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FloodCitiSense: Early Warning Service For Urban Pluvial Floods For And By Citizens and City Authorities Boud Verbeiren1,2, Solomon Dagnachew Seyoum1, Ihab Lubbad1, Tian Xin3 , Marie-Claire ten Veldhuis3, Christian Onof4, Li-Pen Wang4,5, Susana Ochoa-Rodriguez6, Carina Veeckman7, Michelle Boonen7, Linda See8, Dominique Nalpas9, Barry O’Brien10, Andy Johnston10 and Patrick Willems1 2 1 Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Brussels, Belgium Brussels Company for Water Management (SBGE/BMWB), Direction Exploitation, Brussels, Belgium 3 Delft University of Technology, CITG, Delft, The Netherlands 4 Imperial College London, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, UK 5 RainPlusPlus Ltd, Derby, UK 6 RPS Group, Environmental Management, Derby, UK Vrije Universiteit Brussel, iMEC-SMIT, Brussels, Belgium 8 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystems Services and Management, Laxenburg, Austria. 9 Etat Généraux des Eaux à Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium 10 Local Government Information Unit, Birmingham, UK 7 Abstract (maximum 250 words): FloodCitiSense aims at developing an urban pluvial flood early warning service for, but also by citizens and city authorities, building upon the state-of-the-art knowledge, methodologies and smart technologies provided by research units and private companies. FloodCitiSense targets the co-creation of this innovative public service in an urban living lab context with all local actors. This service will reduce the vulnerability of urban areas and citizens to pluvial floods, which occur when heavy rainfall exceeds the capacity of the urban drainage system. Due to their fast onset and localized nature, they cause significant damage to the urban environment and are challenging to manage. Monitoring and management of peak events in cities is typically in the hands of local governmental agencies. Citizens most often just play a passive role as people negatively affected by the flooding, despite the fact that they are often the ‘first responders’ and should therefore be actively involved. The FloodCitiSense project aims at integrating crowdsourced hydrological data, collaboratively monitored by local stakeholders, including citizens, making use of low-cost sensors and web-based technologies, into a flood early warning system. This will enable ‘citizens and cities’ to be better prepared for and better respond to urban pluvial floods. Three European pilot cities are targeted: Brussels – Belgium, Rotterdam – The Netherlands and Birmingham – UK. Keywords: Urban pluvial flooding, Citizen science, Flood Early Warning System 1. INTRODUCTION The hydrological response in (peri-)urban catchments is dependent on (1) rainfall and (2) the urban landscape. Besides rainfall intensity, rainfall spatial distribution is of great importance as it determines where the rain hits the urban landscape. The rainfall-runoff response at the urban surface is mainly determined by the land cover, with a very distinct behaviour in case of man-made materials (characterised by high sealed surface cover) or urban green. In case of extreme rainfall, fast and abundant runoff from sealed surfaces is the dominating mechanism which can quickly lead to exceedance of the system’s drainage capacity, ultimately resulting in urban pluvial flooding. Due to the fast onset and localised nature of this type of flooding, occurring at small temporal and spatial scales, high resolution models and data are needed (Jacobsen, 2011; Bruni et al. 2014; Ochoa-Rodriguez et al. 2015b). But on the other hand this also demands a fast simulation of flood forecasts. Contrary to what would be expected, these specific monitoring and modelling needs for pluvial flood analysis in urban catchments are not translated into a denser monitoring network of rainfall and/or hydrological response. Most urban catchments remain poorly gauged - even ungauged (Rodriguez et al., 2005). The main reason is the relatively high cost for installation and maintenance of dense sensor networks (Lowry & Fienen, 2013). In the case of rainfall, recent developments in radar technology have made it possible to obtain spatially-continuous, high resolution rainfall estimates (Bruni et al, 2014; Veldhuis ten et al., 2014). However, the accuracy of radar estimates is often insufficient due to their being an indirect measurement of rainfall. As such, these measurements need to be complemented by direct rainfall measurements at the ground (Wang et al., 2013). In recent years, crowdsourcing or citizen science has gained popularity as an alternative data collection technique. Crowdsourcing refers to the involvement of citizen scientists and/or the use of “mass” data to fulfil the need for spatially distributed measurements (Muller et al., 2015). With respect to rainfall several crowdsourcing initiatives exist, based on voluntary rain gauging and/or smart sensing (CoCoRaHs.org, Rainlog.org, etc.). Though some question the accuracy and usefulness of crowdsourced data (Riesch & Potter, 2014), others clearly demonstrate the potential of crowdsourcing (Lowry & Fienen, 2013) and smart sensing techniques (Overeem et al., 2013). Very good examples in the field of flood monitoring is the development of Citizen Water Observatories within the framework of the ongoing WeSenseIt.eu project or the citizen-based reporting within the framework of the US FLOCAST project or the P+ Taiwan disaster reduction platform. These projects however do not focus on urban areas, where the response and lead times are typically much shorter. Smith et al. (2015) demonstrated that crowdsourced information on floods, harvested from social media, could successfully be used for validation of a real-time flood model. While research seems to have been exploring widely the potential of citizen interaction in the field of flood monitoring (of non-urban areas), efforts have remained relatively limited at the level of public citizen interaction services by governmental agencies. The DIANE-CM project explored the potential of collaborative modelling where different stakeholders (including water managers, local authorities, emergency services and citizens) were involved in order to initiate public dialogue and come to more informed and shared decision-making to support flood risk management (Evers et al., 2012). Ochoa-Rodriguez et al. (2015a) reviewed pluvial flood warning approaches in England. Despite the rapid progress that has been made in recent years in improving forecasting, warning and management of this type of flooding, a number of major drawbacks remain, including insufficient accuracy and resolution of rainfall estimates and forecasts, simulation time still too long in relation to the typical short lead times of pluvial floods, lack of capacity at the local authorities level and low level of (public) awareness of this type of flood. These challenges will be tackled in FloodCitiSense by bringing local stakeholders together and jointly creating flood observatories and flood warning tools. 2. MATERIALS AND METHODS The FloodCitiSense project proposes an interactive and cooperative framework (Figure 1) consisting of citizens, local authorities, research units and industrial partners aiming at improving the monitoring and management of urban pluvial flooding. Citizens are no longer considered as passive, potential “victims” of flood, but are engaged as active contributors in the process of pluvial flood monitoring and mapping, enabling better simulation and forecasting of flood events while enhancing awareness and ultimately resilience. Moreover, the proposed framework aims at establishing strong ties between research and public management, enabling the transfer of the latest state-of-the-art technologies in the monitoring and modelling of pluvial flooding. Both citizen science and smart sensing will play a central role in the envisaged urban pluvial flood early warning service. The service will consist of an intelligent algorithm enabling early detection of threshold levels/volumes triggering potential pluvial flood events and will support better preventative communication to the public. Figure 1: Concept of FloodCitiSense project The main outcome of this project will be an urban pluvial flood early warning service for, but also by citizens and city authorities, built upon the state-of-the-art knowledge, methodologies as well as smart technologies provided by research units and private companies. The targeted co-creation of this new, innovative public service is realized by bringing together all actors in urban living labs. The overall design of Living Lab experiments is based on principles of ‘transition experiments’ (Hoogma et al., 2002). In contrast to traditional innovation experiments aimed at testing and demonstration, transition experiments focus on broad stakeholder involvement, co-creation, and strategic learning to achieve systemic change (Kemp & van den Bosch 2006). 3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION In total, nine co-creation workshops, with citizens and city stakeholders, were set-up between October 2017 and March 2018 that consisted of multiple creative exercises and group discussions to elicit user and data requirements about the FloodCitiSense solution, i.e. a social sensing application (app & web platform) and low-cost rainfall sensor network. Some small differences between the pilots could be noticed. First of all, the city stakeholders in Birmingham are a bit more reluctant towards citizens’ contributions, and rely more on the high-density data retrieved from sensors. Brussels and Rotterdam perceived the citizens’ contributions as highly valuable, and would like to position this as part of a greater awareness raising campaign around water management and sustainability in the city. Secondly, for the engagement strategy of citizens in Rotterdam and Brussels, some concerns were expresses on how to motivate users in the long-term, as flooding events only happen rarely. As a solution, Rotterdam suggested to integrate FloodCitiSense with the Buitenbeter application, as this system already has a solid basis of frequent users. Brussels suggested to reach out to already existing strong local communities, and to invest in advertising campaignswith support of local media. Since Birmingham already has a large volunteering community through the Flood Action Group, less issues are expected for continued participation of citizens. CONCLUSIONS FloodCitiSense explores the potential of citizen science and low-cost sensing via co-creation of a flood warning early warning service in a Urban Living Lab context. References Bruni, G, Reinoso Rondinel, RR, Giesen, NC van de, Clemens, FHLR & Veldhuis, JAE ten (2014). On the sensitivity of urban hydrodynamic modelling to rainfall spatial and temporal resolution. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 11(6), 5991-6033 Evers, M., Jonoski, A., Maksimovič, Č., Lange, L., Ochoa Rodriguez, S., Teklesadik, A., Cortes Arevalo, J., Almoradie, A., Eduardo Simões, N., Wang, L., and Makropoulos, C. (2012). Collaborative modelling for active involvement of stakeholders in urban flood risk management, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 2821-2842, doi:10.5194/nhess-12-2821-2012 Goormans, T., Willems, P. (2013). Using local weather radar data for sewer system modelling: case study in Flanders, Belgium. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 18(2), 269-278 Hoogma, R., R. Kemp, J. 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