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Executing The Due Diligence Plan (Eugene D. Hill)

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Executing the

Due Diligence Plan


Eugene D. Hill, III
SV Life Sciences Advisers LLC

Kauffman Fellows Program


October 21, 2013
1

The Substance
Key Issues
The Market
The Management

The Method
The Money
The Metrics

Venture Capital Deal Flow

Business Plans Received

Projects
Evaluated
Projects Funded
3

Key Triage Factors


Management Pedigree
Deal Source
Process Management
Customer Validation
Adherence to Plan

Key Focus Areas


Major Risk Factors
Obvious Show Stoppers
Better, Faster, Cheaper, or Brave New World

Major Risk Factors


Technological
Market
Regulatory
Operational
Financing

Market
Macro
Size

Economics (Pricing, Operating Margins)

Growth Rate

Customers

Concentration

Segmentation

Barriers to Enter

Micro

Methodology
Business Model
Value Proposition
Distribution Strategy
Competitive Differentiation
Growth Strategy
Technology

Management
Vision
Experience (Quality, Quantity, Relevancy)
Education
Track Record
Capability

Money
Financial Strategy
Capital Requirements
Structure
Valuation
Liquidity Path
Use of Proceeds

10

Numbers
Income Statement
Revenue Projections ($, Units, Average Sale Price)
Expense Projections (Head Count, Salary Level, Corporate Overhead)
Margins (Gross, Operating)

Balance Sheet
Cash
Accounts Receivable

Inventory
Goodwill/Intangibles
Debt

Liabilities
11

Cash Flow
Operating
Financing
Budget

Capitalization Table
Investors
Management
Option Pool

12

The Process
Business Plan Review
Management Presentation
Site Visit(s)

References
Competitive Analysis
Financial Analysis
Corporate Review
The Deal

13

Business Plan Review


Form
Substance
Vision
Business Model
Marketing Plan
Technology Plan
Financial Plan

14

Venture Capital Glossary


What We/They say

and What We/They Really Mean

Acquisition Strategy

the current products have no market

Basically on plan

revenue shortfall of 25 percent

Dotcom business model

potentially bigger fools have been identified

Considerably ahead of plan

hit plan in one of the last three months

Currently revisiting the budget

financial plan is in total chaos

Cyclical industry

posted a huge loss last year

Entrepreneurial CEO

totally uncontrollable, bordering on maniacal

Ingredients are there

given two years we might find a workable strategy

Investing heavily in R&D

trying desperately to catch the competition

Limited downside

it cant get much worse

15

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Venture Capital Glossary...


What We/They say

and What We/They Really Mean

Long selling cycle

yet to find a customer who likes the product

On a manufacturing learning curve

cant make the product with positive margins

Possibility of a slight shortfall

a revenue shortfall of 50 percent

Repositioning the business

multimillion-dollar investment recently written off

Somewhat below the plan

revenue shortfall of 75 percent

Too early to tell

results to date have been grim

Turnaround opportunity

lost cause

Unique

no more than six competitors

Upgrading the management team

the organization is in complete disarray

Window of opportunity

without more money, the company is dead

Work closely with the management

talk to them on the phone once a month

16

16

Pipeline Qualification
Suspect:

A potential Prospect

Prospect:

A Suspect with whom contact has


been made

Qualified Prospect: A potential Customer with budget


actively seeking a solution

Customer:

17

A contractually committed
financially viable client

Technology Review
Technology
Architecture (web-enabled or web-centric) thick
versus thin client

Operating System
Relational Database
Application Code

Development Environment

18

Technology Review (continued)


Resources
Budget
Cap Ex

Development
Operating
Maintenance

Staff
External
Internal

19

Technology Review (continued)


Track Record
Finance
Development

Experience

20

Technology Review (continued)


Function
Publish
Interact

Transact
Transform

21

Technology Review (continued)


Development Semantics
Pre-alpha
A concept in someones mind

Alpha
Works only in development laboratory

Beta
Installed in production environment, partial
feature/function complete

First Customer Release


Debugged, defined feature/function shipping to
paying customers
22

Management Presentation
Articulation
Cogent Strategy

23

Site Visit
Headquarters
Outlets
First Impression
Organizational Culture

24

References

25

Management:

Former employer(s), bosses,


peers, direct reports, board
members, advisors, competitors,
analysts

Customers:

Current, former, prospective

Company:

Auditor, legal, bank, investors

Competitive Analysis
Market Share
Mind Share
Momentum
Differentiation
Buyer Motivation - Painkiller or Vitamin?
Sales Cycle
Pricing

26

Financial Analysis
Actual vs. Plan
Sales Pipeline
Leverage (Operating, Financial)
Competition (Margin, R&D, Distribution, ASP,
Corporate)
Valuation
Return ($, IRR)
27

Corporate Review
Audit and Management Letter

Legal (Lawsuits, Licensing, Agreements, Distribution


Agreements, Employee Agreements, Employee Benefits,
Shareholder Agreements, Stock Options, Financing
Agreements, Stock Ledger, Customer Contracts, etc.)
Regulatory (Licenses, FDA, Environmental)
Intellectual Property (Patents, Copyrights,
Trademarks)
Insurance (Liability, Key Man, D&O, E&O)

Leases (Real Estate, Capital Equipment)


28

The Deal
Term Sheet
Legal Representation
Document Preparation
Closing
Post-Closing Review

29

Tips
Dos:
Conduct site visits of corporate and regional offices
arrive early
Tour with junior (non-management) staff
Meet with worker bees
See production environment

Ask lots of questions


Obtain prior round business plan (if applicable)

30

Tips
Donts:
Mistake development for production
Visit only corporate site and staff
Discuss anything in elevators or bathrooms
Leave your files unattended
Sign the visitor log
Lead the witness
Volunteer competitive information
Breach moral/written obligation of confidentiality
Assume you can structure your way to a good investment
Invest in haste or you can repent at leisure

31

Human Capital Assessment


Venture Techniques
Art Critic
Sponge
Prosecutor
Airline Captain

32

Management Orientation
Missionary
Mercenary

33

Cognitive Traps
Availability Bias

Contamination Effect

Hindsight Bias

Heuristic Affect

Induction Problem

Scope Neglect

Conjunction Fallacy

Calibration Overconfidence

Confirmation Bias

Bystander Apathy

Source: The Ascent of Money, Niall Ferguson


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