PROFILE ON FATTENING FARM

7-2

TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE

I. SUMMARY 7-3

II. PRODUCT DESCRIPTION AND APPLICATION 7-3

III. MARKET STUDY AND PLANT CAPACITY 7-3

A. MARKET STUDY 7-3

B. PLANT CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAMME 7-8

IV. MATERIALS AND INPUTS 7-9

A. MATERIALS 7-9
B. UTILITIES 7-9

V. TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING 7-9

A. TECHNOLOGY 7-9
B. ENGINEERING 7-10

VI. MANPOWER AND TRAINING REQUIREMENT 7-11

A. MANPOWER REQUIREMENT 7-11

B. TRAINING REQUIREMENT 7-12

VII. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 7-12

A. TOTAL INITITAL INVESTMENT COST 7-12

B. PRODUCTION COST 7-13
C. FINANCIAL EVALUATION 7-14
D. ECONOMIC BENEFITS 7-15
 7-3

I. SUMMARY

This profile envisages the establishment of cattle fattening farm with annual capacity of 10,000
heads of cattle.

The present demand for cattle meat is estimated at 127,731 tonnes per annum. The demand is
projected to reach 229,334 tonnes by the year 2012

The envisaged project will create employment opportunity for about 36 persons.

The total initial investment cost of the project is estimated at Birr 12.86 million, out of which
3.7 million is for plant machinery and equipment.

The project is financially viable with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 29% and net present
value (NPV) of Birr 14 million, discounted at 10.5%.

II. PRODUCT DESCRIPTION AND APPLICATION

Fattening means controlling what cattles eat by using high quality feed so that to generate faster
weight gains. It is a strategic feeding option which produce a quick result (2-3 months),
technically quite simple. Agro-industrial by products can be used as feed sources.

Once cattle have eaten to their appetite and remain full, the chance of negative upsets are
reduced considerabliy. In this regard additional libitum feeding would result in increased daily
weight gains of upto 700 gm per day.

III. MAKET STUDY AND PRODUCTION CAPACITY

A. MARKET STUDY

1. Past Supply and Present Demand

Meat produced in the country has two outlets; the local and export market. The greatest portion
of the annual production is consumed locally while small portion of it is exported.
 7-4

To establish the present local demand for beef meat an end-users approach is used. For this
estimation " The 1995/1996 Revised Report on Household Income, Consumption and
Expenditure Survey", published in 1998 by CSA is used as a base. The demand estimated
based on the above indicated survey is given in Table 3.1.

Table 3.1
ANNUAL BEEF CONSUMPTION (COUNTRY LEVEL)

Number of Average Quantity Total

Income Group Individuals in the Annualy consumed consumption
(Annual) Group (Gm) (Tonnes)
<600 37,628 148 5.57
600-999 184,605 237 43.75
1000-1399 474,769 332 158
1400-1999 1,777,526 695 1,235
2000-2599 2,841,045 1,011 2,872
2600-3399 5,109,691 1,175 6,004
3400-4199 6,559,456 1,138 7,465
4200-5399 9,181,298 1,405 12,900
5400-6599 7,741,988 1,553 12,023
6600-8999 9,288,388 2,234 20,750
9000-12599 6,088,183 3,549 21,607
12,600-16199 1,611,863 6,089 9,815
16,200-19999 799,619 7,303 5,840
>20,000 993,008 12,156 12,071
Total 52,689,067 - 112,789

As can be seen from Table 3.1, the total national annual beef meat consumption in the year
1995/96 was 112,789 tonnes. The per capita consumption is thus estimated to be 2.14kg, given
the total Ethiopian population of 52,689,067 at the time the survey carried out. Using the
 7-5

population growth rate of 2.9% per annum, the present effective national demand for beef meat
is estimated at 126,453 tonnes.

Meat export has tremendously increased in the past few years. Table 3.2 presents export of
meat and meat products.

Table 3.2
EXPORT OF MEAT AND MEAT PRODUCTS

Year Export (tonnes)

1991 38
1992 15
1993 40
1994 209
1995 580
1996 1,268
1997 1,823
1998 2,508

Source: The External Trade Statistics, Customs Authority

The above table indicates that substantial increase in the export of meat and meat products was
registered during the period under review. From the year 1993 to 1998, export grew from 40
tonnes to 2,508 tonnes. The notable reason for this substantial growth in this five years is the
devaluation of the local currency (Birr) which stimulated export, thus the average export of
meat and meat products in this period i.e, 1,278 tonnes is assumed to indicate the current
foreign market demand for the product.

2. Demand Projection

The increase in household meat consumption is mainly a function of three demand determining
variables i.e population, income and consumption habit.
 7-6

The total population growth rate in Ethiopia is 2.9% per annum, while that of the urban
population growth rate is 4% per annum. The consumption of meat by the rural population is
expected to increase as a result of higher income. Hence, in order to estimate the probable level
of future demand, present demand is assumed to increase by a slightly higher rate than the
urban population growth rate, i.e.5% per annum.

According to Economic Commission for Africa's (ECA) "Economic Report on Africa (2002)",
the average growth rate of Ethiopian export over the period 1991-2000 were 4.8% per annum.
Accordingly the future export market demand for the product is assumed to grow by 4.8% per
annum.

The demand projected on the basis of the above assumptions is shown in Table 3.3

Table 3.3
DEMAND PROJECTION IN TONNES

Year Projected Domestic Projected Export Demand Total

Demand
2001 132,776 1,339 134,115
2002 139,414 1,404 140,818
2003 146,385 1,471 147,856
2004 153,704 1,542 155,246
2005 161,390 1,616 163,006
2006 169,459 1,693 171,152
2007 177,932 1,774 179,706
2008 186,829 1,860 188,689
2009 196,170 1,950 198,120
2010 205,979 2,042 208,021
2011 216,276 2,140 218,416
2012 227,091 2,243 229,334
 7-7

3. Pricing and Distribution

The domestic market price is determined by the market force of demand and supply.
Whenever more cattle are driven to the market places the price would decline and vice versa.
Generally the domestic market price for meat has shown a continuous increase over the past
five years. The domestic market prices are indicated in Table 3.2 below.

Table 3.4
LOCAL MARKET PRICE OF MEAT

Years Local Birr/kg *

1991 7.31
1992 9.04
1993 11.03
1994 11.46
1995 11.76

Farmers bring their cattle to their nearby cattle market, where they are bought by small cattle
traders. The small cattle traders drive the cattle to the terminal market from which they are
taken finally either to slaughter house after they are sold to meat shops (lukandas) or to other
big towns for resale to meat shops in big towns. These cattle markets are the major sources of
stock to the cattle fattening farms as well.

Foreign market prices are determined by either through negotiation with the importers abroad
or by the international market prices. The former approach is mostly commonly applicable in
setting prices at the export market. There was in general price increase in the export market
which contributed to the increase in the quantity of meat export. The annual average export
price is indicated in Table 3.4.
 7-8

Table 3.4
EXPORT MARKET PRICE OF MEAT AND LIVE WEIGHT

Years Annual Average Live cattle

Prices of meat (Birr/kg)
(Birr/kg)
1990 3.90
1991 3.80
1992 1.30
1993 11.60 4.82
1994 14.50 5.32
1995 13.30 5.19

The sharp increase in the export prices of meat during the early 1990s was attributed to Birr
devaluation. The live weight price of cattle in the year 1995 is assumed to be the finished
product price of cattle for the envisaged fattening farm i.e Birr 5,190 per tonne.

The envisaged farm is recommended to directly export its product and for the local market use
commissioned agents at strategic locations.

B. PLANT CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAMME

1. Plant Capacity

The fattening project will have a capacity of 2500 heads of cattle, per batch and the objective is
to process four batches per year with 90 days feeding period per batch. Stock mobilization can
be arranged on weekly basis with 210 cattles per week. This level of production (10,000 heads
per annum) is considered to be more realistic as it will enable proper management and efficient
utilization of resources and assets. An average weight of each animal after fattening is
assumed to be about 300 kg.

2. Production Programme

The farm will work all the year round. The farm will start at 75% of its rated capacity in the
first year and full capacity in the second year and thereafter.
 7-9

IV. MATERIALS AND INPTUS

A. MATERIALS

Annual raw material requirement and cost of the fattening farm at full operation capacity is
given in Table 4.1.

Table 4.1
ANNUAL RAW MATERIAL REQUIREMENT AND
COSTS OF FATTENING FARM AT FULL CAPACITY

No Description Qty Cost, Birr in 000

Local Foriegn Total
1 Cattle (head) 10,000 6,000 6,000
2 Feed (tonnes) 3,700 2,236 - 2,236
3 Other feed (tonnes) 9,000 1,620 - 1,620
4 Vaccin & treatment LS 24 216 240
injection
Total 9,880 216 10,096

B. UTILITIES

Annual requirement of electricity, water and fuel is estimated at 12,950 kwh, 110,500 m3 and
75,500 liters, respectively. The total costs of utilites is, therefore, about Birr 455,650 per
annum.

V. TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING

A. TECHNOLOGY

1. Production Process

Generally, the fattenig farm will have the following process. Cattles purchased from
purchasing centres holding areas feed lots - marketing. The holding areas are used as
 7-10

quarantine and treteatment. Treatment include: weighing, vaccination, deeping, etc. It is

important that animals in the fattening programme receive adequate disease protection.
Unhealthy and unproductive animals do not make good use of high quality fed, which is scares
therefore, animals poorly performing after 2 weeks, needs to be culled and sold in the local
market. Well performing animals kept for three months are expected to gain an average wieght
of 60kg.

2. Source of Technology

The machinery and equipment required can be supplied by Hagbes Ethiopia PLc.

B. ENGINEERING

1. Machinery and Equipment

The required machinery, equipment and tools are listed in Table 5.1. Total cost is estimated at
Birr 3.7 million, out of which Birr 3.1 million (84.0%) is in foreign currancy.

Table 5.1
LIST OF MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT FOR FATTENING FARM.

No Description Qty Unit Price Total cost ('000 Birr)

(No.) (Birr)
Foreign Local Total
1 Deeping vat 1 50,000 10.0 40.0 50.0
2 Cruch 1 5,000 4.5 0.5 5.0
3 Syringes 50 500 22.50 2.50 25.00
4 Hoof treamer 15 700 9.45 1.05 10.50
5 Burdizzo crusher 15 800 10.80 1.20 12.00
6 Knapsak sprayer 15 1,500 20.25 2.25 22.50
7 Weigh bridge/scale 2 75,000 135.00 15.00 150.00
8 Feeder and water trought 30 6,500 156.00 39.00 195.00
9 Tractor 3 200,000 540.00 60.00 600.00
10 Trailer 4 75,000 270.00 30.00 300.00
11 Water tank 4 95,000 190.00 190.00 380.00
12 Reservior 4 400,000 1,534.24 65.76 1,600.00
13 Molasses tank 2 35,000 35.0 35.0 70.00
14 Urea mixer tank 2 95,000 95.0 95.0 190.00
15 Silage Graps 2 50,000 75 25 100
Total Cost - 3,107.74 602.26 3,710.00
 7-11

2. Land, Buildings and Civil Works

The total area required for fattening farm is about 5000 m2. Building area of 620 m2 and shade
area of 1250 m2 are required. The total cost buildings and civil works at the rate of Birr 1,500
per m2 for the building and Birr 1000 per m2 for the shade is estimated at Birr 2,180,000. On
the other hand, the total cost of land lease at the rate of Birr 1.2 per m2 and for 95 years of land
holding is estimated at Birr 570,000.

3. Proposed Location

The location can be Gode or Jigjiga, where there is an easy foreign and local market accesses.

VI. MANPOWER AND TRAINING REQURIEMENT

A. MANPOWER REQURIEMENT

Manpower required and the corresponding labour cost for the envisaged project is indicated in
Table 6.1.

Table 6.1
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT AND ANNUAL LABOUR COST

No Description Req. Monthly Annual salary

Person salary, (Birr) (Birr)
1 Farm Manger 1 1500 18,000
2 Secretary 1 600 7,200
3 Unit leaders 2 1050 25,200
4 Cattle Attendant 12 600 86,400
5 Sales person 2 900 21,600
6 Ass. Feed specialist 1 900 10,800
4 Veternarian 1 1000 12,000
5 Record keeper 2 700 16,800
6 Drivers 5 700 42,000
7 Ass. Driver 5 350 21,000
8 Guards 4 300 14,400
Sub-Total 36 275,400
Employee's Benefits (25%) 68,850
Grand Total 36 344,250
 7-12

B. TRAINING REQUIREMENT

No special training is required for the envisaged project

VII. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

The financial analysis of the Cattle Fattening project is based on the data presented in the
previous chapters and the following assumptions:-

Construction period 2 years

Source of finance 30 % equity
70 % loan
Tax holidays 5 years
Bank interest 10.5%
Discounted cashflow 10.5%
Land value Based on estimated lease rate of the region

Repair and maintenance 5 % of the total plant and machinery

Accounts receivable 30 days

Raw material local 30 days
Raw materials import 90 days
Work in progress 90 days
Finished products 30 days
Cash in hand 5 days
Accounts payable 30 days

A. TOTAL INITIAL INVESTMENT COST

The total initial investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at about
Birr 12.86 million, out of which 26 per cent will be required in foreign currency. For details see
Table 7.1.
 7-13

Table 7.1
INITIAL INVESTMENT COST (000 BIRR)

Cost Items Foreign Local Total

Currency Currency
1 Land - 570.00 570.00
2. Building and Civil Work - 2,180.00 2,180.00
3. Plant Machinery and Equipment 3,107.74 602.26 3,710.00
4. Office Furniture and Equipment - 50.00 50.00
5. Vehicle - 500.00 500.00
6. Pre-production Expenditure* - 1,274.30 1,274.30
Total Investment cost 3,107.74 5,074.30 8,274.30
7 Working Capital 142.12 4,442.48 4,584.6
Total 3,249.86 9,516.78 12,858.90

B. PRODUCTION COST

The annual production cost at full operation capacity of the plant is estimated at Birr 12
million (see Table 7.2). The material and utility cost accounts for 8 per cent while repair and
maintenance take 1.52 per cent of the production cost.

_________________
* Pre-production expenditure include interest during construction (Birr1.12 million) and
cost of registration, licensing and formation of the company including legal fees,
commissioning expenses, etc.
 7-14

Table 7.2
ANNUAL PRODUCTION COST ('000 BIRR)

Year
Items 3 4 7 10

Raw Material and Inputs 7,572.00 10.095.00 10.096.00 10.096.00

Labour direct 171.45 228.60 228.60 228.60
Utilities 341.74 455.65 455.65 455.65
Energy and Power
Spare parts
Maintenance and repair 138.24 184.31 184.31 184.32
Factory overheads 51.60 68.80 68.80 68.80
Administration Overheads 46.80 46.80 46.80 46.80
Total Operating Costs 8,322.40 11,080.90 11,080.90 11,080.90
Depreciation 617.60 617.60 487.60 487.60
Cost of Finance 563.40 551.00 466.50 409.30
Total Production Cost 9,503.40 12,249.50 12,035.00 11,977.80

C. FINANCIAL EVALUATION

1. Profitability

According to the projected income statement, the project will start generating profit in the first
year of operation. Important ratios such as profit to total sales, net profit to equity (Return on
equity) and net profit plus interest on total investment (return on total investment) show an
increasing trend during the life-time of the project.

The income statement and the other indicators of profitability show that the project is viable.

2. Break-even Analysis

The break-even point of the project is estimated by using income statement projection.

BE = Fixed Cost = 15 %
Sales Variable cost
 7-15

3. Pay Back Period

The investment cost and income statement projection are used to project the pay-back period.
The project's initial investment will be fully recovered within 5 years.

4. Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value

Based on the cashflow statement, the calculated IRR of the project is 29% and the net present
value at 10.5% discount rate is Birr 14 million.

D. ECONOMIC BENEFITS

The project can create employment for 36 persons. In addition to supply of the domestic
needs, the project will generate Birr 15 million interms of tax revenue. The establishment of
such factory will have a foreign exchange saving effect to the country by substituting the
current imports.