Financial Statement Analysis: K R Subramanyam John J Wild
Financial Statement Analysis: K R Subramanyam John J Wild
Financial Statement Analysis: K R Subramanyam John J Wild
Statement
Analysis
K R Subramanyam
John J Wild
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
1-2
Overview of Financial
Statement Analysis
1
CHAPTER
1-3
Business Analysis
Evaluate
EvaluateProspects
Prospects Evaluate
EvaluateRisks
Risks
1-4
Credit Analysis
1-7
Credit Analysis
Credit
Creditworthiness:
worthiness:Ability
Abilityto
tohonor
honorcredit
creditobligations
obligations
(downside
(downsiderisk)
risk)
Liquidity
Liquidity Solvency
Solvency
Ability
Abilityto
tomeet
meetshort-
short- Ability
Abilityto
tomeet
meetlong-
long-
term
termobligations
obligations term
termobligations
obligations
Focus:
Focus: Focus:
Focus:
••Current
Currentcash
cashflows ••Long-term
flows Long-termprofitability
profitability
••Make
Makeupupofofcurrent ••Capital
current Capitalstructure
structure
assets
assetsand
andliabilities
liabilities
••Liquidity
Liquidityof
ofassets
assets
1-8
Equity Analysis
Assessment
Assessmentof
ofdownside
downsiderisk
riskand
andupside
upsidepotential
potential
Technical
Technicalanalysis
analysis/ / Fundamental
FundamentalAnalysis
Analysis
Charting
Charting Determine
DetermineIntrinsic
Intrinsicvalue
value
••Patterns
Patternsin
inprice
priceor without
volume
or withoutreference
referenceto to
volumehistory
historyof
ofaa price
price
stock
stock
••Predict ••Analyze
Analyzeand
andinterpret
interpret
Predictfuture
futureprice
price key
movements
movements keyfactors
factors
–– Economy
Economy
–– Industry
Industry
–– Company
Company
1-9
1-10
Accounting Analysis
Accounting
Risk
1-11
Financial Analysis
Prospective Analysis
Process
Processto
toforecast
forecastfuture
futurepayoffs
payoffs
Business
BusinessEnvironment
Environment
&&Strategy
StrategyAnalysis
Analysis
Accounting
AccountingAnalysis
Analysis
Financial
FinancialAnalysis
Analysis
Intrinsic
IntrinsicValue
Value
1-13
Business Activities
1-15
Business Activities
Financing
Financingactivities
activities
• •Owner
Owner(equity)
(equity)
• •Nonowner
Nonowner(liabilities)
(liabilities)
1-16
Business Activities
Investing
Investingactivities
activities
• •Buying
Buyingresources
resources
• •Selling
Sellingresources
resources
Investing
Investing==Financing
Financing
1-17
Business Activities
Operating
OperatingActivities
Activities
Revenues
Revenuesand
andexpenses
expensesfrom
fromproviding
providing
goods
goodsand
andservices
services
1-18
Financial Statements
1-20
1-21
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Revenues – Cost of goods sold = Gross Profit
Gross profit – Operating expenses = Operating Profit
Colgate’s Profitability
(in $billions)
Additional Information
(Beyond Financial Statements)
1-28
Analysis Preview
Comparative Analysis
Analysis Preview
1-30
Analysis Preview
Common-Size Analysis
Analysis Preview
1-32
Analysis Preview
1-33
Analysis Preview
Ratio Analysis
Analysis Preview
Valuation
Valuation - an important goal of many types
of business analysis
Analysis Preview
Debt (Bond) Valuation
Analysis Preview
Equity Valuation
Analysis Preview
Equity Valuation - Free Cash Flow to Equity
Model
FCFt+n
t+n
is the free cash flow in the period t + n [often
defined as cash flow from operations less capital
expenditures]
k is the cost of capital
E refers to an expectation
1-38
Analysis Preview
Equity Valuation - Residual Income Model
Rit+n
t+n
is the residual income in period t + n [defined as
net income, NI, minus a charge on beginning
book value, BV, or RItt = NItt - (k x BVt-1
t-1
)]
k is the cost of capital
E refers to an expectation
1-39
Book Organization