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    9709 LessonSlides 6 1 PoissonApproximation v1

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    axiscissor

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    9709 LessonSlides 6 1 PoissonApproximation v1

    Uploaded by

    axiscissor
    7 views8 pages

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    9709_LessonSlides_6_1_PoissonApproximation_v1

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    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    7 views8 pages

    9709 LessonSlides 6 1 PoissonApproximation v1

    Uploaded by

    axiscissor

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
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    Lesson slides

    Topic: 6.1 The Poisson Distribution


    Lesson 3: The Poisson distribution as an approximation to the binomial
    distribution

    Version 1
    Starter

    Calculate the probabilities on


    Worksheet G.
    Dice investigation

    • Each member of the class needs a pair of die to roll


    • A ‘success’ will be to roll two sixes
    • The total number of successes in the class should be recorded each
    time
    • We will repeat the experiment 20 times.

    Then calculate the relative frequencies, the exact binomial probabilities


    using and the approximate Poisson probabilities using .
    Dice investigation

    Frequency, Relative Frequency, Binomial Probability Poisson Probability

    0
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    ……….
    Total = 20
    Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution

    To use the Poisson distribution as an approximation to the binomial


    distribution we require to be large and to be small, approximately and
    .

    We use
    Example

    It is known that 1% of seeds of a particular plant do not germinate. The


    random variable denotes the number of seeds that do not germinate in
    a random sample of 500 seeds.
    a) State the distribution of
    b) State, with a reason, a suitable approximate distribution.
    c) Use the approximation to find the probability that the sample with
    contain at least three seeds that do not germinate.
    Example

    It is known that 1% of seeds of a particular plant do not germinate. The


    random variable denotes the number of seeds that do not germinate in
    a random sample of 450 seeds.
    a) State the distribution of

    b) State, with a reason, a suitable approximate distribution.


    As is large and is small, we can use a Poisson approximation.
    Example

    It is known that 1% of seeds of a particular plant do not germinate. The


    random variable denotes the number of seeds that do not germinate in
    a random sample of 500 seeds.
    c) Use the approximation to find the probability that the sample with
    contain at least three seeds that do not germinate.

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