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Jennifer A . Delaney
  • School of Education
    University of California, Berkeley
    2121 Berkeley Way
    Berkeley, CA 94720-1670
    USA
Using a panel dataset from 2000 to 2014, this paper employs a difference-in-difference design to consider the impact of the introduction of a “promise program” on postsecondary institutions’ internal spending levels and patterns. We find... more
Using a panel dataset from 2000 to 2014, this paper employs a difference-in-difference design to consider the impact of the introduction of a “promise program” on postsecondary institutions’ internal spending levels and patterns. We find that promise programs influence postsecondary institutional behavior in every area we tested: student-related and non-student-related expenditure levels and shares. We find decreases in student-related expenditure areas at 2-year institutions, but no significant change at 4-years. Non-student-related expenditures are mixed at 2-years with levels of expenditures increasing for auxiliary but decreasing in public service areas. By contrast public service expenditures increase at 4-years. Shares of expenses also shift with declining spending on student services but increased institutional support at 2-years. However, there are no changes to the share of expenses at 4-years. Overall, we find that 2- and 4-year institutions react differently to the introd...
This study explores the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition laws on state general appropriations for higher education. Using the “Truth-in-Tuition” law that was implemented in Illinois in 2004 as the treatment condition, this study... more
This study explores the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition laws on state general appropriations for higher education. Using the “Truth-in-Tuition” law that was implemented in Illinois in 2004 as the treatment condition, this study analyzes data from 2000–2012. To test the direction and size of the effect on state general appropriations, this work uses a quasi-experimental, differencein-difference methodology with a national panel dataset of public four-year institutions. Institutions in Illinois experienced significant decreases in state appropriations following the introduction of the guaranteed tuition law compared to the secular trend. In the baseline model presented in this paper, the magnitude of the cut to higher education institutions is shown to be $29.6 million, or approximately 20%, compared to the 2004 mean, on average, as compared to institutions that were not subject to guaranteed tuition laws. Both the direction and the magnitude of the finding are robust to alte...
The global landscape for higher education continues to experience widespread reforms and globalization is believed to underlie much of the change.  Responses to the influences of globalization at the institutional, national, and... more
The global landscape for higher education continues to experience widespread reforms and globalization is believed to underlie much of the change.  Responses to the influences of globalization at the institutional, national, and international arenas have been multiple and varied. In Europe, the Bologna Process and its related initiatives represent a restructuring of higher education systems toward more convergence to increase global competitiveness. The impacts of these reforms reverberated throughout the global higher education ecosystem, the culmination of which has been, among other things, a growing focus on student learning outcomes. The contributions in this special issue engage a wide variety of topics related to the influences of globalization and internationalization on higher education in Africa. The common theme knitting the contributions together is that the drivers of reforms in African higher education are not fundamentally different from elsewhere.   
Odle, Taylor, and Jennifer Delaney. (2023). Experimental Evidence on "Direct Admissions" from Four States: Impacts on College Application and Enrollment. (EdWorkingPaper: 23-834). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University:... more
Odle, Taylor, and Jennifer Delaney. (2023). Experimental Evidence on "Direct Admissions" from Four States: Impacts on College Application and Enrollment. (EdWorkingPaper: 23-834). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: https://doi.org/10.26300/6xtn-2j84

Complexity and uncertainty in the college application process contribute to longstanding racial and socioeconomic disparities in enrollment. We leverage a large-scale experiment that combines an early guarantee of college admission with a proactive nudge, fee waiver, and structural application simplification to test the impacts of emerging “direct admissions” policies on students’ college-going behaviors. Students in the intervention were 2.7 percentage points (or 12%) more likely to submit a college application, with larger impacts for racially minoritized, first-generation, and low-income students. Students were most responsive to automatic offers from larger, higher quality institutions on the application margin, but were not more likely to subsequently enroll. In the face of growing adoption, we show this low-cost, low-touch intervention can move the needle on important college-going behaviors but is insufficient alone to increase enrollment given other barriers to access, including the ability to pay for college.
Using a panel dataset from 2000 to 2014, this paper employs a difference-in-difference design to consider the impact of the introduction of a “promise program” on postsecondary institutions’ internal spending levels and patterns. We find... more
Using a panel dataset from 2000 to 2014, this paper employs a difference-in-difference design to consider the impact of the introduction of a “promise program” on postsecondary institutions’ internal spending levels and patterns. We find that promise programs influence postsecondary institutional behavior in every area we tested: student-related and non-student-related expenditure levels and shares. We find decreases in student-related expenditure areas at 2-year institutions, but no significant change at 4-years. Non-student-related expenditures are mixed at 2-years with levels of expenditures increasing for auxiliary but decreasing in public service areas. By contrast public service expenditures increase at 4-years. Shares of expenses also shift with declining spending on student services but increased institutional support at 2-years. However, there are no changes to the share of expenses at 4-years. Overall, we find that 2- and 4-year institutions react differently to the introduction of a promise program, with the greatest impact at 2-years.

JEL Classifications: I22, I23

Delaney, J. A., & Hemenway, B. (2023). A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Educational Policy, 37(4), 1102–1150. https://doi.org/10.1177/08959048211049431
ISAs are an emerging and controversial mechanism for financing college in which individuals commit to pay a specified percentage of their future income in exchange for capital to pay for college. Utilizing nationally representative public... more
ISAs are an emerging and controversial mechanism for financing college in which individuals commit to pay a specified percentage of their future income in exchange for capital to pay for college. Utilizing nationally representative public opinion data, this study is among the first to characterize public views of ISAs.
I have a new book chapter coming out in an edited volume Rethinking College Admissions: Research-Based Practice and Policy. This book is available for pre-order! Rethinking College Admissions probes the many facets of higher education... more
I have a new book chapter coming out in an edited volume Rethinking College Admissions: Research-Based Practice and Policy. This book is available for pre-order!

Rethinking College Admissions probes the many facets of higher education admissions and translates research-backed insights into actionable strategies for innovative, equitable admissions practices.

https://www.hepg.org/hep-home/books/rethinking-college-admissions
In 2015, Idaho adopted the nation’s first direct admissions system and proactively admitted all high school graduates to a set of public institutions. This reimagination of the admissions process may reduce barriers to students’... more
In 2015, Idaho adopted the nation’s first direct admissions system and proactively admitted all high school graduates to a set of public institutions. This reimagination of the admissions process may reduce barriers to students’ enrollment and improve access across geographic and socioeconomic contexts by removing many human capital, informational, and financial barriers in the college search and application process. Despite a lack of evidence on the efficacy of direct admissions systems, the policy has already been proposed or implemented in four other states. Using synthetic control methods, we estimate the first causal impacts of direct admissions on institutional enrollment outcomes. We find early evidence that direct admissions increased first-time undergraduate enrollments by 4–8% (50–100 students per campus on average) and in-state levels by approximately 8–15% (80–140 students) but had minimal-to-no impacts on the enrollment of Pell-eligible students. These enrollment gains were concentrated among 2-year, open-access institutions. We discuss these findings in relation to state contexts and policy design given the emergence of literature highlighting the varied efficacy of similar college access policies.
University athletics because of its reporting structure, regulation by the NCAA, and relationship to the academic enterprise of institutions, provides a unique look into postsecondary institutional behavior. Using a... more
University athletics because of its reporting structure, regulation by the NCAA, and relationship to the academic enterprise of institutions, provides a unique look into postsecondary institutional behavior. Using a difference-in-difference design, this study tests the introduction of new television networks dedicated to college sports on institutional subsidy levels for athletics. Overall, our findings show that institutions are responsive to the introduction of new college-sports-dedicated television networks. When considering institutions in the Power Five athletic conferences, we find an average decline in subsidy levels of approximately $1.2 million. When considering different types of subsidies, we find significant declines in direct subsidies and student fees, but no significant change for indirect subsidies.
Using a panel dataset from 2000-2014, this paper employs a difference-in-difference design to consider the impact of the introduction of a “promise program” on postsecondary institutions’ internal spending levels and patterns. We find... more
Using a panel dataset from 2000-2014, this paper employs a difference-in-difference design to consider the impact of the introduction of a “promise program” on postsecondary institutions’ internal spending levels and patterns. We find that promise programs influence postsecondary institutional behavior in every area we tested: student-related and non-student-related expenditure levels and shares. We find decreases in student-related expenditure areas at 2-year institutions, but no significant change at 4-years. Non-student-related expenditures are mixed at 2-years with levels of expenditures increasing for auxiliary but decreasing in public service areas. By contrast public service expenditures increase at 4-years. Shares of expenses also shift with declining spending on student services but increased institutional support at 2-years. However, there are no changes to the share of expenses at 4-years. Overall, we find that 2- and 4-year institutions react differently to the introduct...
This report provides an overview of trends in enrollment at institutions of higher education mapped onto different points in the state's economic history. The report looks at national trends and state of Illinois enrollment trends... more
This report provides an overview of trends in enrollment at institutions of higher education mapped onto different points in the state's economic history. The report looks at national trends and state of Illinois enrollment trends during periods of economic recession.<br>
This report provides an overview of trends in enrollment at institutions of higher education mapped onto different points in the state’s economic history. The report looks at national trends and state of Illinois enrollment trends during... more
This report provides an overview of trends in enrollment at institutions of higher education mapped onto different points in the state’s economic history.  The report looks at national trends and state of Illinois enrollment trends during periods of economic recession.
Background Numerous studies have addressed the determinants of higher education appropriations. Extending prior studies that only consider the relationship between higher education and one other state budget category, Delaney and Doyle... more
Background Numerous studies have addressed the determinants of higher education appropriations. Extending prior studies that only consider the relationship between higher education and one other state budget category, Delaney and Doyle develop and test an empirical model of the relationship between higher education and all other budget categories. Delaney and Doyle propose that higher education takes the form of a balance wheel in state budgets. They find that higher education is cut more than other budget categories in bad budget years and given larger increases in good budget years. Although previous work advances understanding of how states budget for higher education, it is limited in the length of time considered. Purpose This study makes two important contributions to the literature. First, it documents changes in the amount of volatility in state funding for higher education. Second, it identifies patterns in the volatility, and does so over a longer time period than has been...
This article considers trends in state policies that determine college affordability, including trends in state general appropriations, institutional tuition and fees, and state student financial aid. Taken together, these trends... more
This article considers trends in state policies that determine college affordability, including trends in state general appropriations, institutional tuition and fees, and state student financial aid. Taken together, these trends demonstrate erosion in college affordability. This article also examines one recent federal policy intervention that has shaped state policy for higher education affordability, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA). My analysis of ARRA shows that the “maintenance of effort” provision in the law was effective, as there was no drop in state general appropriations for higher education (including federal ARRA funds) following implementation. However, in a related analysis, I show that ARRA is negatively associated with state spending on student financial aid. Collectively, state policy trends and the ARRA analyses underscore the need for improved state policy in promoting college affordability, as an affordable college education is out of re...
Since 2012, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront... more
Since 2012, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront tuition). This paper proposes a theoretical model of PIF policies within a framework in which voters belonging to different income groups vote over the level of subsidies to higher education. We analyze the impact of two types of potential PIF policies—a deferred tuition approach and an income share approach—on college access and on voting equilibria over subsidy levels. The results show that college access is enhanced by PIF policies. The equilibrium level of subsidies depends crucially on the pattern of income distribution, in particular on the relationship between mean income and the income of the median income group, and on whether higher education widens or narrows the distribution of income. We show that the equilibrium level of subsidies to higher education will not necessarily decline under PIF, and may increase in some circumstances due to changes in college access for low-income groups. (JEL I22, I23)
Since 2012, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront... more
Since 2012, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront tuition). This paper proposes a theoretical model of PIF policies within a framework in which voters belonging to different income groups vote over the level of subsidies to higher education. We analyze the impact of two types of potential PIF policies—a deferred tuition approach and an income share approach—on college access and on voting equilibria over subsidy levels. The results show that college access is enhanced by PIF policies. The equilibrium level of subsidies depends crucially on the pattern of income distribution, in particular on the relationship between mean income and the income of the median income group, and on whether higher education widens or narrows the distribution of income. We show that the equilibrium level of subsidies to higher education will not necessarily decline under PIF, and may increase in some circumstances due to changes in college access for low-income groups.
Since 2013, more than 20 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront... more
Since 2013, more than 20 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront tuition). This paper proposes a theoretical model of PIF policies within a framework in which voters belonging to different income groups vote over the level of subsidies to higher education. We analyze the impact of two facets of potential PIF policies – a deferred tuition approach and an income share approach – on college access and on voting equilibria over subsidies levels. The results show that college access is enhanced by PIF policies. The equilibrium level of subsidies depends crucially on the pattern of income distribution, in particular on the relationship between mean income and the income of the median income group. We show that the equilibrium level of subsidies to higher education will not necessarily decline under PIF, and may increase in some equilibria due to changes in college access for low income groups. We also present a descriptive cross-country empirical analysis showing that there are higher levels of access to college credentials in countries with deferred tuition systems.
Many nation-states have realized the importance of tertiary education and the world has seen a corollary increase in tertiary education enrollments. Using Berry and Berry’s event history model as a framework, this study tests both the... more
Many nation-states have realized the importance of tertiary education and the world has seen a corollary increase in tertiary education enrollments. Using Berry and Berry’s event history model as a framework, this study tests both the internal features of each country and the influence that nation-states have on each other with regard to setting tertiary enrollment policies. As expanding tertiary education is an important policy worldwide, we use Trow’s classification to define two levels of tertiary education expansion: first, increasing gross tertiary enrollment rates above 15% (from elite to massified), and second, above 50% (from massified to universal). Analyzing a unique cross-national panel dataset, which spans the time period from 1999 to 2005, our findings show that both internal determinants (secondary education participation rates and the political landscape) as well as diffusion factors (proximity to a pioneering nation and regional variables) influence nations in settin...
This study considered the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition programs on alternative student-based revenue streams. It used a quasi-experimental, difference-in-difference methodology with a panel dataset of public four-year... more
This study considered the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition programs on alternative student-based revenue streams. It used a quasi-experimental, difference-in-difference methodology with a panel dataset of public four-year institutions from 2000–2012. Illinois' 2004 “Truth-in-Tuition” law was used as the policy of interest and the treatment condition. Following the introduction of Illinois' guaranteed tuition law, required fees and out-of-state tuition increased significantly at institutions subject to the law, but not the number or percent of out-of-state students. These results were robust to specifications with alternative comparison groups and the inclusion of state-specific linear time trends.
In Short • As tuition levels rise, predictability is increasingly important to consider in relation to college fi nances. • Guaranteed tuition plans offer students a fl at rate of tuition over their college career; students do not... more
In Short • As tuition levels rise, predictability is increasingly important to consider in relation to college fi nances. • Guaranteed tuition plans offer students a fl at rate of tuition over their college career; students do not experience annual increases in tuition. • The benefi ts of predictability are likely outweighed by the negative, unintended consequences of these programs, including a non-persistence penalty for students, higher in-state and out-of-state tuition levels, higher required fees, lower state appropriations, and misleading marketing. • Guaranteed tuition insulates students from the shocks of signifi cant and unexpected increases in the price of their education; however, the nuances of each program affect the extent to which the program addresses either tuition predictability or tuition levels. • Guaranteed tuition policies should be distinguished from other tuition policies, like tuition caps and freezes, that do not provide the same type of tuition predictability.
Page 1. State Spending On Higher Education: Testing the Balance Wheel over Time William R. Doyle Vanderbilt University Jennifer A. Delaney University of Wisconsin at Madison Paper prepared for the American Educational ...
This paper explores the role that state spending on higher education capital outlays plays in state budgets by considering the functional form of the relationship between state spending on higher education capital outlays and four types... more
This paper explores the role that state spending on higher education capital outlays plays in state budgets by considering the functional form of the relationship between state spending on higher education capital outlays and four types of state expenditures. Three possible functional forms are tested: a linear model, a quadratic model, and the balance wheel model. The balance wheel model posits that in good economic times, higher education is funded at a higher rate than other state budget categories. In bad economic times, higher education is often one of the first state budget categories to be cut and is cut more deeply than other state budget categories due, in part, to its ability to tap into alternative revenue streams. We find that capital outlays do not conform to the balance wheel model. Instead they appear to have a quadratic relationship with other state budget categories. We discuss the policy implications of these findings for both higher education leaders and state policymakers.
This study extends Trow’s theory of higher education development to examine changes in national-level tertiary education graduation rates. Applying Trow’s framework we arrive at three stages: (1) elite systems with gross tertiary... more
This study extends Trow’s theory of higher education development to examine changes in national-level tertiary education graduation rates. Applying Trow’s framework we arrive at three stages: (1) elite systems with gross tertiary graduation rates less than 15%, (2) massified systems with gross tertiary graduation rates between 15% and 50%, and (3) universal systems with gross tertiary graduation rates above 50%. This study conducts event history analyses using a unique cross-national panel dataset, which spans the time period from 1999–2005. Following the work of Berry and Berry, our event history analyses model both the internal features of each country and the influence that nation-states have on each other with regard to setting tertiary education graduation policy. We find significant influences of both internal determinants and diffusion factors. We find a positive, significant effect of membership in the OECD consistent across both the massified and universal thresholds. We also find a positive, significant effect of having a more stable political system for crossing the 15% threshold. In addition, being located near a pioneering nation, the UK, has a positive, significant effect of crossing the 50% threshold.
ISAs are an emerging and controversial mechanism for financing college in which individuals commit to pay a specified percentage of their future income in exchange for capital to pay for college. Utilizing nationally representative public... more
ISAs are an emerging and controversial mechanism for financing college in which individuals commit to pay a specified percentage of their future income in exchange for capital to pay for college. Utilizing nationally representative public opinion data, this study is among the first to characterize public views of ISAs.
This study focuses on Promise programs that provide financial awards to attend an individual postsecondary institution based on geographic location. Using data primarily from the Delta Cost Project Dataset and the Penn AHEAD database of... more
This study focuses on Promise programs that provide financial awards to attend an individual postsecondary institution based on geographic location. Using data primarily from the Delta Cost Project Dataset and the Penn AHEAD database of college Promise programs, we test internal determinants (postsecondary institutional characteristics, Promise program features, state context) and diffusion factors (geographic proximity and network membership) that contribute to the timing of the introduction of 49 Promise programs that limit attendance to a single two- or four-year institution and that were developed between fall academic years 1986-2014. Using event history analysis, we use Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models to show that both internal determinants and diffusion factors influence the likelihood of institutions establishing Promise programs. Being a two-year institution, having a philanthropic or government funder, and covering the costs of room and board as well as tuition are associated with an increased likelihood of having a program. The diffusion of Promise programs is also evident as institutions in states with more Promise programs of all types are more likely to establish single-institution programs. Two-year institutions in the Achieving the Dream network are not significantly more likely to introduce single-institution Promise programs than other community colleges. These findings provide conceptual and methodological contributions to understanding the factors that contribute to the spread of single-institution Promise programs.

Keywords: higher education; finance; student aid; event history analysis; promise programs

Citation: Delaney, J. A. & Leigh, E. (2019). “A Promising Trend? An Event History Analysis of Factors Associated with Establishing Single-Institution College Promise Programs” in Perna, L. W. and Smith, E. (Eds). Improving Research-Based Knowledge of College Promise Programs. AERA Publications.
Background: Numerous studies have addressed the determinants of higher education appropriations. Extending prior studies that only consider the relationship between higher education and one other state budget category, Delaney and Doyle... more
Background: Numerous studies have addressed the determinants of higher education appropriations. Extending prior studies that only consider the relationship between higher education and one other state budget category, Delaney and Doyle develop and test an empirical model of the relationship between higher education and all other budget categories. Delaney and Doyle propose that higher education takes the form of a balance wheel in state budgets. They find that higher education is cut more than other budget categories in bad budget years and given larger increases in good budget years. Although previous work advances understanding of how states budget for higher education, it is limited in the length of time considered.

Purpose: This study makes two important contributions to the literature. First, it documents changes in the amount of volatility in state funding for higher education. Second, it identifies patterns in the volatility, and does so over a longer time period than has been investigated in past research, using data that spans over a half century (1951–2006).

Research Design: This study uses a unique panel dataset spanning the period from 1951 to 2006 to quantitatively document changes in the extent of volatility in state funding for higher education. It also identifies and tests for patterns of volatility.

Findings: We find that the level of volatility in state budgeting for higher education has changed over time. We also find evidence of linear (incremental), quadratic (countercyclical), and cubic (balance wheel) patterns of volatility at different points in time.

Recommendations: Our findings indicate that the role of higher education in state budgets is not static and has varied over time. In policy discussions about higher education funding, we think it is important to consider both absolute funding levels and the amount of volatility in funding. We recommend that higher education leaders discuss not only funding levels with their state legislatures, but also discuss volatility in funding patterns. States and higher education have operated under different funding relationships in the past; therefore, it seems possible that policymakers and higher education officials could change their current funding relationship to conform to a pattern that better serves the needs of the state, institutions, and students.
This study considered the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition programs on alternative student-based revenue streams. It used a quasi-experimental, difference-in-difference methodology with a panel dataset of public four-year... more
This study considered the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition programs on alternative student-based revenue streams. It used a quasi-experimental, difference-in-difference methodology with a panel dataset of public four-year institutions from 2000–2012. Illinois’ 2004 “Truth-in-Tuition” law was used as the policy of interest and the treatment condition. Following the introduction of Illinois’ guaranteed tuition law, required fees and out-of-state tuition increased significantly at institutions subject to the law, but not the number or percent of out-of-state students. These results were robust to specifications with alternative comparison groups and the inclusion of state-specific linear time trends.
* As tuition levels rise, predictability is increasingly important to consider in relation to college finances. * Guaranteed tuition plans offer students a flat rate of tuition over their college career; students do not experience annual... more
* As tuition levels rise, predictability is increasingly important to consider in relation to college finances.
* Guaranteed tuition plans offer students a flat rate of tuition over their college career; students do not experience annual increases in tuition.
* The benefits of predictability are likely outweighed by the negative, unintended consequences of these programs, including a non-persistence penalty for students, higher in-state and out-of-state tuition levels, higher required fees, lower state appropriations, and misleading marketing.
* Guaranteed tuition insulates students from the shocks of significant and unexpected increases in the price of their education; however, the nuances of each program affect the extent to which the program addresses either tuition predictability or tuition levels.
* Guaranteed tuition policies should be distinguished from other tuition policies, like tuition caps and freezes, that do not provide the same type of tuition predictability.
Many nation-states have realized the importance of tertiary education and the world has seen a corollary increase in tertiary education enrollments. Using Berry and Berry’s event history model as a framework, this study tests both the... more
Many nation-states have realized the importance of tertiary education and the world has seen a corollary increase in tertiary education enrollments. Using Berry and Berry’s event history model as a framework, this study tests both the internal features of each country and the influence that nation-states have on each other with regard to setting tertiary enrollment policies. As expanding tertiary education is an important policy worldwide, we use Trow’s classification to define two levels of tertiary education expansion: first, increasing gross tertiary enrollment rates above 15% (from elite to massified), and second, above 50% (from massified to universal). Analyzing a unique cross-national panel dataset, which spans the time period from 1999 to 2005, our findings show that both internal determinants (secondary education participation rates and the political landscape) as well as diffusion factors (proximity to a pioneering nation and regional variables) influence nations in setting tertiary enrollment policies.
This study explores the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition laws on state general appropriations for higher education. Using the “Truth-in-Tuition” law that was implemented in Illinois in 2004 as the treatment condition, this study... more
This study explores the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition laws on state general appropriations for higher education. Using the “Truth-in-Tuition” law that was implemented in Illinois in 2004 as the treatment condition, this study analyzes data from 2000–2012. To test the direction and size of the effect on state general appropriations, this work uses a quasi-experimental, difference-in-difference methodology with a national panel data set of public four-year institutions. Institutions in Illinois experienced significant decreases in state appropriations following the introduction of the guaranteed-tuition law compared to the secular trend. In the baseline model presented in this paper, the magnitude of the cut to higher-education institutions is shown to be $29.6 million, or approximately 20%, compared to the 2004 mean, on average, as compared to institutions that were not subject to guaranteed tuition laws. Both the direction and the magnitude of the finding are robust to alternative specifications, including models that compare institutions with similar governance structures and, Carnegie classifications, and in models that consider the impact over time. Inferences about the merits of guaranteed tuition laws are also discussed.
We created a 5 minute audio slide presentation about our Economics of Education Review paper entitled, The impact of guaranteed tuition policies on postsecondary tuition levels: A difference-in-difference approach.
This study considers the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition programs on postsecondary tuition levels. The analytic framework argues that state-level laws requiring flat tuition rates for four years contain inflationary risk, which... more
This study considers the impact of state-level guaranteed tuition programs on postsecondary tuition levels. The analytic framework argues that state-level laws requiring flat tuition rates for four years contain inflationary risk, which encourages institutions to set tuition higher than they otherwise would with annual adjustments. To empirically test this idea, this study uses a national panel dataset and a quasi-experimental difference-in-difference methodological approach, with Illinois’ Truth-in-Tuition law serving as the treatment condition. On average, institutions subject to this law increased annual tuition by approximately 26-30% and aggregate four-year tuition by approximately 6-7% in excess of the amount predicted by the trend for institutions not subject to the law. These findings are robust to multiple alternative specifications and support the idea that state-level guaranteed tuition programs encourage large institutional tuition increases. Implications of these findings for state policymakers, higher education institutional leaders, and college-age students and their families are also discussed.
A study of 37 nations finds that nations with an up-front tuition policy like the one used in the U.S. lag in rates of postsecondary completion when compared with nations that have deferred, dual track, and no or only nominal tuition... more
A study of 37 nations finds that nations with an up-front tuition policy like the one used in the U.S. lag in rates of postsecondary completion when compared with nations that have deferred, dual track, and no or only nominal tuition policies. The authors recommend exploring alternative tuition models to help achieve higher rates of postsecondary completion in the U.S.
This article considers trends in state policies that determine college affordability, including trends in state general appropriations, institutional tuition and fees, and state student financial aid. Taken together, these trends... more
This article considers trends in state policies that determine college affordability, including trends in state general appropriations, institutional tuition and fees, and state student financial aid. Taken together, these trends demonstrate erosion in college affordability. This article also examines one recent federal policy intervention that has shaped state policy for higher education affordability, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA). My analysis of ARRA shows that the “maintenance of effort” provision in the law was effective, as there was no drop in state general appropriations for higher education (including federal ARRA funds) following implementation. However, in a related analysis, I show that ARRA is negatively associated with state spending on student financial aid. Collectively, state policy trends and the ARRA analyses underscore the need for improved state policy in promoting college affordability, as an affordable college education is out of reach for an increasing proportion of students.
This paper explores the role that state spending on higher education capital outlays plays in state budgets by considering the functional form of the relationship between state spending on higher education capital outlays and four types... more
This paper explores the role that state spending on higher education capital outlays plays in state budgets by considering the functional form of the relationship between state spending on higher education capital outlays and four types of state expenditures. Three possible functional forms are tested: a linear model, a quadratic model, and the balance wheel model. The balance wheel model posits that in good economic times, higher education is funded at a higher rate than other state budget categories. In bad economic times, higher education is often one of the first state budget categories to be cut and is cut more deeply than other state budget categories due, in part, to its ability to tap into alternative revenue streams. We find that capital outlays do not conform to the balance wheel model. Instead they appear to have a quadratic relationship with other state budget categories. We discuss the policy implications of these findings for both higher education leaders and state policymakers.
College affordability is an issue of major concern for students and families. Need-based aid is one way to tackle this issue, but as more students apply for grants, fewer are able to receive aid. Illinois needs to invest more in programs... more
College affordability is an issue of major concern for students and families. Need-based aid is one way to tackle this issue, but as more students apply for grants, fewer are able to receive aid. Illinois needs to invest more in programs such as the Monetary Award Program in order to maintain college access for today's students. Student debt topped $1 trillion dollars nationally in 2013. More should be done to help borrowers manage student debt in order to maintain an accessible higher education system in Illinois.
In recent years, the world has seen an increase in the number of college enrollments and graduates. The world has also experienced a growth in the use of tuition fees and changes in the manner through which nations assess tuition fees.... more
In recent years, the world has seen an increase in the number of college enrollments and graduates. The world has also experienced a growth in the use of tuition fees and changes in the manner through which nations assess tuition fees. Understanding the different types of funding mechanisms is vital to learning more about the factors that influence national investment in students’ enrollment in and graduation from tertiary education. This study tests both the features internal to each nation and diffusion factors
that predict the timing of events related to tertiary education policy for enrollment and graduation. We do this by considering the effect of different types of tuition fee structures across nations.
In 2009, President Obama announced a goal that the U.S. would once again have the world’s highest proportion of college graduates among its young adults by 2020 (U.S. Department of Education 2011). In this contemporary volume on higher... more
In 2009, President Obama announced a goal that the U.S. would once again have the world’s highest proportion of college graduates among its young adults by 2020 (U.S. Department of Education 2011). In this contemporary volume on higher education finance, authors William Zumeta, David W. Breneman, Patrick M. Callan, and Joni Finney, along with chapter contributor William R. Doyle, while not endorsing Obama’s specific plan, make two distinguishing contributions related to this goal. They present evidence supporting the merits of increasing college completions and discuss specific finance policies that may be used to pursue this goal. The book argues that “[t]he consequences of maintaining current financing policies and practices are that the national and state needs for major improvements in higher education opportunity and attainment will not be met, with serious negative implications for competitiveness in the global economy and for equity in American society” (p. 161). The first six chapters of the book can roughly be characterized as an environmental scan that justifies a goal of increasing completions and more broadly increasing investment in postsecondary education. Though policy ideas are referenced throughout the book, Chapter 7 is dedicated to exploring specific federal and state policies in greater detail.

And 17 more

Authored and Edited by Walter W. McMahon and Jennifer A. Delaney ISBN: 979-821804838-9 This volume presents original research on the external social benefits of higher education. The external benefits of higher education are the public,... more
Authored and Edited by Walter W. McMahon and Jennifer A. Delaney

ISBN: 979-821804838-9

This volume presents original research on the external social benefits of higher education. The external benefits of higher education are the public, or social, benefits that flow to others, including future generations. These are distinguished from private benefits such as individual earnings. We are excited to present this research because these and other external social benefits are shown to be central to productivity growth, economic growth, broader per capita development, and hence to human well-being.

This book is the first and only known comprehensive documentation of the theory, size, and estimated value of the external individual and total social benefits of higher education. This is shown to be a key source of per capita total factor productivity growth and the main rationale on efficiency grounds in economics for public support. The book features the discovery and estimates of five new previously unidentified social benefits of higher education, as well as strong new empirical evidence strengthening the case for significant positive effects on democratization that interacts with human rights, political stability, and, indirectly through these, on higher per capita growth and development. The book also includes endogenization of new ideas through investment in the education of graduate students leading to careers in research and development. These social benefits of higher education, often modest in the short run, are, in the long run, essential to the improved well-being of individuals, communities, and nations.

AUTHORS AND EDITORS
Walter W. McMahon is a Professor Emeritus of Economics and Education at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.

Jennifer A. Delaney is an Associate Professor of Higher Education in the Department of Education Policy, Organization and Leadership at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.
Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education Edited by Jennifer A. Delaney The severity of cuts and the unpredictability in state funding for higher education have garnered headlines across the nation since the turn of the present... more
Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education

Edited by Jennifer A. Delaney

The severity of cuts and the unpredictability in state funding for higher education have garnered headlines across the nation since the turn of the present century. In this context, the authors in this new groundbreaking volume argue that too little attention is paid to the consequences of volatility in funding, as most discussions focus on levels of funding. Their research addresses an important blind spot in the academic literature since predictability matters—to institutions, students, families, and states. In addition, the risks of operating in an uncertain financial environment have led to behaviors that are not always in the best interests of states, institutions, faculty, students, or the public good.
Research Interests:
Research Interests:
2015 Journal of Education Finance Outstanding Article of the Year Award. Awarded for: Delaney, J. A. & Kearney, T. D. (2015). Guaranteed tuition policies and state general appropriations for higher education: A difference-in-difference... more
2015 Journal of Education Finance Outstanding Article of the Year Award. Awarded for: Delaney, J. A. & Kearney, T. D. (2015). Guaranteed tuition policies and state general appropriations for higher education: A difference-in-difference analysis. Journal of Education Finance 40(4), 359-390.
Research Interests:
The Charles F. Elton Best Paper Award celebrates the scholarly papers presented at the AIR annual conference (Forum) that best exemplify the standards of excellence established by the award's namesake and that make significant... more
The Charles F. Elton Best Paper Award celebrates the scholarly papers presented at the AIR annual conference (Forum) that best exemplify the standards of excellence established by the award's namesake and that make significant contributions to the field of IR. The purpose of the award is to promote scholarship and to acknowledge that AIR members make a wide variety of scholarly contributions to the field, ranging from theory to practice.
2014 Association for Institutional Research Charles F. Elton Best Paper Award.
Awarded for: Delaney, J. A. & Kearney, T. D. (2015). Guaranteed tuition policies and state general appropriations for higher education: A difference-in-difference analysis. Journal of Education Finance 40(4), 359-390.
Research Interests:
Journal of Education Finance Outstanding Article of the Year Award.
Awarded for: Delaney, J. A., & Doyle, W. R. (2011). State spending on higher education: Testing the balance wheel over time. Journal of Education Finance, 36(4), 343-368.
Research Interests:
With support from Lumina Foundation for Education, the Association for the Study of Higher Education (ASHE) announces the ASHE/Lumina Foundation Fellowship Program. The key objective of this initiative is to promote innovative scholarship... more
With support from Lumina Foundation for Education, the Association for the Study of Higher Education (ASHE) announces the ASHE/Lumina Foundation Fellowship Program. The key objective of this initiative is to promote innovative scholarship by creating an intergenerational community of scholars who will examine social, institutional, and policy barriers to opportunity and student success. Our goal is the development of new research questions, methodologies, and frameworks for the study of access and success that go beyond what is already known about critical topics related to, for example, college choice, financial aid, and student retention.
Research Interests:
A February 2020 webinar entitled, Exploring Idaho’s Direct Admission Plan, sponsored by Hack the Gates and ACCEPT.
Delaney, J. A. (2017). "A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of "Promise" Financial Aid Programs on Postsecondary Institutions" Paper presentation. National Education Finance Academy. Cincinnatti, OH.
Delaney, J. A. (2016) "A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of 'Promise' Financial Aid Programs" University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Higher Education Collaborative Brownbag.
Research Interests:
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (2016). Inside the Black Box: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Promises Kept? New Research on... more
Delaney, J. A. &  Hemenway, B. (2016). Inside the Black Box: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Promises Kept? New Research on Geographically-Based, Early Commitment Student Financial Aid Programs. Paper presentation. Association for the Study of Higher Education. Columbus, OH.
Delaney, J. A. (2016). The Perils of Unpredictability: The Consequences of Uncertainty in State Appropriations for Higher Education. State Governance and Higher Education. Paper presentation. Council on Public Policy in Higher Education,... more
Delaney, J. A. (2016). The Perils of Unpredictability: The Consequences of Uncertainty in State Appropriations for Higher Education. State Governance and Higher Education. Paper presentation. Council on Public Policy in Higher Education, ASHE. Columbus, OH.
Delaney, J. A. (2016). The State of Affordability. Discussant. Council for Public Policy and Higher Education, ASHE. Columbus, OH.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (2016). A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of “Promise” Financial Aid Programs on Postsecondary Institutions. University of Illinois Office for Planning and Budgeting In-service. Urbana, IL.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (2016) Inside the Black Box: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Paper presentation. Focus on Illinois... more
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (2016) Inside the Black Box: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Paper presentation. Focus on Illinois Education Research Symposium. Bloomington, IL.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (2016) Inside the Black Box: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Paper presentation. International... more
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (2016) Inside the Black Box: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Shifts in Postsecondary Institution Spending Patterns in Response to “Promise” Financial Aid Programs. Paper presentation. International Institute of Public Finance Conference. South Lake Tahoe, NV.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (4/16). "A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of "Promise" Financial Aid Programs on Postsecondary Institutions" Paper presentation. Midwest Political Science Association Annual Conference. Chicago, IL.
Delaney, J. A. (4/16). “Educating Diverse Populations: Examining outcomes for immigrants and minority groups” Discussant. Midwest Political Science Association Annual Conference. Chicago, IL.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (4/16). "A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of “Promise” Financial Aid Programs and Postsecondary Institutions" Roundtable presentation (presented by Hemenway). American Educational Research Association.... more
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (4/16). "A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of “Promise” Financial Aid Programs and Postsecondary Institutions" Roundtable presentation (presented by Hemenway). American Educational Research Association. Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B.  (3/16). "A Difference-inDifference
Analysis of “Promise” Financial Aid Programs on Postsecondary
Institutions" Paper presentation. Association for Education Finance and Policy Annual Conference. Denver, CO.
Delaney, J. A. (3/16). "The Impact of Public Policy on Higher Education: Grants, Loans, and Postgraduate Outcomes" Discussant and Chair. Association for Education Finance and Policy Annual Conference. Denver, CO.
Delaney, J. A. (3/16). "Student Financial Aid II" Chair. Association for Education Finance and Policy. Denver, CO.
Delaney, J. A. (11/15). “Student Response to Financial Aid” Chair. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Denver, CO.
Delaney, J. A. (11/15). “State Policy Adoption” Discussant. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Denver, CO.
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (10/15). "Does a Promise Stay a Promise? A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Universal-Eligilibility Financial Aid Programs on Postsecondary Institutions" Paper presentation. Focus on Illinois Education... more
Delaney, J. A. & Hemenway, B. (10/15). "Does a Promise Stay a Promise? A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Universal-Eligilibility Financial Aid Programs on Postsecondary Institutions" Paper presentation. Focus on Illinois Education Research Symposium.
Since 2013, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront... more
Since 2013, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront tuition). This paper proposes a theoretical model of PIF policies within a framework in which voters belonging to different income groups vote over the level of subsidies to higher education. We analyze the impact of two facets of potential PIF policies – a deferred tuition approach and an income share approach – on college access and on voting equilibria over subsidy levels. The results show that college access is enhanced by PIF policies. The equilibrium level of subsidies depends crucially on the pattern of income distribution, in particular on the relationship between mean income and the income of the median income group. We show that the equilibrium level of subsidies to higher education will not necessarily decline under PIF, and may increase in some equilibria due to changes in college access for low income groups. We also present a descriptive cross-country empirical analysis showing that there are higher levels of access to college credentials in countries with deferred tuition systems.
Delaney, J. A. (4/15). “Performance-Based Funding and State Investment in Higher Education” Discussant. American Educational Research Association Annual Conference. Chicago, IL.
Since 2013, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront... more
Since 2013, at least 24 states have considered legislation on Pay It Forward (PIF) models of higher education finance (which enable students to pay the price of college upon departure from an institution, as opposed to paying upfront tuition). This paper proposes a theoretical model of PIF policies within a framework in which voters belonging to different income groups vote over the level of subsidies to higher education. We analyze the impact of two facets of potential PIF policies – a deferred tuition approach and an income share approach – on college access and on voting equilibria over subsidy levels. The results show that college access is enhanced by PIF policies. The equilibrium level of subsidies depends crucially on the pattern of income distribution, in particular on the relationship between mean income and the income of the median income group. We show that the equilibrium level of subsidies to higher education will not necessarily decline under PIF, and may increase in some equilibria due to changes in college access for low income groups. We also present a descriptive cross-country empirical analysis showing that there are higher levels of access to college credentials in countries with deferred tuition systems.
Delaney, J. A. (2/15). “’Pay It Forward’ and Higher Education Subsidies: A Theoretical Model” Poster presentation. Association for Education Finance and Policy Annual Conference. Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. (12/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition on Tuition Levels, State Appropriations, & Alternative Revenues: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Invited presentation. Illinois Board of Higher Education Faculty Advisory... more
Delaney, J. A. (12/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition on Tuition Levels, State Appropriations, & Alternative Revenues: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Invited presentation. Illinois Board of Higher Education Faculty Advisory Committee. Springfield, IL.
Delaney, J. A. (11/14). “State Performance Funding: Critiquing Policy Rhetoric” Discussant. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. (11/14). “Guaranteed Tuition Policies and Alternative Revenue Streams for Higher Education Institutions: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis” Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. (11/14). “The State of Performance Funding in the States: Origin, Design, Implementation, and Effects” Moderator. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Council on Public Policy in Higher... more
Delaney, J. A. (11/14). “The State of Performance Funding in the States: Origin, Design, Implementation, and Effects” Moderator. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Council on Public Policy in Higher Education. Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. (11/14). “Practical Significance of Policy Work” Discussant. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. Council on Public Policy in Higher Education. Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. & Kearney, T. D. (10/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition Policies on Postsecondary Tuition Levels: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Paper presentation. Illinois Association for Institutional Research Annual... more
Delaney, J. A. & Kearney, T. D. (10/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition Policies on Postsecondary Tuition Levels: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Paper presentation. Illinois Association for Institutional Research Annual Conference, Naperville, IL.
Delaney, J. A. (10/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition Policies on Postsecondary Tuition Levels: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Paper presentation. Illinois Education Research Council 2014 Focus on Illinois Education Research... more
Delaney, J. A. (10/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition Policies on Postsecondary Tuition Levels: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Paper presentation. Illinois Education Research Council 2014 Focus on Illinois Education Research Symposium, Bloomington, IL.
Delaney, J. A. (10/14). “Pay It Forward” and Higher Education Subsidies: A Theoretical Model. Invited Presentation. Higher Education Collaborative Brownbag. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
Delaney, J. A. (5/14). “What We Have is Broke: Problems with Current System and System Wide Fixes” American Bankruptcy Institute Student Debt Symposium. Moderator. Georgetown Law Center, Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. (5/14). “Avoiding Bankruptcy, What Options Exist (and Are Accessible)” American Bankruptcy Institute Student Debt Symposium. Moderator. Georgetown Law Center, Washington, DC.
Delaney, J. A. & Kearney, T. D. (5/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition Policies on Postsecondary Tuition Levels: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Paper session. Association for Institutional Research Annual Forum. Orlando, FL.
Delaney, J. A. (4/14). “Guaranteed Tuition Policies and State General Appropriations for Higher Education: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis” Paper session. National Education Finance Conference. Louisville, KY.
Delaney, J. A. (4/14). “A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Guaranteed Tuition Policies and Higher Education Enrollments and Completions” Roundtable presentation. American Educational Research Association Annual Conference.... more
Delaney, J. A. (4/14). “A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Guaranteed Tuition Policies and Higher Education Enrollments and Completions” Roundtable presentation. American Educational Research Association Annual Conference. Philadelphia, PA.
Delaney, J. A. (4/14). “Tuition Pricing Policy and Underrepresented Students” Discussant. American Educational Research Association Annual Conference. Philadelphia, PA.
Delaney, J. A. (4/14). “Guaranteed Tuition Policies and State General Appropriations for Higher Education: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis” Roundtable presentation. American Educational Research Association Annual Conference.... more
Delaney, J. A. (4/14). “Guaranteed Tuition Policies and State General Appropriations for Higher Education: A Difference-in-Difference Analysis” Roundtable presentation. American Educational Research Association Annual Conference. Philadelphia, PA.
Delaney, J. A. (3/14). “The Impact of Guaranteed Tuition Policies on Postsecondary Tuition Levels: A Difference-in-Difference Approach” Paper presentation. Association for Education Finance and Policy Annual Conference. San Antonio, TX.
Delaney, J. A. (3/14). “A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Guaranteed Tuition Policies and Higher Education” Invited Presentation. Higher Education Collaborative brownbag and Hardie Faculty Fellows presentation. University of Illinois... more
Delaney, J. A. (3/14). “A Difference-in-Difference Analysis of Guaranteed Tuition Policies and Higher Education” Invited Presentation. Higher Education Collaborative brownbag and Hardie Faculty Fellows presentation. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
Delaney, J. A. (11/13). “States Squeeze Play: Institutions Reactions to Economic Change” Discussant. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. St. Louis, MO.
Delaney, J. A. (11/13). “Decision Making and Graduate School Debt: A Focus on Master’s Students” Symposium. Association for the Study of Higher Education Annual Conference. St. Louis, MO.
Delaney, J. A. (9/13). “The Liberal Arts and Sciences in the Land Grant Tradition Presentation by Roger L. Geiger” Respondent. A New Deal for the Humanities Conference. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
Delaney, J. A. (9/13). “Unintended Policy Consequences of Guaranteed Tuition” Invited presentation. WISCAPE brownbag. Madison, WI.
Testimony Prepared for the
Illinois General Assembly
Senate Committee of the Whole
June 16, 2015
Springfield, IL

Dr. Jennifer A. Delaney
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Research by Delaney and Kearney cited in a State Council of Higher Education for Virginia report on guaranteed tuition.
New models of funding higher education are currently being considered in debates throughout America. One recent debate concerns funding through “Pay It Forward” (PIF) programs. Since 2013, at least 24 states have considered legislation on... more
New models of funding higher education are currently being considered in debates throughout America. One recent debate concerns funding through “Pay It Forward” (PIF) programs. Since 2013, at least 24 states have considered legislation on PIF models of higher education finance. While details differ, the rapid proliferation of PIF program proposals shows a willingness to move from the current system of upfront payment to an income-based system of payment after leaving college.
This is the question that we asked in a recent policy brief that was released through the Wisconsin Center for the Advancement of Postsecondary Education. This policy brief is based on our prior work on cross-national higher education... more
This is the question that we asked in a recent policy brief that was released through the Wisconsin Center for the Advancement of Postsecondary Education. This policy brief is based on our prior work on cross-national higher education policy diffusion that considered postsecondary enrollment levels, completion levels, and the role of different types of tuition systems.
Recent years have seen large increases in the cost of a college degree, with higher education institutions becoming more reliant on tuition fees rather than state funding. Part of 2009’s American Recovery and Reinvestment Act had the aim... more
Recent years have seen large increases in the cost of a college degree, with higher education institutions becoming more reliant on tuition fees rather than state funding.  Part of 2009’s American Recovery and Reinvestment Act had the aim of incentivizing states to spend more on higher education and to improve college affordability. Using a dataset spanning nine years and 50 states,  Jennifer A. Delaney takes a close look at the policy’s effects. She finds that while states did not cut their appropriations for higher education, they do appear to have reduced student aid — a category of spending not specified in the legislation. She argues that if college is to remain affordable, future federal matching fund programs need to consider all types of state spending on higher education.
A few scholars have written about efficiency in higher education at a conceptual level and the tension among access (equity), quality, and efficiency. In addition, a couple scholars have applied ideas of adequacy to the study of equity in... more
A few scholars have written about efficiency in higher education at a conceptual level and the tension among access (equity), quality, and efficiency. In addition, a couple scholars have applied ideas of adequacy to the study of equity in higher education. However, we believe that more research like this should be done in the fields of higher education finance and public policy.
In his 2014 State of the State address, Governor Quinn proposed doubling funding for the Illinois Monetary Awards Program (MAP). “So, over the next five years – let’s double the number of MAP college scholarships for students in need in... more
In his 2014 State of the State address, Governor Quinn proposed doubling funding for the Illinois Monetary Awards Program (MAP). “So, over the next five years – let’s double the number of MAP college scholarships for students in need in Illinois. Our MAP scholarship program currently helps 140,000 students go to college.” He argued that “By doubling the number of MAP scholarships, we can make sure deserving students in need are equipped to excel in the 21st century workplace.”

In this blog posting I address the following questions:

Will doubling MAP result in all eligible students receiving an award?

What will it cost to double MAP?

Do students who are eligible for MAP really need the award?
States tend to recover more slowly than does the general economy because states need to wait for taxes to be levied in order to see their state treasuries rebound. Hence, recovery on state spending for higher education tends to lag behind... more
States tend to recover more slowly than does the general economy because states need to wait for taxes to be levied in order to see their state treasuries rebound. Hence, recovery on state spending for higher education tends to lag behind general economic recoveries.
One way to think about how well states are doing in supplying need-based grant aid is to compare the efforts of each state to the amount that the federal government spends on need-based aid in each state through the Pell grant program.... more
One way to think about how well states are doing in supplying need-based grant aid is to compare the efforts of each state to the amount that the federal government spends on need-based aid in each state through the Pell grant program. Need-based grant aid is aid that is awarded to students who show demonstrated financial need (or are low-income). My research shows show the remarkable extent of the erosion of state support for need-based aid. This trend towards reducing the amount spent on need-based aid in the states as compared to the federal investment in Pell grants has concerning implications for college affordability. The solution is for states to reinvigorate their investment in need-based student financial aid. Not to do so will mean that many students will continue to lack the financial resources to make their college dreams a reality.
Just nine states provide 72.6% of all need-based undergraduate grant aid in the US. The other 41 states’ collective effort amounts to only 27.4% of the total effort made by states in this area. Given this uneven distribution of state... more
Just nine states provide 72.6% of all need-based undergraduate grant aid in the US. The other 41 states’ collective effort amounts to only 27.4% of the total effort made by states in this area. Given this uneven distribution of state need-based grant aid across the country, students’ prospects for college are largely shaped by where they live.
Today it is almost impossible to discuss college affordability without also considering the impact of affordability on the level of student indebtedness. This blog post considers recent data from the College Board and the Project on... more
Today it is almost impossible to discuss college affordability without also considering the impact of affordability on the level of student indebtedness. This blog post considers recent data from the College Board and the Project on Student Debt about current student debt levels and offers links to relevant articles and policy proposals about student debt.
Earlier this year, Zócalo Public Square asked several higher education policy experts: Will America’s public universities remain competitive with elite private universities in their teaching and research? Several researchers and experts... more
Earlier this year, Zócalo Public Square asked several higher education policy experts: Will America’s public universities remain competitive with elite private universities in their teaching and research? Several researchers and experts responded (you can view the full discussion here). Among them was Forum Fellow and University of Illinois Assistant Professor, Dr. Jennifer Delaney.
We’ve long been proud of our great public universities in the United States. Historically, they’ve been both superb and inexpensive. The University of California system has long represented a pinnacle of scholarship, even as it has helped... more
We’ve long been proud of our great public universities in the United States. Historically, they’ve been both superb and inexpensive. The University of California system has long represented a pinnacle of scholarship, even as it has helped to make higher education affordable to thousands of Californians. But now UC and other state schools across the nation have been subject to severe cuts, and tuitions have been rising. With fewer resources, state schools now have a tougher time holding their own against elite private universities. In advance of the Zócalo event “Can the Next President Put Public Universities Back On Top?” we asked several education policy mavens for their thoughts on the following question: Will America’s public universities remain competitive with elite private universities in their teaching and research?
November 6, 2023 Article By Susan H. Greenberg The Common Application is expanding its direct admissions efforts, this month partnering with 70 institutions in 28 states to offer proactive admission to more than 200,000 prospective... more
November 6, 2023
Article By  Susan H. Greenberg

The Common Application is expanding its direct admissions efforts, this month partnering with 70 institutions in 28 states to offer proactive admission to more than 200,000 prospective college students, Education Week reported.
Taylor Odle, Jennifer A. Delaney, and Preston Magouirk October 23, 2023 - Students enter the college application process on unequal footing – with various levels of financial, social, and cultural capital they can rely on to navigate... more
Taylor Odle, Jennifer A. Delaney, and Preston Magouirk
October 23, 2023

- Students enter the college application process on unequal footing – with various levels of financial, social, and cultural capital they can rely on to navigate it.

- At least 10 states and hundreds of colleges and universities have begun “direct admissions” programs, which proactively admit students using data like their GPA and ACT/SAT scores rather than asking them to apply.

- Simplifying the college application process is one necessary but still insufficient way to broaden access to higher education.
An emerging university admissions system is helping underprivileged applicants by reversing the traditional process.
OpEd by Jenifer A. Delaney Higher education is the third-largest budget category of state spending. Total state spending on public higher education in the United States reached a whopping $108.1 billion in the 2022 fiscal year. However,... more
OpEd by Jenifer A. Delaney
Higher education is the third-largest budget category of state spending. Total state spending on public higher education in the United States reached a whopping $108.1 billion in the 2022 fiscal year. However, nationwide higher-education support has shrunk from 10.2 percent of total state budgets in the 2019 fiscal year (before the pandemic) to 8.7 percent in the 2022 fiscal year. That rapid change in spending levels over a short period has resulted in an unpredictable environment.
Article By Eric Hoover August 22, 2023 Direct-admissions offers prompted more students to apply to college but did not influence their enrollment behavior, a new study found. The results, released on Tuesday, suggest that an automatic... more
Article By Eric Hoover
August 22, 2023

Direct-admissions offers prompted more students to apply to college but did not influence their enrollment behavior, a new study found. The results, released on Tuesday, suggest that an automatic acceptance alone isn’t a college-access game-changer.
Article by Emma Davis
August 23, 2023

Students are twice as likely to take steps toward enrollment at a college that offers them direct admission, according to a new, national Common App study.
Article by Jeremy Bauer-Wolf
August 22, 2023

The organization began piloting the model in 2021, with the latest iteration sending 33,000 automatic admissions offers to students at 13 colleges.
Article by Jon Edelman Aug 22, 2023 For a prospective college student beleaguered by the complexities of the application process, direct admissions is like a dream come true. If their GPA or standardized test scores are high enough,... more
Article by Jon Edelman
Aug 22, 2023

For a prospective college student beleaguered by the complexities of the application process, direct admissions is like a dream come true. If their GPA or standardized test scores are high enough, colleges with direct admissions programs will send them acceptance letters without their even having to apply. All that’s required of them is to return a simplified form with no supplemental questions or essays. A fee waiver is included, to boot.
Article by Susan H. Greenberg August 23, 2023 Large-scale study finds that guaranteeing free, simplified admission increases college applications from minoritized, low-income and first-gen students, but cost still deters them from... more
Article by Susan H. Greenberg
August 23, 2023

Large-scale study finds that guaranteeing free, simplified admission increases college applications from minoritized, low-income and first-gen students, but cost still deters them from enrolling.
Article by April Rubin (August 22, 2023)

Students are being admitted to an expanding number of colleges without a human ever looking at their application.
In April, AERA published Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education, edited by Jennifer A. Delaney. Under Delaney’s leadership, the collected chapters in this book draw attention to the role of predictability in state support for... more
In April, AERA published Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education, edited by Jennifer A. Delaney. Under Delaney’s leadership, the collected chapters in this book draw attention to the role of predictability in state support for higher education.
APR 25, 2023 10:15 AM ARTICLE BY SHARITA FORREST Jennifer Delaney is a professor of higher education in the department of education policy, organization and leadership at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. She has co-written... more
APR 25, 2023 10:15 AM
ARTICLE BY SHARITA FORREST
Jennifer Delaney is a professor of higher education in the department of education policy, organization and leadership at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. She has co-written studies that examine the impact of direct college admissions – where all students who attain certain high school GPAs are automatically admitted. Delaney spoke with News Bureau education editor Sharita Forrest about this trend and the implications for equity and diversity.
Research Interests:
This April, AERA will release Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education, a pioneering book led by volume editor Jennifer A. Delaney (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign). Emanating from an AERA research conference, this volume... more
This April, AERA will release Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education, a pioneering book led by volume editor Jennifer A. Delaney (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign). Emanating from an AERA research conference, this volume frames new issues and breaks new ground.
This April, AERA will release Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education, a pioneering book led by volume editor Jennifer Delaney, professor in the Department of Education Policy, Organization and Leadership at the University of... more
This April, AERA will release Volatility in State Spending for Higher Education, a pioneering book led by volume editor Jennifer Delaney, professor in the Department of Education Policy, Organization and Leadership at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. Emanating from an AERA research conference, this volume frames new issues and breaks new ground.
Article by Sharita Forest Universities’ subsidization of their athletic programs decreased while these programs’ spending increased when a college sports TV network was introduced in their conference, according to a study by then-graduate... more
Article by Sharita Forest
Universities’ subsidization of their athletic programs decreased while these programs’ spending increased when a college sports TV network was introduced in their conference, according to a study by then-graduate student Tyler Kearney, currently the associate vice president for finance and administration at Louisiana State University; and Jennifer A. Delaney, a professor of education policy, organization and leadership at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.
The Chronicle of Higher Education
article by Eric Hoover
FEBRUARY 13, 2023
News report on tuition increases at UIUC (video link)
Interview by Aliza Majid
Article by Ianne Salvosa Jan 17, 2023 3:52 AM The maximum Pell Grant award is set to increase by $500 in the next academic year, but experts said the rise will pay little dividends for recipients who attend GW as tuition continues to rise... more
Article by Ianne Salvosa Jan 17, 2023 3:52 AM
The maximum Pell Grant award is set to increase by $500 in the next academic year, but experts said the rise will pay little dividends for recipients who attend GW as tuition continues to rise to an all-time high.
Article by Ianne Salvosa and Jackson Rickert
GW Hatchet
Nov 21, 2022 5:04 AM

Officials said more than a fifth of all students rejected federal loans during the last academic year after reassessing their budgets.
Article by by Tom Hanlon Sep 27, 2022 The White House recently announced several measures—including debt relief for 43 million borrowers—that will ease students’ financial burden. Jennifer A. Delaney of the College of Education explains... more
Article by by Tom Hanlon
Sep 27, 2022

The White House recently announced several measures—including debt relief for 43 million borrowers—that will ease students’ financial burden. Jennifer A. Delaney of the College of Education explains the measures and the issues that gave rise to them.
Article by Noa Chamberlin September 8, 2022 Over the past two and a half years, the foundation of higher education has been put to the test. From COVID-19 in 2020 to the impacts of inflation, applying to college and access to higher... more
Article by Noa Chamberlin
September 8, 2022

Over the past two and a half years, the foundation of higher education has been put to the test. From COVID-19 in 2020 to the impacts of inflation, applying to college and access to higher education have experienced a downfall. 

In light of these complications and challenges, the University of Wisconsin System is considering implementing direct admissions for in-state high school students. In administering direct admissions, the goal would be to increase access to a higher college education and student enrollment, according to WPR.
Article by Scott Jaschik
August 21, 2022

Board of Regents may try to reverse enrollment declines with the alternative to traditional admissions.
Article By Rich Kremer
Published: Friday, August 19, 2022, 5:00pm

Goal is to stem enrollment declines and improve access to higher education
Article by Kelly Meyerhofer Imagine all public high school students receiving a letter informing them of acceptance to a slate of Wisconsin universities in the fall of their senior year — without even submitting applications to those... more
Article by Kelly Meyerhofer

Imagine all public high school students receiving a letter informing them of acceptance to a slate of Wisconsin universities in the fall of their senior year — without even submitting applications to those schools.
Article by SHARITA FORREST (MAY 17, 2022 7:45 AM) Analyses of two- and four-year colleges’ spending patterns from 2000-14 indicates that revenue from college promise scholarships was associated with decreased spending on instruction and... more
Article by SHARITA FORREST (MAY 17, 2022 7:45 AM)

Analyses of two- and four-year colleges’ spending patterns from 2000-14 indicates that revenue from college promise scholarships was associated with decreased spending on instruction and student services. The study was conducted by Jennifer A. Delaney, a professor of educational policy, organization and leadership; and Bradley Hemenway, a data analyst in the Gies College of Business.
article by Eric Hoover Applying to college is a big, complex, nerve-fraying chore. For low-income and first-generation students, it can be an insurmountable barrier. That’s why admissions officials, policy makers, researchers, and... more
article by Eric Hoover

Applying to college is a big, complex, nerve-fraying chore. For low-income and first-generation students, it can be an insurmountable barrier. That’s why admissions officials, policy makers, researchers, and technology companies have long been weighing a crucial question: What would a simpler, more streamlined admissions process look like?
article by Laura Spitalniak Dive Brief: Early data from Idaho's direct college admissions program shows an increase in enrollment at state institutions, especially at community colleges, and a decrease in student migration to... more
article by Laura Spitalniak

Dive Brief:
Early data from Idaho's direct college admissions program shows an increase in enrollment at state institutions, especially at community colleges, and a decrease in student migration to out-of-state colleges.
Article by SARA HEBEL FEBRUARY 25, 2022 Malaise, Ambiguity, and Shifting Power One thing the pandemic has ushered in is a fundamental re-examination of work. Tens of millions of Americans have quit their jobs in the past year, and... more
Article by SARA HEBEL
FEBRUARY 25, 2022

Malaise, Ambiguity, and Shifting Power
One thing the pandemic has ushered in is a fundamental re-examination of work. Tens of millions of Americans have quit their jobs in the past year, and workers everywhere it seems are demanding better pay, benefits, and flexibility.

The Great Resignation, as we’ve come to call it.
President Joe Biden is expected sign into law a $40 billion investment in higher education initiatives Monday that experts say will provide relief to low-income students strained by the pandemic.
Article by Jeremy Bauer-Wolf March 11, 2021 Dive Brief: The massive coronavirus relief package President Joe Biden signed Thursday contains about $40 billion in direct aid for colleges. It also has money for local and state governments... more
Article by Jeremy Bauer-Wolf
March 11, 2021

Dive Brief:
The massive coronavirus relief package President Joe Biden signed Thursday contains about $40 billion in direct aid for colleges. It also has money for local and state governments that policy experts say could help insulate public institutions from deep funding cuts.

The legislation provides $350 billion for local, state and tribal agencies to alleviate costs incurred during the health crisis.

State leaders tend to divest from higher education during economic slumps in part because they know colleges can hike tuition to offset those losses.
Article by Sara Hebel, Scott Smallwood
Article by ELYSSA CHERNEY In Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s first remarks after voters rejected his administration’s signature proposal for a graduated-rate income tax in Illinois, the first-term Democrat singled out higher education as one of the... more
Article by ELYSSA CHERNEY

In Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s first remarks after voters rejected his administration’s signature proposal for a graduated-rate income tax in Illinois, the first-term Democrat singled out higher education as one of the many state-supported areas that could lose funding as lawmakers try to balance the next budget.
WNIU/WNIJ
Story By PETER MEDLIN
By Kate McGee
Friday, Oct. 16, 6 a.m. CT
“We thought the [state] budget impasse was bad. We didn’t know it was just bootcamp training for the pandemic,” one higher ed official said.
WBEZ
Wednesday, May 27, 2020 6 AM CT
article by Susie An, Kate McGee
Article by Kate McGee
The COVID-19 shutdown has led to budget cuts, threatens struggling universities and could exacerbate inequities at community colleges.
Article BY STEPHAN BISAHA Kansas colleges will soon get millions in federal money to help with the ripple effects from the coronavirus, but educators and experts say it’s not nearly enough. Article was also cross-posted on: Shawnee... more
Article BY STEPHAN BISAHA
Kansas colleges will soon get millions in federal money to help with the ripple effects from the coronavirus, but educators and experts say it’s not nearly enough.

Article was also cross-posted on:
Shawnee Mission Post
The Wichita Eagle
Hays Post
Washington Post Charlotte West, author March 14, 2020 While their counterparts around the country were sweating through the complex, time-consuming, nerve-racking process of choosing and being accepted to a college — an experience... more
Washington Post
Charlotte West, author
March 14, 2020

While their counterparts around the country were sweating through the complex, time-consuming, nerve-racking process of choosing and being accepted to a college — an experience some students find so intimidating, research shows, they don’t even bother — Ponce and her classmates, including her twin sister, Yazmine, were already in.
News & Record (Greensboro, NC)
Article By Justin Harmon
February 21, 2020
Article by Julie Wurth
Dec 23, 2019
What if every graduating senior had a guaranteed spot at one of the state’s colleges or universities up front?
The Gies College of Business and the College of Engineering have become the first colleges on any university campus to purchase insurance to protect themselves from a potential drop in Chinese student enrollment.
The tax reform proposals being considered by the U.S. Senate could drive up overall college costs, especially for graduate students and adults who return to college later in life, according to higher education finance expert Jennifer... more
The tax reform proposals being considered by the U.S. Senate could drive up overall college costs, especially for graduate students and adults who return to college later in life, according to higher education finance expert Jennifer Delaney, a professor of education at the University of Illinois.
Pay-it-forward financing programs could have differing effects on college access and voter support for tax subsidies, depending on how individual voters fare economically, suggests a paper co-written by University of Illinois education... more
Pay-it-forward financing programs could have differing effects on college access and voter support for tax subsidies, depending on how individual voters fare economically, suggests a paper co-written by University of Illinois education professor Jennifer Delaney.
Higher education funding expert Jennifer Delaney will serve on the editorial board of the journal Educational Researcher during 2017, with the possibility of a renewed appointment in 2018.
As class registration approaches, students face uncertainties regarding whether or not they will receive their Monetary Award Program grants for the 2017–2018 academic year. The state’s ongoing budget impasse has left Illinois students... more
As class registration approaches, students face uncertainties regarding whether or not they will receive their Monetary Award Program grants for the 2017–2018 academic year. The state’s ongoing budget impasse has left Illinois students without the need-based grants since July 2015.
JEFFERSON CITY — Once again, Missouri state lawmakers are proposing steep budget cuts for higher education. If you think that sounds like nothing new, you'd be right.
“Tuition gets all of the media attention, while fees are hidden to students and also to public knowledge and oversight.” —Jennifer Delaney, an associate professor at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, on what happens when... more
“Tuition gets all of the media attention, while fees are hidden to students and also to public knowledge and oversight.”

—Jennifer Delaney, an associate professor at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, on what happens when tuition is frozen and student fees rise
DAYTON, Ohio—At a time when public anger is laser-focused on tuition charges that are rising three times faster than inflation, something less well understood has actually been largely responsible for pushing up the cost of college: fees.
The University experienced a net loss of $13 million in its investments last fiscal year, after two years with positive investment income, according to recently released financial statements.
The University’s debt has surpassed its financial foundation for the first time in four fiscal years, according to recently released financial statements.

And 72 more