17th Topic
17th Topic
17th Topic
Abstract
Introduction:
Energy has become one of most crucial element among all elements of state
power. Economic development, social standards and defense of a state
completely depends on the energy base of the state. In order to measure the
socio-economic prosperity in a society per capita energy consumption is used
as a set standard. Energy prosperity is strongly associated with Human
Development Index (HDI)(Asif,2012, p.1) of a country. As a matter of fact the
aggregated global civilization is not only depending on energy but also it is
increasing dependency on energy. United Nations anticipated that the
population of world will increase up to 9.1 billion by 2050. A great part of this
population is estimated to be grown in the developing world- Asia and Africa.
(Asif,2012, p.3)This growth in population shall inevitably increase
dependency on the energy sector. Growing economic growth shall also
demand advanced and adequate energy provision as well. Overall energy
scenario suggests a sustainable energy base for each nation in order to
sustain its economy and maintain impressive stand in the committee of
nations.
As Asia and Africa are marked as the region that will have to bear most of the
burden of population and economic activity till the mid of this century, it has
become vital for the regional actors to take energy sector as their top priority
in order to secure their position as the key player in all economic and strategic
matters of the region.In Asian region China has merged as key competitor
with other regional and global powers. In South Asia India occupies a pivotal
position by its potential to influence the regional actors. Although Pakistan is
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*Authors are Ph.D. Scholar and Professor at Department of Political Science,
University of the Punjab, Lahore - Pakistan
Asia Mukhtar and Iram Khaild
included in the nuclear club and possesses viable deterrence in the region, yet
it is facing serious energy crisis. As far as ratio of population growth and
increase in economic activity is concerned, Pakistan is in dire need of strong
and sustainable energy base. At present, Pakistan is going through severe
energy crisis and it is in dire need of new energy resources. Development in
energy sector is significant not only for the prosperity of the state but also for
the strategic strength of the state.
Pakistan took off as very fragile state with meek resources and infrastructure.
Energy sector was also in a quite dilapidated condition. At the time of
inception, Pakistan inherited worth Million 1.2 tonne of oil equitant (MTOE) for
the population of roughly 33 million. The installed electricity capacity was
around 50 MW approximately. This energy was quite challenging. Pakistan
was facing quite serious and immediate issues like Defence and refugee
settlement problems at that time. The energy sector got primacy with the
growing economic activity and population increase. Pakistan explored
different sources of energy by and by with the availability of resources,
technology and manpower. This article will explore all energy trends and
scenarios taking in view their efficiency, effectiveness and implication.
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1. Hydropower
(Michel,1967 pp.169)
Indus Water Treaty made possible for Pakistan to construct viable enegy
projects. WAPDA has taken up these projects with great responsibility.
Tarbela dam provides total installed capacity of 3478 MW, Mangla 1000 MW
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and Chashma 184 MW . beside these mega projct many other projects are
also completed. As fara as energy managementt is concerned, it is important
to keep the pace of energy with the increasing population and and growing
economic activity. Unless energy sector keep abreast with these indicators of
social development no prosperity can ever be achieved.Currently the hydro
projects completed under the WAPDA patronization are listed below
(www.pildat.org/Publications/.../ConstructionOfKalabaghDamBackgroundPape
r.pdf)Although resolution of such task of national interests are the reponsibility
of Council of Common Interests (CCI) but council remained dorment for longer
period of time. It was only in March 1991 that an Accord was signed by the
four provinces over the problem of water division. The key figures of this
Accord are presented below:
Water distribution has remained the major bone of contention behind the idea
of the construction of Kalabagh Dam. All provinces except Balochistan have
serious concerns over the water disribution issue. However, WAPDA rejects
all such concerns over the manufacturing of Kalabagh dam. Many experts
favour the construction of the dam. However, some experts have objections
on the Kalabagh dam project as well. But the impartial studies propose that
Kalabagh dam would have more merits as compared to its demerits.
According to the experts, dams serve to be the source of harnessing both
surface and underground water that is usually remained under utilized. Most
of surface water remain unused in case of Pakistan. This is a bleak reality that
most of surface water of Pakistan is under utilized and drains into sea without
procuring any benefits. The construction of dam can offer enhanced
probability for beneficial consumption of water. It can serve as major factor in
eradication of floods that cause multiple losses of life and property. The
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Construction of Kalabagh Dam and resolution of issues over this projects can
easily be dealt by virtue of good governance. Among all the projects under
construction the proposed Kalabagh dam of much worth as far as its benefits
are concerned. The biggest drawback of this project is the plitical influence
and maladministration. If stakeholders are able to overcome mutual
differences and they are able to develop consensus, the proposed Kalabagh
dam can bring a considerable change in energy sector of Pakistan.
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Major Trends and Policies in Pakistan’s Energy Sector Management
Thermal power, the second supply of energy, had the full amount of installed
capability of roughly 67MW at the time of the inception of Pakistan. Since the
hydro based sources of Pakistan were not in a formidable position and a clash
with India on water division was also in the process, the energy secter was
developing at dawdling pace. The climate and season of Pakistan make it
inveitable to extend thermal power provision for the support of hydropower
base in the season of water deficiency. While considering all these comlicated
factors, Pakistan developed thermal power resources at a striking rate. The
overall installed capacity of thermal power reached upto 441MW during
1960s. In the 1970s, this capacity increased to 650 MW. Water and Power
Development Authority (WAPDA) patronized the growth of the capacity of
energy generation in Pakistan. Gas, Furnace oil and High Speed Diesel are
the most frequently used fuels. As compared to natural Gas, both fuels are
are very expesive commodities in the power generation sector. It is not
advantageous in any way to rely on these luxurious resources. Till 1990s,
WAPDA supervised and set up all thermal power projects. After 1990s,
WAPDA was immobilized. Until 2008, WAPDA produced 4, 899 MW with its
thermal power projects. This power generation comprised 24.4 % of country’s
sum energy production. WAPDA initiated around 13 projects of thermal power
in various appropriate locations all over the country. Prior to the orientation of
independent power producers, WAPDA accomplished all projects initiated
under its supervision. Below is given a tabulated version of power facility in
MWs, fuel choice and date of commissioning.
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came under the control of the Government. KESC is engaged in all aspects of
power generation; generation, transmission and distribution. Total area comes
under its jurisdiction is almost 6000 sq km. its consumership is around 2
million. In 2005 Governmnet of Pakistan tranfered 73% shares of the company
and it was made privatized. From then on the management of KESC is under
the control of new owners. KESC generates all its electricity from thermal
power plants. Total installed capacity of the company is around 1756 MW. The
detail of this energy installation is given below:
KESC Thermal Power Stations
In the overall Pakistan’s energy mix nuclear power is a trace element with the
meger contribution of 2.3% of total installed energy capacity. Pakistan’s
nuclear program remained limited and slow till 1954. A deal with Canadian
firm General Electric was signed for the installantion of 137 MW capacity
nuclear reactor in 1965, almost a decade later of the initiation of research in
the Atomic Energy sector. This reactor was named as KANUPP (Karachi
Nuclear Power Plant). This plant was finally commissioned in 1972. For the
next thirty years this plant provided almost 10.2 billion kWh. As each nuclear
power plant has its own commissioned life, the KANUPP also retired in 2002.
In 2004 KANUPP was reconditioned for further working. This plant was
enabled to work for the next 15 years but with less output capacity. The
second nuclear power plant is CHASNUPP (Chashma Nuclear Power Plant),
it is located in chashma. Total energy generation capacity of CHASNUPP is
around 325 MW. It was commissioned in 2000. KANUPP and CHASNUPP are
the only operating nuclear power plants with combined insatlled capacity of
462 MW. Proposal for the construction of thid nuclear power plant is also
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Pakistan is bestowed with ideal climatic conditions that are, beside other
benefits, are quite conducive for energy generation. All renewable energy
resources like wind, solar and tidal are in abundance in Pakistan. The history
of renewable energy resources not quite new in Pakistan but some serious
work has been done in this regard quite recently. Although some small-scale
wind turbines were installed on pilot project basis but it was in the decades of
70s and 80s that some 4000 biogas units were set up in total. It was lack of
proper patronization from the pertinent authorities that these projects could not
proliferate into mega projects. (Sajjad Zafar, personal communication, June
11, 2015)
‘Ministry of Water and Power’ is managing the Energy sector and it is dealiing
mainly with water and electricity. strategic and fiscal planning for long-term
plans also comes under the jurisdiction of this ministry both in the public and
private sectors. WAPDA, along with its corporations is handling long-term
projects in the energy sector. WAPDA was established as semi-autonomous
body in 1958. Its major obligation was the construction of mega projects.
Operation and maintenance, power transmission and distribution of the mega
projects was also the responsibility of this institution. WAPDA has performed
effectively in the energy sector of the country till its disintegration during
Musharraf Era. There are many project at the credit of WAPDA. Several
energy policies are responsible for the working and managemant of energy
sector. Some notable policies are discussed below that have shaped the
current situation of the energy sector in Pakistan.
From inception till the end of 80s WAPDA served as a institution taking under
its supervision all departments pertaining to energy from generation,
transmission and distribution. It was in mid-80s that after serious energy
shortfall, GoP palnned to developed a viable energy policy in order to atttract
the multinational investment in energy sector. The underlying idea was to
generate an atmosphere suitable and conducive to bulk of electricity
generation facilities without affecting the government resources. GoP initiated
BOO policy which offered facilities to the private sector for the concessional
period of 20 years to Build, Own and Operate (BOO). In 1987 Government
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announced financial policy for the private sectorin the field of energy
generation. Some vital features of this policy are sumed up below;
significant measures that consituted the main point of 1994 energy policy. A
constitution for the Private Power Board (PPB) was also suggested, so that
one window operation could be further facilitated.
These incentives were other than quite attractive fiscal and financial
incentives. ‘Balancing of Risks’ involved in private power generation were the
basis of these incentives. The projects with ‘Risk’ factor were appointed to
those parties who were in better position to mitigate these risk factors. The
private power investors were expected to deal with the risks in volved in power
project concieving, designing, arrangement of funds, construction of fuel
obtaining and operations and maintenance for the term of the project were
provided protection from the GOP from market risks like they were not bound
to sell their product to one buyer.
Private sector was also protected against currency fluctuation risk, foreign
exchange availablity risk, natural calamities, fuel price fluctuation, unstable
political situation and administration change and most crucial, payment
avoidence of power purchaser. All these agreements were given the
protection of enforceable laws.
1994 power policy met huge success and many investors approached
government. 127 applications were received of total capacity of 26,000MW, 82
letters of interest were issued of gross capacity of 19,662 MW, 34 letter of
support were issued wwith the gross capacity of 9,062 MW and 14 projects
were commisssioned of gross capacity of 3,021 MW. These 14 projects were
based oil and gas consuption. Most importantly, under the power policy of
1994 PPIB (Private Power and Infrastructure Board) was created.
The proposal for PPIB also came from the recommendations of the Task
Force established in 1993. PPIB, which was established under an
administrative order, was given the task of the development of private
participation in the energy sector, provision of one window facility on the
behalf of Government, execution of “Infrastructure Agreement” in the name of
Government and monotering and helping IPPs in completion “WUL (Water
Use Licence)” with relevent Government agencies. The functions and
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Hydle power is most reliable source of energy production. It is not only cheap
in cost but also it is most atmosphere-friendly. In 1995, for the promotion of
private sector, governmentalso announced Hydel Policy. PPIB was assigned
this task. “Total 41 letter of interest were received with gross capacity of 1385
MW, 44 letter of support were issued of gross capacity of 444MW and there is
1 project under development of 132MW gross capacity. There is only one
commissioned Hydel power project of 84MW gross capacity by the name
‘New Bong Escape Hydro Power Project”. (http://www.ppib.com)
Both 1994 and 2002 Power Policies have their specific remifications. The
power projects undertaken by virtue of these policies mainly used costly fuels
like Gas, HSD, RFO ect. As a result the cost of energy increased and actual
relief never come by as it should be after this much energy generation. In
2006 a few amendment were made in 2002 Power policy. GOP banned RFO,
HSD, and Gas fired projects. Secondly WAPDA was allowed to Thermal
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Power Generation on case to case basis due to slow response of IPPs. When
private sector is involved in a mega projects with concessional and mtivating
perspective, there is a need of an astute legal framework in order to keep the
risk balancing alongwith the provision of incentive mechanism. An all
encompassing home work on the policy making, imlementational hazard and
availble alternates beside a firm grip over fiscal and financial issue.
(http://www.ppib.com)This much homework was missing on the policy and
implementational side. The 1994 Power Policy was recived overwhelmingly
but mismanagement and lack of confidence in HUBCO project undermined
the confidence of the investors. 2002 Power Policy could attract less foregn
investors, dometic inverstor remained at the top. Political instability also
affected the opportunities of foreign investment in Pakistan. Detailed
comparison of both landmark Power Policies is given below;
Pivate Power sector grew impressively but the incentive package given by the
governmnet of Pakistan was not well evaluated and it lacked foresightedness
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as far as tarrif and fuel management was concerned. At the end of the day the
electricity acquire through furnis oil and gas fell heavey on the energy budget.
PPIB was proposed by the task force set up for energy in 1993. When energy
policy of 1994 was announced PPIB was also created through administrative
orders for the following purposes;
1. “Promotion of private investment in power sector
2. Provision of one window facility to the investors in the energy sector on
the behalf of GOP, its Ministaries and Departments.
3. Execution of IA and provision of gaurentee on the behalf of GOP.
4. Assistance and monitoring of IPPs in executing PPA, FSA, GSA (Gas
Supply Agreement), WUL (Water Use Licence) with relevant agencies
of the GOP.
5. Technical, financial and legal support to the Ministry of Water and
Power, Provinces/ AJ&K.”
PPIB has established itself as an expert body over all sectors of energy from
invertments proposal till their execution packages to the investors both from
local and foreign countries. It was only due to the expertise of PPIB well
trained professionals that Power Policy of 1994 proved to be a mega success.
“Gross investment PPIB attracted towards the Pakistan’s energy sector is
around $9.7 billion both from local and foreign donners. PPIB has on its credit
29 Independent Power Plants (IPPs) with the technology based on the RFO
(Residual Fuel Oil), HSD (High Speed Diesel) resources. IPPs are currently
providing 42% of total installed capacity of the coutry.” (Workshop on
“Challenges in Energy Sector” conducted by WAPDA, attended by the scholar
on 4-11-12)
Till 2002 PPIB was operating under “Administrative Order”, rendering its
operation on the behalf of the Government its Ministries and Departments.
The board was re-established considering its ever expanding functions. PPIB
was re-established under a new statute. This statute reinterating its on-going
functions and establishing its new aims and objectives. The process of giving
PPIB a status of legal entity was initaited through proper channel. The process
was initiated through the Cabinet, CCI, National Assembly and Senate. The
“Private Power Infrastructure Board Act, 2012” was passed by the Parliiament
and it received retification of the President on March, 2012. It was published in
the Gazette of Pakistan on 6tth March 2012. Hence, the legal standing of
board established in discharge its broad-spectrum functions.
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Functions of PPIB
Under the act of 2012, following are the powers and functions of PPIB;
1. Recommnedation for the development of viable energy policy.
2. Prior to the construction of a hydro-electric power station, consultation
with the concerned Provincial governments It will also consult the
Provincial authorities on the matters pertaining to the power projects
set up by private sector or through public- private partnership and
other mascellinious issues pertaining thereto.
3. Building up acoordination network with Provincial Government, Local
Governments, Government of Azad Jammu and Kashmir and
regulatory bodies for the implementation of power policies, if so
required.
4. To coordinate and facilitate the sponsors in obtaining licences ans
consents from various agencies of the Federal Government, Local
governments and Governmnet of AJ&K.
5. To play effective role in policy implementation in private sector or in
public private partnership as per power system requirements.
6. To perform the functions as one-stop organization in facilitatating the
private power companies, their sponsors and lenders on the behalf of
Federal Government, Ministries and Departments by all necessary and
appropriate ways and means.
7. To draft and negotiate the security package documents. And to
documentation of agreements and to dfart gautentee the contractual
obligations of entities under the power policies.
8. Excute, administer and monitor contract like prescription and receiving
of fee and charges for processing applications and deposit and
disburse or utilize the same, if required.
9. To obtain security instruments and encash or return charges from
sponser or private power companies as deemed appropriate.
10. To act and perform as an agent for development, facilitation and
implementation of power policies and related infrastructure in AJ&K
and Gilgit Baltistan.
11. To open and operate bank accounts in local and foreign currencies as
permissible under the laws and regulation of Pakistan.
12. To provide complete mechanism to commence, conduct, continue, and
terminate litigation, arbitration. To provide alternate dispute resolution
mechanisms at all levels may be necessary or appropriate. To hire and
pay legal services and expertise of the lawyers therefore.
13. Appointment of technical, professional or ther advisers, agents and
consultants. This includes accountatts, bankers, engineers, lawyers,
valuers and other persons.
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The power and function of PPIB speaks of its singnificance for the promotion
and generation of IPPs in Pakistan. Right from its establishment PPIB has
rendered impressive services and facilitate several projects of“Independent
Power Producers” in Pakistan. Few significan proposals that are facilitated by
the PPIB are given below;
PPIB has played a vital role in the power generation, especially in the absence
of major hydle power projects. Although energy generation by oil and gas is
quite high in cost but still it is the only availbale alternative. Beside sevaral
administrative and financial issues, IPPs have filled the energy gaps that could
have cause a great damage to the economy of the country otherwise. In the
major patterns of energy sector in Pakistan PPIB has a vital role to play. This
obvious role of PPIB can be assed by evaluating future targets of PPIB for
private power generation. (Malik, 2012). Future Targets of PPIB adds into the
major energy patterns in Pakistan. Alongwith public sector, it is facilitating and
attracting the private sector in the energy circle of Pakistan in order to fulfill the
growing energy needs in the social, economic, domestic and cmmercial
sectors.
PPIB has focused on the energy generation through relatively cheap energy
resources. It has planned to develop hydro and coal resources rather than
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furnis oil and gas. There are few key plans under the keen focus of the Board.
The datails of them is as following;
PPIB has a plan to initiate Development Fund in order to attract Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) in the sectors with high perceived risks. This fund is
proposed to be used in two important fields; i) in puttin equity in Engineering,
Procurement and Construction (EPC) and in arranging loans in shape of
supplies (F7). ii)- Subordinated loans for the projects. Previously development
Fund have played a significant role in the development of energy sector. The
prime example is the Private Sector Energy Development Fund (PSEDF) that
was created with the help of World Bank (WB) and administer through Private
Energy Division (PED) under the National Development Finance Commission
(NDFC). IPPs actually found their basis through these arrangements. As
compare to 90s finding and attracting financing opportunities have become
difficult. PPIB is determiined to find conerned and to create Energy Funds.
Again with purpose of facilitation and convenience to the investors, PPIB has
aimed at to make the implementational methods of Hydro Power Projects
more simple and easy to comprehend. The proposed hydro power projects
were prepared earlier with the consultation of all stakeholders. PPIB in its 90th
meeting has decided that “”the proposed framework for Fast Track
Development of Hydro power projects be further studied and modified in
consultation with the stakeholders to bring clarity”. Such acts are a positive
act towards the completion of hydro power projects and towards the further
facilitation of the sponsors and lenders for the aforesaid projects.
This is further a smart move in puttingg efficiency in building the power project
on a fast pace. WAPDA has completed the feasibility studies of two projects
proposedly located in Kohistan Valley (KPK); Lower Palas Valley Hydropower
Project (665MW) and Lower Spat Gah Hydropower project (496MW)in 2010.
Basically these two projects were in public sector but in 2010 WAPDA has
decided to complete these projects in Public Private partnership (PPP). An
Expression of Interest (EOI) is invited by WAPDA I July, 2011 for this purpose
under the provisions of “Policy for Power Generation Project 2002” . in
response to EOI WAPDA received proposal from private sector firms. After a
careful evaluation two proposals of two separate Korean Consortium were
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In the era of 90s, when IPPs got established, furnis oil gas were taken as the
best affordable options. With the passage of time these two resources
bacame quite costly. In the last decade an exorbitant increase is witnessed in
the prices of oil and gas in the world open market. With that high increase in
the fuel price, pakistani rupee has also seen a record devluation. It is
witnessed that furnis oil price has increased 527%, Gas price 40% and
devaluation of pakistani rupee is recorded in this time period aroung 53%.
Alongwith other reasons this national and global economic scenario has
added in the turmoil of energy sector in Pakistan. Keeping in view these facts
and figures, PPIB also planed to bring IPPs to the cheaper fuel. PPIBhas
drafted guidelines for the IPPs to assist them convert their power plant to the
cheaper fuels. Although no such suggestion is materialized yet but PPIB is
keen to persue these guidelines.(Source: General Manager Planning Power
National Transmission & Dispatch Company (NTDC)
Energy management sector of Pakistan has its own history. Intially WAPDA
handled all energy sector under the Ministery of Water and Power. All hydle
and thermal power generation took place under the patronization and
vigilance of WAPDA authrorities. It was in mid 80s that the Private Power
Generation sector was introduced for the first time. Form that time onwards, is
it working and handling IPPs impressivly. Another significant move is verticle
disintegration of WAPDA in the Musharraf era, that has a far reaching impact
on the power generation and management sector of Pakistan. After exploring
the energy generation history and energy management sector, it is equally
important to under stand the issue and problem in the energy sector of
Pakistan. Part III of this article is dedicated to the issues of energy sector in
Pakistan.
Enrgy sector in Pakistan is suffering form several problems and issues. These
issues and problems are pertaining to policy, governanace, technical and cost
issues. Each of these issues is quite serious in nature and has multiple
implications on the energy sector. At the same place if these issues are not
resolved on meritt and in time, it will cause a serious desastor not only to the
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econmic sector but also it will affect the social fabric of the country. The detail
of these issues is given as under;
1. Policy Issues:
Energy infrastructue od Pakistan was depending heavily on Hydle
resources since inception and there were serious water issues
bewteen India and Pakistan. Due to serious economic delapidation
Pakistan coiuld not form an effective and all encompassing energy
policy in the early years of independence. In the coming decades,
even after the signing down of Indus Water Treaty with India, Pakistan
could not manage to create and implement a comorehensive energy
policy that coud match the pace of economic development and
growing domestic needs due improved life standards in both rural and
urban areas. Only a few policies, that are discussed earlier, could be
made with the purpose to meet some urgent needs in the short-termed
span. Absence of a comprehensive energy policy that could cover all
aspects of enrgy requirements, geneeration, transmission, distribution,
and energy resouce selection areas.
Energy sector of Pakistan lacks synergy between various institution
pertaining to energy generation, transmission and distribution. This
situation has adversly affected both policy formulation and
implementation procedure. It is highly desireable that the energy
sector, for the purpose of coherence should work under one single
department with one patronizing entity.
As far as deisions and policies regarding preferences of major
resources, till 1970s hydle source was making up almost 70% of
Pakistan’s energy sector and nearly 30% was being generated through
thermal resources and to some extend nuclear resources. The
estimated hydle power of the country is upto 45000MW. No effective
policy is found in the entire energy generation history of pakisan that
show the will of utilization this potential. Some make shift policies are
their and others are highly controversial like Kalabagh Dam. In this
connection there is serious lack of effective policy and planning. The
consequent reliance on thermal resources has made electricity a very
costly comodity. Beside this creation of IPPs and heavy reliance on
them has worked as a double edged sword that at one hand provides
relief of problem and on another hand adversly affect the cost
effectivness of the energy sector. (Asif,2012, pp. 135-38)
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An Assessment
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References:
Michel, A. A. (1967). The Indus rivers: A study of the effects of partition (p.
67). New Haven: Yale University Press.
Sartaj Aziz, The Perils of High Cost Imported Energy, The Nation,28-29
November 1994.
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WAPDA website,www.finance.gov.pk/publications/YearBook2013_14.pdf
(accessed on 25 May 2015 )
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