Comparison of Mortality Predictive Scoring Systems in Picu Patients
Comparison of Mortality Predictive Scoring Systems in Picu Patients
Comparison of Mortality Predictive Scoring Systems in Picu Patients
NAME OF PG COLLEGE
J.J Group of Hospitals,Mumbai.
Department Paediatrics
DR. Pallavi P. Saple
Name of the Guide and College
Grant Medical College and Sir J.J Group of
Name
Hospitals, Mumbai.400008
Contact No. of Guide 9757345222
Respected Sir/Madam,
I, Dr. Sukena. Juzar. Susnerwala, registered for MD Paediatrics in June 2015
batch under the guidance of Dr.Pallavi P. Saple, Professor, Department of
Paediatrics, Grant Government Medical College ,Mumbai.
I am due to appear for MD PEADIATRICS in May 2018.
I am submitting the Title of Synopsis as mentioned below and as suggested
by my Guide.
Title Of Synopsis
COMPARISON OF MORTALITY PREDICTIVE SCORING SYSTEMS IN
PICU PATIENTS
Kindly accept and register my title of synopsis.
To,
The Chairman /Secretary,
Institutional Ethics Committee[Human Research]
Grant Government Medical College and Sir J.J Hospital,
Byculla, Mumbai -400008
Respected Sir,
Dear Student,
The above mentioned research proposal of dissertation topic was discussed
in the ethical committee meeting held on ________________ at our college.
Ethical committee has unanimously approved your dissertation topic. This
work will be done under the guidance and supervision of your guide Dr.
Pallavi P. Saple.
(Signature)
Chairperson , Ethical Committee
Grant Government Medical college Mumbai
GENERAL INFORMATION
Title of Dissertation : COMPARISON OF MORTALITY PREDICTIVE
SCORING SYSTEMS IN PICU PATIENTS
1. Name and Designation
a. Post Graduate student: Dr .Sukena. Juzar. Susnerwala
P.G Student
Dept. of Pediatrics
Grant Medical College,
Mumbai
b. Post Graduate Guide: Dr. Pallavi P. Saple
Professor
Dept. of Paediatrics
Grant Medical College,
Mumbai.
2.Duration of Research activity: 24months, ACADEMIC YEAR MAY 2015-
MAY2018
a. Period required for data collection: 18months
b. Period required for analyzing data: 3 months
c. Deadline for submission of dissertation to the university: Dec 2017,
3.Signature
The APACHE II is the most widely used ICU mortality prediction score. This score
can be calculated on all patients newly admitted to the intensive care unit. While
it is not mandatory and hurts with patient management, it is a useful tool for risk
stratification and to compare the care received by patients with similar
characteristics in different ICU settings. 12 variables are considered while
predicting the mortality
The MODS (Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score) Score was developed in 1995
as a physiology based tool to describe organ dysfunction as an ICU outcome.
A formal methodological approach was used to employ physiologic, rather
than therapeutic variables. The authors wanted to minimize bias resulting
from differing approaches to therapy, but also to emphasize the role of the
scoring system as a descriptor of a pathophysiologic process, rather than of
the clinician’s response to that process.
The Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score is one of the main indicators
used in the pediatric intensive care unit. It was obtained and validated from
the Physiologic Stability Index (PSI) with 1415 patients evaluated in PICU
between 1984 and 1985, and the mortality rate was of 116. Statistical analysis
eliminated the insignificant PSI categories reducing the number of
physiological parameters, creating and validating the PRISM. It uses 14
parameters (physiological and laboratory data) and for each was used the
highest severity value recorded in the first 24 hours. The risk of death is
calculated by a logistic regression equation using the value of the PRISM,
patient age and need of surgery on admission to the PICU,but performance
was not influenced by the post operative status of the patients. It presents an
excellent discriminatory performance and prediction, being used in many
PICUs as a prognostic score to assess gravity of disease. The variables
considered were:
(1) Systolic blood pressure and age
(2) Diastolic blood pressure
(3) Heart rate
(4) Respiratory rate
(5) PaO2 to FIO2 ratio
(6) PaCO2
(7) Glasgow coma score
(8) Pupillary reflex to light
(9) PT and PTT
(10) Total serum bilirubin
(11) Serum potassium
(12) Serum total calcium
(13) Glucose
(14) Bicarbonate .
AIMS AND OBJECTIVES
Exclusion criteria
Neonates and patients admitted the in ward are not to be considered.
STUDY DESIGN
It is a comparative clinical study where patients between 1mnth-12 years of
age admitted in the pediatric intensive care unit will be considered.4 Mortality
predictive scoring systems namely APACHEII, SOFA, MODS and PRISM will
be calculated for each patient. The efficiency of the scoring systems in
comparing mortality will be compared.
APACHE II
1. Pa02 or Fio2
2. Temperature [rectal]
3. mean arterial pressure
4. pH [arterial]
5. heart rate
6. respiratory rate
7. sodium levels
8. potassium levels
9. creatinine
10.hematocrit
11. white blood cell count
12. glasgow coma scale.
INTERPRETATION:
The APACHE II Severity of Disease Classification System
High
Abno
rmal
Rang
e
Physio
logic
Variabl
e
Low
Abno
rmal
Rang
e
Point
+4 +3 +2 +1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4
s
Temper
38.5
ature - 39 to 36 to 34 to 32 to 30 to <29.9
>41° to
rectal 40.9° 38.4° 35.9° 33.9° 31.9° °
38.9°
(°C)
Mean
Arterial
130 to 110 to 70 to 50 to
Pressu >160 <49
159 129 109 69
re -
mm Hg
Heart
Rate
(ventric 140 to 110 to 70 to 55 to 40 to
>180 <39
ular 179 139 109 69 54
respon
se)
Respir
atory
Rate 35 to 25 to 12 to 10 to
(non- >50 6 to 9 <5
49 34 24 11
ventilat
ed or
ventilat
ed)
Oxyge
nation:
A-
aDO2 <200
or
PaO2 350 to 200 to
>500
(mm 499 349
Hg)
a. FIO2 PO2> PO2 PO2
PO2<
>0.5 70 61 to 55 to
55
record 70 60
A-
aDO2
b. FIO2
<0.5
record
PaO2
Arterial
pH
(preferr
ed)
Serum
Potassi 6 to 5.5 to 3.5 to 3 to 2.5 to
>7 <2.5
um 6.9 5.9 5.4 3.4 2.9
(mEq/l)
Serum
Creatin
ine
(mg/dl)
Double 2 to 1.5 to 0.6 to
>3.5 <0.6
point 3.4 1.9 1.4
score
for
acute
renal
failure
Hemat
50 to 46 to 30 to 20 to
ocrit >60 <20
59.9 49.9 45.9 29.9
(%)
White
Blood
Count 20 to 15 to 3 to 1 to
>40 <1
(total/m 39.9 19.9 14.9 2.9
m3)
(in
1000s)
Glasgo
w
Coma
Score
(GCS)
Score
= 15
minus
actual
GCS
A. Total
Acute
Physiol
ogy
Score
(sum of
12
above
points)
B. Age
points
(years)
<44=0;
45 to
54=2;
55 to
64=3;
65 to
74=5;
>75=6
C.
Chroni
c
Health
Points
(see
below)
Total
APACH
E II
Score
(add
togethe
r the
points
from
A+B+C
)
Chronic Health Points: If the patient has a history of severe organ system insufficiency or is
immunocompromised assign points:
5 points for nonoperative or emergency postoperative patients
2 points for elective postoperative patients
Definitions: organ insufficiency or immunocompromised state must have been evident prior to this hospital admission and conform
to these criteria:
Liver – biopsy proven cirrhosis and documented portal hypertension; episodes of past upper GI bleeding attributed to portal
hypertension; or prior episodes of hepatic failure/encephalopathy/coma.
Cardiovascular – New York Heart Association Class IV.
Respiratory – Chronic restrictive, obstructive, or vascular disease resulting in severe exercise restriction (i.e., unable to climb
stairs or perform household duties; or documented chronic hypoxia, hypercapnia, secondary polycythemia, severe
pulmonary hypertension (>40 mmHg), or respirator dependency.
Renal – receiving chronic dialysis.
Immunocompromised – the patient has received therapy that suppresses resistance to infection (e.g., immunosuppression,
chemotherapy, radiation, long term or recent high dose steroids, or has a disease sufficiently advanced to suppress
resistance to infection, e.g., leukemia, lymphoma, AIDS).
Interpretation of Score:
0-4 4
5-9 8
10-14 15
15-19 25
20-24 40
25-29 55
30-34 75
>34 85
SOFA
1.Respiratory system [pao2/fio2]
PaO2/FiO2 (mmHg) SOFA score
<400 1
<300 2
<200 and mechanically ventilated 3
<100 and mechanically ventilated 4
2. Nervous System
Glasgow coma scale SOFA score
13–14 1
10–12 2
6–9 3
<6 4
4. Liver
Bilirubin (mg/dl) [μmol/L] SOFA score
1.2–1.9 [>20-32] 1
2.0–5.9 [33-101] 2
6.0–11.9 [102-204] 3
> 12.0 [>204] 4
5. Coagulation
Platelets×103/µl SOFA score
<150 1
<100 2
<50 3
<20 4
6. Renal System
Creatinine (mg/dl) [μmol/L] (or urine
SOFA score
output)
1.2–1.9 [110-170] 1
2.0–3.4 [171-299] 2
3.5–4.9 [300-440] (or <500ml/d) 3
> 5.0 [>440] (or <200ml/d) 4
MODS
1. Respiratory system-pao2/fio2
2. Creatinine -
3. Bilirubin levels-
4. Pressure adjusted heart rate-
5. Platelet count:
6. Glasgow coma scale:
PRISM SCORE:
Total score:
Parameter
Pediatric Risk Of Mortality (PRISM)
Mrd No:
Date of death/discharge:
Weight:
Height:
Chief complaints:
History:
Ventilated : Yes / No
If yes : mode: SIMV
CPAP
Antiepileptics :
Antimalarials :
Antifungals:
Electrolyte correction:
Antifailure:
Bronchodilators:
anticholinergic
anticoagulants:
akt:
steroids:
Procedures done:
Provsional diagnosis:
Final diagnosis:
INTERPRETATION:
The APACHE II Severity of Disease Classification System
High
Abno
rmal
Rang
e
Physio
logic
Variabl
e
Low
Abno
rmal
Rang
e
Point
+4 +3 +2 +1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4
s
Temper
38.5
ature - 39 to 36 to 34 to 32 to 30 to <29.9
>41° to
rectal 40.9° 38.4° 35.9° 33.9° 31.9° °
38.9°
(°C)
Mean
Arterial
130 to 110 to 70 to 50 to
Pressu >160 <49
159 129 109 69
re -
mm Hg
Heart
Rate
(ventric 140 to 110 to 70 to 55 to 40 to
>180 <39
ular 179 139 109 69 54
respon
se)
Respir
atory
Rate 35 to 25 to 12 to 10 to
(non- >50 6 to 9 <5
49 34 24 11
ventilat
ed or
ventilat
ed)
Oxyge
nation:
A- <200
aDO2
or 350 to 200 to
>500
PaO2 499 349
(mm
Hg) PO2> PO2 PO2
PO2<
a. FIO2 70 61 to 55 to
55
>0.5 70 60
record
A-
aDO2
b. FIO2
<0.5
record
PaO2
Arterial
pH
(preferr
ed)
Serum
Potassi 6 to 5.5 to 3.5 to 3 to 2.5 to
>7 <2.5
um 6.9 5.9 5.4 3.4 2.9
(mEq/l)
Serum
Creatin
ine
(mg/dl)
Double 2 to 1.5 to 0.6 to
>3.5 <0.6
point 3.4 1.9 1.4
score
for
acute
renal
failure
Hemat
50 to 46 to 30 to 20 to
ocrit >60 <20
59.9 49.9 45.9 29.9
(%)
White
Blood
Count 20 to 15 to 3 to 1 to
>40 <1
(total/m 39.9 19.9 14.9 2.9
m3)
(in
1000s)
Glasgo
w
Coma
Score
(GCS)
Score
= 15
minus
actual
GCS
A. Total
Acute
Physiol
ogy
Score
(sum of
12
above
points)
B. Age
points
(years)
<44=0;
45 to
54=2;
55 to
64=3;
65 to
74=5;
>75=6
C.
Chroni
c
Health
Points
(see
below)
Total
APACH
E II
Score
(add
togethe
r the
points
from
A+B+C
)
Chronic Health Points: If the patient has a history of severe organ system insufficiency or is
immunocompromised assign points:
5 points for nonoperative or emergency postoperative patients
2 points for elective postoperative patients
Definitions: organ insufficiency or immunocompromised state must have been evident prior to this hospital admission and conform
to these criteria:
Liver – biopsy proven cirrhosis and documented portal hypertension; episodes of past upper GI bleeding attributed to portal
hypertension; or prior episodes of hepatic failure/encephalopathy/coma.
Cardiovascular – New York Heart Association Class IV.
Respiratory – Chronic restrictive, obstructive, or vascular disease resulting in severe exercise restriction (i.e., unable to climb
stairs or perform household duties; or documented chronic hypoxia, hypercapnia, secondary polycythemia, severe
pulmonary hypertension (>40 mmHg), or respirator dependency.
Renal – receiving chronic dialysis.
Immunocompromised – the patient has received therapy that suppresses resistance to infection (e.g., immunosuppression,
chemotherapy, radiation, long term or recent high dose steroids, or has a disease sufficiently advanced to suppress
resistance to infection, e.g., leukemia, lymphoma, AIDS).
Interpretation of Score:
0-4 4
5-9 8
10-14 15
15-19 25
20-24 40
25-29 55
30-34 75
>34 85
SOFA
2. Nervous System
Glasgow coma scale SOFA score
13–14 1
10–12 2
6–9 3
<6 4
4. Liver
Bilirubin (mg/dl) [μmol/L] SOFA score
1.2–1.9 [>20-32] 1
2.0–5.9 [33-101] 2
6.0–11.9 [102-204] 3
> 12.0 [>204] 4
5. Coagulation
Platelets×103/µl SOFA score
<150 1
<100 2
<50 3
<20 4
6. Renal System
Creatinine (mg/dl) [μmol/L] (or urine
SOFA score
output)
1.2–1.9 [110-170] 1
2.0–3.4 [171-299] 2
3.5–4.9 [300-440] (or <500ml/d) 3
> 5.0 [>440] (or <200ml/d) 4
MODS
7. Respiratory system-pao2/fio2
8. Creatinine -
9. Bilirubin levels-
10. Pressure adjusted heart rate-
11. Platelet count:
12. Glasgow coma scale:
PRISM SCORE:
Total score:
Parameter
Pediatric Risk Of Mortality (PRISM)
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