FCF Perú Rail
FCF Perú Rail
FCF Perú Rail
IMPUESTO RENTA
-34.4% -31.4% -29.2% -41.0% -34.0%
2015 2016
EFECTIVO 3,303,667 18,503,841
FONDOS RESTRINGIDOS 11,295,983 25,189,575
CUENTAS POR COBRAR COMERCIALES 6,310,224 7,357,586
CUENTAS POR COBRAR A PARTES RELACIONADAS 20,960,498 21,714,230
OTRAS CUENTAS POR COBRAR 4,238,431 7,023,115
SUMINISTROS 7,378,011 7,008,743
GASTOS PAGADOS POR ANTICIPADO 1,765,754 1,604,065
TOTAL ACTIVOS CORRIENTES 55,252,568 88,401,155
INVERSIONES
OTRAS CUENTAS POR COBRAR 22,376 50,784
INSTALACIONES, MAQUINARIA Y UNIDADES DE TRANSPORTE 55,496,472 147,672,757
ACTIVOS INTANGIBLES 299,973 450,452
TOTAL ACTIVOS NO CORRIENTES 55,818,821 148,173,993
- -
2017 2018
25,550,833 21,900,160
16,474,726 13,233,265
8,845,617 8,385,422
18,699,700 17,289,084
2,598,254 2,340,905
6,421,120 6,959,616
399,853 616,143
78,990,103 70,724,595
132 -
47,967 37,000
171,248,414 158,032,026
2,314,190 3,970,287
173,610,703 162,039,313
252,600,806 232,763,908
23,618,051 18,691,952
13,085,562 5,453,838
5,738,374 7,029,343
4,252,074 2,683,501
9,762,338 10,453,859
56,456,399 44,312,493
129,784,603 118,064,203
3,772,232 4,206,095
133,556,835 122,270,298
190,013,234 166,582,791
16,933,556 16,933,556
3,252,090 3,252,090
42,401,926 45,995,471
62,587,572 66,181,117
252,600,806 232,763,908
- -
N° ACCIONES CAPITAL
SALDO AL 31 DICIEMBRE 2014 50,000,000 16,933,556
UTILIDAD NETA 2014
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE DIVIDENDOS 2014
SALDO AL 31 DICIEMBRE 2015 50,000,000 16,933,556
UTILIDAD NETA 2015
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE DIVIDENDOS 2015
SALDO AL 31 DICIEMBRE 2016 50,000,000 16,933,556
UTILIDAD NETA 2016
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE DIVIDENDOS 2016
SALDOS AL 31 DICIEMBRE 2017 50,000,000 16,933,556
UTILIDAD NETA 2017
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE DIVIDENDOS 2017
SALDO AL 31 DICIEMBRE 2018 50,000,000 16,933,556
OTRAS RESERVAS DE CAPITAL RESULTADOS ACUMULADOS TOTAL PATRIMONIO
2,335,995 12,924,843 32,194,394
13,742,271 13,742,271
- 7,702,138 - 7,702,138
2,335,995 18,964,976 38,234,527
20,368,461 20,368,461
- 8,564,175 - 8,564,175
3,252,090 30,769,262 50,954,908
12,361,950 12,361,950
- 8,880,000 - 8,880,000
3,252,090 42,401,926 62,587,572
12,173,545 12,173,545
- 8,580,000 - 8,580,000
3,252,090 45,995,471 66,181,117
2015 2016
3,303,667 18,503,841
11,295,983 25,189,575
14,599,650 43,693,416
2017 2018
- 1,488,031 460,195
4,427,678 8,878,708
- 368,460
- 469,074 - 328,508
1,204,211 - 216,290
6,418,851 - 1,568,573
1,748,103 1,290,969
- 1,423,298 - 7,631,724
3,694,678 - 132,829
- 651,226 - 8,599,014
53,016,885 32,551,622
- 44,334,352 - 42,417,789
49,348,882 59,996,865
- 20,580,801 - 19,346,742
- 1,895,327 - 1,468,706
- 638,700
- 132 -
- 17,461,730 - 2,597,672
- 8,880,000 - 8,580,000
- 6,950,548 - 6,802,833
469,445 3,432,143
- 21,861,909 - 24,895,394
- 37,223,012 - 36,846,084
- 1,667,857 - 6,892,134
43,693,416 42,025,559
42,025,559 35,133,425
25,550,833 21,900,160
16,474,726 13,233,265
42,025,559 35,133,425
ECIACIÓN Y AMORTIZACIÓN
2017 2018
21,720,765 20,611,672
RATIOS DE LIQUIDEZ
2015 2016
ACTIVO CORRIENTE/PASIVO CORRIENTE 1.44 2.03
RATIOS DE APALANCAMIENTO
2015 2016
PASIVO/ACTIVO 65.58% 78.46%
RATIOS DE GESTION
2015 2016
PERIODO COBRO DIAS 95.8 72.8
RATIOS DE RENTABILIDAD
2015 2016
ROE 35.9% 40.0%
0.74 0.79
22,533,704 26,412,102
S DE APALANCAMIENTO
2017 2018
75.22% 71.57%
304% 252%
RATIOS DE GESTION
2017 2018
64.4 57.5
64.9 29.4
IOS DE RENTABILIDAD
2017 2018
19.8% 18.4%
10.8% 12.7%
2015 2016
SERVICIO TURISTICO PASAJERO SUR ORIENTE (CUZCO - MAPI) 77,934,192 79,537,085
SERIVIO TURISTICO PASAJERO SUR (CUZCO - PUNO - AREQUIPA) 3,713,376 3,708,960
SERVICIO TREN LOCAL (CUZCO -HIDROELECTRICA) 4,819,740 5,058,871
86,467,308 88,304,916
2.1%
156,137,621 162,864,210
7.1% 4.3%
2016 2017 2018 PROMEDIO
TARIFA
EXPEDITION 47
VISTADOME 64
HIRAM BINGHAM 338
BELMOND ANDEAN EXPLORER 2,309
LOCAL 3
2015
II.SERVICIO DE CARGA 17,077,431
TONELADAS 1,144,561
2015
III.EQUIPAJE ECOMIENDAS 356,478
PARTICIPACIÓN DE TRANSPORTE TURISTA 0.4%
INGRESOS TOTALES
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
159,481,446 165,017,162 170,274,050 176,386,141 182,757,529
SUPUESTO
TARIFA PASAJEROS 2018 2019 2020 2021
USO DE CAPACIDAD
67.8%
77.6%
49.0%
34.0%
81.9%
75.6%
DAS
2025 2026 2027 2028
834,536.55 859,083.92 885,203.69 912,459.31
PASAJEROS
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
TONELADAS
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2019
EXP 40.1%
VIS 40.9%
HBI 10.0%
AEP 5.1%
LOCAL 3.8%
100.0%
PESO EN EL INGRESO
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2015
DERECHO DE ACCESO VIA FERREA A PARTE RELACIONADA (CARGA Y PASAJEROS) 16,322,369
CONBUSTIBLE Y MANTENIMIENTO 10,771,879
GASTO PERSONAL 8,324,584
DEPRECIACIÓN Y AMORTIZACIÓN 2,265,042
SERVICIO CATERING 8,616,967
OTROS COSTOS 4,105,674
SERVICIO CAMIONES TRANSPORTE CERRO VERDE 1,215,407
ALQUILER DE VAGONES, COCHES Y LOCOMOTORAS A PARTE RELACIONADA 516,897
52,138,819
2016 2017 2018
145,738,359 156,137,621 162,864,210
2018
2,105,355
1,688,701
1,081,196
636,229
517,544
477,192
380,597
17,910
1,341,268
8,245,992
EBIT (% INGRESOS) 18.2% 21.2%
2018 2019
INGRESOS 162,864,210 158,071,599
EBIT 29,576,085 33,450,361
TAX RATE 41.0% 34.0%
EBIT (1-t) 17,456,845 22,077,481
VALOR PATRIMONIAL
VALOR PRESENTE FCFF 153,083,413 24.2%
VALOR PRESENTE VALOR TERMINAL 479,632,819 75.8%
VALOR PRESENTE TOTAL 632,716,232
EFECTIVO 21,900,160
FONDOS RESTRINGIDOS 13,233,265
DEUDA - 136,756,155
VALOR PATRIMONIAL 531,093,502
162,864,210
6,726,589
3.09 2.63
20,611,667
3.06 2.58
- 0.03 - 0.05
- 203,781
- 0.03 - 0.05
ACTIVOS CORRIENTES (MENOS EFECTIVO - FONDOS RESTRINGIDOS)
PASIVOS CORRIENTE (MENOS DEUDAS)
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO
VAR WK
INGRESOS
CS CONBUSTIBLE Y MANTENIMIENTO
CS SERVICIO CATERING
CS OTROS COSTOS
CS SERVICIO CAMIONES TRANSPORTE CERRO VERDE
CS ALQUILER DE VAGONES, COCHES Y LOCOMOTORAS A PARTE RELACIONADA
CS DERECHO DE ACCESO VIA FERREA A PARTE RELACIONADA (CARGA Y PASAJEROS)
ADM SERVICIOS DE TERCEROS
ADM OTROS GASTOS ADMINISTRATIVOS
MKT SERVICIOS DE PUBLICIDAD
MKT SUMINISTROS Y SERVICIOS DE LIMPIEZA
MKT HONORARIOS DIVERSOS
MKT GASTOS DE TELECOMUNICACIONES
MKT OTROS GASTOS DE VENTAS
TOTAL EGRESOS QUE OTORGAN CREDITO
2015 2016 2017 2018 PROMEDIO
40,652,918 44,707,739 36,964,544 35,591,170
24,723,965 22,864,452 32,838,348 25,620,541
15,928,953 21,843,287 4,126,196 9,970,629
KE US$ NOMINAL
TASA LIBRE DE RIESGO 2.69%
BETA TOTAL APALANCADO 2.9
PRIMA POR RIESGO 4.66%
RIESGO PAIS 1.65%
KE 17.79%
WACC
DEUDA/DEUDA+CAPITAL 67.4%
CAPITAL/DEUDA+CAPITAL 32.6%
TAX RATE 41.0%
KD 6.7%
KE 18%
WACC 8.5%
w_Home_Page/data.html
datasets/indname.xls
w_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm
Average Levered Beta Average correlation with the market
1.40 15.47%
1.18 17.42%
0.99 21.61%
0.82 14.64%
1.47 21.64%
1.22 17.92%
0.67 19.84%
0.80 18.02%
1.01 19.94%
0.58 11.93%
0.86 16.65%
1.10 19.75%
0.96 16.75%
1.21 16.32%
1.07 17.63%
1.06 17.52%
1.01 18.44%
1.17 17.77%
1.30 18.46%
1.15 17.91%
1.52 24.05%
1.14 17.55%
0.82 18.92%
1.43 19.64%
1.17 18.79%
1.34 18.74%
1.27 18.97%
1.53 21.36%
1.49 22.46%
1.26 17.81%
1.43 17.75%
1.25 16.22%
0.84 14.47%
0.78 14.91%
0.82 14.48%
0.90 14.39%
1.06 18.40%
1.06 16.49%
1.34 20.87%
1.14 19.29%
1.78 21.23%
0.98 17.70%
0.85 14.85%
0.94 16.05%
0.99 15.12%
1.19 17.45%
0.52 12.83%
0.91 23.87%
0.47 14.64%
0.87 14.31%
1.24 18.77%
1.42 20.04%
0.84 14.78%
1.19 25.99%
1.62 17.90%
1.27 20.51%
1.40 17.76%
0.80 14.43%
0.97 15.25%
0.85 17.57%
1.44 14.72%
1.06 16.37%
0.44 15.67%
1.21 19.63%
1.09 20.32%
0.86 16.78%
0.98 17.24%
0.96 21.67%
1.10 16.44%
1.05 18.04%
1.24 15.39%
0.94 14.21%
1.13 21.16%
0.83 15.90%
1.33 18.88%
1.18 18.42%
0.87 19.79%
1.71 26.75%
1.84 28.04%
1.07 18.77%
0.98 16.94%
1.79 20.72%
0.88 16.72%
1.41 18.04%
1.21 16.85%
0.99 19.73%
1.45 20.28%
0.99 16.19%
0.82 13.98%
1.11 20.04%
1.45 27.11%
0.94 16.30%
1.12 22.64%
1.11 20.48%
1.11 18.02%
1.14 18.14%
Emerging Markets
Date 1 Mo 2 Mo 3 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr 2 Yr
2/1/2018 1.29 N/A 1.44 1.61 1.83 1.92
3/1/2018 1.29 N/A 1.41 1.59 1.81 1.94
4/1/2018 1.28 N/A 1.41 1.6 1.82 1.96
5/1/2018 1.27 N/A 1.39 1.58 1.8 1.96
8/1/2018 1.3 N/A 1.45 1.6 1.79 1.96
9/1/2018 1.27 N/A 1.44 1.6 1.78 1.98
10/1/2018 1.31 N/A 1.42 1.59 1.78 1.98
11/1/2018 1.32 N/A 1.43 1.58 1.77 1.98
12/1/2018 1.31 N/A 1.43 1.59 1.78 1.99
01/16/18 1.33 N/A 1.45 1.63 1.79 2.03
01/17/18 1.31 N/A 1.44 1.63 1.79 2.05
01/18/18 1.29 N/A 1.45 1.63 1.79 2.05
01/19/18 1.28 N/A 1.44 1.62 1.79 2.06
01/22/18 1.27 N/A 1.44 1.65 1.79 2.08
01/23/18 1.26 N/A 1.44 1.63 1.78 2.06
01/24/18 1.25 N/A 1.43 1.63 1.79 2.08
01/25/18 1.23 N/A 1.42 1.64 1.8 2.08
01/26/18 1.24 N/A 1.41 1.64 1.8 2.13
01/29/18 1.28 N/A 1.44 1.66 1.8 2.11
01/30/18 1.49 N/A 1.44 1.66 1.88 2.13
01/31/18 1.43 N/A 1.46 1.66 1.9 2.14
1/2/2018 1.41 N/A 1.48 1.64 1.89 2.16
2/2/2018 1.4 N/A 1.48 1.65 1.88 2.15
5/2/2018 1.4 N/A 1.51 1.67 1.85 2.08
6/2/2018 1.48 N/A 1.52 1.69 1.87 2.1
7/2/2018 1.36 N/A 1.55 1.73 1.91 2.15
8/2/2018 1.32 N/A 1.55 1.73 1.91 2.13
9/2/2018 1.31 N/A 1.55 1.73 1.89 2.05
12/2/2018 1.35 N/A 1.62 1.82 1.93 2.09
02/13/18 1.34 N/A 1.59 1.8 1.95 2.1
02/14/18 1.32 N/A 1.58 1.81 1.98 2.17
02/15/18 1.3 N/A 1.58 1.82 1.99 2.19
02/16/18 1.35 N/A 1.62 1.83 2 2.21
02/20/18 1.39 N/A 1.66 1.87 2.01 2.25
02/21/18 1.4 N/A 1.64 1.85 2.03 2.26
02/22/18 1.34 N/A 1.63 1.84 2.02 2.25
02/23/18 1.38 N/A 1.64 1.85 2.02 2.25
02/26/18 1.39 N/A 1.66 1.87 2.03 2.22
02/27/18 1.49 N/A 1.66 1.87 2.08 2.27
02/28/18 1.5 N/A 1.65 1.86 2.07 2.25
1/3/2018 1.5 N/A 1.63 1.85 2.05 2.22
2/3/2018 1.5 N/A 1.65 1.86 2.06 2.25
5/3/2018 1.53 N/A 1.7 1.86 2.06 2.24
6/3/2018 1.56 N/A 1.68 1.87 2.06 2.25
7/3/2018 1.57 N/A 1.68 1.87 2.05 2.25
8/3/2018 1.57 N/A 1.67 1.89 2.05 2.25
9/3/2018 1.57 N/A 1.67 1.89 2.03 2.27
12/3/2018 1.6 N/A 1.71 1.89 2.05 2.27
03/13/18 1.64 N/A 1.73 1.9 2.03 2.26
03/14/18 1.71 N/A 1.76 1.94 2.05 2.26
03/15/18 1.7 N/A 1.77 1.95 2.07 2.29
03/16/18 1.71 N/A 1.78 1.96 2.08 2.31
03/19/18 1.7 N/A 1.8 1.99 2.08 2.31
03/20/18 1.76 N/A 1.81 1.97 2.08 2.34
03/21/18 1.71 N/A 1.74 1.95 2.06 2.31
03/22/18 1.67 N/A 1.72 1.95 2.05 2.29
03/23/18 1.69 N/A 1.74 1.92 2.04 2.28
03/26/18 1.71 N/A 1.79 1.94 2.06 2.33
03/27/18 1.69 N/A 1.77 1.93 2.1 2.26
03/28/18 1.65 N/A 1.73 1.95 2.12 2.28
03/29/18 1.63 N/A 1.73 1.93 2.09 2.27
2/4/2018 1.68 N/A 1.77 1.92 2.08 2.25
3/4/2018 1.7 N/A 1.75 1.92 2.09 2.28
4/4/2018 1.67 N/A 1.71 1.9 2.07 2.28
5/4/2018 1.67 N/A 1.72 1.93 2.07 2.3
6/4/2018 1.68 N/A 1.73 1.91 2.06 2.27
9/4/2018 1.67 N/A 1.76 1.93 2.08 2.29
10/4/2018 1.63 N/A 1.74 1.93 2.09 2.32
11/4/2018 1.64 N/A 1.73 1.95 2.09 2.32
12/4/2018 1.65 N/A 1.75 1.95 2.11 2.34
04/13/18 1.64 N/A 1.76 1.97 2.12 2.37
04/16/18 1.64 N/A 1.79 1.98 2.12 2.39
04/17/18 1.68 N/A 1.8 2.02 2.16 2.41
04/18/18 1.67 N/A 1.81 2.01 2.17 2.42
04/19/18 1.67 N/A 1.82 2.01 2.21 2.44
04/20/18 1.65 N/A 1.81 2.01 2.22 2.46
04/23/18 1.69 N/A 1.87 2.04 2.25 2.49
04/24/18 1.7 N/A 1.87 2.05 2.25 2.48
04/25/18 1.65 N/A 1.85 2.03 2.26 2.49
04/26/18 1.62 N/A 1.82 2.02 2.25 2.49
04/27/18 1.62 N/A 1.82 2.02 2.24 2.49
04/30/18 1.65 N/A 1.87 2.04 2.24 2.49
1/5/2018 1.68 N/A 1.85 2.05 2.26 2.5
2/5/2018 1.69 N/A 1.84 2.03 2.24 2.49
3/5/2018 1.68 N/A 1.84 2.02 2.24 2.49
4/5/2018 1.67 N/A 1.84 2.03 2.24 2.51
7/5/2018 1.69 N/A 1.86 2.05 2.25 2.49
8/5/2018 1.69 N/A 1.87 2.05 2.26 2.51
9/5/2018 1.68 N/A 1.88 2.05 2.27 2.54
10/5/2018 1.69 N/A 1.9 2.05 2.27 2.54
11/5/2018 1.68 N/A 1.92 2.06 2.28 2.54
05/14/18 1.7 N/A 1.93 2.09 2.28 2.55
05/15/18 1.69 N/A 1.92 2.09 2.31 2.58
05/16/18 1.69 N/A 1.92 2.09 2.32 2.58
05/17/18 1.7 N/A 1.92 2.1 2.32 2.57
05/18/18 1.68 N/A 1.91 2.09 2.32 2.55
05/21/18 1.71 N/A 1.93 2.14 2.35 2.58
05/22/18 1.73 N/A 1.93 2.13 2.34 2.59
05/23/18 1.76 N/A 1.92 2.11 2.29 2.53
05/24/18 1.74 N/A 1.91 2.09 2.28 2.5
05/25/18 1.7 N/A 1.9 2.07 2.27 2.48
05/29/18 1.77 N/A 1.93 2.06 2.17 2.32
05/30/18 1.77 N/A 1.94 2.08 2.23 2.42
05/31/18 1.76 N/A 1.93 2.08 2.23 2.4
1/6/2018 1.74 N/A 1.92 2.1 2.28 2.47
4/6/2018 1.77 N/A 1.94 2.13 2.3 2.52
5/6/2018 1.82 N/A 1.94 2.13 2.32 2.49
6/6/2018 1.81 N/A 1.95 2.13 2.32 2.52
7/6/2018 1.78 N/A 1.94 2.12 2.31 2.5
8/6/2018 1.78 N/A 1.93 2.12 2.3 2.5
11/6/2018 1.82 N/A 1.94 2.11 2.32 2.52
12/6/2018 1.81 N/A 1.92 2.1 2.31 2.54
06/13/18 1.82 N/A 1.94 2.09 2.35 2.59
06/14/18 1.81 N/A 1.94 2.07 2.35 2.59
06/15/18 1.82 N/A 1.94 2.07 2.35 2.55
06/18/18 1.84 N/A 1.94 2.13 2.35 2.56
06/19/18 1.85 N/A 1.94 2.13 2.34 2.54
06/20/18 1.85 N/A 1.94 2.14 2.36 2.56
06/21/18 1.85 N/A 1.94 2.12 2.34 2.56
06/22/18 1.83 N/A 1.93 2.11 2.33 2.56
06/25/18 1.8 N/A 1.93 2.13 2.34 2.54
06/26/18 1.79 N/A 1.93 2.14 2.33 2.53
06/27/18 1.79 N/A 1.93 2.1 2.33 2.52
06/28/18 1.76 N/A 1.93 2.11 2.33 2.52
06/29/18 1.77 N/A 1.93 2.11 2.33 2.52
2/7/2018 1.9 N/A 1.98 2.14 2.34 2.57
3/7/2018 1.91 N/A 1.98 2.12 2.33 2.53
5/7/2018 1.87 N/A 1.96 2.11 2.32 2.55
6/7/2018 1.86 N/A 1.97 2.13 2.34 2.53
9/7/2018 1.87 N/A 1.98 2.15 2.34 2.57
10/7/2018 1.88 N/A 1.99 2.15 2.36 2.59
11/7/2018 1.89 N/A 1.97 2.14 2.36 2.58
12/7/2018 1.89 N/A 1.98 2.17 2.39 2.6
07/13/18 1.87 N/A 1.98 2.16 2.37 2.59
07/16/18 1.9 N/A 2.01 2.19 2.39 2.59
07/17/18 1.93 N/A 2.02 2.19 2.39 2.62
07/18/18 1.9 N/A 2 2.17 2.43 2.6
07/19/18 1.89 N/A 2 2.16 2.4 2.6
07/20/18 1.86 N/A 1.99 2.16 2.41 2.6
07/23/18 1.88 N/A 1.99 2.19 2.42 2.64
07/24/18 1.92 N/A 2.02 2.19 2.42 2.63
07/25/18 1.9 N/A 2.01 2.2 2.42 2.66
07/26/18 1.89 N/A 1.99 2.19 2.41 2.69
07/27/18 1.9 N/A 2 2.2 2.43 2.67
07/30/18 1.91 N/A 2.04 2.21 2.43 2.66
07/31/18 1.94 N/A 2.03 2.21 2.44 2.67
1/8/2018 1.93 N/A 2.03 2.22 2.45 2.67
2/8/2018 1.89 N/A 2.02 2.22 2.45 2.66
3/8/2018 1.9 N/A 2.01 2.23 2.43 2.63
6/8/2018 1.92 N/A 2.05 2.23 2.44 2.64
7/8/2018 1.96 N/A 2.06 2.23 2.45 2.68
8/8/2018 1.93 N/A 2.06 2.24 2.44 2.68
9/8/2018 1.91 N/A 2.06 2.25 2.44 2.64
10/8/2018 1.92 N/A 2.05 2.23 2.42 2.61
08/13/18 1.93 N/A 2.06 2.22 2.42 2.61
08/14/18 1.96 N/A 2.08 2.25 2.44 2.63
08/15/18 1.96 N/A 2.07 2.23 2.45 2.61
08/16/18 1.96 N/A 2.07 2.24 2.45 2.63
08/17/18 1.95 N/A 2.05 2.24 2.44 2.61
08/20/18 1.93 N/A 2.06 2.25 2.43 2.6
08/21/18 1.94 N/A 2.08 2.25 2.45 2.61
08/22/18 1.95 N/A 2.09 2.24 2.43 2.6
08/23/18 1.94 N/A 2.08 2.23 2.43 2.61
08/24/18 1.95 N/A 2.09 2.25 2.44 2.63
08/27/18 1.96 N/A 2.12 2.25 2.47 2.67
08/28/18 1.96 N/A 2.13 2.28 2.47 2.67
08/29/18 1.97 N/A 2.13 2.28 2.48 2.67
08/30/18 1.97 N/A 2.11 2.28 2.47 2.64
08/31/18 1.95 N/A 2.11 2.28 2.46 2.62
4/9/2018 2 N/A 2.13 2.29 2.49 2.66
5/9/2018 2 N/A 2.14 2.3 2.49 2.66
6/9/2018 1.98 N/A 2.13 2.3 2.5 2.64
7/9/2018 1.98 N/A 2.14 2.3 2.53 2.71
10/9/2018 1.98 N/A 2.14 2.32 2.54 2.73
11/9/2018 2.02 N/A 2.15 2.31 2.55 2.76
12/9/2018 2.01 N/A 2.16 2.33 2.56 2.74
09/13/18 2.01 N/A 2.15 2.33 2.55 2.76
09/14/18 2.02 N/A 2.16 2.33 2.56 2.78
09/17/18 2.02 N/A 2.16 2.35 2.57 2.78
09/18/18 2.05 N/A 2.17 2.36 2.58 2.81
09/19/18 2.03 N/A 2.16 2.36 2.58 2.81
09/20/18 2.03 N/A 2.17 2.37 2.58 2.81
09/21/18 2.05 N/A 2.18 2.38 2.58 2.81
09/24/18 2.07 N/A 2.22 2.38 2.6 2.83
09/25/18 2.12 N/A 2.21 2.38 2.59 2.83
09/26/18 2.11 N/A 2.2 2.37 2.58 2.83
09/27/18 2.1 N/A 2.18 2.37 2.58 2.83
09/28/18 2.12 N/A 2.19 2.36 2.59 2.81
1/10/2018 2.13 N/A 2.23 2.4 2.6 2.82
2/10/2018 2.14 N/A 2.23 2.41 2.61 2.82
3/10/2018 2.15 N/A 2.23 2.41 2.62 2.85
4/10/2018 2.16 N/A 2.22 2.42 2.63 2.87
5/10/2018 2.15 N/A 2.23 2.41 2.64 2.88
9/10/2018 2.17 N/A 2.25 2.46 2.65 2.88
10/10/2018 2.18 N/A 2.27 2.45 2.67 2.88
11/10/2018 2.14 N/A 2.27 2.44 2.66 2.85
12/10/2018 2.14 N/A 2.28 2.44 2.66 2.85
10/15/18 2.17 N/A 2.31 2.47 2.67 2.85
10/16/18 2.19 2.22 2.3 2.46 2.66 2.87
10/17/18 2.2 2.23 2.31 2.47 2.66 2.89
10/18/18 2.19 2.23 2.32 2.47 2.67 2.87
10/19/18 2.19 2.23 2.31 2.48 2.67 2.92
10/22/18 2.18 2.25 2.34 2.49 2.68 2.92
10/23/18 2.21 2.23 2.33 2.48 2.67 2.89
10/24/18 2.2 2.23 2.34 2.47 2.64 2.84
10/25/18 2.19 2.24 2.34 2.47 2.66 2.86
10/26/18 2.16 2.21 2.33 2.47 2.63 2.81
10/29/18 2.17 2.21 2.34 2.49 2.64 2.81
10/30/18 2.21 2.26 2.33 2.48 2.66 2.84
10/31/18 2.2 2.26 2.34 2.49 2.69 2.87
1/11/2018 2.21 2.28 2.32 2.49 2.67 2.84
2/11/2018 2.19 2.28 2.33 2.5 2.7 2.91
5/11/2018 2.2 2.29 2.36 2.51 2.71 2.91
6/11/2018 2.23 2.29 2.35 2.52 2.72 2.93
7/11/2018 2.23 2.29 2.37 2.51 2.74 2.96
8/11/2018 2.21 2.29 2.35 2.52 2.74 2.98
9/11/2018 2.21 2.3 2.36 2.52 2.73 2.94
11/13/18 2.24 2.32 2.38 2.53 2.72 2.89
11/14/18 2.24 2.33 2.38 2.52 2.71 2.86
11/15/18 2.2 2.32 2.37 2.51 2.7 2.86
11/16/18 2.21 2.31 2.36 2.5 2.68 2.81
11/19/18 2.23 2.32 2.38 2.52 2.66 2.79
11/20/18 2.23 2.35 2.39 2.51 2.67 2.79
11/21/18 2.25 2.34 2.41 2.52 2.67 2.81
11/23/18 2.25 2.35 2.41 2.52 2.67 2.81
11/26/18 2.24 2.35 2.41 2.54 2.7 2.84
11/27/18 2.31 2.37 2.41 2.53 2.7 2.83
11/28/18 2.31 2.37 2.4 2.53 2.69 2.81
11/29/18 2.31 2.34 2.37 2.52 2.69 2.81
11/30/18 2.31 2.33 2.37 2.52 2.7 2.8
3/12/2018 2.3 2.35 2.38 2.56 2.72 2.83
4/12/2018 2.37 2.42 2.42 2.58 2.71 2.8
6/12/2018 2.36 2.42 2.41 2.56 2.7 2.75
7/12/2018 2.32 2.4 2.4 2.54 2.68 2.72
10/12/2018 2.32 2.39 2.41 2.54 2.69 2.72
11/12/2018 2.28 2.36 2.41 2.55 2.7 2.78
12/12/2018 2.3 2.38 2.43 2.56 2.7 2.77
12/13/18 2.36 2.4 2.43 2.56 2.69 2.75
12/14/18 2.36 2.41 2.42 2.56 2.68 2.73
12/17/18 2.36 2.39 2.4 2.54 2.66 2.7
12/18/18 2.35 2.39 2.39 2.53 2.64 2.65
12/19/18 2.35 2.39 2.4 2.54 2.62 2.63
12/20/18 2.42 2.42 2.39 2.55 2.64 2.67
12/21/18 2.41 2.42 2.39 2.54 2.62 2.63
12/24/18 2.42 2.43 2.45 2.52 2.61 2.55
12/26/18 2.41 2.43 2.44 2.54 2.61 2.61
12/27/18 2.43 2.46 2.41 2.49 2.58 2.56
12/28/18 2.39 2.47 2.4 2.48 2.57 2.52
12/31/18 2.44 2.45 2.45 2.56 2.63 2.48
/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yieldYear&year=2018
3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
2.01 2.25 2.38 2.46 2.64 2.81
2.02 2.25 2.37 2.44 2.62 2.78
2.05 2.27 2.38 2.46 2.62 2.79
2.06 2.29 2.4 2.47 2.64 2.81
2.07 2.29 2.41 2.49 2.65 2.81
2.09 2.33 2.46 2.55 2.72 2.88
2.08 2.32 2.47 2.55 2.73 2.88
2.09 2.32 2.46 2.54 2.72 2.91
2.12 2.35 2.48 2.55 2.71 2.85
2.12 2.36 2.48 2.54 2.69 2.83
2.15 2.39 2.51 2.57 2.71 2.84
2.17 2.43 2.55 2.62 2.77 2.9
2.2 2.45 2.57 2.64 2.78 2.91
2.21 2.46 2.59 2.66 2.79 2.93
2.18 2.43 2.55 2.63 2.77 2.9
2.2 2.43 2.57 2.65 2.8 2.93
2.2 2.41 2.55 2.63 2.76 2.89
2.24 2.47 2.6 2.66 2.79 2.91
2.26 2.49 2.63 2.7 2.82 2.94
2.27 2.51 2.65 2.73 2.86 2.98
2.29 2.52 2.66 2.72 2.83 2.95
2.33 2.56 2.72 2.78 2.9 3.01
2.33 2.58 2.76 2.84 2.97 3.08
2.25 2.5 2.68 2.77 2.92 3.04
2.3 2.52 2.7 2.79 2.94 3.06
2.33 2.57 2.75 2.84 3.01 3.12
2.32 2.57 2.76 2.85 3.03 3.14
2.26 2.52 2.72 2.83 3.02 3.14
2.3 2.56 2.77 2.86 3.02 3.14
2.3 2.54 2.74 2.83 2.99 3.11
2.4 2.65 2.84 2.91 3.07 3.18
2.4 2.65 2.83 2.9 3.04 3.15
2.38 2.63 2.81 2.87 3.02 3.13
2.4 2.65 2.81 2.88 3.04 3.15
2.44 2.69 2.86 2.94 3.11 3.22
2.42 2.66 2.84 2.92 3.09 3.21
2.39 2.62 2.79 2.88 3.04 3.16
2.37 2.6 2.77 2.86 3.03 3.15
2.43 2.67 2.83 2.9 3.06 3.17
2.42 2.65 2.8 2.87 3.02 3.13
2.36 2.58 2.74 2.81 2.97 3.09
2.4 2.63 2.79 2.86 3.02 3.14
2.41 2.65 2.81 2.88 3.04 3.16
2.42 2.65 2.81 2.88 3.03 3.14
2.42 2.65 2.81 2.89 3.04 3.15
2.42 2.63 2.79 2.86 3.01 3.13
2.45 2.65 2.82 2.9 3.04 3.16
2.43 2.64 2.79 2.87 3 3.13
2.41 2.62 2.77 2.84 2.98 3.1
2.41 2.61 2.75 2.81 2.94 3.05
2.42 2.62 2.76 2.82 2.94 3.05
2.44 2.65 2.78 2.85 2.96 3.08
2.45 2.65 2.78 2.85 2.97 3.09
2.49 2.69 2.82 2.89 3.01 3.12
2.46 2.69 2.82 2.89 3.01 3.12
2.43 2.63 2.76 2.83 2.94 3.06
2.41 2.61 2.74 2.82 2.94 3.06
2.44 2.64 2.78 2.85 2.96 3.08
2.39 2.58 2.7 2.78 2.9 3.03
2.41 2.59 2.72 2.77 2.89 3.01
2.39 2.56 2.68 2.74 2.85 2.97
2.37 2.55 2.67 2.73 2.85 2.97
2.41 2.6 2.73 2.79 2.9 3.02
2.42 2.61 2.73 2.79 2.91 3.03
2.45 2.64 2.76 2.83 2.95 3.07
2.4 2.58 2.7 2.77 2.89 3.01
2.43 2.6 2.72 2.78 2.89 3.02
2.45 2.62 2.74 2.8 2.89 3.02
2.45 2.62 2.72 2.79 2.87 2.99
2.49 2.67 2.78 2.83 2.92 3.05
2.51 2.67 2.77 2.82 2.91 3.03
2.52 2.69 2.78 2.83 2.91 3.03
2.52 2.68 2.77 2.82 2.89 3
2.57 2.73 2.83 2.87 2.95 3.06
2.58 2.77 2.87 2.92 3.01 3.11
2.62 2.8 2.91 2.96 3.04 3.14
2.64 2.83 2.94 2.98 3.05 3.15
2.63 2.83 2.95 3 3.08 3.18
2.64 2.84 2.97 3.03 3.12 3.21
2.63 2.82 2.95 3 3.08 3.18
2.62 2.8 2.92 2.96 3.03 3.13
2.62 2.79 2.91 2.95 3.01 3.11
2.66 2.82 2.93 2.97 3.03 3.13
2.64 2.8 2.92 2.97 3.04 3.14
2.62 2.78 2.9 2.94 3.02 3.12
2.63 2.78 2.9 2.95 3.02 3.12
2.64 2.78 2.9 2.95 3.02 3.12
2.66 2.81 2.93 2.97 3.04 3.13
2.68 2.84 2.96 3 3.07 3.16
2.69 2.83 2.94 2.97 3.04 3.12
2.69 2.84 2.94 2.97 3.03 3.1
2.7 2.85 2.96 3 3.06 3.13
2.75 2.92 3.04 3.08 3.14 3.2
2.76 2.94 3.05 3.09 3.16 3.21
2.75 2.94 3.07 3.11 3.19 3.25
2.71 2.9 3.02 3.06 3.14 3.2
2.73 2.9 3.02 3.06 3.13 3.2
2.73 2.9 3.02 3.06 3.14 3.21
2.67 2.83 2.95 3.01 3.09 3.17
2.65 2.82 2.93 2.98 3.06 3.13
2.6 2.76 2.88 2.93 3.01 3.09
2.43 2.58 2.71 2.77 2.87 2.96
2.53 2.67 2.79 2.84 2.93 3.01
2.54 2.68 2.78 2.83 2.91 3
2.61 2.74 2.85 2.89 2.96 3.04
2.64 2.78 2.89 2.94 3 3.08
2.62 2.76 2.87 2.92 2.99 3.07
2.65 2.81 2.93 2.97 3.05 3.13
2.63 2.77 2.88 2.93 3 3.08
2.63 2.77 2.88 2.93 3 3.08
2.66 2.8 2.91 2.96 3.02 3.1
2.67 2.81 2.91 2.96 3.02 3.09
2.71 2.85 2.95 2.98 3.04 3.1
2.69 2.81 2.9 2.94 2.99 3.05
2.68 2.81 2.89 2.93 2.98 3.05
2.67 2.8 2.89 2.92 2.98 3.05
2.64 2.77 2.84 2.89 2.95 3.02
2.67 2.8 2.89 2.93 2.99 3.06
2.65 2.77 2.86 2.9 2.97 3.04
2.65 2.77 2.86 2.9 2.97 3.04
2.63 2.75 2.83 2.87 2.95 3.02
2.63 2.75 2.84 2.88 2.95 3.03
2.59 2.71 2.79 2.83 2.9 2.97
2.6 2.73 2.81 2.84 2.91 2.97
2.63 2.73 2.81 2.85 2.91 2.98
2.65 2.75 2.83 2.87 2.92 2.99
2.63 2.72 2.79 2.83 2.89 2.96
2.65 2.74 2.8 2.84 2.88 2.95
2.64 2.71 2.78 2.82 2.87 2.94
2.66 2.75 2.82 2.86 2.9 2.96
2.69 2.77 2.83 2.87 2.91 2.97
2.67 2.74 2.82 2.85 2.89 2.95
2.68 2.75 2.83 2.85 2.89 2.95
2.66 2.73 2.8 2.83 2.87 2.94
2.67 2.75 2.82 2.85 2.9 2.96
2.69 2.76 2.83 2.86 2.91 2.97
2.69 2.77 2.84 2.88 2.93 2.99
2.67 2.74 2.81 2.84 2.9 2.96
2.68 2.77 2.85 2.89 2.96 3.03
2.72 2.83 2.92 2.96 3.04 3.1
2.74 2.83 2.91 2.95 3.02 3.08
2.74 2.82 2.9 2.94 3 3.06
2.78 2.86 2.95 2.98 3.05 3.1
2.76 2.84 2.92 2.96 3.03 3.09
2.77 2.85 2.94 2.98 3.05 3.11
2.77 2.85 2.92 2.96 3.03 3.08
2.78 2.87 2.96 3 3.07 3.13
2.76 2.85 2.93 2.98 3.06 3.12
2.74 2.82 2.91 2.95 3.03 3.09
2.73 2.8 2.89 2.94 3.02 3.08
2.76 2.84 2.92 2.98 3.06 3.12
2.77 2.83 2.92 2.96 3.05 3.12
2.74 2.8 2.89 2.93 3.01 3.08
2.68 2.75 2.82 2.87 2.96 3.03
2.68 2.75 2.82 2.88 2.97 3.05
2.71 2.77 2.84 2.89 2.98 3.06
2.68 2.73 2.81 2.86 2.95 3.03
2.7 2.75 2.82 2.87 2.95 3.03
2.68 2.75 2.82 2.87 2.95 3.03
2.65 2.7 2.77 2.82 2.91 2.99
2.67 2.73 2.8 2.85 2.93 3
2.65 2.7 2.77 2.82 2.91 2.99
2.66 2.72 2.78 2.82 2.9 2.97
2.68 2.72 2.78 2.82 2.89 2.97
2.7 2.74 2.81 2.85 2.92 3
2.73 2.77 2.84 2.88 2.96 3.03
2.75 2.78 2.85 2.89 2.96 3.02
2.72 2.75 2.82 2.86 2.93 3
2.7 2.74 2.81 2.86 2.95 3.02
2.73 2.78 2.85 2.9 2.99 3.07
2.72 2.77 2.85 2.9 3 3.08
2.71 2.76 2.83 2.88 2.98 3.06
2.78 2.82 2.89 2.94 3.03 3.11
2.78 2.83 2.89 2.94 3.02 3.09
2.83 2.87 2.94 2.98 3.06 3.13
2.82 2.87 2.93 2.97 3.04 3.11
2.83 2.87 2.93 2.97 3.04 3.11
2.85 2.9 2.96 2.99 3.07 3.13
2.85 2.89 2.96 2.99 3.07 3.13
2.88 2.94 3.01 3.05 3.14 3.2
2.89 2.96 3.04 3.08 3.16 3.23
2.89 2.96 3.03 3.07 3.15 3.21
2.89 2.95 3.03 3.07 3.14 3.2
2.89 2.96 3.04 3.08 3.15 3.21
2.91 2.99 3.06 3.1 3.17 3.23
2.89 2.96 3.02 3.06 3.14 3.19
2.89 2.96 3.02 3.06 3.13 3.19
2.88 2.94 3.01 3.05 3.13 3.19
2.9 2.96 3.04 3.09 3.18 3.24
2.88 2.94 3.01 3.05 3.14 3.2
2.94 3.02 3.1 3.15 3.24 3.3
2.97 3.05 3.14 3.19 3.29 3.35
2.99 3.07 3.18 3.23 3.34 3.4
2.98 3.05 3.15 3.21 3.3 3.37
2.97 3.05 3.15 3.22 3.33 3.39
2.94 3 3.09 3.14 3.25 3.32
2.93 3 3.09 3.15 3.25 3.32
2.94 3.01 3.1 3.16 3.27 3.34
2.95 3.02 3.1 3.16 3.26 3.32
2.97 3.04 3.13 3.19 3.29 3.35
2.95 3.03 3.11 3.17 3.28 3.36
2.99 3.05 3.14 3.2 3.31 3.38
2.99 3.05 3.13 3.2 3.31 3.38
2.95 3.01 3.1 3.17 3.29 3.37
2.89 2.94 3.02 3.1 3.24 3.33
2.92 2.98 3.07 3.14 3.27 3.35
2.85 2.91 3 3.08 3.23 3.32
2.86 2.91 3 3.08 3.23 3.33
2.9 2.94 3.03 3.12 3.26 3.36
2.93 2.98 3.07 3.15 3.3 3.39
2.91 2.96 3.06 3.14 3.29 3.38
2.98 3.04 3.13 3.22 3.37 3.46
2.99 3.03 3.12 3.2 3.34 3.43
3.01 3.05 3.14 3.22 3.35 3.43
3.03 3.07 3.15 3.22 3.35 3.43
3.05 3.09 3.17 3.24 3.36 3.43
3.01 3.05 3.13 3.19 3.32 3.4
2.95 2.99 3.07 3.14 3.28 3.36
2.92 2.95 3.04 3.12 3.26 3.35
2.91 2.94 3.02 3.11 3.27 3.36
2.85 2.9 2.99 3.08 3.23 3.33
2.82 2.87 2.97 3.06 3.22 3.32
2.83 2.88 2.97 3.06 3.22 3.31
2.84 2.89 2.98 3.06 3.22 3.31
2.83 2.88 2.97 3.05 3.21 3.31
2.86 2.9 2.98 3.07 3.22 3.32
2.86 2.89 2.98 3.06 3.22 3.32
2.84 2.87 2.97 3.06 3.23 3.34
2.83 2.85 2.94 3.03 3.21 3.33
2.83 2.84 2.92 3.01 3.19 3.3
2.84 2.83 2.9 2.98 3.15 3.27
2.81 2.79 2.84 2.91 3.05 3.16
2.76 2.75 2.8 2.87 3.01 3.14
2.72 2.7 2.77 2.85 3.01 3.14
2.73 2.71 2.77 2.85 3 3.13
2.78 2.75 2.81 2.89 3.02 3.13
2.78 2.77 2.84 2.91 3.04 3.15
2.76 2.75 2.83 2.91 3.05 3.16
2.72 2.73 2.81 2.89 3.03 3.14
2.68 2.69 2.77 2.86 3 3.11
2.64 2.65 2.74 2.82 2.96 3.07
2.61 2.62 2.69 2.77 2.89 3
2.65 2.65 2.72 2.79 2.92 3.02
2.61 2.64 2.72 2.79 2.92 3.03
2.56 2.58 2.66 2.74 2.88 3
2.6 2.67 2.74 2.81 2.94 3.06
2.55 2.6 2.68 2.77 2.92 3.05
2.5 2.56 2.63 2.72 2.89 3.04
2.46 2.51 2.59 2.69 2.87 3.02
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Page 75
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Page 76
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Arithmetic Average
1928-2018 11.36% 3.43%
1969-2018 11.10% 4.76%
2009-2018 13.49% 0.49%
Geometric Average
1928-2018 9.49% 3.38%
1969-2018 9.73% 4.71%
2009-2018 12.98% 0.49%
Page 77
PRIMA POR RIESGO
modar@stern.nyu.edu
tocks, T.Bonds & T.Bills with premiums
com
u/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.html
u/~adamodar/pc/datasets/indname.xls
u/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm
$ 7,934.26
$ 448.58
$ 448.17
3.12%
Return on 10-year T.
Bond Stocks
0.84% $ 143.81
4.20% $ 131.88
4.54% $ 98.75
-2.56% $ 55.46
8.79% $ 50.66
1.86% $ 75.99
7.96% $ 75.09
4.47% $ 110.18
5.02% $ 145.38
1.38% $ 94.00
4.21% $ 121.53
4.41% $ 120.20
5.40% $ 107.37
-2.02% $ 93.66
2.29% $ 111.61
2.49% $ 139.59
2.58% $ 166.15
3.80% $ 225.67
3.13% $ 206.65
0.92% $ 217.39
Page 78
PRIMA POR RIESGO
1.95% $ 229.79
4.66% $ 271.85
0.43% $ 355.60
-0.30% $ 439.80
2.27% $ 519.62
4.14% $ 513.35
3.29% $ 783.18
-1.34% $ 1,038.47
-2.26% $ 1,115.73
6.80% $ 999.05
-2.10% $ 1,435.84
-2.65% $ 1,608.95
11.64% $ 1,614.37
2.06% $ 2,044.40
5.69% $ 1,864.26
1.68% $ 2,285.80
3.73% $ 2,661.02
0.72% $ 2,990.97
2.91% $ 2,692.74
-1.58% $ 3,333.69
3.27% $ 3,694.23
-5.01% $ 3,389.77
16.75% $ 3,510.49
9.79% $ 4,009.72
2.82% $ 4,761.76
3.66% $ 4,080.44
1.99% $ 3,023.54
3.61% $ 4,142.10
15.98% $ 5,129.20
1.29% $ 4,771.20
-0.78% $ 5,081.77
0.67% $ 6,022.89
-2.99% $ 7,934.26
8.20% $ 7,561.16
32.81% $ 9,105.08
3.20% $ 11,138.90
13.73% $ 11,823.51
25.71% $ 15,516.60
24.28% $ 18,386.33
-4.96% $ 19,455.08
8.22% $ 22,672.40
Page 79
PRIMA POR RIESGO
17.69% $ 29,808.58
6.24% $ 28,895.11
15.00% $ 37,631.51
9.36% $ 40,451.51
14.21% $ 44,483.33
-8.04% $ 45,073.14
23.48% $ 61,838.19
1.43% $ 75,863.69
9.94% $ 100,977.34
14.92% $ 129,592.25
-8.25% $ 156,658.05
16.66% $ 142,508.98
5.57% $ 125,622.01
15.12% $ 98,027.82
0.38% $ 125,824.39
4.49% $ 139,341.42
2.87% $ 146,077.85
1.96% $ 168,884.34
10.21% $ 178,147.20
20.10% $ 113,030.22
-11.12% $ 142,344.87
8.46% $ 163,441.94
16.04% $ 166,871.56
2.97% $ 193,388.43
-9.10% $ 255,553.31
10.75% $ 290,115.42
1.28% $ 294,115.79
0.69% $ 328,742.28
2.80% $ 399,768.64
-0.02% $ 382,850.00
5.10%
7.10%
2.28%
4.83%
6.69%
1.97%
Page 80
PRIMA POR RIESGO
US companies
able.htm
Estimates of risk premiums from 1928, over the last 50 years and over the last 10 years
are provided at the bottom of this table.
T.Bills
$ 103.08
$ 106.34
$ 111.18
$ 113.74
$ 114.96
$ 116.06
$ 116.44
$ 116.64
$ 116.84
$ 117.19
$ 117.29
$ 117.33
$ 117.36
$ 117.46
$ 117.85
$ 118.30
$ 118.75
$ 119.20
$ 119.65
$ 120.33
Page 81
PRIMA POR RIESGO
$ 121.56
$ 122.90
$ 124.34
$ 126.18
$ 128.29
$ 130.72
$ 131.98
$ 134.17
$ 137.60
$ 142.04
$ 144.57
$ 149.27
$ 153.82
$ 157.30
$ 161.67
$ 166.70
$ 172.54
$ 179.28
$ 187.95
$ 196.10
$ 206.41
$ 219.96
$ 234.66
$ 245.32
$ 255.01
$ 272.16
$ 293.33
$ 310.90
$ 326.35
$ 343.09
$ 366.87
$ 403.33
$ 448.58
$ 512.73
$ 569.18
$ 617.26
$ 676.60
$ 727.26
$ 771.15
$ 815.27
$ 867.86
Page 82
PRIMA POR RIESGO
$ 938.24
$ 1,009.08
$ 1,065.69
$ 1,101.98
$ 1,134.84
$ 1,180.07
$ 1,245.15
$ 1,307.68
$ 1,373.76
$ 1,438.70
$ 1,503.58
$ 1,590.23
$ 1,648.63
$ 1,675.96
$ 1,693.22
$ 1,714.00
$ 1,765.59
$ 1,848.18
$ 1,933.98
$ 1,964.64
$ 1,967.29
$ 1,969.84
$ 1,970.44
$ 1,971.42
$ 1,972.72
$ 1,973.77
$ 1,977.91
$ 1,988.00
$ 2,015.63
$ 2,063.40
Risk Premium
Stocks - T.Bills
7.93%
6.34%
13.00%
Risk Premium
Stocks - T.Bills
6.11%
5.01%
12.48%
Page 83
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Historical risk
T.Bonds Stocks - Bills Stocks - Bonds premium Inflation Rate
$ 100.84 40.73% 42.98%
$ 105.07 -11.46% -12.50%
$ 109.85 -29.67% -29.66%
$ 107.03 -46.15% -41.28%
$ 116.44 -9.71% -17.43%
$ 118.60 49.02% 48.13%
$ 128.05 -1.51% -9.15%
$ 133.78 46.57% 42.27%
$ 140.49 31.77% 26.93%
$ 142.43 -35.64% -36.72%
$ 148.43 29.21% 25.07%
$ 154.98 -1.14% -5.51%
$ 163.35 -10.70% -16.08%
$ 160.04 -12.85% -10.75%
$ 163.72 18.84% 16.88%
$ 167.79 24.68% 22.57%
$ 172.12 18.65% 16.45%
$ 178.67 35.44% 32.02%
$ 184.26 -8.81% -11.56%
$ 185.95 4.63% 4.28%
Page 84
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Page 85
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Stocks - T.Bonds
4.66%
3.04%
11.00%
Page 86
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Page 87
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Page 88
PRIMA POR RIESGO
Page 89
CUADRO 35 INDICADORES DE RIESGO PARA PAÍSES EMERGENTES: Indice de Bonos de Mercados Emergentes (EMBIG) 1/ 2/ 3/
RISK INDICATORS FOR EMERGING COUNTRIES: Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBIG) 1/ Stripped Spread 2/ (In basis points) 3/
Diferencial de rendimientos del índice de bonos de mercados emergentes (EMBIG) / Emerging Market Bond
Index (EMBIG) Stripped Spread
2017 145 412 264 130 194 621 256 2845 429 325 2017
Dic. 136 356 232 118 174 470 242 4749 419 313 Dec.
2018 148 549 265 133 184 642 273 5188 471 360 2018
Ene. 122 365 217 110 159 451 235 4893 410 298 Jan.
Feb. 132 400 227 117 173 492 233 4760 419 308 Feb.
Mar. 147 412 233 123 179 546 246 4308 423 319 Mar.
Abr. 145 409 234 124 173 594 245 4237 422 322 Apr.
May. 158 470 260 136 190 687 269 4464 458 352 May.
Jun. 163 529 319 142 200 715 293 4711 486 377 Jun.
Jul. 150 571 288 137 180 651 268 4986 470 365 Jul.
Ago. 149 668 300 139 182 680 279 5364 493 383 Aug.
Set. 140 668 313 133 177 690 269 6091 497 385 Sep.
Oct. 143 658 263 129 180 671 269 5807 492 378 Oct.
Nov. 157 656 258 146 202 746 327 6028 528 405 Nov.
Dic. 165 778 268 160 215 775 346 6601 553 425 Dec.
2019 129 1337 237 137 185 706 319 9804 484 358 2019
Ene. 152 701 249 148 201 710 328 5738 518 400 Jan.
Feb. 139 679 236 136 191 653 319 4986 493 373 Feb.
Mar. 136 748 242 133 188 613 309 5191 488 371 Mar.
Abr. 122 839 244 128 177 552 295 5391 486 364 Apr.
May. 135 925 251 132 190 575 309 5548 505 377 May.
Jun. 129 883 242 137 190 590 333 6012 510 374 Jun.
Jul. 116 790 213 129 172 578 327 11010 509 354 Jul.
Ago. 127 1568 233 136 187 706 347 11526 528 372 Aug.
Set. 116 2170 228 131 176 646 319 13342 494 346 Sep.
Oct. 127 2099 235 136 179 766 309 19515 460 335 Oct.
Nov. 127 2336 230 146 182 992 317 15692 427 318 Nov.
Dic 1-10 126 2305 235 150 185 1095 320 13702 394 307 Dec 1-10
1/ La información de este cuadro se ha actualizado en la Nota Semanal N° 38 (12 de diciembre de 2019). Corresponde a datos promedio del mes.
2/ Índice elaborado por el J.P. Morgan que refleja los retornos del portafolio de deuda según sea el caso, es decir, de cada país, de los países latinoamericanos y de los países
emergentes en conjunto. Considera como deuda, eurobonos, bonos Brady y en menor medida deudas locales y préstamos. Estos indicadores son promedio para cada período y su
disminución se asocia con una reducción del riesgo país percibido por los inversionistas. Se mide en puntos básicos y corresponde al diferencial de rendimientos con respecto al
bono del Tesoro de EUA de similar duración de la deuda en cuestión.
3/ Cien puntos básicos equivalen a uno porcentual.
Fuente: Reuters.
Elaboración: Gerencia de Información y Análisis Económico - Subgerencia de Estadísticas Macroeconómicas
REAL
PBI MINERIA 3.40%
PBI SERVICIOS 3.60%
INFLACIÓN NOMINAL
2% 5.5%
2% 5.7%
PROMEDIO 5.6%
g 4.7%