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Capital Budgeting

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Capital Budgeting

Decisions

What is Capital
Budgeting?
The
process
of
identifying,
analyzing,
and
selecting
investment
projects
whose
returns
(cash
flows) are expected to
extend beyond one year.

Capital Expenditure includes:


Cost of acquisition of permanent assets as
land and building, plant and machinery,
goodwill etc.
Cost of addition, expansion, improvement
or alteration in fixed assets.
Cost of replacement of permanent assets.
Research and development project cost,
etc.

Few Definitions on CB:


Charles T. Horngreen
Capital Budgeting is long term
planning for making and financing
proposed capital outlays.
Richard and Greenlaw
Capital Budgeting as acquiring inputs
with long term returns.

Need and Importance of


Investment Decisions

Larger Investments
Long Term Commitments of Funds
Irreversible Nature
Long term effect on profitability
Difficulties of Investment Decisions
National Importance

Process

Capital Budgeting Process


Identification of Investment Proposal
Screening of Investment Proposal
Evaluation of various proposals
Independent proposals
Contingent or dependent proposals
Mutually exclusive proposals

Fixing Priorities
Final Approval and Preparation of capital
Expenditure Budget
Implementing Proposal
Performance Review

Types of Investment/Cap
Budgeting Decisions
One classification is as follows:
Expansion of existing business
Expansion of new business
Replacement and modernisation

Yet another useful way to classify


investments is as follows:
Mutually exclusive investments
Capital Rationing Decisions
Accept and Reject Decisions (Independent)

Investment Evaluation
Criteria
Three steps are involved in the
evaluation of an investment:
Estimation of cash flows
Estimation of the required rate of return (the
opportunity cost of capital)
Application of a decision rule for making the
choice

Investment Decision Rule


It should maximise the shareholders wealth.
It should consider all cash flows to determine the
true profitability of the project.
It should provide for an objective and unambiguous
way of separating good projects from bad projects.
It should help ranking of projects according to their
true profitability.
It should recognise the fact that bigger cash flows
are preferable to smaller ones and early cash flows
are preferable to later ones.
It should be a criterion which is applicable to any
conceivable investment project independent of
others.

Evaluation Criteria or Methods of Capital


Budgeting

Non-discounted (Traditional
Methods):
Payback Period (PB)
Discounted Payback Period (DPB)
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)

Discounted (Time-adjusted
Methods):
Net Present Value (NPV)
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Profitability Index (PI)

Payback Method
Payback is the number of years
required to recover the original cash
outlay invested in a project
If the project generates constant
annual cash inflows, the payback
period can be computed by dividing
cash outlay by the annual cash
inflow. That is:

Formula
C0
Initial Investment
Payback =
=
Annual Cash Inflow
C

Assume that a project requires an


outlay of Rs 50,000 and yields annual
cash inflow of Rs 12,500 for 7 years.
The payback period for the project is:
Payback=50000/12500
= 4 years

Payback Method
Unequal cash flows In case of
unequal cash inflows, the payback
period can be found out by adding up
the cash inflows until the total is
equal to the initial cash outlay.

Acceptance Rule
The project would be accepted if its
payback period is less than the
maximum or standard payback
period set by management.
As a ranking method, it gives highest
ranking to the project, which has the
shortest payback period and lowest
ranking to the project with highest
payback period.

Discounted Payback Period


The discounted payback period is
the number of periods taken in
recovering the investment outlay on
the present value basis.
The discounted payback period still
fails to consider the cash flows
occurring after the payback period.

Accounting Rate of Return


Method

The accounting rate of return is the ratio


of the average after-tax profit divided by
the average investment. The average
investment would be equal to half of the
original
investment
if
it
were
Average income
depreciated
constantly.
ARR =
Average investment

A variation of the ARR method is to


divide average earnings after taxes by
the original cost of the project instead
of the average cost.

Acceptance Rule
This method will accept all those
projects whose ARR is higher than the
minimum rate established by the
management and reject those projects
which have ARR less than the
minimum rate.
This method would rank a project as
number one if it has highest ARR and
lowest rank would be assigned to the
project with lowest ARR.

Net Present Value (NPV)


Cash flows of the investment project should
be
forecasted
based
on
realistic
assumptions.
Appropriate discount rate should be
identified to discount the forecasted cash
flows. The appropriate discount rate is the
projects opportunity cost of capital.
Present value of cash flows should be
calculated using the opportunity cost of
capital as the discount rate.
The project should be accepted if NPV is
positive (i.e., NPV > 0).

Net Present Value Method


Net present value should be found
out by subtracting present value of
cash outflows from present value of
cash inflows. The formula for the net
present value can be written as
follows

C3
Cn
C1
C2

C0
L
2
3
n
(1 k )
(1 k )
(1 k ) (1 k )
n
Ct
NPV
C0
t
t 1 (1 k )
NPV

Present value of Rupee one


Year

6%

7%

8%

9%

10 % 11 % 12 % 13%

14 %

.
9434

.
9345

.
9259

.
9174

0909
0

.
9009
0

.
8928

.
8850

.
8772

.
8900
0

.
8734

.
8573

.
8417

.
8265

.
8116

.
7972

.
7831

.
7695

.
8397

.
8163

.
7938

.
7722

.
7512

.
7318

.
7118

.
6930

.
6750

.
7920

.
7629

.
7350

.
7084

.
6830

.
6587

.
6355

.
6133

.
5921

.
7472

.
7130

.
6806

.
6499

.
6209

.
5934

.
5674

.
5428

.
5194

Calculating Net Present Value


Assume that Project X costs Rs 2,500
now and is expected to generate yearend cash inflows of Rs 900, Rs 800, Rs
700, RsRs
Rs Rs500
in
years
1

900 600
Rs 800 and
Rs 700
600
Rs 500
NPV
The opportunity

cost of
Rs 2,500
through
5.
the
(1+0.10) (1+0.10)
(1+0.10)
(1+0.10) (1+0.10)
capital
may ) be
assumed
to be ) 10 per
NPV [Rs 900(PVF
+ Rs 800(PVF
) + Rs 700(PVF
cent.+ Rs 600(PVF ) + Rs 500(PVF )] Rs 2,500
2

1, 0.10

4, 0.10

2, 0.10

3, 0.10

5, 0.10

NPV [Rs 900 0.909 + Rs 800 0.826 + Rs 700 0.751 + Rs 600 0.683
+ Rs 500 0.620] Rs 2,500
NPV Rs 2,725 Rs 2,500 = + Rs 225

Acceptance Rule
Accept the project when NPV is positive
NPV > 0
Reject the project when NPV is negative
NPV < 0
May accept the project when NPV is
zero
NPV = 0
The NPV method can be used to select
between mutually exclusive projects;
the one with the higher NPV should be
selected.

Problem :
A company has to consider the
following project:
Cash inflows:
Year
Year
Year
Year

1
2
3
4

1000
1000
2000
10000

Compute the net present value if the


opportunity cost is 14 %

Calculation of NPV

Year

Cash
inflows

Present
value

PV of
inflows

1000

0.877

877

1000

0.769

769

2000

0.675

1350

10000

0.592

5920

Total PV of
inflows

8916

Less:
outflows

10000

NPV

- 1084

A Firm whose cost of capital is 10 % is


considering 2 mutually exclusive projects
X and Y. the details of which are as
follows:
Year

Project X

Project Y

Cost

100000

100000

Cash
inflows

10000

50000

20000

40000

30000

20000

45000

10000

60000

10000

Compute the net present value at 10 %,


profitability index and IRR of the two
projects.

Delhi machinery manufacturing company


wants to replace the manual operations by
new machine. There are two alternative
models X and Y of the new machine. Using
payback period, suggest the most
profitable investment.
taxation
Machine X Ignore Machine
Y .
Original investment

9000

18000

Estimated life

Estimated savings in
cost

500

800

Estimated savings in
wages

6000

8000

Additional cost of
maintenance

800

1000

Additional cost of
supervision

1200

1800

Solution:
Machine X

Machine Y

Estimated savings in
cost

500

800

Wages

6000

8000

Total savings

6500

8800

Additional cost of
maintenance

800

1000

Supervision

1200

1800

Total cost

2000

2800

Net inflows
(annual)

4500

6000

Outflows

9000

18000

Payback period

2 Years

3 Years

Solution

Cash flows

PVF(10
%,n)

Total PV

Year

Project X

Project Y

10000

50000

0.909

9090

45450

20000

40000

.827

16520

33040

30000

20000

.751

22530

15020

45000

10000

.683

30735

6830

60000

10000

.621

37260

6210

Total PV

116135

106550

Less:
Cash
Inflows

100000

100000

Net
Present
Value

16135

6550

Machine A costs Rs 100000 payable


immediately. Machine B costs 120000
half payable immediately and half
payable in one years time. The cash
receipts are as follows:
Year

Machine A

Machine B

20000

60000

60000

40000

60000

30000

80000

20000

At 7 % opportunity cost, which machine


should be selected on the basis of NPV.

Solution (machine B is better)


Machin
eA

Machin
eB

Year

Cash
flows

-100000 1.000

-100000 -60000

1.000

-60000

20000

0.935

18700

-60000

0.935

56100

60000

0.873

52380

60000

0.873

52380

40000

0.816

32640

60000

0.816

48960

30000

0.763

22890

80000

0.763

61040

20000

0.713

14260

NPV

PVF(7%) PV(rs)

4087
0

Cash
flows

PVF(7%) PV(rs)

4628
0

NPV
Strengths:
Time Value
Considers all
cash flows
Based on cash
flows

Weaknesses:
Discount rate
difficult to
determine
Ignores the
difference in initial
cash outflows
Difficult calculation

Internal Rate of Return


Method
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the
rate that equates the investment
outlay with the present value of cash
inflow received after one period. This
also implies
thatC the rate
of return is
C
C
C

L makes NPV =
theC discount
rate
which
(1 r ) (1 r )
(1 r )
(1 r )
0.
C
C
(1 r )
1

t 1
n

t 1

Ct
C0 0
t
(1 r )

IRR Solution
X rate Diff of
Minimum Rate + NPV at lower
both rates

NPV at higher NPV


at lower

Internal Rate of Return


Strengths:
Accounts for
TVM
Considers all
cash
flows
Less
subjectivity

Weaknesses:

Assumes all cash


flows reinvested
at the IRR

Difficulties
with
project
rankings
and
Multiple
IRRs

Profitability Index Method


It is also called as Benefit-Cost Ratio.
It is the relationship between present
value of cash inflows and the present
value of cash outflows.
Profitability Index
= Present Value of Cash
Inflows
Present Value of Cash
Outflows

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