FM I exit summ (1) (2) (1)
FM I exit summ (1) (2) (1)
FM I exit summ (1) (2) (1)
management
Financial Management –I
An Overview of Financial Management
Finance is the art and science of
managing money.
FinanceManagement
Financial can be publicisormainly
private finance.
concerned with the effective funds
management in the business. Basic assumptions:
Another name of Financial Existence of well-developed capital
Management is markets
Corporation Finance (widely) The context of Corporate form of
Business business organizations
Finance as the
Finance area of study
(rarely).
Separate legal existence
Finance, in general, consists of three interrelated areas:
Money and capital markets, which deal with securities
markets and financial institutions;
Investments, which focus on the decision of investors, both
individuals and institutions, as they choose among securities for
their investment portfolios; and
Basic Assumptions and Principles of FM…
1.The risk-return trade-off -In financial decision
making, we don’t take additional risk unless we
expect to be compensated with additional return
2. The time value of money- A dollar received today is
worth more than a dollar to be received in the future
3.Cash – NOT profit – is a king - In measuring wealth or
value, we will consider cash flows, not accounting
profits
4.Incremental cash flows- cash flow which is the
difference between the cash flows if the decision is
made versus what they will be if the decision is not
made/Relevant cash flow analysis/
Basic Assumptions and Principles of FM…
Financial Management –I
Financial Statement Analysis
Analyzing financial statements involves
Characteristics
Liquidity Comparison Bases: Tools of Analysis
Intracompany Horizontal
Profitability
Intercompany Vertical
Solvency
Industry averages Ratio
Efficiency
15
Vertical Analysis cont’d
16
Ratio Analysis
22
Ratio Analysis…
Assets Management Ratios DSI
Days Sales in Inventory
Or
• Where,
• It is a rough measure of the length of time it takes to
purchase, sell, and replace the inventory.
• The shorter this number indicates the improvement in
managing inventory. 23
Ratio Analysis…
Assets Management Ratios ARTO & DS
Receivables Turnover and Days Sales in Receivables
Receivable measures tells us how fast we collect credit sales.
26
Ratio Analysis…
Profitability Ratios ROE
• Return on Equity – shows how many dollars of net income the company earned for each
dollar invested by the owners.
• Example:
27
Ratio Analysis…
Profitability Ratios EPS
• Earning per Share – a measure of the net income earned on each share of common
stock.
• Example:
28
Ratio Analysis…
Profitability Ratios P-E ratio
• Price-Earnings ratio – measures the net income earned on each share of common
stock.
Assumption:
• Ex: • the market price of firm’s shares
is $8 in 2016 and $12 in 2017.
29
Ratio Analysis…
Profitability Ratios Payout Ratio
• Payout Ratio – measures the percentage of earnings distributed in the form of cash
dividends.
• Example:
30
Ratio Analysis Cont’d
Financial Leverage Ratios
• They are intended to address the firm’s long-term ability to
meet its obligations, or, more generally, its financial leverage.
• Commonly used measures are:
• Total debt ratio, debt–equity ratio, equity multiplier, Times
Interest Earned & Cash Coverage
Financial Leverage Ratios Total Debt Ra
TDR takes into account all debts of all
𝑬𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒕𝒚)/
(𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑨𝒔𝒔𝒆𝒕𝒔)
= (𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑳𝒊𝒂𝒃𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒆𝒔)/(𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍
𝑨𝒔𝒔𝒆𝒕𝒔)
Rule: <50% 31
Ratio Analysis Cont’d
Financial Leverage Ratios Debt-Equity
• Debt-Equity Ratio – measures how much of the company is
= 1+ 𝑫𝑬𝑹
• Example: EM = TA/TE = $1,835,000/$1,003,000 = 1.83
times
EM = 1+ DER 1+ 0.83 = 1.83 times. 32
Ratio Analysis Cont’d
Financial Leverage Ratios Times Intere
• Times Interest Earned - measures how well a company
has its interest obligations covered, and it is often
33
Ratio Analysis Cont’d
Financial Leverage Ratios Cash Coverag
• Cash Coverage –
• Problem with the TIE ratio is that it is based on EBIT,
which is not really a measure of cash available to pay
interest.
• The reason is that depreciation, a noncash expense, has
been deducted out.
• Because interest is definitely a cash outflow (to
(𝑬𝑩𝑰𝑻+𝑫𝒆𝒑𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒊𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏)/𝑰𝒏𝒕𝒆𝒓𝒆𝒔𝒕
• The numerator here, EBIT plus depreciation, is often
abbreviated EBITD (earnings before interest, taxes, and
depreciation). 34
•
Ratio Analysis…
Market Value Ratios M/B ratio
• Market-to-Book Ratio – compares the market value of the firm’s investments to their cost.
• A value less than 1 indicates that the firm has not been successful overall in creating value for
its stockholders.
• Example:
• M/B = $12/$1 = 12
35
Thematic area Corporate
Finance
Course
Financial Management
Part I
Part III
III
12 1 10
10
0.30 or 30% 38
Expected Return
r̂ ( ):
• When returns are not known with certainty, there will often
exist a probability distribution of possible returns with an
associated probability of occurrence.
• Expected return is a weighted average of nthe individual
possible returns (rj), with weights being
Possible
occurrence (pProbability
). of
r̂ the probability
j 1
rjp j of
jOccurrence
Return
n
-10% 5% r̂ rjp j
j 1
0% 10%
10% .05 0% .10
+5% 25%
5% .25 15% .50 25% .10
+15% 50%
10.75%
+25% 10%
39
Measurements of Risk
• Standard Deviation
( ): a statistical measure of the
r̂
dispersion, or variability, of outcomes around the mean
or expected value ( ).
• Low standard deviation means that returns are
tightly clustered around the mean
• Three common ways of calculating standard
• High standard deviation means that returns are
deviation:
widely dispersed
• Returns around
are known thecertainty
with mean
• Standard deviation of a population
• Standard deviation of a sample
• Returns are not known with certainty
40
Standard Deviation (Historical) of a Population
First, calculate the variance ( 2):
2 2 2
2
r1 - r + r2 - r +...+ rN - r
σ =
N
The standard deviation ( ) is the square root
of the variance:
r = Mean return σ= σ2
ri = Return i
N = Number of returns
You have been given the following sample of stock returns,
r1 + r2 + ... + rN
for which you would like to calculate
AM = the standard deviation:
N
{12%, -4%, 0%, 22%, 5%} 12 - 4 0 22 5
p 1: Calculate Arithmetic Return 5
41
7%
Standard Deviation: Example
Step 2: Calculate Variance
r - r + r - r +...+ r - r
2 1
2
2
2
N
2
S =
N-1
12 7 4 7 0 7 22 7 5 7
2 2 2 2 2
5 1
106
s = S2
3: Calculate Standard Deviation
106
10.3%
Recession 0% 25%
n
Step #1: Calculate the Expected Return r̂ rjp j
j 1
n 2
2
σ = rj - r p j Recession 0% 25%
j=1
= 87.75
Step #3: Calculate the Standard Deviation σ= σ2
= 87.75
= 9.4%
44
Concept of Efficient Portfolios
• Has the highest possible expected return for a given level of risk
(or standard deviation)
• Has
A the lowest possible level of it
risk forthe
a given expected return
dominates B because has same expected
return for a given risk.
C dominates B because it has a higher expected
r̂ return for a given risk.
C
A B
45
Coefficient of Variation (v)
deviation ( ) r̂to the expected value
The ratio of the standard
( ).
Tells us the risk per unit of return.
An appropriate measure of total risk when comparing two
v
investment projects of different size.
r̂
Example: You are asked to rank the following set of investments
according to their risk
Security per unit
Return of return.
Standard
Deviation
A 6% 7%
B 10% 13%
C 18% 21%
46
Coefficient of Variation
Security Return Standard Coefficient of
Deviation Variation
A 6% 7% 7
1.17
6
B 10% 13% 13
1.3
Most Risk 10
C 18% 20% 20
1.1
Least Risk 18
Unique Risk
The market will compensate us for
market risk – the risk that cannot
52
Capital Asset Pricing model (CAPM)
• Only systematic risk is relevant
• Systematic, or non-diversifiable, risk is caused by factors affecting the
entire market
• interest rate changes
• changes in purchasing power
• change in business outlook
• Unsystematic, or diversifiable, risk is caused by factors unique to the
firm
• strikes
• regulations
• management’s capabilities
When assets are put into a well-diversified portfolio,
some of the unique or nonsystematic risk is diversified
away 53
Diversifying Unique Risk
• Beta is a measure of the volatility
Risk of a security’s return compared
Portfolio
Risk
to the volatility of the return on
the Market Portfolio
Covariance j,Market
Unique
βSecurity j VarianceMarket
Risk
Market Risk
Number of Securities
54
Security Market Line (SML)
Shows the relationship between required rate of
return and beta (ß).
Required
Rate of Required Rate of Return (CAPM)
Return Security
Market Line • The required return for any
security j may be defined in
kj terms of systematic risk, j, the
expected market return, rm, and
the expected risk free rate, rf.
rf
k j ˆr β j (ˆr ˆr )
ßj f m f
ß
55
Security Market Line (SML)
EXAMPLE: A security has a Beta of 1.25. If the yield
on Treasury Bills is 5% and the return on the market
portfolio is 11%, what is the expected return for
holding the security? k ˆr β (ˆ
j f
r)
r ˆ j m f
59
Thematic area Corporate
Finance
Course
Financial Management
Part I
Part III
IV
-$1,000
= $1,191.02
Future values can be calculated using a table method, whereby
“future value interest factors” (FVIF) are provided.
FVn = PV0 (FVI Fi,n ) , where: FVI Fi,n = 1+i
n
Present Value
What a future sum of money is worth today, given a
FVn interest (or discount)
particular FV = future value
rate.
PV0 PV = present value
1+i
n
i = interest rate per compounding period (r/m)
n = number of compounding (m*t)
M=no. of compounding per year
T= no. of years 64
Present Value
Example: You will receive $1,000 in three years. If the
discount rate
0 is 6%,
6% 1 what
6% is2 the 6%
present
3 value?
$1,000
FV3 $1, 000
PV0 $839.62
1+i 1 0.06
n 3
66
Annuities
The payment or receipt of an equal cash flow per period,
for a specified number of periods.
Examples:
Ordinary mortgages,
annuity: car
cash flows leases,
occur retirement
at the end of income
each period
Example: 3-year,
0 $100 ordinary
1 annuity
2 3
annually? 2
3
2.050
3.152
2.060
3.184
2.100
3.310
4 4.310 4.375 4.641
1 i
n
1
FVI FAi,n =
i 71
Annuities
uity Due: Future Value
Example: What is the future value of a 3-year $100 annuity
due if the cash flows are invested at
5%6% compounded
Table 4.3 Excerpt: FVI FA for $1 per period
End of Period ( n) 6% 10%
annually? 2
3
2.050
3.152
2.060
3.184
2.100
3.310
4 4.310 4.375 4.641
72
Annuities
Annuities: Present
The present value of an annuity is the sum of the present
Value
values
0 of all individual
1 2cash flows.
3
1- 1+i-n
$100 PVOrdinary= PMT
PV $100 $100 Annuity i
PV
PV
PV of Annuity
Example: What is the present value of a three year, $100
ordinary annuity, given a discount
1-rate
1+iof 6%?
-n
PVOrdinary =PMT
Annuity i
1 - 1.06 -3
100
.06
$267.30 73
Annuities
Present value of an annuity due:
1- 1+i-n
PVAnnuity = PMT 1+i
Due i
76
Perpetuities
• Financial instrument that pays an equal cash flow per period
into the indefinite future (i.e. to infinity). Example:
dividend stream0on common and3 preferred stock
1
$60
2
$60 $60
4
$60
PMT
PVPER 0 PMT
t 1 (1+i)n
PVPER 0
i
Example: What is the present value of a $100 perpetuity,
given a discount rate of 8% compounded annually?
PMT $100
PVPER 0 $1, 250.00
i 0.08 77
More Frequent Compounding
Nominal Interest Rate: the annual percentage interest rate, often referred to as
the Annual Percentage Rate (APR).
Example: 12% compounded semi-annually
12%
0 6% 0.5 6% 1 6% 1.5
m 1+
m
78
More Frequent Compounding
Example: What is a $1,000 mn investment worth in five years if it
earns 8% interest, inom
compounded quarterly?
FVn PV0 1
m
(4)(5)
0.08
$1, 000 1
4
$1, 485.95
Example: How much do you have to invest today in order to
have $10,000 in 20 years, if you
PV0
can FVearn
n 10% interest,
mn
compounded monthly? i
1+ nom m
$10,000
(12)(20)
$1, 364.62
0.10
1+ 12
79
Impact of Compounding Frequency
$1,000 Invested at Different 10% Nominal Rates for One Year
$1,106
$1,105
$1,104
$1,103
$1,102
$1,101
$1,100
$1,099
$1,098
$1,097
Annual Semi- Quarterly Monthly Daily
Annual
81
Cost of Capital
By Kibrysfaw 82
An Overview
Terms required return, appropriate discount rate, and cost
of capital are more or less interchangeably used.
We take the firm’s financial policy – capital structure as
given that a firm uses both debt and equity capital.
Hence, a firm's cost of capital will reflect both its
• cost of equity capital and
• cost of debt capital.
We know that the return earned on assets depends on the
risk of those assets
The return to an investor is the same as the cost to the
company
Our cost of capital provides us with an indication of how the
market views the risk of our assets 83
The Cost of Equity
Cost of equity = the return that equity investors require on their
investment in the firm.
There two approaches to determining the over all cost of equity:
1) the dividend growth model approach and
2) the security market line (SML) approach.
87
The Cost of Equity
• Advantages and Disadvantages of SML
• Advantages
• Explicitly adjusts for systematic risk
• Applicable to all companies, as long as we can
estimate beta,
• Disadvantages
• Have to estimate the expected market risk premium,
which does vary over time
• Have to estimate beta, which also varies over time
• We are using the past to predict the future, which is
not always reliable
88
The Cost of Debt
• Cost of debt measures the current cost to the firm of borrowing funds to finance
projects, such as
interest expense, transaction cost, bond printing cost, taxes
• It is measured by the effective interest rate or yield paid to bondholders.
• i.e., before tax cost of debt is equal to the yield to maturity on
bond issue.
• If the debt is publically issued, floatation cost incurred.
• But required return to debt holders is not equal to the firm’s
cost of debt b/c interest payments are deductible, which
means the government in effect pays part of the total cost.
• after-tax cost of debt is
89
90
The Cost of Debt
• Ex1: assume that ABC’s tax rate is 40%, the cost of new, or marginal, debt is 9%,
then its after-tax cost of debt is
• Soln: after-tax cost of debt is
• EX2:
91
Cost of Preferred Stock
• Cost of preferred stock is quite straightforward b/c:
• Preferred stock generally pays a constant dividend each
period
• Dividends are expected to be paid every period forever
• Preferred stock is a perpetuity, so cost of preferred stock, RP,
• RP = D / P0
• Ex1: Your company has preferred stock that has an annual
dividend of br 3. If the current price is br 25, what is the cost
of preferred stock?
• RP = 3/25 = 12%
92
Cost of Preferred Stock
93
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital
• We can use the individual costs of capital that we have
computed to get our “average” cost of capital for the firm.
• This “average” is the required return on the firm’s assets,
based on the market’s perception of the risk of those assets.
• The weights are determined by how much of each type of
•financing
WACC: is used.
• After calculating individual CC, now can combine them WACC.
• WACC = cost of equity + cost of debt + cost of preferred stock
• Where W = Weights
• Firm should accept any project with a return which is more than
WACC.
• In other words, it’s the minimum return for a project must be at
least equal to WACC. 94
Capital Structure Weights
• Notation
• E = market value of equity = # of outstanding shares times
price per share
• D = market value of debt = # of outstanding bonds times
bond price
• V = market value of the firm = D + E
• CS Weights
• wE = E/V
• Suppose you=have
percent financed
a market with
value of equity
equity equal to $520,000
and
• wDa=market
D/V =value of debt
percent equal
financed to $480,000.
with debt
• What are the capital structure weights?
• V = $520,000 + $480,000 = $1,000,000
• wE = E/V = 520,000 / 1,000,000 = 0.52 = 52%
• wD = D/V = 480,000/ 1,000,000 = 0.48 = 48% 95
Taxes and the WACC
• We are concerned with after-tax cash flows, so we also need
to consider the effect of taxes on the various costs of capital
• Interest expense reduces our tax liability
• This reduction in taxes reduces our cost of debt
• After-tax cost of debt = RD(1-T)
• Dividends are not tax deductible, so there is no tax impact
on the cost of equity
• WACC = wERE + wDRD(1-T)
96
WACC - Example
Suppose a firm has following capital structure which it
considers optimal: Debt – 30%, Preferred shares – 18%,
Share Capital (Common shares) – 52%. The firm paid a
dividend of $2/share last year and its stock currently sells at
$80/share. Tax rate is 35% and investors expect earnings
and dividend to grow at a constant rate of 12% in the future.
New Common stocks have a flotation cost of 12%. New
Preferred stock would be sold at $100/share with a dividend
of $9. Flotation is $6/share. For debt, it’s a 9% irredeemable
• Cost of debt: Cost of
$1,000 debt with a current value ofPreferred
$1,100. Stock:
Annual interest
• RD = $90/$1,100
payment = 8.18%
has just been made.
9%*$100 = $90
• What is the weighted average after-tax costs of capital of
• RDT = 8.18%*(1 – 35%)
the firm?
• RDT = 8.18%*(1 – 35%)
• RDT = 5.32% 97
WACC – Solution…
• WACC:
98
Check your understanding!
• Question:
• The market values of common stock and debts of a company are
$150 million and $35 million respectively, in which the required
return for common stock is 17% whilst 7% for debts. The book
value of common stock and debts are $100 million and $20
million respectively.
• Calculate the WACC for this company if they are subject to a 40%
tax rate.
99
Thanks!
End of the Chapter,
100
long term By
investment Kibrysfaw
G
Investment Decisions – An Overview
• Investment Decision is concerned with the selection of assets in which funds
will be invested by a firm.
CB Evaluation Techniques
Non-Discounting
Net
Discounted
Intern
Modifi
ed
Profita
al Rate Intern
Payback Period Average Rate of Presen bility
of al Rate
[PP] Return [ARR] t Value Index
Return of
[NPV] [PI]
1. Payback Period (PBP)
• Payback Period (PBP):
• How long does it take to get back our MONEY back?
• How soon can we get our CASH back?
• Answer: the number of YEARS required to recover a project’s cost (initial cost).
• The Cash Flows maybe take the form of:
• Annuity (Uniform) CFs:
• returns from capital investment paid back in a series of regular payments
• Where,
• WC
3. Average Rate of Return (ARR) – Example
• Suppose the project with initial investment of Br. 70,000, Salvage
value of Br 6,000, tax rate of 40% & no working capital. If the firm
applies straight line method of depreciation, determine ARR given
the ff CFs:
Years 1 2 3 4
CFs, before tax 40,000 42,000 36,000 50,000
Strengths:
Consistent with Weaknesses:
shareholders wealth Many users find it difficult to
maximization. work with a birr [dollar] return
Consider both magnitude & than a percentage return.
timing of CFs. Hard to determine the
Indicates whether a discount rate as it changes
proposed project will yield over the life.
5. Profitability Index (PI) (Cost benefit
ratio)
Profitability index is the ratio of the present value of the
expected net cash flow of the project and its initial investment
outlay.
PI = PVCF /II
Profitability index provides or measure of profitability in a more
readily understandable terms. It simply converts the NPV
PI s = ( 10,785)/ PI (L) = ( 11,101)/ 10,00
criterion into a relative measure.
10,00 = 1.078 = 1.11
If NPV is +VE If NPV is -VE
PI >1 PI <1
6. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR):
• IRR is discount rate that equates the PV of net CFs of a project to its CF0.
• IRR is a discount rate to obtain NPV of zero.
• Accept
• Reject
• Types of projects?
• Independent projects:
• If IRR exceeds the project’s WACC, accept the project.
• If IRR is less than the project’s WACC, reject it.
• Mutually exclusive projects:
• Accept the project with the highest IRR, provided that IRR is greater than WACC.
• Reject all projects if the best IRR does not exceed WACC.
Summary on CB Evaluation Techniques
• Mathematically, the NPV, IRR, MIRR, and PI methods will
always lead to the same ACCEPT/REJECT decisions for,
independent projects.
• If a project’s NPV is positive, its IRR and MIRR will always
exceed WACC and its PI will always be greater than 1.
• But, these methods can give conflicting rankings for
mutually exclusive projects if the projects differ in size or in
the timing of cash flows.
• If the PI ranking conflicts with the NPV, then the NPV
ranking should be used.
Thank you !