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Modeling Temporal-Spatial Correlations for Crime Prediction

Published: 06 November 2017 Publication History

Abstract

Crime prediction plays a crucial role in improving public security and reducing the financial loss of crimes. The vast majority of traditional algorithms performed the prediction by leveraging demographic data, which could fail to capture the dynamics of crimes in urban. In the era of big data, we have witnessed advanced ways to collect and integrate fine-grained urban, mobile, and public service data that contains various crime-related sources and rich temporal-spatial information. Such information provides better understandings about the dynamics of crimes and has potentials to advance crime prediction. In this paper, we exploit temporal-spatial correlations in urban data for crime prediction. In particular, we validate the existence of temporal-spatial correlations in crime and develop a principled approach to model these correlations into the coherent framework TCP for crime prediction. The experimental results on real-world data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework. Further experiments have been conducted to understand the importance of temporal-spatial correlations in crime prediction.

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cover image ACM Conferences
CIKM '17: Proceedings of the 2017 ACM on Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
November 2017
2604 pages
ISBN:9781450349185
DOI:10.1145/3132847
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 06 November 2017

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Author Tags

  1. crime prediction
  2. crime prevention
  3. temporal-spatial correlation

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CIKM '17 Paper Acceptance Rate 171 of 855 submissions, 20%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 1,861 of 8,427 submissions, 22%

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  • (2024)HDM-GNN: A Heterogeneous Dynamic Multi-view Graph Neural Network for Crime PredictionACM Transactions on Sensor Networks10.1145/3665141Online publication date: 14-May-2024
  • (2024)ControlTraj: Controllable Trajectory Generation with Topology-Constrained Diffusion ModelProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3671866(4676-4687)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Weather Knows What Will Occur: Urban Public Nuisance Events Prediction and Control with Meteorological AssistanceProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3671639(6037-6048)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
  • (2024)MSTEM: Masked Spatiotemporal Event Series Modeling for Urban Undisciplined Events ForecastingProceedings of the 33rd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3627673.3679810(685-694)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2024
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  • (2024)Improving crime count forecasts in the city of Rio de Janeiro via reconciliationSecurity Journal10.1057/s41284-024-00433-537:4(1597-1618)Online publication date: 9-Jun-2024
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