Lecture 8 Decision Making
Lecture 8 Decision Making
Lecture 8 Decision Making
CHAPTER 8
Decision Making and
Problem Solving
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter Learning Objectives
After studying this chapter you should be able to:
1. Describe the nature of decision making and distinguish it from
problem solving.
2. Discuss the rational approach to decision making.
3. Identify and discuss the primary behavioral aspects of decision
making.
4. Discuss group decision making in organizations.
5. Discuss the nature of creativity and relate it to decision making and
problem solving.
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Nature of Decision Making (1 of 3)
• Decision making
– The process of choosing from among several alternatives
• Problem solving
– A special form of decision making that requires finding the answer to a
question
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Elements of Decision Making
Figure 8.1
• Types of decisions
– Programmed decision
Recurs often enough to develop decision rules: statements that tell
decision makers which alternative to choose once they have predetermined
information about the decision situation
– Nonprogrammed decision
Recurs infrequently, unique situations, no previously established decision
rules
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Table 8.1 Characteristics of Programmed and
Nonprogrammed Decisions
PROGRAMMED NONPROGRAMMED
CHARACTERISTICS
DECISIONS DECISIONS
Type of decision Well structured Poorly structured
Frequency Repetitive and routine New and unusual
Goals Clear and specific Vague
Information Readily available Not available, unclear
channels
Consequences Minor Major
Organizational level Lower levels Upper levels
Time for solution Short Relatively long
Basis for solution Decision rules, set procedures Judgment and creativity
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Nature of Decision Making (3 of 3)
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Alternative Outcomes under Different
Decision-Making Conditions
Figure 8.2
• Strengths
– Forces decision in a logical, sequential manner
– In-depth analysis enables the decision maker to choose on the basis of
information rather than emotion or social pressure
• Weaknesses
– Rigid underlying assumptions often unrealistic
– Information limited by time or cost constraints, manager’s ability to
process information
– Not all alternatives easily quantified
– Outcomes unknown due to unpredictability of future
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Rational Approach (2 of 2)
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Behavioral Approach to Decision Making
• The administrative model
– Describes how decisions are often actually made
– Characteristics of the administrative model
Bounded rationality—decision makers can’t deal with all the information, so
they tackle some subset of it
Sub-optimizing—knowingly accepting less than best outcome in order to
avoid unintended negative consequences on the rest of the organization
Satisficing—examining alternatives only until a solution that meets minimal
requirements is found
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Behavioral Approach (1 of 2)
• Other behavioral forces in decision making
– Coalitions: an informal alliance of individuals or groups formed to achieve a common
goal (can be positive or negative)
– Intuition: an innate belief about something without conscious consideration (hunch,
often results in better decision making)
– Escalation of commitment: occurs when a decision maker stays with the decision, even
if it appears to be wrong
– Risk propensity: the degree to which a decision maker is willing to gamble when
making a decision
– Ethics: a person’s beliefs about what constitutes right and wrong behavior
• Prospect theory: argues that when people make decisions under a condition of risk
they are more motivated to avoid losses than they are to seek gains
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Behavioral Approach (2 of 2)
• The integrated (or practical) approach
– Combines the unrealistic demands of the rational approach and the
limited, short-term orientation of the behavioral approach to create a
more practical approach for making decisions in organizations
• Hybrid approaches
– Managers use a combination of rational, behavioral, and practical
approaches to make decisions
– Research has shown that speed of decision making isn’t a factor in the
quality of the decision
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Practical Approach to Decision Making with
Behavioral Guidelines
Figure 8.4
The practical model applies some of the conditions recognized by the behavioral approach to the
rational approach to decision making. Although similar to the rational model, the practical
approach recognizes personal limitations at each point (or step) in the process.
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Group Decision Making in Organizations
• Group polarization
– The tendency for a group’s average post-discussion attitudes to be more
extreme than its average pre-discussion attitudes (“risky shift”)
– Why polarization occurs
Increasing confidence from shared opinions
Persuasive arguments convincing weaker supporters
Individuals substituting group responsibility for individual responsibility for
the decision
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Group Decision Making (1 of 4)
• Groupthink—A mode of thinking that occurs when members of a
group are deeply involved in a cohesive in-group and the desire for
unanimity offsets their motivation to appraise alternative courses of
action
– Symptoms of groupthink
Illusion of vulnerability
Rationalizing or discounting warnings
Unquestioned belief in the group’s morality and ethics
Stereotyped views of “the enemy”
Pressure against alternative opinions
Shared illusion of unanimity due to self-censorship
Self-appointed “mindguards”
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Groupthink Process
Figure 8.5
Groupthink can occur when a highly cohesive group with a directive leader is under
time pressure; it can result in a defective decision-making process and low of
successful outcomes.
Source: Moorhead, G., Ference, R., & Neck, C. P. (1991). Group Decision Fiascoes Continue:
Space Shuttle Challenger and a Revised Groupthink Framework. Human Relations, 44, 539–550.
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Group Decision Making (2 of 4)
– Effects of groupthink
Consideration of and focus on fewer alternatives
Failure to perceive nonobvious risks and drawbacks of an alternative
Rejection of expert opinions
Ignoring potential for setbacks or actions of competitors in not developing
contingency plans
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Table 8.2 Prescriptions for Preventing
Groupthink
A. Leader prescriptions
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Group Decision Making (3 of 4)
• Participation in decision making
– To what degree should employees be involved in the decision-making
process?
• Benefits of participation
– Better solutions in “judgmental tasks”
– Produces more and better solutions in complex problem-solving tasks
– Creates a greater interest in the task
• Drawbacks
– Higher risk of polarization and groupthink
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Group Decision Making (4 of 4)
• Group problem solving—three techniques can help the process work
better
– Brainstorming: used in the idea-generation phase to assist in developing
many courses of action
– Nominal group technique: members generate many ideas, discuss
them, and then vote—repeating the cycle until they reach a decision
– Delphi technique—a method of systematically gathering judgments from
experts for use in developing forecasts
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Creativity, Problem Solving, and Decision
Making (1 of 2)
• Creativity
– The ability to generate new ideas or to conceive of new perspectives on
existing ideas
– Creative individuals share three traits
Background experiences where creativity was nurtured
Certain personality traits (openness, attraction to complexity, high levels of
energy, independence and autonomy, strong beliefs in self-confidence and
self-creativity
Cognitive abilities—not all intelligent people are creative, but all creative
people are intelligent and can think convergently and divergently
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Creative Process
Figure 8.6
The creative process generally follows the
four steps illustrated here. Of course, there
are exceptions, and the process is
occasionally different. In most cases,
however, these steps capture the essence
of the creative process.
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Creativity, Problem Solving, and Decision
Making (2 of 2)
• Enhancing creativity in organizations
– Use explicit goals to make creativity a part of the organizational culture
– Reward creative successes
– Don’t punish creative failures
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Organizational Behavior in Action
• After reading the chapter:
– When your alarm goes off each morning, you have a decision to make:
get up and go to class, or to stay in bed. Is this a programmed or
nonprogrammed decision?
– Describe a situation in which you experienced escalation of commitment
to an ineffective course of action. Why did it happen?
– Can you think of a time when you satisficed when making a decision?
Suboptimized?
Ricky W. Griffin/Jean M. Phillips/Stanley M. Gully, Organizational Behavior: Managing People and Organizations, Thirteenth Edition. © 2020 Cengage. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.