159 - PokerBank Articles
159 - PokerBank Articles
159 - PokerBank Articles
chance of making money at a $1/$2 game where the maximum buy-in is $200, you should have a
bankroll of at least $4000.
Another way of applying bankroll management is by only putting a maximum 5% of your entire
bankroll on the table at any one time, which works out the same as having 20 times the buy-in
for the game.
Limit Hold'em.
If you like to play limit Holdem however, you should have 300 Big Bets as a minimum for the
limit you wish to play at. Therefore to play $1/$2 limit Holdem, you should have a bankroll of at
least $600.
Tournament games.
It is recommended that you have a bankroll that will give you 40 buy-ins to the level of
tournaments that you wish to play at. Therefore if you want to play at the $10+$1 Sit n Go's you
should have a bankroll of $440.
Limit Holdem
Blinds Bankroll
5c/10c $30
10c/20c $60
25c/50c $150
$0.50/$1 $300
$1/$2
$600
$2/$4
$1,200
$5/$10 $3,000
$10/$20 $6,000
$25/$50 $15,000
$50/$100 $30,000
SnG Tournaments
Blinds Bankroll
$1 + $0.1 $44
$2 + $0.2 $88
$5 + $0.5 $220
$10 +$1 $440
$20 +$2 $880
$30 +$3 $1,320
$50 +$5 $2,200
$100 +$10 $4,400
$200 +$20 $8,800
$500 +$50 $22,000
Try the online bankroll calculator or the downloadable fergulator tool for recommendations on
where to play based on the exact size of your bankroll.
The guidelines noted above are very general rules that should give you the best opportunity to
make money from playing Texas Holdem poker without going broke. However there are going
to be some exceptions and alterations depending on how and where you play.
If you intend on taking poker up as your main source of income, the bankroll you would require
will be substantially larger than 20 full buy-ins for cash, or 40 buy-ins for tournaments. This is
because your living expenses will constantly be taken out of your bankroll and so it has to have
the ability to withstand the variance along with the costs of everyday life.
Professional players will require a far bigger bankroll than the guidelines set out in this article.
If you are constantly dipping into your bankroll to pay for bills and groceries, you may find that
occassionally you will not be properly rolled for the limits you are playing at. Furthermore, there
may well be times of emergency when you will need to take a big chunk out of your roll, and so
it's good to have a little extra money behind you just in case.
bankroll this looks like a big loss and may cause you to tighten up your game and play "scared
poker" because you are afraid to lose more money.
Now if you had 20 full buy-ins for the $1/$2 game, your bankroll would change from $4000 to
$3200. Immediately you can see that visually this does not look as bad as the loss in the first
instance. Therefore you will feel more comfortable that you have the ability to win back the lost
money without feeling the need to change your game.
If your bankroll drops below 20 full buy-ins, then you should also drop down a level
so that you are playing within your bankroll until you have built it back up enough to
play at the next level.
If you have more than 20 buy ins for the limit above, then it makes sense to move up
to that limit if you feel you can beat it. Just be sure to drop back down to the lower limit
if you experience significant losses.
At some points in your poker career you may fancy moving up a level just to test it out and to see
how well you do. This is called taking a shot. There is no harm in trying this as long as you
stick to good bankroll management for most of the time you play poker.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Be careful not to get carried away by big wins at the higher level because your bankroll may still
be too small to support continued play there. A useful tactic that you can use when taking a
shot is to not buy in for the full amount at the next level up. This way you will not be risking too
much of your bankroll in any one game and you are essentially still playing within your bankroll
if you do not put more than 5% of it on the table.
You may be interested to read about how quickly you can move up the stakes in poker.
It should be noted that if you are a losing poker player, bankroll management is not going to help
you win money. The guidelines mentioned above will only apply if you know that you are a
winning poker player in the long run.
Position is a factor that is greatly underestimated by many beginner poker players. Your poker
table position can be the difference between winning or losing a hand and can have a big
influence on how much you win during your poker sessions.
Before playing a hand in Texas Hold'em you should always be aware of your table position
relative to the button.
The seats nearest to the left of the button are called early position or EP for short.
The seats nearest to the right of the button are called late position or LP for short.
Early position.
The red seats are less favourable than any other seats at the table because on any given round in
the current hand, you are likely to be one of the first to act. This means that in early position you
should be more selective about the hands you play, because you will have less information on
your opponents at each stage of the hand because you are first to act. So you will need to be
playing your cards and not the man when in EP.
Middle position.
The blue seats have positional advantage over the red, but the seats in green have position over
them. This means you can afford to play a few more hands in these positions as you do not have
as many people left to act behind you. However, if all of the players in the red seats folded, that
will mean that you will be the first to act on each round. So bear that in mind when deciding
whether or not to play your hand.
Late position.
The green seats will prove to be one of the best seats in this particular hand. There is a high
chance that you will be last to, or one of the last to act on each round. This is where you can
loosen up your starting hands even further but not so much as to hinder your game. Just
remember, just because you have position, does not mean that you should play poor starting
hands.
The button.
The yellow seat is the best seat in the hand, because on every round except for before the flop,
you will be last to act no matter what. This is why you should look to play as many hands as
possible (within reason) from the button, as you have a big advantage in the hand when you are
last to act.
The later you act in a hand, the more information you will have available to you about your
opponents.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
Positional awareness.
In general, you want to play more hands in position than you do out of position.
This doesn't mean that you force yourself to play any old hand when you have good position, and
fold awesome ones in bad position just to try and strike the right balance. Instead, it simply
means that you should be more inclined to play slightly weaker hands than normal IP, and more
inclined to fold slightly stronger hands OOP.
Take KJo for example:
In early position I would be reluctant to play KJo. It's on the low end of the "good
hands", and the fact that I have poor position makes it an unattractive situation. The hand
isn't strong enough to counteract my positional disadvantage.
In late position I would raise this hand almost every time if there were no raisers before
me. I may also call raises with this hand if I have position on the raiser. I have an
advantageous position combined with a decent starting hand, so the situation is good for
me.
As a beginner player it's tricky to get to grips with the hands that are okay to play in LP, but are
not good to play in EP. How are you supposed to learn the subtleties of which starting hands to
play in which positions?
Trust me, you will pick it up as you go along. It will take time, but the more experience you get
under your belt the more you'll start to understand it. If you're completely new to the game
however, there's no harm in sticking with the premium hands and entering pots with them
irrespective of position that's okay. Just be prepared to broaden your starting hand requirements
based on position as you improve.
Following on from my last point about playing more hands in position, here's a graph that shows
a winning player's VPIP based on their position in 6max cash games.
strategy with the article on relative position in Texas Hold'em. However, I would recommend
that you get the importance of basic position nailed down before any further reading!
In Texas Holdem, it is important to have good starting hand selection. This is important as it
prevents you from entering pots with sub-standard hands, which could eventually lead to you
losing a lot of money in the process.
"Starting hand selection" is simply choosing the good hands over the bad, and thus folding the
bad hands when you get them.
It is true that any hand can win in Texas Holdem (or poker in general for that matter), but the fact
of the matter is that some hands will win more than others. So if we stick with the good hands,
then we should see better results in the long run.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
AA
KK
AKs
The little 's' indicates that the cards are suited, which will increase the value of the cards because
it makes it more likely that they will be able to make a flush compared to if the cards were not
suited.
This is obviously the top tier when it comes to starting hands, and if we were to only ever be
dealt these starting hands we would be making a lot of money. In fact, if we folded every other
hand that we were dealt and only played these hands, there is a fair chance that we would be
winning money in the long run. But this would only work at the lower limits where other players
probably wouldn't be aware that we only play premium hands.
of the crop when it comes to starting hands, there are still other great hands out there that can win
us a lot of money in the long run if we play them.
Such hands are:
AK
AQs
AJs
KQs
JJ
TT
This gives us another 6 starting hands that we can play with, increasing the number of pots that
we will be entering. Although these are not as good as the first set of premium hands mentioned,
they are still great starting hands that should help us to win money.
A
K
3. Q Q
4. A
K (suited)
5. A
Q (suited)
6. J
7. K
J
Q (suited)
8. A J (suited)
9. A K
10. T
As your game improves, you can look to open up your starting hand requirements and include
more marginal hands like suited connectors. However, if you're new to the game you are better
off sticking with the big cards that hit bigger flops and make post-flop play a hell of a lot easier
for you.
The river comes a 7 , and our opponent bets into us one final time. We make the call with our
top pair thinking we might still have the best hand, but our opponent turns over K Q .
He also has a pair of Kings but he has the higher kicker, so he takes down the pot.
Good poker table selection is important if you want to maximize your profits from each poker
session you play. It should be obvious that if you want to make money from your poker, you
should play against opponents that are not as good as yourself.
So if the players at table A are more experienced than the players on table B, a wise poker player
would choose table B every time.
To win money from poker, you can either develop a better strategy than your opponents or play
against worse players than you. Why not do both?
In B&M casinos you would usually have very little or no choice about which table you sit at, so
table selection is a little trickier when playing live poker. However, when playing online you
have the opportunity to choose from a long list of tables. You should use this freedom of choice
to your advantage.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
The average number of players per flop figure should influence our table selection depending on
our own style of play. If you are a tight player it may be more beneficial for you to choose the
tables with a higher number of players per flop and pick up the occasional big pots, whereas if
you are a loose player you may find it beneficial to play at the tables with low numbers of
players per flop to pick up many of the small uncontested pots.
Be sure to take into account the number of players at each table in relation to the number of
players per flop, as the shorthanded tables will have a lower number of players per flop than the
full tables.
A screenshot of the PokerStars lobby. It's a bit of an old screenshot, but it does the job.
As you can see on the diagram, the table with the highest average pot is Cassiopea, and the table
with the highest number of players per flop is Athor IV.
However, the best table to sit at out of the two would be Cassiopea, because Athor IV has a low
average pot size despite having the higher number of players per flop.
If you play more poker in the evenings, there is a higher chance of running in to a few "worse for
wear" players (drunk ones).
Obviously these theories best apply to the countries with the highest volume of internet players,
so if you live in the UK you may want to play poker during the times that correlate with the
times mentioned above for the USA.
Player search.
Many poker rooms offer you the ability to search for specific players. These means that you
should use this feature to your advantage and take a note of every bad player you come across,
and search for him or her before you sit down at the tables. This way you can guarantee yourself
to be playing against at least one bad player, instead of taking a chance on a table of unknowns.
If you ask an amateur player or any person new to poker what the fundamental aspects of Texas
Hold'em are, you can be very sure that they will describe how bluffing your opponents is key to
beating the game. However, this is actually far from the truth. It is possible to beat poker games
without ever needing to bluff (although not recommended!).
Many amateur players bluff far more often than necessary, which leads them to lose money over
the long run.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
The aim of poker is to win money, simple as that. So if you were to never bluff, you could still
make money. Think of it this way; If you are sitting at a 6 seater table, each player has an equal
chance on getting good or bad cards. Each player according to simple math should have the best
hand 1 in every 6 hands, therefore if all the players were of the exact same standard, in the long
run nobody would lose, and nobody would win.
However, if one player was able to win more money from their opponents when they had the
best hand than their opponents won from them when they had the best hand, that player would be
making more money than their opponents in the long run. It stands to reason that if you play your
cards better than the other players play their cards, you will end up a winner.
You should not enter a hand with the intention of bluffing. You should only bluff if you are
confident that you can win the pot based on the way your opponents have been playing up to that
point in the hand.
For a more thorough answer to this question, check out the how often should you bluff? article.
Does this mean that players lose money trying to run bluffs on one another?
Not necessarily. An experienced player can pick their spots and take down a few pots that should
have been taken down by someone else, adding a little more to their stack. But it is not easy for a
beginner or even intermediate players to pick the right spots, it takes a lot of experience of
situations and knowledge of your opponent to know when a bluff will be successful.
If you are unsure of whether you can take down a pot with a bluff, then you shouldn't attempt a
bluff.
If you continually try to run bluffs against your opponents, they will try and catch you out when
you bet into them because of your table image. They will start to overplay their mediocre hands
when you bet and pay you off when you do have a good hand.
perfect, and you will know when your opponent is more likely to fold than push based on their
stack size.
When on a draw. If you do not have a made hand, but are on a draw such as a straight or a flush,
you can launch what is called a semi-bluff. You hope to take the pot down right there, but if you
do get called you still have a chance to win the hand if the next cards improve your hand. But if
you get re-raised be prepared to let the hand go, unless you are receiving correct pot odds to call.
Therefore before making any bet or raise, you should always keep in mind how much money is
currently in the pot. This is because the amount you bet into the pot will determine what pot odds
your opponents are getting, and so they will either be making a call with the correct odds, or
making a call with the incorrect odds.
Every time our opponent makes a call with the incorrect odds, we are making a profit as they are
making a fundamental mistake, so it is important that we make good size bets to make sure our
opponents can these mistakes by calling.
Every time an opponent makes a call with bad odds, we are winning money.
This should help highlight optimum, effective and terrible bet sizes in Texas Hold'em.
2. We get lots of value (win more) when our opponents call with worse hands.
There are very few instances in poker where I would make a bet that is less than half the size of
the pot. By making weak bets you will usually be losing value on your hands and giving your
opponents to right odds to call and outdraw you.
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
Bet around 3/4 the size of the pot after the flop.
Raise 3 or 4 times the size of the big blind + 1 for each limper before the flop.
Whenever you decide that you want to make a bet or a raise, you should always take a look at the
size of the pot before moving that chip slider or before counting out the chips in your stack. It is
important to reduce the odds your opponents are getting and to maximize the value from your
hand by making good strong bets.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
By making weak bets and by playing passively, you are leaving yourself open to being run over
by your opponents when they have far weaker hands than you. So make sure you stand your
ground, and make healthy bets into the pot at every opportunity to let your opponents know that
you are not a player to be messed with.
For further reading on betting in poker, take a look at the article on the importance of aggression.
In addition, it will be handy to be aware of effective stack sizes when it comes to sizing your bets
appropriately.
Reasons To Bet > Betting To Win Dead Money
These reasons for betting are frequently covered In The Coaching Tree series at Deuces Cracked.
You believe you have the best hand and you think your opponent will call with a worse
hand.
We never actually know if we have the best hand or not, but that doesnt matter. All that matters
is that we have a good reason to believe that we have the best hand when we bet.
Figuring out whether we likely have the better hand or not takes some skill, and thats a skill that
comes with time and practice (see assigning ranges). However, the key point is that we make a
profit every time our opponent puts money in to the pot with a worse hand (or a hand with worse
equity to be precise).
It doesnt matter whether our opponent goes on to outdraw us later on in the hand. All that
matters is that when we made our bet, our opponent had worse equity and put more money in to
the pot.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
2) Betting as a bluff.
For whatever reason you strongly believe that even though you probably have the worst hand,
you can get your opponent to fold. If they go ahead and fold a hand that has more equity than
ours, they are making a mistake and we are profiting from that mistake.
Betting as a bluff takes more skill than betting for value because its harder to have a good
reason to believe that we can get an opponent to fold a better hand. Nonetheless, its still a
profitable bet to make when done properly.
Figure out how much equity you think you have in the hand. Do that, and you'll know what type
of bet you're making.
If you think you have more than 50% equity in the hand and you bet, you are betting for
value.
If you think you have less than 50% equity in the hand and you bet, you are betting as a
bluff.
Note: This diagram assumes you are up against one player. The same sort of principal applies
against multiple opponents in a hand, but the percentages get a little tricky for one diagram.
As you can see, there is no compelling reason to bet here, so were far better off checking
behind rather than risking getting called and losing more money to a better hand.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
If you believe that a worse hand than yours will call you the majority of the time, you
are betting for value.
If you believe that you can get a better hand than yours to fold the majority of the time,
you are betting as a bluff.
Before every single bet and raise you make, try your hardest to identify which category your bet
is falling in to. If you cant figure out which, then reconsider making that bet or raise.
Understanding the difference between the different goals when betting is easy. The hard part is
using your head to figure out whether your bet is for value or if its a bluff. It gets much easier
with practice, so the sooner you start trying to figure it all out the better.
As mentioned earlier in the article, there is a third reason for betting that usually occurs when
making continuation bets on the flop. This is where you are betting to win dead money.
There is a very steep learning curve in Poker. At the start a little information will take you a long
way, but as you improve, the new information you learn won't add as much to your game.
So if you are a beginner poker player reading this article, this is probably the most useful and
money saving information you will ever read. If you absorb all of the beginner poker tips
below, you may even turn from a losing player into a break-even or winning player.
These beginner poker tips won't turn you into an expert player in ten minutes, but they will set
you on the right track to becoming a winning poker player.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
Find out more about thinking on higher levels in the article on multiple level thinking in poker.
It's a bit of an advanced concept, but it is very interesting nonetheless.
Secondly, you only want to play at limits you can afford. You should not play at limits where
you are going to drop money that you cannot afford to lose. There is more information on this
subject in the bankroll management article. You may also find the Fergulator tool useful too.
Without bankroll management, you will never be able to become a winning player, even if you
use perfect strategy.
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Micro Limit Strategy
0
Deuces Cracked has 2 amazing training video series aimed at helping micro stakes players.
> The Coaching Tree
> Real Life: Micro NL-Grinder
The micro limits (or micro stakes, whatever) on the Internet generally range from 1c/2c ($2NL)
to 25c/50c ($50NL) cash games. Due to the small amount of money at stake, you will find the
action is much looser than say, at the $1/$2 levels.
If you browse around forums, you will find many people claiming that the micro limits are
unbeatable. They claim that all the players rely too much on luck, and with so many players
entering pots trying to hit their draws, the luck' they get is just too overwhelming for any decent
player to be able to beat these limits.
Micro limit poker is perfectly beatable, but only if you have the correct strategy.
Let me first state that this concept -- despite having a tiny element of truth -- is far from being
correct. With so many players calling with bad pot odds for their draws and calling huge raises
with half a hand, how can you not beat these levels?
There are a few key micro limit poker tips set out below; be sure to familiarize yourself with
them before stepping into your next micro-limit game.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Remember you are playing for money and not individual pots, only get your money in with the
best of it. When it comes to multiple levels of thought in micro poker, these players are usually
level 1 (or 2 at best). You only need to be playing one level above them to beat them.
You will win more hands than you lose if you get your money in the middle with the best of it,
so buy in for the max to make sure that you are maximizing your wins.
6] Beware of raising.
From my experience playing micro limit poker, players will not often raise pre flop unless they
have a solid hand. The game plan for most of the players at the table is to see as many flops as
possible, hit a huge hand, then bet and take as much money as they can from it.
Your opponents won't give a second thought to what you might hold; they are only playing to the
strength of their own hand. This is why they call decent raises with bottom pair on the flop;
because they've got a pair. So if you see a player raising pre flop and on every street then beware,
they've probably got something good.
Micro players are much happier calling than they are raising.
7] Don't bluff.
This is similar to the first point, as bluffing is a way of trying to outplay your opponent.
Remember that a large number of players will be seeing the flop, and so a bluff of any kind is
unlikely to work. Players will be calling with any half decent hand, so just put your money in
when you do make a hand, and when you don't, let it go.
If you thought that these tips were useful, you really need to check out Deuces Cracked, which is
the top poker training site for micro stakes players. There's no faster way to learn good poker.
If you're serious about working your way out of the micro stakes games, you'll check out Deuces
Cracked.
For those of you that drive a manual car, you will know how important it is to change gears
depending on the type of road you are driving along. If you were to simply stick with one gear
for an entire journey, you will find that you will struggle along some roads.
For example, if you decide to stay in 1st gear throughout a journey, you may be fine when you
are first starting out, but as you start to get along and hit the faster stretches your car is not going
to be performing as well.
This is quite similar to poker, as throughout your sessions, you should prepare to alter your play
and "change gears". Your particular strategy at the start of the session may work well for a while,
but at some point it is recommended that you change gears; otherwise your performance will
start to deteriorate.
Changing gears helps you to adapt the the changing dynamics of the game.
The are numerous reasons as to why you should change gears, but one of the most important
reasons is because your opponents will be able to work out your particular playing style, and use
it against you at your expense.
If you continue to play a straightforward tight-aggressive playing style throughout a session with
no sign of change, it will make it much easier for your opponents to put you on a hand. However,
if you can change your play so that you are more unpredictable, you are effectively taking away
the edge that your opponents have over you and placing it back onto your side.
In general, the tight aggressive style of play is quite like the 3rd gear of a car; it may work okay
throughout the majority of a journey, but it is not going to perform best in certain situations. If
you can change gears and utilize the ability you have to keep your opponents guessing, you will
be maximizing your potential from every session you play. 3rd gear may be fine for some, but
for those looking to win more money and develop, you need to be able to change gears in the
right situations.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
In each of these situations above, a certain variable at the table has changed. This means that it
will have an effect on the way people are playing against each other, and the way they are
playing against you. Therefore you should adapt your approach to the game accordingly so that
you can take advantage of the changes, or compensate for the way your opponents will now be
playing against you.
As negative as it sounds, you really have to be prepared to lose when playing in freerolls. The
best player in the world will have trouble placing well in any of these freerolls because luck
plays so much more of a factor than in any other tournament. If you focus too much on expecting
to win, you will only be more disappointed and frustrated when you end up getting sucked out on
for all your chips.
The best formula for online freerolls is to play well, and get lucky. You can't control luck, but
you can improve your chances of winning by playing lots of freeroll tournaments.
As already mentioned, the start of a freeroll will be a complete frenzy. Players will be dropping
out at a rapid rate and it seems like you will be in the money in no time. But you should realize
that this pace will not be sustained throughout the tournament, and as the numbers decrease, the
skill will increase.
Great tournament players are able to quickly identify and adapt to changes in the game.
As the luck riders drop out you will be left with opponents that have more of an idea of what
they are doing, and they will now have their eyes on the money positions. This means you can
play more tactically, and use a few more plays that you couldn't have used at the start, because
these players will now actually be able to fold their hands. So be aware of when the transition
from luck to poker starts to take place, because it will be time to change gears.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
Instant bet/check.
Instant bet/check.
Almost every site will have action tabs that you can select before the action gets to you. This
means that you will act instantaneously when it is your turn. It is not a wise idea to use these
buttons for the following reasons:
When you see someone insta-check, it shows great weakness because they are so
disinterested with the hand that they decide to check before the action gets to them.
Therefore insta-betting/raising shows strength, as your opponent is happy to put more
money into the pot before seeing what other players do and before the action reaches him
or her.
Poker Initiative
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Initiative
Initiative and "taking the initiative" is a term that you will bump in to every now and then in
poker books, on forums and in training videos. But what exactly is initiative in poker, and how
can it be used to your advantage?
Just to keep you excited, I would say that having the initiative during a hand is just as influential
as your actual position at the table.
What is initiative?
The dictionary defines initiative as:
"An introductory act or step; leading action."
That's all well and good, but what's that got to do with Texas Hold'em exactly? Let's translate
this in to more of a poker context that makes more sense...
Initiative in poker is where a player has shown the most aggression in any given betting round.
This player is therefore representing the strongest hand at the table and "has the initiative in the
hand".
As a result, a lot of the play on future betting rounds will be centered around the player with the
"initiative".
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
A bets, B calls, C raises, A calls and B calls. - Player C has the initiative.
It's all pretty straightforward. But basically, if you are calling or checking to close the action, you
are not taking the initiative in the hand. This should have helped illustrate what I mean when I
say the player that shows the "most aggression" takes the initiative in the hand.
Advantages of initiative.
Have you ever noticed that whenever you call a raise before the flop, the action always seems to
revolve around the preflop raiser? All of the other players want to see what the preflop raiser
does on the flop before they make their move, which of course has its advantages...
Taking the initiative puts you in the drivers seat in the hand. Other players will wait for
you to make the first move by checking to you.
By betting and raising your hand has unlimited strength in the eyes of your opponents.
By taking the initiative, you are making it far more difficult for your opponent to assign
you to a specific range of hands.
Being aggressive forces other players to make tough decisions, which means that they
have less control over the hand and are more susceptible to making -EV plays.
Initiative is the reason why continuation bets are so effective and why relative position is such an
important concept to be aware of at the Texas Hold'em tables. It also opens up a whole lot more
opportunities to pick up uncontested pots that would normally fall in to another player's stack.
Having the initiative is almost as important, if not equal to, your position at the table. Don't
underestimate the influence that initiative can have in the hands that you play.
does not mean that you should be betting and raising with every hand you play, you still need to
exercise common sense.
Now you just need to practice with it and see how much of an effect initiative has on the hands
you play for yourself.
Poker Aggression
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Aggression
0
Having the ability to play aggressively is an important attribute to have when it comes to poker,
especially when playing in the game of Texas Holdem. Being aggressive is the opposite of being
passive, where you make bets and raises more frequently instead of just checking and calling at
each point during hands.
Poker aggression opens more doorways to success in poker than it does to take a passive
approach the game, which is why many successful players are aggressive.
It is vital that you are able to exercise a strategic aggressive style of play, as being aggressive
does not mean simply betting and raising at every opportunity.
Playing aggressive poker well involves betting and raising when you have an advantage over
your opponents. This can be when you have better cards, better position, or even when you have
better poker ability than them. Aggression is only beneficial when you keep a cool head, and
when you pick your spots wisely to make your bets and raises.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
In this spot you have top pair top kicker, which is a great hand but it can be easily cracked by the
turn, especially since the board is coordinated with two cards of the same suit. If your opponent
bets into you, it is important to be aggressive and raise, because you want to protect your hand
and you do not particularly want you opponent to see another card that could potentially improve
their hand to make it better than yours.
The board is quite coordinated, and your opponent could easily be betting with a worse hand
(such as a draw or a lower pair). Your main objective is to be aggressive and bet enough to
give your opponent the wrong pot odds to call to improve their hand, so that you can take
the pot down on the flop. This is the much better play than being passive and calling, as you
leave yourself open to being out-drawn on the turn.
This is one of the greatest aspects of being aggressive, as it can save you from getting into tricky
situations in the middle of a hand. There are also a number of other advantages that an aggressive
approach to the game can give.
Playing aggressively helps you to win more money by giving your opponents bad odds to call
with draws and by also increasing your fold equity.
This can work to our advantage greatly if we flop a flush or a straight draw. If our opponent
checks to us because of our aggressive style hoping to induce a bluff, we have then earned
ourselves a free card to try and complete our draw, where normally they would have bet into us
if we had not been playing aggressively.
Stack size plays a very important role in the game of no limit Texas Hold'em. At any point
during the game there is the possibility that all of your chips can be put on the line, so it is
important that your are not only aware of your own stack size, but the size of your opponents'
stacks also.
The amount of chips in front of you and the amount in front of the players around you influence
a number of aspects of play in Texas Hold'em, ranging from the psychological to the
mathematical.
This article aims to address the key points that you should remember with regards to
understanding stack sizes in poker.
A diagram to show the general difference between small, medium, big and deep-sized stacks in
NL Hold'em.
Most online and live poker rooms have limits on how much or how little you can bring to the
table from the start. There is typically a 10BB minimum and a 100BB maximum for the majority
of limits. This means that players have the option of buying in as a small, medium or big stack
from the off. As you can see there is also a "deep stack" condition if you have 200 big blinds or
more.
This is common in cash games if a player has bought in for the maximum amount (usually
100BBs) and has either doubled up through an all-in confrontation against another player of
equal stack size, or has managed to grind there way up into the realm of the "deep stack".
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
Psychological aspects are also involved with stack sizes in poker. If you have a big stack and
you are up against an opponent with an equally big stack, then there is the possibility that you
could lose all your chips in this one particular hand.
Alternatively, if you are up against an opponent that has a small stack, it is not possible for you
to lose more than the amount your opponent has in front of them. This means that players will
have a greater concern when playing against big stacks than when playing against small stacks.
Poker players are more wary about how they play their hand when up against an equally big
stack.
The bigger your stack, the less likely it is for an opponent to put up a fight with a marginal hand
like top pair. This is especially true if you continue to bet strongly on the turn after betting the
flop.
Playing poker at a loose table can be a very profitable experience. However without the correct
adjustments to many areas of your strategy it can also be dangerous introducing high variance
into the game.
This article looks at the different types of loose table in No-Limit Texas Holdem and discusses
the important adjustments required in order to win at these tables. We start by noting that not all
loose tables are the same. The main distinctions are the playing styles, between loose / passive
tables and loose / aggressive tables.
I will show you how to quickly distinguish each from the statistics available in the lobby of most
online poker rooms. Along with the adjustments in starting hand selection and the factors
affecting pre-flop decisions are then covered. Finally I look at post flop play and the effect of
your table image on your strategy for winning at loose tables.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Strategy adjustments for loose passive tables often depend on the willingness of individual
opponents to call large raises before the flop. There will usually be a gap between the hands that
opponents are willing to limp and those that they will call a raise with. By their very nature
passive opponents are more likely to call raises than re-raise you so the first point is to tread
carefully when you are called.
At a passive table the chances of being re-raised before the flop are smaller than at aggressive
tables. This means it is possible to limp with more hands that have high implied odds value such
as small pairs and suited connectors. These types of hands play well in multi-way pots.
After you flop a monster hand be careful not to blow your passive opponents out of the pot with
big raises. Unless the board is particularly draw-heavy you should instead pick a bet size (see bet
sizing) that is likely to be called building the pot gradually so as to be paid the maximum.
The main problem with playing at passive tables is that it is slightly harder to build big pots.
Playing premium pairs at a passive table should usually involve raising to thin the field. Too
small a raise can easily induce several of your loose opponents to enter the pot behind you with
speculative holdings. This can be a disaster for a pair of aces if a dangerous flop comes. The
ideal strategy to win at a loose / passive table is to become tight and aggressive yet limp in with
those hands with high implied-odds value as the situation warrants.
position may be your best strategy. Even an aggressive opponent is likely to check to you after
the turn in which case you can take a free river card to try and complete your draw if required.
Tables featuring tight players can be a profitable venue for the poker player who is able to
properly adjust their strategy accordingly.
Adjustments will need to be made in several areas to avoid tricky post flop situations. This
article will look into some of the key poker strategy adjustments required to help you win at
tight tables today.
Firstly we will look at the nature of your tight opponents, the kind of starting hands that they are
playing and their likely betting patterns before and after the flop. We then look at how having
tight opponents affects your own starting hand selection and post-flop strategy in a variety of
situations. Finally we cover how your position at the table relative to certain types of tight
opponent will further affect your strategy.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
while A-A or K-K only have 6 ways each) the flop is likely to have missed the majority of their
hands. Here a small bet will often take the pot uncontested from your tight opponents.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
Professional Poker writer and player David Sklansky introduced the gap concept to poker in his
book Tournament Poker for Advanced Players.
The green and purple lines are the most important ones to think about.
This is a simple diagram to highlight the gap between hands that players are prepared to bet with
and hands that players are prepared to call with.
The green and purple lines increase in length for loose players with wide starting hand
ranges.
The green and purple lines decrease in length for tight players with strict starting hand
ranges.
Don't forget that this is just a very basic diagram to illustrate the gap concept. It does not factor
in other important stuff like; the number of players at the table, player position, bet sizes and
metagame conditions.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
first to act on following rounds if another player calls. Therefore we can put our opponent on a
range of good hands like AK, AQ, AJ, AA, KK, QQ, JJ and so on.
Most of these hands that an early position player would usually raise with have our hand
dominated; therefore we should fold the hand.
A raise from early position shows far more strength than a raise from a player in late position.
However, if there has been no raise before the action gets to us, it may be a good idea to raise
because we may now have the best hand. In addition, we would be using the gap concept to our
advantage because any players acting after us will be concerned that we have a strong hand if we
raise (like the hands outlined above), and they will have to have a good strong hand to call.
Furthermore, by raising in late position we have the opportunity to take down the pot because
there are less people to act behind us.
There are always going to be times in your poker career where you will find yourself as the short
stack at the table and probably having a smaller stack than the rest of your opponents.
It may be because you are in the middle of a tournament and had a bad run of cards, or because
you simply enjoy to buy in to cash games with a short stack.
But for whatever reason you are playing with a relatively small amount of chips, it is good to be
able to understand and employ a good short stack strategy.
Having a short stack means that you have less room to make plays at the poker table. Bluffs and
advanced moves (like float plays) are formed from being able to make educated checks, bets,
calls and raises on each round of the hand, so having a short stack will reduce and sometimes
eliminate any room for special manoeuvres by both you and your opponents.
Furthermore, the general structure of a no limit Texas Holdem game is that the bigger bets will
be made on the turn and river, as the preflop and flop rounds are usually set-up rounds that build
the pot and prepare the hand for action. The fact that we have a short stack means that we will
rarely be making it past the flop in terms of betting as we will not having enough chips to
continue.
With a short stack, most (or all) of the action will be taking place on the preflop and flop betting
rounds.
AA
KK
40BB or less.
30BB or less.
20BB or less.
10BB or less.
AKs
AQs
JJ
AK
AQ
AJs
AJ
TT
ATs
KQs
AT
KQ
KJs
KJ
AXs
AX
QJs
QJ
As you can see, a lot of emphasis has been placed playing big cards that can make top pair or
better, which will often be the best hand on the flop. As you should remember it is unlikely that
we will make any more bets past the flop betting round, so we should be more than happy to be
making a good pair and get our money in on the flop.
You may notice that hands that include aces have been given a lot of weight, especially if you
are a very short stack. This is because of the fact that as a extremely short stack, it is more than
likely that you will be pushing or calling an all in on the flop regardless if you have caught a
piece of it or not. Therefore if we are holding an ace, we will have a better chance of winning
with a high card against an opponent in the event that they did not make a pair either.
When we are dealt any of the above cards that are within our range depending on the effective
stack sizes, we should always be raising when entering the pot. It may seem like a good idea to
limp and try and catch a good flop for cheap, but it is more profitable to raise and build the pot
for when we hit our hand, which we are more likely to do if we are holding a strong starting
hand.
With a stack of 10BB or more we should be looking to raise around 3 or 4BB if we are first to
enter the pot. However, if we have 10BB or less, it will not be too bad of a play to push all-in
straight away, as any call from a 4BB raise will leave us completely pot-committed anyway.
With 10BB or less, you can think about using the stop and go play also.
On the flop we are usually reduced to going all-in or folding as a short stack. The smaller the size
of our stack, the more inclined we should be to calling or pushing all-in as we are more likely to
be committed to the pot. The shorter the stack, the less the flop will matter to us. However, if we
have around 30/40BB, we can be a little more selective because we will not be pot committed
and have the opportunity to wait for a better spot.
The shorter your stack, the less post-flop action you are going to deal with. So it's important to
have a strong hand that has a good chance of winning after all 5 community cards have been
dealt.
Nevertheless, if we are pot committed and will be moving all-in regardless, it is always better to
make the all-in bet rather than calling if possible. This is because by betting we are giving our
opponent the opportunity to fold the best hand or a potentially winning hand, which is something
that is not available to us if we are calling the all-in bet.
Fold small pocket pairs and suited connectors as you have do not have implied odds.
Be prepared to move all of your stack in to the middle before or on the flop.
Leave the table if you win a big pot (and intend on playing short-stacked).
Nevertheless, we will be facing an up hill battle if we are in a tournament as each pot we enter is
more likely to involve putting our tournament life on the line. At some poker sites (friend's
website), the structure of the faster tournaments will mean that you will spend the majority of the
game as a short stack, which is a good way to learn how to play good short stack poker.
We should always look for the most profitable situations and get our money in when we think we
have the best of it, and we should always prepare for luck to play its part in each outcome.
Playing a good, sound short stack strategy does not guarantee to save a tournament life or
secure a double up, but it will improve your chances of coming out on top in the long run.
In cash games, you cannot expect to win every all-in, but you can still play a profitable game by
picking the right situations and trying to get your money in with the best hand.
One of the biggest advantages online poker has over live poker is that you are able to play at
multiple tables at a time. Most online poker rooms allow you to open up more than one table
window and sit down and play poker at each table simultaneously.
Some online rooms such as Bet365 Poker have actually created a mini-mode view that allows
players to shrink the table window down so that you can fit 4 tables onto one 1024x768 screen
without overlap.
Multi-tabling has become increasingly popular amongst regular online players, who will happily
play at 2, 4, 8 or more tables. However, the majority of players will stick to multi-tabling around
2 to 4 tables at once.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
The main motive behind multi-tabling is to increase a players win rate per hour. If you are a
consistent winner at the $100NL table, imagine how much more you could potentially win per
hour by playing 2 tables at once instead of 1. How about opening up 3 or 4 tables at once?
It all seems pretty simple, open up some more tables and you could be doubling, tripling or even
quadrupling the amount you are currently winning per hour. However, there is one important
factor that we have to take into consideration before assuming that things are this simple. We
have to take into account that fact that our play will deteriorate for every extra table we sit down
at.
When we play 2 tables at a time we win $5 an hour on each of the individual tables.
Therefore overall we will be making $10 per hour multi-tabling instead of $8, which means an
extra profit of $2 per hour.
The sweet spot is where you have the most tables open whilst still maintaining a high winrate,
maximizing earnings.
There is some middle ground here where the graph of our win rate per table meets the number of
tables being played at to provide us with an optimum win rate. This is usually between 2 and 4
tables for the majority of online players.
When playing at multiple tables, you want to hit the sweet spot of playing as many tables as
possible whilst keeping a good win rate per hour to produce maximum profit.
Blind leakage is an exceptional video by James 'SplitSuit' Sweeney that covers everything
you need to know about profitable blind play (both in the SB and BB) in Texas Hold'em cash
games.
The small blind is a very tricky position to play from in Texas Hold'em. If you were to track your
performance in each position at the table using a program such as Poker Office, you will find that
the small blind is a losing position overall.
The best players in the world find it difficult to win money from the small blind, and that's just
the way it is.
When playing in the small blind our aim is to try and reduce the amount of money we will lose,
so that we can increase our overall wins from the other seats at the table.
By using solid starting hand selection we can increase our chances of winning the hand despite
the fact that we are out of position. Even though the small blind may be a losing seat overall, it
does not mean that we will lose money on every individual hand that we play from that particular
position. So dont be afraid to enter a pot if you have a strong enough hand to do so, but always
remember to tighten your starting hand requirements when in the small blind.
Pot Committed
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Pot Committed
0
Im sure most of you like to think that you are familiar with the term pot committed. However,
I can guarantee that too many of you are using it as an excuse to make reckless calls, and its
costing you dearly.
On the other hand, if youre not familiar with being committed to the pot, thats cool. Ill
explain it in just a moment.
In this article I will give a good (if I say so myself) explanation of what pot committed actually
means. Ill also go on to highlight the mistakes that too many players make as they convince
themselves that being pot committed is a good excuse to throw lashings of healthy money in to
bad situations.
If your "stack odds" are greater than your chance of winning the pot by the end of the hand, you
are pot committed.
Your pot odds relative to the remainder of your stack are 7 - 1 ($350 : $50). (Dont forget
to add your own stack to the pot to get the total pot size.)
You almost certainly have a better than 7 - 1 (12.5%) chance of winning the hand, even if
your opponent usually only bets or calls with strong hands.
In this example, our pot odds are greater than our odds of winning the hand. Therefore we are pot
committed and should call. Were not facing any bet, but if we look at our stack and pot size we
can see that we are pretty much committed with a hand like top pair with 7 to 1 pot odds.
Even though you really dont feel as though youre going to have the best hand most of the time,
the odds indicate that you would lose more money over the long run if you folded. In fact, you
would have to believe that you had less than 12.5% chance of winning to make a profitable fold
(on the turn or river), which is highly unlikely in this situation.
Working out whether or not you are pot committed just involves basic pot odds.
The more of your stack that you invest in the pot, the greater your pot odds and the
chances of becoming pot committed will be. This is why players are naturally more
reluctant to fold after investing a large amount of money.
You lose more money over the long run if you fold when pot committed as opposed to
calling. Always call if you are pot committed.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
Example of why you shouldnt just look at how much youve invested alone.
Lets say that youre on the river and youve put $999 of a $1,000 stack in to the pot. Just before
your opponent bets his final $1, he shows you that he has a Royal Flush, beating your full house.
He then bets that last $1. Should you call?
Definitely not. You probably would just for a laugh, but youre making a $1 loss every single
time you call in that situation. There is a 0% chance of winning the $2,000 pot, but a 100%
chance of losing $1. That leaves you with an EV of -$1.
Having put $999 in to the pot makes no difference. In fact, you could have put $999,999 in the
middle and it wouldnt change the fact that calling that $1 is negative EV. You have to remember
that the odds of winning help dictate whether or not you are pot committed, not just the amount
of money you have invested in the pot.
Your pot odds (relative to the size of your stack) must be greater than your chances of winning
for you to be committed to the pot.
of winning.
A handy rule from Professional No-Limit Holdem: Volume I is to never put 1/3 of your stack in
the middle and then fold. The theory is that if youre putting that much money in to the middle
and then folding, youre investing too much money with weak hands.
Note: Why 1/3? Because if you have put 1/3 of your stack in the middle, it means that you or
your opponent can make an all-in bet for the size of the pot or less.
e.g. if youve put $34 of a $100 stack in the middle, the pot will be at least $68 and you will have
$66 left - and so should your opponent.
So the question is, what do you do if youve put 1/3 of your stack in the middle? Well, you have
two options:
1. Dont fold.
2. Dont put 1/3 of your stack in the middle in the first place.
If you have a good enough hand, dont fold. Your odds of winning must be less than 2 to 1
(33%) to fold, so with a good hand you should be committed to the pot.
If you dont have a strong enough hand, youve made a mistake earlier on in the hand. Youve
either made bets that were too big or called large bets when it was probably best to have bet
smaller, checked or folded.
From the start of every hand you play you need to have a plan. You need to have an idea of how
big you want (or dont want the pot to get). If you dont plan effectively you will end up going
past the 1/3 of your stack mark without much of an idea of what you want to do. If that happens,
youll land in a sticky situation.
There are a few exceptions to this rule, but this article is big enough already. Buy the book for a
more thorough guide on the 1/3 rule or check out this commitment threshold article.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
You are pot committed is when you have greater pot odds relative to the remainder of
your stack than your odds of winning.
Dont use the term pot committed as a lame excuse to make bad bets and calls. Use the
odds to determine whether or not you are committed to the pot and go from there.
Dont put 1/3 of your stack in the pot and then fold. Either dont fold or dont put that
much money in the pot in the first place.
Honestly, although the 1/3 of your stack rule is handy, I wouldnt recommend spending too
much time stressing about it. The most important lesson here is to plan your hands effectively. If
you learn how to bet and call appropriately according to the strength of your hand, the 1/3 rule
will take care of itself.
Decisions that you make preflop and on the flop will affect what happens on the turn and river. If
you fail to realise this very important point, youll end up in some very sticky situations and
getting pot committed with cards that youd never dream of going all-in with at the start of the
hand.
Blind Stealing
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Blind Stealing
0
"Blind stealing" is a term used in poker for when a player in late position raises pre-flop in an
attempt to win the uncontested blinds.
This strategy is often effective because the players in the blinds will have any random two cards,
meaning there is a small chance that they will have a hand worth calling a raise with, allowing
you to take their blinds.
In addition to this, the players in the blinds will be first to act against you if they do call, so they
should know that they need a better than mediocre hand to pay to see a flop.
In terms of poker strategy for blind stealing, you will find yourself in two different positions
during a game.
1. You will have the opportunity to steal other players' blinds.
2. Other players will be trying to steal your blinds.
How should you play in both of these situations? The recommended plays are determined by
whether you are playing in a tournament or a cash game.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Cash games.
For a complete strategy video guide to blind stealing in cash games, watch SplitSuit's Stealing
video.
In cash games the blinds are usually very small in relation to your stack. This means that from a
purely money making point of view, blind stealing is not going to be very profitable. In general
you want to stick to playing good hands and avoid risking money with a weak hand.
However, blind stealing in cash games should be based on whether you feel you can easily outplay your opponents on later betting rounds if they call, and take the extra money they put into
the pot. This play is aided by the fact that you will be last to act on each round, giving you a
much better opportunity to win. But be sure not to use this play on every orbit because the
players in the blinds will become wise to your game.
I would not recommend stealing blinds in cash games on a regular basis as a method of winning
more money.
If you check, are you going to re-raise their continuation bet (which is very likely) in an
attempt to re-steal the pot?
Are you going to bluff at the pot when first to act?
In both situations you will have no idea what your opponent has and you are risking a decent
amount trying to take down a "nothing pot". Information is key and without knowing anything
about your opponents' hands, protecting your blinds isn't going to be profitable in the long run.
It's never going to be as easy as you might hope to defend against a player stealing your blinds.
It's better to let them go rather than dig yourself in to a deeper hole by fighting back.
You should remember that after you have posted your blind, it is no longer your money. The
money now belongs to the pot and not to you. This is the reason why many players can lose a lot
of money to raises when in the blinds, as they believe that the blind is still their money and that
they have to defend it. This is not the case
In certain circumstances however, you can effectively deter your opponents from stealing your
blinds on future betting rounds. If you feel a player is betting in late position in an attempt to
steal, a decent re-raise on your part will make them think twice about trying to steal on future
rounds.
Even if your opponent does call your re-raise, the fact that you made the play you did shows that
you have the capability to re-raise anyone who tries to steal your blind from late position. This
play is most effective when the blinds are small in relation to your stack, as you are not risking as
much of your stack and not forcing yourself to become committed to the pot.
This means that you are putting more money into the pot, which your opponent has a good
chance of taking away from you. If you are ever in doubt, simply play to the strength of your
hand. Fold your weak hands and re-raise with your strong hands.
The terms effective stack sizes or effective stacks are effortlessly thrown around on poker
forums and in strategy articles.
It sounds like a term that would be a little complex at least, but it's actually the easiest concept
you'll ever learn about in poker.
Player A: $100
Player B: $80
Player A: $10
Player B: $25
Player A: $50
Player B: $50
Player A: $1,000,000
Player B: $100
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
Player A: $100
Player B: $80
Player C: $125
Player D: $50
You wouldn't say that the effective stacks for all the players is $50, just because the smallest
stack out of this set of players is $50.
Instead, you'd say that the effective stacks between Player A and Player C are $100, or the
effective stacks between C and D are $50. You'll understand why in the following section
In this situation, that extra $30 you have is essentially useless. Or, keeping in with the theme of
this concept -- "ineffective".
A simple diagram to
highlight the effective part and the ineffective part of your stack when up against another player
with a smaller stack than you. The colours turned out a lot more feminine than I planned.
This is a vitally important concept, because the fact that you are now effectively playing with a
$20 stack should influence the way you bet and play your hand. If you're not sure why, I'll
explain in just a moment.
Note: The idea of effective stacks is most suited to pot limit and no limit poker games. The
chance of players getting their entire stacks in the middle in fixed limit games is incredibly slim,
so it's hardly a concern.
So the next time you're chatting with a friend about a hand you've played, instead of saying I
had $50 and she had $20, you may as well say the effective stacks were $20. Mentioning the
size of each individual stack is pointless -- the effective stacks is what matters.
Furthermore, the fact you'll be using less words means that you'll conserve extra energy for
playing more poker.
1) Implied odds.
If the effective stack sizes are small, you are not going to have the opportunity to get paid off as
much if you are drawing to a flush (or something like that). Therefore, it makes it less profitable
to chase draws or set mine if you or your opponent have a small stack.
Conversely, if the effective stack sizes are huge, it makes it a lot more profitable to chase after
strong draws.
2) Fold equity.
Bluffs are harder to pull off when the effective stack sizes are small because you will have less
fold equity. Smaller stacks are less threatening than bigger stacks.
3) Stack-to-pot ratios.
Stack-to-pot ratios (or SPR) is a topic that covers the strategical implications of the size of the
pot on the flop compared to the size of the effective stacks.
The way ahead / way behind concept (WAWB or WA/WB concept depending on which forum
you are coming from) is a fairly simple one that occurs quite frequently in Texas Hold em.
The way ahead / way behind concept addresses the fact that in some situations you will either be
ahead in a hand with your opponent drawing slim or dead, or your opponent will be ahead in a
hand and you will be drawing very slim or dead.
You can tell that you might be in a WA/WB situation when you have a strong hand, but the
board and the plays being made indicate that you may be in some trouble. The best way to
describe this concept is to give you a nice example of a situation where you could either be way
ahead or way behind.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
WA/WB diagram.
If this just confuses you more, then I apologise. I just hope it helps you to visualise the wa/wb
concept a little better.
Two or more cards of the same suit on the board that can an opponent a flush or a flush
draw.
Connecting cards that could give an opponent a straight or a straight draw.
In a hand where there are two cards of the same suit on board, it is less likely that you will be
able to confidently place yourself in a way ahead / way behind situation, as the way your
opponent is betting can easily be influenced by the fact that they might have a flush draw. So
always consider this when you notice that there are two cards of the same suit on the board.
Similarly, if the board is straightening up and there is a possible straight draw available, it again
makes it less likely that you could be in a WA/WB situation. If you were to play passively, there
is a good chance that you will let your opponent catch up and take the hand away from you. So
essentially, there is a greater probability of the WA/WB situation arising on a dry board than
there is on a wet board.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
As soon as you sit down at the poker table, you should already be evaluating how each of your
opponents play. The more information you have on your opponents, the better the plays you can
make against them. You can obtain information about how your opponents play by watching the
hands you are not involved in.
(See the article on putting poker players on a hand for more information.)
But what information do you have on other players at the table if you are involved in the very
first hand?
If this is the case there are a few things you can look for that will give you an idea about what the
players are like:
Watch for players who do not wait for the big blind (again, not a great indicator).
Look out for players calling the big blind and then calling a raise from another player
(this is a good one).
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
Stack size.
In cash games, you can quickly spot who the potential solid players and potential weak players
are by looking at the size of their stack. Each cash game has a maximum buy-in that is typically
100 times the big blind. Typically, the likely solid players will either be close to this maximum
buy in or above it.
This rule obviously cannot apply to all players, as some of the weak players may have had a
good run of cards that allowed them to increase their stack above the maximum buy-in. But this
will usually be a decent indication of their ability.
I tend to be more aware of the players with deep stacks, but I do not form a strong judgment on
their ability from this information alone.
Conversely, the likely weak/poor players will have a stack size significantly below the maximum
buy in. This is because the recreational players are comfortable with letting their stack diminish
as play progresses, whereas a winning player will want to reload to the maximum to give
themselves the best opportunities to make maximum profit on each hand.
On the other hand, they may still have a strong starting hand even if they do call both the big
blind and then the raise, but are just passive players. However, a solid player will not be this
passive so you can safely assume again that they are not that great to be simply calling with
strong starting hands.
Unless a player holds a small pocket pair and is set mining, calling the blind then calling a raise
is a poor play that you would not expect an experienced player to make.
Range Balancing
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Range Balancing
1
Range balancing or "balancing your range" is a not an overly advanced concept by itself, but
using it effectively at the tables does require some advanced skills.
The idea of range balancing is only going to be effective about good players that think on at
least level 2 (see multiple level thinking), so I probably wouldn't toy with the concept too much
unless you're playing at $50NL or higher.
Range balancing is where you play the exact same way with a wide range of hands in certain
situations.
The most common example of range balancing is continuation betting.
If you're continuation betting the flop 80% of the time or more, you're likely to be betting with a
wide variety of hands ranging from air to strong made hands. Therefore every time you
continuation bet, the range of hands that you could have at that point from your opponent's
perspective is fairly well-"balanced".
For more information on hand ranges, see the range article from the REM process section.
If you only play certain strength hands in one way in a specific situation, your range is
"unbalanced" to that certain range of hands.
If you play a variety of strength hands in the same way in the same situation, your
range will be "balanced" as your possible hand range is not weighted too far one way or
the other.
A balanced range makes it much more difficult for your opponent to take an educated guess at
what you are likely to be holding.
That pretty much explains everything so I won't go in to any further detail. But now the big
question is...
The harder it is for our opponent to figure out what sort of hand we are holding the better. The
less our opponent knows about our hand the more mistakes they will make when they play
against us, which means that as a result we will be winning more money from them over the long
run because they fail to play optimally.
Poker is a big game of broken information; the more information you can piece together the
more profitable your decisions will be. If we can reduce the amount of information that our
opponents can piece together by balancing our range, the less profitable their decisions will be.
To put all this simply:
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Balance your range to make it difficult for your opponent to play against you.
So as you can see, whilst you think the play itself might be pretty deceptive, it's actually not
deceptive at all if we're doing the exact same thing every time against a "thinking" player.
Our opponent will spot that our range is very unbalanced and weighted toward drawing hands
when we do this and so can play accordingly to exploit our actions.
Therefore, if we included other strengths of hands such as strong top-pair or better hands and
complete air (preferably with some equity), our range would be more balanced. If our
opponent is aware of how varied our range is when we check-raise in this spot it makes it
difficult for them to choose the most appropriate action to take against us.
At the end of the day, if you're not check-raising with a genuinely strong hand in this situation
every now and then you are doing yourself an injustice by reducing the deceptiveness (and thus
profitability) of your play.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
The stack-to-pot ratio (or SPR for short) principle was coined by Ed Miller in the book
Professional No-Limit Hold'em: Volume I.
In this article I aim to explain the basics of SPR in poker and show you how it can be used to
make your post-flop decisions a lot easier in cash games.
This article is merely a brief introduction and overview of SPR. I highly recommend you buy the
book to feel the full force of 70 pages worth of SPR euphoria.
1. What is SPR?
1. SPR equation.
I) What is SPR?
SPR is the effective stack sizes divided by the size of the pot on the flop.
Let's say you raise to $6 in MP before the flop in a $1/$2 NL cash game. One opponent calls on
the button and both of the blinds fold. If both you and your opponent have $100 in your stack,
the stack to pot ratio would be:
$94 : $15
SPR = 100 / 15 = 6.3
To put it another way, in this example the remaining effective stack sizes are 6.3 times the size of
the pot. Easy stuff really.
SPR can also be considered the ratio of risk : reward. In every no limit hand, the pot is the
reward and the size of the effective stacks is the potential risk. Therefore the greater the SPR, the
greater the risk : reward ratio.
A) SPR equation.
The SPR equation. It's straightforward, but it could still do with some explaining.
SPR is worked out on the flop only. Stack to pot ratios are not going to be used for the
turn or river.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
If the pot size is $10 and the effective stacks are $200, the SPR is 20. If we bet this flop and get
raised we are put in a very tricky situation, as we could well have the best hand here but we're
not really prepared to commit too much money with just top pair.
If we do end up getting it all in on this flop or on the turn or river the chances are that we do not
hold the best hand. This makes playing top pair hands like this tricky if the SPR is mid-sized or
high.
ii) Low SPR situation.
If the pot size is $10 and the effective stacks are $30, the SPR is 3. If we bet this flop and get
raised we are in a much more comfortable position to call or raise all-in, as we do not fear further
bets on the turn or river.
Sure, our opponent could still hold a better hand but the risk here is much lower. We are
committed to the hand and so putting all our chips in the middle is a much easier decision.
iii) SPR example evaluation.
In the two different scenarios above the strength of our hand did not change, yet the outcomes
were very different due to the stack to pot ratio. With the low SPR of 3 the risk is much lower
relative to the reward, which makes it very easy for us to call all-in with our top pair hand.
Low SPR = 0 - 6
Medium SPR = 7 - 16
These SPR figures are very rough guidelines and their implications will vary greatly depending
on how loose or tight your opponents are. They also mean nothing unless we have an idea of
which hands play best depending on the stack to pot ratio.
Overpairs.
Top pair.
These are the sorts of hands that we do not want to play big pots with, as the bigger the pots get
the greater the chances are that we are behind. Low SPRs reduce the number of decisions we
need to make with these hands, which makes them a lot easier to play and thus more profitable
situations over the long run.
With mediocre hands like these, you want to to avoid becoming pot committed after starting with
a full stack.
These are much stronger hands than the ones above and will remain as the best hand when you're
all-in often enough to keep them profitable when the SPR is between around 7 to 16.
The higher likely SPR also makes it profitable to play more speculative hands like small pocket
pairs and suited connectors that infrequently hit big flops, as there is a lot more money to
potentially be won from the hand on later betting rounds.
Sets.
Strong drawing hands.
These are the hands that are almost guaranteed to win you the pot. If the SPR is high, you want
be be sure that you have near enough the nuts or a draw to pretty much the nuts if there is a lot of
action. The last thing you want to do in high SPR situations is get a lot of money in to the pot
without a very good chance of winning.
You hold A K and you and an opponent have $100 effective stacks in a $1/$2 6max NLHE
game. If you raise to 3bb from MP and your opponent in the CO calls, you will have an SPR of
6.3 ($94 : $15) on the flop.
This SPR may well be a little too high for you to justify putting all of your chips in the middle if
you hit top pair on the flop, especially so if your opponent is tight as there is a greater likelihood
that they are only going to be willing to get all their chips in the middle they will have a better
hand than TPTK.
ii) Example of raising to 6bb.
Using the same example as above where the effective stacks are still $100, let's say we raise to
6bb ($12) instead of 3bb preflop. If our opponent again calls we will have an SPR of 3.3 ($88 :
$27) on the flop.
With this lower SPR we will feel a lot more comfortable putting all of our chips in the middle if
needs be. In addition the chances are that all of the money will be in by the turn, which saves us
from a potentially difficult river decision.
Alternatively, this "concept of the week" article on SPR at 2+2 is also pretty awesome.
Relative Position
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Relative Position
0
Any experienced poker player will be able to tell you the importance of position in any hand,
especially so in the game of Texas Hold em.
Acting last and being able to see how your opponents play before deciding on your action can
give you a tremendous advantage over the other players in the hand.
However, there is another important factor that can increase or decrease the value of your actual
position at the table. This factor is known as relative position.
Player B: Checks
Player B: Folds
Either way, we are last to act and get to see all the other players' actions before closing the action
on the round. In these "normal position" situations, our position is beneficial (as it should be).
Hero: Calls
Thanks to Player B's bet, Player A is forced to act again, which means that we no longer get to
close the action in the hand. This will happen from time to time, but it's not always a big deal
because we still get to see all the other players act before we decide what we are going to do.
However, there is one unique dynamic that involves continuation bets that makes relative
position worth thinking about
Now the problem here is that any play we make will not be closing off the action, as the player in
the small blind now has the opportunity to act again. We have been sandwiched between the
player in the CO who has made a continuation bet with a potentially strong hand, and between
another player who could have a stronger hand than ours as their check did not necessarily
indicate strength or weakness.
Their check neither shows strength nor weakness because they are confident that the preflop
raiser will make a continuation bet as standard, and so they may well be checking with the
intention of calling/raising when the action gets back to them.
Here is how the play looks and how we have been sandwiched:
Small Bind: <- could just as easily fold, call or raise the CO's continuation bet.
A scruffy diagram that highlights the relative position problem on the flop after the player in
the CO makes a cbet.
A call in this situation would not be bad, but we are leaving ourselves open to losing chips to the
player in the small blind if they decide to raise. Furthermore, if the small blind decides to call as
well, we will go to the turn ready to be put in the same tricky situation as we were on the flop.
As you can see we are now in a pot that could potentially lose us a significant number of chips
because we have a decent holding, but we're in a highly compromising position that we probably
didn't expect when we first entered the hand.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
The best relative position to have is to be to the immediate right of the preflop raiser. This
is because your action will close off the betting on that particular round if the raiser does
indeed make an expected continuation bet.
The worst relative position to have is to be the the immediate left of the preflop raiser.
This is because you will be the first to act if the preflop raiser makes a continuation bet.
The player(s) now acting after you that initially checked to the preflop raiser could have
any hand ranging from total air to a monster.
You should always try and evaluate your relative position in any hand along with your actual
position, as it will have a bigger impact than you may think. You probably never realised it
before and will likely forget about it before it's too late the next few times it happens, but try
your best to be aware of it. It will sink in after a while.
You want to extract as much money as possible from your opponents when you have a winning
hand. The more money you can win from your opponents, the higher your winrate will be.
The process of squeezing more money from your opponents is known as maximizing the value
of your hand, and there are a few steps that you can take to make this happen.
The most important fact about increasing the amount you can win on each hand is that you have
to get your opponent to put money into the pot. If your opponent is not putting money into the
pot, then you are not gaining any value on your hand, as the amount you will be winning after
the hand is complete will remain the same throughout.
To get your opponent to put as much money into the pot as possible, you have to be betting and
raising when it is your turn to act, which is something that a lot of players fail to do.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
Don't miss out on great opportunities to get more money in to the pot by trying to be tricky.
Alternatively, you may be afraid of raising here because you do not want to scare your opponent
out of the pot. But if you think about it logically, if your opponent is not going to call a raise on
the flop, what makes you think you are going to get any money out of them on future betting
rounds?
Assume that we know for a fact that if we bet $20 into this pot, our opponent will call 7 times out
of 10. However, if we bet $100 into this pot, our opponent will call 2 times out of 10. Therefore
if we took each scenario and repeated it 10 times, we would find that:
As you can see, we will be winning $60 more by betting the size of the pot rather than betting a
small amount to try and entice our opponent to call. So even though we will be getting called less
often, we will be winning more in the long run by betting a larger amount.
You win more money over the long run with bigger bets on the river, even if they get called less
often.
This is also another key concept that we must take into account, as the value betting on the river
is based on the long term winnings, rather than just trying to get your opponent to call small bets
every time. The small victories are not the ones that are going to increase our profits at the end of
the day.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
Being out of position in any hand of poker is not going to be make your decisions easy.
However, this does not mean that we cant use a few tricks to make it work to our advantage
when we hit our strong hands.
This article will discuss how you can work around the fact that you are out of position to your
opponent and use it to your advantage to maximize your wins with a strong hand on the flop.
Here's my quick guide to betting into the preflop raiser.
On the flop.
When we get to the flop, it is standard play for most players to check to the raiser regardless of
whether we made a strong hand or not. Similarly, it is the standard play for our opponent to make
a continuation bet to take down the pot, regardless if they have a strong hand or not.
This is because players in our sort of position will want to see how our opponent will react after
our check, and the majority of the time our opponent will make a standard continuation bet in an
attempt to capitalise on the weakness we have shown from our check. If you play at a high
enough level for long enough, you will see this take place time after time.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
We are obviously going to be folding our hand if we have not connected with the flop after the
continuation bet from our opponent. However, if we have made a strong hand, then many players
will be tempted check their hand to their opponent in anticipation that they will bet out, and then
we can come over the top with a check-raise and trap them. This all sounds well and good, but
when you think about it logically, you are missing out on a prime opportunity to extract a nice
amount of money from your opponent.
If we make a check-raise play with our strong hand in this situation, one of two things are likely
to happen.
1. Our opponent will fold any weak or mediocre holding
2. Our opponent will call and become very wary about our hand
Because the check-raise is such a powerful play, we are basically telling our opponents that we
have the best hand. Therefore they are going to fold any weak or decent hand, and possibly call
with their second best strong hand but be wary of continuing with the hand.
The check raise gives away too much information about the strength of your hand, whereas a bet
from first position doesn't give much away.
Sure we could be bluffing, but it would be a dangerous play, and so our opponent would not
want to take the risk to find out if we are by calling or re-raising with a mediocre or even a
strong hand. So the majority of the time we are going to be cutting off our action at the flop
when we have a strong hand, and not giving ourselves the opportunity to extract more money on
future betting rounds.
0
REM Process: Range > Equity > Maximize
Range, equity, maximize (REM) is an incredibly effective process for evaluating situations and
getting the most from every hand you play. The REM process forms the groundwork of
optimum play in no limit Texas Hold'em.
The REM process was first introduced by Flynn, Mehta and Miller in the book Professional NoLimit Hold'em: Volume I (the same book that introduces SPR).
This article will be split up in to 3 sections, covering the basics of the REM process to make it as
easy as possible for you to pick it up and incorporate it in to your game.
Range: Assign a range of hands to your opponent based on their play up to that point.
Equity: Work out how much equity you have in the hand against your opponent's range.
Maximize: Make the most +EV possible play based on the information you have
gathered.
This is a 3-step process for making the most +EV play possible in each hand you are involved
with.
Let's get things straight. We're not going to be able to put our opponent on two exact cards
judging by the way they have raised preflop and checked to us on the flop. In fact, it's
exceptionally unlikely that even the best players in the world would be able to assign an exact
hand to an opponent by the river. It's just not possible to be that precise when it comes to hand
reading.
However, what is possible is to assign a certain range of hands to our opponent based on the way
they have played their hand up that point. There are two ways in which we can do this:
1. Use our knowledge of the opponent to help us form a range of hands.
2. Use poker tracking software stats to give us a more exact range of hands to assign to
them.
Hand range for a 3-bet in middle position for our tight aggressive opponent.
Range: JJ+,AKs,AKo
This is a pretty safe assumption for this example, but assigning a hand range is not always going
to be this easy. The less information we have on our opponent, the wider the hand range should
be.
So that's all pocket pairs of TT and higher, along with KQs and any AK or AQ.
Easy.
This is obviously a rough example, but it just goes to show how much more accurate you can be
when it comes to assigning hand ranges if you are using tracking software like HoldemManager
and PokerStove.
Read more about assigning hand ranges and using PokerStove in the REM Process - Range
article.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
Same 3bet situation as before but with our hand and opponent's range added.
Maximize example 1.
In this example, we are playing $100NL and we both have full stacks. We raised to $7 and our
opponents 3-bets to $24. Seeing as our opponent's hand range is much better than our's for the
most part, the most "profitable" play for us is to fold.
The best that we can hope for is to hit a Jack on the flop. Even then we might not even be in the
best of shape, so the best plan of action is to fold as opposed to risking more money with such
poor equity in the hand. The most influential reason behind folding here though is our opponent's
superior hand range.
Maximize example 2.
We are again playing $100NL, however, our opponent only has $20 left in their stack. We raise
to $7 and our opponent 3-bets all-in to $20. We now have to call $13 to win a $28.5 pot ($20 +
$7 + the SB and BB), giving us pot odds of 2.2 to 1.
Right now we have 33% equity, which works out as 2 to 1 odds. Seeing as our pot odds are
greater than the odds of winning, it is marginally profitable for us to make this call. We do not
have to worry about playing the rest of the hand as our opponent is all in and we will not have to
face any more bets.
In this situation, calling the all-in 3-bet is the most profitable play based on our equity in the
hand.
Maximize overview.
Remember that this is just one example of an almost endless number of different situations you
can find yourself in. Maximizing value takes a lot of experience and knowledge of the game. It is
going to be something that you will find yourself working to improve throughout your poker
career.
Read more about maximizing value from your hands in the REM Process - Maximize article.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
After your have put your opponent on a range of hands, the second step in the REM process is to
find your "equity" in the hand.
The equity part mostly acts as a stepping stone for the following "maximize" step. However, as
far as stepping stones go, this is a pretty tricky one that isn't overly easy to work out accurately.
On a basic level though, it's something that we actually all do without even thinking about it.
What is equity?
Equity is our "share" of the pot that we expect to win.
It's pretty straightforward really, but if you want more of an overview of this term you should
check out the basic poker equity article.
When we work out our equity in a hand for the REM process, we compare our hand to our
opponent's range of hands (remember the range we worked out in the first step?). Once we know
our equity in the hand against this range, we can go on to make the appropriate play.
A hand with the most equity - A strong hand that has the a strong chance of winning.
A hand with poor equity - A weak hand that has a poor chance of winning.
A hand with around evens equity - This could be a very strong draw, or a hand like AK
facing an all-in.
When we compare our hand to our opponent's possible range of hands, we just want to asses the
situation and take an educated guess to figure out where we stand in the hand.
That's all equity really is - a percentage representation of our strength in the hand. The main
thing that we need to do to help us make the best play (maximize) is to figure out how strong our
hand is based on our opponent's likely range of hands.
It is possible to work out a rough numerical idea of your equity in your head, but in all fairness
this is far from being an easy task, and when you have programs like PokerStove to help you out
when you are playing online it really makes it an unnecessary method to try and learn.
Equity example 1.
We raise to 5BBs preflop with A K and tight player shoves all in with their short stack size of
30BBs. We are confident that they will only be doing with with a pocket pair like JJ+ and AK.
Equity example 2.
We have K Q on a flop of T J 5 . We bet and our opponent shoves all-in. We believe that
they would only be doing this with TPTK, top two-pair or a set. Basically any hand like the
strongest top pair or better.
Equity example 3.
We are dealt A J before the flop. One player pushes all-in and it is folded around to us. The
guy at the table is moving all-in with every single hand he plays, so he could have absolutely
anything.
Are you supposed to use PokerStove to work out equity in every hand?
Of course not - that would take ages and be really annoying. I use PokerStove to work out equity
against hand ranges in two instances:
1. For post-session analysis.
2. In the middle of a big hand when I'm using the time bank.
So unless you are using PokerStove as more of a one-off in the middle of a big hand, I would use
the program off the tables when I'm analyzing my play and just generally playing around with
different scenarios.
The more you play with it, the more you will familiarise yourself with the equity of specific
hands against various ranges. This will greatly improve your basic equity calculations on the fly
and help to set you up for the following "maximize" step.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
The first step of the REM process is to put your opponents on a range of hands. In this article, I
am going to show you how to assign ranges of hands to your opponent using stats and reads.
I am going to split this article up in to two hand reading sections:
1. Preflop hand ranges - the easy bit.
2. Post flop hand ranges - the trickier bit.
Remember that your objective with hand reading is to put your opponent on a range of hands, not
two exact cards.
This is the total % of times the player will enter the pot preflop by calling or
raising.
This is the % of times the player will enter a pot preflop by raising.
So that's cool - for this particular player "a_player" we can see that their VPIP is 24% and their
PFR is 16%. So we can say that a_player...
Again, that's all well and good, but these are just figures. How can we turn these percentages in
to ranges of hands? For that, we can take an educated guess at what 24% and 16% of starting
hands looks like. Here is an excerpt from a legendary thread by Pokey at 2+2 on hand reading:
15% = "any pair, AK, AQ, KQ, suited connectors 54+, any suited ace"
25% = "any pair, any suited broadway, any ace, any suited connectors 54s+, KQo"
30% = "any pair, any ace, any suited king, any suited broadway, any suited connectors
54s+, KTo+, QJo" or "any pair, any ace, any suited king, any broadway"
40% = "any pair, any ace, any king, any two broadway, any suited connectors 32s+"
50% = "any pair, any two suited cards, any ace, any two broadway, K5o+"
This is of course just a rough guide, but nonetheless it is definitely something that is worth
familiarizing yourself with. So, if we compare our percentages with these rough hand ranges we
can conclude that our friend "a_player":
VPIP: 24% - Is entering the pot with any pair, any suited broadway, any ace and any
suited connectors.
o 22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,A2o+,KQo
PFR: 16% - Is raising before the flop with any pair, AK, AQ, KQ, suited connectors 54+
and any suited ace.
o
22+,A2s+,KQs,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,AQo+,KQo
Thanks to these stats, we now have a very good idea of the sort of hands that our opponent will
enter a pot with and more specifically, what sort of hands they will be open raising with. As we
play through a hand with them we can whittle this range down even further by analyzing how
our opponent plays the flop, turn and river.
These VPIP and PFR stats are also covered in the Holdem Manager HUD tutorial and HUD
Ninja videos.
Now do that for every betting round. The better you can answer those questions, the easier it will
be to reduce your opponent's range and form a more complete picture of the hand.
If you want to get really good at assigning hand ranges (why wouldn't you?), watch the Where
The Buffalo Roam video series at DeucesCracked. This is the absolute best way to learn this
particular skill.
Of course, that's a lot easier said than done, but who said poker is easy? Poker is a thinking man's
game, so put your brain to good use and always aim to try and figure out why your opponent is
playing the way they are.
If you can figure out why your opponent is making their plays, you can figure out what they are
likely to be holding.
It's a pretty non-specific strategy I know, but this is where practice comes in to play. I can't teach
you how to read hands like a champ in one article (probably not even in 5 or 6 articles for that
matter), so get out there and play some poker.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
Putting a player on a hand is at the very heart of good poker play, yet often massively
misunderstood. Most people assume that the goal is to put a player on two exact cards.
This would be great, but the truth is it's rarely possible without having spent hours and hours at
the table with a person. Occasionally you may find someone so powerfully uncreative that you'll
know exactly when they've got a huge hand and when they don't. Enjoy it, because it's rare.
But wait. All those books you've read say you should play the player. How are you supposed to
do that if you can't hope to accurately put someone on two exact cards?
Easy.
There are only a few actions you can take in poker:
1. You can raise.
2. You can call.
3. You can fold.
No limit adds the added excitement of being able to bet varying amounts (see bet sizing for more
information), but people tend to bet similar amounts whenever they bet. So with such a limited
number of actions, people will tend to take the same actions with different hands. This is why it's
so hard to put someone on two exact cards.
The key to making sense of this situation is not to guess. It's to understand that while our
information is limited, we do have information. We'll call that information a range.
A range is simply all of the hands that a player would take a particular action with. For example,
when under the gun (utg) in a six-handed online $200NL game, a solid player will raise utg with
22+/JTs+/QTs+/KTs+/AJo/KQo.
That's actually a fairly tight range, close to maybe only 17% of all hands dealt. In some ways, it's
easy to deal with someone when they have a narrow range. Fold your bad hands, reraise your
good hands, and call with those sneaky implied odds hands that can flop huge. Easy game.
What gets much trickier is post-flop play. To illustrate, let me talk through a hand to demonstrate
how thinking about a range happens from preflop to river.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
The flop.
We see a flop of T 5 3 . After the rake, there's $15.5 in the middle.
That's about as good a flop as you can see if you have queens. Unless the BB has TT/55/33, I'm
ahead of his hand and he likely has five outs or fewer to improve. The BB checks to me, and I
bet $10. I don't want to bet big here. The reason has to do with ranges.
If I bet big, then he'll very often fold hands like 77 or 76. He's of course never folding a flopped
set. He probably won't fold a ten for one big bet on the flop, but he might get nervous on the turn
or river and not put all his money in with his five-out draw that will rarely get there.
On this type of board. I want to get a lot of calls. He'll be making a big mistake by calling, so I
don't mind betting a small amount. I make money here not by getting him to call big bets rarely,
but by getting him to call small bets, often and incorrectly.
So, like I said, $10.
The BB checkraises to $27 total.
Well that's a surprise.
Three things. First, weird raise size. This is a site with a "Bet pot" button, and people love to use
it. The BB has intentionally not used it and instead made a small bet. I'm pretty confused by this.
He could definitely do this with a set, trying to build a bit of a pot and stack me on later streets.
But he could also think a pair of tens is good here. Hands like T9s, KTo, AT, JT, etc. are exactly
the types of hands that call out of the BB in this spot. Good players wouldn't have hands like this,
but the BB isn't a good player, so we can't eliminate them entirely.
So I decide to just call the $17 more. At this point, I think his range is T9s+/JTo+/TT/55/33.
Some people might say I'm being generous here, but remember that this is a fundamentally weak
player. Vs. a good player, I'd probably call the $17 too, but I'd call for an entirely different
reason. More on that in a bit.
With my call, the pot, minus rake, is $68. The effective stacks are now $125.
The turn.
The turn is an offsuit 6 (making it T 5 3 6 ), completing the rainbow board.
The BB checks.
Ok, that's weird. What could this mean?
Well, he could be getting fancy, going for two checkraises in a row with a set. That's an odd
play, but people who aren't good at poker tend to make odd plays. Two pair is entirely unlikely,
because of what we've estimated his flop range to be. The six is a complete brick. If he had a pair
of tens, he didn't improve. If he has a set, he doesn't need to improve. Online, you'll see this
called way ahead/way behind, or just WA/WB.
But let's not give him too much credit.
He might realize that he made a small flop raise, and so maybe thinks we're getting fancy with
AK. Or maybe we have a weak ten, like T9 (which is dominated by the majority of the BBs ten
holdings). We still have him on the same range as the flop. We know he didn't improve. But we
think he might call a turn bet not just with his sets, but a lot of his top pairs too.
So I bet $40.
Again, this isn't a spot where I want to make a big bet. I want him to call often. If he has
anything but a set, he's making a substantial mistake calling this bet, so I'm going to make a lot
of medium-ish to small bets, and look to get called very often.
Now is the moment of truth in the hand as well. If the BB c/r here, I will probably call, mostly
out of frustration, partly out of fear that he's simply overplaying a ten. If he pushes in his
remaining $85, I don't expect to be a favourite to win that money, but there's another $140 in the
pot on top of that $85, so I simply can't give away my equity in that money.
Instead, the BB just calls. I'm quite confident now he has a ten and is going down with the ship.
I'm not sure what his kicker is, but I'm positive he has a ten in his hand.
The river.
The river is a nine, which only improves T9, the BB checks, I bet enough to put him all in for
another $85 and he calls getting 2.7:1 with ATo.
Thin Value
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Thin Value
0
Thin Value > Example
The term thin value is used quite a lot when discussing tricky decisions on the river in Texas
Holdem. The ability to get thin value from marginal hands is often the difference between good
players and great players, so its worth taking the time to learn about it.
Hopefully you already know the basics of getting value from hands already, but if not, read about
value betting first.
This diagram highlights the difference in profit there is to be made between standard value bets,
thin value bets and when there is no value in betting based on the percentage likelihood of
having the best hand when called.
If we have the best hand greater than 50% of the time, we make a profit. If we have the best hand
less than 50% of the time, we lose money because were risking more than we get back (a
negative ROI if you will). The smaller the likelihood of having the best hand when called,
the thinner the value.
Note: When making a value bet we actually want to get called because we expect to win money
when we are called over the long run. If you dont want to get called its not a value bet, its a
bluff. See reasons for betting.
(and if youre harder to play against, you make more money again).
1) Every time you have the opportunity to get value from your hands, no matter how marginal it
is, you should take it. The extra few BBs here and there will add to your winrate, so why would
you ignore it? If you can learn how to bet for thin value you will increase your winrate, its as
simple as that.
2) If you bet for thin value, you will be balancing your range when youre betting on the river.
With a balanced range you make it more difficult for your opponents to play against you, which
means they will make more mistakes. The more mistakes they make, the more money you will
be winning from them.
As Ive already mentioned, thin value betting often distinguishes the good players from the great
players. If you want to improve your game and your winrate, you will want to get to grips with
the art of thin value betting in poker.
2. You need to evaluate how many hands in that range that you beat or have you beat if you
bet and get called.
2) Evaluating the hands in that range that you beat and do not have beat if
called.
If there are lots of hands in your opponents range that can call a bet and you have beat, then there
is obviously value in betting. Conversely, if there are more hands that have you beat, there is no
value in betting.
The smaller the difference is between the two (hands you beat and hands that have you
beat), the thinner your value bet will be. The better you become at working out your
opponents range, the easier you will find it to make thinner and thinner value bets.
Its easy enough to know how to make good thin value bets, but actually doing it is another thing.
But as with all tough decisions in poker, it will get easier the more you practice.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
The key to value betting is being able to put your opponent on a range of hands. If you can do
that, thin value bets will get a lot easier. If you cant put your opponent on a range, you need to
practice more or pay more attention to the way the hands play out as you go along. This is
definitely a skill you should continually be trying to improve though anyway.
The sooner you get out of the habit of playing it safe and just checking behind with your
marginal hands, the sooner you will open up the opportunity to add to your winrate and make
more money from your sessions through thin value betting.
Try "putting players on hands" for an in depth look at assigning hand ranges to your opponents.
Also, range merging is a prime example of getting thin value in certain situations.
3-betting light is an advanced concept that adds an extra weapon to a game that has likely
become repetitive and stagnant, even if that current game strategy is winning you money at the
tables.
3-betting will shake up a mid-stakes player's game about as much as the continuation bet did
when you first found out about that when you were starting out.
This concept is going to be most useful in mid-stakes games between $50NL and $200NL.
What is 3-betting?
Why 3-bet?
3-betting.
First of all, what is a 3-bet before the flop?
A 3-bet is when there has been a raise and then another raise after that.
Simple enough, but let me give you one quick example to drive it home: After the SB and BB
post the $1 and $2 blinds, lets say there is a raise to $8 from a player in MP. If another player in
LP raises it again to $24, this is called a 3-bet.
For a quick guide to good 3bet sizing, watch the 3betting section starting at 13:39 in this bet
sizing video.
As you can imagine, the guy (or girl) making the 3-bet probably has a very good hand. You
would normally expect them to be holding something like QQ+ or AK to make this second raise
before the flop.
You might be wondering why it's called a 3-bet if there has only been two raises. Well, the BB is
actually considered to be a bet in itself, and so the first raise is the 2nd bet and the second raise is
the 3-bet.
3-betting light.
As mentioned, you would expect the player making the 3-bet to have a very strong hand like
QQ+ or AK. Therefore, 3-betting light is when you make a 3-bet with a less than premium hand
like 67, 78 or any suited connector like that.
3-betting light is where you make a 3-bet with a less than premium hand before the flop.
Seems crazy and dangerous I know, but I'm sure you thought the same thing when you first
heard about continuation betting. 3-betting light can be an incredibly +EV move when used
correctly, so don't underestimate its strength.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
Why 3-bet?
Players these days will make preflop raises with a wide range of hands. If a player makes a raise
before the flop in LP, they could have almost any hand under the sun. That's how all decent
TAGs play.
Calling these raises with a strong hand of our own (or even with a drawing hand like 78s) puts us
at a disadvantage because our opponent will have the initiative in the hand. When the flop
comes, we are only really looking to fold unless we hit top pair or better. Even then, we are not
going to feel great about our hand.
3-betting when in position will regularly put loose raisers in a position where it is -EV to call a 3bet because of their wide opening range. Not to mention taking away their initiative.
Players open with a wide range of hands, which means calling 3-bets is -EV for our
opponents.
3-betting can often be far more +EV than just calling in some cases.
Players almost always fear AA when they face a 3-bet. This gives us tremendous
leverage for the flop (so cbet!).
Opponents will call you down with much weaker hands in future if they see you 3-bet so
lightly (metagame strategy).
Sure, making an extra reraise before the flop is going to be pretty damn scary, especially if you
are 3-betting light. However, if its going to be a +EV play you need to show some balls and play
in the way that is going to make you the most money.
Don't get me wrong though, 3-betting light isn't just to try and punish the loose raisers and hope
that they fold. There will be times when we get called when we 3-bet light, but that's not a
problem. There are still advantages to 3-betting light when we reach the flop.
You want to 3-bet light with mid connectors/suited connectors like 67, 78 and 89, or 1
gap suited connectors like 68 and 79.
You should 3-bet light in position. Playing a 3-bet pot out of position is tricky (although
not impossible).
You should mostly 3-bet raisers from LP. Raisers from EP are more likely to turn up with
a strong hand.
You should try 3-betting light against TAG (Tight-Aggressive) and semi-TAG players.
An optimum spot to 3-bet light is when a TAG from LP makes a raise when you are on the
button or in the CO.
How to 3-bet.
In a nutshell, when you 3-bet light you ideally want your opponent to fold. This gives you an
instant and nicely-sized pot and will usually force your opponent to tighten up the hands they
open with from late position.
If we get called and miss the flop, we are almost always in the perfect situation to make a
continuation bet and take down then pot. So don't be afraid to make that cbet, it's a +EV move
over the long run. That's the basics of it, but allow me to explain a little further.
The type of hands that you do not want to 3-bet light with are lower tier broadway hands like;
KQ, KJ QJ and also weaker aces like AJ (definitely not rag aces either). The problem is that if
you are 3-betting with these cards, the hands that your opponent is going to call with are going to
have you dominated (e.g. AQ+, JJ+).
However, if you have a lower suited connector like 78s, you still have two "free" cards that you
can do damage with. It also makes post-flop play easier as you are less likely to get tied in with a
marginal hand where you hold something like top pair weak kicker.
Stick to 3-betting premiums (QQ+, AK) and lower suited connectors (56 - 9T) only.
You are better off calling with less than premium broadway hands rather than 3-betting with
them preflop.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
The final (and arguably most important) step in the REM process is "Maximize". This involves
making the optimum play to get the most value from your hand.
Unfortunately, the art of maximizing your profits from every hand you play is out of the scope of
one article. However, what I will be able to do is give you some groundwork for making
optimum plays at the table.
When you have the hand with the greatest equity you want to get as much money in to the pot as
possible. When you don't have good equity in the hand you want to see future cards as cheaply as
possible, which generally involves checking and folding.
You want to play as closely as you can to the fundamental theorem of poker to help you
maximize your winnings from each hand you play.
One problem.
That's all well and good, but there is a hell of a lot of middle ground where we will not know if
we are ahead of behind in a hand. Therefore, we just have to make the best play we can with the
limited information we have from the range and equity sections of the REM process.
That's all there is to it. If you do not know whether you want your opponent to do either, you
should not be betting.
Far too many players make bets with no reasoning behind why they are making them. The
chances are that if you do not know why you are betting, a large number of your bets are going
to be -EV.
Our hand: A K
Flop: A 9 7
As we all should know, on this flop we should bet out. Why? Because we have good equity
against our opponent's range, which is likely to be a weaker ace or lower pocket pair. We are
betting for value in the hope that our opponent will call with a weaker ace or a flush draw
because we have greater equity in the hand (even if they may have a better hand like 2 pair or a
set).
The equity of our AdKc against villain's range. Found using PokerStove.
Yep that's right, we actually want our opponent to call with a flush draw. If the pot is $10 and we
bet $8, they are getting terrible odds to chase their flush. Therefore, if they call they are making a
mistake and we are gaining from this mistake. If they fold on the other hand, they are making the
correct play and we gain nothing.
"Betting to protect your hand" is very bad alternate terminology for "betting for value". What are
we protecting our hand from? Players calling with bad odds and worse hands? According to the
fundamental theorem of poker we want our opponents to call with bad odds and worse hands, as
we gain nothing otherwise.
Try your best to get used to the idea of either betting for value or bluffing. "Protecting your
hand" is not the right way to explain your bets - "betting for value" is.
Bluffing.
Our hand: A Q
Flop: T 2 7
Let's say we raised preflop in the CO and the button calls. Our opponent then bets out 3/4 of the
pot on this flop. With our overcards and nut flush draw, we reraise. However, is this reraise for
value or as a bluff? In other words, do we want our opponent to call of to fold?
Well, first things first, this all depends on our opponents range. If we figure that our opponent is
the type of player to only ever bet out on this sort of flop with top pair or better, our equity in the
hand is as follows:
The equity of our AsQs against villain's range. Found using PokerStove.
As you can see, we do not have the dominant equity in the hand. So in this situation, by raising
we are hoping that our opponent will fold their better hand. Therefore we are bluffing. Simple as
that.
Sure, it's technically a semi-bluff because it's not all that bad if our opponent calls this raise, but
based on the equity we have right now our raise is a bluff. Hopefully this helps to illustrate the
difference between bluffing and betting for value.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
Range Merging
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > General > Range Merging
1
You may find the article on thin value useful as a primer for this range merging article.
Range merging or merging your range is something that you will run in to every now and then
on poker forums and in training videos. It's quite an advanced topic, so I'm going to need your
full attention for this one.
As a word of warning, range merging was something that took me some time to fully get my
head around. Explaining this principle is likely going to be harder for me than it is for you to
understand it.
So prepare yourself to either learn everything there is to know about range merging or to sit back
and watch my teaching skills fly out of the window.
I know, I know, it's impressively confusing on first glance. However, I've got a lot more
explaining to do first so bare with me. I need to go in to some more detail about those
bluffcatchers first...
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Bluffcatcher example.
We are heads up against an opponent on the flop and first to act with 9 T . The flop comes A
9 7 . We bet the size of the pot and our opponent calls.
The turn is A . We check and our opponent checks behind us.
The river is J . We check and our opponent bets the size of the pot. The action is back on us.
We call with our pair of 9s. Our opponent turns over K T for a busted flush draw and we win
the pot.
The aim of range merging is to take advantage of the logic behind what we just did.
1. A player with an elastic hand will make their decision about whether or not to call based
The size of the bet does not affect their decision on whether or not to call.
The elasticity of a hand is determined by how much of an effect your bet size has on your
opponent's decision to call.
Note: For the following examples, assume that we are heads up and the hand has been checked to
the river. In addition, our only options are to either call or fold.
1) An elastic hand.
Our Hand: Q T
Board: A Q 8 5 2
Pot: $10
This is an elastic hand because whether or not we call is influenced by the size of our opponent's
bet. Our decision is flexible and it varies, so it's an elastic hand.
2) An inelastic hand.
Our Hand: T 9
Board: T T 8 4 4
Pot: $10
How much do I mean when I say mostly? If a range is made up of at least 75% elastic or
inelastic hands, you can safely call it an elastic or inelastic range.
We prefer to work with ranges because it's unlikely that you're going to be able to put your
opponent on one specific hand. So it's more useful to determine whether our opponent's range -as opposed to hand -- is elastic or inelastic.
Note: The degree of "elasticity" of a range will vary. Certain ranges can be more elastic or less
elastic than others. In this article I'm looking at the ranges on each end of this scale.
The fastest way is through intuition. If you have a lot of experience with putting opponents on
ranges of hands it will be easy to say I think they have an inelastic range in this spot. It may
not be perfectly accurate and it's not something every player will be able to do, but it is the
quickest method.
Alternatively, you could be more accurate by splitting your opponents range (the one you've
assigned to them) in to elastic hands and inelastic hands. Using hand combinations you could
then work out the percentage of each type of hand in that range. If there are more than 75%
elastic hands, then you could call it an elastic range.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Playing against an inelastic range is easy. All you have to remember is that your opponent
already has a fixed decision in their mind, and your bet size is not going to have any effect on
that decision.
You can easily take advantage of an inelastic range by betting big with your strong hands (as
your opponents will just as happily call a big bet as they would a small bet), and by betting small
with your bluffs if you think your opponent will fold (as your opponents will just as happily fold
to a small bet as they would to a big bet).
A perfect example of exploiting an inelastic range is Zeebo's theorem. The theorem states that
No player is capable of folding a full house on any betting round, regardless of the size of the
bet. So if you're betting half-pot when your opponent could well have a full-house in their
range, you are severely missing out on value.
A rough
diagram to show good and poor bet sizes if your opponent has an inelastic range and you want
them to fold.
If your opponent has an inelastic range and you want them to fold, you should bet small. If you
bet big your are risking more than you need to when a smaller bet will achieve the same result.
The smaller you can bet when you want your opponent to fold their inelastic range -- whilst still
achieving a high fold frequency -- the better.
A rough
diagram to show good and poor bet sizes if your opponent has an inelastic range and you want
them to call.
If your opponent has an inelastic range and you want them to call, you should bet big. If you bet
small you are missing out on value due to the fact that your opponent is just as likely to call a
small bet as they are a big bet.
The bigger you can bet when you want your opponent to call with their inelastic range -- whilst
still achieving a high call frequency -- the better.
Note: Not all inelastic ranges are going to either call or fold 100% of the time for any bet size.
I've accounted for this with the grey areas at the extremes of each diagram above.
1) If our opponent has a strong hand like top pair or better, they are going to comfortably call any
size bet on this flop. For the most part, they are going to be just as happy to call a pot-size bet as
they would be to call a half-pot size bet.
2) Any other hand on this flop would be considered weak. If our opponent has any other hand
like a pair of 2s or a low pocket pair (these are the at the top of their "weak range"), they cannot
comfortably call a bet. They are equally as likely to fold to a half-pot bet as they would to a potsize bet.
There are virtually no hands in our opponent's range on this flop that will call a half-pot bet, but
fold to a pot-size bet.
If we plan on making a continuation bet bluff with a hand like AK, we should bet small -- around
$6. A half-pot size bet will achieve the same result as a pot-size bet, so we should bet small to
minimize our losses when our opponent does have a hand worth calling with.
If you have a good hand, you should bet small enough so that worse hands than yours can
call (for thin value).
If you have a weak hand and you think your opponent will fold, you should bet just big
enough so that stronger hands will fold.
If you know that your opponent has an elastic range, you should vary your bet sizes depending
on what you want to achieve. If you want to entice your opponent to call, you should lean toward
betting a small amount. If you want your opponent to fold, you should look toward betting big.
Playing against an elastic range is a lot more difficult than playing against an inelastic range.
Against an elastic range you need to tailor your bet sizes appropriately, which requires more skill
than simply choosing either end of the scale (i.e. bet big or bet small) as you would against an
inelastic range.
You have
to tailor your bet sizes when playing against an elastic range if you to get the most value.
If you have a decent hand and your opponent has an elastic calling range, you want to size your
bet so that only worse hands will call.
If you size your bet too big, you will only get calls from hands that are better than yours. If you
size your bet too small, you will miss out on value from hands that are only slightly worse than
yours.
Seeing as we want to get value from weaker hands than ours, a big bet ($30) isn't a great option.
If we make a big bet on this turn we are forcing out hands that we would get value from, such
has weaker Jx hands and most draws. Our bet size is only attractive to the parts of our opponent's
range that have us beat, such as two-pair hands or better.
Conversely, if we make a smallish bet ($18 sounds good), we will bet getting calls from the parts
of our opponent's range that we will get value from. More one-pair hands are more likely to call,
and so are flush and straight draws -- which we have good equity against.
Note: I'm sure some of you will be screaming "but don't we want drawing hands to fold?" Not
really, because they are still getting bad pot odds with our $18 bet. They are getting 2.7 to 1,
when they ideally need just over 4 to 1.
If they call with bad pot odds, we profit.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
Inelastic ranges are easy, because it's mostly about betting big and maximizing value when you
have a good hand. Elastic ranges are trickier, because you have to tailor your bet sizes to extract
as much value as possible, whilst not betting so much that only better hands will call.
As a beginner player, understanding and being able to take advantage of inelastic ranges is the
most valuable thing you could take from this article. Exploiting elastic ranges is something that
takes a lot of skill in an attempt to gain smaller profits, and is something that experienced players
will want to work on refining.
Pocket kings are the second best starting hand in Texas Holdem. There is no other starting hand
in hold'em except pocket aces that are stronger pre-flop. However, just like "pocket rockets", the
"cowboys" can also get you into trouble at the tables.
Pocket Kings have one fundamental flaw when compared to pocket aces: the possibility of an
opponent making a higher pair. Nonetheless, this quick guide on how to play pocket kings
should help you make the most of them in any hand...
Post-flop play with pocket kings can be sub divided into two situations.
1. A flop without an ace
2. A flop with an ace
Even if the flop looks pretty safe and doesn't offer up any obvious draws, I am still going to be
betting and raising strongly to avoid letting other players catch up and make two pair or better. In
addition, you don't build a big pot by checking and calling, so grab the bull by the horns and start
playing some aggressive poker. If your opponents immediately fold, it's no big loss, as it would
never have developed into a big pot at any stage of the hand anyway.
Don't be afraid to bet with an overpair like pocket kings. You don't win big pots by playing
passively.
As a general rule of thumb, bet strongly and avoid slowplaying your hand. You don't want to
give opponents the opportunity to catch up and take a big pot away from you.
Looking down and seeing the bullets' is one of the highlights of Texas Hold'em. Pocket aces is
the #1 starting hand in Hold'em; however, this is where people make the first mistake.
Pocket aces are by no means invincible, and if they are not played with caution you stand to lose
a big pot. So allow this quick guide to help you learn how to play pocket aces profitably the
next time you pick those bad boys up.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
9 times out of 10 the person making this move has a monster starting hand. Therefore you should
more often than not raise when holding pocket aces, it lets your opponents know that you have a
big hand but not how big, and it helps to define your opponents hands if they call.
Do not slowplay.
Try not to get too attached to the hand.
It must be stressed that aces are definitely not a hand to be slowplayed. Many amateurs fall into
this bad habit because they are the #1 starting hand. But this is only before the flop. After the
flop it is a different matter, if you don't hit a set just remember... all you have is one pair.
You should always be thinking, "Okay, what could my opponent have that would beat me?" and
try to figure out whether he has that type of hand. If you try and slowplay your hand to the end,
do you think your opponent is going to call a large bet or an all-in with ace high or a pair?
Because those are the only hands you will be beating at the end. If your opponent does call, its
goodbye to your stack as very few are going to call with anything less that two-pair.
Aces are not a hand to be slow played. The ideal situation is to be all in on the flop against your
opponents. However this is not going to be likely, especially in a cash game. The second best
situation is to use the tactics mentioned above by minimizing the number of opponents and
getting money into the pot by betting and even raising.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
But remember, with pocket Aces you only have one pair, so be prepared to let them go when
facing a lot of action. The ability to lay down strong hands what makes the difference between
good and great players.
Small pocket pairs range from 22 to 66, where any other higher pair would be considered to be
a medium or high pocket pair. These low pairs are deceptively strong, and will often land novice
players in a lot of trouble if they are over-valued.
A small pocket pair is usually regarded as a pair between 22 and 66.
A small pocket pair is ahead of the majority of other hands pre-flop as long as an opponent does
not hold a higher pocket pair. However, post flop play can be incredibly tricky if our hand does
not improve.
So lets find out how to play small pocket pairs...
When holding a small pocket pair, there is a very high chance that the flop will bring over cards.
This will then give us an underpair to the board, and it is going to be very difficult to try and find
out whether or not we are ahead.
If we make a bet and get called, this gives us little information in whether or not our hand is
ahead. Our opponent may have a higher pair, a drawing hand, a lower pair or any other possible
hand. The simple bet and call does not tell us a lot about what our opponent is holding, and it
will prove to be costly to try and find out if we are ahead by betting on the turn and river.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
their money to sets if they catch a decent part of the flop, because they very rarely suspect that
their opponent has one.
Ace-King, especially when suited, is a very strong starting hand in No-Limit Holdem Poker.
However, unless you connect with the board you will have only an ace-high hand to show down
at the end. This makes playing ace-king problematic in some circumstances.
This article will look at some of the important no-limit Holdem strategy considerations when
playing ace-king. These include your stack size, position at the table and the tendencies of
opponents who are already in the pot, and those yet to act.
before the flop with this hand. This is common in tournament situations and has two possible
outcomes both of which are positive.
If you are up against small stacks, you should try and get all-in before the flop with ace king.
Either the pre-flop raiser (plus any caller) folds allowing you to take a good sized pot. Or if you
are called for example by a pair lower than Kings you get to see all 5 board cards to improve
your hand. This means you are only a little under 50% to win the hand your pot equity will also
be increased when there is blind money or a 3rd player who entered the pot then folded to your
re-raise.
When you have a deep stack holding ace-king a pre-flop re-raise can give you valuable
information on your opponent's hand. For example an opponent raises 3 times the big blind from
middle position and you re-raise a total of 8 or 9 blinds from the button. When you're opponent is
holding the hands you really fear pocket aces or kings he is likely to put in a re-raise here.
Be wary of 3-bets when you are deep stacked after making a re-raise with ace-king. This could
very well mean that your opponent holds aces or kings.
However, pairs QQ and below and other ace-high hands are more likely to call. Not only have
you defined your opponents hand, you have taken control of the hand before the flop putting
you in a position to take the pot away fairly often those times that you do miss the flop.
Player tendencies.
The tendencies of specific players, and indeed the table dynamic as a whole, will also affect the
way that you play ace-king. Before the flop you may raise to isolate a particularly weak player
seated to your right. However when a 'rock' in the same seat has entered the pot a flat call may be
the best strategy as such an opponent is more likely to tell you whether they liked the flop with
their post-flop betting patterns.
Another opponent specific move occurs at a 'wild table' here you can flat call a raise from early
position in the hope that a wild player later in the betting will re-raise, you can then push all-in
over the top representing aces or kings. When called you still have very good equity against the
wild player's range in addition to the overlay of the dead money in the pot. Since ace-king does
not play well in a multi-way pot caution is required with this move you need to be sure that an
opponent will re-raise ahead most of the time.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
When the betting gets heavy ahead of you a good rule of thumb for playing ace-king, especially
when not too deep stacked, is to be the player making the all-in bet and not the one calling this.
Ace-king is almost 50% to win against pairs Q-Q and below and 30% to win against pocket
Kings. However, when you are the player making the last big bet you have the added benefit of
fold-equity. The chance that you're opponent may fold increasing the profit from playing this
hand considerably.
super-tight and will only ever re-raise with aces, kings or ace-king then you can work out the
probability of each using card distribution.
Here there are 16 possible ways of being dealt ace-king before the flop and 6 ways each of being
dealt either pair. The probability of this opponent holding aces or kings is this approximately
43% with Ace-King at 57%. Of course you are either a small favorite or a big underdog in this
situation whether to see the flop will depend on the likelihood of your opponent folding those
times when he has Ace-King and neither of these cards appear.
Against a looser opponent there is a greater likelihood that your hand is the best before the flop,
even when re-raised. In fact against a habitual re-raiser you may in a position where you have a
dominating hand for example against Ace-Queen or a pair of Jacks.
Using position.
In this case your position at the table and effective stacks will have a bigger influence on your
strategy than card distribution. If the loose raiser is to your immediate right then a re-raise is
usually appropriate. This will prevent additional callers and ensure that you are playing the pot
heads-up in position. Calling a raise and then seeing 2 or 3 more people enter the pot can easily
ruin the strength of your hand if an ace falls on the flop it is very likely to have hit someone
who called the raise and you may have to fold.
If you re-raised in position an ace or king falling on the flop may not be a disaster for your hand.
You will have an opportunity to see your opponent act before you do on the flop and a
reasonable size continuation bet may well take the pot on the flop. In these circumstances a small
bet from your (out of position) opponent can often indicate weakness, a probe to gather
information about your hand. Here you should generally re-raise, planning to fold to an all-in
check-raise or re-raise against all but the worst opponents.
A tricky spot.
A difficult situation often arises when you are dealt a pair of queens in early position at a full
table. Here a raise is the default play, yet a loose table could see 2, 3 or even more callers before
the flop. In this case your judgment of the meaning of the bets of your opponents becomes the
critical factor particularly as you will not close the betting action after the flop.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
A raise and even a re-raise in this situation is the better play than checking and calling an
opponent's bet when your queens are an over-pair to the board. The presence of draws on the
board will also allow you to narrow your opponent's holdings. On a dry flop' such as 2-7-J any
opponent who is willing to get all in needs to be assessed carefully would this particular player
only 3-bet with a set or are they the kind of player who thinks that their ace-jack holding is good
here?
The definition of holding a 'rag ace' or an 'ace-rag' is being dealt an ace with another card lower
than a ten. So the following hands can be regarded as 'rag aces': A9 A8 A7 A6 A5 A4 A3 A2.
It could be argued the range, in which the term rag ace incorporates, is smaller or greater than the
one shown. For example some would say that a rag ace ranges from A2 to A6, but in my opinion
the best way to determine an ace rag is in the range A2 to A9.
In a nutshell, a rag ace is an ace with a low kicker.
As highlighted in bold, the key idea to remember with rag aces is that they are not designed to
win big pots, and if you happen to make that two pair, it is actually going to be a losing play in
the long run. Just think about it. If a player raises you with his AQ and you call with you A6 to
see a flop, who do you think will be coming out on top the majority of the time? Hopefully this
has drilled into you that you should get away from rag aces as often as you can save yourself
some money at the table.
There are no tips or rules to know whether or not he does; you simply have to have a good
understanding of your opponent and the way they play.
It is a very common situation to be in when playing in the game of Texas Holdem... having a
potentially strong hand that needs another certain card to complete it. This is known as a
drawing hand, as you are drawing to a specific card or a specific type of card.
These types of hands can be very difficult to play, especially if you are facing bets and raises and
need to decide whether or not to call. However, by the end of this article you should be fully
aware of how to play drawing hands, and know when to fold and when to call when facing a
bet.
The most common drawing hands are flush draws and straight draws. When playing a drawing
hand we have to evaluate how likely it is that we will complete our hand by the next card. We
can do this by looking at the number of outs that we have.
There will be a few numbers involved in the next part of this article, but bear with me, its not as
difficult as it might appear on first impression!
Now if we put these figures into a ratio of cards we want against cards we do, we get 38:9. If we
simplify this ratio using basic mathematics, we get a new easier to use ratio of roughly 4:1. Now
this figure means that for every 4 times we do not make our hand on the turn, 1 time we will, and
that is all that we need to know for the time being.
Now we know that we know that the odds of making our hand (and thus winning the pot) are 4:1,
we can use these odds to determine whether or not to call a bet or raise. When facing a bet, we
have to compare the size of the bet to the size of the pot; this will give us our pot odds.
This article discussed the methods of playing draws passively, to try and see the next card as
cheaply as possible. Read my article on playing drawing hands aggressively for alternative
profitable methods of playing drawing hands.
In my previous article on playing drawing hands, I discussed how to work out whether or not to
call a bet or raise depending on the type of drawing hand we had along with the size of the bet or
raise in relation to the size of the pot.
The general idea throughout the article was to check and call to try and make our flush, straight
or any other drawing hand as cheaply as possible. This alone is a profitable way to play poker if
we use it correctly, however, there are alternate methods of playing drawing hands that could
potentially be more profitable...
This is an ideal situation that has arisen from a simple aggressive bet on the flop. Even though
the semi-bluff did not work, we are still priced in to continue with the hand. If we did not make
the bet on the flop and checked, our opponent may have come out betting around $20 or more
into the pot himself, which would have given us the wrong pot odds (3:1) to try and make our
hand, forcing us to fold.
Although this looks like a perfect situation, it does appear quite often in numerous circumstances
where you can influence the amount your opponent will bet to keep the pot odds in your favour.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Even if in the above example we went on to check the turn if we didnt make our flush, our
opponent may well still be scared about the strength of our hand and bet a small amount into the
pot, which would again give us the correct odds to call. Because the pot is much larger, our
opponent will be making a much bigger mistake by giving us the correct odds, and thus we will
be profiting more from the hand in the long run from their bad play.
Pot Odds
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Mathematics > Pot Odds
7
Pot Odds Stuff: Pot Odds : The Rule of 4 and 2 : Pot Odds Examples
Learning how to use pot odds puts an incredibly useful weapon in your poker arsenal.
Knowledge of this basic concept is fundamental in determining whether or not you will become
a winning or losing poker player.
This guide aims to explain how pot odds work and how to effectively incorporate them into your
game. It shouldn't take more than 10 minutes to read this guide from start to finish, which is
pretty good considering it could be saving (and winning) you more money for the rest of your
poker career.
Therefore when you are on a flush or straight draw, you will be able to work out whether or not
to call or fold depending on the size of the bet you are facing by making use of pot odds. Pretty
handy really.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
A familiar situation you will find yourself in Texas Hold'em is holding 2 cards of the same suit
with another 2 cards of that suit on the flop. In poker this is called a flush draw or sometimes
referred to as a four flush. We will use this as an example in learning the use of pot odds.
1) Ratio Method.
The majority of books and forums will put pot odds in the ratio format, so it's definitely worth
while getting used to this method of calculating and working with pot odds.
You Hold:
Flop:
Now say there are two people left in the pot, you and your opponent. There is $80 in the pot and
your opponent bets $20. What should you do?
There are 5 cards in this hand that we know, our 2 holecards and the 3 cards on the flop.
This leaves us with 47 cards in the deck that we do not know.
Out of those 47, there are 9 cards that will make our flush and 38 that will not.
Our opponent has bet $20 into an $80 pot making it $100.
This means we have to call $20 to stand a chance of winning $100.
This makes our odds $100:$20 which works out to equal 5:1 pot odds.
So...
Card Odds: 4:1
Pot Odds: 5:1
This means that we should call as the odds we are getting from the pot are bigger than the odds
that we will hit our flush on the next card. In the long run we will be winning more money than
we are losing.
Remember! You should only call if the pot odds are greater than the 'card odds' (probability of
completing your draw).
If finding the card odds by working them out in your head is too time consuming (which most
beginners will) . You can find them more quickly by using odds charts. These are handy if you
print them out and stick them next to your computer and refer to them the next time you end up
with a draw.
Try SPOC if you're just starting out. It's a very handy tool for helping you work out pot odds
during play.
2) Percentage Method.
The percentage method was easier for me to get to grips with when I first starting learning pot
odds. Unfortunately, it is not as widely used as the ratio method.
For the percentage method I will use an example with a straight draw.
You Hold:
Flop:
This time your opponent bets $30 making the pot $90 in total. We will find out whether or not to
call by finding out the pot odds in percentages.
Our opponent has bet $30 making the pot $90. This means we have to call $30 to stand a chance
of winning $120.
As you can see we have to add our own bet that we will call onto the size of the pot to find the
total pot size. This part is very important, as finding the percentage of $30 in a $90 pot will give
a very different result that the percentage of $30 in a $120 pot. Using basic mathematics we
know that $30 is 25% of the $120.
So...
Card Odds: 17%
Pot Odds: 25%
As we have already found out we have 17% chance of making the straight on the next card,
which means that we should only call 17% of what is in the pot. Therefore because we are being
forced to call 25% to play on we should fold. We would be losing money in the long run if we
called.
Remember! You should only call if the percentage chance of making your hand is greater than
the percentage of the pot you have to call.
The percentage card odds can also be found in odds charts if you find it easier to use them
instead of work them out. These are useful as a guide as you start incorporating pot odds into
your game, or if you have trouble working out the odds in the short space of time you are given
to make decisions whilst playing online.
Try playing flush and straight draws for an alternative explanation of using pot odds in poker.
Question: Why are we working out the odds for the next
card only if there are two cards to come?
Good question. If we are on the flop with a flush draw, our odds of making the best hand on the
turn are roughly 4 to 1 or 20%. However, seeing as we are on the flop there are indeed 2 more
cards to come (and not just the 1), shouldn't the "card odds" be more like 2 to 1 or 40%?
The answer.
Generally, no. This is one of the biggest mistakes players make when using pot odds.
The explanation.
When you work out your pot odds, you are comparing the pot odds for the current size of the pot
(and bet) to the chances of making your draw on the next card. If you work using the odds of
making your draw over the next two cards, you need to factor in any extra money that you will
have to pay on the turn also.
Seeing as it's incredibly unlikely that we're going to accurately guess how much more money we
might have to pay on the turn, it's far easier and infinitely more reliable to take it one card at a
time. This way, you won't end up paying more money than you should for your drawing hands
when on the flop.
The only time that you should ever use the odds for making the best hand over the next two cards
combined (e.g. using 2 to 1 odds instead of 4 to 1 odds for a flush draw) is when your only
opponent in all-in on the flop. In this instance, you can guarantee that you won't face another bet
on the turn, as your opponent has no more money to bet.
I briefly mention this stuff on my percentage odds chart and my ratio odds chart. There is also an
explanation in my article on the rule of 4 and 2 for pot odds. It's obviously a very common
mistake!
Implied Odds
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Mathematics > Implied Odds
1
I like to think that I explain implied odds a little better in the guide section. Try basic
implied odds.
Implied odds are an extension of pot odds that help you decide whether or not a drawing hand is
worth calling in the face of a raise. Essentially, the implied odds of a hand tell you how much
you expect to win after you make your draw.
If you expect to win a lot more money from your opponent after you make your draw,
you have good implied odds.
If you anticipate that you will not be able to get any more money out of your opponent on
future rounds, then you have little or no implied odds.
Implied odds indicate the amount of money that you expect to win after completing your draw.
Flop:
In this hand you have an open ended straight draw. If your opponent bets into you, then you have
good implied odds because if you make your straight, it is likely that you will be able to extract
more money from your opponent on later rounds of betting. This is because your opponent will
not easily be able to estimate the strength of your hand.
Flop:
Once again you have an open ended straight draw. However your implied odds are far worse in
this situation because if you do make your straight when the Ace or 9 comes, the board will be
very scary for your opponent as the board could easily (and obviously) make somebody the
straight. There is little chance that you will get much more money out of your opponents unless
they have the straight also.
In general, the more disguised your hand is, the better your implied odds are.
If you have good implied odds, you can afford to call without correct pot odds.
If you have little or no implied odds, you should stick to the pot odds.
Odds of completing our draw: 4.2:1 (see the ratio odds chart).
Pot odds: 2:1.
So our required implied odds ratio is 2.2:1. If we multiply this 2.2 figure by the $10 bet we have
to call we get $22.
Therefore, to make calling the $10 bet with our flush draw a break-even play at worst, we need
to extract $22 from our opponent during the remainder of the hand.
Sklansky Dollars
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Mathematics > Sklansky Dollars
1
Imaginary Money: Sklansky Dollars : G-Bucks
Sklansky dollars (or Sklansky bucks) is a mathematical concept coined by the clearly veryhumble David Sklansky.
The origin of this concept is a bit of a mystery, although I'm sure it's from one of Sklansky's
books. Either way, it's a very well-known concept that highlights how much money you expect
to win on average from calling all-ins in Texas Holdem.
Sounds a little complicated, but it's really not all that bad. The best way to explain this concept is
through an example.
Steps 1 and 2 are the main components. Step 3 is just an additional one that gives us a number
that can be worked with in other calculations.
1) Find our equity in the hand when all the money went in to the middle.
Using PokerStove we find that we have 87.9% equity in the hand with A A against A K
preflop. Easy enough.
Just remember that Sklansky dollars are not real - it's just a $ representation of how much money
you expect to win from a pot on average based on your equity in the hand at that point.
Real dollars tell you how much money you have won or lost in the present, whereas Sklansky
dollars tell you how much you have won or lost in the grand scheme of things in poker.
This tool will basically show you how "lucky" you have been.
If you have been unlucky, your Sklansky dollars will be greater than your real money
earnings.
If you have been getting lucky in all-in situations, your Sklansky dollars will be lower
than your real dollar earnings.
loss and nothing more. A good player will see the same hand as a great play that will win a lot of
money over the long run, regardless of the short term results.
Every time your opponent makes a mistake, you win Sklansky dollars.
Every time you make a mistake, you lose Sklansky dollars.
Nothing really groundbreaking here, but it just goes to show that in a perfect game of poker with
no variance, you would win money by making correct plays (as opposed to making mistakes) if
you were able to see your opponent's cards.
As a regular cash game or tournament player, it is important that you are familiar with the
mathematics of poker.
This involves working out the odds of each situation so that you can determine what the most
profitable action will be. A good player will be able to take into account their pot odds, implied
odds and even their reverse-implied odds when calculating their next action.
However, with all these calculations taking place, there are a few simple errors that can be made
when trying to work out the correct odds in each situation. The top 3 common mistakes I see are:
1. Miscalculating the odds of draws.
2. Miscalculating percentage odds.
3. Misunderstanding the difference between ratios and probability.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
For example, if we are on the flop with a flush draw and our opponents bet $40 making the pot
$120, we are getting 3:1 odds from the pot. Therefore this appears to make a call with 2:1 odds
of completing our hand profitable. However, we dont complete our hand on the turn and our
opponent now bets $80 into the $160 pot, again giving us 3:1 odds.
The fact that our opponent has bet again has reduced our pot odds so much that it has made our
call on the flop unprofitable. This is because if we now call the bet on the turn, we would have
effectively paid $120 into what became a $200 pot, which changes our pot odds to 1.7:1.
Therefore by using the incorrect 2:1 odds on the flop we have made an incorrect call, and we
would be losing money in the long run by making this play. However, if we had used the correct
odds of making our hand by the next card instead of the final card, which are 4:1, we could have
folded knowing that we had the wrong odds to play on and saved ourselves some money.
This mistake is far less of a problem, as you will rarely ever be required to mix odds and
probabilities at the table when working out draws. However, it is useful to be aware of the
differences in them. For example, having 1 in 4 odds of completing a draw is slightly different to
having 4:1 ratio odds of completing a draw.
Ratio and probability figures in poker are different. A 4:1 ratio is not the same as a 1 in 4
fraction.
1 in 4. For every 4 times an event takes place, you will have the result you are after 1
time (out of those 4 trials).
4 to 1. For every 5 times an event takes place, you will have the result you are after 1
time and the unwanted result 4 times (so 5 trials in total).
The 1 in 4 odds takes place over 4 trials, where you will obtain the wanted outcome once and an
unwanted outcome 3 times. Whereas in the 4:1 ratio odds, there are 5 trials, where you will
obtain the expected outcome once, and an unwanted outcome 4 times.
As you can see, you have to add the ratio together to find the total number of trials, whereas the
total number of trials is already given to you in the fraction format. Below is a simple table to
help illustrate the differences between this particular set of odds.
4 to 1
1 in 4
Wanted
1
1
Unwanted
4
3
# Trials
5
4
Expected Value (EV) is a term you will come across again and again in forums and in poker
strategy articles. In this guide I will explain exactly what expected value is and why it is
important when it comes to making decisions at the table.
Although somewhat similar, try not to get expected value confused with equity. If you are getting
confused between the two, read the article on the difference between equity and EV.
+EV - This is a positive expectation play that will win money over the long run.
-EV - This is a negative expectation play that will lose money over the long run.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
A friend offers to pay you $1.50 every time she flips a coin and it lands on tails.
However, every time it lands on heads you have to pay her $1.
What is the expected value of each and every coin flip? How much do we expect to win or lose
on each individual flip? Is it a profitable game for us?
To work out our expected value for this game, we need to look at the results of each possible
outcome and their probability of happening.
If it's a fair coin, the probability of it landing on heads is 0.5, or 1 in 2. All we have to do now is
multiply these outcomes (the amount we win in each possible outcome) by their probability and
add them together to find the EV for each coin flip.
= (-0.5) + (0.75)
= $0.25 EV
This means that every time we flip a coin in this game we are winning $0.25 on average. Over 2
flips we should win $1.50 once and lose $1 once, given us a net profit of $0.5 over 2 flips.
Therefore, over 1 flip this works out to earn us $0.25 on average.
It doesn't make a difference if we lose 10 flips in a row, because over the long run this will
remain as a profitable game (unless our good lady friend has decided to cheat us in some way of
course). There will be variance, but over a big enough number of trials the amount we have won
should be very close to our expected value for those trials.
The probability of hitting a flush on the river is 4.1 to 1, which is roughly 20% chance or 0.2.
Therefore, the odds of not hitting a flush will be 1 - 0.2 = 0.8. I used the outs odds charts for
these particular odds.
Also, notice how we are looking to win $150 and only lose $50 in each outcome. We are only
going to lose $50 because that is how much we are paying to try and hit our flush in this single
decision. We are not factoring in money that we have put in to the pot in previous betting rounds.
We just take the facts from this decision alone.
= ($30) + (-$40)
= -$10 EV
This means that every time we call this bet to try and hit our flush, we are losing $10 on
average. Therefore this is a -EV play and we should fold instead of call.
If you're familiar with the REM process, the maximize section is all about maximizing value
from your hands, which is a key component to making money from poker.
Fold Equity
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Mathematics > Equity > Fold Equity
0
In this article I will cover the basics of fold equity and how it makes semi-bluffs profitable. It's a
fairly simple concept though, so don't be too nervous about it.
If you don't know what equity is just yet, read up on the poker equity article before reading this
one.
If we think it is unlikely that our opponent will fold to our bet, we have little fold equity.
If we do not think our opponent will fold to our bet, we have no fold equity.
Flop: Q K 2
Our hand: 9 T - 42.4% equity.
Opponent's hand: K J - 57.6% equity.
I worked out the equity of each of these hands using PokerStove. Get it already.
Our opponent is first to act and bets in to us. However, we are a little short stacked and believe
that if we push all-in there is a 50% chance that our opponent will fold. Without even having to
work this out we can already guess that this is going to be a profitable play over the long run, but
lets do the math anyway.
Fold equity = (chance our opponent will fold) * (opponent's equity in the hand).
Fold equity = (0.5) * (57.4).
So every time we shove all-in with our drawing hand we will have 71.2% equity in the hand on
average. Therefore, whereas calling to complete our draw would be unprofitable with our 42.4%
equity, the addition of fold equity in the hand makes our shove a profitable play over the long
run.
Whether a pure bluff is profitable or not almost completely depends on fold equity. This is
because if you have no equity in the hand based on the strength of your cards, you are relying on
fold equity alone to make the bluff profitable. For example:
Board: Q K 2 8 2
Our hand: 9 T - 0% equity.
Opponent's hand: K J - 100% equity.
Unless you believe that your opponent is folding at least 50% of the time, your bluff is not going
to be profitable. Your fold equity = total equity here (current equity = 0%), so if it's less than
50% you will be losing more money than you win over the long run.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
Pot equity (or just "Poker equity") is a mathematical application to poker that helps to explain
why you should bet or check in certain situations.
A great example of a free (and very useful) equity calculator is PokerStove. Try it.
Learning how to calculate expected value in poker can seem like a daunting task. It's one of
those topics that you put off learning, simply because it always seems a little too tricky to try and
get your head around. But to be honest, when you see equations like this
Let's run through an actual example, and I'll explain each step as we go along.
Tidying up step 2.
Win/loss = +$15
Probability = 57%
Win/loss = -$6
Remember how we've already put these outcomes as separate boxes? Well, let's fill these boxes
with this new information.
So, still using these boxes, our equation looks like this:
Finally, add them all together and we get the answer to our EV calculation:
So the EV of calling with AK is +$3.03. Every time we make this call, we win $3.03 on average.
Therefore, calling -- as opposed to folding (we make $0 by folding)-- is the correct play.
This amount of money could also be referred to as $3.03 Sklansky Bucks.
It doesn't feel very mathematical using all those boxes though. How can we show it in a more
"mathematical-looking" way?
Answer: Just replace the boxes with brackets, like this:
EV =
(0.43 x $15) + (0.57 x -$6)
EV = ($6.45) + (-$3.42)
EV = +$3.03
Note: Notice how we only had 43% chance to win the hand (or 43% "equity"), yet calling is still
+EV? That's all thanks to the good pot odds we are getting when our opponent bets all-in for $6
in to a $9 pot on the flop.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
Final thoughts.
I hope that nobody feels patronised by my box method for working out EV in poker. It's just
that ever since I started thinking about expected value calculations in terms of chunks or
boxes, it all became much easier. It may not be for everyone, but if this box method for
calculating expected value works for you, then I'm glad to have shared it.
This method is also easily extensible. If there is a situation where there are more than 2
outcomes, just add more boxes. The boxes are just there to split everything up and make EV
calculations easier to digest.
In all honesty, the only difficult thing about calculating expected value is the notation. The actual
method is surprisingly straightforward, and my primary hope is that this article has helped to
highlight that fact.
Reverse implied odds are the opposite of implied odds. With implied odds you estimate how
much you expect to win after making a draw, but with reverse implied odds you estimate how
much you expect to lose if you complete your draw but your opponent still holds a better hand.
Reverse implied odds are how much you could expect to lose after hitting your draw.
If you find yourself on a draw, you can work out your pot odds to see whether or not a call would
be a profitable play in the long run. If you do not have the pot odds to call, you can estimate your
implied odds to gauge whether or not a call would still be profitable.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Now if you believe you have the implied odds to call a bet, you should also estimate your reverse
implied odds to weigh out whether or not you should still call to make your draw. Although this
may sound complicated, it really isn'tt too difficult to understand and there are many situations
in which you should be aware of your reverse implied odds.
If a 4 or 9 comes, you will have made your straight, but then this also makes a
possible flush for another player.
In addition, any 9 makes a higher straight a possibility, which will again beat your
straight.
In this situation we have reverse implied odds because if we make our draw, there is a
possibility that one of our opponents will make a better hand than ours. Therefore if we make our
straight and our opponent makes a hand like a flush, we will be losing money to them from
calling down their bets with our second best hand.
If we do not have the pot odds to call the initial raisers bet, we should be folding our hand
because the reverse implied odds are outweighing any implied odds that we do have. This will be
saving us from losing more money in the long run from chasing after draws that may well not
end up being the best hand when they are completed.
Evaluation.
Reverse implied odds are not there to scare you out of calling bets to make draws, but more to
make you aware that you stand to lose money if you are calling to complete a weak draw. If there
are many players in a pot you should be especially sure that your draw is strong enough to hold
up against other players in the pot that might also be calling to make their draws.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
So if you are on a 9 high flush draw on the flop and there have already been a number of callers
in front of you, you have to evaluate whether you think this draw is worth calling for, as there is
a good chance that another player is on a higher flush draw than you.
G Bucks
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Mathematics > G-Bucks
0
Imaginary Money: Sklansky Dollars : G-Bucks
G-bucks (Galfond Dollars, Gbucks, G Bucks) is a very important concept that expands upon
the concept of Sklansky Dollars when evaluating the expected value of tough decisions in no
limit Holdem.
The term G-bucks was coined by Phil Galfond (OMGClayAiken) in his article on
conceptualizing money matters. Its a great article, but its also a very long-winded one. In this
article I will attempt to condense the theory behind G bucks in to an easier to digest morsel of
delicious Holdem strategy. Tasty stuff.
So instead of comparing your hand and your opponents hand, with G bucks you compare your
hand with your opponents range of hands. By doing this you can then go on to more
effectively work out how much money you will win or lose when calling in certain situations
based on your opponents range.
you can.
2. Plug your hand and your opponents range in to PokerStove to work out your equity in
the hand.
3. Multiply the pot size by your % equity in the hand to work out how much money you
expect to win on average.
The original article uses a more complicated method for working out the equities of a hand
versus a range. However, when you have equity calculators like PokerStove at your disposal
there is no need to take the longer route to the same place, especially if youre lazy.
After finding your equity against your range you just find the percentage equity of the pot that
you expect to win, just like you did with Sklansky dollars. The key (and most difficult) part of
the whole process is putting your opponent on an accurate range.
As I said, the concept and method for working out G bucks really isnt that difficult at all.
Nonetheless theres no harm in dishing out a few examples to really drive the concept home.
G bucks example 1.
Youre in a home cash game with a few friends, and as with any home game the majority of
them are pretty bad players and/or are fairly drunk. Stacks are $100 with blinds $0.5/$1.
Youre in the BB with AQo. Your old friend Mike from MP pushes all in and it folds around to
you. You know that Mike for whatever reason will always push all-in with any two broadway
cards and any pocket pair. He likes to gamble.
You have a think for a moment and finally decide to make the call, making the pot $201 in total.
Low and behold, Mike turns over AA as standard and the board brings no help at all, so you lose
the $201 pot. Was this a bad call given Mikes range? Surely not.
Hand ranges.
Our hand: AQo
We find that our equity with AQo against Mikes pushing range is 55.1%, which obviously
means that we have the edge in the long run.
So according to G bucks, we win $110.75 from the $201 pot on average when we call all-in with
AQ against Mike when he pushes.
G bucks: +$110.75
G bucks example 2.
Youre playing $200NL at Full Tilt and call an $8 raise from the CO with your A Q on the
button. You know for a fact that Villain is a tight-aggressive player that bets his draws and rarely
slowplays. However, he is not a maniac and is generally a half-decent player.
Flop: Q 6 7 - Villain bets $12 in to the $17 pot and you call.
Turn: 3 - Villain bets $35 in to the $41 pot and you call.
River: 3 - The pot is now $111 and villain shoves in his remaining $145. What do you do?
Well firstly, lets give our Villain a range. Before the flop his range is really wide due to the fact
that he is an aggressive player raising from LP. Therefore his range is roughly any pair, any ace,
any suited king, any suited broadway, and a bunch of suited connectors. (I used the rough
guidelines for a 30% PFR in the range article).
Flop: Its a standard cbet and we cant really narrow his range down all that much.
Turn: This is important. On this turn it is very likely that villain would check any 1-pair hands
for pot control. The fact that he double barrels this turn indicates that he either has a strong made
hand like 2-pair or better or is semi-bluffing with a straight or A/K high flush draw.
River: The final river shove does little to modify our villains range, so were left looking at
either a busted draw or a strong made hand. So on a board of Q 6 7 3 3 after villain has
bet on all three rounds, we can assume that villains range consists of roughly:
Axh (except AQh, A7h, A6h), Kxh (except KQh, K7h, K6h) Busted flush draws.
After plugging this range in to PokerStove, we find that our equity against villains range is
62.6%.
Therefore if we call the $145 bet to win a total of $401, on average we will walk away with
$251.03 G bucks for a profit of +$106.03 G bucks ($251.03 - $145) each time. Although the call
seems real risky and we will lose 1 time out of 3, if we are confident about villains range we
stand to make more money over the long run because of G bucks.
The result of this hand does not matter, as making the call is the correct play. Nonetheless, if you
like a happy ending then lets say that villain flipped over A J for a busted nut flush draw.
G bucks evaluation.
Even though this may be the first time youve read about the term G bucks, the chances are
that this particular concept has crossed your mind at some point whilst analyzing hands from
previous sessions.
The concept of G bucks is more practical than Sklansky dollars because you never truly know
the exact two cards that your opponent is holding before you make a call or a fold. Therefore G
bucks are a more accurate way of calculating how good or bad a call was (or will be) over the
long run.
If you have read the original article on G bucks by Phil Galfond you will notice that Galfond
uses the opposite viewpoint by giving our hand a perceived range and our opponent a definite
hand. As you can see I have reversed this approach, but either way both methods work out
perfectly well.
In my article on poker equity, I discussed how you should be betting for value to maximize your
winnings when you feel you have the best hand. Normally, if you hold the best hand at one stage
during the hand, it is typical that your hand stands the best chance of winning after all the cards
have been dealt.
However, in some situations it is possible to hold an unmade hand like a draw, but still have the
best chance of winning. Therefore in these situations you will have high equity in the pot, and it
will make sense to bet for value even if your hand is not yet complete.
Now lets assume that in a similar hand where we hold Q J on a flop of T 9 4 , there are
now two players in the pot instead of one. We know for a fact that opponent A holds 9 4 , and
a second opponent B holds T T . If we run these hands through an odds calculator, it shows
that we are no longer the favourite to win the hand.
The following is the equity each player has in the hand:
Opponent B: T T - 54%
The calculator (PokerStove) now tells us that Opponent B with their set of Tens is currently in
the lead, and is most likely to win the pot after the turn and river cards have been dealt.
Therefore seeing as we are no longer favourite to win, should we be inclined to check and fold to
avoid putting in money with the hand that has the worst potential to win? Not necessarily, as the
presence of the third player in the hand is making a big difference to our chances of making
money from this hand in the long run.
(This is where it gets a little mathsy...)
If our opponents and ourselves continue with the hand and continue to build the pot, each player
will have invested money to create 1/3 of the final pot, or 33%. However, our equity in the pot is
45%, so we would be investing 33% to get on average a return of 45% if we stick with our hand.
Therefore as you can see, if all 3 players move all in at this point we will be getting a good return
on our money.
The fact that we are not favourite to win the hand is irrelevant, because our equity and odds from
all 3 players moving in on the flop means that we will be winning money in the long run. If our
percentage equity is greater than the percentage of the pot we have invested money in, we will be
making a profitable play. Which in essence, is the same principle as pot odds.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
If you ever hold a monster of a draw like an open-ended straight and flush draw, it is likely that
you will have very good equity in the pot and should be looking to invest as much as possible
into it.
Both of these examples work very closely with pot odds to help determine whether or not you
should call in certain situations. Therefore if you would like to know whether or not you should
be folding, calling or raising in the above examples, you should take a look at the article on pot
odds.
As a general rule, if you have more equity in the pot than you are going to invest in it, then you
should be looking to bet and raise as much as possible.
Combinatorics is a big word for something that isn't all that difficult to understand. In this
article, I will go through the basics of working out hand combinations or combos in poker
and give a few examples to help show you why it is useful.
Oh, and as you've probably noticed, combinatorics, hand combinations and combos refer
to the same thing in poker. Don't get confused if they are used interchangeably.
For example:
Using combinatorics, you will be able to quickly work these numbers out and use them to help
you make better decisions based on the probability certain hands appearing.
If you were take a hand like AK and write down all the possible ways you could be dealt this
hand from a deck of cards (e.g. A K , A K , A K etc.), you would find that there are 16
possible combinations.
See all 16 AK hand combinations.
Similarly, if you wrote down all the possible combinations of a pocket pair like JJ (e.g. J J , J
J , J J etc.), you would find that there are just 6 possible combinations.
See all 6 JJ pocket pair hand combinations.
So as you can see from these basic starting hand combinations in poker, you're almost 3 times as
likely to be dealt a non-paired hand like AK than a paired hand. That's pretty interesting in itself,
but you can do a lot more than this
How to work out the total number of hand combinations for an unpaired hand like AK, JT, or
Q3.
Method: Multiply the numbers of available cards for each of the two cards.
Word equation: (1st card available cards) x (2nd card available cards) = total combinations
Example question: If we hold KQ on a KT4 flop, how many possible combinations of AK are
there?
Example answer:
There are 4 Aces and 2 Kings (4 minus the 1 on the flop and the 1 in our hand) available
in the deck.
=4x2
= 8 AK combinations
How to work out the total number of hand combinations for an paired hand like AA, JJ, or 44.
Method: Multiply the number of available cards by the number of available cards minus 1, then
divide by two.
Word equation: [(available cards) x (available cards - 1)] / 2 = total combinations
Example question: How many combinations of TT are there on a KT4 flop?
Example answer:
= 3 TT combinations
Working out the combinations for paired hands looks awkward at first, but it's not that tricky
when you actually try it out. Just find the number of available cards, take 1 away from that
number, multiply those two numbers together then half it.
Note: You'll also notice that this method works for working out the preflop starting hand
combinations mentioned earlier on. For example, if you're working out the number of AK
combinations as a starting hand, there are 4 Aces and 4 Kings available, so 4 x 4 = 16 AK
combinations.
AA = 33%
KK = 33%
AK = 33%
with the two big pairs making up the majority of this 2% 3betting range (roughly 66% in
total).
However, let's look at these hands by comparing the total combinations for each hand:
AA = 6 combinations (21.5%)
KK = 6 combinations (21.5%)
AK = 16 combinations (57%)
A8 = 3 x 3 = 9 combinations
A6 = 3 x 1 = 3 combinations
A2 = 3 x 3 = 9 combinations
22 = (3 x 2) / 2 = 3 combinations
AA = (3 x 2) / 2 = 3 combinations
JJ = (3 x 2) / 2 = 3 combinations
88 = (3 x 2) / 2 = 3 combinations
Total combinations = 42
Combinations you beat = 33 (79%)
Seeing as you have the best hand 79% of the time (or 79% "equity") and the pot odds indicate
that you only need to have the best hand 38% of the time, it makes it +EV to call.
So whereas you might have initially thought that the number of hands we beat compared to the
number of hands we didn't beat was close to 50/50 (making it likely -EV to call), after looking at
the hand combinations we can see that it is actually much closer to 80/20, making calling a
profitable play.
Being able to assign a range to your opponent is good, but understanding the different
likelihoods of the hands within that range is better.
Unpaired hands: Multiply the number of available cards. (e.g. AK on an AT2 flop = [3 x
4] = 12 AK combinations).
Paired hands: Find the number of available cards. Take 1 away from that number,
multiply those two numbers together and divide by 2. (e.g. TT on a AT2 flop = [3 x 2] / 2
= 3 TT combinations).
By working out hand combinations you can gain a much better understanding about opponent's
hand ranges. If you only ever deal in ranges and ignore hand combinations, you are missing out
on useful information.
It's unrealistic to think that you're going to work out all these hand combinations on the fly whilst
you're sat at the table. However, a lot of value comes from simply familiarising yourself with the
varying probabilities of different types of hands for future reference.
For example, after a while you'll start to realise that straight draws are a lot more common than
you think, and that flush draws are far less common than you think. Insights like these will help
you when you're faced with similar decisions in the future.
The next time you're doing some post session analysis, spend some time thinking about
combinatorics and noting down what you find.
If you're more interested in finding out more about combinations in poker only, here are a few
interesting reads:
Also, I'd highly recommend you check out the Mathematics of NL Hold'em Ep. 2 and Ep. 6 by
WiltOnTilt at DeucesCracked for some great video tutorials (and examples) on using hand
combinations in poker.
If you have read Texas Hold'em strategy articles or overheard discussions between poker players,
you may have come across certain combinations of words to describe how someone plays at the
poker table.
The typical playing styles attributed to players are:
Tight-Aggressive (TAG)
Loose-Aggressive (LAG)
Tight-Passive
Loose-Passive
But what exactly does it mean to be Tight, Loose, Aggressive or Passive in Texas Hold'em? And
which playing style is the best?
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
A tight player will play very few hands, and only play premium hands that have a good
chance of winning.
A loose player will play a wide variety of hands and enter numerous pots with both
strong starting hands a few weaker ones.
The more hands a player enters pots with, the "looser" they are.
The second part of each playing style describes how the particular players bet on each betting
round, and this is described as being either "aggressive" or "passive".
An aggressive player will frequently bet or raise and give a lot of action by making
strong bets.
A passive player will be more inclined to check and call, and will rarely bet out or raise
an opponent's bet.
So as you can see, by combining these two sections together with the two descriptions in each,
we can make 4 different playing styles to describe how many hands an opponent plays, and how
they play their hands by the way they bet or check.
This sort of information can be very useful when talking about strategy, as bluffing against a
Loose-Passive player who plays lots of hands and calls frequently, is not going to be as
profitable as making a bluff against a Tight-Aggressive player who only plays the best hands and
will only bet or raise with a strong hand.
Check out the section starting at 24:32 of the Common Full Ring Mistakes pt. 1 video for an
overview of how to beat each of these players types.
should be aware that if you want to maximize your winnings, an aggressive style of play would
allow you to do so rather than a passive style of play.
If I had to rank the playing styles in order of how profitable they can be, I would rank them as
follows:
1. Tight-Aggressive
2. Loose-Aggressive
3. Tight-Passive
4. Loose-Passive.
The top two are interchangeable, as the loose-aggressive playing style can be very profitable for
some. However, the TAG style is best for newer players to the game, as LAG can be a very
dangerous style if you do not know what you are doing.
For more information on playing styles, check out my friend's poker player types article on his
online poker blog. It provides more in-depth explanations of the 4 different player types outlined
above with some real-life examples.
Read books.
Question every play you make.
Use software.
Visit forums.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
Read books.
This may seem very obvious and I am sure many of you reading this article will have read a few
poker books. This is the #1 way in which to expand your knowledge of poker as a new player,
because you will be learning the strategy and theory of what a professional poker player has
learnt in possibly 20+ years of playing the game all in a matter of hours.
You may think of it as a bit of an expense at first, but the knowledge you will gain from them
will be so beneficial that they will have paid for themselves after a few hours at the table (or
even in one hand depending on the stakes you play).
Poker books would be my top recommendation for any new player looking to build a solid
strategy for poker.
In the questions above I have used the word "bet", but this can be substituted for any play such as
check/raise/call etc. Every situation in poker is unique and should be evaluated based on the
information you have received up to that point. By taking time and questioning each move, you
can make better plays in each situation and make more money in the long run.
By not thinking about the play your about to make you not only may be making a bad play, you
will not be improving your game either. How are you going to work out if you made the correct
play or not if you don't analyze every decision?
A thinking poker player is a winning poker player. Trust me on that one.
Deuces Cracked
PokerSavvy Plus
CardRunners
Visit the strategy videos for free videos, or the training sites section for pro training site reviews.
There is also an impressive free training site called PokerTrikz. This is a great place to start if
you are a lower stakes player and just getting started with training videos. TagPoker.co.uk also
has a bunch of really good free HUSNG poker training videos aimed at lower stakes players too.
Visit forums.
There are many forums on the Internet (including the Texas Hold'em forum on this site) with
members that share the same passion for poker as you, therefore these are great places to ask
questions and read other players opinions on the game. But be sure not to take everything you
read as gospel, as many of the members will still be learning the game just like you and simply
offering their interpretation of the way some situations should be played.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
There are no easy ways to becoming a better player, but it is very true that you get out what you
put in. If you put a lot of effort into your game then this will be reflected in an increasing
bankroll. Be sure to be humble in your ability as even the best players will learn something new
from time to time, you may be surprised at just how much you can learn if you try.
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Other > Taking Player Notes
0
Whenever you play poker, it is always important to try and be
aware of your opponents' actions, and what their particular style of play
may be. Especially so in the game of Texas Holdem, it is vital that you
are able to play your opponent and not just your own cards.
Therefore you should always try and take into account how your
opponent plays to help influence every decision you make to help you
choose the most profitable action possible. A simple yet effective way
of remembering an opponents style of play for key moments is taking
notes on them from past experiences at the table.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
I feel a good place to start off is to try and determine what my opponents particular style of play
is. I want to try and find out whether or not they are:
Tight-Aggressive.
Tight-Passive.
Loose-Aggressive.
or Loose-Passive.
This can be done by watching they way they play their hands. This is because this information
can be very important for where you might be forced into a difficult call or fold situation.
For example, if I have a decent hand and I am facing a large bet from my opponent, I am more
likely to call if I know my opponent is Loose-Aggressive rather than Tight-Aggressive.
Therefore I will usually shorten these tags down to TA, TP, LA and LP and stick them at the top
of the note box for quick reference when I want some info on my opponents.
These in my opinion are the most important and profitable factors of my opponents game that I
want to be aware of. There are going to be numerous tidbits that I can pick up on and note down,
but the 5 points above are the ones that are going to help me the most. This is because knowing
these points will help me in a multitude of common situations in the game.
For example, if I know my opponent over-values top pair, I am going to bet like crazy when I am
holding a monster rather than try and slow play and sucker them in. Furthermore, If I know my
opponent pays too much with drawing hands, I am going to bet big when they are drawing to
make them pay dearly and help them make bigger and bigger mistakes by calling.
As you can see, the notes are simple and effective, as they allow me to quickly see what my
opponent is like without having to try and figure out different short-handed codes I have for each
player. I dont often use the coloured tags for my opponents if they are available, as I feel that
the majority of key info will be kept within my notes. However, I will sometimes use 2 colours
like green and red to help signify a very weak player and a very strong player.
Use the colour tags to your advantage, but don't feel obliged to have to use all the different
colours available. Keep it simple.
Poker Winrates
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Other > Poker Winrates
The amount of money you win over a set period of time or hands is known as your "winrate" or
"win rate" (I'm not sure if there is meant to be a gap). In poker, winrate is a very interesting
topic for a lot of players as the higher your winrate the more money you win.
In this article I will talk about the basics of winrates as well as a few other topics to do with
winrates in poker.
bb/100 = The number of big blinds you win per 100 hands.
bb/hour = The number of big blinds you win per hour.
The most commonly used winrate in tracking programs and on forums for no limit
Holdem these days is bb/100.
PokerTracker still uses BB/100, which is twice as much as bb/100, but I'll explain that in a
moment.
So if you have a winrate of 5 bb/100 in $1/$2 NL, you are winning $10 (5 x $2) for every 100
hands you play.
BB/100 = Big Bets per 100 hands. A big bet is 2x the big blind.
ptbb/100 = Poker Tracker Big Blinds per 100 hands. This is the same as BB/100.
So, if you have a winrate of 3 BB/100 or 3 ptbb/100 in a $0.5/$1 NL game, you would be
winning 6 bb/100 or $6 per 100 hands.
The reason why BB/100 and ptbb/100 exist is because of limit Holdem. Big bets are double
the big blind and are used on the later streets in limit Holdem. When PokerTracker first came
out it measured winrates using double the big blind for both limit and no limit games, so to save
confusion the notation "ptbb/100" was used.
If you're a SNG player and want to find out about "winrates" for tournament games, read my
article on poker ROI.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
A winrate above 0 means that you are a winning player and you should be happy about that.
Something crazy like 95% of all online poker players lose money, so be thankful that youre
good enough to be in this elite group. However, I know that youre not going to be satisfied with
a very general answer like that. You want some figures dont you?
5 9 bb/100 = Amazing. This is a very high winrate at any level. Consider moving up.
10+ bb/100 = Immense. Very, very few have a winrate like this. You probably have a
small sample size though.
Once again, these are rough guidelines for good and ridiculously good winrates. If yours is much
higher, then congratulations to you and I hope it remains high. At the end of the day though as
anyone will tell you youre doing a good job if your winrate is above 0bb/100, so be happy
with what you've got.
A graph to show the winrate distribution of online poker players that have played 1,000+ hands
in 2010. Image source: PokerTableRatings.com
The graph of the distribution of player winrates above highlights a few important facts:
Whilst winrates of 4bb/100+ are attainable, very few winning players achieve this kind of
winrate compared to those that have a winrate of less than 4bb/100. So once again, even though
you might have shook your head when I said that any winrate above 0bb/100 is good, this graph
shows just how happy you should be to fall in to that category.
To work out winrates in terms of time, we need to have a rough idea of how many hands we play
in an hour. The rough figures for cash games are as follows:
Turn our bb/100 in to a $/100 winrate by multiplying our winrate by the big blind.
Multiply this by the number of tables you play at a time (if you multi-table).
Multiply our $/X hands by 0.85 or 0.60 (this turns $/X hands in to $/hour) depending on
which game we play.
To get your daily, weekly, monthly win rate and so on, you just multiply your hourly winrate by
the hours you expect to play in a day, week, month and so on.
We could both do with a few examples though couldnt we
$/hour = $5.10
$/day = $7.20
$/month = $2,040
For more on potential earnings, read the article on how much money you can win from online
poker.
Poker Counterfeiting
Counterfeiting in poker is not exactly a strategical concept, but it's something that you should be
aware of and be prepared to deal with whenever it crops up.
Even if you've only played poker for a week, you have more than likely been counterfeited at
least once or twice -- you just didn't know there was a name for it.
So here's an explanation (with examples) of counterfeiting in Texas Hold'em with a quick
guide on what to do if and when it happens.
You have bottom two pair on this turn. Not the strongest hand in the world, but you will usually
be able to get decent value from opponents' top-pair type hands. However, lo and behold, the
river brings the following card:
Your pair of 4s has been made completely redundant thanks to the overpair on the board. The T
on the river has counterfeited your pair of 4s.
Your hand still has the same basic value as before (two pair), but nonetheless your expectation
for the hand has decreased because of your counterfeited pair of 4s.
Why is it bad?
You are forced to use the pair of Ts on the board to make a two-pair hand of Ts and 5s, replacing
your original two-pair of 5s and 4s. You still have that pair of 4s, but it's effectively useless
because there is no such thing as three-pair in Texas Hold'em.
You've lost the advantage that using both of your holecards to make that original two-pair gave
you.
If your opponent had a pair of As on the turn, they will now have a better two-pair hand than you
(As and Ts). In addition, if your opponent has a pocket pair of 66+ they will again have just
made a better two-pair hand than you on the river.
So whereas if you hadn't been counterfeited (the board not pairing) on this river you could have
won a decent amount of money from an opponent with top pair only, you could now easily end
up losing money to a new and better two-pair hand.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
2) Straight counterfeiting.
What a perfect flop; you've just flopped the nut straight. In this sort of situation you can usually
just sit back and think about how you're going to maximize value from the hand. However, the
turn is the following:
That's pretty annoying, because now any other player at the table with any random Ace will have
a straight too, plus you're less likely to get much more action from one-pair or two-pair hands
because the board looks so scary.
Again, you still have the nut straight (so your hand value hasn't changed), but you expect to
make less money from the hand than if the J didn't show up on the turn.
But wait, it can still get worse
so now every single player left in the hand has the nut straight. Your original straight has been
completely counterfeited, as both the Ace and Jack in your hand have been rendered useless.
Why is it bad?
I've pretty much explained the negatives in this hand as we went along. In a nutshell though, the
cards in your hand gave you less of an advantage as you proceeded to be partially counterfeited
on the turn, and then fully counterfeited on the river.
You will now get no value from pairs and sets that your opponents might have held, which could
have resulted in winning a pretty big pot for yourself. Instead, you will just split the pot with the
remaining players in the hand.
Any player with a card higher than a 3 will beat your hand due to them having 4-of-a-kind with a
better kicker.
1. On the turn, any player with a heart (the suit, not the organ) will now beat your 3-high
flush.
2. On the river, any player with a heart still beats your flush, but you now split the pot with
players that do not even have a heart.
In conclusion, being counterfeited isn't something you can control or prevent, but you can
control the way you play afterwards (which is the important part). Counterfeiting situations are a
lot like bad beats, so you should learn to deal with them in the same way.
Poker Variance
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Other > Poker Variance
2
In this article I am going to talk about the basics of variance in poker and how it affects your
game.
There can be a lot of mathematics involved with variance. However, this is largely going to be a
non-mathsy article about variance, which Im sure will be very welcomed by a large number of
you reading this.
What is variance?
Variance is the downswings and upswings involved with playing poker.
Its quite possibly the least technical definition for a term I have ever written, but the ups and
downs of poker when it comes to winning and losing money sums it up rather well.
Variance is the difference between how much money you expect to win on average over the
long run and the results you are seeing in the short term. So for example, if according to your
win rate you expect to win $500 in a month on average but end up losing $1,000 instead, this is
attributed to variance.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Lets say that you are playing heads up against a total maniac that moves all-in on every hand.
Furthermore, by a pure stroke of luck and through the magic of me being able to make examples
up, you are dealt pocket aces 5 times in a row. Obviously, you decide to call all-in 5 times before
the flop too.
Variance in graphs.
get to see how much variance is taking place compared to what this player expects to be winning
in a perfect world.
Click To Enlarge
Over a long enough period of time his actual results will meet up with his expected results, but in
the short term the amount that he wins or loses in the hands of our good friend variance.
For more information on stuff like BB/100 and bb/100, see the article on win rates in poker.
involved in a lot more pots and will be consequently risking more money than your
average tight player. The looser you are and the more risks you take, the greater your
variance will be.
2. The poker game. Omaha has less variance than Holdem because the hands in Omaha
generally have less of an edge against one another when players move all-in (odds of
each hand winning are closer to 60/40 as opposed to something like 75/25). Therefore the
smaller the edges, the less the variance.
3. The betting type. No limit has greater variance than limit poker, where the amount of
money that players can put in to the pot is much smaller in relation to the blinds in limit
games than it is in no limit games. The more money you can risk, the greater the
variance.
4. The game type. Large MTTs will have much more variance than SNGs because you
expect to win far less often. However, when you do win an MTT you receive sudden
large payouts, which obviously results in higher levels of variance.
There are definitely a lot more factors that can affect the variance that you come up against in
your poker career, but these are the most obvious ones and the ones that will have the greatest
influence on the size of your ups and downs.
More information on standard deviation and variance can be found in the Holdem Manager guide
video starting at 6:16. It also gives you a quick example of how to use the ev++ variance
simulator.
This particular article has only covered the general stuff about variance in poker. For a more
math-orientated look at this topic, try the article on calculating variance at AintLuck.com.
The situation.
You've been on a night out with a couple of friends; had a good time and a "couple" of drinks,
and now you're back home thinking about what you can do to wind down the night. You notice
your computer in the corner and remember that you've still got a bit of money left in your Full
Tilt account.
You've had a little bit more to drink than you expected but no matter, you're in a pretty good
frame of mind to outplay some fish and add a little padding to your bankroll to give yourself a
nice surprise for when you log into your account in the morning.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
You are far more susceptible to tilt when playing poker drunk. Loose inhibitions + tilt never
work out well.
Sound vaguely familiar? Maybe the last time you played drunk wasn't exactly the same; maybe
you bombed out pretty quickly or maybe you managed to get lucky and double up and win a
couple of pots. Either way there are a whole load of players who have sat down at the poker table
a little inebriated, it even happens to the best of us *cough*
If you can't excercise a little self control, be prepared to lose money. It's as simple as that.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
String betting.
String betting is when a player makes a bet and moves back and forth from their chip stack to
the pot to complete the bet. For example, if you intend to make a $30 bet and move three $10
stacks into the pot one at a time, then this is considered to be a string bet.
This can cause problems during live play because a player that acts after you may think that
when you move you $10 stack into the pot, that it is the only bet that you are making. Then,
thinking that you have completing your action, that player may go to make his play unaware that
you are continuing to make your bet.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
String betting is frowned upon in live play, so to avoid any confusion you should announce the
size of your bet before moving your chips, or move your chips into the centre in one motion.
String betting is an easy mistake to make, so keep an eye on your betting in your first few
sessions at the casino.
Reacting to cards.
When you are sat behind your computer screen, there is no one to see you smile when you are
dealt pocket aces or see you shake your head when you miss your draw. However, in live play
your emotions are open for everyone at the table to see, so try to remain calm when looking at
the cards as they come out.
For example, if you start to show disinterest in a hand then you leave yourself open to bluffs
from other players when you may have had the best hand at the time.
A good tip to avoid giving information away through your emotions is to look at your opponents
as the flop is dealt and not at the cards. This way you can see how your opponent reacts and you
can steady yourself before looking down at what has come out.
Even if you genuinely make the mistake of taking the cards back to your lap, other players may
become a little wary and ask that your cards be folded just to be sure that you were not cheating.
Keep your cards on the table. There is no real need to pick them up anyway (unless you are
turning them over at the showdown).
If you play a lot of poker in B&M casinos, you should check out my friend Jonathan's live poker
website. He covers a lot more than I do on live poker etiquette (and how to act at a live poker
table in general). There are also an impressive strategy section that contains articles with high
quality tips and advice.
Exchange rates diagram between 0ct '06 and Feb '07. (Quite old, but does the trick anyway).
An example can be drawn from the graph of the GBP/USD exchange rate between Oct '06 and
Feb '07 taken from x-rates (see diagram above).
So lets say that a British player deposits 1000 into an online poker room that converts their
money into USD. If this player deposited on Oct 10th 06 where the rate was highest, that person
would have been given a bankroll of $1854.80. Then if that player broke even for 2 months and
withdrew the $1854.80 on Jan 23rd 07 where the exchange rate was lowest, they would receive
934.55 back into their home bank account.
Home
1000 >
934.55
Exchange Rate
0.539142 >
< 0.503854
Online
$1854.80
< $1854.80
As you can see, that particular player has lost just over 65 ($130) through the fluctuation in
exchange rates (assuming they also went on to avoid the "cash out curse" too, of course). But if
he/she had waited until the exchange rate had increased in their favor, they could have saved
themselves a little more money.
So when we are converting our money, we will want to be converting to USD when the
exchange rate from our currency is low, and withdrawing when the exchange rate from our
currency is high. It is not easy to estimate how these rates will change over time unless you are
experienced in the exchange business, but it is worth keeping an eye on these rates and be aware
that your bankroll will be losing value as the exchange rates decrease. It is more important to
keep track of exchange rates after a big win, as the exchange rate will have a greater effect on the
amount you will be withdrawing.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
The "continuation bet" (or cbet) is becoming an increasingly popular move at the no limit
Holdem tables. The popularity of the move stems from its simplicity and effectiveness, which
means that it is easy to learn and be used appropriately on a basic level by players new to the
game.
It is hard to play any session at any level without seeing a continuation bet being utilized, and
you are putting yourself at a great disadvantage if you are not aware of it.
A good size of a continuation bet should be around 2/3 to 3/4 the size of the pot. So if the pot
were $10, a $7 bet would be an appropriate amount for a respectable continuation bet. If the bet
is too low, it invites opponents to call because they have good pot odds if they are on a draw or if
they have a half decent hand.
A good continuation bet is between 2/3 to 3/4 of the size of the pot.
When we make this play we want to make it appear as if we have a very strong hand like top pair
or better scaring our opponents out of the pot, and betting between 2/3 to 3/4 the size of the pot
does this very effectively. However, if we over bet the pot (for example $14 into a $10 pot), we
are investing too much money into the hand and risking more than we need to when a smaller $8
bet will have the same effect.
However, if you hold A Q and the flop comes J K 8 , a continuation bet is more likely to
get called because of the flush and straight draw possibilities. As you can see, the play is more
likely to work when your opponent can only call if they have a strong made hand with no draw.
Bad flop for a continuation bet example hand history.
Always consider the texture of the flop and how likely it is that your opponent will have made a
hand that they will be prepared to call a bet with. The wetter (more co-ordinated) the flop is, the
more reluctant you should be to attempt a continuation bet when you have not made a strong
hand yourself.
Continuation bets are commonplace in today's Texas hold em poker game, so it is in your best
interest to familiarize yourself with them and start incorporating them into your play.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
There are no set rules to when these plays will work, but there are guidelines as mentioned above
that you can follow to help improve the effectiveness of the play. The best way to learn how and
when to use continuation bets is to go and sit down at a table and experiment a little. The good
thing about continuation bets is that they are relatively inexpensive to use, so you won't be losing
a whole load of money trying to learn how and when to use them.
Watching your bluff get called hurts; it really does hurt a lot. Not only that, but repeated poorly
executed bluffs eat away at your bankroll causing you to lose more and more money from one
session to the next.
Imagine if there was a way to take the sting out of getting called when you bluff. Better yet, what
if you could take all your bluffs and almost instantly make them profitable?
Allow me to introduce... the semi bluff.
*waits for a roar of applause and tears of gratitude and relief*
Total bluff = no (or very little) chance of winning the hand if called.
Semi bluff = some chance of winning the hand if called.
A total bluff has absolutely no chance of winning the hand if called. Therefore, it has 0% equity
in the pot.
Note: To be more precise, Id go ahead and say that any hand with less than 10% equity can be
classed a total bluff. Sometimes even the most clear-cut bluffs will have some equity for
whatever reason.
Semi bluffs have a decent chance of winning the hand if called, so they have at least some equity
in the pot. As you can imagine, different semi bluffs will have varying chances of winning the
hand, which means that some will have more equity than others.
For example, semi bluffing with a flush and straight draw hand will have far more equity than
semi bluffing with a gutshot straight draw. In general, more chance of improving = more equity.
Semi bluffs can also only be made when there are more cards to come (so on the flop or the
turn), as those unknown cards are whats giving you the opportunity to improve. So no, you cant
semi bluff on the river. On the river, youre either making a pure bluff (0% equity) or youre
betting for value and want your opponent to call.
A diagram to highlight the types of bet based on your equity in the hand.
If you have little or no equity in the hand, your bet is virtually a total bluff.
If you have more than 50% equity you should be betting for value and hoping to see your
opponent to call instead of fold.
If your bluff gets called, youd much rather have a 35% chance of making the best hand than a
12% chance. It makes mathematical sense for a semi bluffs with higher equity to be more
profitable than semi bluffs with lower equity, because you end up winning more often with a
higher equity percentage.
With AK your bet has fold equity + actual equity (overcards + gutshot).
With 72o your bet has fold equity only.
The more equity you have when youre putting money in to the pot the better. In fact, in the
example above betting with AK is almost certainly +EV, whereas betting with 72o is likely to be
-EV.
This is a prime example of how semi bluffs are better than total bluffs during play.
All of these hands have good amounts of equity against made hands like pairs, which is the exact
reason why they are great hands for semi-bluffing.
Care to take a wild guess as to why these arent great hands for semi bluffing? Yep, thats
right they dont have a lot of equity.
Gutshot straight draws have poor odds of hitting, which means less equity. Weak flushes have a
problems with reverse implied odds (even if you hit, you could still lose money to a stronger
flush), which means poor equity again.
Still, these hands are better to bluff with than a hand with 0% equity (or close to it). Its just that
theyre not as good as the ones above.
Check out the percentage odds chart or the ratio odds chart to compare the odds of completing
different types of drawing hands in Texas Hold'em.
The "check raise" is one of the strongest and arguably the most effective moves in Texas
Hold'em poker. Regarded by some as a dishonest move and even banned in certain card rooms,
there is no doubt that the check-raise is an important weapon in any winning player's arsenal.
A check-raise is made when you check when the action gets to you, with the intention of raising
if your opponent bets, hence the name 'check-raise'.
As you can imagine it is an interesting move because at first you show weakness to your
opponent by checking, and then coming over the top of them to show a great amount of strength.
This is why it can be regarded as dishonest as it is such a deceptive play, 'trapping' your
opponent's bet into the pot.
opponent and becomes less successful as you increase the number of opponents, which could
really be said for any type of bluff. 3 criteria should be met in order to make a good check raise:
To pull off a check-raise you have to be in first position for the obvious reason that you have to
be checking into your opponent to make them bet. If your opponent does indeed bet, then if you
raise your opponent you are showing such a high amount of strength that your opponent will fold
any marginal hands.
A check raise will only work when you are first to act, otherwise you will simply be raising (if
you are last to act).
There are certain criteria you should follow in order for this to be successful.
because the pot has remained the same size, because there will have been no betting since the
pre-flop betting round.
Finally, you will save yourself more money in the long run if you hold a drawing hand, due to
the fact that your opponent will occasionally call your re-raise. If you have no hand, you will
have to check and give up your hand to any bets on future rounds, losing the full amount of
money you used in the actual raise.
However, if you have a good draw when your opponent calls, you stand a chance of taking the
whole pot when you make your draw. In addition to this, you are likely to get a free card after
after-check raising on the flop, because your opponent will be afraid to bet into you on future
rounds. Giving you extra opportunities to make your draw.
The check-raise for extra money is more effective against multiple opponents.
Be sure to be in first or early position.
It is advisable to check raise for extra money when there is more than one opponent in the pot,
otherwise the move will do what is mentioned in the first part of the article, showing too much
strength and making your opponent fold his marginal hand.
In the majority of situations, you are better off betting straight out as opposed to going for the
check raise. However, it is a handy play to have in your arsenal in the right spots.
It is better to attempt a check raise when you are in one of the earliest positions in the hand,
because if you are one of the last few to act, then you cannot be sure that any of the players
behind you will bet to give you the opportunity to raise.
Although you want to extract as much money form your opponents as possible, a large re-raise
may scare them all out of the hand. By minimum raising you are giving you opponents a greater
incentive to put more money into the pot, because it is not costing them as much to see the next
card.
Be sure when you do check-raise to extract extra money from your opponents, that your hand is
virtually unbeatable. You do not want to be making minimum re-raise if the board is coordinated
enough that your opponents hold hands that could possibly out-draw you.
You Hold:
Flop:
In this example we have the nut flush draw, and we are heads up with our opponent. We are also
first to act.
Free card plays can prove to be very successful if you hold a drawing hand (like a straight or
flush draw).
This is the perfect situation in which we can make a free card play. This can be done by checking
this flop when we are first to act. Now one of two things will happen:
1. Our opponent will bet.
2. Our opponent will check behind us.
The optimum play from our point of view would be for our opponent to check, as then we would
be getting our free card on the flop. But if our opponent bets, when the action comes back to us
we should re-raise.
By using the check-raise it disguises the strength of our hand and gives us a strong opportunity to
take a free card on the turn if our opponent calls the re-raise. When the turn card comes, and you
check once again, our opponent is less likely to bet because of our aggression on the flop.
However if they re-raise once again on the flop we can be sure they have a strong hand and we
should only call the bet if we are getting correct pot odds for the draw.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
This should save us money because if we called the bet on the flop, our opponent could easily
put us on a drawing hand and overcharge us on the next round of betting to see the next card.
Flop:
Here we have a dream flop; we are currently holding the nuts and there are no straight or flush
draws. However, if you were to bet this hand it is doubtful that any opponent would call. This is
because it is unlikely our opponent would have a King, and probably would not call a raise with
a 7 or a 2. If we are last to act we can check and allow our opponent to see the turn for free.
If you have the deck crippled, it is very unlikely that you are going to get any money from your
opponent on the flop.
We are hoping that a card will come down to improve their hand and allow us to take money off
of them on future betting rounds. In addition, by checking we are once again disguising the
strength of our hand. Unlike in the previous situation where we check raised to show strength
when we did not have a hand, in this situation we are trying to win extra money from the hand
through deception.
Even if the next card does not help our opponent, we are now giving them the opportunity to
bluff by showing weakness.
then we should definitely bet or re-raise when last to act. We still have the nuts but we would
now want to protect it from any potential flushes or straights.
Don't forget to bet the turn. The only way to build the pot is by betting or raising, so don't be
afraid to bet out. If your opponent folds, it's very doubtful that you would have got any money
from them on the river anyway.
In most situations you should bet on the turn to protect the hand you have. This is because it is
your last opportunity to extract money from your opponent if they are on a draw and gain an
extra round of bets from them if they have a half decent hand. If your opponent does fold then
you have to accept that you probably would not have made much money from the hand no matter
how you played it.
The "stop and go" play is a tournament manoeuvre that takes place over the pre-flop and flop
betting rounds. The play is typically used when a player is short-stacked in a tournament and has
a hand that they are willing to go all-in with in an attempt to double up.
The stop and go play is where you have a hand that you intend on moving all-in with. However,
you call an opponent's bet before the flop instead of pushing, with the intention of pushing all-in
on the flop instead.
The stop and go play reduces the odds your opponent has to call, and so they will have to think
hard about whether they want to continue if they havent improved their hand, and 60% of the
time they wont.
The "blocking bet" (or blocker bet) is made when you are out of position and wish to see either a
showdown or a river card cheaply. If used effectively it can prevent your opponent from making
a big bet that you can not profitably call.
If used incorrectly, or in the wrong circumstances, this blocking bet is simply a waste of chips.
This article will show you how and when to use the blocking bet.
The blocking bet is simply where you make a smaller than average sized bet when first to act in
order to reduce the amount of money that you pay to see the next card.
By making a small bet, you anticipate that your opponent will just call and not raise. As a result,
you will not have to call what would have been a larger bet from them (in comparison to your
"blocker bet") if you had checked.
To summarize, the blocking bet is made when out of position against an opponent who will most
probably bet if you check. It is made with hands which do not want to call a big bet such as
draws during play and medium strength hands on the river.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Betting a small amount will often confuse your opponent into calling instead of raising, allowing
you to see the next card (or showdown) relatively cheaply. Ensure you mix up your blocking bets
with value raises once opponents get a read on your blocking bets they completely lose their
effectiveness.
You are up against one opponent in a pot and you are confident that you have the best hand.
Unfortunately however, you are not helped by the fact that you are first to act.
You want to get as much money into the middle, but you are not entirely sure of the best way to
go about it. You could bet out straight away and hope to see them call, or you could try checkraising them to help increase the amount of money that gets put into the pot. But what is the most
profitable option over the long run?
Firstly, lets outline a few pros and cons of betting versus check-raising.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
Check raising.
By check raising, you are opening up the opportunity to increase the amount of money that gets
put in to the pot. This is because you will be raising your opponents bet, and so they will have to
put more money into the middle to see the next card. The more you can get them to put in the
middle, the more we can win.
The downside to check raising is that there is always the possibility that our opponent will not
bet, and we miss out on a prime opportunity to build the pot. In addition to this, the check-raise is
a very powerful move, and so by doing this we may well reduce our chances of being able to
make our opponent put more money into the pot in future (and even in the current) betting
rounds.
Pros:
Cons:
Shows a great deal of strength, and may force our opponent to fold.
We will not have the opportunity to check raise if our opponent checks behind us.
Pros:
Cons:
If you feel that you have the best hand, you should bet out. The reason for this is that by betting
out, you eliminate the risk of giving your opponent a free card whilst not giving too much
information away about the strength of your hand. These two 'plus points' far outweigh the
potential of getting more money into the pot by attempting check raises over the long run, so
learn to save that check-raise for special occasions.
In general, you are better off betting straight out in first position as opposed to going for the
check raise.
It is better to be consistently safe, rather than going for the risky big win from time to time.
Double Barrelling
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Plays > Double Barrelling
0
Cbetting Articles: The Continuation Bet : More Cbetting Tips : When To CBet (Examples)
: Double Barrelling
So you made a continuation bet on the flop, but annoyingly your opponent went ahead and called
it. Youre now stuck in an uncomfortable situation staring in to the eyes of an unwanted turn card
desperately searching for a new plan of action. What do you do?
Double barrelling or firing a second barrel is the tricky art of making another
continuation bet on the turn. Its difficult to master and forces you to risk more money than
your previous bet, so you really want to make sure that you make the right choice.
In this article I will outline the basics of firing a successful second barrel on the turn.
Flop: Q 7 2 -- Turn: K
Flop: J 5 3 -- Turn: A
Flop: T 7 4 -- Turn: Q
These turns are perfect to double barrel because they hit your perceived range and are bad for
your opponents range. In other words, our opponent is likely to have called our continuation
bet with hands like top or middle pair, so the overcard on the turn makes them very
uncomfortable.
These overcards could have very easily hit our range, beating the hand that they currently hold.
For our opponent, calling a bet on the turn is a difficult thing to do without a premium hand after
this scare card hits, as they will be much happier folding and saving their chips to your barrel.
Firing a second barrel on these turns is not going to be quite as successful or easy to do as the
good turn cards, which is why I would advise to only barrel these turns with a very good read.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Low cards or cards that pair the board are bad to barrel.
High cards that are slightly lower than the hgihest card on the flop can be decent for
barrelling.
There are so many variables and reads involved with double barrelling that Im never going to be
able to cram enough information in to one article to form a 100% complete guide to it. Try and
absorb as much as you can from what Ive thrown at you here and mix it with a bit of your own
initiative (maybe not too much if youre a new player) to form your own approach to firing that
second barrel.
Before you go, I just want to remind you that even if your attempt at double barrelling fails,
please do not feel compelled to shove it all in on the river. Youre better off folding than blindly
pushing all in out of frustration in a vain attempt to win your money back.
As always, practice makes perfect with the double barrel. Its definitely one of the scariest plays
to master, but youll get there eventually. Stick to those scary overcards for barrelling at the start
and you should do just fine.
The "float play" is an advanced bluffing technique in Texas Hold em that is extended over two
betting rounds.
The principle role of the play is to make your opponent believe you have a stronger hand than
theirs via the flop and turn betting rounds, and thus closing down the action and winning the pot
on the turn.
A second and equally important rule for a good float play is that you should be heads-up against
your opponent. If there is more than one player in the pot, it makes it more difficult to pull off
such a complex bluff, as it is more likely that at least one of the players has a decent hand.
The float play works best heads-up and in position. In fact, I would rarely (if ever) attempt a float
play against more than one player.
The float play relies on us trying to pick off a continuation bet from our opponents, and the
addition of another player into the equation adds too many variables to make it successful, and
often our attempted display of strength will go unnoticed. Therefore it is best to keep things
simple, and stick to being in position against one opponent when attempting a float play.
Therefore by re-raising what you feel is a second barrel or a particularly weak bet, you can still
pull off a successful float play. However, the re-raise on the turn as a float play is a very
dangerous and advanced move, which requires a very good understanding of your opponents.
Consequently, you should be more inclined towards folding if you do not know your opponents
well and they are making another bet on the turn.
It is central to note however that we should have a good read on our opponents to make a float
play like this, as it is important to be sure that our opponent is the type of player that makes
continuation bets, but will shut down and fold when they come up against any resistance. This
means that float plays will work well against your typical tight-aggressive player, rather than
calling stations that will call down bets regardless of what they think you might be representing.
(See the article on putting players on a hand for hand reading.)
It is also important to remember that float plays should not be used liberally as a regular
defense against the continuation bet. It is true that this play will snap off a few continuation
bets from time to time, but you will find yourself in sticky situations and getting check-raised on
the turn with real hands if you overuse this particular play.
The float play is not usually something that you intend to use when you enter a pot before the
flop, it is a more of a play that you can consider when faced with certain situations as they arise.
Float play spots make themselves apparent as you play; you should not go actively looking for
them.
This style of play can be very effective because you create a very loose table image for yourself.
Therefore you should receive more action from opponents when you do have a big hand because
they will perceive you as a loose aggressive player, and may feel that you are more likely to try
and bluff them out of the pot.
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
If you play small ball poker correctly, in the long run the amount you win from opponents when
they call you down with sub standard hands should outweigh the amount you lose from making
consistent raises and bets without a strong hand. This is a reason why it is important to make
small raises and bets instead of large, stronger bets.
Small ball poker benefits from players who call you down with mediocre hands because they do
not give you credit for holding a strong hand.
The image you project onto the other players at the table is key to the success of the small ball
concept. As already mentioned, the reason why this style of play is so effective is because your
opponents will be more willing to call you down with marginal hands because of the way you
have played in previous hands. So essentially, the small bets and raises that you may win or lose
pots with in earlier hands are just setting you up for bigger hands later on in the session.
When playing weaker starting hands, play hands that have drawing potential (can make
flushes or straights).
When playing small ball, you have to try and take advantage of position as frequently as
possible. It is not going to be an effective style of playing if you are raising 2.5BB from under
the gun or in any early position on a regular basis. The chances are that you are going to get a
caller and be out of position in a pot with a hand that is probably marginal.
Save the raises for when you are closer to the button and there are little to no players already in
the pot. Playing small ball poker relies on you being able to play well post flop because you are
entering so many pots and allowing other players to do so cheaply. It is going to be far easier to
outplay your opponents if there are less of them in the hand and if you have position.
You have to be an experienced player to be able to profitably employ the small ball playing style.
Small ball poker is basically playing LAG but making smaller bet amounts.
Raising small amounts from any position at the table with marginal hands in an attempt to
recreate the "small ball" style of play is not going to be a successful strategy in my opinion. In
spite of this, there are actually a few genuinely effective elements to the small ball style though,
such as:
Using your position to your advantage. Basically not just playing your cards but playing
your position.
Playing more aggressively to help you "buy position".
I believe that amateur players who attempt to emulate small ball poker will get themselves in to
tricky situations. You definitely need a good post-flop game to be able to play small ball poker
(or should I just say LAG?).
As your game improves you may develop in to more of a loose-aggressive style of play, but that
will not necessarily be "small ball poker". I believe that Daniel Negreanu may be trying a little
too hard to coin a super-awesome new playing style that will take over the world of poker, but at
the end of the day it's just a weak variation on an existing one.
The "squeeze play" is an advanced (usually pre-flop) move that can be used in both cash games
and tournaments. The squeeze play can be very effective, but has to be used with caution.
A squeeze play is when you notice a loose player raising from early position and another player
calling this raise before you. You then make a big re-raise and take down the pot.
So basically you are taking advantage of the loose raiser and the player who thought they could
get away with calling the loose raise with a weaker hand than they would normally call with.
The loose raiser can't call because they likely raised with a weak hand.
The caller won't call because they were calling the first raise with a weak hand.
Can you see why this play works? I'll cover why the squeeze play works in more detail a little
later on.
When making a squeeze play in a cash game or in the early stages of a tournament you will
likely be deep stacked, so going all in is not an option. However, it is still possible to make
successful squeeze plays if you have strong reads on your opponent.
4 times the size of the initial raise is a good rule of thumb for the size of your reraise when
making a squeeze play. Just be sure to be squeezing with hands that have potential (suited
connectors and stuff like that) in case your squeeze gets called.
If your post-flop game isn't up to scratch, I would advise against squeezing when playing cash
games or if deep-stacked in a tournament.
This is why it is easier to make this play when in a later position as there is less of a chance of
bumping into another player that does hold a premium hand. So by keeping the number of
players left to act behind you to a minimum, you are increasing the plays rate of success.
Table image.
Your own table image plays a very important role. If you have been involved in a number of pots
and have been making a few plays, you are not in a good position to make a squeeze play in
Texas Hold'em. The idea is to make your opponents think you have a big hand, forcing them to
fold.
Therefore if your opponents have noticed that you have been making moves with marginal hands
in the lead up to this play, it decreases the credibility of your raise and they are more likely to
call. The play will have a higher rate of success if you employ it only when you have a tight table
image.
All you need to make the play work is; one loose raiser, one loose caller, and one strong all in.
This play will be a very strong addition to your game, but it should be used sparingly to help
keep its credibility intact.
When sitting at the poker table, it is important to be aware of your own "table image" and the
image of the players around you. Table image is essentially what one poker player perceives
another players style to be, which is determined by the way they play poker.
For example, if a player is not playing many hands and only entering pots with premium starting
hands, the other players at the table may perceive that player to be very tight, and thus they will
have a tight table image.
Consequently, if a player is entering many pots and calling raises frequently, they may be
perceived as being a loose player, and thus they will have a loose table image.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
Conversely, if you are quiet and reserved then you may be able to have the other players perceive
you as being a tight player. However, the more advanced and observant players will look straight
through what you say or do, and let the cards do the talking for when it comes to mentally
assigning you a style of play.
Loose image
If you have a loose table image, you may find that opponents are more willing to get into pots
with you because they will know that your starting hand requirements will be lower than that of a
tight players.
Tight image
If you have a tight table image, your opponents will be more reluctant to get into pots with you
because they will fear that you will have a big hand every time you enter a pot. Both of these
styles of play have their own unique benefits.
to create this loose image you will have been betting and raising frequently on previous hands,
therefore your opponents will know that you cant have a strong hand every time and call you
down in the hope that you are bluffing.
It must be said however that just because you are playing loosely, it does not mean that you will
get paid off on all of your big hands. It simply means that you will get your opponents to call you
down with a higher frequency than if you had a tight table image.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
The main downfall with this image is that you leave yourself open to losing a number of chips
whilst trying to create this loose image. By entering a number of pots with substandard hands,
you can potentially find yourself in tricky situations with marginal hands and therefore losing
chips in the process.
Tilting In Poker
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Psychology > Tilting In Poker
1
"Tilting" is a term used in poker to describe the way a player changes his or her game due to the
effects of suffering a bad beat. If a player takes a bad beat, they can be described as "going on
tilt" if they subsequently play differently to the way they would usually play.
In a nutshell, 'tilting' is simply a word to describe poor play due to frustration at the poker table.
There are many things in poker, apart form bad beats, that will potentially set you on tilt. If you
do not catch any good hands for a long period of time, you can easily become frustrated and start
to play with any rag hand that comes your way.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
If you find yourself folding to your opponent's shown bluff, then once again you can become
irritated and allow your game to deviate from the norm. In addition, if you notice that you would
have flopped a monster but decided to fold pre-flop, this can also cause you to alter your game
for the worse.
Poker Downswings
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Psychology > Poker Downswings
0
For more general information on downswings in NL Hold'em, see the article on variance
in poker.
Every regular poker player knows that you can't come out of every poker session with more
money than you started with. There are always going to be sessions where you end up losing
more than you win, and often there is very little that you could have done to prevent it.
Even though poker involves a certain amount of skill, luck is something that is always going to
be a big influence on the outcome of each individual session, and it always will be. Any poker
player that plays regularly enough will find that luck gets the better of us sometimes for longer
periods than we would like, and for some, this stretch can seem never ending.
swing. As the swing gets bigger, you start to question your game and wonder if you have lost the
ability you once had to win money from poker.
This can then lead to you altering your game to see if you can improve and win some of your
money back, but the new style of play is usually worse and just ends up losing you more money
than if you had just stuck with your normal game. Players always want to know how to deal with
big poker downswings, so the questions always end up being:
The answers are pretty simple nowhere and nothing. Even though these are the honest answers
to the questions, they probably didn't help and probably didn't put your mind too much at ease. If
you are a solid player and continue to play your best game at all times, then you are doing
nothing wrong.
You have to remember that every hits a big poker downswing from time to time, and it's simply a
bad dose of variance slapping you about for a few sessions.
The only thing that is going wrong is your ability to have a bit of good luck once in a while, and
there is nothing you can do to get that back on track. Therefore because you have no control over
your luck, there is nothing you can do about the downswing. Once again, these probably weren't
the kind of kind of answers you wanted to hear.
Poker is a game of ups and downs, and unfortunately, the downs always feel a lot worse than the
ups. There is nothing that you can do to stop the long losing sessions, you just have to let the
downswing take its course and ride it out as best as you can.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Always try and maintain focus even when you are at your lowest, because by playing your best
game you will be minimizing any losses that you may have. Every poker player experiences very
bad runs and bad beats, so just try your best to play through it until you are back on the up. You
never know, the biggest upswing of your life might be just around the corner
There is very little in poker that can throw you off of your game
in such a dramatic way as a bad beat can. Dropping from the high of being all in on the flop with
top set against two over cards, to the low of being outdrawn to a runner-runner flush is enough to
make the biggest poker fan hate the game.
Despite this however, it is far more important than you think to deal with the frustration
before playing your next hand.
A common mistake.
Its not uncommon for a player to chase after the money they unjustly lost for the rest of the
session. Players will try and pull huge bluffs and call for any draw whilst adopting the mentality
of "If they can win with rags, then so can I".
Check out my rankings of the top Texas Hold'em poker rooms for US players. You may be
surprised.
I'm sure as you read this you can recall a time when you have been in exactly the same position,
trying your hardest to get back the money thats sitting in the lap of the luckiest player in the
world. But do you get it back? More often than not you are losing more money in this imprudent
pursuit.
This is probably one of the main reasons why you currently can't win money playing online
poker.
1) Take a break.
Honestly, there is nothing better for saving your hard earned money than taking a break from the
game. Whether that be for a few moments or for a few days, it's the most effective way of
preserving your bankroll from tilt.
Just because you leave the game now, it doesn't mean you've lost the opportunity to win your
money back; in fact its probably the opposite. Let yourself cool down and come back when you
are in a rational frame of mind. There is always going to be a game of poker in the next ten
minutes, the next week, and even next year. Save yourself for when you can play at the top of
your game.
players and soft competition coming back. It tricks them into thinking they made the right play,
or that poker is always about luck. And for that we should be thankful.
Almost every online poker room today has a chat box feature. This feature allows you to
communicate with the other players at the table like you can at live tables.
The online poker chat box has spawned numerous abbreviations over the years to save time
whilst typing. Below is a list of the most commonly used abbreviations:
NH - Nice Hand
NB - Nice Bet
NC - Nice Call
GG - Good Game
WP - Well Played
BRB - Be Right Back
CU - See You
WTF - What The F***
TY - Thank You
THX - Thanks
By stimulating conversation, opponents will be trying to invoke physical tells which they can
then use to judge the strength of your hand. The chat box will never be able to completely
emulate live discussion; therefore the amount of information you can gain through the chat box
is greatly reduced.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
"Knew I should have called" - After folding and seeing the next card when others carry
on with the hand (despite whether or not the card would have helped you)
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
to be typed into the chat box. Just make sure that you do not go over the top, as over-use of the
chat feature will lower the integrity of what you are saying.
You should also remember that this little trick wont have monster pots falling at your feet, but it
should help in stimulating a little extra action when opponents come to play hands against you.
Whenever you sit down at the poker table, you should always be trying to outsmart and out-think
your opponents by keeping one step ahead of them at all times. It is for this reason that people
with the ability to clearly think through situations and act upon them have the ability to do well
at the poker table.
If you are unable to piece together different pieces of information to build a bigger picture of the
way each hand is played out, you will find that you will struggle to make much money from
poker.
Being able to work out why your opponent is playing in a certain way is an essential skill for any
winning poker player.
If you can figure out what your opponent may be holding, you can make the most profitable
decisions in each situation depending on what information you have managed to pick up.
Level 5: What does my opponent think that I think they think I have?
I think I should probably leave it there now because of the fact that it is unlikely that any players
will be thinking above this level, in addition to the fact that it is getting pretty difficult for me to
even write down and comprehend at such a high level. But hopefully as you can see, you can
think on different levels whilst playing poker, with the most inexperienced players playing at
level 0 or 1 and the more advanced players of the game playing at 4 or above.
Level 5 is where things start to get pretty ridiculous, and I don't think there is much use in me
going through it. I had a hard enough time writing it down, so I'm not sure how good my
explanation would be if I tried. But if you ever come across someone playing at this level, my
advice would be to leave the table as quickly as possible.
Poker Metagame
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Psychology > Poker Metagame
1
Metagame diagram.
Awful diagram I know. But hopefully it helps to push the idea that the metagame is all the stuff
that takes place in the minds of the players and away from the "physical" aspects of play.
This all sounds well and good, but I'm sure you are still a little confused, so allow me to
elaborate with an example...
Being able to see our opponent's cards in this hand may well prove to be very handy for us, as it
allows us to see what type of player our opponent is. We can then use this information on them
to make better decisions in future hands because we have a better knowledge of their style of
play.
In addition to this, by making quite a weak play, we may well give the impression that we are a
poor player that calls down river bets with marginal hands. This could prove to be beneficial in
future hands as our opponent may decide to show less respect to our bets, allowing us to
potentially take down bigger pots later on down the line.
So even though we made a play that was unprofitable based purely on the mathematics of
the situation, the repercussions of that particular play may well make up for this small loss
through bigger wins in future hands. This may well have been something that you have
thought about before, and it is essentially what the poker meta game is all about.
An unprofitable play in one hand may well set you up for greater wins in a later hand due to the
metagame.
Although the above example highlights how making a slightly less profitable play could pay
off in the future, it should not be used as an excuse to regularly make poor decisions when you're
playing poker. Neither should you look to go out of your way to intentionally make unprofitable
plays with the loose hope of creating an image that will pay off on future hands. Every now and
then a metagame-style situation will crop up and make itself apparent, so don't fret about
searching for it too much.
The meta game in poker is always changing. For example, when Doyle Brunson first wrote the
book Super System, it contained top notch strategy for NL Holdem at the time it came out.
However, over the years players have become more aggressive, and so the general style of play
advocated in the book will not be as profitable as it once was.
If you can see that you have the best hand, you would bet. (Unless there is more value in
deception)
If you can see that you have the worst hand, you would fold. (Unless you have odds to
draw)
This means that you would be playing the most profitable game of poker possible, as you are
following the fundamental theorem of poker perfectly.
Unfortunately however, the whole point of poker is that you are never 100% sure of what your
opponent holds, which means that you are going to drift away from this perfect line of poker by
not knowing the exact cards that each player has. So the key idea is to try and play poker as
perfectly as possible even without being able to see other players' cards.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
In a nutshell, a winning poker player is a player that can play as closely to the way they would if
they could see all of their opponents' cards. The more information that you can obtain from your
opponent through reads and by analysing their betting patterns, the closer you will be able to
play to this level and the more profitable your game will be.
call a raise, so we can get a lot more value from the hand by raising with our strong hand rather
than attempting to induce a bluff like we did in the last example.
As you can see, knowing the exact 2 cards that our opponent is holding in each situation helps us
to make the most profitable play possible.
Zeebo's Theorem
Zeebo's theorem is quite a simple one, and is likely to be the most profitable of all the popular
poker theorems. Zeebo's theorem states that:
No player is capable of folding a full house on any betting round, regardless of the size of the
bet.
If you think about every possible situation of where you hold a full house in Texas Hold'em, you
will not be able to find one where you can comfortably fold the hand. Even if the bet is very
large, the chances are that you and other players will call the bet when you hold a full house.
In addition, even if your opponent holds a very weak full house, the fact that there is always the
possibility that you could be bluffing means that they are going to force themselves to call
anyway. They may not like making the call, but they are going to put that money in the middle
when they have a full house.
You may not have thought about this idea too much before, but I'm sure that you can understand
that this particular theorem holds a lot of truth at the Texas Hold'em tables.
Do not try and bluff anyone that you suspect holds a full house.
Get as much money into the pot if you think your opponent has a full house and you hold
a better hand.
Pretty straightforward right? If your opponent is never going to let go of their full house
regardless of how much money you put in the pot, you should get all your money in the middle
when you have the best of it and never bluff if you are behind.
If you can remember these two simple rules the next time you are confident that your opponent
has a full house, you will be able to save and win yourself a nice sum of money.
An exception.
Although Zeebo's theorem is good 99% of the time, there's always that 1% of the time where a
tight player folds a full house. Here's a prime example of that 1% in a HSP hand between Johnny
Chan and Phil Laak.
I think Phil Laak's fold here is warranted. Chan is a very tight player and it's very unlikely that
he's raising with anything that's beaten by 77. Of course, that's easy for me to say as I know each
player's holecards. The suspiciously impressive part though is Laak's insta-fold even the very
best players would want to take a moment to think about it.
Nonetheless, these instances are rare, and even when a situation like this pops up the majority of
players will call anyway. Even though Laak's fold looks like the right play, calling is far from
horrific, and that's what most players will think as well (if they're good enough to think on that
kind of level).
Who is Zeebo?
Zeebo, "captZEEbo" or to use his full online alias "Captain Zeebo" is a professional high stakes
online poker player. Captain Zeebo's real name is Greg Lavery.
I don't know much about the guy, but here is Zeebo's blog (obviously doesn't get updated that
much) and here is a really interesting documentary on Captain Zeebo's life as a professional
poker player by Deuces Cracked. If you want to find out even more about captZEEbo, you can
also check captZEEbo's 2+2 member profile and search through all of his old posts and threads.
If you decide to call on the turn, what are you going to do on the river? Your opponent is almost
definitely going to be betting out as a bluff or betting with the best hand, so closing your eyes
and calling the turn bet whilst hoping for the best on the river isn't going to be a great strategy.
Who is BalugaWhale?
Andrew "BalugaWhale" Seidman is a pretty well known name around the 2+2 forums. Andrew
is a professional high stakes poker player and currently coaches over at the Deuces Cracked
training site. He is actually a really awesome coach as well, which you should be able to tell
from the sample video in my Deuces Cracked review.
Parallels 2
Andrew semi-regularly blogs at BalugaBay about general life stuff. You can also read old posts
and threads started by Andrew through his BalugaWhale 2+2 forum member page.
For what it's worth, yes, "Baluga" is a misspelling of "Beluga". Not sure if this misspelling was
actually intentional, but that's the way it stands.
The 4 cards of the same suit are going to scare many players.
Therefore this creates a great opportunity to bluff on the river.
A strong bet will often force any player without a flush or even a weak flush to fold.
If you put yourself in the shoes of a player that is facing a strong bet after that 4-flush card hits
on the river, you can already feel yourself leaning toward folding anything less than a flush,
along with weak flushes. Therefore you can see that this is a prime opportunity for a bluff for the
player that is first to act, as you are going to fold the vast majority of your hands in this spot.
You should make a strong bet around the size of the pot at least.
If you are not first to act, it makes your bet a lot less convincing and so the bluff will be less
effective. If your opponent checks to you and you bet, it makes it more obvious that you are
trying to pull off a bluff. Therefore as the Clarkmeister theorem states you should bet when you
are first to act.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
The more players there are in the hand, the more likely it is that someone actually has a great
hand. If you are heads up there is a greatly reduced risk of your opponent actually having a
strong flush or better.
By making a strong bet, it puts your opponent to a very tough decision, and increases the chances
that they are going to fold. If you make a weak bet, then you are pretty much giving your
opponent good odds to call, and so your bluff attempt it going to be pretty poor. Show no fear
and make a decent bet if you really want the Clarkmeister theorem to work.
Important point.
When you are using the Clarkmeister theorem, you are turning your hand into a bluff. Therefore
you should not look to bet out if you want to try and extract as much money from the hand as
you can, because with the Clarkmeister theorem you are looking to get your opponent to fold.
Similarly, if you have a hand like a weak flush at this stage in the hand, you will be best served
check/calling as opposed to betting out. This is because you will only be forcing weaker hands to
fold, which doesn't provide you with any value. This would be referred to as a way ahead / way
behind situation, and so check/calling is better than bluffing.
Players are far more aggressive these days, and 3-bets with strong hands are not entirely
rare.
Players are likely to 3-bet dry flops like 8 3 3 with overpairs.
The fact of the matter is that players are always looking to out-level their opponent (see multiple
level thinking). Therefore if your opponent knows that you think that your opponent is always
bluffing when they 3-bet dry flops, they are going to go ahead and 3-bet dry flops when they
have a strong hand. Furthermore, players will be more than happy to 3-bet with overpairs to the
board in this spot.
If you're serious about taking your game to the next level you should take advantage of poker
training.
When the Yeti theorem first came about, the chances are that it worked pretty well for many
people, but as time went by the game has developed and evolved, and so they Yeti theorem is no
longer as useful as it once was.
aejones Theorem
Texas Hold'em > Strategy > Theorems > aejones Theorem
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Players do not always have as strong a hand as you think they do.
Betting, raising and general aggression is often enough to make your opponent fold.
Whilst there is an element of truth in both of these points, if you go all out betting and raising as
the theorem advocates, you are not going to be winning much money. Of course there will be
times when you win pots due to your aggression forcing other players to fold, but this style of
play is just going to land you in very unfortunate spots time and time again.
Taken literally, the aejones theorem suggests that wild raises and calls are the order of the day at
the Texas Hold'em poker tables, and we both know that isn't the case for any successful poker
player.
First of all, understanding that your opponents will not always have the absolute nuts when they
are betting into you will serve you well when it comes to analyzing plays and making decisions.
Because we never know the exact two cards our opponent holds, it's easy to fear the worst when
facing a bet, when the fact of the matter is that our opponent may be just as scared of what we
are holding.
The core of the aejones theorem is that players can often give too much credit for what their
opponent is holding.
I am not suggesting that you should think that you can always force your opponents to fold with
a reraise, but simply to remember that both players in a hand have concerns about what their
opponent holds. If you can sensibly take advantage of this mutual caution during play, you might
be able to pick up a few extra pots.
Secondly, as you should know, aggressive poker is winning poker. You don't win pots big pots
and make opponents fold by playing passively, so always try and play poker with controlled
aggression. Have a browse over the article on the importance of aggression in poker for more
information on this topic.
Who is aejones?
Aaron "aejones" Jones is a very high stakes professional poker player. Aaron currently records
training videos for LeggoPoker, which is a popular online poker training site. You can also read
aejones' Leggo Poker blog, which is updated fairly regularly.
If you're feeling a little stalker-ish and want to check up on aejones' past, you can read all of his
previous posts and threads at the 2+2 forums through aejones' 2+2 member account.
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SNG Player? Check out my rankings of the best sit and go poker sites for 2012.
2. The way in which profits are made and the resulting relationship between chip value and
equity.
Cash game poker players typically play with deep stacks in relation to the blinds. This means
that betting occurs throughout a hand, giving you time to assess the strength of your opponents
holdings. Sit and Go strategy starts with deep stacks but before long the stacks are shallow in
relation to the blinds often 10 times the blind or less.
Have you check out my videos section yet? There are a bunch of free strategy vids there for
NLHE cash games.
This means that instead of distinct hands, SNG play deals with ranges of hands the optimal
play is to take (often small) mathematical edges against the range of hands opponents will call or
raise with. For players used to cash games, SNGs can seem like an unskilled version of poker
however those players who are adept at working with both ranges and prize pool equity have a
significant and profitable edge.
In a cash game the chips in your stack are worth exactly the dollar value assigned to them.
Through the various stages of a SNG tournament the chips you hold will actually change value.
This is due to the fact that the player who eventually wins all the chips will not win all of the
prize money.
Typically SNG tournaments pay 50% for 1st, 30% for 2nd and 20% for 3rd. If 10 players start a
$10 SNG with 1,000 chips then each chip is worth 1c at the start of the game. At the end the
winner has all 10,000 chips however the prize pool distribution gives him $50, meaning each
chip is worth 0.5c. Awareness of the changing value of chips and mathematics of prize pool
equity are most important at the bubble, when just 1 player must bust before the money.
Middle stage.
As the blinds get higher and number of remaining opponents begins to drop SNG play becomes
more aggressive. The middle stages are characterized by stealing blinds, raises and re-raises. In a
cash game defending your blind is not critical to success (though necessary sometimes), in a
SNG tournament blind defence is critical as is the ability to use the threat of elimination to
steal chips from your opponents.
However, when 2 players get all in and one wins the pot, those 5000 chips are not worth
$50 (more like $35).
o
(This is because the double stack does not guarantee 1st place.)
So when calling an all in bet you are risking $25 worth of chips in an effort to win an
additional $10.
Thus you need a hand that is proportionally better than the raisers range a tall order
without a premium holding.
Once the bubble has burst and the remaining 3 players are in the money paying places strategy
changes once again. Since the blinds are now huge in relation to the stack sizes all-in bets are
again the norm. However without the risk of elimination players both raise and call raises with
much weaker holdings.
Adjusting to this is dependant on specific opponents. However newer SNG players need to be
aware that any pair, most aces and any 2 face cards become very strong at this stage. See the
article on short stack strategy for more information on this topic.
For a superb guide to playing the final stages of SNGs (or playing HUSNGs specifically), check
out Brokerstar's free heads up poker strategy training site.
For more advanced SNG tournament strategy, try the what is ICM? and how to use ICM articles.
This has a large effect on tournament strategy for those players who are looking to maximize
their long-term profits. Aggressive, positive play is rewarded at all stages of the tournament - by
a shot at reaching the final table. Passive play during the later stages may enable you to sneak
into the money positions however this will not make up for just a few final table appearances
when adding up profits at the end of the month or year.
High cards however go up in value when you are the first to enter the pot. Since calling a raise in
the middle stages requires investing a large proportion of your stack this should be avoided
where possible. Your opponents are often in the same situation meaning that youre raising
requirements can be lighter than before, especially from late position.
I'm sure you've all bumped in to the term "ROI" before, and you're probably aware that it stands
for Return On Investment. It sounds like one of those terms you'll hear thrown around inside a
business meeting along with the word "synergy".
So what's ROI got to to with poker tournaments exactly? Well, allow me to explain in this guide
to everything you need to know about ROI in poker.
This is obviously an extremely high ROI, and its far from sustainable (in reality you would
struggle to maintain an average ROI of 25%). However, this is just an example to show how easy
it is to work out ROI.
ROI is more commonly used when looking at your winnings over a much larger sample size.
ROI
20%
15%
10%
7%
5%
4%
3%
These numbers are the upper limit of the sort of ROI you could hope for in SNG tournaments, so
dont be at all disappointed if your ROI is lower.
In all honesty, you should be proud of any ROI above 0%.
Now you've got some strategy under your belt, use it against the terrible players at Bodog Poker
and win even more money than before.
1) Sharkscope.
Sharkscope is a website that tracks the results of online poker tournaments. Just search for your
username and it should (hopefully) give you an indication of your average ROI from the
tournaments you have played online.
The stats are limited and theyre not 100% accurate, but its a very quick and easy way to get an
idea of your overall ROI. It's also free, but only for up to 5 searches a day. If you want to
perform more searches you have to pay to subscribe.
2) Tracking software.
Using tracking software like Holdem Manager or Poker Tracker 3 is the most accurate way of
recording your results and finding your ROI across the different levels of SNGs you have played.
This poker software costs money to buy, but they offer far more features than just the ability to
record your results and calculate ROI. If youre serious about playing SNGs and trying to win
money, I'd highly recommend you grab yourself a copy of Holdem Manager.
3) Notepad.
Nothing wrong with tracking results the old fashioned way!
It takes a little more effort than the other two options, but if you keep note of the number of
games you've played and your winnings then you can easily work out your ROI for yourself.
Hourly rate is the amount of money you are making from SNGs on average per hour.
Knowing your ROI per game is nice, but for many the hourly rate is a more useful statistic. So
how do you figure out your hourly rate?
Simple: Find out how many SNGs you play on average in one hour, then multiply that number
by your ROI.
So with your current ROI, youre earning $5.28 an hour from multi-tabling SNGs. Not bad, but
probably not worth quitting your day job over.
With this figure you could go on to work out how much you might earn on average in a day, a
week, a month or even a year - which is handy. Check out my article on how much can you win
from online poker? for more calculations on this sort of stuff.
1,000.
If you want to get a rough (theres that word again) idea of what your ROI might be for sit and
gos, you want to have at least 1,000 SNGs under your belt.
Even then, your ROI from having played this many SNG tournaments isnt going to be set in
stone either, as variance can have a significant effect on your ROI over this sample size.
However, 1,000 SNGs is widely regarded as the number you want to aim for before drawing any
conclusions from or putting any stock in to your ROI.
To get a good idea of what your real ROI is though, you want to aim for 5,000 SNGs.
To prove this, watch this video on ROI simulations on Youtube, or download and try the poker
ROI simulator out for yourself. Here's a link to the original ROI simulator thread at 2+2 (it also
has a quick guide to using the program).
For even more detailed information on the reliability of your ROI based on number of games
played, feel free to wade through this article at 2+2 on SNG Poker ROI confidence intervals.
Which room you play at. If you play at a big poker room like PokerStars, the SNG tables are
going to fill up quickly, which means less time spent waiting for games to start. This will
improve your hourly rate. Conversely, if you play at a smaller room (maybe because of softer
competition), you will likely spend more time waiting for the tournament tables to fill up. Whilst
playing at the smaller room with the weaker players may well improve your ROI, it will have a
negative effect on your hourly rate.
If you're not playing at Bodog right now (February 2012) you're losing out on money. Get in
while it's still good.
ROI stands for Return On Investment. It helps you to find how much profit youre
making from each SNG you play on average.
Hourly rate is how much money youre making from playing SNGs an hour.
You need to play at least 1,000 SNGs to get a half-decent idea of what your long-term
ROI might be.
Download Holdem Manager to keep track of the tournaments you play and to help you
win money from the SNgs you play.
Now, these particular tournaments with their unique (and pretty speedy) blind structures can be
tricky to play, and so require a certain strategy that is quite different to your standard Sit and Go
tournament strategy.
The early stage of these turbo tournaments is going to be your only opportunity to play 'proper
poker', as the blinds are going to be small in relation to the size of the stacks. This will only last
for 2 or 3 levels depending on how quickly the blinds move, but up until the big blind becomes
around 1/10th the size of your starting stack, you can be prepared to play hands without having
to resort to drastic moves.
However, at the early stages of these tournaments, I'm not going to look to try and steal blinds or
pick up small pots, as they are going to have very little effect on the outcome of the tournament.
If I've got a strong hand I'm going to raise a big amount and hope to catch someone over playing
a weak ace and try and force them to put as much in the middle as possible, but this is no time to
try and pick up small pots with fancy plays.
The fact that these tournaments run so quickly means that the players at the table will already be
in a gambling frame of mind, and will be willing to risk a lot or all of their stack even when the
blinds are so small. Therefore whenever I am dealt a hand, I am always going to consider
whether or not it is one that I would back up with my whole stack. If not, then the chances are
that I am going to fold.
Not much room for movement, so be prepared to risk your entire stack on a hand.
Avoid trying to get tricky with marginal holdings, just stick with the big hands.
The stop and go play can be very effective in certain situations at this stage.
As with any stage of turbo tournaments, starting hand selection is going to play a huge role in the
middle stages of a tournament. If the general stack size means that players have between 7 and
12 big blinds, you are in the middle stage of the game. This will allow for a two raises before one
player is going to be all-in, so there really is not much room to move around.
In general, if I am entering a pot, then I am entering with the intention of playing for my entire
stack. If I am becoming low on chips, the blinds are likely to be valuable enough to pick up, so a
solid all-in push from late position may well be a good plan of action from time to time. Other
than this however, I am going to stick to playing with premium hands, but widening my starting
range up in late position.
At this stage, you can effectively start to use the stop and go play. This will help increase your
chances of winning a hand if you are prepared to push your entire stack in the middle, but don't
feel that it will push your opponent off the hand. It may be a good idea to call a raise and push it
in on the flop, as a small all-in reraise preflop will often give your opponent the right odds to
call.
You will miss out on the money a lot of the time, but don't let it get to you. Shoot for 1st.
When you have 6 big blinds or less, you are going to be in all-in or fold mode. It is likely that
there are very few players left in the game, and so you should be happy to push with a much
wider range or starting hands.
Playing poker and not using a training site is like planting crops and not using fertilizer.
Maximize your results with poker training.
Don't be too afraid to stick it all in the middle because of the bubble, as you will be able to take
advantage of the players who are going fold a number of good hands just so that they can try and
sneak there way in to the money.
Play to win the tournament by taking 1st place, rather than playing it overly safe and trying to
make it into the money.
If you can show no fear of being bubbled, you will be able to pick up a large number of pots and
set yourself up to be in a good position to win the tournament. There will be times when you just
miss out on the money because of being so aggressive, but there will also be times where you
win enough to take the tournament down, so show no fear.
For help with those tough all-in decisions, try learning how to use the independent chip model.
If you can get passed the fear and frustration of constantly risking your stack, you will be able to
make optimum plays and get the better of the luck-heavy turbo poker tournaments.
Each player had the following amount of $ equity in the $100 prize pool that paid $50 for 1st,
$30 for 2nd, and $20 for 3rd.
In this article I will show you how you can use these ICM equity numbers to work out whether
or not to call all-ins from other players as we approach the money positions in Texas Holdem Sit
and Go's.
cEV.
Chip EV is like standard EV in cash games. For example, if your opponent pushes all in for
1,000 chips with AQ and you call with AK, you expect on average to make 480 chips every time
you call this all in (I worked this out with some basic EV calculations).
Chip EV is just as you would expect - it's simply how many tournament chips you expect to gain
on average from each play you make.
$EV
$EV is like a slightly advanced version of cEV, as $EV indicates how much extra money you
expect to gain in prize pool equity from the tournament from each play you make.
For example, if you call an all-in with AK against AQ like in the cEV example you may earn
+480 chips, but now that you've added those extra 480 chips to your stack how much more
equity do you have in the overall prize pool? To put it another way, how much more likely are
you to win money from the tournament with those extra 480 chips?
This is the difference between cEV and $EV, where $EV is going to be a far more profitable way
to look at expected value in tournaments. $EV is pretty much the whole basis of the article, so do
not worry if you do understand what I mean by this term just yet. It will become clearer as we go
along.
Deuces Cracked is easily the top training site for cash game players. Watch videos and win more
money.
Everyone folds to the SB who pushes all in for 2,000 chips. We know for a fact that this guy is
stupidly aggressive and could well be pushing all-in with any two cards. So should we call or
should we fold? Well, we need to do 3 things:
1. Work out our equity against our opponent's range.
2. Work out the changes in prize pool equity for the different outcomes (of calling and
winning/losing or folding).
3. Work out if we increase our prize pool equity by calling.
See the articles on range and range equity for more information on this particular topic.
There is a 62.7% chance that we will increase our stack to 4,000 chips.
There is a 37.3% chance that we will lose all of our chips and leave the tournament with
nothing.
Calling seems a little bit risky already, but let's move on to the next step to see whether or not it's
actually going to be profitable to make this call over the long run.
Player A: (4,000 chips) = $35.49 equity. <- Our prize pool equity if we call and win.
Player B: (0 chips) = $0 equity.
Player A: (0 chips) = $0 equity. <- Our prize pool equity if we call and lose.
Player B: (4,000 chips) = $35.49 equity.
Player A: (1,800 chips) = $20.29 equity. <- Our prize pool equity if we fold to the all-in.
Player B: (2,200 chips) = $23.48 equity.
Folding = $20.29.
Calling = $22.36.
As you can see, our overall prize pool equity increases by calling this all-in bet. Therefore, it is
more profitable to call with ATo over the long run against any random hand than it is to fold and
save our chips. Even though on average every time we call we are only earning an extra $2.07,
calling remains as the optimum play in this particular situation.
If your total prize pool equity decreases by calling, you should fold.
If your total prize pool equity increases by calling, you should call.
Use the SNGWiz ICM tool to help you play optimum SNG
poker.
SitNGo Wizard is the perfect tool for learning how to use the independent
chip model for making the most profitable plays in the late stages of SNG tournaments.
Get the 30 day trial of SNGWiz
SNGWiz uses all the ICM stuff we have covered in this article to calculate prize pool equity
when faced with tough decisions. The program works out whether you should push, fold or call
all-in depending on the cards, opponent hand ranges and stack sizes (which is exactly what we
have just been working out).
SNGWiz is widely regarded as the best tool for ICM calculations and for teaching you how to
play the late stages of SNGs flawlessly. It's $99 for the full version, but it's a must-have for any
serious SNG player.
ICM by tomfmason.com
ICM by HoldemReview.com
This article is long enough, but if I didn't cover everything or explain a few points too well, you
may benefit reading up on the same topic from other talented writers. You might find that you
respond better to other writers' teaching methods, or that reading the same idea from a different
perspective helps to reinforce a few key points.
Either way, I have found the 3 articles above to be the most useful for learning about ICM.
How much are 100 chips worth in a tournament? How about 10,000 chips? Well that all depends
on a few things:
The amount of money in the prize pool and how much you get for coming 1st, 2nd, 3rd
and so on (prize pool distribution).
This equity business obviously get's more complicated as each player's chip stack varies, but I
hope this gives you a basic idea of prize pool equity.
Player B - 2,500
Player C - 2,500
As you can guess, Player A will have the most prize pool equity and players B and C will have
an equal amount of prize pool equity. Now, I could work the prize pool equity for each player
out by hand by doing a bunch of mathematics, but I'm not going to do this for 3 reasons:
1. It requires a hefty amount of mathematics and it's quite possibly the least fun thing to
work out in the world.
2. You're never going to want to work it out by yourself anyway. It just takes ages.
3. ICM calculators make working out prize pool equity super easy.
I'm going to input the numbers in to this awesome ICM calculator and skip to the results. I might
create a walkthrough to working out ICM by hand in the future, but until then this ICM
calculator is good enough for now.
So, I input the prize pool structure and the chip stacks and let the ICM calculator do the magic:
Therefore, with 5,000 chips Player A expects to win $38.33 from the tournament on average.
Player B expects to win $30.83 on average and so on.
Try playing with the ICM calculator yourself to see how much money you expect to win on
average from different payout structures based on how many chips you and your opponents have.
It's pretty cool.
Did you think this article was useful? Wait until you see the strategy videos at Deuces Cracked.
Evaluation of ICM.
So that's a quick overview of the independent chip model and ICM for you. Nothing
groundbreaking, but the sole intention of this article was to give you a basic understanding of the
independent chip model and prize pool equity.
Working out each player's equity in the tournament is cool and stuff, but this information isn't
very practical just yet. In the next step I'm going to use this information to work out whether or
not you should risk chips by calling all-ins toward the end of a tournament.
The how to use ICM in tournaments article will essentially help you to answer the question "is
the risk worth the reward?" when faced with tricky all-in decisions in Sit and Go tournaments.