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Nancy Shackell
  • Dartmouth, Canada

Nancy Shackell

Fisheries and Oceans Canada, OESD, Department Member
Aquaculture genetic improvement programs may be ineffective if the sole objective is to increase growth rate. Stress resistance is equally important but is difficult to measure. In this study, developmental stability was used to... more
Aquaculture genetic improvement programs may be ineffective if the sole objective is to increase growth rate. Stress resistance is equally important but is difficult to measure. In this study, developmental stability was used to characterize dietary stress resistance of 2 strains of tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus). Developmental stability was measured as the inverse of (1) asymmetry of bilateral traits, e.g. paired fins (Asymmetry index) and (2) the amount of scale circulus deformation (Circulus Deformation index). Growth and developmental stability of inbred, outbred and inter-strain hybrid lines of tilapia were studied in 2 dietary regimes. Growth rate was significantly faster in the constant high protein regime (CE) than in the fluctuating low-high-low protein regime (FE). Hybrid progeny of the "Nifi" and "Israel" strains grew the fastest, followed by the Israel strain and lastly the Nifi strain.
Environmental impacts on fisheries are pervasive, yet methods to account for them in stock assessments and management decisions vary in rigour and quality. The prevalence and efficacy of methods to account for environmental impacts are... more
Environmental impacts on fisheries are pervasive, yet methods to account for them in stock assessments and management decisions vary in rigour and quality. The prevalence and efficacy of methods to account for environmental impacts are not well documented, limiting our ability to adequately respond to future environmental and climate changes for adaptive resource management. In Canada, legislation now requires that environmental conditions are considered in the management of fish stocks, yet the current extent of implementation in assessment processes is poorly understood. We assessed the use of climate, oceanographic and ecological considerations in science advisory processes for 178 stock assessments by Fisheries and Oceans Canada. We evaluated whether these considerations were included in conceptual hypotheses about broad‐scale mechanisms, quantitative or qualitative analyses, and the development of management advice on current or future stock status. Conceptual hypotheses were included in 46% of assessments; quantitative inclusions occurred in 21% of assessments, while qualitative interpretations appeared in 31% of assessments; and 27% of assessments included climate, oceanographic and/or ecological considerations in the advice. Assessments of salmonids, invertebrates and pelagic taxa more frequently made use of environmental data than those for groundfish and elasmobranchs. Comparing our findings with assessments in other jurisdictions highlighted a gap in Canada's ability to respond to environmental changes and a need to develop integrated management approaches, such as regional ecosystem assessments and approaches that combine modelling and empirical analyses, with socio‐economic analysis within interdisciplinary teams.
Producers and users contributing to diverse scientific enterprises are often siloed. FISHGLOB is a sociotechnical infrastructure supporting collaboration and data sharing between experts in, and users of, fish bottom trawl surveys, a form... more
Producers and users contributing to diverse scientific enterprises are often siloed. FISHGLOB is a sociotechnical infrastructure supporting collaboration and data sharing between experts in, and users of, fish bottom trawl surveys, a form of ocean monitoring.
<p>. Each boxplot represents the distribution of net change calculated from 10 models fit to subsamples of each species. Dashed lines are at 10%. Net change is considered neutral if median net change among 10 subsamples is between... more
<p>. Each boxplot represents the distribution of net change calculated from 10 models fit to subsamples of each species. Dashed lines are at 10%. Net change is considered neutral if median net change among 10 subsamples is between dashed lines. Positive outliers >100 are not shown. Change in habitat under scenario 1 (Y2060) in Canada (A) and the USA (B) and under scenario 2 (Y2030) in Canada (C) and USA (D). Abbreviated species names are listed beside full common names in <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0090662#pone.0090662.s003" target="_blank">Table S2</a>.</p
Characterizing the nature of genetic differentiation among individuals and populations and its distribution across the genome is increasingly important to inform both conservation and management of exploited species. Atlantic Halibut... more
Characterizing the nature of genetic differentiation among individuals and populations and its distribution across the genome is increasingly important to inform both conservation and management of exploited species. Atlantic Halibut (Hippoglossus hippoglossus) is an ecologically and commercially important fish species, yet knowledge of population structure and genomic diversity in this species remains lacking. Here, we use restriction-site associated DNA sequencing and a chromosome-level genome assembly to identify over 86 000 single nucleotide polymorphisms mapped to 24 chromosome-sized scaffolds, genotyped in 734 individuals across the Northwest Atlantic. We describe subtle but significant genome-wide regional structuring between the Gulf of St. Lawrence and adjacent Atlantic continental shelf. However, the majority of genetic divergence is associated with a large putative chromosomal rearrangement (5.74 megabases) displaying high differentiation and linkage disequilibrium, but n...
According to density-dependent habitat selection theory, areas of high density can be indicative of high population productivity and have positive individual fitness consequences. Here, we explore six groundfish populations on the Scotian... more
According to density-dependent habitat selection theory, areas of high density can be indicative of high population productivity and have positive individual fitness consequences. Here, we explore six groundfish populations on the Scotian Shelf, Canada, where a decline in areas of high density beyond a certain threshold is associated with disproportionately large declines in Spawning Stock Biomass (SSB). This is evidenced by empirical, concave, positive relationships between high-density areas (HDAs) and SSB. We introduce a methodology to estimate the threshold below which SSB declines increasingly faster per unit of HDA decline. The spatial threshold among these six stocks was remarkably consistent; when stocks lose 70–80% of HDAs, disproportionately large SSB declines are likely to occur. We propose that spatial thresholds could serve as spatial reference points to complement existing SSB limit reference points (LRPs). For some stocks we identify spatial thresholds which correspon...
Nye, J. A., Bundy, A., Shackell, N., Friedland, K. D., and Link, J. S. 2010. Coherent trends in contiguous survey time-series of major ecological and commercial fish species in the Gulf of Maine ecosystem. – ICES Journal of Marine... more
Nye, J. A., Bundy, A., Shackell, N., Friedland, K. D., and Link, J. S. 2010. Coherent trends in contiguous survey time-series of major ecological and commercial fish species in the Gulf of Maine ecosystem. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 67: 26–40. Fish are often delineated into distinct population or stock units that reflect human institutional borders more than ecological factors. In the Northwest Atlantic, there are many species in the broader Gulf of Maine area (GOMA), yet the area is surveyed and managed for the most part in the south by the United States and in the north by Canada. Biomass time-series of 19 representative fish species and total biomass from 7 different surveys conducted by the United States and Canada in the GOMA are compared. All species showed coherent trends in relative biomass across at least two survey time-series, and in many species a single trend could describe all time-series trends accurately. For instance, Canadian and the US time-series of Atlant...
Age-specific, sex-specific survival rates for immature and mature capelin (Mallotus villosus) were estimated by linear least-squares models, using abundance data derived from annual acoustic/trawl research surveys conducted from 1982 to... more
Age-specific, sex-specific survival rates for immature and mature capelin (Mallotus villosus) were estimated by linear least-squares models, using abundance data derived from annual acoustic/trawl research surveys conducted from 1982 to 1990 on the northern Grand Bank. Survival estimates for age 2 immature fish were comparable between sexes (annual survival equals approximately 40%). Survival estimates for age 4 mature fish differed between sexes, with females having a higher (25–51%) average survival estimate than males (6%). Survival estimates for immature and mature age 3 fish were equivocal; immature males and females had comparable rates (30.3–32.3 and 15.2–26.6%, respectively) whereas a greater proportion of mature females (25–50%) survived than of mature males (2.5–13%). The stated ranges denote survival estimates including and excluding an influential data point, respectively. Higher average survival of mature females than of mature males may be a result of sex-specific beha...
Shackell, N. L., Bundy, A., Nye, J. A., and Link, J. S. 2012. Common large-scale responses to climate and fishing across Northwest Atlantic ecosystems. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69: 151–152. Investigating whether there were common... more
Shackell, N. L., Bundy, A., Nye, J. A., and Link, J. S. 2012. Common large-scale responses to climate and fishing across Northwest Atlantic ecosystems. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69: 151–152. Investigating whether there were common biological responses to climate and fishing across seven Northwest Atlantic ecosystems, a minimum/maximum autocorrelation factor analysis of biological indicators for each region revealed a common primary multivariate trend of a rapid change during the 1980s and early 1990s. There was a strong common pattern in the biological indicators responsible for the primary multivariate temporal trend in the five more northerly regions: an increase in the abundance of phytoplankton, an increase in biomass at mid-trophic levels, and a decline in predatory groundfish size. The common associations between patterns and drivers were fishing indices and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, but all associations weakened when co-varying drivers were held constant....
ABSTRACT In southwestern Nova Scotia, haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) spawning is centered on Browns Bank where the variability of a partial gyre influences the distribution of eggs and larvae. An unknown proportion of each year-class... more
ABSTRACT In southwestern Nova Scotia, haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) spawning is centered on Browns Bank where the variability of a partial gyre influences the distribution of eggs and larvae. An unknown proportion of each year-class is advected northward to the Bay of Fundy. We examined the variability in length at age 2 as an index of retention during early life. We assumed that early life stages that are retained in the Scotian Shelf area grow more slowly, while those that are advected into the Bay of Fundy grow more quickly. An optimization program was used to estimate the proportions of Scotian Shelf and Bay of Fundy sized components in length at age 2 bimodal frequency distributions for year-classes 1968-1993. The median proportion of Scotian Shelf sized fish was 0.89. A physical circulation model showed that the majority of particles released on Browns Bank drifted towards the Bay of Fundy. Results of the physical model and the size-based index differ partly because the former predicts the fate of passive particles, while the latter is an integrated measure of the proportion of fish retained and surviving. Survival is associated with high wind stress (r = -0.5, p = 0.011, n = 25) implying a higher probability of survival of those retained in the Scotian Shelf region.
Climate change affects virtually all marine life and is increasingly a dominant concern for fisheries, reinforcing the need to incorporate climate variability and change when managing fish stocks. Canada is expected to experience... more
Climate change affects virtually all marine life and is increasingly a dominant concern for fisheries, reinforcing the need to incorporate climate variability and change when managing fish stocks. Canada is expected to experience widespread climate-driven impacts on its fisheries but does not yet have a clear adaptation strategy. Here, we provide an overview of a project we are developing, the Climate Adaptation Framework for Fisheries, to address this need and support climate adaptation in Canadian marine fisheries. The framework seeks to quantitatively and flexibly evaluate species, fishing infrastructure, and the management and operation of fisheries to assess climate vulnerability comprehensively and provide outputs that can support climate adaptation planning across different sectors, agencies, and stakeholders. This new framework should allow future climate scenarios to be evaluated and identify actionable climate vulnerabilities related to the management of fisheries, creatin...
There has been a proliferation of climate change vulnerability assessments of species, yet possibly due to their limited reproducibility, scalability, and interpretability, their operational use in applied decision-making remains... more
There has been a proliferation of climate change vulnerability assessments of species, yet possibly due to their limited reproducibility, scalability, and interpretability, their operational use in applied decision-making remains paradoxically low. We use a newly developed Climate Risk Index for Biodiversity to evaluate the climate vulnerability and risk for ∼2,000 species across three ecosystems and 90 fish stocks in the northwest Atlantic Ocean, a documented global warming hotspot. We found that harvested and commercially valuable species were at significantly greater risk of exposure to hazardous climate conditions than non-harvested species, and emissions mitigation disproportionately reduced their projected exposure risk and cumulative climate risk. Of the 90 fish stocks we evaluated, 41% were at high climate risk, but this proportion dropped to 25% under emissions mitigation. Our structured framework demonstrates how climate risk can be operationalized to support short- and lo...
Social-ecological systems dependent on fisheries must be resilient or adapt to remain viable in the face of change. Here, we identified possible interventions (termed “adaptation options”) from published literature, aimed at supporting... more
Social-ecological systems dependent on fisheries must be resilient or adapt to remain viable in the face of change. Here, we identified possible interventions (termed “adaptation options”) from published literature, aimed at supporting social or ecological resilience and/or aiding adaptation to changes induced by environmental or social stressors. Our searches centered on nations/regions across North America, Europe, and the South Pacific, encompassing fisheries literature with and without a climate change focus, to compare how, when, and by whom interventions are currently or potentially implemented. We expected that adaptation options within a climate change context would have a greater focus on enhancing social resilience due to a connection with climate change adaptation assessment methodology. Instead, we found a greater focus on ecological resilience, likely indicating a focus on management adaptation. This pattern, along with the more extensive use of social adaptation option...
Interactions between spatial dynamics and stock structure in marine fishes have largely focused on stocks in decline; stock structure is rarely re-visited for expanding species. Here, the spatial e...
The theory of island biogeography (TIB) predicts that species richness in isolated areas is determined by the processes of colonization and extinction, and, in turn, governed by island size and isolation. Metacommunity models extend the... more
The theory of island biogeography (TIB) predicts that species richness in isolated areas is determined by the processes of colonization and extinction, and, in turn, governed by island size and isolation. Metacommunity models extend the TIB, predicting that both habitat and species interactions are important drivers of community vital rates and structure, and that marine metacommunities will exhibit higher extinction/colonization rates relative to terrestrial ecosystems. Here we demonstrate that oceanic banks can be considered islands, and document how application of these theories advanced our understanding of the dynamics of these submarine islands following the fishery-induced collapse of predatory groundfish populations. We employed a 48 yr dataset of fish communities on 10 offshore banks of the Scotian Shelf, Northwest Atlantic Ocean to examine colonization and extinction rates before and after the collapse. Bank-specific colonization, extinction and turnover rates were quantif...
Knowledge of recruitment and its variability in marine fish populations contributes to sustainable fisheries but a full understanding remains elusive. An earlier study showed that haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) stocks exhibited... more
Knowledge of recruitment and its variability in marine fish populations contributes to sustainable fisheries but a full understanding remains elusive. An earlier study showed that haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) stocks exhibited consistently higher variability and lower reproductive rates compared to cod (Gadus morhua) stocks in the geographic regions where they co-occurred. Thus, cod may have a higher resilience to overexploitation, whereas haddock stocks may be more likely to be rescued by chance strong recruitments events. Since that initial study, the ecosystems and stocks have experienced large structural and functional changes, as well as changes in management practice and ocean warming. Here, we updated the previous earlier analysis with new data and found that despite large changes in the ecosystems explored, the patterns of recruitment variability have persisted. Recruitment variability remains higher in haddock than in cod, and the maximum annual reproduction rate at lo...
The abundance, distribution, and size of marine species are linked to temperature and nutrient regimes and are profoundly affected by humans through exploitation and climate change. Yet little is known about long-term historical links... more
The abundance, distribution, and size of marine species are linked to temperature and nutrient regimes and are profoundly affected by humans through exploitation and climate change. Yet little is known about long-term historical links between ocean environmental changes and resource abundance to provide context for current and potential future trends and inform conservation and management. We synthesize >4000 years of climate and marine ecosystem dynamics in a Northwest Atlantic region currently undergoing rapid changes, the Gulf of Maine and Scotian Shelf. This period spans the late Holocene cooling and recent warming and includes both Indigenous and European influence. We compare environmental records from instrumental, sedimentary, coral, and mollusk archives with ecological records from fossils, archaeological, historical, and modern data, and integrate future model projections of environmental and ecosystem changes. This multidisciplinary synthesis provides insight into mult...
Characterizing the nature of genetic differentiation among individuals and populations and its distribution across the genome is increasingly important to inform both conservation and management of exploited species. Atlantic Halibut... more
Characterizing the nature of genetic differentiation among individuals and populations and its distribution across the genome is increasingly important to inform both conservation and management of exploited species. Atlantic Halibut (Hippoglossus hippoglossus) is an ecologically and commercially important fish species, yet knowledge of population structure and genomic diversity in this species remains lacking. Here, we use restriction-site associated DNA sequencing and a chromosome-level genome assembly to identify over 86,000 single nucleotide polymorphisms mapped to 24 chromosome-sized scaffolds, genotyped in 734 individuals across the Northwest Atlantic. We describe subtle but significant genome-wide regional structuring between the Gulf of St. Lawrence and adjacent Atlantic continental shelf. However, the majority of genetic divergence is associated with a large putative chromosomal rearrangement (5.74 megabases) displaying high differentiation and linkage disequilibrium, but n...
The United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity was established in 1993. Canada is a signatory nation that has adopted, and exceeded, the UN Aichi biodiversity target to protect 10% of coastal and marine areas through marine... more
The United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity was established in 1993. Canada is a signatory nation that has adopted, and exceeded, the UN Aichi biodiversity target to protect 10% of coastal and marine areas through marine protected areas or “other effective area-based conservation measures” (OECMs) by 2020. However, the science of OECMs as contributors to biodiversity conservation is relatively young and their definition and efficacy testing continue to evolve. Here, we examine whether areas closed to fishing on the Scotian Shelf in Atlantic Canada, where the groundfish community had collapsed in the early 1990s, have the potential to serve as OECMs for groundfish recovery. Using long-term research survey data, we show that three long-term area-based fishing fleet closures did not enhance per capita population growth rates of the majority of 24 common groundfish species. At a regional scale, 10 out of 24 species are currently at less than 50% of their pre-collapse (1979–199...

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