Learning Curve
Learning Curve
Learning Curve
Learning Curve
O Displays the relationship between unit production time
(or unit cost) and cumulative production of units
O Individual Learning: Improvement that results when
people repeat a process and gain skill or efficiency from
their own experience
O Organizational Learning: Comes both from experience
and from changes in administration, equipment, and
product design
O First applied in airlines industry by Paul Wright to
describe the effect of learning on production costs
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Assumptions of Learning Curve
Theory
O The amount of time required to complete a
given task or unit of a product will be less
each time the task is undertaken
O The unit time will decrease at a decreasing
rate
O The reduction in time will follow a predictable
pattern
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Learning Curve
Source: http://www.allbusiness.com/glossaries/learning-curve/4942495-1.html
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Logarithmic Analysis
O The normal form of learning curve equation is given
as:
Yx Kx n
where
O x= no. of units
O Yx=No. of direct labor hours required to produce the
xth unit
O K=No. of direct labor hours required to produce the
first unit
O n=log b/log 2, b is the learning percentage
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Example 1
O A job applicant has been tested to be hired in a firm. A regular employee, after
1000 performance on the assembly line, takes approximately 4 minutes to
complete the task. The job applicant takes 10 minute for the first task and 9
minutes for the second task. Should he be hired? What is the expected time, he
takes for the 10th unit?
Learning Rate=Y2/Y1=0.9=90%
K=10 minutes=1/6 hour
We have to find Y1000=(1/6)*(1000)n
n=log(0.9)/log(2)=-0.152
Y1000=3.499 minutes<4
Y10=(1/6)*(10)n=7.047 minutes
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Cumulative Time
O The cumulative time for producing ‘x’ units is
given as:
O Y1+Y2+…+Yx= K 1n 2n ... x n
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Learning Curve Table (Unit
Improvement Factor)
Source: http://mcu.edu.tw/~ychen/op_mgm/notes/part3_files/image217.jpg
Applications
O There are three general areas for the application and
use of learning curves: strategic, internal, and external
to the organization.
O Strategic uses include determining volume-cost changes,
estimating new product start-up costs, and pricing of
new products
O Internal applications include developing labor standards,
scheduling, budgeting, and make-or-buy decisions
O External uses are supplier scheduling, cash flow
budgeting and estimating purchase costs
Example 2
O An aircraft collected the cost data on the first
8 units of its new business jet
Unit No. Cost
1 100
2 83
3 73
4 62
5 60
6 57
7 53
8 51 10
Example 3
OA potentially large customer offered a
subcontract assembly work that is profitable
only if the firm can perform the operations at
an average time of less than 20 minutes each.
The contract is for 1000 units. Before
accepting the order the firm wants to have a
test run. It is found that the first product takes
50 minutes, the second one takes 40 minutes
and so on. Should the contract be accepted?
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Example 4
A firm has received a contract of manufacturing 1000
units. It takes 10 minutes for manufacturing the first unit
and 9 minutes for the second unit. The labor cost is $50
per hour. Calculate the total labor cost. What is the
maximum amount, the firm will be willing to spend in
training that can reduce the overall learning rate to 85%.
Use logarithmic analysis of learning curves to address
the problem.
Example 5
A firm has received two orders:
Order 1 is that of a standardized product and its size being 2000 units. It takes
100 minutes to manufacture the first unit and 85 minutes to manufacture the
second unit. Labor cost is $30 per hour. Material Cost is $ 10 per unit. Each
unit could be sold at the price of $50.
Order 2 is a combination of 1500 units of standardized product and 500 units
of premium product. Material cost for the premium product will be $20
whereas it can be sold at $65. Again it takes 100 minutes to manufacture the
first unit and 85 minutes to manufacture the second unit.
The firm needs to take a decision of selecting either of the order and ends up
selecting an order that will give higher overall profits.
Use logarithmic analysis for learning curve, Yx= Kxn & n=log (b)/ log (2)