Indian Stainless Steel Industry - : Moving To Next Level of Growth
Indian Stainless Steel Industry - : Moving To Next Level of Growth
Indian Stainless Steel Industry - : Moving To Next Level of Growth
Industry –
moving to next level of growth
Presented by :
N.C. Mathur
Advisor – Jindal Stainless Limited
President : ISSDA (Indian Stainless Steel Development Association)
Contents…..
Watch For
Summing Up++
2
Evolution of
Stainless Steel
Stainless Steel
Chrome
Moly.
Ni.
3
100 Years of Stainless Steel
6
Stainless Steel Crude Production
7
Source: ISSF
Stainless Steel Consumption Growth*
(BRIC Countries Vs. Rest of the World)
BRIC countries
Market share
>50% in 2011 !
8
Source: SMR
Global Stainless Steel Recovery
In 2010, World Stainless Steel Industry recovers, but China accounts for all the Growth since 2000.
9
Source: ISSF
Stainless Steel Production Growth
(2000 – 2010)
Most of the Stainless Steel Production Growth during the last decade is attributable to S200 and S400.
10
Source: ISSF
China is by far No. 1 (39%) of the S.S. Markets
11
Source: SMR
2016 : Total World market will be over 40 mill. tonnes
12
Source: SMR
Stainless Steel : Grade Structures
Over 30 mill. tonnes of Finished Products in 2011
13
Source: SMR
Top 20 : SS Flat products producers 2011
14
Source: SMR
Global Evolution of Low Nickel
Austenitic SS Grades
(CrMn : 200 Series)
15
History of Low Ni. Austenitic Stainless Steel Grades
16
Chrome‐Manganese SS : Historical Development
17
Chrome‐Manganese SS : Post Korean War Scenario
201 0.15 Max 16.0 – 18.0 5.5 – 7.5 0.25 Max 3.5 – 5.5
202 0.15 Max 17.0 – 19.0 7.5 – 10.0 0.25 Max 4.0 – 6.0
18
Chrome‐Manganese Stainless Steel
Result:
Production of 40,000 tons per year 200 Series worldwide in
1970’s.
19
Evolution of Chrome‐Manganese
Stainless Steel in India
20
Global CrMn Crude Steel Production
tons
21
Source: ISSF
World Per Capita Stainless Steel Consumption
Low per capita consumption of Stainless Steel in India provides an interesting opportunity for growth
Source: IMF (October 2010 Report), CRU International Limited - Stainless Steel Flat Products Quarterly February 2011
Note: All values for 2010, Size of the circles is proportional to the population count for 2010
22
Indian Stainless
Steel Scenario
23
Opportunities in Indian Infrastructure Structure
24
India poised for strong economic growth
4,500 USD Bn
9 By 2020, estimates suggest that GDP‐ Gross Domestic 4,000
Indian GDP could rise to USD 4 Product (US$ Bn)
trillion, taking India to fourth
place behind the US, China and 3,000
Japan by size of economy 2,777
Source: CIA World Factbook, IMF
25
Increasing Consumer Spent Driving Economic
Growth
Growth Consumption Spending by 2020 GDP Per Capita on PPP basis (USD)
Year 10‐16E
x times 2010 consumption spending
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Construction sector expected to grow by 22% annually & would reach USD 335 billion by 2016
Auto component sector expected to rise 17% annually to reach USD 84 billion by 2020
Electronics sector CAGR to be around 23% to reach USD 363 billion by 2015
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Economics Research, IMF 26
Stainless Steel Consumption Pattern (%)
70 65
India World
60
50
40 33
27
(%)
30
20
16
10 12
8 6 6 6
10 5 6
27
India’s SS consumption growth to exceed global
growth
3,500
2,100
1,817
1,537 1,575
World SS consumption (Flat + Long) in ‘000 MT India SS consumption (Flat + Long) in ‘000 MT
Indian SS consumption is expected to grow by 11% annually and would reach
around 3.5 million tons by 2015
28
SS Growth Drivers
in India
29
SS Growth Drivers in India
30
Stainless Steel in Railways
Railways
• New Stainless Steel
Wagons & Coaches
• Refurbishing
Railway Stations
with world class
facilities
• Development of
Metro Rail projects
and street
infrastructure
Delhi Metro
31
Stainless Steel in Railways
Railway Stations : Cladding , Roofing , Structures ,
Railways Decoration , Selling Carts , Display Boards , Ticketing
Area , Seating Space ,Floor Tiles ….
32
Stainless Steel in Architecture, Building &
Construction (ABC)
ABC
• Urban Renewal in
the form of Street
furniture e.g. Bus
Shelters
• Shopping Malls,
organized retail is
growing at rapid
pace.
• Modular kitchens
• Airports
Delhi Bus Shelter
33
Stainless Steel in Architecture, Building &
Construction (ABC)
SS Modular Kitchen
New age applications in
Household
• Kitchen Applications
• Bathroom Accessories
• White Goods
• Lifestyle Products
• Interior Decoration
34
Stainless Steel in Architecture, Building &
Construction (ABC)
Wall Cladding, Roofing, Check in Area, Seating Spaces,
Immigration Area, Railings, Display Boards, Lounge, Booths, Duty
Airports Free Area, Signage, Decorative, Elevators , Escalators ,
Travelators, Food Courts….
35
Stainless Steel in Industrial Applications
Industrial
Applications
• Power
• Process
Industry
36
Stainless Steel in Auto and White Goods
Automotive and
White goods
• India a leading automobile
hub in S.Asia, specially for
two wheelers and small cars
• Increase usage of Stainless
Steel in exhaust, wheel rims
etc.
• Large middle class driving
White Goods market
37
Indian Automotive : Growth Prospects
32.3 mill
Source : FICCI Nov 2009
11.2 mill
10.8 mill
11.1 mill
8.5 mill 9.7 mill
• India destined as a major Automotive hub in South Asia.
• A large manufacturing base for Two wheelers / Small cars / Steel and Stainless Steel
components for automobiles. 38
What Next???
39
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
Railway Passenger
Coaches
40
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
Plumbing
42
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
43
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
Hospital Accessories
44
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
Bus Body
45 45
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
Bus Body
46 46
Applications ‐ Arriving shortly… ( India )
48
Challenges Ahead
50
Changes in the Market Place…
• Fasteners Products
51
Movements in environment………
to 400 Series)
52
Raw Material : Price Volatility
Since 1990
Nickel (key Raw Material for Stainless Steel) trades over a wider Price Range than other base Metals.
Source : Metalytics
53
Invent ory (MT)
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
Jun‐03
Aug‐03
Oct‐03
Dec‐03
Feb‐ 04
Apr‐ 04
Jun‐04
June-2003
Aug‐04
Oct‐04
Dec‐04
Feb‐ 05
Apr‐ 05
Inventory : 24374 MT
Jun‐05
Aug‐05
Dec‐05
Feb‐ 06
Apr‐ 06
Jun‐06
Aug‐06
Oct‐06
Dec‐06
Feb‐ 07
Apr‐ 07
May- 2007
Jun‐07
Aug‐07
Inventory (MT)
Oct‐07
Dec‐07
Inventory : 5550 MT
Perio d
Feb‐ 08
Apr‐ 08
Price : USD 55179 per MT
Jun‐08
Aug‐08
Oct‐08
Dec‐08
Price (USD/MT)
Feb‐ 09
Apr‐ 09
Jun‐09
Aug‐09
Oct‐09
LME Nickel Volatility
Dec‐09
Feb‐ 10
Apr‐ 10
54
Jun‐10
Aug‐10
Oct‐10
Dec‐10
Feb‐ 11
Apr‐ 11
Key Raw Material for Stainless Steel
Jun‐11
Aug‐11
June-2012
Oct‐11
Dec‐11
Feb‐ 12
Apr‐ 12
Jun‐12
Inventory : 104171MT
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Pri ce (USD/MT)
Stainless Steel Raw Material : Price Volatility
(2000 – 2010)
Over the last 10 years, Raw Materials’ Prices and Volatility have increased tremendously.
Source : ISSF
55
Fuel for growth……
56
Jindal Stainless:
India’s Largest Integrated SS Mill
Advanced Stainless State of Art cold
Steel melting & Hot rolling facilities in
Rolling Technology India and Indonesia
Ferro Alloys
Manufacturing Global distribution
network with own
&
service centers
Power Generation
MINES
Leader in Domestic
Mining ventures and
ore linkages TO Market with wide
product range
MINT
57
Hisar Plant : Pioneer of Stainless Steel
HR‐Steckel 720,000
780,000 2011 HR ‐ Tandem Strip Mill 250,000
MT
HRAP & Plate 235,000
Cold Rolling 275,000
400,000
MT
Special Products 25,000
Till 2004
250,000
MT
Coin Blanking 10,000
World’s largest producer of Razor Blade Steel
58
Odisha Plant : The Future of Stainless Steel
SMS 1, 000,000
1.0 Mill
HAPL 950,000
Cold Rolling 450,000
2011-12
2012-13
59
Odisha Plant : An Overview
60
Integration with Extensive Coverage
Jindal Architecture Ltd • Turnkey solutions in SS for ABC,
61
Domestic Presence
Corporate Office
at
New Delhi
62
Global Presence
63
Europe : Making a Mart
Service Centre ‐ Spain
64
Jindal Stainless : Fuel for Growth
High Level of Integration – from Mining to Manufacturing
State of the Art Technologies – the QUALITY Advantage
Wise Spectrum of products – Precision Strips, Blade
Steels & Coin Blanks
Market development of new applications
65
Indian Stainless Steel Industry Outlook
• High growth economy
Prospects
• Increasing SS consumption
• ABC (Architecture, Building & Construction)
Growth • Automobile
Area
• Railways
• Indian Infrastructure
Challenges • China Capacities
• RM Volatility
66
Summing up ++
67
Summing Up++
Indian Stainless Steel Market
SS Production will go up to 3.5 Million Tons by 2015
Overcapacity in the market .. export boost up
Scope for double digit growth in SS Consumption
(Growth in SS Consumption is about 1.2 Times GDP )
New applications will emerge very fast
Opportunities for business in downstream industries
SS will change the face of India
68