When did ideology become the major fault line of the California Supreme Court? To answer this question, we use a two-parameter item response theory (“IRT”) model to identify voting patterns in non-unanimous decisions by California Supreme... more
When did ideology become the major fault line of the California Supreme Court? To answer this question, we use a two-parameter item response theory (“IRT”) model to identify voting patterns in non-unanimous decisions by California Supreme Court justices from 1910 to 2011. The model shows that voting on the court became polarized on recognizably partisan lines beginning in the mid-1900s. Justices usually did not vote in a pattern that matched their political reputations and party affiliation during the first half of the century. This began to change in the 1950s. After 1959 the dominant voting pattern is partisan and closely aligns with each justice’s political reputation. Our findings after 1959 largely confirm the conventional wisdom that voting on the modern court is on political lines. But our findings call into question the usual characterization of the Lucas court (1987–1996) as a moderately conservative court. Our model shows that the conservatives dominated the Lucas court to the same degree the liberals dominated the Traynor court (1964–1970).
More broadly, this Article confirms that an important development occurred in American law at the turn of the half-century. A previous study used the same model to identify voting patterns on the New York Court of Appeals from 1900 to 1941 and to investigate whether those voting patterns were best explained by the justices’ political reputations. That study found consistently patterned voting for most of the forty years. But the dominant dimension of disagreement on the court for much of the period was not political in the usual sense of that term. Our finding that the dominant voting pattern on the California Supreme Court was non-political in the first half of the 1900s parallels the New York study’s findings for the period before 1941. Carrying the voting pattern analysis forward in time, this Article finds that in the mid-1900s the dominant voting pattern became aligned with the justices’ political reputations due to a change in the voting pattern in criminal law and tort cases that dominated the court’s docket. Together, these two studies provide empirical evidence that judicial decisionmaking changed in the United States in the mid-1900s as judges divided into ideological camps on a broad swath of issues.
More broadly, this Article confirms that an important development occurred in American law at the turn of the half-century. A previous study used the same model to identify voting patterns on the New York Court of Appeals from 1900 to 1941 and to investigate whether those voting patterns were best explained by the justices’ political reputations. That study found consistently patterned voting for most of the forty years. But the dominant dimension of disagreement on the court for much of the period was not political in the usual sense of that term. Our finding that the dominant voting pattern on the California Supreme Court was non-political in the first half of the 1900s parallels the New York study’s findings for the period before 1941. Carrying the voting pattern analysis forward in time, this Article finds that in the mid-1900s the dominant voting pattern became aligned with the justices’ political reputations due to a change in the voting pattern in criminal law and tort cases that dominated the court’s docket. Together, these two studies provide empirical evidence that judicial decisionmaking changed in the United States in the mid-1900s as judges divided into ideological camps on a broad swath of issues.
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Trade-offs between a sacred value-like human life-against a secular one-like money-are described as taboo. People are supposed to be offended by such trade-offs and to punish those who contemplate it. Yet, the last decades have witnessed... more
Trade-offs between a sacred value-like human life-against a secular one-like money-are described as taboo. People are supposed to be offended by such trade-offs and to punish those who contemplate it. Yet, the last decades have witnessed the rise of the cost-benefit state. Most of the major rules promulgated today undergo a regulatory impact analysis and agencies monetize risks as grave as those to human life and values as abstract as human dignity. Prominent academics and lawmakers advocate attention to costs and benefits as an element of rational regulation. The cost-benefit revolution is a technocratic coup, however, if citizens see regulatory trade-offs as a symbolic denial of the values they hold dear. This Article presents three experiments evaluating responses to a cost-benefit justification for regulatory policy. Across a range of conditions, the studies uncovered no evidence of diffuse hostility towards a consequentialist approach to saving lives. The last of these studies found, however, that telling subjects that they were expected to vindicate the sanctity of life resulted in them doing so. This third experiment demonstrates the malleability of norms and expectation surrounding regulatory trade-offs. Taken together, the data suggest that people do not normally perceive regulatory trade-offs as symbolic affronts that call for an expressive defense of the value of life. While these results do not imply the normative desirability of the cost-benefit paradigm, they suggest the absence of any broad opposition to consequentialism in public life. These findings have implications for the democratic legitimacy of the administrative state and its institutional design. They also bear on the relationship between tort and regulation as mechanisms for risk control. Insofar as tort judgments are expressive and regulatory decisions not, regulation that preempts the common law of torts might help temper the tangible costs of symbolism.
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Michigan v. EPA and a rash of administrative law decisions from the D.C. Circuit have resuscitated a longstanding debate over the role of cost-benefit analysis in a regulatory democracy. The debate in its present form contrasts... more
Michigan v. EPA and a rash of administrative law decisions from the D.C. Circuit have resuscitated a longstanding debate over the role of cost-benefit analysis in a regulatory democracy. The debate in its present form contrasts quantitative (or formal) approaches to qualitative (or informal) ones. However, the distinction between quantitative analysis and qualitative balancing is distracting, and even misleading, because monetization and aggregation, rather than quantification, is at the heart of cost-benefit analysis.
This Article elucidates three interpretations of monetization and aggregation, and hence, cost-benefit analysis. Welfarist cost-benefit analysis serves as an indicator of a rule's impact on overall well-being. Replicative cost-benefit analysis, on the other hand, strives to identify and reproduce the outcomes that would have prevailed under a particular set of arrangements, a frictionless market being the most salient example. Finally, rationalizing cost-benefit analysis seeks to demonstrate that there is a set of numbers, satisfying certain structural and substantive conditions, that makes the rule at issue the best one.
These interpretations of cost-benefit analysis are not necessarily exclusive. But they represent differing approaches for understanding monetization and aggregation. Adopting them as part of the vocabulary for debating cost-benefit analysis facilitates critical examination of the practice and its justifications. While the academic dispute over the normative desirability of a cost-benefit standard remains unsettled, existing doctrine suggests that judges reviewing administrative action for arbitrariness may only impose on agencies cost-benefit analysis that is rationalizing.
This Article elucidates three interpretations of monetization and aggregation, and hence, cost-benefit analysis. Welfarist cost-benefit analysis serves as an indicator of a rule's impact on overall well-being. Replicative cost-benefit analysis, on the other hand, strives to identify and reproduce the outcomes that would have prevailed under a particular set of arrangements, a frictionless market being the most salient example. Finally, rationalizing cost-benefit analysis seeks to demonstrate that there is a set of numbers, satisfying certain structural and substantive conditions, that makes the rule at issue the best one.
These interpretations of cost-benefit analysis are not necessarily exclusive. But they represent differing approaches for understanding monetization and aggregation. Adopting them as part of the vocabulary for debating cost-benefit analysis facilitates critical examination of the practice and its justifications. While the academic dispute over the normative desirability of a cost-benefit standard remains unsettled, existing doctrine suggests that judges reviewing administrative action for arbitrariness may only impose on agencies cost-benefit analysis that is rationalizing.
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The evolution from industrial to technological economies has made creativity a complement, not a substitute, for productivity. Thus, creative activity is not only intrinsically valuable as a form of self-expression, but also... more
The evolution from industrial to technological economies has made creativity a complement, not a substitute, for productivity. Thus, creative activity is not only intrinsically valuable as a form of self-expression, but also instrumentally valuable as a tool for enhancing our standard of living. This change requires a reformulation of economic freedom. The new economic freedom is defined by the rights that stimulate creativity and innovation in the economy. It therefore embraces some of the positive freedoms emphasized by the political left, such as health, education, and basic security, and some of the negative rights emphasized by the political right, such as property, contract, and enterprise. Both sides of the left-right spectrum should embrace economic freedom as the freedom to create and innovate, while disagreeing about the legal forms it might take.