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Aner Zukovic

  • Aner Zuković graduated with a BA in Security, Peace Studies, Democracy, and Human Rights from the University of Sarajevo in 2008; he furthered his expertise with an MA in Politology, specializing in security, in 2011. Currently (2023) pu... moreedit
The 8th Regional Security Coordination Conference, themed "Secure the Future: Building Resilience through Collaboration," convened in Rome on November 14th and 15th, 2023, focusing on addressing security challenges in South-East Europe,... more
The 8th Regional Security Coordination Conference, themed "Secure the Future: Building Resilience through Collaboration," convened in Rome on November 14th and 15th, 2023, focusing on addressing security challenges in South-East Europe, notably the Western Balkans. Organized through collaborative efforts by the RCC, the International Relations Service of the Office for Coordination and Planning of Police Forces of the Ministry of Interior, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation of Italy, the conference hosted over 100 participants and 55 speakers from diverse backgrounds, fostering dialogue among Western Balkan economies, Italy, EU member states, and international organizations.

Aligned with SecuriMeter 2023 findings, the conference addressed critical themes, including violent extremism, organized crime, migration, and cybersecurity, while exploring human security and the integration of AI and innovative technologies in policing for the first time. This year's Regional Security Coordination Conference included one thematic panel dedicated to the regional exchange between the Ministries of Interior and Ministries of Justice of the Western Balkans at the level of leaders of working groups for Chapters 23 and 24, thus laying the groundwork for enhanced regional cooperation.

The accompanying report offers a concise summary of the conference discussions, introducing new chapters analyzing the security landscape and trends in the Western Balkans, observations, and preliminary recommendations for future conference editions.

Authors: Consulting Group - Sheelagh Brady (Ph.D.), Metodi Hadji-Janev (Ph.D.)
Editor: Aner Zuković (M.A.)
This Special Security Edition of the Balkan Barometer aims to explore perceptions of public opinion and businesses in the Western Balkans, given the impact and consequences of the war in Ukraine. In this context, the report comes as a... more
This Special Security Edition of the Balkan Barometer aims to explore perceptions of public opinion and businesses in the Western Balkans, given the impact and consequences of the war in Ukraine. In this context, the report comes as a specific additional instrument along with other reports commissioned by RCC, such as the Balkan Barometer and SecuriMeter, the objective of which is to provide updated information on citizens and/or business perceptions across a wide array of policy areas pertinent to the Western Balkans.

The report analyses public responses regarding the perceived risks from the war for their economies, potential instabilities and concerns for their resilience. Decisions taken by public authorities in the region regarding their economies’ positioning towards the war and measures taken to cope with consequences are also thoroughly discussed based on data collected from the survey and additional research work. In addition to analysing important components of the impact in the region, such as inflation and energy security, the report also focuses on other related threats, such as disinformation and cyberattacks, which have been present across the region in 2022.

The report consists of two main parts: the Public Opinion Survey, with 3,000 participants from Western Balkan economies with 32 posed questions, and the Business Opinion Survey - a survey of business perceptions in each of the Western Balkan economies with a total of 600 companies, and a total of 24 questions.
The region finds it very important to work on addressing security challenges in the Western Balkans, such as combating terrorism, fighting organised crime and strengthening border security, in order to ensure the internal security of the... more
The region finds it very important to work on addressing security challenges in the Western Balkans, such as combating terrorism, fighting organised crime and strengthening border security, in order to ensure the internal security of the region. In this respect, the highest importance was given to addressing the challenges related to serious and organised crime and financial crime (92%), followed by work on combating terrorism (88%), migrant crisis (86%), and violent extremism and cybersecurity (84%).

The survey indicates that gun ownership is not an attractive option for the Western Balkans citizens, with only 6% on regional average of those who would consider owning a gun, compared to the overwhelming 91% of those who would not. That is compared to 15% and 70%, respectively, when the same question was posed to the respondents in the Balkan Barometer 2020 Survey. Therefore, we may note a decline in attractiveness of gun ownership, at least as far as reported in this survey.

Looking at the average for the Western Balkans, an overwhelming majority of the respondents (70%) believe that the migrants entering the respondents’ respective economy increase the security risks for their economy. Less than a third disagree with that sentiment. It is also notable that only 2% do not have or refused to express their opinion, indicating that the question is a highly polarising one, with almost all respondents having a clear stand on the issue.
Natural disasters are perceived as a serious security threat by the Western Balkans citizens. 77% or more than two thirds share this opinion. This prevalence holds true for each individual economy, being lowest in Albania – 63% and highest in Serbia – at 82%. There is also a very small proportion of those who do not have an opinion or refuse to share it, indicating that the awareness on the impact of natural disasters is widely spread.

Hybrid threats attract the attention and understanding of the WB6 public with regard to their negative role as a potential destabilising factor on the political, economic, and security situation in their home economies. That disinformation is a new way of warfare that state and non-state actors wage against their economy is considered by the vast majority of respondents across the region, as many as 76% of them, while almost one-fifth (19%) of respondents do not perceive disinformation in that regard.
The Extremism Research Forum is a UK government funded research project, examining drivers of radicalisation and violent extremism in the Western Balkans – Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia. The... more
The Extremism Research Forum is a UK government funded research project, examining drivers of radicalisation and violent extremism in the Western Balkans – Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia.

The research commenced in 2017, exploring a range of themes and topics with key stakeholders within communities, civil society and government, in order to build a coherent picture of the specific situation in each country. 

This research seeks to inform and assist in the development of CVE policies and programming, offering key findings that could be relevant to practitioners and policymakers working in the field of countering violent extremism.

Each country study: 1) maps out the forms of extremism; 2) examines drivers and contributing factors of radicalisation (global, regional, national and local drivers, political and socio-economic); 3) develops a profile of at risk communities.

Taking into account the multifaceted nature of extremism, the research also; 4) identifies any potential links with organised crime, money laundering, links to terrorism; and; 5) analyses transnational co-operation of violent extremist groups.

This study forms one of the six contextual research pieces, presenting findings from in-depth primary research conducted with communities and wider stakeholders with knowledge of the violent extremist threats specific to the country. The findings are based on primary, and where credible, secondary data sources in order to create an informed and nuanced picture of the violent extremist activity or potential threat within the country. Importantly, it is intended that this research usefully informs policy development, providing practical recommendations, while also feeding into an overarching regional report, where broader linkages and key transnational issues that have been identified from the research will be examined.

It is expected that this project will result in an increased understanding of the size of extremist threats emanating from the WB region, and ultimately increased ability of the UK and Western Balkan partners to address radicalisation based on increased understanding of the issues and the problem.
Atlantska inicijativa se od 2009. aktivno bavi istraživanjima, obukama te informiranjem stručne i šire javnosti o različitim sigurnosnim izazovima u Bosni i Hercegovini, uključujući izazove koje nose ekstremizam i radikalizacija. U cilju... more
Atlantska inicijativa se od 2009. aktivno bavi istraživanjima, obukama te informiranjem stručne i šire javnosti o različitim sigurnosnim izazovima u Bosni i Hercegovini, uključujući izazove koje nose ekstremizam i radikalizacija. U cilju izgradnje znanja i jačanja preventivnih kapaciteta Atlantska inicijativa je projektom Smanjenje rizika i rehabilitacija–prevencija radikalizacije, koji podržava Norveška ambasada u Sarajevu, u 2018. godini pokrenula rad sa panelom stručnjaka koji rade u oblasti psihologije i psihoterapije, socijalnog rada, rehabilitacije u zatvorima te sigurnosti radi razmatranja na koji način djelovati u kontaktu i radu s radikaliziranim porodicama i pojedincima, ili onima koji su u riziku od radikalizacije.

U Evropi su praktičari s prve linije (profesionalci iz javnog sektora) identificirani kao ključna grupa koja može doprinijeti identificiranju pokazatelja radikalizacije i prevenciji rizika. Svoje djelovanje zasnivaju prvenstveno na međunarodnim konvencijama o ljudskim pravima, zatim relevantnim strategijama, zakonskoj regulativi države (pogotovo krivičnim zakonima) te etičkim kodeksima. Međutim, kako dosadašnja iskustva ukazuju, zaposlenici u javnom sektoru (frontline practitioners) u Bosni i Hercegovini nemaju uvijek potrebna znanja o ovom fenomenu koja bi im omogućila adekvatnu procjenu razine individualne osjetljivosti niti mogućnost da prikupe dodatne informacije (osim ponašanja i izgleda) da podrže svoju procjenu o kompleksnosti slučaja i njegovim glavnim uzrocima.

Shodno tome, podizanje svijesti, znanja i vještina ključno je prije nego što se implementira sistematski pristup praćenju i analizi rizika i preventivnim programima. Stručnjaci na panelu su iz vlastitog profesionalnog iskustva ponudili odgovore na pitanja poput: Kako pristupiti prevenciji radikalizacije, nasilnog i nenasilnog ekstremizma? Koje ciljne grupe su najizloženije radikalizaciji i kako ih klasificirati? Koji su znakovi/pokazatelji prepoznavanja procesa radikalizacije u domaćem i različitim pro-fesionalnim kontekstima? Koje su prepreke da se nakon prepoznavanja adekvatno reagira u našem lokalnom ili profesionalnom kontekstu? Šta su prepreke da se dođe do osoba u riziku, naprimjer žena koje trpe nasilje, navijača, radikaliziranih mladih, pripadnika paradžemata ili njihovih porodica? Koja znanja i mehanizmi su potrebni za uspješnu prevenciju i intervenciju? Kakva je podrška sistema? Osim toga, kroz rad, učesnici su istakli neke od glavnih problema s kojima se susreću u ostvarivanju kontakta i radu s osobama koje su radikalizirane ili su u vrlo visokom riziku od radikalizacije, a to su:

– Štura znanja o ranim znakovima radikalizacije, o pravilnom pristupanju ako pojedincu tako i njihovim porodicama/ zajednici, te o učinkovitim intervencijama;

– U radu se pristupa post festum – javni servisi poput centara za socijalni rad ili centara za mentalno zdravlje često postupaju tek po prijavama (kada nastane neki problem, npr. s djetetom u školi ili u slučajevima nasilja u porodici), ali ne idu ususret tim zajednicama i osobama s preventivnim intervencijama i uključivanjem pojedinaca i grupa u zajednicu;

Kada profesionalci i prepoznaju neke od znakova, kao što je naprimjer isključiv stav i zabrana roditelja da žensko dijete pohađa nastavu fizičkog odgoja iako je obavezna, ne znaju kako djelovati te u kojoj mjeri ih druge institucije sistema prate u realizaciji aktivnosti koje trebaju poduzeti. Tokom svoga rada panel se susreo s nizom izazova i dilema, ali u konačnici, i nakon dugotrajnih konsultacija, te kombinacije profesionalnog iskustva i međunarodnih znanja, panel je razvio OVAJ PRIRUČNIK čiji je cilj osnažiti stručnjake u radu s radikaliziranim porodicama i pojedincima ili onima koji su u riziku od radikalizacije kako bi mogli djelovati ka ciljevima prevencije i deradikalizacije. Panel je prepoznao niz dilema s kojima se susreće stručna zajednica u pružanju različitih oblika socijalne ili psihološke podrške osobama čiji stil života, narativi i odnos prema društvu značajno odudaraju od općeprihvaćenih demokratskih normi te principa poštivanja individualnih prava, a naročito prava žena. Istovremeno, na osnovu brojnih saznanja, panel je pošao od pretpostavke da stručnjaci u javnom sektoru u Bosni i Hercegovini do sada nisu educirani o ovim temama kako u svom stručnom obrazovanju tako ni tokom profesionalnih edukacija. Upravo zbog toga ovaj priručnik polazi od osnova kad je riječ o radikalizaciji, ali se dotiče i dubljeg razumijevanja ove problematike. Svi stručnjaci koji su učestvovali u razvijanju priručnika se u nekom obimu u svom radu bave ili psihoterapijom ili psihosocijalnim savjetovanjem.

Priručnik se u velikoj mjeri oslanja na teorije i iskustva psihologije, psihoterapije i socijalne psihologije, koja u kombinaciji s iskustvima stručnjaka iz oblasti sigurnosti daje multidisciplinarni okvir za razumijevanje radikalizacije i rizika od radikalizacije. I na kraju, ovaj priručnik ima svrhu i podizanje svijesti šireg kruga stručnjaka (osobe zadužene za provođenje zakona, političari, akademska zajednica, nastavnici) o kompleksnosti ovog fenomena.

Priručnik u prva dva poglavlja daje pregled problema radikalizacije, razjašnjava dileme oko definicija i razumijevanja pojmova, pojašnjava faktore ranjivosti i otpornosti, daje pregled pokazatelja radikalizacije, te upozoravajućih i visokorizičnih znakova. Priručnik u poglavlju tri teoretsko i istraživačko znanje prenosi u praktično i daje pregled individualnih i grupnih procesa radikalizacije. U četvrtom poglavlju priručnika date su preporuke i razrađenije strategije kako u direktnom kontaktu s porodicama i pojedincima adresirati ponašanja i porodične obrasce koji su utemeljeni na radikalnim narativima i shvatanjima.

PRIRUČNIK ZA STRUČNJAKE – Rad s pojedincima i porodicama koje su u riziku od radikalizacije ili su radikalizirane

Urednici/ce: Vlado Azinović i Majda Halilović

Autori/ce: Jelena Brkić Šmigoc, Mirela Mujagić, Srđan Šušnica, Indira Haračić-Nović, Aner Zuković

Recenzenti: prof. dr. Edina Bećirević, mr. Mirnes Kovač

Sadržaju su doprinijeli:

Advan Čatić, Ministarstvo odbrane BiH, KOid Centar za profesionalni razvoj Travnik

Emira Kohnić, Kazneno-popravni zavod poluotvorenog tipa Orašje

Fazila Klisura, Ministarstvo odbrane BiH, Centar za bazičnu obuku Pazarić

Hajrija Ibrišagić, Dom zdravlja Kantona Sarajevo, Centar za mentalno zdravlje

Halima Hadžikapetanović, Dom zdravlja Zenica, Centar za mentalno zdravlje

Lejla Glinac, Dom zdravlja Tuzla, Centar za mentalno zdravlje

Mirela Hadžić, Dom zdravlja Kantona Sarajevo, Centar za mentalno zdravlje

Mirjana Musić, Nevladina organizacija Žene ženama

Nedim Osmanović, Dom zdravlja Tuzla, Centar za mentalno zdravlje

Šejla Bećirović-Čehajić, Centar za socijalni rad Zenica

Tajana Šaković, Federalno ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova

Tajib Babić, Dom zdravlja Zenica, Centar za mentalno zdravlje

Tanja Tankosić, Sud Bosne i Hercegovine

Elma Avdić, Medresa Visoko

Download Link:

https://atlantskainicijativa.org/wp-content/uploads/final-RAD-S-POJEDINCIMA-I-PORODICAMA-KOJE-SU-U-RIZIKU-OD-RADIKALIZACIJEILI-SU-RADIKALIZIRANE-%E2%80%93-Priru%C4%8Dnik-za-stru%C4%8Dnjake-WEB-version.pdf

(Eng. "Working with the families and friends of those at risk of radicalization or who are radicalized")
This report provides a summary of the conference discussions, key points made by the participants during the thematic sessions, as well as some observations and preliminary recommendations on how future iterations of the Jumbo Security... more
This report provides a summary of the conference discussions, key points made by the participants during the thematic sessions, as well as some observations and preliminary recommendations on how future iterations of the Jumbo Security Conference could be fine-tuned to better respond to the needs and organisational goals of participating stakeholders and achieve the strategic objectives of the organisers.

The 7th Regional (Jumbo) Security Coordination Conference titled Security Cooperation in the Western Balkans - Challenges and Lessons from Pandemics to War in Ukraine was held in Rome on 17 and 18 November 2022, co-organised by the Regional Cooperation Council (RCC), International Relations Service of the Office for the Coordination and Planning of Police Forces of the Ministry of Interior, and Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation of the government of Italy, at the premises of the Police Institute of Advanced Studies in Rome.

The conference convened 49 speakers from 14 economies and more than 100 participants and security practitioners from the Western Balkan economies, Italy, and other European Union (EU) member states, as well as representatives of the EU Commission, Frontex, IOM, IISG, MAARI, GI, and other relevant regional and international organisations, civil society organisations (CSOs), and law enforcement agencies.

The conference's main objective was to map out, assess, and explore prevalent security challenges facing the Western Balkans region and the EU in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Particular attention was given to sharing good practices and taking stock of lessons learned from participating stakeholders in tackling common transnational challenges. The ultimate goal of the conference was to streamline and strengthen security cooperation and coordination in the Western Balkans at the political, strategic, and operational levels between all relevant stakeholders, including international and regional organisations and initiatives.