Global Biofuel Alliance was announced in February 2023 under which Brazil, India, and the United States, which are
leading producers and consumers of biofuels along with other interested countries, will work towards establishing an
alliance for facilitating cooperation and intensifying the use of sustainable biofuels, including in the transportation sector.
The alliance aims to strengthen markets, facilitate global biofuels trade, develop concrete policy lesson-sharing and
provide technical support for national biofuels programs worldwide. It will also emphasize the already implemented best
practices and success cases.
The alliance shall work in collaboration with and complement the relevant existing regional and international agencies as
well as initiatives in the bioenergy, bio economy, and energy transition fields more broadly, including the Clean Energy
Ministerial Biofuture Platform, the Mission Innovation Bioenergy initiatives, and the Global Bioenergy Partnership (GBEP).
The MNRE has been supporting installations of biogas plants in the country through the following schemes:
• Small size biogas plants under New National Biogas and Organic Manure Programme (NNBOMP)
• Medium size biogas plants (30-2500 m3 biogas per day) under the Biogas based Power Generation (Off-Grid)
and Thermal Energy Applications Programme (BPGTP)
• Large size biogas plants (above 2500 m3 biogas per day) biogas plants under Programme on Energy from Urban,
Industrial, Agricultural Wastes/ Residues and Municipal Solid Waste (Waste to Energy Scheme).
The Central Financial Assistance (CFA) which was being provided under the above schemes when they were being
implemented was as follows: -
• Rs. 7500/- to Rs. 35,000/- per plant based on size of the plant in cubic meter under NNBOMP;
• Rs. 25,000 /- to Rs. 40,000 /- per kilowatt for power generation and Rs. 12,500 /- to Rs. 20,000/- per kilowatt
equivalent for thermal applications under BPGTP; and
• Rs 1.0 crore per 12000 m3 per day for biogas generation and Rs 4.0 Crore per 4800 Kg/day for Bio-CNG
generation under Waste to Energy Scheme.
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Under the Sustainable Alternative Towards Affordable Transportation (SATAT), Government of India is promoting the
production of Compressed Bio Gas (CBG) as an alternative green transport fuel wherein Oil and Gas Marketing Companies
(OGMCs) are procuring the produced CBG.
Green Hydrogen
Hydrogen is the most abundant element on earth and it doesn’t exist by itself, it is produced from compounds that
contain it. Currently, it is primarily produced from fossil fuels and can also be produced from biomass and water.
Hydrogen can also be produced directly from sunlight and biomass. Electrolytic hydrogen produced from green power,
instead of conventional grid electricity, and hydrogen produced from other cleaner mechanisms have been termed as
“Green Hydrogen”.
Based on sources and processes, hydrogen can be classified into various colours
Hydrogen can be used for various energy solutions like electricity production from fuel cell, energy storage, etc. Owning
to its clean combustion characteristics and zero carbon footprint, it has potential to be the fuel of future. India has also
launched the National Hydrogen Energy Mission to enable cost competitive green hydrogen production. India would be
conducting competitive bids for green hydrogen to pave the road for viable usage of hydrogen as a fuel.
Even though green hydrogen is a promising source of clean energy, there are number of risks involved which are listed
below:
• High Cost- The cost of green hydrogen is relatively high due to cost of electrolyser and renewable energy. The
sector also requires significant amount of investment in setting up domestic manufacturing capacities of
electrolyser equipment and distribution network.
• Uncertain Demand- The green hydrogen technologies across various sectors such as power, steel, and oil & gas
are still in development stages, and the demand of green hydrogen uncertain since it is dependent on the
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commercialization of these technologies. India may face challenges in adopting and scaling up these technologies
to be able to utilize sizable quantities of green hydrogen.
• Supply chain Challenge- The availability and cost of raw materials required for green hydrogen production, such
as renewable energy sources and suitable quality of water, can influence the viability and competitiveness of the
technology. Supply chain disruptions can also impact the availability of critical components needed for hydrogen
production.
The Government of India has also announced National Green Hydrogen Mission with an objective to make India a global
hub for production, usage and export of green hydrogen and its derivatives and approved an outlay of Rs. 190 billion to
help achieve an annual production target of 5 MMT by 2030 for facilitating the net-zero target. The policy promotes
Renewable Energy (RE) generation as RE will be the basic ingredient in making green hydrogen. This in turn will help in
meeting the international commitments for clean energy.
Hydrogen and Ammonia are envisaged to be the future fuels to replace fossil fuels. Production of these fuels by using
power from renewable energy, termed as green hydrogen and green ammonia, is one of the major requirements towards
environmentally sustainable energy security of the nation. Government of India is taking various measures to facilitate
the transition from fossil fuel / fossil fuel-based feed stocks to green hydrogen / green ammonia. The notification of this
policy is one of the major steps in this endeavour.
The details of the Green Hydrogen Mission are mentioned in section 4.6.
The National Green Hydrogen Mission with an initial outlay of Rs. 197.44 billion was approved in January 2023 with the
overall objective to develop at least 5 million metric tons of green hydrogen production capacity per annum with an
associated renewable energy capacity addition of about 125 GW in the country by 2030.
Based on the report ‘Investment Landscape of Green Hydrogen in India’ dated May 2023 released by United States Agency
for International Development (USAID) and MNRE, it is estimated that India will require an investment of Rs.3,03013
billion towards ammonia infrastructure and electrolyser capacity to cater to the targeted annual green hydrogen demand
of 5 MMT by 2030 under the National Green Hydrogen Mission.
India’s power transmission system has expanded at a significant pace driven by growing demand, government’s focus on
providing electricity in rural areas and requirement for connecting the generation stations including integration of RE
sources from the RE rich states. Further, with the implementation of two Central Sector Schemes namely, North Eastern
Regional Power System Improvement Project (NERPSIP) and Comprehensive Scheme for strengthening of Transmission
and Distribution in Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim, the transmission and distribution infrastructure of North Eastern states
are also being strengthened.
Government owned Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) is the industry leader that owns and operates most of
the inter-state and inter-regional transmission lines in the country facilitating transfer of power between different regions.
While PGCIL and other state transmission utilities remain major players in the sector, the private sector participation has
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seen a healthy growth with the introduction of Tariff-based Competitive Bidding (TBCB) and viability gap funding scheme
for the inter-state projects.
The transmission line network grew at a CAGR of approximately 3.7% to 4,56,428 cKM14 as on March 2022 from 3,67,000
cKM as on March 2017. During FY23, 14,625 cKM of transmission lines were added taking the total network to 4,71,341
cKM. The transmission line network stood at 4,76,547 as on September 2023. The transmission line capacity is at
12,02,478 MVA as on September 2023.
9 35
31
300 194 198 200
181 185 190
158 172
200
0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 September'23
As on March 2023, there are 24 transmission projects which are under construction. These include various projects of
transmission system associated with renewable projects along with conventional projects in Rajasthan, Karnataka,
Maharashtra, etc. These projects are being executed mainly by PGCIL along with private players like Sterlite Power
Transmission Limited, Adani Transmission Limited, ReNew Transmission Ventures Private Limited, etc.
The Substation line network grew at a CAGR of approximately 6.6% to 1.13 million MVA as on March 2022 from 0.741
million MVA as on March 2017. During FY23, substation line network grew to 1.18 million MVA.
India has a target of 500 GW of non-fossil fuel capacity by 2030 and hence significant investments have commenced
towards increasing and upgrading the transmission infrastructure. Transmission system has been planned for following
RE capacity to be commission by 2030:
14 Circuit Kilometre
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4. Margin already available in ISTS sub-station which can be used for integration of RE 33,658
capacity
5. Balance RE capacity to be integrated to intra-state system under Green Energy 7,000
Corridor-I Scheme
6. RE capacity to be integrated to intra-state system under Green Energy Corridor -II 19,431
Scheme
7. Additional Hydro Capacity likely by 2030 16,673
Total (RE) 5,36,924
Source: CEA Report- Transmission System Integration of over 500GW RE Capacity by 2030, CareEdge Research
As per PGCIL, investment opportunity of around Rs. 1,900 billion is expected in interstate transmission system, Rs. 1,960
billion in intrastate transmission system and around Rs. 200 billion in cross border interconnection up to 2030.
For integration of additional wind and solar capacity by 2030, the estimated length of transmission line and sub-station
capacity planned is around 50,890 ckm and 4,33,575 MVA, respectively. The investment required for the green
transmission is estimated to be around Rs. 2,440 billion as per the Ministry of Power. Out of this, Rs. 281 billion will be
required for integration of offshore wind capacities while Rs. 2,160 billion will be required for new solar and wind (onshore)
plants.
The ISTS GEC project with total 3,200 ckm inter-state transmission lines and 17,000 MVA substations was implemented
by PGCIL between 2015 to 2020. The project cost is Rs. 113.69 billion with funding mechanism consisting of 30% equity
by PGCIL and 70% loan from KfW (EUR 500 Million) & ADB (approx. Rs. 28 billion). The project was implemented to
evacuate approx. 6 GW of RE power and included transmission system for 8 solar parks including Ananthapur (1,500
MW), Pavagada (2,000 MW), Rewa (750 MW), Bhadla-III (500 MW), Bhadla-IV (250 MW), Essel (750 MW), Banaskantha
(700 MW) and Fatehgarh (1000 MW).
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The InSTS GEC scheme with total target of 9,700 ckm intra-state transmission lines and 22,600 MVA sub-stations was
approved by the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) in 2015. The InSTS GEC scheme is currently under
implementation by the State Transmission Utilities (STUs) of 8 RE rich states, i.e. Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Himachal
Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan & Tamil Nadu. The project cost is Rs. 101.41 billion with
funding mechanism consisting of 40% central grant by MNRE, 40% loan from KfW Germany and 20% equity by the
STUs.
The projects are being set up for evacuation of about 24 GW of RE power in the above 8 States, of which about 16.4
GW RE has been commissioned and connected to the grid through the project’s setup under InSTS GEC. As on November
30, 2022, the status of the project is a below:
Table 39: Status of Intra-State Transmission System Green Energy Corridor Phase-I
Lines Target Lines Constructed Substations Substations
State (ckm) (ckm) Target (MVA) Charged (MVA)
Tamil Nadu 1,068 1,068 2,250 1,910
Rajasthan 1,054 984 1,915 1,915
Andhra Pradesh 1,073 739 2,157 950
Himachal Pradesh 502 470 937 653
Gujarat 1,908 1,429 7,980 6,980
Karnataka 618 609 2,702 2,490
Madhya Pradesh 2,773 2,773 4,748 4,748
Maharashtra 771 625 - -
Total 9,767 8,697 22,689 19,858
Source: MNRE, CareEdge Research
The InSTS GEC-II scheme with total target of 10,750 ckm intra-state transmission lines and 27,500 MVA sub-stations
was approved by the CCEA in January 2022.
The project cost is Rs. 120.31 billion with central financial assistance from MNRE of Rs. 39.7 billion (i.e. 33% of project
cost). The balance 67% of the project cost is available as loan from KfW/REC/PFC. The transmission schemes would be
implemented by the STUs of seven states, i.e. Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu and
Uttar Pradesh for evacuation of approx. 20 GW of RE power in the seven States. Currently, the STUs are preparing the
packages and are in process of issuing tenders for implementing the projects. The scheduled commissioning for the
projects under this scheme is March 2026.
Table 40: Target under of Intra-State Transmission System Green Energy Corridor Phase-II
Estimated Length of Capacity of
Project Cost Transmission Substations RE Addition
State (Rs Cr) Lines (ckm) (MVA) (MW)
Gujarat 3,637 5,138 5,880 4,000
Himachal Pradesh 489 62 761 317
Karnataka 1,036 938 1,225 2,639
Kerala 420 224 620 452
Rajasthan 881 1,170 1,580 4,023
Tamil Nadu 720 624 2,200 4,000
Uttar Pradesh 4,848 2,597 15,280 4,000
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A major driver for early market growth for energy storage generation will be renewable energy integration, replacement
of diesel generators on island grids, industrial backup applications, and use of remote equipment. India has committed
to increase its share of non-fossil fuel-based generation sources to 50% by 2030, which requires flexibility in power
systems. The ‘Power for All’ target of 24X7 electricity for all had created an increased power requirement and the need
to balance the supply and demand of electricity. Hence, Energy storage solutions plays a crucial role in increasing the
system’s overall flexibility.
Energy Storage Systems (ESS) is emerging as an essential part of the evolving clean energy in 21st century. Energy
storage is going to play an important part in grid integration and management of Renewable Energy as the share of
renewable energy in the grid increases.
Greater utilization of the available grid capacity and renewable energy sources can be achieved through the energy
storage systems.
Energy storage solutions are a set of methods and technologies that are used to store energy. This stored energy is later
drawn upon for a number of operations.
There are various methods to store different forms of energy and hence various types of storage technologies depend on
application, economics, integration within the system and availability of resource. Energy storage technologies vary
depending upon on the type of energy used for storage. The different technologies based on the type of energy are as
follows:
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Energy storage ranges from pumped hydro storage, flywheel, super capacitors, compressed air, flywheels, super
capacitors, thermal energy storage, batteries including lithium, etc. depending on the type of technology used. Dispatching
electricity within seconds and providing back-up ranging from minutes to many hours are some of the features of
advanced energy storage technologies.
The Union Budget 2023-24 proposed Viability Gap Funding for Battery Energy Storage Systems with a capacity of 4,000
MWH. Further, a detailed framework for pumped storage projects will be formulated. This proposal is expected to
incentivize the setting up of utility-scale storage projects as the VGF shall improve its cost competitiveness. Further, focus
on pumped storage projects shall ensure smoother integration of renewables in the grid.
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• Battery system- A battery system contains individual batteries that are arranged in modules and that in turn is in
form of battery packs. These batteries convert chemical energy into electrical energy.
• Battery Management System (BMS) - The battery management system ensures the safety of the battery system.
Monitoring the condition of battery cells, measuring the state-of-charge (SOC) and state-of-health (SOH), protecting
the batteries from fires and hazards are the functions of the battery management system.
• Power Conversion System (PCS) - The power conversion system (PCS) converts the direct current by batteries into
alternating current supplied to the facilities. The bi-directional inverters are present in the battery energy storage
systems to allow the charging and discharging.
• Energy Management System (EMS) - The energy management system is responsible for the monitoring and control
of the energy flow within a battery storage system. The coordination between the work of BMS, PCS and other
components of a BESS is done by the energy management system by collecting and analysing energy data.
There are other components of the BESS like safety systems such as fire control system, smoke detector, temperature
control system, cooling, heating, ventilation and air-cooling systems depending on the functionality and operating
conditions. These safety systems have their own monitoring and control units for the purpose of safe operations of the
BESS.
BESS collects energy from an electricity grid or renewable energy and stores it using battery storage technology. Batteries
then discharge and release the energy when necessary in variety of other applications. BESS require robust software
solutions along with electronics. BESSs can accommodate various kinds of batteries ranging from lithium-ion, lead-acid,
nickel-cadmium and others. Each type of batteries has certain technical specifications that BESS uses and hence the
efficiency of battery energy storage varies depending upon the battery type.
BESSs vary depending on the electrochemistry or battery technology. The main type of BESS battery types is as below:
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• Flow Batteries
Sodium-Sulphur 75-85% 10-15 years Low cost potential; inexpensive raw materials and
sealed; no maintenance config
Source: National Electricity Plan Vol-1 (March 2023), CareEdge Research
The table shows the annual targets for storing the renewable energy between 2022-23 to 2029-30. Ministry of Power’s
Energy Storage Obligations 2029-30 are used for estimating the utility-scale storage requirements. 19th Electric Power
Survey (CEA 2022) to get India’s peak energy demand (GWh) during the period is used to estimate the obligated stored
energy (GWh) and corresponding batter requirement.
The cumulative energy storage demand from grid applications comes about 327 GWh by 2030.
India can capture significant value within local economy with the help of successful local battery manufacturing industry
and supportive local supply chain. NITI Aayog estimates the market size of battery sector to be around Rs. 163.815 billion
in FY22 and in the accelerated case scenario, the market size for stationery and mobile batteries could surpass Rs. 491.415
billion by 2026 and Rs. 1,22815 billion by 2030.
An investment of Rs 3,493 million will be required between FY24-32 to achieve the above battery storage requirement.
Year-wise investment is given below.
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1,000 840
800
566
600
400 329
225
200 82
- - -
-
2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32
In order to meet the demand for battery with domestic supply, India will require rapid buildout of battery manufacturing.
To increase the development for advanced cell batteries, policy push and demand-supply incentives is required. The PLI
scheme promises to put India in strong global position and realize its full value from its technology.
• Reduction in basic custom duty on import of capital goods required for Li-ion battery manufacture to Nil till March
2024. Also, customs duty exemption is extended for import of capital goods and machinery required for
manufacturing lithium-ion cells for batteries used in electric vehicles. Also, the concessional duty on lithium-ion cells
for batteries would continue for another year. This in turn would support lithium ion cell supply in India, which is
widely used across power storage, power management and battery industries.
• Focus on Green Growth, emphasis on Hydrogen energy and battery storage.
• Under the “Panchamrit” goal set up by COP26 forum, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) with a capacity of
4000 Mwh will be supported by viability gap fund. Further, a detailed framework for pumped storage projects will be
formulated. This proposal is expected to incentivize the setting up of utility-scale storage projects as the VGF shall
improve its cost competitiveness.
Some of the key challenges and risks involved in setting up battery storage systems are as below:
• Cost Competitiveness: The BESS technology needs to be cost competitive to increase its adoption in India. For the
reduction in cost of power management and storage technologies, extensive engineering research and development
for new storage concepts and requisite materials is required.
• Dependence on imports for raw materials: Since there are no significant proven reserve in India for most critical
elements like lithium, cobalt and nickel required for semi-conductors, it is highly dependent on imports.
• Technology Risk: There are a number of new technologies currently in research and development stage and even
though the technologies in process have great potential, they have not reached the viability and commercialization
yet. As there is demand uncertainty and high investment are required for setting up of the power management and
storage manufacturing units, the investment is considered risky due to evolving technology changes in the storage,
power management and battery sectors.
There have been significant barriers in the adoption of energy storage, electric mobility and green hydrogen. Hence to
boost the industry, reduction in custom duty, tax holidays and focus on green growth was seen in the Budget 2023-24.
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The reduction in duties and credit guarantee scheme for manufacturers of intermediate materials used in battery cells
would support exporting businesses in the country. Sector such as battery storage, power management systems, EVs,
etc. would be benefit from such schemes.
The life cycle of pumped storage is same as hydro projects i.e. 40 years and the efficiency are in the range of 70 to 80%.
The technology has advanced since and now includes adjustable speed pumped turbines which can quickly shift from
motor to generator to synchronous condenser modes for easier and flexible operations of the grid.
Another new approach for pumped hydro storage called closed loop where the reservoir located in the areas that are
physically separated from the existing river system. They have minimal impact to no impact on existing river systems.
These types of projects can greatly reduce the most significant aquatic impacts associated with project development by
avoiding the existing complex aquatic systems entirely.
West Bengal is the frontrunner for promotion of pumped hydro storage India because of the Purulia project in West
Bengal with a capacity of 900 MW which was set up in 2007.
As on March 2022, there are 8 PSP projects in the country totalling to 4,546 MW. Out of this around 3,306 MW of capacity
is working in the pumped mode currently while the balance is not operating due to construction of tail reservoir or due
to vibration issues in the system.
The Central government had issued waiver of ISTS charges for PSP and BESS projects in order to promote
commissioning and optimum utilization of storage projects on 21.06. 2021.The scheme also waiver of transmission
charges for trading of electricity generated/supplied from Solar, Wind, PSP and BESS in Green Term Ahead Market
(GTAM) and Green Day Ahead Market (GDAM) for till 30.06.2023.
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The ISTS charges excluding losses were waived for transmission of electricity supplied by Hydro PSP and BESS projects
commissioned till 30.06.2025 provided that the following conditions are met:
o At least 70% of the annual electricity generation requirement of pumping of water of the PSP plant is met by use
of solar and wind-based generation.
o At least 70% of the annual electricity generation requirement of charging of the BESS system is met by use of
solar and wind-based generation.
The ISTS charges for power supplied from Hydro PSP or BESS projects shall be levied gradually as follows: -
i. 25% of STOA charges for initial 5 years of operation.
ii. After 5 years, the charges will be increased in steps of 25% every 3 rd year to reach 100% of STOA charges from 12th
year onwards.
• Smart Grid
As per the National Smart Grid Mission (NSGM), Ministry of Power, smart grid is an electrical grid with automation,
communication and IT systems that can monitor power flows from points of generation to points of consumption (down
to appliances level) and control the power flow or curtail the load to match generation in real time or near real time.
Smart grids can be achieved by implementing efficient transmission & distribution systems, system operations, consumer
integration and renewable integration. Smart grid solutions help to monitor, measure and control power flows in real time
that can contribute to identification of losses and thereby appropriate technical and managerial actions can be taken to
arrest the losses.
Smart grid solutions can contribute to reduction of transmission and distribution losses, peak load management, improved
quality of service, increased reliability, better asset management, renewable integration, better accessibility to electricity
etc. and also lead to self-healing grids.
NSGM was established by Government of India in 2015 to plan and monitor implementation of policies and programmes
related to Smart Grid activities in India. The primary aim of the smart grids is to improve reliability of the electricity
networks and make the grid amenable to renewable energy inputs through distributed generation. Further, increased
efficiencies with smart grid and smart meters empower the consumers to manage their electricity consumption in a better
manner and help them in reducing their bills. In addition, the NSGM also envisages capacity building initiatives for
distribution sector personnel in the field of smart grids.
Smart meters are digital meters which are similar to conventional meters and record data on energy consumption.
However, there meters are also capable of transmitting the energy consumption data to utilities at specific intervals which
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permits more frequent monitoring of consumption and can assist in reduction of T&D losses. Smart meters are beings
installed under various government schemes including NSGM and Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) wherein
the government is providing funding to the states for implementation of smart metering projects being launched by
DISCOMs. Energy Efficiency Services Limited (EESL) is also implementing projects being launched by various DISCOMs in
Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Bihar, Rajasthan, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Delhi etc. wherein EESL is infusing the initial
capital expenditure and DISCOMs are paying back to EESL on monthly rental basis.
Government of India launched the Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS) with an outlay of Rs. 3,037.58 billion
and estimated support from Central Government of Rs. 976.31 billion for the duration of 5 years (FY22-FY27). As on
February 2023, 204.6 million pre-paid smart consumers meters, 5.4 million smart Distribution Transformer (DT) meters
and 0.198 million smart feeder meters have been sanctioned under this scheme for 46 DISCOMs located in 28 states and
union territories.
The government is implementing a nationwide Smart Meter Program under RDSS Scheme. There are 2 parts under the
scheme - Part A includes upgradation of distribution infrastructure and pre-paid smart metering & system metering while
Part B covers training and capacity building and other supporting activities.
Under Part A of the scheme, 25 crore smart meters are envisaged to be installed across the country. The implementation
model of smart metering is TOTEX (CAPEX + OPEX) under Design, Built, Finance, Own, Operate and Transfer (DBFOOT)
model and OPEX payments to Advanced Metering Infrastructure Service Provider (AMISP) are linked with Service Level
Agreement (SLA).
A DER management solution is an IT enabled platform that helps the DISCOMs manage their grids which are based on
distributed energy resources which are small scale generation units such as rooftop solar panels, battery storage etc.
located at consumer site or near the consumer.
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Total EV sales units 96,647 1,46,486 1,68,299 1,33,831 4,56,151 11,82,097 13,07,385
The Indian government has implemented several policies and incentives to promote EV adoption. Additionally, the
government has set a target to achieve 100% electric mobility for public transport and 40% electrification of private
vehicles by 2030. As per NITI Aayog estimates, India’s EV sales is estimated to be at 70% for commercial car, 30% for
private cars, 40% for buses, and 80% for two-wheelers and three-wheelers respectively by 2030. The current market
size of electric two-wheelers (E2Ws largest segment in EV), electric three-wheelers (E3Ws) and electric four-wheelers
(E4Ws) is estimated to be around ~ INR 90 Billion, ~ INR 100 Billion, and ~ INR 85 Billion respectively. The expected
revenue generation from overall EV sales is estimated to reach approximately ~ INR 4,000 Billion (Bn) around 2030 in
India. The sales across each EV vehicle segment is expected to clock strong growth going forward owing to governments
push towards green mobility.
3,000 2,771
Revenue (in INR Billion)
2,500 2,248
2,000 1,720
1,500 1,368
1,013
1,000 808
500
-
FY24E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E FY30E
The development of charging infrastructure is essential for the growth of the EV market in India. The government's
investment in charging infrastructure is a positive step towards making EVs more accessible to Indian consumers. India
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is working on the expansion of its EV charging infrastructure to support the growing number of electric vehicles. Both
public and private entities are investing in the establishment of charging stations across cities, highways, commercial
complexes, and parking areas.
Several public and private players are involved in setting up and operating EV charging infrastructure in India. Some
prominent charging network operators include Tata Power, EV Motors India, Fortum India, and Bharat Power Solutions.
State-run oil marketing companies, such as Indian Oil Corporation and Bharat Petroleum, are also expanding into EV
charging infrastructure. The government has introduced guidelines and standards to enable compatibility between
different EV models and charging stations.
As per the data of Bureau of Energy Efficiency, there are 8,735 public charging stations and 84 charge point operators
across India. Maharashtra has emerged as the frontrunner in supporting electric vehicles (EVs), with 2,354 public charging
station, followed by Delhi with 1,619 charging stations, while Karnataka boasts of 736. Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, and
Telangana have 465, 449, and 425 charging stations, respectively. The government is also providing incentives for
businesses to set up private charging stations.
The following figure depicts total number of charging stations as of March 2023:
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The government plans to have 500,000 public charging stations by 2025. While India is making significant progress in
developing its EV charging infrastructure, there are still challenges to address, such as the need for more widespread and
reliable charging stations, grid infrastructure upgrades, and ensuring affordability and accessibility for all segments of the
population. Continued government support, private investments, and collaborations between stakeholders will be crucial
for the rapid expansion of EV charging infrastructure in the country.
Latest Developments
• In March 2023, the government announced that it will invest Rs. 1,064.716 billion to promote the manufacturing
of EVs in the country. The investment will be used to set up new manufacturing facilities, to develop new
technologies, and to create a skilled workforce.
• In April 2023, the government announced that it will increase the blending of ethanol in petrol from 10% to 20%
by 2025. This blending program is known as E20, and it is expected to help reduce India's oil imports by 1.2
billion litres per year.
• In May 2023, the government announced that it will set up a network of 500,000 electric vehicle charging stations
across the country by 2025. The charging stations will be located at public places, such as malls, parking lots,
and bus stops.
• In June 2023, the government announced that it will invest Rs. 40,95017 million in research and development for
ethanol production. The investment will be used to develop new technologies for ethanol production, such as
the use of non-food crops and waste materials.
India has witnessed a significant expansion of its EV charging infrastructure. These are some recent developments in EV
charging infrastructure in India:
• In March 2023, the company Tata Power announced that it will set up 100,000 electric vehicle charging stations
across India by 2025.
• In April 2023, the company ABB announced that it will set up 20,000 electric vehicle charging stations across
India by 2025.
• In May 2023, the company Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) announced that it will set up 7,000
electric vehicle charging stations across India by 2025.
The government's policies and the investments made by private companies are helping to accelerate the growth of the
EV market in India.
• Public and private entities are investing in the development of charging stations across cities, highways,
commercial areas, and public parking spaces. The number of charging stations has grown rapidly, and various
companies are actively deploying charging infrastructure to meet the increasing demand.
• Ultra-fast charging networks are gaining traction in India. Companies like Tata Power and Magenta Power have
announced plans to set up high-power charging stations capable of charging EVs to 80% capacity in under 30
minutes. These ultra-fast charging stations are being strategically deployed along major highways and key travel
corridors.
• Battery swapping solutions have emerged as an innovative approach to address EV charging challenges,
especially for electric two-wheelers and three-wheelers. Start-ups like SUN Mobility and GOGORO are piloting
battery swapping stations, allowing users to exchange depleted batteries for fully charged ones, reducing
charging time and range anxiety. The government in order to meet the ambitious target of 30% EV penetration
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by 2030, has announced battery swapping policy along with inter-operability standards to improve efficiency in
the EV ecosystem while battery energy storage systems with a capacity of 4 GWh will be supported with viability
gap funding to encourage investment.
• Several collaborations have been formed to accelerate the deployment of charging infrastructure in India. Public
and private entities are partnering with OEMs, charging network operators, and other stakeholders to establish
charging stations at strategic locations. For example, Tata Power partnered with HPCL to set up charging stations
at fuel stations, expanding the charging network reach.
• Green energy integration of renewable energy sources with EV charging infrastructure is gaining importance.
Solar-powered charging stations are being set up to promote clean and sustainable charging options. Grid
integration and smart charging solutions are explored to optimize the use of renewable energy & minimize the
environmental impact of charging EVs.
Government Policies
The government of India has implemented a number of policies to promote the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and
the development of charging infrastructure in the country. These policies include:
• The Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of (Hybrid &) Electric Vehicles in India (FAME India)
scheme: This scheme provides subsidies for the purchase of EVs and for the development of charging
infrastructure.
• The National Electric Mobility Mission Plan (NEMMP): This plan aims to achieve 100% electric public
transportation by 2030.
• The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme for manufacturing of Advanced Chemistry Cell (ACC)
batteries: This scheme provides financial incentives to companies that set up manufacturing facilities for ACC
batteries in India.
• The Ethanol Blended Petrol (EBP) Programme: This programme mandates the blending of ethanol with
petrol at a minimum of 10%. The government has set a target of increasing the blending ratio to 20% by 2025.
• The Interest Subvention Scheme for enhancement and augmentation of the ethanol production
capacity: This scheme provides financial assistance to ethanol producers to help them expand their production
capacity.
Risk Perspective
The electric vehicle (EV) segment in India is growing rapidly, but there are still some risks that need to be addressed.
One of the biggest challenges for the EV segment in India is the lack of charging infrastructure. There are simply not
enough charging stations available. This makes it difficult for EV owners to travel long distances without having to worry
about running out of battery power. Also, EVs are still more expensive than traditional gasoline-powered vehicles. This is
due to the high cost of batteries, which are a major component of EVs. There are still some technological challenges that
need to be addressed before EVs can become mainstream. In addition to that, range anxiety and safety concerns are
other challenges involved in the adoption of EV. There are some safety concerns associated with EVs, such as the risk of
fires or explosions if the battery is damaged. Range anxiety is the fear that an EV will run out of battery power before
reaching its destination. This is a real concern for EV owners, especially those who live in areas with limited charging
infrastructure. The public needs to be more accepting of EVs before the segment can reach its full potential. Some people
are still hesitant to buy an EV because they are not familiar with the technology or they are concerned about the range
and safety of EVs.
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Convenient and affordable publicly available chargers are a very crucial part of promoting EVs. The Governments across
the world are supporting this measure by directly investment in EV charging or by providing subsidies to EV owners to
install the charging stations.
Following models that are being used by other countries for deployment of e vehicles:
United States: The US introduced significant fiscal incentives that encouraged the uptake of electric light duty vehicles
(LDVs) and supported the scale of the manufacturing of the EVs and battery industry. Measures such as purchase subsidies
and vehicle purchase registration were implemented in the US as early as 2008.
European union: The European Union has introduced a law that will require all new cars sold to have zero CO 2 emissions
from the year 2035, and 55% lower CO 2 emissions from the year 2030, versus year 2021 levels. The EU states propose
to end the sales of new CO2 emitting cars in 2035.
The EU member states are using policy measures to promote deployment of electric Heavy-Duty Vehicles. Countries like
Germany, Spain, Italy and France have provided incentives for commercial Zero Emission Vehicle purchases with amounts
ranging from EUR 9,000 to EUR 50,000 in few of the cases since 2017. The Netherlands plans to implement zero-emission
zones in the year 2025 for up to 40 of its large cities, which will encourage the use of commercial EV.
China: The Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) policy and programmes that include charging infrastructure, battery reuse and
recycling and FCEV deployment were rolled out in 2020. The local governments took measures specifically aimed at
supporting the ZEV sales by offering subsidies and charging rebates. The China Society of Automotive Engineers have set
a goal of over 50% EV sales by 2035.
5.6.2 EV Manufacturing
The rise of electric vehicles is having a significant impact on the transportation industry. India is actively promoting EV
manufacturing as part of its sustainable transportation goals. The government's initiatives like localization combined with
the participation of domestic and international stakeholders, are expected to drive the EV manufacturing in the country.
• Incentives and Subsidies: The Indian government continues to provide incentives and subsidies to promote
EV manufacturing and adoption. In 2021, the government announced a PLI (Production-Linked Incentive)
scheme for the auto sector, including EV manufacturers. The scheme provides financial incentives based on
incremental sales and manufacturing investment, aiming to boost domestic production and exports of EVs.
• Domestic Manufacturing Investments: Several domestic and international automakers have announced
plans for EV manufacturing in India. Companies like Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, MG Motor, and Ola
Electric have invested in establishing manufacturing facilities or expanding existing ones to cater to the growing
demand for EVs.
• Battery Manufacturing: India is making efforts to enhance domestic battery manufacturing capabilities. In
recent developments, leading battery manufacturers such as Exide Industries and Amara Raja Batteries have
announced plans to set up lithium-ion battery manufacturing units in collaboration with international partners.
This move aims to reduce dependence on imported batteries and strengthen the EV ecosystem in India.
• Charging Infrastructure Expansion: The Indian government, along with public and private entities, is
focused on expanding the charging infrastructure across the country. Various initiatives have been undertaken
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to set up charging stations in cities, highways, and public parking areas. Additionally, electric mobility platforms
like BluSmart and Ola Electric are investing in establishing charging networks to support EV adoption.
Government Policies
The Indian government has also implemented several policies and initiatives to promote EV manufacturing in the country.
These policies aim to support domestic production, attract investments, and accelerate the adoption of electric vehicles.
Here are some key government policies related to EV manufacturing in India:
• National Electric Mobility Mission Plan (NEMMP): The NEMMP, launched in 2013, outlines the
government's long-term vision and goals for electric mobility in India. It aims to achieve substantial EV
penetration by 2030 and promote domestic manufacturing of EVs and their components.
• Make in India Initiative: The Make in India campaign, initiated in 2014, encourages domestic and foreign
companies to establish manufacturing facilities in India. This policy aims to boost manufacturing capabilities and
create employment opportunities in the EV sector.
• Phased Manufacturing Program (PMP): The PMP focuses on indigenization and localization of EV
components and aims to reduce dependence on imports. Under this program, the government provides
incentives to manufacturers for domestic production and encourages the development of a robust supply chain.
• National Mission on Transformative Mobility and Battery Storage: Launched in 2019, this mission
focuses on promoting advanced battery manufacturing in India. It aims to attract investments, support research
and development, and establish a robust ecosystem for battery manufacturing and recycling.
These government policies in India play a crucial role in encouraging EV manufacturing creating a conducive environment
for growth and sustainability in the respective sectors. These policies are aimed at creating a supportive environment for
the growth of the EV manufacturing in India.
5.6.3 EV Battery
The battery is one of the most important components of an electric vehicle (EV). It stores the energy that powers the
vehicle's motor, and its performance has a significant impact on the vehicle's range, efficiency, and cost. The battery is
the most expensive component in an EV, switching it allows companies to offer it as a service via lease or subscription
models which would help in lowering the cost of owning and maintaining the EV. Due to import dependency, many EV
manufacturers are importing Lithium and lithium-ion, further not complying with the Make-in-India initiatives. Lithium-ion
batteries are the most popular and commonly used energy source for electric vehicles. Li-ion batteries have a high energy
density and are relatively lightweight, which helps to improve the overall range of the EV. India does not have enough
lithium reserves for manufacturing lithium-ion batteries and almost all-electric vehicles in the country run on batteries
imported mostly from China, which is the largest producer. As a result, all manufacturers import cells and battery packs.
India's heavy dependency on imports for electric vehicle batteries has resulted in exorbitant prices for these vital
components, and eventually, the high cost of electric vehicles.
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8,18,471
Quantity (in '000 numbers)
6,27,353 6,16,768
5,39,428 5,16,733
4,65,295
Other types of batteries that are sometimes used in EVs in India include lead-acid batteries and nickel metal hydride
(NiMH) batteries. Lead-acid batteries are the most affordable type of battery, but they have a lower energy density and
a shorter lifespan than Li-ion batteries. NiMH batteries have a higher energy density than lead-acid batteries, but they
are not as common as Li-ion batteries.
Battery manufacturing in India could become INR 85,900 crore (USD 12 billion) business in India by 2030. The progress
of EV adoption is likely to create an unprecedented demand for batteries. The need for batteries will be driven by both
new sales of EVs and the demand for replacement batteries in existing EVs.
450 429
400 376
Investmemts (in INR Billion)
350
300 268
250 215
200 161
150
107 107
100
50
-
FY24E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E FY30E
NITI Aayog estimates a demand of 100-260 GWh of lithium cells in India by 2030. The government's PLI scheme aims to
establish 50 GWh of manufacturing capacity with 60% value addition over a five-year period. India market must be able
to grow to mitigate the high import costs through various initiatives such as by promoting domestic lithium-ion battery
cell production plants. Government is providing incentives for setting up battery manufacturing facilities with modern
technologies, battery costs could significantly fall in the coming years. Initiatives like the Make in India policy, phased
manufacturing plan (PMP), and Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme for the automotive sector and advanced
chemistry cell (ACC) and electronic manufacturing are facilitating EV component localization. OEMs are mandated to
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achieve 50% localization for EV components, although the extent of localization may vary across different components
due to technological challenges, raw material availability, and scalability requirements. The India market for battery
manufacturers is expected to grow from in a span of a decade. With the world turning towards decarbonization, these
companies producing EV batteries are gaining momentum.
The development of new battery technologies is essential for the growth of the EV market in India. As battery technology
improves, EVs will become more affordable, efficient, and convenient. This will make EVs more appealing to consumers,
and it will help to accelerate the growth of the EV market in India.
Significant capital expenditure has been invested in setting up lithium-ion battery manufacturing plants, with Gujarat
being the primary location followed by Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. However, achieving widespread indigenization of
lithium-ion battery production in the medium to long term is unlikely. The majority of lithium-ion batteries are imported,
primarily from China and Vietnam. The cost of batteries constitutes the largest portion (40-50%) of EV costs. Limited
access to core raw materials like lithium and the technology-intensive nature of manufacturing present challenges to
localization efforts. The government needs to incentivize companies to acquire overseas lithium mines. Localization
potential is high for chassis, bodies, and battery management systems (BMS), while specialized components such as
batteries and motors may face limitations due to the scarcity of rare earth magnets.
In addition to these developments, there are also a number of other companies in India that are working on developing
new battery technologies for EVs. These companies include Amara Raja Batteries, Exide Industries, and L&T Technology
Services. The government of India is also investing in research and development (R&D) for EV batteries. This R&D is
focused on developing new battery technologies that are more efficient, safer, and affordable.
Government Policies
The government of India is taking a number of steps to promote the development of the domestic battery manufacturing
industry for electric vehicles (EVs). In the Union Budget 2023-24, the government has allocated INR 3,50,000 Bn to
achieve the energy transition, energy security and net zero objectives, which will help the EV industry to work alongside
them in addressing the issues related to Climate Crisis. The Finance Minister has announced that the customs duties
exemption has been extended for the import of goods and machinery required to manufacture lithium-ion cells for EV
batteries. This will ensure more local production and manufacturing of Li-On batteries, thus keeping a check on the prices
of electric vehicles. The minister also proposed continuing the concessional duty on lithium-ion battery cells for another
year. This would give automobile OEMs a boost to launch more EVs with high local content. Also, the Battery energy
storage systems will be promoted by the government to steer the economy on the sustainable development path with
the capacity of 4,000MWh.
• Battery swapping: Battery swapping is a new technology that allows EV owners to swap their depleted batteries
for charged batteries. This can be done quickly and easily, making it a convenient way to extend the range of an
EV. In the Budget 2022-23, it was announced that a Battery Swapping Policy for electric vehicle charging in
congested areas will be drafted soon. The introduction of updated building by-laws has also been announced by
the Finance Minister. The Indian government has plans to finalize incentives for electric cars (EVs) under its new
battery exchange scheme. The policy would initially focus on battery swap services for electric scooters,
motorcycles, and three-wheeled auto rickshaws, which may help in increasing deployment of EVs for last-mile
delivery and ride-sharing. EV drivers can use Battery Swapping to replace discharged battery with freshly charged
ones at swap stations. This is faster than charging the vehicle and relieves drivers of range anxiety. The battery
is the most expensive component in an EV, switching it allows companies to offer it as a service via lease or
subscription models which would help in lowering the cost of owning and maintaining the EV.
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• Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme and National Programme on Advanced Chemistry Cell
(ACC) Battery Storage: The Union Budget 2023-24 has earmarked INR 80,830 Bn for production-linked
incentive (PLI) schemes, the bulk of the money going to large-scale electronics manufacturing, pharma, auto and
auto components, and food processing. The incentives in this scheme, is linked to turnover, with the government
offering a maximum of 18% incentives depending on a company's incremental turnover. The purpose of this PLI
scheme is to assist the development of technological adoption that are currently low in India, and it can be used
in collaboration with other schemes like as the Faster Adoption of Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles (FAME)
scheme and the PLI scheme for advanced chemistry cells (ACC). This will further encourage the development of
advanced automotive products, the most prominent of which is battery electric technology. In 2022, the
government launched the National Programme on Advanced Chemistry Cell (ACC) Battery Storage. This program
aims to promote the development of the domestic ACC battery manufacturing industry. In 2021, the government
launched a PLI scheme for the manufacture of advanced chemistry cells (ACCs) for EVs. The PLI scheme is
expected to help to reduce the cost of EV batteries in India, and it is expected to boost the domestic battery
manufacturing industry.
• Standards for EV batteries: The government has also issued a number of standards for EV batteries, such as
the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) standard for lithium-ion batteries. These standards are designed to ensure
the safety and quality of EV batteries.
• Incentives for EV battery manufacturing: The government also offers a number of financial incentives for
EV battery manufacturing, such as capital subsidies and tax breaks. These incentives are designed to make it
more attractive for companies to invest in the domestic battery manufacturing industry.
The Government of India set up the Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) in March 2002 under the provisions of the Energy
Conservation Act, 2001. The mission of the BEE is to assist in developing policies and strategies with a thrust on self-
regulation and market principles, within the overall framework of the Energy Conservation Act, 2001 with the primary
objective of reducing the energy intensity of the Indian economy. BEE coordinates with designated consumers, designated
agencies and other organizations and recognize, identifies and utilize the existing resources and infrastructure, in
performing the functions assigned to it under the Energy Conservation Act. The Energy Conservation Act provides for
regulatory and promotional functions. For energy conservation, the main technology of the device or equipment remain
unchanged; however, the unproductive use of energy is minimized.
The government has taken several energy efficiency initiatives which has resulted decline of in energy intensity of the
country from 0.2787 mega joule (MJ) per Re in FY13 to 0.2233 MJ per Re in FY21(P) and net savings of 210.00 BUs i.e.
reduction of 9.71% of net electricity consumption, till FY21.
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0.1500
0.1000
0.0500
-
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
Energy Intensity
Source: Central Electricity Authority, National Electricity Plan 2022-2032, CareEdge Research
20 16.87
15 12.04 12.1 12.9
10
5 1.68 2.46 3.02
0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
Energy Savings
Source: Central Electricity Authority, National Electricity Plan 2022-2032, CareEdge Research
Government Initiatives
This scheme promotes energy efficiency at the citizens’ level through use of more efficient appliances like Air
Conditioners, Refrigerators, Televisions, Geysers etc. by regulation of standards and increasing awareness through
informative campaigns. It was launched with the objective of providing consumers an informed choice about the energy
and cost saving potential of the labelled appliances/equipment being sold commercially. This scheme entails laying down
minimum energy performance norms for appliances / equipment, rating the energy performance on a scale of 1 to 5, 5
stars being the most energy efficient. Energy labelling is one of the most cost-effective policy tools for improving energy
efficiency and lowering associated energy cost of appliances or equipment. As on January 2023, the programme covers
30 appliances out of which 11 appliances are under the mandatory regime while as the remaining 19 appliances are
under the voluntary regime.
• Expanding coverage of industrial efficiency adoption under National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE)
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National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE) is one of the eight national missions under the National Action
Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) that was released in June 2008 by the Government of India.
One of the flagship schemes under NMEEE, the Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme is a mechanism designed to
achieve emissions reduction in energy intensive industries and it is designed on the concept of reduction in Specific Energy
Consumption (SEC). It involves assessment of SEC in the baseline year and projected SEC in the target year covering
different forms of net energy going into the boundary of the plant and the products leaving out of it over a particular
cycle.
The PAT scheme is implemented on a rolling cycle basis and new sectors are added year. Six PAT cycles have been
implemented till date. 198 Designated Consumers under PAT scheme for the period 2022-2025 has been notified. BEE
has notified PAT Cycle –VII commencing from 2022-23 to 2024-2025 wherein 707 Designated Consumers from 9 sectors
have been notified with total energy consumption reduction target of 8.485 Mtoe.
The Energy Conservation Building Code (ECBC) of BEE sets minimum energy performance standards for commercial
buildings having a connected load of 100kW or contract demand of 120 KVA and above. While the Central Government
has powers under the EC Act, the State Governments have the flexibility to modify the code to suit local or regional
needs and notify them.
In June 2017, BEE rolled out the updated version of ECBC which provides current as well as futuristic advancements in
building technology to further reduce building energy consumption and promote low-carbon growth. ECBC 2017 sets
parameters for builders, designers and architects to integrate renewable energy sources in building design with the
inclusion of passive design strategies. The code aims to optimize energy savings with the comfort levels for occupants,
and prefers life-cycle cost effectiveness to achieve energy neutrality in commercial buildings.
As on January 2022, 23 States and Union Territories have incorporated ECBC in Municipal Bye-laws. About 50 ULBs have
been covered under these states for compliance. Energy Conservation Building Code (ECBC) Cells of BEE, housed at
State Designated Agencies (SDAs), are supporting implementation of ECBC at State level. As on August 2021, 48 Urban
Local Body (ULBs) from 8 States have incorporated provisions of ECBC for building approval process.
BEE developed a voluntary Star Rating Programme for commercial buildings which is based on the actual performance
of a building, in terms of energy usage in the building over its area expressed in kWh/sq. m/year. This Programme rates
buildings on a 1-5-star scale, with 5-Star labelled buildings being the most energy efficient. Currently the scheme is
applicable to 4 categories of buildings i.e. day use office buildings, shopping malls, BPOs and hospitals. As on December
2022, more than 270 buildings have been rated under various categories.
Energy Efficiency and Demand Side Management (DSM) measures in the Energy Sector is a cost-effective tool. Energy
Efficiency programs encourage the installation of end-use technologies that consume less energy, thereby reducing and/
or shifting the customers’ overall electric bill. Energy Efficiency and DSM programs can help utilities to reduce their peak
power purchases on the wholesale market thereby lowering their overall cost of operations. Total of 62 DISCOMs have
been covered under this programme which has promoted energy efficiency measure in agriculture and municipal sectors
among others
• Other Initiatives
a. Programmes have also been launched for promoting energy efficiency in SMEs, transportation sector etc.
b. Fiscal Support - BEE supports Partial Risk Sharing Facility (PRSF) for energy efficiency which is implemented by World
Bank through SIDBI in India. PRSF guarantee is for maximum 75% of loan amount or Rs. 150 million per project,
whichever is less. Till date, SIDBI has issued 18 guarantees with project cost worth Rs. 2.75 billion (approx.) and
guarantee of worth Rs. 634.5 million has been issued.
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c. State Energy Efficiency Index: BEE has developed the State Energy Efficiency Index program with an objective to
help drive energy efficiency policies and program implementation at the state and local level. This index promotes
best practices, encourages healthy competition among states and tracks progress in managing the States’ and India’s
energy footprint.
Swachh Bharat Mission: The Swachh Bharat Mission, initiated in 2014, endeavours to achieve cleanliness and eliminate
open defecation in India. It has garnered substantial recognition and emphasis on waste management and sanitation
practices throughout the country. The mission primarily concentrates on generating awareness, constructing household
and community toilets, and establishing robust systems for solid waste management.
Solid Waste Management Rules: In 2016, India implemented new solid waste management regulations to tackle the
complexities associated with waste generation and disposal. These regulations place significant emphasis on waste
segregation at the point of origin, decentralized waste processing, and the promotion of recycling and composting
practices. Additionally, the regulations aim to integrate informal waste pickers into the formal waste management sector,
recognizing their valuable role in waste collection and recycling activities.
• Recycling Initiatives
Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR): India has enacted Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) regulations,
imposing the responsibility on producers to manage the waste generated by their products throughout the entire lifecycle.
This encompasses activities such as waste collection, recycling, and safe disposal. EPR serves as a mechanism to
incentivize manufacturers to adopt environmentally friendly product designs, optimize packaging materials, and establish
take-back systems to facilitate efficient recycling processes. By implementing EPR, India aims to enhance producer
accountability and promote sustainable waste management practices in the industrial sector.
E-waste Management: Electronic waste (e-waste) represents a considerable environmental and health risk.
Recognizing this concern, the Indian government introduced the E-waste Management Rules in 2016. These regulations
mandate the appropriate handling, disposal, and recycling of electronic waste in order to mitigate its adverse impacts. To
facilitate the implementation of these rules, authorized e-waste recyclers and collection centers have been established
across the country, ensuring the adoption of safe and efficient recycling practices in the management of e-waste.
National Plastic Waste Management Mission: Launched in 2018, has the primary objective of reducing the
generation of single-use plastic waste and promoting effective recycling and waste management practices. This mission
places significant emphasis on the segregation and systematic collection of plastic waste, the establishment of robust
recycling infrastructure, and raising awareness about the detrimental environmental consequences of plastic pollution.
Furthermore, the mission encourages the exploration and adoption of alternative materials as substitutes for plastic and
actively supports research and innovation endeavours in the field of sustainable packaging.
Waste-to-Energy Projects: India has been actively engaged in promoting waste-to-energy projects as a viable solution
to address the dual challenges of waste management and meeting energy demands. These projects involve the conversion
of organic waste, including municipal solid waste and agricultural residues, into valuable energy resources such as
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electricity or biogas. By adopting waste-to-energy technologies, India aims to alleviate the burden on landfills, minimize
environmental pollution associated with waste disposal, and simultaneously harness renewable energy sources.
Organic Waste Management: Multiple initiatives have been implemented to promote decentralized composting of
organic waste in India. This approach entails diverting organic waste away from landfills and instead processing it into
compost rich in nutrients for agricultural use. Community-based composting programs actively engage citizens, leading
to increased participation and a sense of ownership. Additionally, decentralized composting reduces transportation costs
and contributes to the improvement of soil health through the application of nutrient-rich compost in agricultural activities.
Despite significant progress in waste management and recycling in India, various challenges persist. These challenges
include a lack of adequate waste processing infrastructure, inadequate segregation practices at the source, and a general
lack of awareness among the public regarding proper waste management practices. The informal waste sector, which
plays a vital role in waste collection and recycling, requires better integration and support to enhance its efficiency and
effectiveness.
To tackle these challenges, the Indian government has been actively implementing policy reforms aimed at improving
waste management practices. Additionally, investments are being made to enhance waste management infrastructure,
including waste processing facilities and recycling centers. Furthermore, efforts are being made to promote public
participation in waste management initiatives, raising awareness about the importance of waste segregation, recycling,
and responsible waste disposal practices.
Continued efforts are necessary to build sustainable waste management systems in India. This includes improving waste
segregation practices at the source, enhancing recycling capabilities, and expanding the reach of waste management
infrastructure across the country. By addressing these challenges and implementing comprehensive strategies, India can
further improve waste management and recycling practices, moving towards a more sustainable and environmentally
conscious approach to waste management.
The green energy value chain is rapidly evolving driven by the government support and policies, renewable energy targets,
and growing demand for green and clean energy sources.
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Renewable energy generation involves generation of electricity from renewable sources i.e. solar, wind, hydro and
bioenergy. It includes the installation and operation of the of the renewable power plants that are large scale and
distributed.
Equipment Manufacturing is the sector that produces renewable energy equipment like solar panels, wind turbines,
biomass boilers and hydroelectric turbines. This sector plans an important role in the entire green energy value chain. It
includes the manufacturing of the components, assembly, and quality control.
In India, the capacity for solar equipment is around 12 GW/ year for solar module, 3 GW/ year for solar cells and around
5 GW/year for solar inverters, however, given the rapid pace of expansion, this capacity is not sufficient to meet domestic
demand and India is significantly reliant on imports.
Hydro power plants require hydro-mechanical, electro-mechanical and civil works. In terms of availability, India has
sufficient number of companies involved in each of these fields, however, some components like hydraulic systems for
gates of hydro power plants are yet to be fully indigenization.
As for wind power projects, India has around 17 wind turbine manufacturers with annual domestic production capacity
of around 10,000 MW/year. India has manufacturing base for most of the wind components in the country and they
supply components to wind turbine industry and export the components to the global markets as well.
Equipment manufacturing for small hydropower equipment is in order of 1,000 MW/year and India has around 6-7
established manufacturers for the same. Most of the raw material requirement for small hydro power plants are available
in India, however, 20% of the components of the generators are imported. For bioenergy, all equipment, technology and
service are sourced indigenously.
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Project Development and Financing involves project development by the companies and organization that include
identifying suitable sites, securing necessary permits and clearances, and arranging for financing of the renewable
projects. Financing can be done by investors, financial institutions, and government agencies by various means.
The equity for sourcing the financing for renewable power projects are done through initial public offering by listing in
the markets, follow on public issue, convertible debentures and monetization of operational assets. Equity investments
can also come directly from mutual funds, insurance companies, etc. The sources for debt funding are scheduled
commercial banks, financial institutions like Power Finance Corporation (PFC), Rural Electrification Corporation (REC), Life
Insurance Corporation (LIC), IREDA, commercial banks and bonds, external commercial borrowing, foreign currency in
form of loans from World Bank, ADB, KfW, EXIM, etc.
Other sources include financing through various schemes like Green Climate Fund, Green bonds, etc. As per World Bank
Data, Indian green bond issuances have reached a total of USD 21 billion as on February 2023 out of which private sector
was responsible for 84% of the total. The largest green bond issuer in India Greenko Group for funding hydro, solar, and
wind power projects in several Indian states with its green bond proceeds. Ghaziabad Nagar Nigam, a civic body in Uttar
Pradesh, is the first Indian local government to have issued a green bond.
India issued its first tranche of its first sovereign green bond worth Rs 80 billion on January 25, 2023 and On February 9,
2023, the Government of India announced the issuance of another Rs 80 billion in sovereign green bonds.
Grid Integration and Transmission ensures that the green energy is efficiently integrated into the existing power grid
infrastructure. Development of transmission and distribution infrastructure, grid connectivity, grid management, etc. are
the various activities involved to ensure smooth and reliable integration of the green energy.
Energy storage solutions are technologies like compressed air energy storage, flywheel, thermochemical storage,
supercapacitors, superconducting magnetic coil energy storage (SMES), batteries and pumped hydro storage, etc. which
are essential for storing excess electricity generated from intermittent renewable sources and ensuring stable and reliable
power supply when needed. Energy storage solutions help in effective utilization of the green energy and help in balancing
power fluctuation and peak demands.
Energy trading and market mechanism include the trading of green energy through market mechanism by way of
renewable energy certificates (RECs) and Energy Efficiency Certificates (EECs). There are energy trading platforms in
India like Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) and Power Exchange India Limited (PXIL) that enable market participants to
trade in RECs and EECs.
Energy Consumption and End users are the ultimate end users of the value chain that include residential, commercial,
industrial, agricultural and other sectors. The ultimate aim of the green value chain is to meet the energy requirement of
the end users. Increasing awareness about green energy and sustainability will increase the adoption of renewable energy
among the end users and contribute to the growth of the green energy value chain of the country.
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for the PLI Scheme ‘National Programme on High Efficiency Solar PV Modules’ Tranche-1. The financial outlay for PLI for
‘High Efficiency Solar PV Modules’ Tranche-1 over a five-year period is Rs.45 billion. Under Tranche-1 of the PLI scheme,
a total integrated capacity of 8,737 MW was allocated.
The Government has further allocated a total capacity of 39,600 MW of domestic Solar PV module manufacturing across
11 companies as beneficiary under the PLI Scheme for High Efficiency Solar PV Modules (Tranche-II), with a total outlay
of Rs. 140 billion. Manufacturing capacity totalling 7400 MW is expected to become operational by October 2024, 16,800
MW capacity by April 2025 and the balance 15,400 MW capacity by April 2026. The Tranche-II is expected to bring in an
investment of Rs. 930 billion. The PLI scheme is expected to add 48 GW of domestic Solar Module manufacturing capacity
in the next 3 years. Apart from this, the Government is expected to continue focus on conductive environment to increase
domestic production and improving the local supply chain.
For solar, there is large import dependency for solar cells and modules despite significant progress being made in
indigenous manufacturing. In FY22, solar cells and modules exports have increased by 9% compared to FY21 whereas
the imports have increased by 218% during the same period. The growth in imports has been significant because of
imposition of BCD1 as manufacturers tried to stock up on their raw material inventory. The imports reduced by 11% in
FY23 (9 months) y-o-y while the exports declined by 84% in the same period after the BCD being imposed.
400
300 269.6 257.0
228.6
173.2 152.8
200 141.6
100
9.6 10.2 16.0 9.0 9.6 8.5 1.4
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY22 (Apr- FY23 (Apr-
Dec) Dec)
Exports Imports
Indian solar power producers are still dependent on imports of solar modules mainly from China which accounts for about
90% of the total imports, followed by Hong Kong and Malaysia, assessed based on to the value of imports. The imports
consist mainly of photosensitive semiconductors, photovoltaic cells, solar modules and panels.
According to CEEW Centre for Energy Finance (CEEW-CEF), the push to improve local manufacturing could lead to
domestic solar manufacturing reaching a market size of Rs. 2,45718 billion by 2030 from selling 150 GW. To reach the
150 GW capacity of domestic solar manufacturing, investment worth Rs. 589.719 billion is required in the next 2-3 years
in India.
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Wind Turbines
Around 70-80% indigenization has been achieved with strong domestic manufacturing in the wind sector. There are over
17 wind turbine manufacturers available in India with domestic annual production capacity of around 10,000 MW/year.
The components are domestically sourced and exported to the global wind turbine market as India has a manufacturing
base for major wind components in the country.
India also has a manufacturing capacity of around 6GW/year for wind turbine gearbox which is more than requirement
by the wind turbines in India. Although, the capacity is sufficient, gear box required for wind turbines are also imported
due to issues related to quality, cost and delivery lead time. In addition, the manufacturing capacity for pitch and yaw
drivers is also sufficient at more than 10 GW/year.
In order to encourage the manufacturing of Wind Turbine Generators (WTG) in India, Government is providing financial
incentive in the form of Concessional Custom Duty Exemption on some of the critical components required to be imported
for manufacturing of WTG. Ministry of Finance has provided the concessional custom duty benefit till 31.03.2025. Wind
Turbine Generators/ Models which are included in the RLMM list of MNRE for OEM and component are only eligible for
concessional custom duty.
Hydrogen Electrolyser
In January 2023, the government of India has approved the National Green Hydrogen Mission that targets the green
hydrogen production to reach 5MT per year by 2030 with an initial outlay of Rs. 197.44 billion. The details of the mission
are provided in the section 4.6.
As per a report dated May 2023 on Investment Landscape of Green Hydrogen in India released by MNRE and United
States Agency International Development (USAID), India’s own internal market for electrolysers could be around 29 GW
by 2030 with an investment demand of Rs. 2,12920 billion. As per Union Minister RK Singh, the government is expected
to come up with a production linked incentive (PLI) scheme for investors in electrolyser manufacturing.
India’s electrolyser manufacturing is at nascent stage and as per MNRE, India is already home to about 6 alkaline
electrolyser manufacturers. There are a few PSUs in India that have the manufacturing capabilities for producing balance
of plant (BoP) components, but the domestic production of electrochemical stacks is muted. The current demand of
electrolyser is met through imports. There are indigenous solution providers who have partnered with international
electrolyser manufacturers to meet the domestic demand for hydrogen.
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Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage (CCUS) involves capturing carbon dioxide at emission sources such as coal-based
power plants and then using them for making items such as building materials, or permanently storing them at
underground locations. The technology helps in capturing the carbon dioxide before it can enter the atmosphere and
therefore, helps in reducing emissions. The captured CO 2 can then be utilized for production of value-added products
such as green urea, building materials, polymers and chemicals etc. thereby adding to the overall circular economy. CCUS
can be installed across industries including power, steel, cement, oil & gas etc.
Physical solvent-based carbon capture This mechanism is preferred for high pressure gas stream with high
concentration of CO2
Absorption-based carbon capture This mechanism is suitable for moderate-high pressure gas stream with
moderate concentration of CO2
Cryogenic carbon capture This is preferred when cost of power is low
Source: NITI Aayog Report on CCUS, CareEdge Research
In order to facilitate the development of CCUS technology, the government has also launched various initiatives under
the Department of Science and Technology and is also supporting CCUS initiatives by industries and PSUs. Two National
Centres of Excellence in Carbon Capture and Utilization have been set up with support from the Department of Science
& Technology – (i) National Centre of Excellence in Carbon Capture and Utilization (NCoE-CCU) at Indian Institute of
Technology (IIT) Bombay, Mumbai and (ii) the National Centre in Carbon Capture and Utilization (NCCCU) at Jawaharlal
Nehru Centre for Advanced Scientific Research (JNCASR), Bengaluru. These centres will facilitate capturing & mapping of
current R&D and innovation activities in the domain and also develop networks of researchers, industries and stakeholders
with coordination and synergy between partnering groups and organizations. The Centres will act as multi-disciplinary,
long-term research, design development, collaborative and capacity-building hubs for state-of-the-art research and
application-oriented initiatives in the field of CCU.
Mission Innovation Challenge on CCUS has been launched with an objective to enable near zero CO2 emissions from
power plants and other carbon intensive industries. Department of Science and Technology, in collaboration with
Department of Biotechnology has established a national program on CO2 storage research which supports carbon capture
research and develops pilots and projects.
Thermal power generation is the biggest contributor to the carbon emissions in the country. Even with the targeted 50%
renewable capacity by 2030, thermal power will remain one of the largest sources of power. Thus, CCUS in power sector
is essential to achieve the CO2 emission reduction targets. However, the capital outlay for setting up CCUS solution for a
power plant is significant and some support from the government in the form of viability gap funding, tax subsidies etc.
may be required for greater adoption of this technology.
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Nature-based solutions for reducing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere include reforestation and afforestation, restoration
of coastal wetlands and mangroves, using restorative agricultural practices such as cover crop, crop rotation etc. These
practices help in capturing the CO2 from the atmosphere and trapping them in plants and the soil.
There are certain other nature-based solutions which have been developed such as biomass burial and biochar.
Biomass Burial: When the plants and trees decay, the trapped CO 2 returns to the atmosphere. Under biomass burial,
such plants and trees and buried underground or in saline pits to lock up the carbon and avoid composting.
Biochar: Biochar is a charcoal like substance which is formed by heating biomass in limited supply of oxygen. In this
process (pyrolysis), the biomass does not combust and no carbon is emitted. The process creates a stable form of carbon
which can be stored in the soil.
Carbon trading is buying and selling the right to emit a tonne of CO 2 or CO2 equivalent of other greenhouse gases, also
referred to as carbon credits. Carbon credits have been devised as a mechanism to reduce greenhouse gases and are
issued by the governments or government approved certification bodies. They are created from projects or companies
that are able to remove greenhouse gasses from the atmosphere or keep emissions from being released. Companies or
individuals, who are unable to adhere to their emission targets, purchase carbon credits as an offset mechanism. Carbon
credits are also traded on exchanges in a number of countries.
India currently issues Energy Saving Certificates under its energy efficiency initiatives led by BEE. These certificates are
issued to industrial units which save more energy than the targets allotted to them under the PAT scheme. These
certificates are traded on Indian Energy Exchange and can be purchased by industrial units which did not achieve their
targets.
The government has recently announced its plans to develop the Indian Carbon Market (ICM) where a national framework
will be established with an objective to decarbonize the Indian economy by pricing the greenhouse gas emissions through
trading of the Carbon Credit Certificates. BEE, Ministry of Power, Ministry of Environment, Forest & Climate Change are
developing the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme for this purpose. For emission intensive sectors, greenhouse gas emissions
intensity benchmark and targets will be developed, which will be aligned with India’s emissions trajectory as per climate
goals. The trading of carbon credits will take place based on the performance against these sectoral trajectories. Further,
it is envisaged that there will be a development of a voluntary mechanism concurrently, to encourage greenhouse gas
reduction from non-obligated sectors.
By taking steps to adapt and build resilience, India can better protect its citizens from the health and environmental
impacts of pollution and sanitation. Pollution and sanitation challenges in India require robust adaptation and resilience
strategies. Through policy interventions, technological advancements, public participation, and international
collaborations, efforts are being made to address air and water pollution, solid waste management, climate change
adaptation, and promote sustainable practices for a cleaner and healthier environment.
Some of the latest developments in adaptation and resilience for pollution and sanitation in India:
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• The government of India has launched the National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) 2.0. This program aims to reduce
air pollution in 132 cities across India by 20% by 2024.
• In 2023, the government of India announced that it would invest Rs. 81921 billion in research and development for
climate-resilient technologies. This investment is expected to help India to adapt to the impacts of climate change
and build resilience to future disasters.
• In 2023, the government of India also launched the National Adaptation Fund for Climate Change (NAFCC). This
fund will provide financial assistance to states and cities to implement adaptation projects.
• In 2022, the government of India launched the National Hydrogen Mission. This mission aims to make India a global
leader in the production and use of hydrogen. Hydrogen is seen as a potential fuel for the future because it produces
zero emission.
Government Policies
The government of India has implemented a number of policies to promote adaptation and resilience to pollution and
sanitation. These policies include:
• National Clean Air Program (NCAP): This program is a long-term, comprehensive strategy to tackle air pollution
in India. Under the program, 122 cities have been identified as non-attainment cities with high pollution levels. This
program aims to reduce air pollution in 132 cities across India by 20% by 2024. The NCAP 2.0, launched in 2022,
has set more ambitious targets, aiming to reduce air pollution by 30-35% by 2030.
During the year 2019-20 and year 2020-21, Rs. 3.75 billion were released to State Pollution Control Boards (SPCBs)
for implementation of activities under clean air program, further a grant of Rs. 44 billion have been released during
FY 2020-21.
• Swachh Bharat Abhiyan (Clean India Mission): The Swachh Bharat Abhiyan, launched in 2014, aims to achieve
universal sanitation coverage and proper solid waste management. This program aims to achieve universal sanitation
coverage in India by 2024.
• National Clean Ganga Mission: The Namami Gange program, a flagship initiative under the National Clean Ganga
Mission, aims to rejuvenate the Ganga river by reducing pollution, improving wastewater treatment, and conserving
river biodiversity.
• Plastic Waste Management Rules: The government has introduced stricter regulations for managing plastic
waste. The Plastic Waste Management Rules, 2016 and the Plastic Waste Management Rules, 2018, focus on waste
collection, segregation, recycling, and extended producer responsibility. The regulations aim to curb plastic pollution
and promote responsible use and disposal of plastic.
• The National Water Mission (NWM): This mission aims to provide safe and adequate drinking water to all
Indians by 2024. The NWM has made progress in improving water quality and access to drinking water, but there
are still challenges to overcome, such as water scarcity and pollution.
• The National Disaster Management Plan (NDMP): This plan aims to reduce the impact of natural disasters on
India. The NDMP includes a number of measures to improve early warning systems, disaster preparedness, and
response.
• Smart Cities Mission: The Smart Cities Mission, launched in 2015, aims to develop 100 smart cities in India. These
cities integrate technology, infrastructure, and sustainability principles to improve quality of life, including pollution
and sanitation management. Smart city projects often focus on waste management, efficient transportation systems,
and smart solutions for air quality monitoring and pollution control. The Smart Cities Mission promotes the
development of smart cities with sustainable and resilient infrastructure.
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• National Urban Sanitation Policy: The National Urban Sanitation Policy provides guidelines and support for
improving sanitation infrastructure and services in urban areas. It focuses on promoting the construction of
household toilets, ensuring access to clean and safe public toilets, and implementing solid waste management
practices.
• Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA): The government has implemented the Environmental Impact
Assessment process to ensure that development projects consider the potential environmental impacts. The EIA
policy requires project proponents to assess and mitigate the environmental consequences of their activities,
including pollution and sanitation aspects.
• State Pollution Control Boards: The government has established State Pollution Control Boards (SPCBs) to
enforce pollution control regulations at the state level. SPCBs monitor industrial emissions, implement pollution
control measures, and undertake enforcement actions against violators.
5.11.2 Flue gas desulphurization and other technologies for thermal power fleet decarbonization in
India
Flue gas desulfurization (FGD) is a technology that is used to remove sulphur dioxide (SO2) from the flue gas of power
plants. SO2 is a pollutant that can cause acid rain and respiratory problems. FGD systems typically use limestone or
dolomite to react with SO2 to form a solid by-product, which is then collected and disposed of. However, it can be
expensive to install and operate. In addition, FGD systems can produce large amounts of waste, which can pose
environmental challenges.
FGD and other technologies play a crucial role in the adaptation and resilience efforts for reducing the emissions from
thermal power fleet in India. As India continues to rely on thermal power generation for its energy needs, adopting
cleaner technologies becomes essential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality. Here are key
technologies and initiatives for thermal power fleet decarbonization in India:
Government Policies
The Government of India has implemented a number of policies to promote the use of flue gas desulfurization (FGD) and
other technologies for thermal power fleet decarbonization. These policies include:
• The National Clean Air Programme (NCAP): The NCAP aims to reduce air pollution in India by 20% by 2024.
The NCAP, launched in 2019, aims to tackle air pollution in India, including pollution from thermal power plants.
The program focuses on city-specific action plans, including the installation of FGD systems, to reduce sulphur
dioxide emissions and improve air quality.
• The National Electricity Plan (NEP): The NEP sets a target of reducing CO2 emissions from India's power sector
by 33-35% by 2030. The NEP includes a number of measures to promote the use of FGD and other technologies to
reduce emissions from thermal power plants.
• The Indian Emission Control Technology Centre (IECTC): The IETCC is a government-funded organization
that provides technical assistance to power plants in India to help them comply with emission standards. The IETCC
also conducts research and development on new emission control technologies.
• The National Clean Coal Technology Programme (NCCTP): The NCCTP is a government-funded programme
that supports the development and deployment of clean coal technologies in India. The NCCTP includes a number
of projects to develop and deploy FGD and other technologies for thermal power plants.
• Environment Protection Act, 1986: The Environment Protection Act provides the legal framework for
environmental protection in India. It empowers the government to take measures to control and mitigate pollution,
including air pollution from thermal power plants. The act forms the basis for regulations and policies related to FGD
and other emission control technologies.
• Revised Emission Standards for Thermal Power Plants: The Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate
Change (MoEFCC) has set revised emission standards for thermal power plants. These standards specify the
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maximum permissible limits for various pollutants, including sulphur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, particulate matter,
and mercury. Compliance with these standards requires the adoption of emission control technologies like FGD.
These policies are aimed at promoting the use of FGD and other technologies to reduce emissions from thermal power
plants in India. The government expects that these policies will help India to achieve its emission reduction targets and
improve air quality. The government is also providing technical assistance to power plants to help them comply with
emission standards.
• The government of India has launched the Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM). The JJM is a national program that aims to
provide piped water to all households in rural India by 2024.
• Advanced technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are being employed in water
management. AI-based algorithms analyse large datasets to predict water availability, optimize water allocation,
and detect anomalies in water usage patterns. ML models assist in water demand forecasting and optimize irrigation
scheduling for better water efficiency.
• Smart water grids and digital platforms are being developed to monitor and manage water resources effectively.
These systems provide real-time data on water supply, demand, and distribution, enabling efficient management of
water networks. Digital platforms also facilitate online water billing, complaint registration, and monitoring of water
quality.
• The government of India is also developing drought-resistant crops. Drought-resistant crops are crops that can
withstand periods of drought. These crops are becoming increasingly important in India as the climate becomes
more variable. The government is supporting research and development of drought-resistant crops and is also
promoting the cultivation of these crops.
• The government of India is also strengthening early warning systems by implementing advanced technology-based
systems for early detection and monitoring of drought conditions. Remote sensing, satellite imagery, and
meteorological data are utilized to provide real-time information on rainfall patterns, soil moisture levels, and crop
health. This enables timely interventions and proactive drought management strategies. Early warning systems can
help communities to prepare for and respond to droughts. These systems can provide information on rainfall
patterns, soil moisture levels, and other factors that can indicate the risk of drought. The government is investing
in the development and deployment of early warning systems.
• The government of India is also working to improve disaster preparedness Disaster preparedness is the planning
and preparation for natural disasters. This includes measures such as stockpiling food and water, developing
evacuation plans, and training community members in disaster response. The government is running awareness
campaigns and providing training to communities on disaster preparedness.
Government Policies
The Government of India has implemented a number of policies and programs to address water and drought
management. These include:
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• Atal Bhujal Yojana (ABHY): The Atal Bhujal Yojana, launched in 2020, aims to improve groundwater
management and promote sustainable water resource practices. The program focuses on community participation,
demand-side management, and recharge interventions in overexploited and critical groundwater areas. ABHY
emphasizes the formation of Water User Associations and awareness campaigns for sustainable groundwater use.
• Jal Jeevan Mission (JJM): The JJM is a national program that aims to provide piped water to all households in
rural India by 2024. The JJM is expected to improve access to water for drinking, cooking, and sanitation, and it is
also expected to help to reduce the risk of drought. It involves the use of technology for water source mapping,
demand estimation, and infrastructure planning.
• National Water Policy: The NWP is a comprehensive policy document that sets out the government's vision for
water management in India. The policy promotes efficient water use, rainwater harvesting, groundwater recharge,
and interlinking of rivers to address water scarcity and drought-related issues.
• National Water Mission: The NWM is a government program that aims to provide safe and adequate drinking
water to all Indians by 2024. The NWM also aims to improve water quality and reduce water pollution and promoting
sustainable water management practices. The mission includes initiatives like promoting rainwater harvesting,
promoting efficient irrigation practices, and creating awareness about water conservation.
• The Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchai Yojana (PMKSY): The PMKSY is a government program that aims to provide
irrigation to 50 million hectares of land by 2024. The scheme includes components such as the Accelerated Irrigation
Benefit Program (AIBP), the Per Drop More Crop component, and the Watershed Development component. It
focuses on creating water storage infrastructure, promoting micro-irrigation, and implementing efficient irrigation
practices.
• The National Disaster Management Plan (NDMP): The NDMP is a government plan that aims to reduce the
impact of natural disasters, including droughts. The NDMP includes a number of measures to improve early warning
systems, disaster preparedness, and response.
• Inter-State River Water Disputes Act: The Inter-State River Water Disputes Act provides a legal framework to
address disputes related to the sharing of river waters between states. The act facilitates the establishment of
tribunals to adjudicate water disputes and ensures equitable distribution of water resources among riparian states.
• State Water Policies: Several states in India have formulated their own water policies to address region-specific
water challenges. These policies outline strategies for water allocation, conservation, groundwater management,
rainwater harvesting, and drought mitigation.
• Watershed Development Programs: Watershed development programs focus on soil and water conservation
measures in specific regions. These programs aim to restore degraded lands, improve water infiltration, recharge
groundwater, and enhance overall water availability. Watershed management practices include afforestation,
contour bunding, contour trenches, and reclamation of water bodies.
• Inter-State Water Sharing Agreements: Water-sharing agreements between states play a crucial role in
managing water resources effectively, particularly in regions with shared river basins. These agreements help in
resolving conflicts, ensuring equitable distribution, and promoting coordinated water management strategies.
• Legal and Regulatory Framework: India has enacted laws and regulations to govern water management,
including the Water (Prevention and Control of Pollution) Act, the Groundwater (Control and Regulation) Act, and
the River Boards Act. These laws provide a legal framework for water conservation, pollution control, and regulation
of water resources.
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coastal and marine ecosystem management, invasive species control, wetland conservation, ecosystem-based adaptation,
and legal frameworks highlight the country's efforts to promote adaptation and resilience through the preservation of
biodiversity and ecosystems. The focus on Biodiversity Heritage Sites, INDC commitments, eco-sensitive zone
notifications, urban greening, endangered species conservation, community-based conservation, wetland conservation,
river restoration, and ecosystem-based adaptation projects demonstrates the country's dedication to adaptation and
resilience through the preservation of biodiversity and ecosystems.
• The government of India has announced plans to create a new national park in the Western Ghats. The park will
cover an area of 1,000 square kilometres and will be home to a number of endangered species, including the
Nilgiri tahr, the lion-tailed macaque, and the Malabar civet.
• The government of India has also announced plans to launch a new program to conserve wetlands. The program
will focus on restoring degraded wetlands and protecting wetlands from pollution and development.
• A number of Indian states have recently passed laws to protect their own biodiversity. The state of Kerala has
passed a law that prohibits the use of pesticides and herbicides in agricultural fields.
• A number of Indian organizations are working to raise awareness about biodiversity conservation. The Wildlife
Trust of India runs a program called "Adopt a Tiger," which allows people to sponsor the conservation of a tiger in
the wild.
• The city of Mumbai has developed a plan to plant 1 million trees by 2025.
• A number of Indian companies are working to incorporate biodiversity conservation into their business practices.
The Tata Group has pledged to make its operations more sustainable by reducing its environmental impact.
Government Policies
The Government of India has implemented a number of policies and programs to address biodiversity and ecosystem
preservation. These include:
• National Biodiversity Action Plan (NBAP): The NBAP provides a comprehensive policy framework for
biodiversity conservation and sustainable use in India. It outlines strategies for preserving biodiversity, promoting
sustainable livelihoods, mainstreaming biodiversity into various sectors, and ensuring equitable sharing of benefits
from biodiversity resources.
• Wildlife Protection Act: The Wildlife Protection Act of 1972 is a key legislation that provides legal protection to
wildlife and their habitats. It regulates the hunting, poaching, and trade of wildlife species, establishes protected
areas, and outlines provisions for the conservation of endangered species.
• Forest Conservation Act: The Forest Conservation Act of 1980 regulates the diversion of forest land for non-
forest purposes. It mandates the approval of the Central Government for any project that involves the diversion of
forest land, ensuring that forest ecosystems are protected and sustainable use is promoted.
• The Biological Diversity Act (2002): The Biological Diversity Act is a comprehensive law that provides a
framework for the conservation, sustainable use, and equitable sharing of biological resources in India. The Biological
Diversity Act requires all users of biological resources to obtain a prior informed consent (PIC) from the government.
The PIC process ensures that the benefits of using biological resources are shared equitably with the communities
that own and manage these resources.
• National Afforestation Program (NAP): The NAP focuses on increasing forest cover, improving degraded lands,
and enhancing ecosystem services. It aims to promote afforestation, reforestation, and tree planting on public and
private lands, and encourages the participation of local communities and stakeholders.
• National Mission for Green India (GIM): The GIM, launched under the National Action Plan on Climate Change,
aims to increase forest and tree cover across India, with a focus on ecological restoration, biodiversity conservation,
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and improving ecosystem services. It promotes afforestation, agroforestry, and landscape restoration in both rural
and urban areas.
• Coastal Regulation Zone (CRZ) Notifications: The CRZ notifications regulate development activities in the
coastal areas to protect coastal ecosystems and biodiversity. They outline guidelines for development, conservation
of marine biodiversity, and sustainable coastal zone management.
• National Wetland Conservation Program (NWCP): The NWCP focuses on the conservation and management
of wetlands in India. It aims to identify and conserve important wetland ecosystems, restore degraded wetlands,
and promote sustainable use of wetland resources. The program emphasizes community participation and
collaboration among relevant stakeholders.
• Compensatory Afforestation Fund Act (CAFA): The CAFA, enacted in 2016, provides a mechanism for the
utilization of funds collected as compensation for diversion of forest land. The funds are used for afforestation,
reforestation, and biodiversity conservation activities to compensate for the loss of forest ecosystems.
• National Mission for Himalayan Studies (NMHS): The NMHS focuses on research, capacity building, and
conservation of the fragile Himalayan ecosystem. It aims to promote sustainable development practices, protect
biodiversity, and address the ecological challenges faced by the Himalayan region.
• The National Wetland Conservation Programme (NWCP): The NWCP is a program that is responsible for the
conservation of wetlands in India.
• The National Afforestation and Eco-Restoration Programme (NAERP): The NAERP is a program that is
responsible for the afforestation and restoration of degraded ecosystems in India.
• Coastal and Marine Ecosystem Conservation: India has coastal and marine ecosystems that support diverse
marine life and provide essential services. The government has implemented measures to conserve coastal and
marine ecosystems, including the establishment of marine protected areas, coral reef conservation programs,
mangrove restoration, and sustainable fishing practices.
• Invasive Species Management: Invasive species pose a threat to native biodiversity and ecosystems. The
government has policies and programs in place to monitor and manage invasive species. Efforts are focused on
preventing the introduction of invasive species, controlling their spread, and restoring ecosystems affected by
invasions.
• National Biodiversity Authority's Biodiversity Heritage Sites: The National Biodiversity Authority (NBA) has
been designating Biodiversity Heritage Sites (BHS) to conserve areas of significant ecological importance. These
sites showcase unique biodiversity and cultural heritage. NBA has designated several BHS across the country,
including sacred groves, wetlands, and forests, ensuring their protection and sustainable use.
• India's Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC): India's INDC under the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) includes commitments to promote sustainable land use
practices, enhance forest cover, and preserve biodiversity. These commitments highlight the importance of
biodiversity and ecosystem preservation in achieving climate resilience and sustainability.
• Eco-Sensitive Zone Notifications: The government has been issuing eco-sensitive zone notifications around
protected areas to regulate activities that could impact biodiversity and ecosystems. These notifications aim to
balance conservation needs with the sustainable use of resources in buffer zones around protected areas, ensuring
ecological integrity and minimizing human-wildlife conflicts.
• Urban Greening Initiatives: Many cities in India have launched urban greening initiatives to enhance biodiversity
and ecosystem services in urban areas. Projects include the development of urban parks, rooftop gardens, tree
planting drives, and biodiversity conservation in urban landscapes. These initiatives promote green infrastructure,
ecological connectivity, and urban biodiversity conservation.
• Conservation of Endangered Species: The Indian government has implemented various measures to protect
endangered species and their habitats. For example, projects like Project Tiger and Project Elephant focus on
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conserving these flagship species and their ecosystems. Efforts are also underway to conserve other endangered
species, such as the Indian rhinoceros, snow leopard, and Great Indian Bustard.
• Community-Based Conservation: India has been promoting community-based conservation initiatives that
involve local communities in biodiversity conservation and sustainable resource management. These initiatives
recognize the role of indigenous communities and local stakeholders in preserving biodiversity and ecosystem
services. Community reserves and conservation reserves are established to promote participatory conservation and
sustainable livelihoods.
• Ecosystem-Based Adaptation Projects: The government is implementing ecosystem-based adaptation projects
to enhance ecosystem resilience and climate change adaptation. These projects include landscape restoration,
afforestation, and sustainable land management practices. They aim to strengthen ecosystem services and build the
capacity of ecosystems to withstand climate change impacts.
• International Conservation Collaborations: India collaborates with international organizations and countries
on biodiversity conservation and ecosystem preservation. Partnerships with organizations like the United Nations
Development Programme (UNDP), Global Environment Facility (GEF), and Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)
facilitate knowledge exchange, capacity building, and financial support for conservation efforts.
As per the World Resource Institute, the country will require an investment of around Rs. 16,871.422 billion for the period
2015-2030 for adaption and resilience.
According to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Adaptation Committee’s synthesis report on
efforts of developing countries in assessing and meeting the costs of adaption, the following estimates were collated.
Table 47: Potential developing countries adaptation finance needs for 2021-2030 period:
Region Annual adaptation finance needs in USD billion
Median Min-Max
East Asia & Pacific 69 27-208
South Asia 59 23-177
Sub-Saharan Africa 36 14-109
Latin America & Caribbean 21 8-62
Middle East & North Africa 15 6-44
Europe & Central Asia 4 1-11
Global 202 79-612
Source: UN Environment Programme, CareEdge Research
The estimates indicate total adaptation finance needs for all developing countries in the range of USD 79 billion to USD
612 billion per year with a median estimate of USD 202 billion for the year 2021-2030 period.
Transition fuels like Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) play a role in the decarbonization of transportation by providing a
cleaner alternative to conventional fossil fuels. CNG serves as a transition fuel in the decarbonization of transportation by
offering cleaner burning and lower-emission characteristics compared to conventional fuels. One advantage of CNG as a
transition fuel is the availability of existing infrastructure for its production, distribution, and refuelling. Many countries
already have a network of CNG refuelling stations, making it a viable option for areas where other alternative fuel
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infrastructures are still developing. Government initiatives like tax incentives, subsidies for CNG vehicle purchases, or
regulations that encourage the use of CNG in public transportation or commercial fleets.
While CNG offers certain advantages as a transition fuel, it is important to consider its limitations. It still produces
emissions of greenhouse gases, such as methane. Methane is a potent greenhouse gas that is more effective at trapping
heat than carbon dioxide. CNG vehicles typically have a shorter range compared to gasoline or diesel vehicles, and the
refuelling infrastructure may be limited in some regions. Additionally, CNG is still a fossil fuel and does not eliminate
carbon emissions entirely.
• The Indian government has set a target of increasing the share of CNG in the country's energy mix to 15% by 2030.
This target is part of the government's broader plan to reduce the country's reliance on fossil fuels and transition to
a cleaner energy future.
• India has been actively expanding its CNG infrastructure to promote the use of CNG as a transition fuel. This includes
building new CNG refuelling stations across tier 2 and tier 3 cities, highways, and industrial areas and expanding the
existing network of CNG pipelines.
• The demand for CNG vehicles in India is growing rapidly. In 2022, India registered over 4.5 million CNG vehicles, a
growth of over 20% from the previous year. The automotive industry in India is also investing in CNG vehicles. A
number of major automakers, such as Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai, and Tata Motors, have launched CNG-powered
models in recent years.
• The adoption of CNG in public transportation has been a key focus in India. Many state transport corporations and
municipalities are transitioning their bus fleets to run on CNG. Commercial fleets, such as taxis and delivery vehicles,
are increasingly adopting CNG as a fuel option. Many ride-hailing platforms and logistics companies are incentivizing
CNG vehicle adoption to reduce emissions from their fleets.
• India is exploring the utilization of biogas as a feedstock for producing CNG. This approach reduces the carbon
footprint of CNG and aligns with India's goals of promoting clean and sustainable energy sources.
The Indian government has implemented several initiatives to support the development of green buildings. Notably,
schemes like the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) certification and the Green Rating for Integrated
Habitat Assessment (GRIHA) system have been introduced. These programs serve as comprehensive frameworks that
establish guidelines and standards for sustainable building design, construction, and operation. By adhering to these
guidelines, developers and individuals can ensure that their buildings meet the desired environmental performance
criteria.
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India ranked 2nd in the U.S. Green Building Council’s (USGBC) list of the Top 10 Countries and Regions for LEED
certification in the year 2022 behind China.
Green Warehousing: Green warehousing is concept of using sustainable practices in warehousing operations to reduce
its carbon footprint. These practices include green building, automated warehouse, lean warehousing etc.
The Indian government has taken significant steps to support energy efficiency and sustainable logistics management in
warehouses. These measures involve the implementation of various initiatives and policies aimed at promoting
environmentally friendly practices in warehouse operations.
To encourage energy efficiency, the government provides financial assistance and incentives to warehouse operators for
adopting energy-efficient technologies. These technologies include efficient lighting systems, insulation, and energy
management systems that help optimize energy consumption and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
In addition to energy efficiency, the government promotes the establishment of logistics parks with green infrastructure.
These parks are designed to incorporate sustainable features such as rainwater harvesting systems, renewable energy
generation, and waste management facilities. By creating such infrastructure, the government aims to reduce the
environmental impact of warehouse operations and encourage the adoption of sustainable practices.
Furthermore, the government emphasizes the use of eco-friendly transportation modes, such as electric vehicles and
alternative fuel vehicles, for logistics activities. It also encourages the optimization of supply chain operations to minimize
carbon emissions and promote efficient transportation and distribution practices.
Indian Green Building Council (IGBC), part of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), has also developed a pilot version
– ‘IGBC Green Logistics Parks and Warehouses Rating System’.
Green Data Centers: Green data centers in India prioritize the reduction of energy consumption and carbon emissions
associated with data storage and processing activities. These data centers incorporate state-of-the-art cooling systems,
energy-efficient server infrastructure, virtualization technologies, and the integration of renewable energy sources. By
adopting these sustainable practices, green data centers effectively mitigate the environmental impact associated with
data operations, while ensuring reliable and efficient functioning of digital services.
The Indian government has taken proactive measures to promote energy efficiency in the data center sector. Recognizing
the significant energy consumption associated with data centers, the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology
has published the "India Data Center Energy Efficiency Guidelines." These guidelines serve as a comprehensive framework
to assist data center operators in adopting energy-efficient practices.
The guidelines provide recommendations and best practices for optimizing energy consumption throughout the data
center lifecycle, including aspects such as power distribution, cooling systems, server utilization, and lighting. By following
these guidelines, data center operators can significantly reduce energy consumption and enhance overall energy
efficiency.
Green Cooling Centers: The Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change launched the India Cooling Action
Plan (ICAP) in March 2019 with an aim to provide sustainable cooling and thermal comfort for all while securing
environmental and socio-economic benefits for the society. This will also help in reducing both direct and indirect
emissions.
ICAP seeks to (i) reduce cooling demand across sectors by 20% to 25% by 2037-38, (ii) reduce refrigerant demand by
25% to 30% by 2037-38, (iii) Reduce cooling energy requirements by 25% to 40% by 2037-38, (iv) recognize cooling
and related areas as a thrust area of research under national Science & Technology Programme, (v) training and
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certification of 100,000 servicing sector technicians by 2022-23, synergizing with Skill India Mission. These actions will
have significant climate benefits.
Intercity Rail: India's intercity rail network, comprising both conventional and high-speed rail systems, holds significant
importance as a green transport infrastructure. The integration of electric locomotives and the adoption of renewable
energy sources for rail operations play a pivotal role in curbing carbon emissions. Moreover, the emphasis on efficient
scheduling, enhanced connectivity, and improved passenger comfort in intercity trains promotes the adoption of
sustainable travel options, leading to a reduction in private vehicle usage and alleviating road congestion.
Metros: The rapid expansion of metro rail systems in India's major cities has established them as a prominent and
sustainable mode of urban transportation. Powered by electricity, metros significantly reduce emissions compared to
conventional transport modes. With dedicated tracks and efficient signalling systems, metros provide commuters with
faster and more reliable journeys, encouraging the adoption of eco-friendly transportation alternatives. As on April 2023,
860 Km of metro lines were operational across 20 cities in India. Further, the government has introduced Metro Rail Policy
in 2017 to create enabling environment for metro rail system in India. Under the Make in India initiatives, metro rail
coaches are now being manufactured in India, which has reduced dependence on imports.
Buses: Public bus transportation, encompassing both intracity and intercity routes, serves as a crucial catalyst for
sustainable mobility in India. The deployment of compressed natural gas (CNG) and electric buses plays a vital role in
curbing air pollution and lowering carbon emissions. Additionally, the implementation of dedicated bus lanes, intelligent
transport systems, and user-friendly ticketing systems enhances the efficiency, reliability, and accessibility of bus services.
By offering affordable and eco-friendly transportation alternatives, buses effectively reduce the reliance on private vehicles
and alleviate traffic congestion, thereby improving air quality and fostering a more liveable urban environment.
Despite the advancements in promoting green transport, several challenges persist that need to be addressed. These
challenges include inadequate infrastructure, limited integration between different modes of transport, and financial
constraints. However, these challenges also present opportunities for innovation and collaboration. The development of
sustainable transport infrastructure, such as the establishment of charging stations for electric vehicles and the creation
of integrated transport hubs, can facilitate the widespread adoption of green transport. Furthermore, public-private
partnerships, innovative financing models, and technological advancements offer potential solutions to overcome financial
constraints and improve the efficiency and effectiveness of green transport systems.
5.14 Ethanol
Ethanol is a type of biofuel derived from renewable sources such as corn, sugarcane, switchgrass, and agricultural waste.
This fuel is often blended with gasoline to create ethanol-gasoline blends such as E10 (10% ethanol) or E85 (85%
ethanol). These blends can be used in conventional gasoline engines or flex-fuel vehicles designed to run on higher
ethanol concentrations. It offers potential benefits such as reducing dependence on fossil fuels, lowering greenhouse gas
emissions, and supporting agricultural economies.
However, there are also some challenges that ethanol faces. Ethanol production involves land use, water consumption,
and potential competition with food crops. Balancing these factors and ensuring sustainable sourcing of feedstocks is
crucial. Another challenge is that ethanol is not as widely available as gasoline. This could make it difficult for vehicle
owners to find ethanol stations, especially in rural areas.
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The energy demand in our country is rising due to an expanding economy, growing population, increasing urbanization,
evolving lifestyles and rising spending power. The government has advanced the target date for ethanol blended petrol
from 2030 to 2025 for 20% ethanol blending to decrease the oil import burden. As per NITI Aayog, India will produce
6,660 Bn litres of ethanol/ alcohol from food grains by 2025-26, about 165 LMT of food grains would be utilized. The
Ethanol Supply Year (ESY) commences from 1st December and ends on 30th November. Supply of ethanol under the EBP
Programme has increased from 1,886 Bn litres in ESY 2018-19 to 4,081 Bn litres in ESY 2021-2022. Additionally, average
percentage of blending has increased from 5% to 10% in the same period. The ethanol demand will be in the range of
7,220-9,210 Bn litres in 2025 to meet E20 targets. Mixing 20% ethanol in petrol can potentially reduce the auto fuel
import bill by a yearly $4 billion.
25%
20% 20%
Ethanol Blending Estimates (in %)
20%
15%
15%
12%
10%
10% 9%
5%
5%
0%
2019-20 2020-21 2021-22E 2022-23E 2023-24E 2024-25E 2025-26E
• Ethanol research and development: In June 2023, the government of India announced that it will invest Rs.
40,95023 million in research and development for ethanol production. The investment will be used to develop new
technologies for ethanol production, such as the use of non-food crops and waste materials.
• Ethanol production capacity expansion: In April 2023, the government of India announced that it will increase
the blending of ethanol in petrol from 10% to 20% by 2025. This blending program is known as E20, and it is
expected to help reduce India's oil imports by 1.2 billion litres per year. India is witnessing an expansion of ethanol
production capacity to meet the growing demand. Sugar mills, in particular, are investing in distillery units to produce
ethanol from sugarcane molasses. The government has also allowed the production of ethanol from surplus food
grains, rice, maize, and other feedstocks, further enhancing the production potential.
• Increased Ethanol Blending Targets: The Indian government has been actively increasing the blending targets
for ethanol in gasoline. In 2021, the blending target was raised to 10% (E10) from the previous target of 5% (E5).
Additionally, the government has set a roadmap to achieve a 20% (E20) ethanol blending target by 2025.
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Exchange Rate 1 USD= Rs. 81.9 as on 25th July 2023
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• Ethanol Procurement and Pricing Reforms: The Indian government has introduced reforms in the ethanol
procurement and pricing mechanism to provide better remuneration to ethanol producers. The pricing formula has
been revised, linking it to the prevailing price of sugarcane juice, B-heavy molasses, and other feedstocks. This
move aims to incentivize ethanol production and support the agricultural sector.
• Ethanol for Cooking Fuel: In a recent development, the government has also encouraged the use of ethanol as
a cooking fuel. Ethanol-blended cooking stoves have been introduced in select regions as a cleaner and more
sustainable alternative to traditional cooking fuels like LPG and biomass.
Government Policies
The government has taken steps to promote the development of the EV and ethanol industries through research and
development initiatives. The government has set up a number of research institutes and laboratories to focus on
developing new technologies for EVs and ethanol production. The government is also providing funding to companies
that are developing new EV and ethanol technologies. Here are some key government policies related to ethanol in India:
• The Ethanol Blended Petrol (EBP) Programme: This program mandates the blending of ethanol with petrol at
a minimum of 10%. The EBP mandates the blending of ethanol with gasoline to reduce carbon emissions. Currently,
the blending target of the government is to achieve a 20% ethanol blending ratio (E20) by 2025.
• The Interest Subvention Scheme: This scheme is for the enhancement and augmentation of the ethanol
production capacity: This scheme provides financial assistance to ethanol producers to help them expand their
production capacity.
• Flex-Fuel Vehicles: The government has encouraged the manufacturing and adoption of flex-fuel vehicles that
can run on different ethanol-gasoline blends. Incentives and concessions have been provided to promote the
production and sales of such vehicles.
Risk Perspective
Ethanol has several advantages over gasoline, including its lower emissions and its ability to reduce dependence on
imported oil. However, there are also some risks associated with ethanol use. The Indian government has set ethanol
blending targets to promote the use of ethanol in the transport sector. However, meeting these targets may be
challenging due to various factors, including feedstock availability, technical challenges, and economic considerations.
Ethanol has a lower energy content than gasoline, so it can reduce fuel efficiency by up to 10%. Therefore, the vehicles
that run on ethanol will need to be refuelled more often. Ethanol-blended fuels are relatively new in India, and consumer
acceptance and awareness play a crucial role in their adoption. Ethanol can also damage some plastic, rubber, and
aluminium components in engines. This is because ethanol is a hygroscopic material, which means that it absorbs water.
The water can corrode these components and reduce the lifespan of the engine. In addition to that, the supply of ethanol
can be disrupted by factors such as drought and crop failures. This could lead to shortages of ethanol, which could drive
up prices and make it difficult for people to access this fuel. Also, the primary feedstock for ethanol production in India
is sugarcane molasses, which is also used for sugar production. Competing demands for molasses could lead to supply
constraints and price fluctuations, affecting ethanol production volumes. The production of ethanol can have a negative
impact on the environment. The use of fertilizers and pesticides in sugarcane cultivation can pollute water bodies.
Additionally, the burning of sugarcane residue can release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. The price of ethanol
is subject to market forces, including demand and supply dynamics, as well as government policies and regulations.
Fluctuations in ethanol prices can impact the profitability of ethanol producers and create uncertainty in the market. The
ongoing efforts and continuous monitoring by the Government are essential to effectively manage the risks associated
with ethanol and make it a viable and sustainable alternative in India's energy mix.
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• Renovation and Modernization (R&M) & Life Extension (LE) of existing old power stations
R&M and LE works of Thermal capacity of 16,146 MW and 7202MW have been
completed in 11th Plan and 12th Plan period respectively. During the years 2017-22
R&M and LE works of Thermal capacity of 14,929 MW has been considered. The R&M
and LE/uprating works of Hydro capacity of 5841 MW,4149 MW and 2023 MW have
been completed in 11th Plan,12th Plan and during the years 2017-22 respectively.
During the years 2022-27 renovation, modernization, uprating and life extension works
of Hydro Power plants of capacity of 11737 MW (tentative) are planned.
The Ministry of Steel has taken a commitment to achieve net zero by 2070 and has taken
Steel a medium-term target to reduce the emission intensity of the steel sector to 2.4 T/TCS 24
by 2030 from 2.55 T/TCS currently. Various measures as listed below, have been taken
towards this target.
• Steel Scrap Recycling Policy, 2019 has been introduced to enhance the availability of
domestically generated scrap to reduce the consumption of coal in steel making.
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• The steel sector has also been made a stakeholder in the National Green Hydrogen
Mission for green hydrogen production and usage which has been announced by the
Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE).
• National Solar Mission launched by MNRE in January 2010 promotes the use of solar
energy and also helps reduce the emission of the steel industry.
• Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) scheme, under National Mission for Enhanced Energy
Efficiency, incentivizes the steel industry to reduce energy consumption.
• The steel sector has adopted the Best Available Technologies (BAT) available globally,
in the modernization and expansion projects.
Since the average age of a majority of the large plants is low, it is not cost-effective for the
industry to immediately move to more climate-friendly technologies. Accordingly, the steel
industry is exploring multiple avenues to reduce the CO2 emission from the existing
manufacturing processes including waste hear recovery, pulverised coal injection in blast
furnace process, suitable use of by-products, usage of steel scrap etc. Further, research
and development are being undertaken globally on green steel (steel produced using green
hydrogen) and use of CCUS.
The concept of green steel is at a nascent stage in India with some of the large players
having set up pilot plants to determine commercial viability. Kalyani Group, under its
subsidiary Saarloha Advanced Materials, launched India’s first green steel in December
2022 which is being produced at its electric arc furnace located at its plant in Pune using
renewable energy. In April 2023, Tata Steel initiated trials of injecting large quantities of
hydrogen gas in the blast furnace located at its Jamshedpur plant to assess the viability of
hydrogen in the production process and its impact on the reduction of carbon emissions.
In September 2021, Tata Steel commissioned a pilot 5 tonne per day carbon capture plant
at its Jamshedpur steel plant. Jindal Steel Works (JSW) has implemented a carbon capture
and storage facility with 100 tonne per day capacity at its DRI plant at Dolvi. The captured
carbon is to be utilized in the food and beverages industry.
Fertilizers Integrated fertilizer plants produce urea by reacting ammonia and CO 2. The fertilizer
industry can achieve decarbonisation through adoption of green hydrogen and green
ammonia.
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Green ammonia is the process of making ammonia which is 100% renewable and caron-
free. For this process, hydrogen is extracted from water through electroysis (green
hydrogen) using renewable energy and nitrogen is separated from the air. These are
then fed into the Haber Process where hydrogen and nitrogen are reacted together at
high temperatures and pressures to produce ammonia.
The Ministry of Power notified the Green Hydrogen/Green Ammonia Policy in February
2022. The policy provides for the following:
• Distribution licensees can also procure and supply renewable energy to the
manufacturers of green hydrogen / green ammonia in their States at concessional
prices which will only include the cost of procurement, wheeling charges and a
small margin as determined by the State Commission.
• The manufacturers of green hydrogen / ammonia and the renewable energy plant
shall be given connectivity to the grid on priority basis to avoid any procedural
delays.
• To ensure ease of doing business a single portal for carrying out all the activities
including statutory clearances in a time bound manner will be set up by MNRE.
• Connectivity, at the generation end and the green hydrogen / green ammonia
manufacturing end, to the ISTS for Renewable Energy capacity set up for the
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The India Cement Industry has voluntarily devised a Low Carbon Technology Roadmap
Cement aimed at reducing its direct CO2 emission intensity by 45% till 2050 from a 2010 baseline.
Over the years, the industry has developed blended types of cement to the extent of
(Source: Cement 73% in 2017 compared to 28% in 1992.
Manufacturers
Association) The industry has adopted best available technologies and processes to stay efficient and
sustainable. Several players in the industry have also undertaken research and
development on green technologies/products. Some of the key focus areas of the
industry to reduce emissions are as below:
• Energy Efficiency: The industry has utilized best available technologies and processes
with focus on improving kiln and electricity efficiency.
• Clinker Substitution: The industry has reduced its requirement of intermediate product
clinker (made from limestone) by use of blended cement, which has resulted in mineral
conservation. Indian manufacturers have been able to deliver almost 73% of their
products in the form of blended cement.
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o Diversification of supplies
o Increase of alternate energy sources like Biofuels, Ethanol, CBG and Surya
Nutan
o Increasing E&P footprint
o Advancing towards energy targets through EVs and green hydrogen
• Following initiatives have been taken by oil refining and marketing companies
towards decarbonisation:
o Indian Oil Corporation of India (IOCL) has resolved to achieve net zero
operational emission by 2046 by reducing both scope 1 and scope 2 emissions.
An investment of Rs 2,000 billion is proposed to achieve this target through
multiple initiatives including green hydrogen, biofuels, renewables, carbon
offsetting through ecosystem restoration and CCUS.
o Hindustan Petroleum Corporation of India (HPCL) has set net zero targets for
scope 1 and scope 2 emissions by 2040. HPCL aims to have a green hydrogen
capacity of 24,000 tonnes a year, and is expecting to commission a 370-tonne
per year green hydrogen plant at its Vizag refinery in 2023.
o Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is targeting to achieve net zero by 2020 and
has announced capex of Rs 750 billion to build and end-to-end green energy
ecosystem. RIL has started developing the Dhirubhai Ambani Green Energy
Giga Complex on 5,000 acres in Jamnagar, Gujarat. It is planned to be among
the world’s largest Integrated Renewable Energy manufacturing facilities.
Under the plan, the Company aims to build four giga factories to manufacture
and integrate critical components of the New Energy ecosystem with the aim
of bridging the green energy divide in India and globally. Reliance aims to
invest in giga factories in Solar, Battery, and Hydrogen value chains.
The US Department of Energy has identified four pathways to reduce industrial emission.
• Energy efficiency
o Strategic energy management approaches to optimize performance of industrial
processes at the system-level
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• Industrial electrification
o Electrification of process heat using induction, radiative heating, or advanced heat
pumps
o Electrification of high-temperature range processes such as those found in iron, steel,
and cement making
o Replacing thermally-driven processes with electrochemical ones
The US has also identified the sector-specific initiatives that can be taken by high emission
intensity sectors such as cement, petroleum refining, iron and steel, chemicals and food and
beverages, to achieve net zero.
European Union has adopted target of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions at least 55%
European Union by 2030 from 2005 levels and makes climate neutrality legally binding by 2050.
The EU adopted world’s first emission trading system called the EU Emission Trading System
(EU ETS) in 2005. The EU ETS works on a ‘cap and trade’ principle wherein a cap is set on
the total greenhouse gases that can be emitted by all operators in the system, which reduces
over time so that the emission can reduce. The operators receive emission allowances within
the cap which are either consumed or traded.
The EU ETS covers the following sectors and gases, focusing on emissions that can be
measured, reported and verified with a high level of accuracy:
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• nitrous oxide from production of nitric, adipic and glyoxylic acids and glyoxal;
• perfluorocarbons from the production of aluminium.
EU ETS limits emissions from around 10,000 installations in the energy sector and
manufacturing industry, as well as aircraft operators operating between these countries and
departing to Switzerland and the United Kingdom. It covers around 40% of the EU's
greenhouse gas emissions.
As per World Bank, greenhouse gas emissions in the EU fell by 32% between 1990 to 2020
across energy and manufacturing sectors. However, emissions from transport sector increased
by 7% during this period.
The EU proposes to achieve its carbon emission targets through following initiatives:
• Cutting emission from transport: Emission from civil aviation, cars and vans, which
accounts for over 28% of EU emissions, is proposed to be reduced with car and vans
targeted to achieve net-zero by 2035.
• Carbon emission from other sectors: Sectors such as transport, agriculture, buildings and
waste management are not under the purview of EU ETS. These sectors l account for
about 60% of the EU’s overall emissions. Emissions from these sectors are proposed to
be cut 40% by 2030 compared to 2005.
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Chart 84: Structure of NBFIs under the Reserve Bank of India’s Regulations
Source: RBI
Note: Figures in bracket indicates the number of Institutions as of July 22, NBFCs-ND – Non-deposit taking Non-banking financial
companies, NBFCs-D – Deposit taking Non-banking financial companies
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banks. Among non-deposit taking NBFCs, those with an asset size of Rs. 5 Billion or more are classified as non-deposit
taking systemically important NBFCs (NBFCs- ND-SI). As on July 31, 2022, there were 49 NBFCs-D and 415 NBFCs-ND-
SI.
Since NBFCs cater to niche areas, they are also categorised on the basis of the activities they undertake. Till February
21, 2019, NBFCs were divided into 12 categories. Thereafter, these categories were harmonised in order to provide
NBFCs with greater operational flexibility. As a result, asset finance companies (AFCs), loan companies (LCs) and
investment companies (ICs) were merged into a new category called Investment and Credit Companies (NBFC-ICC). At
present, there are 11 categories of NBFCs as per the activity-based classification.
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25,000
20,000 17.0% 14%
15,000 9.7%
10,000 7.3% 7.6% 9%
5,000
0 4%
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
As of Mar-23, the credit growth rate has seen an uptick of 16.1% y-o-y and reached Rs. 33,771 billion. The upward
growth trajectory of NBFCs credit is indicating its importance in India’s Financial System. This growth is mainly driven by
increase in demand for retail credit and demand for working capital loans amid rise in commodity prices.
The industry sector has remained the largest recipient of credit extended by NBFCs followed by retail loans, services,
other non-food credit, and agriculture & allied activities. NBFCs have increased the amount of credit deployed to industry
on account of improved demand for credit mainly for working capital loans due to surge in commodity prices. As of Mar-
23, industry credit contributed Rs. 12,428 billion, which is around 36.8% of NBFCs' gross credit deployed, as per the RBI.
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While NBFCs’ credit to the industry is growing, their credit to services has declined marginally mainly due to decline in
credit to the commercial real estate sector, transport operators and other services. As of Mar-23, as per data published
by RBI, credit deployed to the service sector has hovered around Rs. 4,795 billion that is around 14.2% of NBFCs gross
credit deployed.
Retail loans comprise housing loans, vehicle loans, loans against gold, consumer durables loans and other such personal
loans. Over the last couple of years, NBFCs have shifted their focus on retail lending in order to grow their business. And
with slow demand for credit from the industry and services sector, retail lending has shown tremendous growth. As retail
loans have lower delinquencies when compared to MSME / corporate lending which is also a major factor for the shift. As
of Mar-23, the credit deployed to retail loans by NBFCs has increased to more than a third of their gross credit deployed,
which stood at Rs. 33,771 billion for NBFCs.
6.4 6.3
6.0
5.8
6
4.3
2
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
The asset quality of NBFCs has seen continued improvement on account of strong balance sheets, an increase in provisions
and improved collection efficiency. Additionally, restructuring of their loan book and non-performing assets (NPA) write-
offs have also aided the improvement in the asset quality of NBFCs. As of Mar-23, the GNPA of NBFCs improved to 4.3%
reaching the lowest size in Mar-17. The asset quality of NBFCs is likely to be impacted on the back of refined regulations
pertaining to asset classification.
With effect from October 1, 2022, RBI has revised asset classification norms that mandate all NBFCs, requiring them to
collect the entire arrears to upgrade an NPA. Asset classification would start exactly from the overdue date, unlike the
present practice of starting 90 days from the end of the month in which the account becomes overdue.
Going forward asset quality is expected to remain in check owing to increased provisions, decline in fresh slippages and
restructuring of the loan book.
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Borrowing from the markets and from banks constituted more than 75% of NBFCs total borrowings as of Mar-23. For
FY23, market borrowings continue to be the largest sources of funds for NBFCs. However, their share has declined over
the years. This is mainly on account of increase in spread of NBFC bonds yields over G-sec yields of corresponding maturity
on the back of strict monetary policy and rising global yield. In FY23, total borrowings accelerated mainly due to increase
in borrowings from banks.
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3.0%
2.5%
2.1%
2.0%
1.7%
1.0%
0.5%
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
In FY23, NBFCs return on average assets improved compared to previous years, this growth can be attributed to increase
in demand for credit, low slippages and decline in non-performing assets leading to less need for extra provisioning.
NBFCs deploy technological solutions to develop innovative products and lower operational costs. Since NBFCs are fairly
new in the financial landscape as compared to most banks, they are more agile and better positioned to leverage
technology to enhance their reach while increasing efficiency.
NBFCs also collaborate with various alternative financiers and commercial banks by using the co-lending model, which
enables them to diversify their income avenues and reach their targeted customer base through different channels. This
co-lending model enables lenders to pool resources and distribute their risk while providing borrowers with access to
diverse funding sources. Co-lending model is beneficial to banks and NBFCs as it enables them accumulate large funds
while distributing the risk associate with the funds.
Road construction is amongst the critical sub-segments of infrastructure development, economic growth as well as for
employment creation. Infrastructure has been a major focus of the Government currently.
The Union Budget for 2023-24 depicted higher focus on infrastructure. The budget plan aims for multi-modal logistics
facilities and connectivity systems under the PM Gati Shakti. For infra push, financial assistance of ₹1,300 Billion interest
free loans for 50 years has been allocated to states from the Centre. Through this, the Government is planning to generate
employment opportunities and augurs well for the Roads sector.
In addition, ₹111 Trillion of investments have been projected in infrastructure projects for FY20-FY25 by the Task Force
on National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP), with ~18% of the targeted investment expected to be made in the road sector
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in India. Also, under the recently announced Asset Monetization Pipeline, around ₹1,600 Billion are to be monetized
through roads.
These Government initiatives can create opportunity for NBFCs to lend towards sectors like power, construction and
transportation. Infrastructure projects require substantial funds and NBFCs can participate in funding these projects.
PCA Framework
The RBI released a prompt corrective action (PCA) framework for NBFCs detailing strict action against non-banking finance
companies in case their capital adequacy ratio falls or NPA levels cross a pre-defined threshold. The new framework,
which earlier existed only for banks, will come into effect from 1 October 2022 based on the financial position of NBFCs
on or after 31 March 2022.
Government NBFCs have been provided time up to March 31, 2022 to adhere to the capital adequacy norms provided for
NBFCs (Ref. Annex I of Non-Banking Financial Company - Systemically Important Non-Deposit taking Company and
Deposit taking Company (Reserve Bank) Directions, 2016). Accordingly, a separate circular would be issued in due course
with regard to applicability of PCA Framework to Government NBFCs.
The PCA Framework will be reviewed after three years of being in operation.
Once an NBFC is placed under PCA, taking the NBFC out of PCA Framework and/or withdrawal of restrictions imposed
under the PCA Framework will be considered basis following parameters:
a) If no breaches in risk thresholds in any of the parameters are observed as per four continuous quarterly financial
statements, one of which should be Annual Audited Financial Statement (subject to assessment by RBI); and
b) Based on Supervisory comfort of the RBI, which includes sustenance of the profitability of NBFCs.
The discretionary corrective actions will be based on parameters such as strategy which would detail a recovery plan and
review of the business model of the NBFC, governance related actions which would entail an engagement of RBI with the
NBFC’s board and recommendations and restrictions related to the same.
Along with this, the framework will require capital related actions such as restrictions on expansion of assets, reduction
in exposure to high-risk sectors, board-level review of capital planning, submission of plans for raising additional capital,
among others. The framework includes credit related actions such as reduction in exposure to certain sectors, individuals
or industries, preparation of a time-bound plan for reduction of NPAs, higher provisioning, and loan review mechanisms.
The RBI will also look into market risk and profitability related aspects such as extent of asset liability mismatch,
restrictions or reduction of borrowings from the debt market, restrictions on investment activities, limits on operating
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expenses and capital expenditure. HR and operations related aspects will also come under the purview of RBI under the
PCA framework.
Under this framework the lenders are required to recognize incipient stress in borrower accounts, immediately on default,
by classifying them as special mention accounts (SMA).
Term Loan Interest and/ or instalment remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days.
Bill Purchased/
Bill remains overdue for a Discounted period of more than 90 days.
Discounted
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An account is classified as NPA only if interest due and charged during any quarter is not serviced fully within 90 days
from the end of the quarter.
The microfinance and personal loan segment are likely to see traction and significantly contribute to NBFCs’ growth. These
segments are likely to continue their growth momentum on the back of steady demand.
Growth in vehicle segment is also expected to see growth on the back of automotive industry’s growth. In the near term,
the growth is likely to be supported by improved operating environment, new model launches and sustained demand for
vehicles, supported by improved availability of semi-conductors.
NBFCs’ credit growth may face headwinds due to global slowdown, inflation and the amendments in the regulatory
framework. In addition to this, NBFCs are expected to witness further uptick in their cost of funds as the central bank
continues to be watchful of inflationary pressures. However, improved asset quality will support earnings thereby easing
cost of funds.
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In the last decade, digital platforms have gained popularity in India due to their convenience, accessibility, and streamlined
origination processes. With the help of digitization, it has become possible to quickly process a loan, enhance collections
and other operational efficiencies along with ensuring customer satisfaction.
Digital tools enable collection of large amounts of data and digital platforms leverage technology, data analytics, and
artificial intelligence to assess creditworthiness or eligibility of applicants and make lending decisions. These tools can
gather data from multiple sources, such as financial statements, credit reports and other alternative sources such as
transaction history, mobile usage patterns, and social media data, to evaluate an applicant's creditworthiness, especially
for individuals who may not have extensive credit histories or formal documentation.
Digital origination platforms usually have incorporated automated underwriting systems that use algorithms to analyse
the collected data and determined whether the applicant meets the predefined criteria for rejection or approval of the
loan. Furthermore, client interactions throughout the origination process are managed through digital customer
relationship management (CRM) systems. These system help track leads, automate communication, and provide a
seamless experience for both customers and NBFCs to streamline their operation.
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7.1 Overview
Power sector financing NBFCs primarily focus on financing of power generation, transmission, distribution and other such
activities. These NBFCs provide funds for various types of power projects, including thermal power plants, transmission
lines and renewable energy projects such as solar power plants, wind farms, hydroelectric projects, bioenergy energy
projects and clean energy generation.
These NBFCs operate within the regulatory framework set by Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI) and National Housing Bank (NHB). NBFCs compliance with the regulation set by these regulatory bodies
ensures financial stability, transparency and consumer protection.
These NBFCs have a robust risk management framework to mitigate risks such as project feasibility risks, interest rate
risk, market risk, regulatory risk, etc. Power financing NBFCs provide funds to meet various requirements of power projects
through products including working capital loans, term loans, equipment financing, bridge loans, project financing,
refinancing, mezzanine financing and structured debt financing.
These NBFCs facilitate access to energy, uptick in power generation capacity and promote sustainable energy activities.
Power financing NBFCs significantly contribute to the growth and development of the power sector by providing funding
for adoption, expansion and improvement of overall power infrastructure.
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Over the years, power financing NBFCs have seen significant traction supported by increase in demand for funds from
power sector, and government’s push towards growth of power sector. As of FY23, the outstanding credit of key power
financing NBFCs reached around Rs. 9,399 billion indicating CAGR of nearly 10% over FY19. In FY24, power-financing
NBFCs are expected to continue this growth momentum and this growth is likely to be driven by increase in power
demand, rise in population, renewable integration and sustainability goals of the country.
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Chart 93: Trend in power financing NBFCs credit towards Renewable sector
1,600 1,499
1,400
1,200 1,111
1,003
Rs. Billion
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
FY21 FY22 FY23
The renewable sector has been gaining significant traction over the years and power financing NBFCs have been playing
a key role in funding renewable projects. In FY23 based on the loan book of six major power financing NBFCs, their
credit towards renewable sector reached nearly Rs. 1,500 billion.
Among these Power financing NBFCs, PFC followed by IREDA have the largest share in credit towards renewable sector
with more than 30% of their loan books contributing to renewable sector. While PFC is also present in other sectors
such as infrastructure, roads, mining and others, IREDA on the other hand is completely focused towards renewable
sector. In the coming years, power financing NBFCs are expected to increase their focus towards renewable sector.
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In the last five years there has been significant improvement in the asset quality of power financing NBFCs. The gross
non-performing assets (GNPA) declined from 8.1% in FY19 to 3.6% in FY23. This decline in GNPA is largely supported by
restructuring of stressed assets, write-offs, decline in slippages and increased provisioning.
Textiles
6.5% Chemical and chemical products
18.6% Food processing
6.8% Engineering
Power sector has continued to form major chunk of bank’s credit towards industry sector. In FY23, 18.6% of bank’s credit
towards industry sector was towards the power segment that amounted to Rs. 6,204.25 billion. The growth of credit
towards power segment is largely supported by rise in demand for electricity and Government push towards the growth
of power sector.
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The power sector requires continuous development of existing and new power generation, transmission and distribution
infrastructures to enhance the efficiency, reliability and capacity of power plants. This upgradation requires a substantial
investment, this is where power financing have opportunity to fund these infrastructure projects including the
refurbishment or construction of power plants, transmission lines and distribution networks and technology and equipment
upgrades.
In 26th Conference of Parties, or COP26 on climate change, India announced its target to increase its non-fossil energy
to 500 GW by 2030. In addition, India announced that it would meet 50% of its energy requirements by 2030 from
renewable energy. India is committed towards achieving these targets and increase the contribution of renewable energy
in the power generation mix to meet the rapidly growing demand for electricity.
CareEdge Research believes that financing requirement for renewable energy sectors such as solar and wind are set to
expand prominently in line with the Government of India’s target of 500 GW installed non-fossil fuel-based power capacity
by 2030.
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600 569
Figures in Gigawatts
500
400 345
300
200 157
114
100
0
Mar'18 Mar'22 Mar'27 E Mar'32 E
As on
Source: CEA, CareEdge Research
Note: Data includes renewable energy sources (RES) and Hydro
With support of government policies, the declining cost of many renewable energy (RE) technologies, an increase of
energy demand and with more focus on sustainable development there is continuous increase in capacity of RE sources.
In the coming years, renewable energy will play an important role in optimal energy mix of the country. And power
financing NBFCs have a great opportunity to provide capital required for development of solar, wind, hydro and other
renewable energy projects.
• Government Initiatives
The Government has been actively pursuing the growth of power sector and has implemented several initiatives such as
the “Power for All” initiative, Ujwal DISCOM Assurance Yojana (UDAY), Atal Distribution System Improvement Yojana
(ADITYA) and more. These initiatives focus on improving access to energy, promote renewable energy, strengthen
distribution networks and contribute towards growth and sustainability of the power sector. The Government’s push
towards the growth of power sector has created conducive environment for power financing NBFCs by providing policy
support, regulatory framework and incentives for investments in the power sector.
The Government has put significant efforts towards rural electrification with initiatives such as Pradhan Mantri Sahaj Bijili
Har Ghar Yojana (Saubhagya) which aims to achieve universal electrification in remote and rural households; Deen Dayal
Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY) is another initiative that is focused on strengthening and augmenting rural
electricity infrastructure. These initiatives have created new opportunities for power financing NBFCs to provide funding
required for rural electrification projects, that can enhance electricity reach in the remote and rural regions of the country.
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GDP and energy intensity: India is likely to emerge as one of the world’s fastest-growing economies as per IMF. This
growth is likely to boost economic activity and infrastructure development (including the power sector). As the GDP grows
there will be an increase in power consumption as industry and households use more electricity. This rise in demand for
electricity will require the expansion of power generation, transmission and distribution infrastructure. This creates a
significant opportunity for power financing NBFCs that can facilitate funding power projects to meet the growing energy
requirement.
Urbanization: Urbanization of India’s population is growing on a larger population base. The urban population in India
is estimated to have reached around 498 million (35.4% of total population) in the year 2021. Over the last decade, rapid
urbanisation along with growing population, ramp-up in economic activity has been a major driver of surge in power
demand. NBFCs can play a crucial role in providing funding for development of new power generation projects and
expansion of transmission and distribution infrastructure to meet this uptick in power demand.
Demand for Round-The-Clock power: Recently, there has been significant demand for round-the-clock power leading
to an increased focus towards renewable energy sources (such as solar and wind) that can provide continuous power
supply. Round-the-clock power requires capacity expansion of existing power plants, technology upgrades and effective
energy storage solutions to balance the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources and to handle peak load
demands. Power-financing NBFCs can provide funding for expansion and upgradation of power plants, they can also
provide funding for energy storage projects such as battery, thermal or mechanical systems, etc.
Rural electrification: The power for all (PFA) initiative of the Government of India aims to provide power supply to all
households/homes, industrial, commercial and agricultural consumers. The PFA initiative and rural electrification is among
the key drivers of the growing power demand. This rise in power demand necessitates expansion of existing power
capacity. Power financing NBFCs can provide financing significant investment required for expansion and construction of
power plants, transmission lines and distribution channels,
Railway electrification: The Government plans to fully electrify the railway network by 2024. To support the electrified
railway network, close to 30 billion units of electricity shall be required on an annual basis by 2024. As railway
electrification requires developed power infrastructure for supplying electricity to the electrified rail network, significant
investments in the installation of electric traction systems, substations and other infrastructure. Power financing NBFCs
can support the growth of railway networks by providing energy-efficient technologies, funding solar power plants, wind
farms, etc.
Strong renewable energy capacity additions: Power generation in India is dominated by coal-based generation. The
use of other resources, such as renewable energy, is experiencing a staggering growth due to significant additions in the
installed capacity. However, renewable energy projects require large capital investments for construction, installation and
commissioning of solar power plants, wind farms and hydro projects. And power financing NBFCs have great opportunity
to provide the required funding for these projects.
Cross-border power trading in South Asian countries: Cross-border power trading requires the development of
transmission infrastructure, including interconnectors, transmission lines and substations This will require significant
investments in power generation, transmission and distribution and power financing NBFCs have the opportunity to
provide project financing, equipment financing and working capital loans to developers.
Make in India push: The Atmanirbhar- Make in India movement significantly focuses on energy independence. India
aims to reduce its dependence on imports for oil and coal and become self-sufficient in meeting the county’s growing
energy needs. Power finance NBFCs can provide financial assistant as energy independency requires significant capital in
generating electricity from solar, wind and hydro which will support reducing dependency on coal-based power generation.
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Electricity Mobility Infra: India’s electric vehicle (EV) segment has been on an increasing trend. Country’s EV sales
have witnessed massive growth on account of favourable government policies for EVs supporting reduction in upfront
cost and expansion of charging infrastructure, rising fuel prices and shifting consumer preferences. Power financing NBFCs
have a great opportunity to provide funds required to meet these increasing energy requirements of the automobile
sector.
7.4 Challenges
Power sector NBFCs face many challenges that can hamper their operations and growth prospects. Few such challenges
are mentioned below:
Stringent Regulatory Framework: As power sector is highly regulated, power financing NBFCs can be significantly
impacted by risks arising from change in regulations, policies and Government initiatives. Shifts in policies related to tariff
such as new tariff structures or revise in existing tariffs; introduction of renewable energy incentives and obligations and
regulatory clearances may create uncertainty and affect the financial viability of the project and the repayment capacity
of the borrower.
Apart from this, NBFCs as an entity are also subjected to regulatory requirements and compliances, that requires
significant administrative and operational efforts. This can pose a challenge for NBFCs with small asset size and limited
resources.
Lack of competitive cost of borrowing: Similar to other NBFCs, power financing NBFCs rely on various external
sources of funding, such as banks, financial institution bonds and commercial borrowings. These NBFCs may face difficulty
in raising funds at competitive rates thereby limiting their capacity to meet the funding requirements of capital-intensive
power projects.
Borrowing from the markets and from banks constituted more than 75% of NBFCs total borrowings as of Mar-23. For
FY23, market borrowings continue to be the largest sources of funds for NBFCs. However, there share has declined over
the years. This is mainly on account of increase in spread of NBFC bonds yields over G-sec yields of corresponding maturity
on the back of strict monetary policy and rising global yield. In FY23, total borrowings accelerated mainly due to increase
in borrowings from banks.
Asset-Quality: The asset quality of power financing NBFCs is mainly impacted by delayed project implementation, fuel
supply and off-take risks, financial health of DISCOM and other industry specific challenges. When power projects
experience delays, time and costs overruns or cash flow mismatches, it becomes difficult for borrowers to meet their
obligations.
Furthermore, fuel availability issues and off-take risks can also impact the viability of the project, thereby impacting the
repayment capacity of the borrower. Additional changes in the regulatory and policies create uncertainty affecting the
revenue projections and loan repayment capability. The financial health of DISCOMS and economic downturn can further
increase these challenges.
Interest rate volatility: Power financing NBFCs are exposed to interest rate risks due to their long-term lending
activities to fund power projects. Interest rates can impact the profitability and cost of funds for NBFC’s. Additionally,
change in interest rate can also impact the asset-liability management of power financing NBFCs as they tend to provide
long-term power project loans with short-term funding sources. This leads to asset-liability mismatch, which exposes
NBFCs to the risk of refinancing their short-term obligations at a higher interest rate in case there is interest rate volatility
in the market. This exposes them to potential liquidity constraints and may hamper their ability to extend credit and make
repayment.
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• Banks and Financial Institutions (FIs): One of the major sources of financing for NBFCs is borrowings from
banks and FIs. Banks and FIs offer variety of loans such as working capital loans, term loans and other debt
instruments to NBFCs. NBFCs are require to maintain a good relationship with the banks and financial institutions to
get funding at competitive interest rates which are influenced by credit ratings. Lower average cost of funds enables
competitive pricing by players enabling business growth, attract quality borrowers and optimise profitability.
In March 2023, banks’ outstanding credit to non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) reached Rs.13,310.97 billion,
indicating 30.2% y-o-y growth. The growth in bank borrowings is supported by differentials between market yields
and interest rates offered by banks and lower borrowings in the overseas market and growth in asset book of NBFCs.
• Green Bonds: Green Bonds are debt instruments issues specifically to raise funds for climate-suitable and
environmentally sustainable projects. NBFCs can issue green bonds, the proceeds of which will exclusively be
allocated to finance or refinance green projects such as renewable energy installations, energy efficient initiatives,
development of sustainable infrastructure, waste management and other environmentally friendly activities. These
bonds attract environmentally conscious investors who prioritize environmental, social and governance considerations
and seek to support green initiatives while generating financial returns.
So far, banks like State Bank of India, Yes Bank, power financing NBFCs including Indian Renewable Energy
Development Agency (IREDA), Rural Electrification Corporation (REC), Power Finance Corporation (PFC) and
companies like Greenko, Adani Green Energy and the likes have entered the green bond market. These companies
have raised more than USD 21 billion in green bond market as of Feb-23.
However, India is yet to fully explore its potential in the green bond market and Indian government’s significant
efforts towards making India more green, sustainable and self-sufficient is an indicator that in the coming years
India’s green bond market is expected to see traction.
• Commercial paper (CP): Commercial paper is a short-term debt instrument, cost effective and flexible source of
funds that NBFCs can utilize to meet their short-term financing needs such as working capital requirements.
Commercial papers are unsecured promissory notes issued by highly rated NBFCs with fixed maturity that can ranging
from a few days up to a year.
• Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs): NCDs are fixed income instruments with a specific coupon rate and
majority date. NBFCs can you issue NCDs to raise long term capital from the bond market by attracting institutional
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and retail investors looking for fixed income opportunities. Green bonds can also be issued as NCDs, specifically
targeting funds for financing environmentally sustainable projects and climate suitable projects.
• Equity: Among other sources of financing NBFCs can raise funds through equity. This can be done through initial
public offerings (IPOs), qualified institutional payments (QIPs),rights issues and private equity investments. Equity
financing provides significant capital funds that can help NBFCs in improving their financial strength over time. In
recent years, there has been significant increase in NBFCs raising funds through equity, this is majorly to support
the growing demand for credit from borrowers and to expand their existing business.
• Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs): MDBs are financial institutions that provide financial support to
developing countries in the form of loans and grants, with the aim to promote economic development and reduce
poverty. MDBs provide financial support for various purposes such as project financing, working capital financing,
debt restructuring, etc. MDBs can aid NBFCs by financing projects that promote economic development and reduce
poverty and can also help NBFCs improve their operations and risk management.
• External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs): ECBs are foreign currency loans borrowed from non-resident lenders,
international banks and financial institutions. The external commercial borrowing framework is regulated by the
Reserve Bank of India that specifies eligibility criteria, borrowing limits and permitted end users. NBFCs can issue
green bonds in the form of ECBs, when they are targeting international investors.
• Development Financial Institutions (DFIs): DFIs are specialized financial institutions that provide long-term
financing and support for infrastructural and industrial development. DFIs mainly focus on project finance, term
loans, and equity capital to support infrastructure projects including power plants. DFIs also offer technical
assistance, advisory services and help in building capacity to facilitate project development, effective project
implementation and sustained growth of infrastructure sector in India.
DFIs are backed by Government support or public sector ownership and usually have a development mandate. They
often have expertise in assessing project viability, risk management and structuring financial solutions. The Indian
Government has recently established National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID) a
development financial institution that aims to provide long-term debt and equity financing for infrastructure projects
and attract private sector investments. Power financing NBFCs can collaborate with DFIs to access long-term funds,
seek expert sector guidance and leverage policy support for financing power projects. Indian Renewable Energy
Development Agency (IREDA) is among the first financial institution to raise global funds for climate financing from
DFIs / Multilaterals in India.
Funds can be also raised through private equity and venture funding. With Government’s significant push towards
the growth of power sector and increase in demand for renewable sources of generation, there has been increased
focus of investors towards renewable energy sector thereby resulting in increased traction of private investments.
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8. Business Profiling
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20%
28% 25% 30%
0%
FY21 FY22 FY23
Solar Energy Loan Facility to State Utilities Wind Power
Hydro Power Others* BP&C
STL to Private Entities
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• The company also provides various fee-based technical advisory and consultancy services for power sector projects
through its wholly-owned subsidiary.
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23.1%
Secured Term Loans from
Banks and FIs
Subordinated Bonds
64.2%
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Short-Term/Demand
52.9% Loans/Others
From Government of
20.9% India/NSSF
From Financial Institutions
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3.5%
Secured non-convertible
debentures
Unsecured non-convertible
debentures
96.5%
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60%
20%
0%
FY21 FY22 FY23
Non-Convertible Subordinated
28.5% Debentures
58.7% Working capital demand loan
Commercial Paper
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20% 44%
34% 29%
0%
FY21 FY22 FY23
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Note: Others include Port, Manufacturing, Mining, Sustainable Infra include – Water Treatment, E- Mobility
Debentures
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Contact
Tanvi Shah Director – Advisory & Research tanvi.shah@careedge.in 022 6837 4470
Vikram Thirani Director – Business Development vikram.thirani@careedge.in 022 6837 4434
Connect :
About:
CareEdge is a knowledge-based analytical group that aims to provide superior insights based on technology, data analytics and
detailed research. CARE Ratings Ltd, the parent company in the group, is one of the leading credit rating agencies in India. Established
in 1993, it has a credible track record of rating companies across multiple sectors and has played a pivotal role in developing the
corporate debt market in India.
Disclaimer:
This report is prepared by CARE Analytics and Advisory Private Limited. CareEdge Research has taken utmost care to ensure accuracy and objectivity while developing
this report based on information available in public domain. However, neither the accuracy nor completeness of information contained in this report is guaranteed.
CareEdge Research is not responsible for any errors or omissions in analysis / inferences / views or for results obtained from the use of information contained in
this report and especially states that CareEdge Research has no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report
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