Peer-Reviewed Review Article
An Unconventional Reading
of China’s Foreign Economic
Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and
Transformation
Digby James Wren*
Dr.
International Relations Institute of Cambodia
Royal Academy of Cambodia
*Dr. Wren holds research degrees in both International Relations and Public Diplomacy
and is currently a Senior Special Advisor and Director of the Mekong Research Centre at
the Institute of International Relations (IRIC), Royal Academy of Cambodia (RAC), Advisory Board Member of the Belt and Road Caucus for Asia- Pacific (BRICAP) and Advisory
Board member of the Pakistan Institute of International Relations and Media (PIIRM). Dr.
Wren is also the Associate Editor of Taihe Observer in Beijing and a regular guest on China
Global Television and radio Networks (CGTN) and Bloomberg TV and Radio current affairs programs.
Recieved: 10.04.2023
Accepted: 05.05.2023
How to cite: Wren, D. J. (2023). An unconventional reading of China’s foreign economic policy:
a phase of fluidity and transformation. BRIQ Belt & Road Initiative Quarterly, 4(3), 68-81.
Digby James Wren - An Unconventional Reading of China’s Foreign Economic Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and Transformation
ABSTRACT
This article applies Marxist analytical tools to analyse the competing debates about the BRI’s
historic origins, deployment, and integration. The article contends that Marxist notions of subnational regions and spatial fixes have the potential to inform analysis of the BRI’s transnational
connectivity extensions and present it in different terms than is usually allowed in conventional
readings of China’s foreign economic policy. Adopting such a perspective is particularly apposite
given that China’s government has subscribed to such a worldview since assuming power in 1949.
Marxist approaches to international relations, political economy, and geoeconomics deepened
with Gramscian approaches to political and cultural hegemonic discourse and practice. Analysis of
the historical determinants and contemporary trajectory of BRI deployment considered Giovanni
Arrighi’s works and his use of Braudel’s la long dureé to contextualise the analysis.
Keywords: Multipolarity, multilateralism, Belt and Road Initiative, global economy, Three Worlds
Theory
Introduction
CONTEMPORARY IR THEORY, DOMINATED
by Western schools of thought (Muppidi, 2012),
clouds the lens of analysis when Chinese foreign
economic policy, including the BRI, is the focus
of attention. China’s construction of a worldview,
which integrates indigenous philosophy and
culture, has its roots in the late 19th and early 20th
centuries, when China assimilated intellectual
ideas from Japan and elsewhere to modify its
system of governance while maintaining territorial
sovereignty and limiting colonial encroachment
(Deng, 1998; Noesselt, 2015). The ideas of nonalignment and non-exclusionary regionalism
developed by Nehru and fellow Asian and African
leaders in the 1950s differed substantially from the
military blocs of the classic European balance of
power model (Grabowski, 2019).
Mao Zedong’s Three Worlds Theory (Wang,
2011) offered new thinking on IR, foreign policy,
warfare, and strategy. Moreover, the communitarian
teachings of Confucius and Mencius are often
referenced in the construction of Asian values and
provide an alternative to European and AngloAmerican liberal individualist values. Arrighi
(2007: 329) argues that strong central supervision
by Chinese political power never rejected “the
Confucian ideal of social harmony in favour of a
view of unfettered struggle in the marketplace.”
Thus, the notion of a distinctively East Asian
international order is often premised on deep
Confucian political, social, and cultural affinities,
which are at odds with the liberal prescription of
democratic peace (Acharya & Buzan, 2010). In this
view, liberal intervention in East Asia, such as in
Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam, can be seen as
an attempt to split the region from its historic links
to China for Washington to impose its evangelical
vision of political and cultural authority.
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A key contribution, therefore, is to illustrate
how China’s indigenous Marxist IR theory has
provided new perspectives on the theory and
practice of global governance. Leading Chinese
IR scholars, such as Wang (2021), Yan (2021) and
Yang (2021), are informed by Chinese history,
philosophy, and culture, and provide improved
analytical frameworks and better theoretical tools to
understand the relationship between China’s foreign
policy and the deployment of the BRI (Smith,
2017). One example is Zhao Tingyang (2006), who
wrote that China’s problems cannot be explained by
European and Anglo-American theories because
they generate tropes and motifs of China, such as
the China threat, debt trap diplomacy, and the rise
of China theses. For Zhao (Do, 2015: 23), realist and
liberal theorising, which ignores traditional Chinese
thought and its unique system of worldview, values,
and methodology, “can explain conflicts, but only
Chinese thought can fully explain harmony.” In
this holistic view, Confucian thought provides the
impetus for creating a harmonious world order of
inclusivity that minimises inequality and promotes
collective responsibility.
While Chinese scholars have sought to develop a
new theory of a harmonious international political
system, Xi Jinping’s vision for National Rejuvenation
has been the most visible attempt to put such ideas into
practice. Xi’s vision of a pluralistic and harmonious
community of shared values “preclude[s] the idea of
one civilisation imposing itself on another” (Dellios,
2017:227). The BRI’s win-win concepts of trust
building and mutuality are deeply rooted in China’s
philosophical past. Confucianism and yin-yang
both view “harmony as including opposition as a
productive force” (Wang, 2018: 6), which supersedes
the Hegelian-Marxist dialectics of struggle; thus,
each side requires the other to maintain the
system. Moreover, the distinctive teachings of both
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Daoism and Confucianism, often viewed through
the prism of hierarchy, value non-interference.
This means the Chinese cultural understanding of
win-win cooperation views success and prosperity
as a mutually entailing process in which China’s
national interest is viewed as mutual interest (Ames,
2007; Dellios, 2017). Thus, Xi’s plan for National
Rejuvenation is built on a vision of “a community
of common destiny” and avoidance of regional or
global hegemony (Dellios, 2017: 231).
In light of these general findings, the remainder
of the article summarises and reflects on the key
internal and external developmental determinants,
innovations, deployments and implications of
China’s Belt and Road Initiative.
A New Substructure for Global
Economic Development
A thorough appreciation of the BRI’s significance
requires recognition that the initiative forms
part of a larger and longer-running mission of
National Rejuvenation. The BRI is fundamental to
China’s pursuit of the Two Centenary Goals, the
constitutional addition of Ecological Civilisation
and the reframing of economic advancement within
the Dual Circulation paradigm. China’s pursuit
of National Rejuvenation was also affected by its
relations with other regional and global powers.
For instance, between 2017 and 2021, China’s
implementation of the BRI project was significantly
impacted by the escalating Sino-American “strategic
competition” (Lippman et al., 2021: 1) and the
emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic.
This article offers a corrective view of the BRI,
rooted in Marxist historical analysis and Gramscian
approaches to hegemony. It finds that China is a
culturally distinct yet natural nation-state with a
legitimate claim to seek advancement within its
Digby James Wren - An Unconventional Reading of China’s Foreign Economic Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and Transformation
national interest (Deng, 1974). This explains China’s
consistent approach to strengthening its offensive/
defensive arrangements in its near periphery,
protecting its merchant fleet from piracy (Erickson
& Strange, 2012), and a minimal need for overseas
military installations (Brewster, 2018; Liu & Yin,
2018). China has leveraged a web of bilateral,
trilateral, and multilateral networks and forums to
gain diplomatic traction. China’s so-called ‘wolfwarrior’ diplomacy (Zhu, 2020) is often referenced
to highlight China’s robust counter to legacy liberal
state accusations and allegations of human rights
abuses, military/naval assertiveness and political
influence. However, the 2021 Canadian attempt to
garner votes in the UN about China’s alleged human
rights and forced labour practices in Xinjiang
revealed China’s growing multilateral and diplomatic
influence. Canada’s ambassador to the UN circulated
a document that garnered the support of over 40
countries. However, not one was a Muslim state,
and China countered with a document supported by
over 60 countries, which included almost all Muslim
states, many of which are BRI partners (Liu, 2021).
Beijing’s deployment of the BRI
is grounded in Chinese notions
of reciprocity outlined in Xi
Jinping’s formula for “a new type
of international relations featuring
win-win cooperation”.
Marxist analysis of the BRI’s origins and
operations reveals that the BRI material substructure
is pan-continental, primarily centred on developing
countries, and harnesses global trade and investment
as a key means to check and reverse emerging
trade protectionism and regional economic blocs
(Dakila, 2020; Global Times, 2020; Amendolagine,
2021). Thus, analysis has reached quite different
conclusions than the consensus from most Western
politicians, scholars, and media outlets, whose
narratives about the BRI tend to obscure facts
pertaining to its deployment and purported benefits
as well as its challenges. In particular, this article
argues that realist assessments of the BRI, which
focus on wealth and power, ignore the contextual
importance of Chinese philosophical influence on
the conceptualisation of the BRI and how internal
and external forces are balanced to create harmonious
relationships, whether economic, political, or
social. Western political elites often ignore or fail
to grasp the theory and practice of socialism with
Chinese characteristics. To do so requires a fuller
understanding of the complex amalgamation of
cultural, social, ecological, political, and economic
organisational concepts included in Confucianism,
Daoism, Buddhism, and Marxism, such as ‘yin-yang’
(Wang & Zou, 2011) or ‘the principal contradiction’
(Xinhua, 2017).
Similarly, Beijing’s deployment of the BRI is
grounded in Chinese notions of reciprocity outlined
in Xi Jinping’s formula for “a new type of international
relations featuring win-win cooperation” (Xi, 2017:
3). As such, external reciprocities require renewal
or reform of the international system, including
respect of political sovereignty and avoidance of
external conflict. Internally, continuing reform
based on Marxist notions of a ‘better state of being’
(Yilmaz, 2016; Eskelinen et al., 2020) underpins the
identification of ‘the principal contradiction’, which
in post-Mao China, is state-led responses to improve
the material well-being of citizens (Xinhua, 2017).
These internal and external yin-yang equilibria
have evolved into the theoretical model of a Dual
Circulation, which encompasses a better state of
being as universal and embeds the notion into
constructing the BRI.
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By December 2022, 48 countries had signed Memorandums of Understanding (MoU) with
China to cooperate under the BRI framework. (Fudan University, 2023)
What are the key internal and external
developmental
determinants,
innovations,
deployments and implications of China’s Belt
and Road Initiative? The research supports the
argument that the BRI constitutes a new global
material infrastructural substructure. Moreover,
the BRI has accelerated an emerging multipolar
order and, more specifically, a China-EU-US
“tripolarity” of trade and investment (Dent,
2004: 214). This does not, however, equate to a
new tributary system, which relied on ritualised
interaction with the middle kingdom, as some
observers assert (Doğan, 2021; Freymann et al.,
2021). Rather, Xi’s ‘community of shared future
for mankind’ equates to a new approach to
multilateralism, non-interference, and consensusbuilding. For the 84% of the world’s population
that lives in the global south, China’s economic
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development model offers a clear alternative to the
colonial period, endless wars, financial bubbles,
and perceived economic, technological and vaccine
apartheid of the so-called rules-based order.
The Extension of China’s Economic And
Political Influence
The BRI and its structural siblings, namely Dual
Circulation, Ecological Civilisation and Digital
Transformation, are often framed as geostrategic
and geoeconomic challenges to the rules-based
order that has governed international relations
since the Industrial Revolution (Liu, 2019).
However, Washington, and to a lesser extent, its
allies, seem unwilling or incapable of adapting
to the new paradigms for development and
governance, which emanated from Western
Digby James Wren - An Unconventional Reading of China’s Foreign Economic Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and Transformation
philosophical thought and its later assimilation
and adaption to primarily Asian influences. Thus,
the US-led alliance network has turned away from
liberal and later neo-liberal economic competition
manifested in globalisation and global governance.
Rather, the rules-based order increasingly relies
on economic sanctions (Coates, 2020) and,
more recently, knowledge exclusivity, including
limits on Chinese students’ access to advanced
scientific studies in US universities (Chen, 2021;
Hollingsworth et al., 2021) and technology and
export bans (Soliman et al., 2020; Ye, 2021).
This article argues that US sanctions and export
restrictions, exercised to constrain economic
development in recalcitrant nations and arrest the
decline of US technological advantage (Darby &
Sewall, 2021), may constitute what former Iranian
President Rouhani (2005) labelled “technological
apartheid.”
The BRI’s focus on economic
development has increasingly
turned toward adopting and
evolving “digital industrialisation
and industrial digitalisation”.
The BRI’s focus on economic development
has increasingly turned toward adopting and
evolving “digital industrialisation and industrial
digitalisation” (Xi, 2021c: 2), constituting the
core of an emerging Sino-digitalisation of global
industry and telecommunications. As such, BRI
partner countries increasingly benefit from the
cost advantages of China’s capacity for innovation
at speed and scale – the smartphone and computer
markets in Africa, India, ASEAN, and China are all
currently dominated by Chinese producers using
US patents, components, and software. During the
COVID-19 pandemic, demand for semiconductor
chips, a key component of all electronics, was
impacted by major supply disruptions. The
resulting shortages, however, were largely a direct
result of the Trump administration’s 2018 trade
and tech war with China (Brown, 2021).
In 2018, Xi Jinping told a joint meeting of the
Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Academy
of Engineering that independent technological
and institutional innovation was the only path to
reach the “commanding heights” (Qiushi, 2018:
3) in scientific and technological competition.
Furthermore, to ensure that “key and core
technologies are self-developed and controllable
(…) the initiatives of innovation and development
must be securely kept in our own hands” (Qiushi,
2018: 3). Additionally, prime resources should
be focused, and strategic planning made to deal
with “key areas and stranglehold problems”
(Qiushi, 2018: 3). Henceforth, China’s indigenous
semiconductor production and industrial
digitalisation was upgraded to a national core
goal and Chinese technology industries began
concerted efforts to remove US software/hardware
components and licenses by 2025. In other
words, a key consequence of US securitisation
and sanctions over semiconductor supply chains,
5G and other technologies was accelerating
China’s digitalisation processes (Li, 2021). As
such, the BRI has become a digital substructure
for telecommunications (5G), computing, AI
and big data, logistics, biotech, and fintech. This
digital road supports the lucrative and expanding
superstructures of e-commerce, social media,
payment platforms, entertainment and shareeconomy applications adopted by commercial and
consumer markets in Asia, Africa, and increasingly
the US and Europe.
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The 19th Meeting of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the 14th Meeting of the Chinese Academy of
Engineering were inaugurated on May 28, 2018 at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, the capital of China.
(Xinhua, 2018)
China is creating new digital standards, due
in part to cultural, social and language
particularities but in larger part as a response
to the US-instigated trade-tech war and a
renewed push for self-reliance. China is
also accelerating knowledge dissemination
to its BRI partner countries via advanced
telecommunications that have moved beyond
simply globalising trade and knowledge. As
such, global challenges are recognised in all
corners of the world as the primary danger to
humanity’s very existence:
With the future of the Planet being the key
to the destiny of humanity, the ‘Planetisation’
of our policies may be the new form of
globalisation, a more humane approach to
globalisation (Raffarin, 2021: 7).
China’s capacity to conceptualise, organise,
and deploy large-scale and long-term
initiatives, both internally and externally,
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cannot be matched by the core liberal
states. Additionally, the long list of US-led
political, diplomatic, economic, and military
operations that target China’s periphery and
BRI extensions are seen in Beijing as having
varying degrees of short-term effectiveness,
but over the longer term, only hasten declining
US global power projection. Pertinent evidence
in this regard includes the ineffectiveness of
American sanctions against China for alleged
systemic repression in Xinjiang and the US
withdrawal from Afghanistan, a return to
the JCPOA and China’s 25-year development
agreement with Iran, US warmongering over
Taiwan and acquiescence to the One China
Principle, overestimating EU support for US
leadership and underestimating EU strategic
autonomy. The significant contradictions
between core liberal state anti-China political
rhetoric and China’s patent centrality in global
Digby James Wren - An Unconventional Reading of China’s Foreign Economic Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and Transformation
trade networks can be seen as evidence of
China’s continental rescaling of the global
political, economic, and security architecture
toward
multilateralism,
multipolarity,
and planetisation. In other words, despite
concerted asymmetric and hybrid assaults by
the fractious US-led coalition of core liberal
states, the BRI’s public roads (Xi, 2021a) and
provision of global public goods constitute a
secure and stable material substructure for
long-term global economic development that
supports an emerging continental alignment
of trade blocs. These trade blocs include the
EU, CEEC, RCEP, USMCA, CPTPP, EEU, AU,
GCC, and Mercosur, in which China remains
the single largest member or external partner.
In this view, China exerts increasing influence
in the “three prosperous ‘triad’ regions (North
America, East Asia, and Europe) [which]
dominate the world economic system” (Dent,
2004: 214).
China is not alone in its vision
of a multipolar order less
constrained by an exploitative
US-led liberal order.
Beijing’s deployment of the BRI has largely
benefited from the US pursuit of foreign
and trade policies designed to constrain
and contain China’s national rejuvenation.
While China made relative economic gains
as the US prosecuted its War on Terror, the
advancement of national rejuvenation benefited
proportionally more from its accession to the
WTO in 2001. These analogous paths reflect
the “relative global shift from geopolitics to
geoeconomics” in the practice of international
relations (Dent, 2004: 214; Beeson, 2018). The
practice of neo-liberalism and interventionism
by the US, under both Republican and
Democratic administrations, set the US on a
course of domestic political polarisation and
obscurantism vis-à-vis internal governance
and factual evidence about the rise of China.
In The Discourses, Machiavelli (1975) posits
that freedom produces prosperity greater
than tyranny or corrupt republics. In The
Leviathan, Hobbes (2018) discusses the notion
that freedom is the power to act without
interference, where the absence of interference
by external actors is what confirms the presence
of freedom. These proto-realist arguments
support China’s statements and claims of the
importance of non-conflict, non-interference
and non-aggression as pillars of its foreign
policy (Yang, 2021).
China is not alone in its vision of a multipolar
order less constrained by an exploitative USled liberal order. While liberal values retain a
degree of attractiveness globally, partial, but not
complete, rejection of the US-led liberal order is
growing as an increasing number of governments
seek systems that are not “Western, not liberal, not
liberal democracies, maybe not even democracies
[…] because they have proved more successful in
responding to global economic turmoil” (Boyle,
2016: 35). Orbán’s statement referred to the
imposition of liberal values and legal restrictions
had made it increasingly difficult for countries
such as Hungary and Poland to engage in a new
type of economic nationalism that could protect
their interests in the global economy. There
is much debate over the causes of the rise of
illiberalism (Zakaria, 1997; Kalb, 2018; Posen,
2018; Hendrikse, 2021).
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The "Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence", first formulated by the then-Chinese Prime Minister Zhou Enlai and
later adopted by the Non-Aligned Movement, express the aspirations of today's world. Zhou Enlai (middle) and
Pakistani Prime Minister Muhammad Ali (right) and his wife (left) during the Bandung Conference.
(Xinhua, 1955)
However, the negative consequences
of neo-liberalism, the post-2001 US-led
War on Terror, the US-induced Global
Financial Crises, and China’s economic
success were contributing factors. The mass
movement of refugees from conflict zones,
rising government debt, increasing trade
competition with China, and neo-liberal
reductions in the provision of public goods
and services exacerbated social tensions.
In Greece, Switzerland, Sweden, Austria
and Germany, neo-Nazi parties gained
momentum, and right-wing populism saw
modest election success in France and the
UK (Boyle, 2016). The 2016 election of
Donald Trump signalled that illiberalism
had also festered in the US and would
become alarmingly apparent as the global
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COVID-19 pandemic rapidly spread.
The greatest failure, however, lay with
the United States, which catastrophically
failed to manage its own epidemic, much
less lead others in managing theirs. Against
this background, any hope of a return to
the previous liberal order premised on US
power is now extinguished (Boyle, 2020:
51).
China looms large in US Realist analysis
of the declining influence of the liberal order
and US capacity to maintain proportional
control of global supply chains (Ikenberry
et al., 2022). The US-led geoeconomic
pressure and primarily maritime security
deployments have contributed to the
diversification of China’s global trading
network. Moreover, the net effect of the
Digby James Wren - An Unconventional Reading of China’s Foreign Economic Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and Transformation
US-instigated and continuing tradetech war, which restricts knowledge and
technology transfer, constitutes a new form
of knowledge apartheid and has further
motivated China’s efforts to construct
advanced technology supply chains free of
US-controlled intellectual property rights.
The concept of a community
of shared future for mankind
includes the moral universalism
of Confucian and Daoist thought
about societal and natural
harmony.
For Chinese leaders, Donald Trump’s
blaming of China for the pandemic (Pan,
2021: 42) and the core liberal states’ record
of COVID-19 cases and deaths is another
example of a failure of Western leadership – a
“Westfailure.” For Pan (2021: 40), Westfailure
demonstrates “the racialised politics of
security and insecurity in Western security
thinking and practice [and] undermined
the self-image of Western security and
superiority vis-à-vis the rest of the world.”
As such, the legacy liberal state policy
response to vaccine research, production,
and distribution constituted a form of
vaccine apartheid. Beijing’s pandemic
response displayed a moral approach to
global challenges upheld in China’s vision
for the BRI and its governance.
In contrast to the increasing “neuralgia
and anxiety” in the US (Wang, 2021: 4),
China’s economic vigour can, in large part,
be attributed to the pursuit of private and
public advantages and the ability of citizens
to acquire goods for enjoyment resulting
from rising material wealth (Xinhua, 2021b).
This freedom is closely associated with
Marxist notions of equitable distribution
of economic development and expressed
within the vocabulary of socialism with
Chinese characteristics. Likewise, the
concept of a community of shared future for
mankind includes the moral universalism
of Confucian and Daoist thought about
societal and natural harmony (Zhao, 2006;
Wang & Zou, 2011). Understood in this
way, freedom is promoted as a pillar of
the BRI economic development model
in several ways. First, the BRI is an open
inclusive model that does not insist on
geopolitical or ideological alignment.
Second, the BRI economic development
model has a high degree of flexibility,
ensuring adaption to both the legacy and
new infrastructure development initiatives
of partner countries. Third, China relies on
an extensive network of consensus-building
consultative frameworks and forums.
Fourth, China promises and practises both
non-interference and non-intervention.
As such, the BRI economic development
model requires continuing optimisation of
its governance, finance and sustainability,
particularly in face of legacy liberal state
criticisms (CFR, 2021) and attempts to
mount counter initiatives such as the “B3W”
(Build Back Better World) (G7, 2021: 24).
More recent US-led counter initiatives,
such as the Quadrilateral (Mahbubani,
2021) and AUKUS arrangements (Strangio,
2021), display a hybrid model of both hard
(military) and soft (economic) components.
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Implications
The adoption of the Gramscian perspective
on hegemonic and counter-hegemonic great
power competition (Gramsci, 1971; Yilmaz,
2014) reveals that since at least the Obama era
‘pivot to Asia’ (FPI, 2014), the democratisation
of global economic development has become
subject to ideological narratives of (US)
liberal democracy versus (Chinese) illiberal
authoritarianism (Biden, 2021: 9). Moreover,
the pernicious, and largely unsubstantiated
human rights allegations, and consequent
sanctioning, emanating from Washington
obscures evidence of both regional and
global economic vitalisation achieved via the
BRI material substructure of connectivities.
Primarily motivated to constrain China’s
development and stability, the US seeks to
form a democratic club of former imperial
and legacy colonial states to prolong American
hegemony and bolster its declining influence
in the global multilateral hierarchy, of which it
was the major architect (Wren, 2020).
There is contention surrounding whether
the BRI was part of China’s grand strategy to
extend its political, economic, and possibly
military influence to undermine the socalled liberal rules-based order centred on
US economic predominance and military
preponderance. However, Xi Jinping has
consolidated the CPC policy direction,
consistent with the reformist faction
originating with Deng Xiaoping, and peace
and development continue to characterise the
new era. China’s economic influence continues
to accumulate as a result of its increasing
trade volumes along the BRI southern sea and
western land extensions. Significantly, the BRI
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allows China to increasingly diversify resource
acquisition, especially in Africa and Central
Asia, and consequently exercise greater
proportional control of commodity pricing
as trading volumes in Shanghai, Hong Kong,
and Shenzhen (Petry, 2020; Yang et al., 2020).
Ongoing construction on all BRI corridors
has consolidated and extended the transport
network, including surrounding industrial
parks, FTZs, and SEZs. The launch of the
BRI corridor into the Bay of Bengal through
Myanmar was delayed due to the military’s
rejection of the 2020 election results (Chan,
2021). Nevertheless, the first cargo shipment
from Singapore via Yangon Port arrived in
China’s southwestern city of Chengdu in
August 2021 (CGTN, 2021).
Significant negative narratives, primarily
from Washington, about China’s pursuit of its
national goals are supported with little or no
factual evidence. Rather, Xi’s characterisation
of the BRI as a “public road” connecting over
170 countries and organisations that includes
third-party cooperation (Xi, 2021a: 8) holds
true. Furthermore, the BRI’s official alignment
with the UN 2030 SDGs and continuing reform
of sustainability and governance policies, often
following constructive criticism emanating
from bilateral, trilateral, and multilateral
forums, demonstrates a high degree of
institutional adaptability. China increasingly
emphasised that the BRI was fundamental
to both the internal Central and Western
Development Plan (China Daily, 2021) and the
Northeast Revitalisation Plan (CSET, 2021: 80;
Xinhua, 2021). In response to the challenging
global environment, China has repositioned
its economy toward Dual circulation.
This entailed directing the BRI’s further
Digby James Wren - An Unconventional Reading of China’s Foreign Economic Policy: A Phase of Fluidity and Transformation
deployment toward non-state investment in
construction, manufacturing, logistics, and
services that offer extensive synchronicity
between China’s internal strategic assets and
external resources, markets, and consumers
globally. Moreover, the success of the AIIB and
its cooperative framework points the way for
future collaborative refocusing of multilateral
financial institutions. A pertinent example
is that India, which, despite its continuing
reticence to participate in either the BRI or
RCEP, remains the largest single recipient
of AIIB loans, including significant loans for
health and COVID-19 response (Krishnan,
2020; PTI, 2020).
Russia’s strategic partnership
with China is especially relevant
when considering China’s efforts
to revitalise connectivity choke
points such as Iran, Syria, and
Venezuela.
China has recognised that to confront
conflict, global pandemics, pollution, terrorism,
corruption and climate change, a tripartite
cooperation and coordination mechanism can
be realised with the EU and US. Furthermore,
the UN and G20 would be included in such an
initiative. Thus, the initial extreme competition
posture of the Biden administration (Japan
Times, 2021) was perceived in Beijing as a
geostrategic window of opportunity in which
the shift in global wealth and power, accelerated
by the COVID-19 pandemic, allowed time for
China to transition its economy and industrialmanufacturing base towards a vision of a new
global economic development framework. This
has been confirmed by the recent “recoupling”
policy of the Biden administration (Moriyasu,
2021; Tiezzi, 2021: 5) and reaffirmation of the
“Taiwan Agreement ” (Reuters, 2021a: 1). As
such, the US accession to China’s terms on
trade, most notably in expanding trade deficits,
and security concerns (One China Policy)
confirms the view that the BRI’s role as the
new material substructure for global trade and
investment has strengthened Beijing’s hand
when dealing with Washington.
The
strengthening
of
Sino-Russian
cooperation following the 2007-2008 GFC
and the imposition of US and EU sanctions
on Russia following its 2014 annexation of
Crimea is of great importance. Russia’s long
border with China and geographical extent,
stretching from the Pacific to the Baltic,
ensures its indispensable partnership role in
the deployment of the BRI. Russia’s increasing
provision of energy commodities via the BRI was
exemplified recently during power outages in
China’s industrial northeast (Qi, 2021; Reuters,
2021b). Russia’s strategic partnership with
China is especially relevant when considering
China’s efforts to revitalise connectivity choke
points such as Iran, Syria, and Venezuela.
In particular, the Sino-Russian strategic
partnership is significant for the Korean
peninsula and Northeast Asian economic
integration. Post-conflict Afghanistan presents
a new set of challenges against a background of
multilateral cooperation on managing strategic
space as multipolarity amplifies. Beijing’s
efforts to counter legacy liberal state assaults
include key BRI nodes such as Xinjiang, Hong
Kong, Myanmar, Cambodia, the Horn of
Africa, Greece, and Hungary.
79
BRIq
•
Volu me 4 Issue 3 Summer 2023
To conclude, the BRI has multilateral
significance second only to the United Nations.
It bears a measure of global responsibility to
coalesce its partner countries around planetary
challenges such as pandemics, climate change,
famine, and conflict. In this view, the BRI is
not only an economic development model that
constitutes a new global material substructure
for trade and investment but also manifests
China’s commitment to global economic
growth, human security, and environmental
protection. Thus, BRI optimisation is central
for the realisation of both China’s Long Range
Goal of realising socialist modernization by
2035 (SCIO, 2020) and its second Centenary
Goal “to develop a rich, powerful, democratic,
and civilised modern socialist country by
2049” (Lee, 2020: 2). Ultimately, the BRI is a
fundamental pillar of the CPC’s determination
to realise China’s National Rejuvenation and
therefore, its contribution to peaceful planetary
cooperation and more harmonious world order.
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