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Power Sector of Pakistan - Addition of 3600 MW CCGT in 2017 - Gas Turbines

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Strategic Studies April,2017

for academic purpose only

Energy Security of Pakistan


Issues, Challenges and Prospects
Addition of 3,600 MW To National Grid

Presenter Asim Riaz


for academic purpose only

3,600 megawatt (MW) electricity would be added to the national grid


by next month (May, 2017): Planning Commission of Pakistan
500 mmcfd of RLNG will be required for 3600 MW of CCGT or 2187
MW of GT (Single Cycle) based on full day operation of plant
At present, RLNG available in SNGPL system is 620.3 mmcfd, 241 is
already allocated for power, 379.3 mmcfd provided to CNG, Fertilizer,
Cement, APTMA and Industries. Indigenous gas of 400 mmfcd and 314
mmcfd dedicated for KPK and power, respectively
Trade off is not possible! We do not have gas for these plants (GTs)
for academic purpose only

Humans visual thinking and recognition is remarkable, though


cognitive capacity is low. Hence, visualization is very important
State variables/functions are determined by position in diagram.
Examples include T, P, V, Internal energy, enthalpy, and entropy.
Heat and Work depends upon path followed in T-S and P-V diagram.
T-S and P-V to analyze and visualize energy/heat transfer in systems
Work done by or on the system and Heat transferred to or from the
system is equal to Area under T-S and P-V curve in the diagram
Inlet evaporative cooling and chilling system can only improve
capacity. These do not improve efficiency of CCGTs or GTs.
Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
Temperature Entropy Diagram

GAS COMBUSTION
Brayton Cycle

Rankine Cycle
for academic purpose only

60% efficiency is based on 25oC ambient and ~30 bar gas pressure (US)
In Pakistan, Cold Reservoir (Sink/Ambient Temp.) may increase from
25oC to ~40oC, its 5% increase in Kelvin scale reducing efficiency of CCGT
Inlet gas pressure can also become an issue with 1.5-2 bcf gas shortage
(CGS) which will result in decreased temperature of Hot reservoir
Single Cycle operation ~20% reduction in efficiency, upgradation/retrofit
may require about 3-4 years, as it requires economizer/pre-heater,
evaporator, drum, super-heater, ducts, baffles, insulation, stack, silencer,
dampers, pumps, SCR, water treatment/cooling facility and Steam turbines
depending on Heat Recovery Steam Generator (HRSG) pressure.
for academic purpose only

Gen. Musharraf added 2,288 MW in 9 years with 7.2% debt. He should


have build Kalabagh Dam as it ensures energy, water and food security.
Mr. Zardari added 3026 MW in 5 years with 833% increase in debt.
PM Nawaz Sharif wrestled with intractable problem of Constrained
Power Shortage (CPS) created by predecessors, installing single cycle
GTs was fire fighting approach instead of Integrated Energy Planning.
RLNG Jetty is not able to receive gas required to run 3600 MW power
plants. LNG terminal expect expansion of 600mmcfd in next few months.
We have to do Power load shedding or Gas load shedding! We must
have single energy ministry and regulator for integrated planning
RLNG supply interruptions may result in external shocks to economy.
for academic purpose only

RLNG is not physically coming to Punjab there is 620.3 mmcfd Gas swap.
SNGPL RLNG pipeline of 1200 mmcfd approved @ Rs. 110.5 bn Work Not Started
Issues on R.O.W
Russian RLNG NSGPP Nawabshah to Lahore @ Rs. 89/mmbtu 3-4 yrs Required

By adding 2187 MW of low efficiency single cycle GTs (~34%) into existing
dysfunctional power system may result in larger circular debt in coming yrs
Agriculture and Industrial sectors have lost competitiveness with India due
to high power tariff. Textile, Rice and Cotton industries are in decline.
Foreign exchange component/debt will affect the whole economy.
Structural reforms are required to address systemic anomalies even after
unbundling of vertically integrated Wapda. Problem remain unsolved

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