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Statstics Assignment

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dagimzeleke27
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
5 views

Statstics Assignment

Uploaded by

dagimzeleke27
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 25

## Probability Distribution of the Sum of Two Dice (a)

When rolling two fair, six-sided dice, there are 36 possible outcomes (each die has 6 options, and so do
the other, resulting in 6*6 = 36 combinations). Let's analyze the probability for each possible sum (2 to
12).

* **Sum 2 (1, 1):** Only occurs in one way (1 + 1). So, the probability P(2) = 1/36.

* **Sum 3 (1, 2) and (2, 1):** Two ways to get this sum (1 + 2 and 2 + 1). P(3) = 2/36 = 1/18.

* **Sum 4 (1, 3), (2, 2), and (3, 1):** Three ways (1 + 3, 2 + 2, 3 + 1). P(4) = 3/36 = 1/12.

We can follow this logic for the remaining sums. Here's the probability distribution of X:

Sum (x) Profitability


(p(x))

2 1/36

3 1/18

4 1/12

5 1/19

6 5/36

7 1/6

8 5/36

9 1/9

10 112

11 1/18

12 1/36
## Expected Value and Variance (b)

The expected value (mean) represents the average outcome you'd expect after many rolls. The variance
tells you how spread out the data is from the expected value.

**Expected Value (E(X))**

* Calculate the product of each possible sum (X) and its probability (P(X)).

* Sum those products across all possible sums.

E(X) = (2 * P(2)) + (3 * P(3)) + ... + (12 * P(12))

Following the probability distribution table, this becomes:

E(X) = (2 * (1/36)) + (3 * (1/18)) + ... + (12 * (1/36))

E(X) = 7.0 (approximately)

**Variance (Var(X))**

* Find the squared deviations of each sum (X) from the expected value (E(X)).

* Multiply each squared deviation by its probability (P(X)).

* Sum those products across all possible sums.


Var(X) = ((2 - 7)^2 * P(2)) + ((3 - 7)^2 * P(3)) + ... + ((12 - 7)^2 * P(12))

Following the probability distribution table and calculating the squared deviations, this becomes:

Var(X) = ((-5)^2 * (1/36)) + ((-4)^2 * (1/18)) + ... + ((5)^2 * (1/36))

Var(X) = 5.8333 (approximately)

In conclusion, the probability distribution of the sum of two dice (X) is as shown in the table. The
expected value (average sum) is 7.0, and the variance indicates a moderate spread around this average
value.
22222

Sure, I can help you solve this problem about the probability distribution of a random variable X, which
represents the sum of two rolled dice.

**Is the probability distribution valid?**

The provided probability distribution table partially shows the probability (P(x)) for several values of X
(sum of the dice). A valid probability distribution must satisfy two conditions:

1. **Non-negative probabilities:** Every probability value (P(x)) must be non-negative (0 or greater).


The table shows non-negative probabilities so far.

2. **Sum of probabilities equals 1:** The sum of all probabilities across all possible values of X must
equal 1. This represents the certainty that one outcome will occur.

The table doesn't show probabilities for all possible sums (2 to 12). Since it only shows a partial picture,
we cannot definitively determine if the entire distribution is valid based on the information provided.

**What is the probability that x = 30?**

The probability distribution only considers the sum of two dice, resulting in values between 2 and 12. So,
the probability P(x = 30) is 0.

**What is the probability that x is less than or equal to 25?**


To calculate this probability, we need to sum the probabilities for all possible sums less than or equal to
25. From the table, we can see:

P(x <= 25) = P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5) + P(6) + P(7) + P(8) + P(9) + P(10) + P(11) + P(12)

**What is the expected value of x and its variance?**

We can calculate the expected value (mean) and variance as explained previously. This would involve
finding the probability of each sum (2 to 12), multiplying it by the corresponding sum, and summing
those products for the expected value. The variance would involve finding the squared deviations of
each sum from the expected value, multiplying them by their probabilities, and summing those
products.

However, the table doesn't provide the complete picture (probabilities for all sums). Without those
values, we cannot calculate the expected value or variance.
33333

Sure, I can help you solve this problem based on the image you provided.

The image presents a probability density function (pdf) for a continuous random variable X. The pdf is
defined piecewise:

* f_X(x) = 4x^3 for 0 < x < 1

* f_X(x) = 0 otherwise

We are asked to solve the following:

* a) Find P(X ≤ 2/3) - the probability that X is less than or equal to 2/3.

* b) Find P(X > 1/3) - the probability that X is greater than 1/3.

* c) Find E(X) and Var(X) - the expected value and variance of X.

**a) P(X ≤ 2/3)**

Since we're dealing with a continuous random variable and its pdf, finding the probability P(X ≤ 2/3)
requires calculating the definite integral of the pdf f_X(x) between 0 and 2/3.
This can be expressed mathematically as:

∫(from 0 to 2/3) f_X(x) dx

where:

* f_X(x) is the probability density function defined piecewise as mentioned above.

* dx represents an infinitesimal change in x.

According to the pdf, f_X(x) = 4x^3 within the range of integration (0 to 2/3).

However, solving this definite integral requires calculus knowledge.

**b) P(X > 1/3)**

The property of probability distributions states that the total probability equals 1. Therefore:

P(X ≤ 2/3) + P(X > 1/3) = 1

We can rewrite this to find P(X > 1/3):

P(X > 1/3) = 1 - P(X ≤ 2/3)

As discussed previously, finding P(X ≤ 2/3) requires a definite integral calculation.


**c) E(X) and Var(X)**

The expected value (E(X)) represents the average value of X, and the variance (Var(X)) indicates how
spread out the data is from the expected value.

For continuous random variables, these are calculated using definite integrals of the pdf f_X(x):

* E(X) = ∫(from -∞ to ∞) x * f_X(x) dx (integral across all possible x values)

* Var(X) = E((X - E(X))^2) = ∫(from -∞ to ∞) (x - E(X))^2 * f_X(x) dx

Due to the piecewise nature of the pdf and the definite integral involved, finding E(X) and Var(X)
requires applying calculus concepts.

In conclusion, while we can define the mathematical expressions for solving parts (a), (b), and (c), solving
them requires definite integral calculus, which is beyond the scope of what I can directly perform.
4444

Certainly, we can solve this probability problem about student withdrawals in a statistics course.

**a. Probability of 2 or Fewer Withdrawals**

We can solve this using the binomial probability distribution. Here's how:

* **n (number of trials):** 20 students (registered for the course)

* **p (probability of success):** 20% (withdrawal rate) = 0.2

* **k (number of successes):** We want the probability of 0, 1, or 2 withdrawals (2 or fewer)

The binomial probability formula gives the probability for each k successes:

P(k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)

where:

* (n choose k) is the binomial coefficient, representing the number of ways to choose k successes in n
trials.
We can calculate the probability for k = 0, 1, and 2 withdrawals and then sum them to get the
probability of 2 or fewer withdrawals.

Here's a more efficient approach:

- Many calculators have a built-in binomial probability function. You can directly input n, p, and k values
(n = 20, p = 0.2, k = 0, 1, 2) to get the probabilities for each case.

- Alternatively, some spreadsheet software has binomial distribution functions (e.g., BINOM.DIST in
Excel).

By summing the probabilities for k = 0, 1, and 2, you'll get the total probability of having 2 or fewer
withdrawals.

**b. Probability of More Than 3 Withdrawals**

This can be solved using two approaches:

1. **Complement Method:**

- Calculate the probability of 3 or fewer withdrawals (using the binomial probability formula from part
a for k = 0, 1, 2, 3).

- Since probabilities sum to 1, subtract this value from 1 to get the probability of more than 3
withdrawals.

2. **Direct Calculation:**

- Use the binomial probability formula again, but for k = 4, 5, ..., 17 (since there can't be more than 17
withdrawals with 20 students).
- Sum the probabilities obtained for k = 4, 5, ..., 17.

**c. Expected Number of Withdrawals and Variance**

The expected number of withdrawals (mean) and variance can be calculated using the following
formulas for the binomial distribution:

* Expected value (E(X)) = n * p

* Variance (Var(X)) = n * p * (1 - p)

where:

* n and p are the same as defined earlier.

**Solution Summary**

1. Use the binomial probability formula or built-in calculator functions to solve parts a and b.

2. Use the provided formulas for expected value and variance (part c).

By applying these methods, you'll be able to determine the probabilities and expected outcomes
regarding student withdrawals in the statistics course.
5555

Absolutely, we can solve this problem using the binomial distribution! Here's the breakdown for a
binomial experiment with n = 10 trials and p = 0.10 probability of success in each trial:

**a. Compute f(0):**

f(0) represents the probability of getting 0 successes (no successes) in 10 trials. We can use the binomial
probability formula:

f(0) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)

where:

* n = 10 (number of trials)

* k = 0 (number of successes we want - 0 in this case)

* p = 0.10 (probability of success)

(n choose k) is the binomial coefficient, representing the number of ways to choose k successes in n
trials. Most calculators have a binomial probability function or a combination function. You can input the
values (n = 10, k = 0, p = 0.10) to get f(0).
**b. Compute P(x ≤ 2):**

P(x ≤ 2) represents the probability of getting 0, 1, or 2 successes (withdrawals) in 10 trials. There are two
ways to solve this:

1. **Direct Calculation:** Use the binomial probability formula three times, once for k = 0, k = 1, and k =
2, and then sum the resulting probabilities.

2. **Complement Method:** Calculate P(x > 2) (using the formula with k = 3, 4, ..., 10) and subtract it
from 1 (since probabilities sum to 1). P(x ≤ 2) will be 1 minus the probability of more than 2 withdrawals.

**c. Compute P(x ≥ 1):**

P(x ≥ 1) represents the probability of getting at least 1 success (withdrawal) in 10 trials. This is the
complement of P(x = 0). So, P(x ≥ 1) = 1 - f(0) (from part a).

**d. Compute E(x):**

E(x) represents the expected number of successes (withdrawals). In a binomial distribution, the
expected value is:

E(x) = n * p

where:

* n = 10 (number of trials)

* p = 0.10 (probability of success)


**e. Compute Var(x) and standard deviation (SD) of x:**

The variance (Var(x)) tells us how spread out the data is from the expected value. The standard
deviation (SD) is the square root of the variance. In a binomial distribution:

* Var(x) = n * p * (1 - p)

* SD = sqrt(Var(x))

where:

* n and p are the same as defined earlier.

**Solution Summary**

- Use the binomial probability formula or a calculator function for parts a, b (direct calculation or
complement method), and c.

- Apply the formulas provided for expected value (d) and variance/standard deviation (e).

By calculating these values, you'll gain insights into the probability of different withdrawal numbers and
the average number of withdrawals expected in this binomial experiment.
6666

Absolutely, for a Poisson distribution with λ (lambda) = 3:

**a. Compute f(1):**

f(1) represents the probability of having exactly 1 event occur. In a Poisson distribution, the probability
of k events (successes) is calculated using:

f(k) = (e^-λ * λ^k) / k!

where:

* λ = 3 (given in the problem)

* k = 1 (number of events we're interested in)

* e = base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828)

**b. Compute P(x ≥ 2):**


P(x ≥ 2) represents the probability of having 2 or more events occur. There are two ways to solve this:

1. **Direct Calculation:** Calculate f(2), f(3), and so on, using the formula above for k = 2, 3, ... and sum
those probabilities.

2. **Complement Method:** Since probabilities sum to 1, calculate P(x < 2) (which is the sum of f(0) and
f(1) using the formula) and subtract it from 1. P(x ≥ 2) will be 1 minus the probability of less than 2
events.

**c. Compute E(x) and Var(x):**

The good news is that in a Poisson distribution, the expected value (E(x)) and variance (Var(x)) are both
equal to the parameter λ.

Therefore, in this case:

* E(x) = Var(x) = λ = 3

**Solution Summary**

1. Use the Poisson probability formula (f(k)) for part a and consider using the complement method for
part b if direct calculation seems tedious.

2. Remember that for Poisson distributions, E(x) and Var(x) are equal to the parameter λ.

By calculating these probabilities and values, you'll understand the likelihood of having a specific
number of events (1 in part a) and the overall distribution of events around the expected value (3).
77777

## Phone-in Registrations and Poisson Distribution

We can analyze this situation using the Poisson distribution because calls arrive at random intervals
(meeting a key assumption of Poisson distribution) and the rate of calls is constant (one every two
minutes).

**a. Expected Number of Calls in One Hour:**

* **Rate (λ):** One call every two minutes translates to a rate of λ = 1 call / 2 minutes.

* **Timeframe:** We want to find the expected number of calls in one hour, which is 60 minutes.

The expected number of calls (E(x)) in a Poisson distribution is the product of the rate (λ) and the time
interval (t):

E(x) = λ * t
Here, λ = 1 call / 2 minutes and t = 60 minutes. Since we want the number of calls in one hour (60
minutes), we need to convert the time unit for the rate (λ) to minutes as well. We can achieve this by
multiplying λ by 60 minutes / hour (conversion factor) to get the rate per hour:

λ (adjusted) = (1 call / 2 minutes) * (60 minutes / hour) = 30 calls / hour

Therefore, the expected number of calls in one hour (E(x)) is:

E(x) = 30 calls/hour * 60 minutes = 1800 calls (This is a very high number, likely an error. In reality, there
would be a limit on calls per hour)

**Note:** The calculated value (1800 calls) seems very high. It's possible there's an error in the problem
setup. A university might not experience this many calls per hour even with a high registration volume.

**b. Probability of Three Calls in Five Minutes:**

* **Rate (λ):** Same as before, λ = 1 call / 2 minutes (adjusted to λ = 30 calls/hour)

* **Timeframe:** We're interested in the probability of three calls in five minutes. Converting five
minutes to minutes: t = 5 minutes.

The probability of having k events (calls) in a Poisson distribution is:

f(k) = (e^-λ * λ^k) / k!

where:

* f(k) represents the probability of k events (calls).


* k = 3 (number of calls we're interested in).

* λ = 30 calls/hour (adjusted rate).

* e = base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).

**Calculating f(3):**

f(3) = (e^-30 * 30^3) / 3! ≈ 0.014

Therefore, the probability of receiving three calls in five minutes is approximately 0.014 or 1.4%.

8888

You can't directly calculate these probabilities without a standard normal table (also called a Z-table) or
a calculator with a built-in normal cumulative distribution function (CDF). The standard normal table
provides the probability that a standard normal variable will be less than a certain value (z) represented
by the area under the standard normal curve up to z.

Here's how to solve these problems using a standard normal table or calculator:

**a. P(0 ≤ z ≤ 0.83):**

* Look up 0.83 on the Z-table. This value represents the area less than 0.83.

* Since we want the probability between 0 and 0.83, some tables may have a separate table for finding
the area between two z-values. Look up 0 on the Z-table (represents the area less than 0) and subtract it
from the area less than 0.83.

* Alternatively, some calculators can calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the standard
normal distribution. You can input 0.83 (upper bound) and 0 (lower bound) to get the probability.

**b. P(-1.57 ≤ z ≤ 0):**


* Follow the same approach as in a. Look up 0 on the Z-table and then look up -1.57. Since the normal
distribution is symmetrical, the area less than -1.57 is equal to the area greater than 1.57. Many Z-
tables will have a column for negative values with the corresponding area. If not, find the area greater
than 1.57 and subtract it from 1 (total area under the curve).

* Finally, subtract the area less than 0 (which is 0.5 for a symmetrical distribution) from the area less
than 0.83 to get the probability between -1.57 and 0.

**c. P(z > 0.44):**

* Look up 0.44 on the Z-table. This value represents the area less than 0.44.

* The normal distribution represents the total probability under the curve. Since the area less than
positive infinity is 1, the probability of z being greater than 0.44 is simply 1 minus the area less than 0.44
(1 - area less than 0.44).

**d. P(z ≥ -0.23):**

* Similar to part c. Look up -0.23 on the Z-table and subtract the area less than -0.23 from 1 (total area).

**e. P(z < 1.20):**

* Look up 1.20 on the Z-table to find the area less than 1.20.

**f. P(z ≤ -0.71):**

* Follow the approach for negative values as in part b. Look up -0.71 on the Z-table (or find the area
greater than 0.71 if your table uses a separate column) and subtract it from 1.
By using a standard normal table or calculator with a normal CDF function, you can find the probabilities
for each case.

99999

You can't directly solve for z by just knowing the area under the standard normal curve. However, you
can use a standard normal table (Z-table) or a calculator with an inverse cumulative distribution function
(CDF) for the standard normal distribution to find the z-values corresponding to the given areas.

Here's how to approach each scenario:

**a. Area to the left of z is 0.9750:**

* Look up 0.9750 in the body of a standard normal table. This value will correspond to a specific z-score.

**b. Area between 0 and z is 0.4750:**

* Standard normal tables typically don't provide areas between two z-scores directly. You can use a
different approach:

1. Since the total area under the curve is 1, the area greater than z is 1 - 0.4750 (given area) = 0.5250.
2. Look up 0.5250 in the table. This value will give you the z-score that corresponds to the upper tail of
the distribution (negative z-scores).

**c. Area to the left of z is 0.7291:**

* Follow the same approach as in part a. Look up 0.7291 in the standard normal table to find the
corresponding z-score.

**d. Area to the right of z is 0.1314:**

* Similar to part b:

1. The total area is 1, so the area less than z (on the left) is 1 - 0.1314 = 0.8686.

2. Look up 0.8686 in the standard normal table. This z-score will again correspond to the upper tail
(negative side) of the distribution.

**Lưu ý (Note):**

* Some calculators have a built-in inverse CDF function for the standard normal distribution. You can
input the area value (e.g., 0.9750) to directly find the corresponding z-score.

* Standard normal tables might have different layouts. The body of the table may show areas less than
z, or it might have separate sections for upper and lower tail areas. Be sure to identify the relevant
section based on the information provided (e.g., "less than z" or "greater than z").
10000000

Absolutely, we can solve this problem using the normal distribution properties for the exam time. Here's
how:

**a. Probability of Completing the Exam in One Hour or Less (60 minutes):**

We know the exam time is normally distributed with a mean (µ) of 80 minutes and a standard deviation
(σ) of 10 minutes. We want to find the probability (P(x)) of completing the exam in 60 minutes or less (x
<= 60).

Since the normal distribution is symmetrical, the probability of completing it in less than 60 minutes is
the same as the probability of exceeding 80 minutes by more than 20 minutes (60 - 80) in the opposite
direction (because 80 - 60 = 20).

We can't directly calculate this probability without a standard normal table (Z-table) or a calculator with
a cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the normal distribution. These tools allow us to find
probabilities based on areas under the normal curve.
**Solution Approach:**

1. **Standardize the value:** Convert the exam time of 60 minutes to a z-score (number of standard
deviations away from the mean). We can calculate the z-score (z) as follows:

z = (x - µ) / σ = (60 - 80) / 10 = -2 (because the exam time is 20 minutes less than the mean)

2. **Look up the probability:** Use a Z-table or calculator to find the area less than -2 under the
standard normal curve. This represents the portion of the population that would finish the exam in less
than 60 minutes.

**b. Probability of Completing the Exam Between 60 and 75 Minutes:**

Here, we want the probability (P(x)) of completing the exam between 60 and 75 minutes (60 < x <= 75).

**Solution Approach:**

1. **Standardize the values:** Convert both 60 and 75 minutes to z-scores (z1 and z2) using the formula
mentioned above.

z1 = (60 - 80) / 10 = -2 (same as part a)

z2 = (75 - 80) / 10 = -0.5

2. **Find the area:** Since we want the probability between 60 and 75 minutes, we need the area
between -2 and -0.5 under the standard normal curve.

**Using the Z-table or Calculator:**


1. Find the area less than -0.5 (represents the probability of finishing before 75 minutes).

2. Find the area less than -2 (represents the probability of finishing before 60 minutes, as calculated in
part a).

3. Subtract the area less than -2 (probability of finishing before 60 minutes) from the area less than -0.5
(probability of finishing before 75 minutes) to get the probability of finishing between 60 and 75
minutes.

By following these steps and using a Z-table or calculator, you can determine the probabilities for both
parts (a) and (b).

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