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The Simulation Modeling Steps

We now discuss the process for a complete simulation study and present a systematic approach of carrying out a simulation. A simulation study normally consists of several distinct stages. However, not all simulation studies consist of all these stages or follow the order stated here. On the other hand, there may even be considerable overlap between some of these stages.

Problem/Model Formulation
State the objective of the study. Identify the Problem. Determine any underlying causes if possible. Determine the input variables.
Controllable Variables. Uncontrollable Variables.

Make assumptions / boundaries that were used to simplify the model. Determine Performance measures used to measure the objective. (Output)

Data collection/acquisition
Determine the Data Collection System or Estimates to be used.
Observe the system Historical or Similar Systems Theoretical Estimates Engineering Estimates Operator Estimates Vendor Estimates

Identify the data collected. How it was collected. How it was represented in the model.

Model Construction or Development


Identify The Real System Determine Conceptual Model -Activities and Events Develop the Logical Model. Identify the Programming Language used. Computer Implementation

Model Construction or Development


Modeling Tips
Art vs. Science Over Simplification vs. Unnecessary Detail Start Simple Add stronger assumptions

Model Verification and Validation


Verification: Determining whether simulation model works as intended.
Verifying the Model.
Structure: Walk Through of the Model Debugger. Trace = print or writing in process calculations. Animation. Model testing Analytical Model.

Model Verification and Validation


Verification.
Logical Model.

Computer Model/Simulation Model.

Are events represented correctly? Are mathematical formulas and relationships correct? Are statistical measures formulated correctly? Does the code contain all aspects of the logical model? Are the statistics and formulas calculated correctly? Does the model contain coding errors?

Model Verification and Validation


Validation:Determine whether Simulation of The Model is a credible representation of a Real System. Compare the model with the actual systems by performing statistical tests.
Conceptual Model.
Does the model contain all relevant elements, events and relationships? Will the model answer the questions of concern?

Model Verification and Validation


Logical Model.
Does the model contain all events included in the conceptual model? Does the model contain all the relationships of the conceptual model?

Computer Model/Simulation Model.


Is the computer model a valid representation of the real system? Can the computer model duplicate the performance of the real system? Does the computer model output have credibility with system experts and decision makers?

Experimentation and Analysis of Results


Experimentation The execution of the simulation model to obtain output values Analysis of Results The process of analyzing the simulation outputs to draw inferences and make recommendations for problem resolution

Implementation and Documentation


The process of implementing decisions resulting from the simulation and documenting the model and its use.

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