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Assignment 11- Probability

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Assignment 11- Probability

Uploaded by

glenndodoo564
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Assignment 11

Probability

• Please write your solutions on A4 squared or lined paper.


• Please show the stages of your working out, step by step.
• You MUST answer all questions – also the ones you find difficult (especially those!).
• Remember that you can get all the help you need in the Study Café Mondays and Wednesdays.

1. A class contains 25 students. 13 play tennis, 14 play volleyball and 1 plays neither of these sports. A student is
selected at random from the class. Using a Venn Diagram (draw it), determine the probability that the student

(a) plays both tennis and volleyball


(b) plays at least one of the sports
(c) plays volleyball given that they do not play tennis.

2. 42 % of pupils in a school are boys. 56 % of boys study Physics, while 60 % of girls study Physics. A pupil is
selected at random. Find the probability that the pupil is a girl, given that they do physics?

3. A new blood test has been shown to be effective in the early detection of a disease. The probability that the
blood test correctly identifies someone with this disease is 0.99, and the probability that the blood test correctly
identifies someone without that disease is 0.95. The incidence of this disease in the general population is 0.0001.
A doctor administered the blood test to a patient and the test result indicated that this patient had the disease.
Find the probability that the patient has the disease?

4. A cage holds two litters of rats. One litter comprises 3 females and 4 males, and the other comprises 2 females
and 6 males. A random selection of two rats is made. Find, as fractions, the probabilities that the 2 rats are

(a) from the same litter,


(b) from the same litter given that they are of the same sex.

5. Only two international airlines fly daily into an airport. UN Air has 70 flights a day and IS Air has 65 flights a
day. Passengers flying with UN Air have an 18% probability of losing their luggage and passengers flying with
IS Air have a 23% probability of losing their luggage. You overhear someone in the airport complain about her
luggage being lost.

Find the probability that she travelled with IS Air.

6. Events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.3 and P(B) = 0.4.

(a) Find the value of P(A È B) when

(i) A and B are mutually exclusive;

(ii) A and B are independent.

(b) Given that P(A È B) = 0.6, find P(A | B).

7. Lie detectors are not considered to be reliable in court. They are, however administered to employees in
sensitive positions. One such test gives a positive reading (the person is lying) when a person is lying 88% of
the time, and a negative reading (the person is telling a truth) when a person is telling the truth 86% of the time.
In a security-related question, the vast majority of subjects have no reason to lie, so 99% of the subjects will tell
the truth. An employee produces a positive response on a polygraph. What is the probability that this employee
is in fact telling the truth?

AA and ANU 2022


8. A family of functions is given by

f (x) = x2 + 3x + k, where k Î {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7}.

One of these functions is chosen at random. Calculate the probability that the curve of this function
crosses the x-axis.

AA and ANU 2022

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